Clinching Scenarios: Xfinity Series – Martinsville

It’s Martinsville weekend which means we are one race away from the NASCAR Championship weekend. First up, the Xfinity Series on Saturday. After this race only 4 drivers and 4 owners will be in the running for a championship next weekend at Phoenix. Below are the scenarios in which no matter what happens in the race on Saturday, if the scenario happens then the ticket is punched to the Championship 4. Likely the drivers will not need this much, but this is the maximum that needs to be done to clinch. However in the instance where a driver needs more or less than another, that is what needs to be done (or better) no exceptions.

*Denotes that scenario does not including the scenario with the driver who wins the race

Driver Points Clinching Scenarios

1) Noah Gragson

• • • Clinched based on win at Homestead

2) Josh Berry

• • • Clinched based on win at Las Vegas

3) Ty Gibbs

• • • No winner below cut: Needs 26 points (11th place finish)
    • Winner below cut: Needs 31 points (6th place finish)

4) A.J. Allmendinger

• • • No winner below cut: Needs 51 points (2nd place finish + 16 stage points)
    • Winner below cut: Needs 4 of the following scenarios*
      • 26 points more than Ty Gibbs
      • 4 points less than Justin Allgaier or better
      • 6 points less than Austin Hill or better
      • 27 points less than Sam Mayer or better
      • 37 points less than Brandon Jones or better

5) Justin Allgaier

• • • No winner below cut: Needs 4 of the following scenarios*
      • 31 points more than Ty Gibbs
      • 6 points more than A.J. Allmendinger
      • 1 point less than Austin Hill or better
      • 22 points less than Sam Mayer or better
      • 32 points less than Brandon Jones or better
    • Winner below cut: If he doesn’t win then he needs 4 of the scenarios above*

6) Austin Hill

• • • No winner below cut: Needs 4 of the following scenarios*
      • 33 points more than Ty Gibbs
      • 8 points more than A.J. Allmendinger
      • 3 points more than Justin Allgaier
      • 20 points less than Sam Mayer or better
      • 30 points less than Brandon Jones or better
    • Winner below cut: If he doesn’t win then he needs 4 of the scenarios above*

7) Sam Mayer

• • • No winner below cut: Needs 4 of the following scenarios*
      • 54 points more than Ty Gibbs
      • 29 points more than A.J. Allmendinger
      • 24 points more than Justin Allgaier
      • 21 points more than Austin Hill
      • 9 points less than Brandon Jones or better
    • Winner below cut: If he doesn’t win then he needs 4 of the scenarios above*

8) Brandon Jones

• • • No winner below cut: Needs all 4 of the following scenarios*
      • 39 points more than A.J. Allmendinger
      • 34 points more than Justin Allgaier
      • 32 points more than Austin Hill
      • 11 points more than Sam Mayer
    • Winner below cut: If he doesn’t win then he cannot advance

Owner Points Clinching Scenarios

1) JR Motorsports No. 9

• • • Clinched based on win at Homestead

2) JR Motorsports No. 8

• • • Clinched based on win at Las Vegas

3) Joe Gibbs Racing No. 54

• • • No winner below cut: Needs 26 points (11th place finish)
    • Winner below cut: Needs 31 points (6th place finish)

4) Kaulig Racing No. 16

• • • No winner below cut: Needs 51 points (2nd place finish + 16 stage points)
    • Winner below cut: Needs 4 of the following scenarios*
      • 26 points more than the No. 54
      • 4 points less than the No. 7 or better
      • 6 points less than the No. 21 or better
      • 27 points less than the No. 1 or better
      • 28 points less than the No. 18 or better

5) JR Motorsports No. 7

• • • No winner below cut: Needs 4 of the following scenarios*
      • 31 points more than the No. 54
      • 6 points more than the No. 16
      • 1 point less than the No. 21 or better
      • 22 points less than the No. 1 or better
      • 23 points less than the No. 18 or better
    • Winner below cut: If he doesn’t win then he needs 4 of the scenarios above*

6) Richard Childress Racing No. 21

• • • No winner below cut: Needs 4 of the following scenarios*
      • 33 points more than the No. 54
      • 8 points more than the No. 16
      • 3 points more than the No. 7
      • 20 points less than the No. 1 or better
      • 21 points less than the No. 18 or better
    • Winner below cut: If he doesn’t win then he needs 4 of the scenarios above*

7) JR Motorsports No. 1

• • • No winner below cut: Needs 4 of the following scenarios*
      • 54 points more than the No. 54
      • 29 points more than the No. 16
      • 24 points more than the No. 7
      • 21 points more than the No. 21
      • 0 points more than the No. 18 or better
    • Winner below cut: If he doesn’t win then he needs 4 of the scenarios above*

8) Joe Gibbs Racing No. 18

• • • No winner below cut: Needs all 4 of the following scenarios*
      • 30 points more than the No. 16
      • 25 points more than the No. 7
      • 22 points more than the No. 21
      • 2 points more than the No. 1
    • Winner below cut: If he doesn’t win then he cannot advance