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Cup Series Playoff Drivers Statistics & Outlook: Las Vegas

After a crap shoot of a race at the Roval that saw a bit of everything except good racing, the NASCAR Cup Series playoff field has been cut to 8. Here is a look at the 8 playoff drivers remaining 2022 season statistics, along with ranks among drivers in 2022 with ranking through 32 races since the Chase started in 2004. We will also highlight notable streaks accomplished through the year, 2022 intermediate (1.3-1.5 miles) track statistics and Las Vegas statistics.

1 Seed – Chase Elliott

2022 Stats
Category Statistic 2022 Rank ÂąRank Thru 32 Races
 Wins 5 1st T21st
 Poles 3 T2nd T33rd
 Top2 8 1st T22nd
 Top3 8 2nd T53rd
 Top5 12 1st T55th
 Top10 19 1st T48th
 Stage Wins 6 T3rd T15th*
 Stage T10s 42 T1st T18th*
 Stage Pts 266 1st 18th*
 Playoff Pts² 31 1st T9th*

ÂąSince Playoffs started in 2004
²Earned from races only
*Stage racing started in 2017

  • Playoff Statistics this year
  • 1 Wins, 0 Pole, 2 Top 2, 2 Top 3, 2 Top 5, 2 Top 10, 1 Stage Wins, 6 Stage Top 10’s, 37 Stage Points, 6 Playoff Points earned in a race
  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 5 straight Top 2 finishes
  • 6 straight Top 10 finishes
  • 2022 Intermediate Stats
  • 8 Races, Avg. Finish 19.5, Best 1st, Worst 36th, Led 9.67% of laps run, 1 Win, 1 Top 3, 2 Top 5’s, 3 Top 10’s, 4 Top 15’s, 4 Finishes out of Top 20, 3 DNF’s, 1 Stage Win, 63 Stage Pts
  • Las Vegas Statistics
  • Spring Las Vegas Race
  • Finished 9th, Started 5th, Led 0 laps, Finished 5th in Stage 1 and Finished 2nd in Stage 2
  • Notable Las Vegas Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year)
  • 11 Races
  • 17.82 Avg. Finish (Ranks 13th)
  • Best Finish: 2nd, Worst: 38th
  • Led 6.45% of laps he’s run (% ranks 5th)
  • 0 Wins
  • 2 Top 3’s, 18.18% (% ranks 5th)
  • 5 Top 10’s, 45.45% (% ranks 9th)
  • 6 Top 15’s, 54.55% (% ranks 10th)
  • 5 times finish outside Top 20, 45.45% (% ranks 17th)
  • 3 DNF’s, 27.27% (% ranks 42nd)
  • 3 Stage Wins, 15.0% (% ranks 2nd)
  • 18 Stage Top 10’s, 90.0% (% ranks 2nd)
  • 5.45 Avg. Stage Points (Ranks 2nd)
Outlook
Chase Elliott was looking to go back to back at the Roval last week before the inability to drive set in for half the field. Nevertheless Elliott still has the best statistics of the 2022 season ranking no worse than 3rd in any 2022 rank above. While he only has 2 Top 10’s in the playoffs this year he does have 6 Stage Top 10’s and a Win. His intermediate races this year and his Las Vegas stats look pretty similar, he does well in stages but when it comes to the end of the races it is either Top 15 or outside the Top 20. The good news for Elliott though is that most of the time at Las Vegas or this year at intermediates when he is outside the Top 20 it is usually due to not finishing. In the spring this year he came home 9th after leading 0 laps. These stats are very telling and I see either a Top 10 or DNF for Elliott this weekend and with these playoffs and this car who knows which it will be.

