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Xfinity Series Playoff Drivers Statistics & Outlook: Homestead

At Las Vegas we saw Josh Berry clinch a spot into the Championship 4 in his first full-time Xfinity season. Now there are only 3 spots left to go for a championship at Phoenix and someone could clinch the next spot at Homestead this weekend. Here is a look at the 8 playoff drivers remaining 2022 season statistics, ranks among drivers in 2022 with ranking through 30 races since the playoffs starts in 2016. We will also highlight notable streaks accomplished through the year, 2022 intermediate (1.3-1.5 miles) track statistics and Homestead statistics.

1 Seed – Josh Berry

2022 Stats
Category Statistic 2022 Rank ÂąRank Thru 30 Races
 Wins 3 T4th T19th
 Poles 1 T5th T25th
 Top2 4 6th T32nd
 Top3 7 T5th T25th
 Top5 11 T5th T31st
 Top10 20 T3rd T22nd
 Stage Wins 6 4th T18th*
 Stage T10s 44 4th T17th*
 Stage Pts 242 5th 24th*
 Playoff Pts² 21 5th 15th*

ÂąSince Playoffs started in 2016
²Earned from races only
*Stage racing started in 2017

  • Playoff Statistics this year
  • 1 Win, 0 Pole, 1 Top 2, 1 Top 3, 2 Top 5, 4 Top 10’s, 0 Stage Wins, 6 Stage Top 10’s, 19 Stage Points, 5 Playoff Points earned in a race
  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 2 straight Top 3 finishes
  • 3 straight Top 5 finishes
  • 7 straight Top 10 finishes (active streak)
  • 2022 Intermediate Stats
  • 9 Races, Avg. Finish 9.0, Best 1st, Worst 29th, Led 13.06% of laps run, 2 Wins, 2 Top 3’s, 3 Top 5’s, 7 Top 10’s, 7 Top 15’s, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 2 Stage Wins, 82 Stage Pts
  • Homestead Statistics
  • 2021 Homestead Race
  • Finished 10th, Started 20th, Led 0 laps, Finished 8th in Stage 1
  • Notable Homestead Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year)
  • 2 Races
  • 17.5 Avg. Finish (Ranks 27th)
  • Best Finish: 10th, Worst: 25th
  • 0 Top 5’s
  • 1 Top 10, 50.0% (% ranks 16th)
  • 1 time finish outside Top 20, 50.0% (% ranks 32nd)
  • 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks 1st)
  • 1 Stage Top 10, 50.0% (% ranks 13th)
Outlook
At Las Vegas Josh Berry took advantage of a questionable late caution to take the lead and hold off his JRM teammates to win. With the win Berry is into the Championship 4 and when you look at his 2022 stats it isn’t a big surprise. Berry’s worse stat ranking wise is Top 2’s, but other than that everything ranks between 3rd and 5th. In the playoffs Berry has been hot as he has a Top 10 in all 4 races which is part of a streak of 7 Top 10’s, which is tied for the longest active streak with Noah Gragson. Intermediate tracks have been nice to Berry as he has 2 Wins, 7 Top 10’s and an average finish of 9th in 9 races. As far as Homestead goes Berry has only had 2 starts and one of them was almost 10 years ago, so there isn’t much data there. Last year he did finish 10th here though and with his win at Vegas Berry doesn’t have to worry about this race. I see Berry getting some Stage Points and then ending the day between 6th and 10th.

2 Seed – Noah Gragson

2022 Stats
Category Statistic 2022 Rank ÂąRank Thru 30 Races
 Wins 7 1st T3rd
 Poles 2 4th T16th
 Top2 11 1st T4th
 Top3 14 1st T4th
 Top5 18 1st T3rd
 Top10 23 2nd T8th
 Stage Wins 14 1st 2nd*
 Stage T10s 41 5th T23rd*
 Stage Pts 307 3rd 13th*
 Playoff Pts² 49 1st 3rd*

ÂąSince Playoffs started in 2016
²Earned from races only
*Stage racing started in 2017

