Friday, July 5, 2024
HomeStatisticsXfinity Series Notable Drivers Statistics & Outlook: Atlanta

Xfinity Series Notable Drivers Statistics & Outlook: Atlanta

Last week saw a first time winner at Phoenix as Sammy Smith picked up the win in somewhat dominant fashion. This week it is on to the new Atlanta where drafting isn’t just key, it’s required. I have picked 8 notable drivers to look at, 1 based on the 2023 point standings, 2 based on 2023 stats, 2 based on Superspeedway Track stats, 1 based on the last Atlanta race and 2 based on their overall Atlanta stats. Here is a look at those 8 notable drivers 2023 season statistics, along with ranks among drivers in 2023 with ranking through 4 races since the Playoffs started in 2016. We will also highlight notable streaks accomplished through the year/last year into this year, 2022/23 Superspeedway (drafting tracks) statistics and Atlanta statistics.

1st in Points – Austin Hill

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 4 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 3.75 T1st of 39 T9th of 319
 Completed Laps%¹ 100% T1st of 39 T1st of 319
Laps in Top15%Âą 97.04% 1st of 39 12th of 319
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 122.38 1st of 39 6th of 319‡
 Wins 2 1st of 53 T2nd of 438
 Poles 1 T1st of 53 T5th of 438
 Top 2’s 2 T1st of 53 T4th of 438
 Top 3’s 2 T2nd of 53 T7th of 438
 Top 5’s 2 T3rd of 53 T15th of 438
 Top 10’s 4 T1st of 53 T1st of 438
 DNF’sÂą 0 T1st of 35 T1st of 319
 Stage Wins 2 T2nd of 53 T6th of 375*
 Stage T10s 6 T3rd of 53 T22nd of 375*
 Stage Pts 54 1st of 53 3rd of 375*
 Playoff Pts² 12 1st of 53 1st of 375*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2016
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 45% of races thru 4 races
²Earned from races only
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this/last year
  • 8 straight Top 10 finishes (active streak)
  • 2022/23 Superspeedway Track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Superspeedway Track start, 66 drivers)
  • 7 Races, Avg. Finish 8.57(6th), 91.64% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 116.9(1st), Best 1st, Worst 27th, Laps Completed 98.5%, Led 33.33% of laps he ran, 3 Wins, 2 Poles, 4 Top 3’s, 4 Top 5’s, 4 Top 10’s, 6 Top 15’s, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 1 DNF, 4 Stage Wins, 6.43 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Atlanta Statistics
  • 2022 Summer Atlanta Race
  • Finished 1st, Started 5th, Led 73 laps (44.79%), Finished 7th in Stage 1 and 1st in Stage 2, ran 162 Laps in Top15 (99.39% of laps he ran), had 139.9 Driver Rating
  • Notable Atlanta Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year)
  • 2 Races
  • 1.5 Avg. Finish (Ranks 1st)
  • Best Finish: 1st, Worst: 2nd
  • Completed 100% of laps (% ranks T1st)
  • 97.01% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 2nd)
  • 121.95 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 2nd)
  • Led 29.85% of laps he’s run (% ranks 2nd)
  • 1 Win, 50.0% (% ranks 1st)
  • 2 Top 10’s, 100% (% ranks 1st)
  • 0 finishes outside Top 20, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
  • 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
  • 1 Stage Win, 25.0% (% ranks T2nd)
  • 4 Stage Top 10’s, 100% (% ranks T1st)
  • 5.5 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 1st)
Outlook
Austin Hill could be notable for any reason but the reason he is notable for this article is because of how he ran in the last Atlanta race. Last week at Phoenix Hill was near the front all day but ended up 7th. This was Hill’s worst finish of the season which has his Avg. Finish at 3.75, tied for best this year. As a matter of fact looking at his 2023 Ranks above most are 1st or T1st showing how good he’s run this year. In fact Hill’s Avg. Driver Rating of 122.38 is the 6th best thru 4 races since 2016. The numbers only get better too as in the last 7 drafting races Hill has the 6th best Avg. Finish at 8.57 and the best Avg. Driver Rating at 116.9. To add to this he has also won 3 of the 7 races and led 33.33% of the laps he’s ran in them as well. If that’s not enough to show how good he’s been then maybe his 6.43 Stage Pts Per Stage and 4 Stage Wins in those 7 races will be enough. One of those Stage Wins came at the last Atlanta race when Hill won Stage 2 and went on to win the race. In doing so he led 45% of the laps and only ran 1 lap outside the Top 15 ending with a 139.9 Driver Rating. This was Hill’s second start here but his Avg. Finish is 1.5 as he finished 2nd and 1st in those 2 starts. In addition his 97.01% of laps run in the Top 15, 121.95 Avg. Driver Rating, and 29.85% of laps led all rank 2nd among active drivers. This weekend I see success for Hill as he will get a Top 10 and challenge for the lead all day, especially at the end.