2 Seed – Joey Logano

2022 Stats
Category Statistic 2022 Rank ÂąRank Thru 32 Races
 Wins 2 T3rd T90th
 Poles 3 T2nd T33rd
 Top2 4 T4th T95th
 Top3 6 T4th T100th
 Top5 9 7th T118th
 Top10 14 T7th T181st
 Stage Wins 6 T3rd T15th*
 Stage T10s 42 T1st T18th*
 Stage Pts 244 2nd 24th*
 Playoff Pts² 16 T3rd T27th*

ÂąSince Playoffs started in 2004
²Earned from races only
*Stage racing started in 2017

  • Playoff Statistics this year
  • 0 Wins, 2 Poles, 1 Top 2, 1 Top 3, 2 Top 5, 2 Top 10, 1 Stage Wins, 8 Stage Top 10’s, 43 Stage Points, 1 Playoff Points earned in a race
  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 2 straight Top 3 finishes
  • 4 straight Top 10 finishes
  • 2022 Intermediate Stats
  • 8 Races, Avg. Finish 10.5, Best 1st, Worst 20th, Led 8.02% of laps run, 1 Win, 2 Poles, 2 Top 3’s, 3 Top 5’s, 4 Top 10’s, 5 Top 15’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 1 DNF, 1 Stage Win, 57 Stage Pts
  • Las Vegas Statistics
  • Spring Las Vegas Race
  • Finished 14th, Started 6th, Led 0 laps, Finished 7th in Stage 2
  • Notable Las Vegas Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year)
  • 18 Races
  • 8.89 Avg. Finish (Ranks 1st)
  • Best Finish: 1st, Worst: 23rd
  • Led 10.24% of laps he’s run (% ranks 2nd)
  • 2 Wins, 11.11% (% ranks 2nd)
  • 3 Top 3’s, 16.67% (% ranks 6th)
  • 6 Top 5’s, 33.33% (% ranks 5th)
  • 11 Top 10’s, 61.11% (% ranks 4th)
  • 16 Top 15’s, 88.89% (% ranks 1st)
  • 1 time finish outside Top 20, 5.56% (% ranks 4th)
  • 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks 1st)
  • 2 Stage Wins, 10.0% (% ranks 5th)
  • 15 Stage T10’s, 75.0% (% ranks 3rd)
  • 4.90 Avg. Stage Points (Ranks 3rd)
Outlook
Joey Logano does not rank worse than 7th in the 2022 ranks above, but unfortunately for him the 7th’s are in the Top 5 and Top 10 categories. This tells me he’s not been good at finishing between 4th and 10th when not in the Top 3. His playoff stats follow suit as he has 1 Top 3 but only 2 Top 10’s, he is however tied for the most Stage Top 10’s in the playoffs with 8. In the Next Gen car Logano has been very good at intermediate tracks with an average finish of 10.5 and not finishing outside the Top 20. However this may be misleading as in 3 of the 8 races he has finished 16th-20th. At Las Vegas in the spring Logano finished 14th but his overall stats here are impressive. He has the best average finish here of active drivers with 8.89 and has finished in the Top 10 more times than not. He also has finished outside the Top 15 only twice. With all this in mind, I see Logano leaving Vegas this weekend with Stage Points and a Top 10 and maybe a Top 5 at that.

3 Seed – Ross Chastain

2022 Stats
Category Statistic 2022 Rank ÂąRank Thru 32 Races
 Wins 2 T3rd T90th
 Poles 0 T16th T253rd
 Top2 5 3rd T67th
 Top3 7 3rd T83rd
 Top5 11 T2nd T70th
 Top10 17 3rd T90th
 Stage Wins 6 T3rd T15th*
 Stage T10s 34 6th T51st*
 Stage Pts 217 T5th T40th*
 Playoff Pts² 16 T3rd T27th*

ÂąSince Playoffs started in 2004
²Earned from races only
*Stage racing started in 2017