  • Playoff Statistics this year
  • 1 Win, 0 Pole, 2 Top 2, 3 Top 3, 3 Top 5, 4 Top 10’s, 1 Stage Wins, 4 Stage Top 10’s, 34 Stage Points, 6 Playoff Points earned in a race
  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 4 straight Wins (ranks T1st longest all-time)
  • 7 straight Top 10 finishes (active streak)
  • 2022 Intermediate Stats
  • 9 Races, Avg. Finish 6.89, Best 1st, Worst 36th, Led 29.86% of laps run, 3 Wins, 1 Pole, 6 Top 3’s, 7 Top 5’s, 7 Top 10’s, 8 Top 15’s, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 1 DNF, 8 Stage Wins, 142 Stage Pts
  • Homestead Statistics
  • 2021 Homestead Race
  • Finished 33rd (crash), Started 23rd, Led 34 laps (18.99%), Finished 10th in Stage 1 and 3rd in Stage 2
  • Notable Homestead Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year)
  • 4 Races
  • 11.25 Avg. Finish (Ranks 16th)
  • Best Finish: 3rd, Worst: 33rd
  • Led 29.34% of laps he’s run (% ranks 3rd)
  • 0 Wins
  • 1 Top 3, 25.0% (% ranks 10th)
  • 3 Top 5’s, 75.0% (% ranks 2nd)
  • 3 Top 15’s, 75.0% (% ranks 17th)
  • 1 time finish outside Top 20, 25.0% (% ranks 22nd)
  • 1 DNF, 25.0% (% ranks 43rd)
  • 2 Stage Wins, 25.0% (% ranks 2nd)
  • 7 Stage Top 10’s, 87.5% (% ranks 4th)
  • 5.88 Avg. Stage Points (Ranks 2nd)
Outlook
Noah Gragson has had one of the better Xfinity seasons since 2016 as he ranks in the top 25 in every category mentioned in the table above. His playoffs have matched this and been even crazier in ways. Gragson has a win and 3 Top 3 finishes in 4 playoff races not to mention a Top 10 in all 4 races. Oh and he has also won half the stages in the playoffs which is crazy to me. The stats only get worse for his competitors when you look at his intermediate stats. Gragson has led almost 30% of the laps this year on intermediate tracks, has 3 Wins, 7 Top 10’s and 8 Stage Wins. His Homestead stats aren’t great but they are a bit misleading, last year Gragson was a few laps away from a win when he got caught up in a wreck. Even with that he has 3 Top 5’s in 4 races and led 29.34% of laps he’s run here. At Homestead I see Gragson getting 5+ Stage Points in both stages and a Top 5 at the end of the day plus I think he gets that elusive win as well.

3 Seed – Ty Gibbs

2022 Stats
Category Statistic 2022 Rank ÂąRank Thru 30 Races
 Wins 5 T2nd T7th
 Poles 4 T2nd T8th
 Top2 8 2nd 13th
 Top3 11 3rd T12th
 Top5 13 4th T21st
 Top10 20 T3rd T22nd
 Stage Wins 7 3rd T15th*
 Stage T10s 47 T2nd T8th*
 Stage Pts 316 2nd 11th*
 Playoff Pts² 32 2nd 9th*

ÂąSince Playoffs started in 2016
²Earned from races only
*Stage racing started in 2017

  • Playoff Statistics this year
  • 0 Wins, 0 Pole, 1 Top 2, 2 Top 3, 3 Top 5, 4 Top 10, 1 Stage Win, 7 Stage Top 10’s, 40 Stage Points, 1 Playoff Points earned in a race
  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 3 straight Poles (T2nd longest streak all-time)
  • 2 straight Top 5 finishes (active streak)
  • 4 straight Top 10 finishes (active streak)
  • 2022 Intermediate Stats
  • 9 Races, Avg. Finish 5.67, Best 1st, Worst 16th, Led 8.23% of laps run, 1 Win, 4 Top 3’s, 6 Top 5’s, 7 Top 10’s, 8 Top 15’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 2 Stage Wins, 111 Stage Pts
  • Homestead Statistics
  • 2021 Homestead Race
  • Did not race
  • Notable Homestead Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year)
  • 0 Races
Outlook
After a solid run at Las Vegas Ty Gibbs finds himself 25 points above the cutline for the Championship 4. As expected Gibbs has been very impressive this year, he ranks 2nd or 3rd in every 2022 rank above except Top 5’s which he ranks 4th in. Gibbs stats also rank 25th or better since 2016. In the playoffs Gibbs hasn’t won yet, but does have 3 Top 5’s and is one of only 3 drivers to finish Top 10 in every race. Gibbs has been amazing at intermediates this year as he has an average finish of 5.67, the best among all playoff drivers. Gibbs also has a win, 7 Top 10’s and 8 Top 15’s with 0 DNF’s in 9 intermediate races. As far as Homestead goes I’ll let you know after this weekend because he has never raced here. So with only this year to go off of I see Gibbs doing very well this weekend and getting a Top 15 for sure, Top 10 probably and a high likelihood of a Top 5 with potential for a Win.