2nd in Points – John Hunter Nemechek

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 4 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 3.75 T1st of 39 T9th of 319
 Completed Laps%¹ 100% T1st of 39 T1st of 319
Laps in Top15%Âą 90.81% 3rd of 39 38th of 319
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 121.48 2nd of 39 8th of 319‡
 Wins 1 T2nd of 53 T4th of 438
 Poles 0 T4th of 53 T21st of 438
 Top 2’s 2 T1st of 53 T4th of 438
 Top 3’s 2 T2nd of 53 T7th of 438
 Top 5’s 2 T3rd of 53 T15th of 438
 Top 10’s 4 T1st of 53 T1st of 438
 DNF’sÂą 0 T1st of 35 T1st of 319
 Stage Wins 1 4th of 53 T15th of 375*
 Stage T10s 6 T3rd of 53 T22nd of 375*
 Stage Pts 28 7th of 53 T39th of 375*
 Playoff Pts² 6 2nd of 53 T6th of 375*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2016
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 45% of races thru 4 races
²Earned from races only
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this/last year
  • 2 straight Top 2 finishes
  • 4 straight Top 10 finishes (active streak)
  • 2022/23 Superspeedway Track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Superspeedway Track start, 66 drivers)
  • 2 Races, Avg. Finish 18.5(25th), 81.16% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 89.2(10th), Best 2nd, Worst 35th, Laps Completed 85.19%, Led 3.86% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 1 Top 3, 1 Top 5, 1 Top 10, 1 Top 15, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 1 DNF, 0 Stage Wins, 1.25 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Atlanta Statistics
  • 2022 Summer Atlanta Race
  • did not race
  • Notable Atlanta Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year)
  • 2 Races
  • 12.0 Avg. Finish (Ranks 10th)
  • Best Finish: 4th, Worst: 20th
  • Completed 99.69% of laps (% ranks 12th)
  • 91.08% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 6th)
  • 95.4 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 9th)
  • Led 0.00% of laps he’s run
  • 0 Top 3’s
  • 1 Top 5, 50.0% (% ranks T4th)
  • 0 finishes outside Top 20, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
  • 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
  • 0 Stage Wins
  • 2 Stage Top 10’s, 50.0% (% ranks T9th)
Outlook
John Hunter Nemechek is notable because of his impressive 2023 stats are thru 4 races. Last week Nemechek was the worst of the JGR cars finish wise as he came home 6th which tied his worst finish this year. On the year his 3.75 Avg. Finish is tied with Austin Hill for best and his 121.48 Avg. Driver Rating is 2nd, only behind Hill. Basically Nemechek’s stats rival Hill’s in every category above except for Stage Pts where he only has 28 compared to Hill’s 54. The same cannot be said for Nemechek’s 2022/23 Superspeedway stats, then again he’s only ran 2 races. In these 2 races he’s finished 35th and 2nd with an Avg. Driver Rating of 89.2, good enough for only 10th best. Additionally Nemechek has also ran 81.16% of his laps in the Top 15 and has led 3.86% of his laps in those 2 races. In terms of Atlanta Nemechek has competed in 2 Xfinity races, neither of which have been on the new style. Nonetheless he has finished 4th and 20th in the 2 starts with a 95.4 Avg. Driver Rating. That is all there is to be said about Nemechek heading into this week so there isn’t a whole lot to go off of. I say though that Nemechek runs up front, or at least tries to, most the race and if he doesn’t get caught up in a wreck then I say he finishes Top 10.