  • Playoff Statistics this year
  • 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 2, 0 Top 3, 1 Top 5, 3 Top 10, 1 Stage Wins, 8 Stage Top 10’s, 48 Stage Points, 1 Playoff Point earned in a race
  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 3 straight Top 2 finishes
  • 4 straight Top 3 finishes
  • 6 straight Top 10 finishes
  • 2022 Intermediate Stats
  • 8 Races, Avg. Finish 12.5, Best 3rd, Worst 30th, Led 11.1% of laps run, 0 Wins, 1 Top 3, 2 Top 5’s, 4 Top 10’s, 6 Top 15’s, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 1 DNF, 3 Stage Wins, 104 Stage Pts
  • Las Vegas Statistics
  • Spring Las Vegas Race
  • Finished 3rd, Started 18th, Led 83 laps (30.29%), Finished 3rd in Stage 1 and Won Stage 2
  • Notable Las Vegas Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year)
  • 8 Races
  • 23.63 Avg. Finish (Ranks 30th)
  • Best Finish: 3rd, Worst: 33rd
  • 1 Top 3, 12.5% (% ranks 10th)
  • 1 Top 15, 12.5% (% ranks 25th)
  • 6 times finish outside Top 20, 75.0% (% ranks 32nd)
  • 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks 1st)
  • 1 Stage Win, 6.25% (% ranks 8th)
Outlook
The 2022 season has been a bit of a roller coaster for Ross Chastain, early in the season he was the underdog feel good story and then became a bit of a villain. His stats though speak for themselves with 7 Top 3’s, 17 Top 10’s and 6 Stage Wins he has one of the better seasons this year. While his playoffs haven’t had many great finishes he does have 3 Top 10’s and by the skin of his teeth he survived the Roval to be in the Round of 8. His intermediate stats this year have been decent leading over 10% of the laps and accumulating 6 Top 15’s and the most Stage Points. In the spring Chastain finished 3rd, led a good chunk of the race and was up front all day. His overall stats at Vegas are not impressive but he hasn’t been in many good cars here. I tend to look more at the 2022 stats and with that I see Chastain coming out of here with a Top 15 for sure if nothing goes wrong, probably even coming home with a Top 10 and a lot of Stage Points.

4 Seed – Christopher Bell

2022 Stats
Category Statistic 2022 Rank ÂąRank Thru 32 Races
 Wins 2 T3rd T90th
 Poles 4 1st T19th
 Top2 3 T8th T128th
 Top3 5 T6th T125th
 Top5 11 T2nd T70th
 Top10 18 2nd T66th
 Stage Wins 4 T6th T33rd*
 Stage T10s 33 7th T55th*
 Stage Pts 189 9th 55th*
 Playoff Pts² 14 T5th T33rd*

ÂąSince Playoffs started in 2004
²Earned from races only
*Stage racing started in 2017

  • Playoff Statistics this year
  • 1 Win, 1 Pole, 1 Top 2, 2 Top 3, 4 Top 5, 4 Top 10, 2 Stage Wins, 6 Stage Top 10’s, 50 Stage Points, 7 Playoff Points earned in a race
  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 3 straight Top 5 finishes
  • 5 straight Top 10 finishes
  • 2022 Intermediate Stats
  • 8 Races, Avg. Finish 9.5, Best 3rd, Worst 34th, Led 3.63% of laps run, 0 Wins, 2 Poles, 1 Top 3, 4 Top 5’s, 7 Top 10’s, 7 Top 15’s, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 1 DNF, 1 Stage Win, 60 Stage Pts
  • Las Vegas Statistics
  • Spring Las Vegas Race
  • Finished 10th, Started 1st, Led 32 laps (11.68), Finished 10th in Stage 1
  • Notable Las Vegas Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year)
  • 5 Races
  • 19.6 Avg. Finish (Ranks 19th)
  • Best Finish: 7th, Worst: 33rd
  • 0 Top 5’s
  • 2 Top 10’s, 40.0% (% ranks 11th)
  • 3 times finish outside Top 20, 60.0% (% ranks 24th)
  • 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks 1st)
Outlook
Christopher Bell needed a win at the Roval to advance to the Round of 8 and he got it, albeit with a little help from NASCAR. That said he does have one of the better 2022 seasons. After a slow start, Bell has ended up acquiring the second most Top 10’s this year with 18 and ranking no worse than 9th in the 2022 ranks above. His Round of 16 stats were impressive which led to his playoff stats to be impressive overall with 4 Top 5’s in 6 races. Despite getting 0 Stage Points at the Roval he still has 50 Stage Points in the playoffs. Bell’s intermediate stats this year are also very impressive with the best average finish and 7 Top 10’s in 8 races. His only time outside the Top 10 was a DNF at Texas. Overall at Vegas Bell has been dismal with only 2 Top 5’s in 5 races. This is a mile and a half however and Toyota has been strong at these tracks all year, so I see Bell with a Top 10 as long as he finishes and with Toyota’s speed possibly a Top 5.