4 Seed – Justin Allgaier

2022 Stats
Category Statistic 2022 Rank ÂąRank Thru 30 Races
 Wins 3 T4th T19th
 Poles 1 T5th T25th
 Top2 6 4th T16th
 Top3 8 4th T22nd
 Top5 14 3rd T15th
 Top10 20 T3rd T22nd
 Stage Wins 8 2nd T9th*
 Stage T10s 51 1st T2nd*
 Stage Pts 348 1st T3rd*
 Playoff Pts² 23 4th 14th*

ÂąSince Playoffs started in 2016
²Earned from races only
*Stage racing started in 2017

  • Playoff Statistics this year
  • 0 Wins, 0 Pole, 0 Top 2, 1 Top 3, 2 Top 5, 2 Top 10, 0 Stage Wins, 8 Stage Top 10’s, 51 Stage Points, 0 Playoff Points earned in a race
  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 2 straight Top 2 finishes
  • 3 straight Top 5 finishes
  • 6 straight Top 10 finishes
  • 2022 Intermediate Stats
  • 9 Races, Avg. Finish 6.22, Best 1st, Worst 29th, Led 26.06% of laps run, 2 Wins, 4 Top 3’s, 7 Top 5’s, 8 Top 10’s, 8 Top 15’s, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 1 DNF, 4 Stage Wins, 131 Stage Pts
  • Homestead Statistics
  • 2021 Homestead Race
  • Finished 38th (crash), Started 19th, Led 0 laps, Finished 6th in Stage 1
  • Notable Homestead Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year)
  • 13 Races
  • 17.92 Avg. Finish (Ranks 28th)
  • Best Finish: 6th, Worst: 38th
  • 0 Top 5’s
  • 2 Top 10’s, 15.38% (% ranks 29th)
  • 7 Top 15’s, 53.85% (% ranks 24th)
  • 4 times finish outside Top 20, 30.77% (% ranks 25th)
  • 2 DNF’s, 15.38% (% ranks 39th)
  • 8 Stage Top 10’s, 66.67% (% ranks 10th)
Outlook
Justin Allgaier had one of the better cars at Las Vegas but alas is still winless in the playoffs this year. This year Allgaier has had one of the better seasons especially as stages go, he ranks tied for 2nd since 2016 in Stage Top 10’s. In the playoffs his stages have once again been his calling card as he has earned the 2nd most Stage Points in the playoffs and has finished in the Top 10 of every stage. As for intermediates this year Allgaier has done well in the stages and at the end of the race. He has 7 Top 5’s and 8 Top 10’s, the only race he did not finish Top 10 in was a DNF. Allgaier will hope these results continue as he has not had the best of luck at Homestead. He finished 38th here last year after wrecking out and in 13 starts has NEVER finished in the Top 5 and only has 7 Top 15’s. While Homestead may not be his best track I see Allgaier getting 10+ total Stage Points and getting a Top 10 this weekend, but he will still be in search of that first Top 5 here I feel.

5 Seed – Austin Hill

2022 Stats
Category Statistic 2022 Rank ÂąRank Thru 30 Races
 Wins 2 6th T29th
 Poles 1 T5th T25th
 Top2 5 5th T19th
 Top3 7 T5th T25th
 Top5 11 T5th T31st
 Top10 18 6th T38th
 Stage Wins 3 T6th T33rd*
 Stage T10s 33 8th 44th*
 Stage Pts 179 7th 38th*
 Playoff Pts² 13 6th T21st*

ÂąSince Playoffs started in 2016
²Earned from races only
*Stage racing started in 2017

  • Playoff Statistics this year
  • 0 Wins, 1 Pole, 1 Top 2, 1 Top 3, 1 Top 5, 2 Top 10, 2 Stage Wins, 7 Stage Top 10’s, 56 Stage Points, 2 Playoff Points earned in a race
  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 2 straight Top 2 finishes
  • 2 straight Top 3 finishes
  • 8 straight Top 10 finishes
  • 2022 Intermediate Stats
  • 9 Races, Avg. Finish 10.78, Best 2nd, Worst 31st, Led 2.42% of laps run, 0 Wins, 1 Top 3, 2 Top 5’s, 6 Top 10’s, 8 Top 15’s, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 1 DNF, 0 Stage Wins, 69 Stage Pts
  • Homestead Statistics
  • 2021 Homestead Race
  • Did not race
  • Notable Homestead Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year)
  • 0 Races
Outlook
Austin Hill’s Las Vegas race was similar to his 2022 season, nothing spectacular but solid. Hill’s 2022 ranks above are between 5th and 8th, however Hill still remains 15 points out of a spot in the Championship 4. The reason Hill is even this close is because of how well he has done in the stages in the playoffs. He has only 2 Top 10 finishes, but has 7 Stage Top 10’s and the most Stage Points of any driver with 56. At intermediate tracks this year Hill has been decent with an average finish of 10.78 and only one finish outside the Top 15, which was a DNF. This is all we have to go off of as Hill has never raced at Homestead in the Xfinity Series. But with all that said I see Hill getting some stage points this weekend and then coming home with a finish just inside or just outside of 10th.