3rd in Points – Justin Allgaier

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 4 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 11.0 T6th of 39 T54th of 319
 Completed Laps%¹ 96.74% 29th of 39 182nd of 319
Laps in Top15%Âą 82.52% 8th of 39 72nd of 319
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 110.15 3rd of 39 21st of 319‡
 Wins 0 T4th of 53 T29th of 438
 Poles 0 T4th of 53 T21st of 438
 Top 2’s 1 T3rd of 53 T8th of 438
 Top 3’s 3 1st of 53 T2nd of 438
 Top 5’s 3 T1st of 53 T4th of 438
 Top 10’s 3 T4th of 53 T14th of 438
 DNF’sÂą 1 T28th of 35 T168th of 319
 Stage Wins 3 1st of 53 T1st of 375*
 Stage T10s 6 T3rd of 53 T22nd of 375*
 Stage Pts 52 2nd of 53 T5th of 375*
 Playoff Pts² 3 4th of 53 T20th of 375*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2016
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 45% of races thru 4 races
²Earned from races only
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this/last year
  • 3 straight Top 10 finishes
  • 2022/23 Superspeedway Track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Superspeedway Track start, 66 drivers)
  • 7 Races, Avg. Finish 14.14(12th), 78.53% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 98.23(5th), Best 3rd, Worst 34th, Laps Completed 97.65%, Led 7.23% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 1 Top 3, 2 Top 5’s, 3 Top 10’s, 5 Top 15’s, 2 Finishes out of Top 20, 2 DNF’s, 2 Stage Wins, 5.71 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Atlanta Statistics
  • 2022 Summer Atlanta Race
  • Finished 7th, Started 7th, Led 0 laps, Finished 8th in Stage 1 and 5th in Stage 2, ran 147 Laps in Top15 (90.18% of laps he ran), had 103.3 Driver Rating
  • Notable Atlanta Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year)
  • 14 Races
  • 11.0 Avg. Finish (Ranks T8th)
  • Best Finish: 1st, Worst: 34th
  • Completed 98.9% of laps (% ranks 21st)
  • 79.67% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 11th)
  • 95.54 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 8th)
  • Led 3.38% of laps he’s run (% ranks 6th)
  • 1 Win, 7.14% (% ranks 3rd)
  • 3 Top 5’s, 21.43% (% ranks 10th)
  • 9 Top 10’s, 64.29% (% ranks 8th)
  • 11 Top 15’s, 78.57% (% ranks T7th)
  • 2 finishes outside Top 20, 14.29% (% ranks 11th)
  • 1 DNF, 7.14% (% ranks 28th)
  • 0 Stage Wins
  • 4.06 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 4th)
Outlook
Justin Allgaier is notable because he is 3rd in points. Last week Allgaier seemed like a shoe-in for his 9th straight Top 10 finish but a late wreck took care of that and he wound up 36th. This was Allgaier’s first finish this year outside of the Top 3 and dropped his Avg. Finish from 2.67 to 11.0. However, Allgaier still has the 3rd best Avg. Driver Rating at 110.15 and the 2nd most Stage Pts with 52. The last 7 Superspeedway races say that the Stage Pts will be prevalent again as he has gotten 5.71 Stage Pts Per Stage and 2 Stage Wins in the 7 races. His Avg. Finish in these races is only 12th best at 14.14 but he does have the 5th best Avg. Driver Rating at 98.23 and has led over 7% of the laps he’s ran. The nice thing is that while Allgaier only has 3 Top 10’s in the last 7 Superspeedway races, one of those Top 10’s came at Atlanta last Summer. In that race his number 7 car started 7th and finished 7th after getting 9 Stage Pts and running 90% of his laps in the Top 15. Overall his career stats at Atlanta aren’t too bad as he has 9 Top 10’s in 14 races and gets over 4 Stage Pts Per Stage. All told his Avg. Finish here is 11.0 and his Avg. Driver Rating is 95.54, so he’s not been bad but this is a new style of Atlanta. In all the Atlanta stats are kind to Allgaier and suggest he will get a Top 10, but his Superspeedway stats not so much. However, I think Allgaier does get a Top 10, finishing somewhere between 4th and 10th.