5 Seed – Ryan Blaney

2022 Stats
Category Statistic 2022 Rank ÂąRank Thru 32 Races
 Wins 0 T20th T264th
 Poles 3 T2nd T33rd
 Top2 1 T17th T241st
 Top3 2 T16th T242nd
 Top5 10 T5th T87th
 Top10 15 T5th T156th
 Stage Wins 7 T1st T11th*
 Stage T10s 38 4th T32nd*
 Stage Pts 237 3rd 27th*
 Playoff Pts² 7 T12th T57th*

ÂąSince Playoffs started in 2004
²Earned from races only
*Stage racing started in 2017

  • Playoff Statistics this year
  • 0 Wins, 0 Pole, 1 Top 2, 1 Top 3, 2 Top 5, 3 Top 10, 2 Stage Win, 8 Stage Top 10’s, 50 Stage Points, 2 Playoff Points earned in a race
  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 2 straight Poles
  • 2 straight Top 5 finishes
  • 4 straight Top 10 finishes
  • 2022 Intermediate Stats
  • 8 Races, Avg. Finish 15.38, Best 3rd, Worst 35th, Led 2.12% of laps run, 0 Wins, 1 Top 3, 2 Top 5’s, 3 Top 10’s, 5 Top 15’s, 2 Finishes out of Top 20, 2 DNF’s, 1 Stage Win, 60 Stage Pts
  • Las Vegas Statistics
  • Spring Las Vegas Race
  • Finished 36th (crash), Started 11th, Led 10 laps (3.65%), Finished 7th in Stage 1
  • Notable Las Vegas Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year)
  • 12 Races
  • 11.08 Avg. Finish (Ranks 4th)
  • Best Finish: 5th, Worst: 36th
  • 0 Top 3’s
  • 5 Top 5’s, 41.67% (% ranks 3rd)
  • 8 Top 10’s, 66.67% (% ranks 2nd)
  • 2 times finish outside Top 20, 16.67% (% ranks 7th)
  • 1 DNF, 8.33% (% ranks 24th)
  • 0 Stage Wins
  • 14 Stage Top 10’s, 70.0% (% ranks 5th)
  • 4.30 Avg. Stage Points (Ranks 6th)
Outlook
Ryan Blaney has done everything this year except finish in the Top 3 a good amount of times, out of his 10 Top 5’s and 15 Top 10’s only 2 have been Top 3. One of those Top 3’s was in the playoffs however at Talladega and is part of 3 Top 10’s Blaney has in the playoffs. This year on intermediate tracks Blaney’s stats are alright and pretty much follow his 2022 season, he has 1 Top 3, 3 Top 10’s and 5 Top 15’s. In the spring at Las Vegas, Blaney was running in the Top 10 when he got caught up in someone else’s mess and crashed out for a 36th place finish. His overall stats at Las Vegas also follow suit with his 2022 season as he has 0 Top 3’s but 5 Top 5’s and 8 Top 10’s. I see more of the same from Blaney this weekend and him getting a Top 10 with a chance at a Top 5, but Top 3 I don’t see unless something happens to the fastest cars.

6 Seed – William Byron

2022 Stats
Category Statistic 2022 Rank ÂąRank Thru 32 Races
 Wins 2 T3rd T90th
 Poles 0 T16th T253rd
 Top2 2 T12th T170th
 Top3 4 T10th T163rd
 Top5 5 T12th T228th
 Top10 9 T17th T293rd
 Stage Wins 4 T6th T33rd*
 Stage T10s 35 5th T45th*
 Stage Pts 217 T5th T40th*
 Playoff Pts² 14 T5th T33rd*

ÂąSince Playoffs started in 2004
²Earned from races only
*Stage racing started in 2017

