Thursday, November 21, 2024
HomeCup SeriesCup Series Notable Drivers Statistics & Outlook: Bristol Dirt

Cup Series Notable Drivers Statistics & Outlook: Bristol Dirt

Last week saw Kyle Larson have a little luck go in his favor, for once this season, with a late caution and good pit stop helping him win at Richmond. This week with his dirt background Larson could go back-to-back, but who else might be good? I have picked 8 notable drivers to look at, 1 based on the 2023 point standings, 2 based on 2023 stats, 2 based on Dirt Track stats, 1 based on the last Bristol Dirt race and 2 based on their overall Bristol Dirt stats. Here is a look at those 8 notable drivers 2023 season statistics, along with ranks among drivers in 2023 with ranking through 7 races since the Chase started in 2004. We will also highlight notable streaks accomplished through the year, 2022 Dirt Track (race on dirt duh) statistics and Bristol Dirt statistics.
*This was written prior to any penalties or reversal of penalties, so points position does not reflect after penalty or reversal.

1st in Points – Alex Bowman

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 7 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 7.14 1st of 36 T20th of 846
 Completed Laps%¹ 100% T1st of 36 T1st of 846
Laps in Top15%¹ 86.46% 2nd of 36 36th of 802‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 97.63 2nd of 36 T101st of 802‡
 Wins 0 T7th of 48 T110th of 1025
 Poles 1 T2nd of 48 T19th of 1025
 Top 2’s 0 T11th of 48 T189th of 1025
 Top 3’s 2 T1st of 48 T42nd of 1025
 Top 5’s 3 T2nd of 48 T44th of 1025
 Top 10’s 6 1st of 48 T7th of 1025
 DNF’sÂą 0 T1st of 36 T1st of 846
 Stage Wins 0 T9th of 48 T56th of 337*
 Stage T10s 9 T4th of 48 T29th of 337*
 Stage Pts 54 3rd of 48 T34th of 337*
 Playoff Pts² 0 T11th of 48 T69th of 337*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 7 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 4 straight Top 10 finishes
  • 2 straight Top 10 finishes (active streak)
  • 2022 Dirt Track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Dirt Track start, 36 drivers)
  • 1 Race, Avg. Finish 6.0(6th), 76.4% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 102.1(8th), Best 6th, Worst 6th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 0.00% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 0 Top 5’s, 1 Top 10, 1 Top 15, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 2.5 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Bristol Dirt Statistics
  • 2022 Bristol Dirt Race
  • Finished 6th, Started 8th, Led 0 laps, Finished 6th in Stage 1, ran 191 Laps in Top15 (76.4% of laps he ran), had 102.1 Driver Rating
  • Notable Bristol Dirt Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year)
  • 2 Races
  • 14.0 Avg. Finish (Ranks T10th)
  • Best Finish: 6th, Worst: 22nd
  • Completed 99.8% of laps (% ranks T18th)
  • 65.54% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 11th)
  • 86.2 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 13th)
  • Led 0.00% of laps he’s run
  • 0 Top 5’s
  • 1 Top 10, 50.0% (% ranks T5th)
  • 1 Top 15, 50.0% (% ranks T10th)
  • 1 finish outside Top 20, 50.0% (% ranks T16th)
  • 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
  • 0 Stage Wins
  • 1 Stage T10, 25.0% (% ranks T13th)
Outlook
Alex Bowman is notable because of how good his 2023 stats are. Last week Bowman ran uncharacteristically well at Richmond running all but 1 lap in the Top 15 and before coming home 8th. This was his Series leading 6th Top 10 this year and has his Avg. Finish now sitting at 7.14, also best in the Cup Series. In addition to this he’s ran 86.46% of his laps in the Top 15 and has a 97.63 Avg. Driver Rating, both of which rank 2nd this year. The only real bad stats Bowman has this year is his 0 Top 2’s and 0 Stage Wins. These two stats may not get better this weekend with the way he performed at the Bristol Dirt race last year but the other stats may stay really good. In the race he finished 6th after spending 76% of his laps in the Top 15 and finishing 6th in Stage 1, this lead to his 102.1 Driver Rating which was 8th best in the race. This was Bowman’s 2nd Bristol Dirt race, as it is for everyone in this article, and in the 2 races Bowman has collected a 14.0 Avg. Finish with last year being his best finish. Overall he has ran 65% of his laps in the Top 15 and has an 86.2 Avg. Driver Rating that ranks 13th best among active drivers. That’s all that there is to say for this weekend, and it doesn’t really say too much. This weekend I expect Bowman to run Top 15 most the race and if he isn’t caught up in a wreck to get a Top 15 for sure.