6 Seed – A.J. Allmendinger

2022 Stats
Category Statistic 2022 Rank ÂąRank Thru 30 Races
 Wins 5 T2nd T7th
 Poles 5 1st T5th
 Top2 7 3rd T14th
 Top3 12 2nd T9th
 Top5 15 2nd T11th
 Top10 26 1st 2nd
 Stage Wins 4 5th T25th*
 Stage T10s 47 T2nd T8th*
 Stage Pts 284 4th 18th*
 Playoff Pts² 29 3rd T10th*

ÂąSince Playoffs started in 2016
²Earned from races only
*Stage racing started in 2017

  • Playoff Statistics this year
  • 2 Wins, 2 Pole, 2 Top 2’s, 2 Top 3’s, 3 Top 5’s, 3 Top 10’s, 2 Stage Wins, 7 Stage Top 10’s, 44 Stage Points, 12 Playoff Points earned in a race
  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 2 straight Wins
  • 2 straight Poles (active streak)
  • 3 straight Top 3 finishes
  • 5 straight Top 5 finishes
  • 12 straight Top 10 finishes
  • 2022 Intermediate Stats
  • 9 Races, Avg. Finish 10.67, Best 3rd, Worst 22nd, Led 8.19% of laps run, 0 Wins, 2 Poles, 1 Top 3, 2 Top 5’s, 6 Top 10’s, 6 Top 15’s, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 1 Stage Win, 71 Stage Pts
  • Homestead Statistics
  • 2021 Homestead Race
  • Finished 14th, Started 24th, Led 45 laps (25.14%), Won Stage 1 and finished 8th in Stage 2
  • Notable Homestead Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year)
  • 3 Races
  • 13.0 Avg. Finish (Ranks 18th)
  • Best Finish: 4th, Worst: 21st
  • Led 8.65% of laps he’s run (Ranks 8th)
  • 0 Top 3’s
  • 1 Top 5, 33.33% (% ranks 14th)
  • 2 Top 15’s, 66.67% (% ranks 21st)
  • 1 time finish outside Top 20, 33.33% (% ranks 26th)
  • 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks 1st)
  • 1 Stage Win, 25.0% (% ranks 2nd)
  • 3 Stage Top 10’s, 75.0% (% ranks 6th)
  • 3.5 Avg. Stage Points (Ranks 5th)
Outlook
Las Vegas did not go the way A.J. Allmendinger wanted putting him 16 points below the cutline. This is unfortunate as he has had one of the better seasons this year with the 2nd most Top 10’s in a season since 2016. Before this weekend the playoffs were going swell for Allmendinger as he has 2 Wins, 2 Poles and 3 Top 5’s in the playoffs. Looking at Allmendinger’s 2022 intermediate stats may be a little concerning for him as he has an average finish of 10.67. He does have 6 Top 10’s at intermediates but only 2 of those have been Top 5’s. If he wants a chance at the Championship then I believe he will need another Top 5 this weekend. In this race last year he led 25% of the race and won Stage 1 but wound up 14th. Overall he has had 3 starts here, but one came 15 years ago so the stats are not too telling. He does have 1 Top 5 in those 3 starts though. This weekend it seems a Top 10 is a lock for Allmendinger if nothing goes wrong but no better than 5th.

7 Seed – Brandon Jones

2022 Stats
Category Statistic 2022 Rank ÂąRank Thru 30 Races
 Wins 1 T7th T46th
 Poles 4 T2nd T8th
 Top2 3 7th T42nd
 Top3 3 T8th T64th
 Top5 6 9th T59th
 Top10 13 T9th T61st
 Stage Wins 2 T8th T47th*
 Stage T10s 36 7th 39th*
 Stage Pts 208 6th 31st*
 Playoff Pts² 7 7th T36th*

ÂąSince Playoffs started in 2016
²Earned from races only
*Stage racing started in 2017