  • Playoff Statistics this year
  • 0 Wins, 0 Pole, 0 Top 2, 1 Top 3, 1 Top 5, 4 Top 10, 1 Stage Wins, 8 Stage Top 10’s, 52 Stage Points, 1 Playoff Point earned in a race
  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 2 straight Top 3 finishes
  • 4 straight Top 10 finishes
  • 2022 Intermediate Stats
  • 8 Races, Avg. Finish 15.25, Best 5th, Worst 35th, Led 7.05% of laps run, 0 Wins, 0 Top 3, 1 Top 5, 4 Top 10’s, 5 Top 15’s, 2 Finishes out of Top 20, 1 DNF, 1 Stage Win, 70 Stage Pts
  • Las Vegas Statistics
  • Spring Las Vegas Race
  • Finished 5th, Started 14th, Led 8 laps (2.92%), Finished 2nd in Stage 1 and 4th in Stage 2
  • Notable Las Vegas Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year)
  • 9 Races
  • 18.33 Avg. Finish (Ranks 16th)
  • Best Finish: 5th, Worst: 37th
  • 0 Top 3’s
  • 1 Top 5, 11.11% (% ranks 15th)
  • 3 Top 10’s, 33.33% (% ranks 13th)
  • 3 Top 15’s, 33.33% (% ranks 19th)
  • 4 times finish outside Top 20, 44.44% (% ranks 16th)
  • 1 DNF, 11.11% (% ranks 29th)
  • 10 Stage Top 10’s, 55.56% (% ranks 9th)
Outlook
Most look at Chase Briscoe’s stats and think they are not good enough to be in the Round of 8. Well William Byron’s stats aren’t far behind, the only good part of his 2022 stats are his stages and Wins. With that said though he is in the Round of 8, in part thanks to the appeal panel reversing his 25 point penalty from Texas. Byron’s playoff stats are impressive however in the Top 10 category with 4 Top 10’s. His intermediate stats this year are alright with only 1 Top 5 and 4 Top 10’s. In the spring race here at Las Vegas, Byron got that lone Top 5 and finished in the Top 5 in Stage 1 and Stage 2. While this may be good news for Byron, unfortunately he does not typically run well here having only 3 Top 10’s in 9 races. Unfortunately for Byron fans I see this weekend being a tough one with a finish of around 10th being the best he does.

7 Seed – Denny Hamlin

2022 Stats
Category Statistic 2022 Rank ÂąRank Thru 32 Races
 Wins 2 T3rd T90th
 Poles 3 T2nd T33rd
 Top2 4 T4th T95th
 Top3 5 T6th T125th
 Top5 8 T8th T148th
 Top10 12 T11th T230th
 Stage Wins 3 T10th T46th*
 Stage T10s 27 10th T71st*
 Stage Pts 168 10th 58th*
 Playoff Pts² 13 8th 37th*

ÂąSince Playoffs started in 2004
²Earned from races only
*Stage racing started in 2017

  • Playoff Statistics this year
  • 0 Wins, 0 Pole, 2 Top 2, 2 Top 3, 3 Top 5, 5 Top 10, 0 Stage Wins, 5 Stage Top 10’s, 35 Stage Points, 0 Playoff Points earned in a race
  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 2 straight Top 2 finishes
  • 5 straight Top 10 finishes
  • 2022 Intermediate Stats
  • 8 Races, Avg. Finish 9.75, Best 1st, Worst 32nd, Led 8.54% of laps run, 1 Win, 2 Poles, 3 Top 3’s, 4 Top 5’s, 6 Top 10’s, 6 Top 15’s, 2 Finishes out of Top 20, 1 DNF, 0 Stage Win, 66 Stage Pts
  • Las Vegas Statistics
  • Spring Las Vegas Race
  • Finished 32nd (drivetrain), Started 8th, Led 31 laps (11.31%), Finished 4th in Stage 1 and 9th in Stage 2
  • Notable Las Vegas Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year)
  • 21 Races
  • 13.24 Avg. Finish (Ranks 7th)
  • Best Finish: 1st, Worst: 32nd
  • Led 6.37% of laps he’s run (% ranks 6th)
  • 1 Win, 4.76% (% ranks 7th)
  • 3 Top 3’s, 14.29% (% ranks 8th)
  • 10 Top 10’s, 47.62% (% ranks 8th)
  • 13 Top 15’s, 61.9% (% ranks 8th)
  • 3 times finish outside Top 20, 14.29% (% ranks 6th)
  • 2 DNF’s, 9.52% (% ranks 27th)
  • 2 Stage Wins, 10.0% (% ranks 5th)
  • 3.9 Avg. Stage Points (Ranks 7th)
Outlook
Denny Hamlin’s 2022 season as a whole is not the best or even close to it really the stats say, however the playoffs have been a different ballgame for Hamlin. Before this weekend he had finished in the Top 10 of every playoff race and 3 of those were Top 5’s. In the playoffs however Hamlin has not been the best in stages as he only has 35 Stage Points. Hamlin does drive a Toyota though and that is a great thing when going to an intermediate track as they have been fast all year on these tracks. Hamlin has especially been strong as he has 4 Top 5’s and 6 Top 10’s on intermediate tracks and in the spring was in the hunt for a win before a wrong shift put him out of the race. Overall at Las Vegas Hamlin has a 13.24 average finish and 13 Top 15’s to only 3 times finishing outside the Top 20. I see more intermediate success for Hamlin this weekend at Vegas as he gets a Top 10 and probably a Top 5 with a shot at the Win if nothing goes wrong.