2nd in Points – Ross Chastain

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 7 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 9.71 T2nd of 36 T56th of 846
 Completed Laps%¹ 100% T1st of 36 T1st of 846
Laps in Top15%¹ 78.62% T5th of 36 T88th of 802‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 97.47 3rd of 36 104th of 802‡
 Wins 0 T7th of 48 T110th of 1025
 Poles 0 T5th of 48 T99th of 1025
 Top 2’s 0 T11th of 48 T189th of 1025
 Top 3’s 2 T1st of 48 T42nd of 1025
 Top 5’s 3 T2nd of 48 T44th of 1025
 Top 10’s 4 T3rd of 48 T69th of 1025
 DNF’sÂą 0 T1st of 36 T1st of 846
 Stage Wins 3 2nd of 48 T5th of 337*
 Stage T10s 10 T1st of 48 T20th of 337*
 Stage Pts 69 2nd of 48 T18th of 337*
 Playoff Pts² 3 7th of 48 T41st of 337*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 7 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 2 straight Top 5 finishes (active streak)
  • 2022 Dirt Track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Dirt Track start, 36 drivers)
  • 1 Race, Avg. Finish 33.0(33rd), 51.33% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 48.8(28th), Best 33rd, Worst 33rd, Laps Completed 60%, Led 0.00% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 0 Top 5’s, 0 Top 10’s, 0 Top 15’s, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 1 DNF, 0 Stage Wins, 0.00 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Bristol Dirt Statistics
  • 2022 Bristol Dirt Race
  • Finished 33rd (engine), Started 33rd, Led 0 laps, got 0 Stage T10’s, ran 77 Laps in Top15 (51.33% of laps he ran), had 48.8 Driver Rating
  • Notable Bristol Dirt Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year)
  • 2 Races
  • 34.0 Avg. Finish (Ranks 34th)
  • Best Finish: 33rd, Worst: 35th
  • Completed 40.16% of laps (% ranks 34th)
  • 42.08% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 23rd)
  • 44.75 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 29th)
  • Led 0.00% of laps he’s run
  • 0 Top 15’s
  • 2 finishes outside Top 20, 100% (% ranks T27th)
  • 2 DNF’s, 100% (% ranks T34th)
  • 0 Stage Wins
  • 0 Stage T10’s
Outlook
Ross Chastain is notable, like Alex Bowman above, because of his good 2023 stats. Last week Chastain essentially ran over the entire field according to Christopher Bell, but I digress. In the end he finished 3rd after running well all race which improved his Avg. Finish to 9.71 (ranks T2nd) and was his 2nd Top 3 of the year. This was also his 3rd Top 5 but the problem is that it was just his 4th Top 10 in 7 races as well, so he is either finishing Top 5 or outside the Top 10. However, Chastain has been running well in races as he has spent 78.62% of his laps in the Top 15, has a 97.47 Avg. Driver Rating, and has the 2nd most Stage Pts at 69. Nice. What’s not nice is his Dirt numbers from last year, in the 1 race he got 0 Stage Pts and finished 33rd after blowing an engine. Even worse is he only spent half his laps in the Top 15 and ended with the 28th best Driver Rating at 48.8. What’s worse than that is Chastain has never finished a race here at the Bristol Dirt track. In the 2 races Chastain has 2 DNF’s with a 34.0 Avg. Finish, a 44.75 Avg. Driver Rating and has only ran 42% of his laps in the Top 15 with 0 Stage Pts to his name. So with that said there is very little to go off of for Chastain, especially since he hasn’t ran over 60% of the laps in a race, but if he can stay on track then I think he runs Top 15 some and ends up between 11th and 20th.