4th in Points – Chandler Smith

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 4 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 6.0 3rd of 39 18th of 319
 Completed Laps%¹ 100% T1st of 39 T1st of 319
Laps in Top15%Âą 86.81% 6th of 39 55th of 319
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 103.18 5th of 39 33rd of 319‡
 Wins 0 T4th of 53 T29th of 438
 Poles 1 T1st of 53 T5th of 438
 Top 2’s 0 T7th of 53 T55th of 438
 Top 3’s 1 T4th of 53 T18th of 438
 Top 5’s 3 T1st of 53 T4th of 438
 Top 10’s 3 T4th of 53 T14th of 438
 DNF’sÂą 0 T1st of 35 T1st of 319
 Stage Wins 0 T5th of 53 T38th of 375*
 Stage T10s 6 T3rd of 53 T22nd of 375*
 Stage Pts 31 5th of 53 T31st of 375*
 Playoff Pts² 0 T6th of 53 T36th of 375*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2016
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 45% of races thru 4 races
²Earned from races only
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this/last year
  • 3 straight Top 5 finishes (active streak)
  • 2022/23 Superspeedway Track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Superspeedway Track start, 66 drivers)
  • 2 Races, Avg. Finish 25.0(45th), 50.58% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 57.9(39th), Best 12th, Worst 38th, Laps Completed 69.08%, Led 0.00% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 0 Top 5’s, 0 Top 10’s, 1 Top 15, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 1 DNF, 0 Stage Wins, 2.25 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Atlanta Statistics
  • 2022 Summer Atlanta Race
  • did not race
  • Notable Atlanta Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year)
  • 0 Races
Outlook
Chandler Smith is notable because of the impressive start he is off to in his rookie campaign. Last week Smith got his 3rd straight Top 5, longest active Xfinity Top 5 streak, after finishing 5th at Phoenix. This put Smith’s Avg. Finish at 6.0, which is 3rd best, and his Avg. Driver Rating at 103.18, which is good for 5th best. In fact he has ran 86.81% of his laps this year in the Top 15 and has finished in the Top 10 in 6 of the 8 stages. These good results may not carry into this weekend though as Smith has not faired well in the 2022/23 Superspeedway races he’s competed in. He has 2 races on this track style with a best finish of 12th and worst of 38th, this puts his Avg. Finish at 25.0 which ranks 45th out of 66 drivers. The good news is that the 12th came this year at Daytona, but also his Avg. Driver Rating of 57.9 with only 50% of his laps ran in the Top 15 aren’t very promising. While this isn’t much to go off of unfortunately it is all we have as Smith has never made a start here at Atlanta. With that said Smith has been good this year, but his 2 Superspeedway starts don’t show much promise for the weekend ahead. I think Smith will run mid-pack most the race but ends up outside the Top 15.

4th in Owners Points – Justin Haley

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 4 Races
 Avg. Fin.Âą 10.0 – of 39 – of 319
 Completed Laps%Âą 100% – of 39 – of 319
Laps in Top15%Âą 65.6% – of 39 – of 319
Avg. Driver RatingÂą 87.4 – of 39 – of 319‡
 Wins 0 T4th of 53 T29th of 438
 Poles 0 T4th of 53 T21st of 438
 Top 2’s 0 T7th of 53 T55th of 438
 Top 3’s 0 T9th of 53 T73rd of 438
 Top 5’s 0 T14th of 53 T103rd of 438
 Top 10’s 1 T11th of 53 T89th of 438
 DNF’sÂą 0 – of 35 – of 319
 Stage Wins 0 T5th of 53 T38th of 375*
 Stage T10s 1 T18th of 53 T130th of 375*
 Stage Pts 0 T19th of 53 T117th of 375*
 Playoff Pts² 0 T6th of 53 T36th of 375*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2016
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 45% of races thru 4 races
²Earned from races only
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this/last year
  • none
  • 2022/23 Superspeedway Track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Superspeedway Track start, 66 drivers)
  • 2 Races, Avg. Finish 17.5(22nd), 63.16% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 78.0(22nd), Best 10th, Worst 25th, Laps Completed 93.83%, Led 0.44% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 0 Top 5’s, 1 Top 10, 1 Top 15, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 1 DNF, 0 Stage Wins, 2 Stage T10’s
  • Atlanta Statistics
  • 2022 Summer Atlanta Race
  • did not race
  • Notable Atlanta Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year)
  • 4 Races
  • 5.75 Avg. Finish (Ranks 2nd)
  • Best Finish: 3rd, Worst: 8th
  • Completed 100% of laps (% ranks T1st)
  • 94.79% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 4th)
  • 102.28 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 4th)
  • Led 1.23% of laps he’s run (% ranks 9th)
  • 0 Top 2’s
  • 1 Top 3, 25.0% (% ranks T5th)
  • 2 Top 5’s, 50.0% (% ranks T4th)
  • 4 Top 10’s, 100% (% ranks T1st)
  • 0 finishes outside Top 20, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
  • 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
  • 0 Stage Wins
  • 6 Stage Top 10’s, 75.0% (% ranks T4th)
  • 4.0 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 5th)
Outlook
Justin Haley is not an Xfinity Series regular but is notable because of his career Xfinity stats at Atlanta. His last Xfinity start was Daytona earlier this year and in that race he finished 10th with an 87.4 Driver Rating. In this race Haley ran 65.6% of his laps in the Top 15 and got 1 Stage T10, and that is all there is to say about his Xfinity season thus far. In 2022 and 2023 Haley has ran a total of 2 Superspeedway races with finishes of 25th and 10th in those races and got an Avg. Driver Rating of 78.0. He also had 2 Stage T10’s in those 2 races and the 25th place finish was a DNF. Haley did not run at Atlanta in the Xfinity Series last year but on the old style Atlanta he ran 4 races with a best finish of 3rd and a worst finish of 8th. This has his Avg. Finish here at 5.75 which ranks 2nd among active drivers. In addition he has ran 95% of his laps in the Top 15 and his 102.28 Avg. Driver Rating is 4th best here. While all of this success was at the old Atlanta you’ve got to think this brings good vibes to Haley and his 10 team. Also, Haley was good here last year in the 2 Cup races, so that success could translate to this weekend. With Haley’s prowess on Superspeedway races I see him running up front a lot and ending with a Top 10 and contending for a Top 5 or even a win.