8 Seed – Chase Briscoe

2022 Stats
Category Statistic 2022 Rank ÂąRank Thru 32 Races
 Wins 1 T10th T136th
 Poles 1 T8th T122nd
 Top2 1 T17th T241st
 Top3 2 T16th T242nd
 Top5 4 T16th T258th
 Top10 7 T22nd T349th
 Stage Wins 4 T6th T33rd*
 Stage T10s 20 T13th T90th*
 Stage Pts 119 12th T77th*
 Playoff Pts² 9 10th T46th*

ÂąSince Playoffs started in 2004
²Earned from races only
*Stage racing started in 2017

  • Playoff Statistics this year
  • 0 Wins, 0 Pole, 0 Top 2, 0 Top 3, 1 Top 5, 3 Top 10’s, 0 Stage Wins, 5 Stage Top 10’s, 23 Stage Points, 0 Playoff Points earned in a race
  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 3 straight Top 10’s (active streak)
  • 2022 Intermediate Stats
  • 8 Races, Avg. Finish 20.25, Best 4th, Worst 35th, Led 0.09% of laps run, 0 Wins, 0 Top 3’s, 2 Top 5’s, 2 Top 10’s, 3 Top 15’s, 4 Finishes out of Top 20, 1 DNF, 0 Stage Wins, 19 Stage Pts
  • Las Vegas Statistics
  • Spring Las Vegas Race
  • Finished 35th (crash), Started 4th, Led 0 laps, Finished 8th in Stage 1
  • Notable Las Vegas Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year)
  • 3 Races
  • 23.33 Avg. Finish (Ranks 28th)
  • Best Finish: 14th, Worst: 35th
  • 0 Top 10’s
  • 1 Top 15, 33.33% (% ranks 19th)
  • 2 times finish outside Top 20, 66.67% (% ranks 26th)
  • 1 DNF, 33.33% (% ranks 43rd)
  • 1 Stage Top 10, 16.67% (% ranks 17th)
Outlook
Chase Briscoe’s 2022 stats say he should not be in the Round of 8 with his only 2022 rank better than 10th being in Poles and Stage Wins, yet here he is. He is here thanks to his 3 straight Top 10’s in the Round of 12, his only streak longer than 1 this year. It seems as if Briscoe is hitting his stride at the right time of the year. Unfortunately for him he hasn’t done well at intermediate tracks this year with only 2 Top 10’s and 4 finishes outside the Top 20. However, his stats were not good for him on road courses either and he ended up with a Top 10 last week. In the spring here Briscoe wrecked out and overall at Las Vegas he only has 3 starts so there isn’t much to go off of. Based on the stats I see Briscoe having a rough day and probably finishing outside the Top 15, but with the streak he is on I wouldn’t rule out him getting a Top 15 and maybe finishing around 10th.
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Daniel Smith
Daniel Smithhttps://pitpassnetwork.com
Cup drivers: Kyle Larson & Ross Chastain, Xfinity drivers: SVG & Ryan Sieg, Truck drivers: Grant Enfinger & Jake Garcia

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