3rd in Points – Christopher Bell

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 7 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 12.0 5th of 36 T111th of 846
 Completed Laps%¹ 93.43% 30th of 36 547th of 846
Laps in Top15%¹ 77.41% 7th of 36 98th of 802‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 88.96 9th of 36 183rd of 802‡
 Wins 0 T7th of 48 T110th of 1025
 Poles 0 T5th of 48 T99th of 1025
 Top 2’s 0 T11th of 48 T189th of 1025
 Top 3’s 2 T1st of 48 T42nd of 1025
 Top 5’s 4 1st of 48 T16th of 1025
 Top 10’s 5 2nd of 48 T26th of 1025
 DNF’sÂą 2 T24th of 36 T653rd of 846
 Stage Wins 0 T9th of 48 T56th of 337*
 Stage T10s 9 T4th of 48 T29th of 337*
 Stage Pts 45 T6th of 48 T49th of 337*
 Playoff Pts² 0 T11th of 48 T69th of 337*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 7 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 3 straight Top 10 finishes
  • 2022 Dirt Track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Dirt Track start, 36 drivers)
  • 1 Race, Avg. Finish 7.0(7th), 98.0% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 125.8(4th), Best 7th, Worst 7th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 0.00% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 0 Top 5’s, 1 Top 10, 1 Top 15, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 8.5 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Bristol Dirt Statistics
  • 2022 Bristol Dirt Race
  • Finished 7th, Started 2nd, Led 0 laps, Finished 3rd in Stage 1 and 2nd in Stage 2, ran 245 Laps in Top15 (98.0% of laps he ran), had 125.8 Driver Rating
  • Notable Bristol Dirt Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year)
  • 2 Races
  • 20.5 Avg. Finish (Ranks 23rd)
  • Best Finish: 7th, Worst: 34th
  • Completed 60.44% of laps (% ranks 31st)
  • 97.37% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 2nd)
  • 95.0 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 8th)
  • Led 0.00% of laps he’s run
  • 0 Top 5’s
  • 1 Top 10, 50.0% (% ranks T5th)
  • 1 Top 15, 50.0% (% ranks T10th)
  • 1 finish outside Top 20, 50.0% (% ranks T16th)
  • 1 DNF, 50.0% (% ranks T27th)
  • 0 Stage Wins
  • 2 Stage T10’s, 50.0% (% ranks T6th)
  • 4.25 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks T3rd)
Outlook
Christopher Bell is notable because he is 3rd in points thru 7 races. Last week Bell ran a good race, and ran his mouth afterwards as well, to finish 4th. This was his Series leading 4th Top 5 of the season but his 12.0 Avg. Finish only ranks 5th. Some of his other stats aren’t much more impressive as he has only ran 77% of his laps in the Top 15 and his Avg. Driver Rating of 88.96 only ranks 9th. However Bell does have one good thing going for him and that is in the fact he has 2 DNF’s and 5 Top 10’s thru 7 races, essential if Bell doesn’t DNF then he gets a Top 10. This may be exactly what happens this weekend as Bell was good at the only Dirt race last year. In that race he ran 98% of his laps in the Top 15, finished 3rd in Stage 1, 2nd in Stage 2, and ended up finishing 7th in the race. Even without leading a single lap Bell’s 125.8 Driver Rating was still 4th best in the race, showing just how good he was. When looking at the overall stats here for Bell the Top 10 or DNF fest continues as his first race here saw him DNF but his last one saw him finish 7th. In all he’s ran 97.37% of his laps in the Top 15 (ranks 2nd), has a 95.0 Avg. Driver Rating (ranks 8th), and has 4.25 Stage Pts Per Stage (ranks T3rd). So with that said the stats say Bell will run good this weekend and if he can stay out of trouble he’ll finish Top 10, and with his dirt prowess I could see him even finishing Top 5 again or picking up his first win of the year.

6th in Points – Kyle Larson

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 7 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 14.14 T8th of 36 T168th of 846
 Completed Laps%¹ 96.08% 21st of 36 454th of 846
Laps in Top15%¹ 74.52% 8th of 36 117th of 802‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 97.26 4th of 36 T107th of 802‡
 Wins 1 T2nd of 48 T28th of 1025
 Poles 1 T2nd of 48 T19th of 1025
 Top 2’s 2 T1st of 48 T23rd of 1025
 Top 3’s 2 T1st of 48 T42nd of 1025
 Top 5’s 3 T2nd of 48 T44th of 1025
 Top 10’s 3 T7th of 48 T152nd of 1025
 DNF’sÂą 2 T24th of 36 T653rd of 846
 Stage Wins 1 T3rd of 48 T28th of 337*
 Stage T10s 7 9th of 48 T53rd of 337*
 Stage Pts 53 4th of 48 38th of 337*
 Playoff Pts² 6 T2nd of 48 T18th of 337*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 7 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 2 straight Top 5 finishes
  • 2022 Dirt Track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Dirt Track start, 36 drivers)
  • 1 Race, Avg. Finish 4.0(4th), 86.8% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 136.0(1st), Best 4th, Worst 4th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 10.8% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 1 Top 5, 1 Top 10, 1 Top 15, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 1 Stage Win, 7.5 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Bristol Dirt Statistics
  • 2022 Bristol Dirt Race
  • Finished 4th, Started 5th, Led 27 laps (10.8%), Finished 1st in Stage 1 and 6th in Stage 2, ran 217 Laps in Top15 (86.8% of laps he ran), had 136.0 Driver Rating
  • Notable Bristol Dirt Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year)
  • 2 Races
  • 16.5 Avg. Finish (Ranks T15th)
  • Best Finish: 4th, Worst: 29th
  • Completed 99.01% of laps (% ranks 22nd)
  • 49.2% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 18th)
  • 97.6 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 5th)
  • Led 5.42% of laps he’s run (% ranks 6th)
  • 0 Top 3’s
  • 1 Top 5, 50.0% (% ranks T2nd)
  • 1 Top 15, 50.0% (% ranks T10th)
  • 1 finish outside Top 20, 50.0% (% ranks T16th)
  • 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
  • 1 Stage Win, 25.0% (% ranks T1st)
  • 2 Stage T10’s, 50.0% (% ranks T6th)
  • 3.75 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 6th)
Outlook
Kyle Larson is notable because of how well he did at Dirt Tracks (A.K.A. Bristol Dirt race) last year. In Richmond Larson ran all 400 laps in the Top 15 and had luck in his favor for once as he went on to win the race. This was Larson’s first victory of the year and his 3rd Top 5 in the 7 races, but unfortunately it was only his 3rd Top 10 of the year as well. This has his Avg. Finish ranking T8th at 14.14, so not great, but his 97.26 Avg. Driver Rating and 53 Stage Pts rank 4th best showing he has run well this year. In fact earlier this year he had 2 straight Top 5’s and in the Top 5 is where he finished last years Dirt race as well. In that race Larson had the best Driver Rating at 136.0 and won Stage 1 before finishing 6th in Stage 2 and 4th in the race. This was his best finish in the 2 races here as his first was a 29th place finish which puts his Avg. Finish here at 16.5. In the first start Larson was caught up in accidents though which has him running less than half his laps here in the Top 15 while his Avg. Driver Rating is still a respectable 97.6. In addition Larson has gotten 3.75 Stage Pts Per Stage in the 2 races here. With this all said I think Larson will run well this weekend, but the finish I can’t exactly say will be good. However, I will say that if he stays on track I think he does finish Top 5.