5th in Points – Riley Herbst

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 4 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 6.25 4th of 39 T19th of 319
 Completed Laps%¹ 100% T1st of 39 T1st of 319
Laps in Top15%Âą 92.3% 2nd of 39 32nd of 319
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 101.65 7th of 39 39th of 319‡
 Wins 0 T4th of 53 T29th of 438
 Poles 0 T4th of 53 T21st of 438
 Top 2’s 0 T7th of 53 T55th of 438
 Top 3’s 0 T9th of 53 T73rd of 438
 Top 5’s 1 T6th of 53 T42nd of 438
 Top 10’s 4 T1st of 53 T1st of 438
 DNF’sÂą 0 T1st of 35 T1st of 319
 Stage Wins 0 T5th of 53 T38th of 375*
 Stage T10s 7 T1st of 53 T7th of 375*
 Stage Pts 32 T3rd of 53 T27th of 375*
 Playoff Pts² 0 T6th of 53 T36th of 375*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2016
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 45% of races thru 4 races
²Earned from races only
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this/last year
  • 7 straight Top 10 finishes (active streak)
  • 2022/23 Superspeedway Track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Superspeedway Track start, 66 drivers)
  • 7 Races, Avg. Finish 8.0(5th), 71.34% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 94.17(8th), Best 4th, Worst 15th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 0.21% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 2 Top 5’s, 5 Top 10’s, 7 Top 15’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 1.5 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Atlanta Statistics
  • 2022 Summer Atlanta Race
  • Finished 9th, Started 8th, Led 0 laps, got 0 Stage T10’s, ran 128 Laps in Top15 (78.53% of laps he ran), had 82.5 Driver Rating
  • Notable Atlanta Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year)
  • 5 Races
  • 11.0 Avg. Finish (Ranks T8th)
  • Best Finish: 4th, Worst: 19th
  • Completed 100% of laps (% ranks T1st)
  • 60.85% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 15th)
  • 82.84 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 12th)
  • Led 0.00% of laps he’s run
  • 0 Top 3’s
  • 1 Top 5, 20.0% (% ranks T11th)
  • 3 Top 10’s, 60.0% (% ranks 9th)
  • 0 finishes outside Top 20, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
  • 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
  • 0 Stage Wins
  • 2 Stage Top 10’s, 20.0% (% ranks T18th)
Outlook
Riley Herbst is notable because of how well he has ran on Superspeedway races in 2022 and 2023. At Phoenix Herbst ran in the Top 10 most the race and in the end he came home 4th, his 1st Top 5 of the season. While this was his 1st Top 5 Herbst has actually had a Top 10 in all 4 races and 7 straight races dating back to last season. In the 4 races this year Herbst has a 6.25 Avg. Finish (ranks 4th), a 101.65 Avg. Driver Rating (ranks 7th), and he’s ran 92.3% of his laps in the Top 15 (ranks 2nd). Some more impressive ranks from the year are his 32 Stage Pts (ranks T3rd) and his 7 Stage T10’s (ranks T1st). Now we are heading to a drafting race where in the last 7 races Herbst has posted an 8.0 Avg. Finish and a 94.17 Avg. Driver Rating, both of which rank 8th or better. In this span he has only led 0.21% of his laps and with 2 Top 5’s, but he had 5 Top 10’s and a Top 15 in all 7 races. The only bad stats on these tracks is stages as he has 0 Stage Wins and only 1.5 Stage Pts Per Stage. In Atlanta last summer this stayed true as he got 0 Stage Pts and finished 9th with an 82.5 Driver Rating. In all Herbst has 5 Atlanta races with a best finish of 4th and an 11.0 Avg. Finish. That 4th is his only Top 5 here but he does have 3 Top 10’s and an 82.84 Driver Rating. This weekend don’t look for Herbst to be up front a lot as I see him getting few, if any, Stage Pts, but watch out late as I think he challenges for a Top 10 finish at the end of the race.

