Clinching Scenarios: Xfinity Series – ROVAL

The NASCAR Xfinity series heads to the Charlotte Roval this weekend, the cutoff for the Round of 8. After this race only 8 drivers and 8 owners will be in the running for a championship. Below are the scenarios in which no matter what happens in the race on Saturday, if the scenario happens then the ticket is punched to the next round. Likely the drivers will not need this much, but this is the maximum that needs to be done to clinch.

*Denotes that scenario does not including the scenario with the driver who wins the race

Driver Points Clinching Scenarios

A.J. Allmendinger

• • • Clinched based on win at Talladega

Noah Gragson

• • • Clinched based on win at Texas

Ty Gibbs

• • • No winner below cut: Needs 7 points (30th place finish)
    • Winner below cut: Needs 13 points (24th place finish)

Austin Hill

• • • No winner below cut: Needs 13 points (24th place finish)
    • Winner below cut: Needs 19 points (18th place finish)

Josh Berry

• • • No winner below cut: Needs 29 points (8th place finish)
    • Winner below cut: Needs 35 points (2nd place finish)

Justin Allgaier

• • • No winner below cut: Needs 31 points (6th place finish)
    • Winner below cut: Needs 37 points (2nd place finish + 2 stage points)

Sam Mayer

• • • No winner below cut: Needs 44 points (2nd place finish + 9 stage points)
    • Winner below cut: Needs 50 points (2nd place finish + 15 stage points)

Ryan Sieg

• • • No winner below cut: Needs 50 points (2nd place finish + 15 stage points)
    • Winner below cut: Needs 4 of the following scenarios*
      • 44 points more than Ty Gibbs
      • 38 points more than Austin Hill
      • 22 points more than Josh Berry
      • 20 points more than Justin Allgaier
      • 7 points more than Sam Mayer
      • 5 points less than Daniel Hemric or better
      • 9 points less than Riley Herbst or better
      • 9 points less than Brandon Jones or better
      • 46 points less than Jeremy Clements or better

Daniel Hemric

• • • No winner below cut: Needs 4 of the following scenarios*
      • 50 points more than Ty Gibbs
      • 44 points more than Austin Hill
      • 28 points more than Josh Berry
      • 26 points more than Justin Allgaier
      • 13 points more than Sam Mayer
      • 7 points more than Ryan Sieg
      • 3 points less than Riley Herbst or better
      • 3 points less than Brandon Jones or better
      • 40 points less than Jeremy Clements or better
    • Winner below cut: If he doesn’t win then he needs 4 of the scenarios above*

Riley Herbst

• • • No winner below cut: Needs 4 of the following scenarios*
      • 54 points more than Ty Gibbs
      • 48 points more than Austin Hill
      • 32 points more than Josh Berry
      • 30 points more than Justin Allgaier
      • 17 points more than Sam Mayer
      • 11 points more than Ryan Sieg
      • 5 points more than Daniel Hemric
      • 1 point more than Brandon Jones
      • 36 points less than Jeremy Clements or better
    • Winner below cut: If he doesn’t win then he needs 4 of the scenarios above*

Brandon Jones

• • • No winner below cut: Needs 4 of the following scenarios*
      • 54 points more than Ty Gibbs
      • 48 points more than Austin Hill
      • 32 points more than Josh Berry
      • 30 points more than Justin Allgaier
      • 17 points more than Sam Mayer
      • 11 points more than Ryan Sieg
      • 5 points more than Daniel Hemric
      • 1 point more than Riley Herbst
      • 36 points less than Jeremy Clements or better
    • Winner below cut: If he doesn’t win then he needs 4 of the scenarios above*

Jeremy Clements

• • • No winner below cut: Needs 4 of the following scenarios*
      • 54 points more than Sam Mayer
      • 48 points more than Ryan Sieg
      • 42 points more than Daniel Hemric
      • 38 points more than Riley Herbst
      • 38 points more than Brandon Jones
    • Winner below cut: If he doesn’t win then he needs 4 of the scenarios above*

Owner Points Clinching Scenarios

Kaulig Racing No. 16

• • • Clinched based on win at Talladega

JR Motorsports No. 9

• • • Clinched based on win at Texas

Joe Gibbs Racing No. 54

• • • No winner below cut: Needs 6 points (31st place finish)
    • Winner below cut: Needs 6 points (31st place finish)

Richard Childress Racing No. 21

• • • No winner below cut: Needs 12 points (25th place finish)
    • Winner below cut: Needs 12 points (25th place finish)

JR Motorsports No. 8

• • • No winner below cut: Needs 28 points (9th place finish)
    • Winner below cut: Needs 28 points (9th place finish)

JR Motorsports No. 7

• • • No winner below cut: Needs 30 points (7th place finish)
    • Winner below cut: Needs 30 points (7th place finish)

JR Motorsports No. 1

• • • No winner below cut: Needs 42 points (2nd place finish + 7 stage points)
    • Winner below cut: Needs 43 points (2nd place finish + 8 stage points)

Kaulig Racing No. 11

• • • No winner below cut: Needs 4 of the following scenarios*
      • 51 points more than the No. 54
      • 45 points more than the No. 21
      • 29 points more than the No. 8
      • 27 points more than the No. 7
      • 14 points more than the No. 1
      • 1 point more than the No. 18
      • 2 points less than the No. 98 or better
      • 2 points less than the No. 19 or better
      • 39 points less than the No. 51 or better
    • Winner below cut: If he doesn’t win then he needs 4 of the scenarios above*

Joe Gibbs Racing No. 18

• • • No winner below cut: Needs 4 of the following scenarios*
      • 51 points more than the No. 54
      • 45 points more than the No. 21
      • 29 points more than the No. 8
      • 27 points more than the No. 7
      • 14 points more than the No. 1
      • 1 point more than the No. 11
      • 2 points less than the No. 98 or better
      • 2 points less than the No. 19 or better
      • 39 points less than the No. 51 or better
    • Winner below cut: If he doesn’t win then he needs 4 of the scenarios above*

Stewart-Haas Racing No. 98

• • • No winner below cut: Needs 4 of the following scenarios*
      • 54 points more than the No. 54
      • 48 points more than the No. 21
      • 32 points more than the No. 8
      • 30 points more than the No. 7
      • 17 points more than the No. 1
      • 4 points more than the No. 11
      • 4 points more than the No. 18
      • 1 point more than the No. 19
      • 36 points less than the No. 51 or better
    • Winner below cut: If he doesn’t win then he needs 4 of the scenarios above*

Joe Gibbs Racing No. 19

• • • No winner below cut: Needs 4 of the following scenarios*
      • 54 points more than the No. 54
      • 48 points more than the No. 21
      • 32 points more than the No. 8
      • 30 points more than the No. 7
      • 17 points more than the No. 1
      • 4 points more than the No. 11
      • 4 points more than the No. 18
      • 1 point more than the No. 98
      • 36 points less than the No. 51 or better
    • Winner below cut: If he doesn’t win then he needs 4 of the scenarios above*

Jeremy Clements Racing No. 51

• • • No winner below cut: Needs 4 of the following scenarios*
      • 54 points more than the No. 1
      • 41 points more than the No. 11
      • 41 points more than the No. 18
      • 38 points more than the No. 98
      • 38 points more than the No. 19
    • Winner below cut: If he doesn’t win then he needs 4 of the scenarios above*