  • Playoff Statistics this year
  • 0 Wins, 1 Pole, 0 Top 2, 0 Top 3, 0 Top 5, 3 Top 10’s, 1 Stage Wins, 6 Stage Top 10’s, 36 Stage Points, 1 Playoff Points earned in a race
  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 2 straight Poles
  • 2 straight Top 5 finishes
  • 3 straight Top 10 finishes (active streak)
  • 2022 Intermediate Stats
  • 9 Races, Avg. Finish 12.78, Best 4th, Worst 27th, Led 0.96% of laps run, 0 Wins, 3 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 1 Top 5, 4 Top 10’s, 7 Top 15’s, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 1 DNF, 0 Stage Wins, 70 Stage Pts
  • Homestead Statistics
  • 2021 Homestead Race
  • Finished 2nd, Started 4th, Led 6 laps (3.35%), Finished 7th in Stage 1 and 5th in Stage 2
  • Notable Homestead Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year)
  • 7 Races
  • 8.14 Avg. Finish (Ranks 13th)
  • Best Finish: 2nd, Worst: 15th
  • 2 Top 2’s, 28.57% (% ranks 6th)
  • 2 Top 5’s, 28.57% (% ranks 18th)
  • 5 Top 10’s, 71.43% (% ranks 12th)
  • 7 Top 15’s, 100% (% ranks 1st)
  • 0 times finish outside Top 20, 0.00% (% ranks 1st)
  • 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks 1st)
  • 8 Stage Top 10’s, 66.67% (% ranks 10th)
  • 3.25 Avg. Stage Points (Ranks 7th)
Outlook
Brandon Jones 2022 stats are not dressed to impress as he only has 6 Top 5’s and 13 Top 10’s, however his latest run at Las Vegas he did get another Top 10. Jones has even had 3 straight Top 10’s, but unfortunately does not have a Top 5 in the playoffs which is probably why he sits 27 points below the cutline. With all this said it is no shock Jones has only 1 Top 5 at an intermediate track this year and only 4 Top 10’s in 9 races. The good news for Jones is that he is heading to Homestead which he typically has ran well at. Jones finished 2nd here last year and has 2 Top 2’s in 7 start, but those are his only Top 5’s here. However, Jones has not finished outside the Top 15 so if drivers above him in points have issues he will be there to pounce. This weekend based on the stats I see Jones having a good run and getting stage points and finishing no worse than 15th, but no better than 6th.

8 Seed – Sam Mayer

2022 Stats
Category Statistic 2022 Rank ÂąRank Thru 30 Races
 Wins 0 T12th T90th
 Poles 1 T5th T25th
 Top2 1 T10th T75th
 Top3 4 7th T48th
 Top5 10 7th T35th
 Top10 17 T7th T40th
 Stage Wins 2 T8th T47th*
 Stage T10s 37 6th T37th*
 Stage Pts 171 8th 39th*
 Playoff Pts² 2 T10th T56th*

ÂąSince Playoffs started in 2016
²Earned from races only
*Stage racing started in 2017

  • Playoff Statistics this year
  • 0 Wins, 0 Pole, 1 Top 2, 1 Top 3, 1 Top 5, 3 Top 10, 0 Stage Wins, 7 Stage Top 10’s, 32 Stage Points, 0 Playoff Points earned in a race
  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 2 straight Top 3 finishes
  • 4 straight Top 5 finishes
  • 4 straight Top 10 finishes
  • 2022 Intermediate Stats
  • 9 Races, Avg. Finish 8.44, Best 3rd, Worst 25th, Led 1.75% of laps run, 0 Wins, 1 Pole, 2 Top 3’s, 4 Top 5’s, 7 Top 10’s, 8 Top 15’s, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 65 Stage Pts
  • Homestead Statistics
  • 2021 Homestead Race
  • Did not race
  • Notable Homestead Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year)
  • 0 Races
Outlook
Sam Mayer’s Las Vegas race was like most of his 2022 season he was there, but not in the running for the win. His season has been good for someone in their first full-time season as all of Mayer’s 2022 ranks above are 10th or better if you throw out the Wins category. The playoffs have also followed suit for him as he has only 1 Top 5 but has 3 Top 10’s. Being 36 points beyond the cutline has put Mayer in trouble and he will need more than Top 10’s only to make it to Phoenix with a shot at the championship. Fortunately for Mayer we are heading to Homestead and even though he hasn’t raced here before his intermediate stats this year are good. He has an average finish of 8.44, 4 Top 5’s and 7 Top 10’s in 9 races. With all this in mind I can see Mayer potentially getting a much needed Top 5 with quite a few stage points as well, but I definitely think he gets a Top 10 no doubt.
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Daniel Smith
Daniel Smithhttps://pitpassnetwork.com
Cup drivers: Kyle Larson & Ross Chastain, Xfinity drivers: SVG & Ryan Sieg, Truck drivers: Grant Enfinger & Jake Garcia

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