10th in Owners Points – Ryan Truex

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 4 Races
 Avg. Fin.Âą 2.0 – of 39 – of 319
 Completed Laps%Âą 100% – of 39 – of 319
Laps in Top15%Âą 94.5% – of 39 – of 319
Avg. Driver RatingÂą 101.6 – of 39 – of 319‡
 Wins 0 T4th of 53 T29th of 438
 Poles 0 T4th of 53 T21st of 438
 Top 2’s 1 T3rd of 53 T8th of 438
 Top 3’s 1 T4th of 53 T18th of 438
 Top 5’s 1 T6th of 53 T42nd of 438
 Top 10’s 1 T11th of 53 T89th of 438
 DNF’sÂą 0 – of 35 – of 319
 Stage Wins 0 T5th of 53 T38th of 375*
 Stage T10s 0 T22nd of 53 T153rd of 375*
 Stage Pts 0 T19th of 53 T117th of 375*
 Playoff Pts² 0 T6th of 53 T36th of 375*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2016
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 45% of races thru 4 races
²Earned from races only
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this/last year
  • none
  • 2022/23 Superspeedway Track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Superspeedway Track start, 66 drivers)
  • 2 Races, Avg. Finish 7.5(4th), 51.59% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 90.1(9th), Best 3rd, Worst 12th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 2.83% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 1 Top 3, 1 Top 5, 1 Top 10, 2 Top 15’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 0.75 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Atlanta Statistics
  • 2022 Summer Atlanta Race
  • Finished 3rd, Started 21st, Led 8 laps (4.91%), Finished 8th in Stage 2, ran 122 Laps in Top15 (74.85% of laps he ran), had 109.4 Driver Rating
  • Notable Atlanta Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year)
  • 3 Races
  • 7.67 Avg. Finish (Ranks 3rd)
  • Best Finish: 3rd, Worst: 11th
  • Completed 99.81% of laps (% ranks 11th)
  • 82.12% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 9th)
  • 95.83 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 7th)
  • Led 1.54% of laps he’s run (% ranks 8th)
  • 0 Top 2’s
  • 1 Top 3, 33.33% (% ranks T3rd)
  • 2 Top 10’s, 66.67% (% ranks T5th)
  • 3 Top 15’s, 100% (% ranks T1st)
  • 0 finishes outside Top 20, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
  • 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
  • 0 Stage Wins
  • 1 Stage Top 10, 25.0% (% ranks T15th)
Outlook
Ryan Truex is notable because of his stats here at Atlanta in his 3 career starts. Last week Truex was a non factor most of the race, but at the end he was close to his first ever NASCAR Win in the top 3 series as he finished 2nd. This was his only race this year so his Avg. Finish is 2nd and his Avg. Driver Rating is 101.6, but unfortunately he has 0 Stage Pts. This isn’t likely to change if his race is like his 2 Superspeedway races last year where he got less than 1 Stage Pt Per Stage. While stages weren’t his forte he still had a 7.5 Avg. Finish with finishes of 3rd and 12th. In addition he had an Avg. Driver Rating of 90.1 even though he only ran 51.59% of his laps in the Top 15. The good news for Truex is that the 3rd place I spoke of came here at Atlanta last Summer where he got 2 Stage Pts and ran 75% of the race in the Top 15 which lead to him getting a 109.4 Driver Rating. Overall here Truex has ran 3 races with that last race was his best finish here and his only Top 5. In the 3 starts he has a 7.67 Avg. Finish and a 95.83 Avg. Driver Rating with a worst finish of only 11th. When taking all this in it seems Truex could very well have a good day and could be considered a sleeper for a Top 10, Top 5 or maybe with a little luck, a win.

14th in Points – Ryan Sieg

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 4 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 15.5 12th of 39 T97th of 319
 Completed Laps%¹ 99.56% T16th of 39 T73rd of 319
Laps in Top15%Âą 35.11% 17th of 39 12th of 319
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 72.9 16th of 39 6th of 319‡
 Wins 0 T4th of 53 T29th of 438
 Poles 0 T4th of 53 T21st of 438
 Top 2’s 0 T7th of 53 T55th of 438
 Top 3’s 0 T9th of 53 T73rd of 438
 Top 5’s 0 T14th of 53 T103rd of 438
 Top 10’s 1 T11th of 53 T89th of 438
 DNF’sÂą 0 T1st of 35 T1st of 319
 Stage Wins 0 T5th of 53 T38th of 375*
 Stage T10s 0 T22nd of 53 T153rd of 375*
 Stage Pts 0 T19th of 53 T117th of 375*
 Playoff Pts² 0 T6th of 53 T36th of 375*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2016
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 45% of races thru 4 races
²Earned from races only
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this/last year
  • none
  • 2022/23 Superspeedway Track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Superspeedway Track start, 66 drivers)
  • 7 Races, Avg. Finish 10.71(10th), 76.52% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 86.44(15th), Best 4th, Worst 26th, Laps Completed 98.4%, Led 1.85% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 2 Top 5’s, 5 Top 10’s, 6 Top 15’s, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 1 DNF, 0 Stage Wins, 1.14 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Atlanta Statistics
  • 2022 Summer Atlanta Race
  • Finished 15th, Started 9th, Led 0 laps, got 0 Stage T10’s, ran 114 Laps in Top15 (69.94% of laps he ran), had 78.0 Driver Rating
  • Notable Atlanta Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year)
  • 11 Races
  • 17.82 Avg. Finish (Ranks 17th)
  • Best Finish: 10th, Worst: 35th
  • Completed 92.86% of laps (% ranks 31st)
  • 37.44% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 20th)
  • 66.39 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 25th)
  • Led 0.35% of laps he’s run (% ranks 12th)
  • 0 Top 5’s
  • 2 Top 10’s, 18.18% (% ranks 20th)
  • 5 Top 15’s, 45.45% (% ranks 18th)
  • 4 finishes outside Top 20, 36.36% (% ranks 20th)
  • 1 DNF, 9.09% (% ranks 29th)
  • 0 Stage Wins
  • 0 Stage Top 10’s
Outlook
Ryan Sieg is notable because of his 2022/23 Superspeedway success. Last week at Phoenix Sieg struggled to a 16th place finish, which has been the story of his season. This year in 4 races his Avg. Finish is 15.5, his Avg. Driver Rating is 72.9, and he’s only ran 35.11% of his laps inside the Top 15. In addition Sieg has just 1 Top 10 and 0 Stage T10’s thus far, which is something he’ll need to improve upon if he has playoff aspirations. While the stage stats may not improve this weekend at Atlanta the 2022/23 Superspeedway stats say the results may improve. In the 7 races Sieg has a 10.71 Avg. Finish with 5 Top 10’s and an Avg. Driver Rating of 86.44 while running 76.52% of his laps in the Top 15. Last Summer at Atlanta Sieg ran in the Top 15 for almost 70% of the race and left with a 78.0 Driver Rating and a 15th place finish. However in the Spring here Sieg was leading late before getting passed by Ty Gibbs as he fell to 10th. This 10th matched his best finish at Atlanta in 11 races and was his 2nd Top 10 and his 5th Top 15. In all Sieg has a 17.82 Avg. Finish at Atlanta with a 66.39 Avg. Driver Rating and has gotten 0 Stage Pts. This weekend I see Sieg getting few, if any, Stage Pts but perhaps being up front late. If he is indeed up front late watch out for his first career NASCAR win, but otherwise I think 10th-20th is the best he’ll finish.
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Daniel Smith
Daniel Smithhttps://pitpassnetwork.com
Cup drivers: Kyle Larson & Ross Chastain, Xfinity drivers: SVG & Ryan Sieg, Truck drivers: Grant Enfinger & Jake Garcia

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