7th in Points – Joey Logano

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 7 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 13.57 6th of 36 T152nd of 846
 Completed Laps%¹ 94.93% 26th of 36 498th of 846
Laps in Top15%¹ 68.07% 10th of 36 161st of 802‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 90.97 6th of 36 162nd of 802‡
 Wins 1 T2nd of 48 T28th of 1025
 Poles 2 1st of 48 T4th of 1025
 Top 2’s 2 T1st of 48 T23rd of 1025
 Top 3’s 2 T1st of 48 T42nd of 1025
 Top 5’s 2 T8th of 48 T104th of 1025
 Top 10’s 4 T3rd of 48 T69th of 1025
 DNF’sÂą 1 T13th of 36 T374th of 846
 Stage Wins 1 T3rd of 48 T28th of 337*
 Stage T10s 6 10th of 48 T60th of 337*
 Stage Pts 44 8th of 48 T51st of 337*
 Playoff Pts² 6 T2nd of 48 T18th of 337*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 7 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 2 straight Top 10 finishes
  • 2022 Dirt Track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Dirt Track start, 36 drivers)
  • 1 Race, Avg. Finish 3.0(3rd), 100% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 116.2(6th), Best 3rd, Worst 3rd, Laps Completed 100%, Led 0.00% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 1 Top 3, 1 Top 5, 1 Top 10, 1 Top 15, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 4.0 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Bristol Dirt Statistics
  • 2022 Bristol Dirt Race
  • Finished 3rd, Started 10th, Led 0 laps, Finished 7th in Stage 1 and 7th in Stage 2, ran 250 Laps in Top15 (100% of laps he ran), had 116.2 Driver Rating
  • Notable Bristol Dirt Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year)
  • 2 Races
  • 2.0 Avg. Finish (Ranks 1st)
  • Best Finish: 1st, Worst: 3rd
  • Completed 100% of laps (% ranks T1st)
  • 100% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 1st)
  • 122.35 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 1st)
  • Led 12.13% of laps he’s run (% ranks 4th)
  • 1 Win, 50.0% (% ranks T1st)
  • 2 Top 3’s, 100% (% ranks 1st)
  • 0 finish outside Top 20, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
  • 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
  • 1 Stage Win, 25.0% (% ranks T1st)
  • 4 Stage T10’s, 100% (% ranks 1st)
  • 5.75 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 2nd)
Outlook
Joey Logano is notable because of his stupid good career numbers at the Bristol Dirt race. Last week Logano was pretty much a non-factor for the win but did bring his 22 car home 7th. This was Logano’s 4th Top 10 this year and brought his Avg. Finish to 13.57, 6th best. Also ranking 6th is his 90.97 Avg. Driver Rating, so I guess Logano has a good case for being the 6th best driver this year. Just to throw some more 6’s out there he has ran 68.07% of his laps in the Top 15, has 6 Stage T10’s (both rank 10th) and has 6 Playoff Pts. To keep the 6 party going last year in the Bristol Dirt race Logano had the 6th best Driver Rating at 116.2 but ended up finishing 3rd. In the race Logano did not lead any laps but did spend all 250 laps in the Top 15 and even finished 7th in both stages. Now for the best news if you are a Logano fan. In the 2 races here at the Bristol Dirt Track Logano is the only driver to have never run a lap outside the Top 15 and he has the best Avg. Finish (2.0) with the best Avg. Driver Rating (122.35) as well. He is also the only driver to finish in the Top 10 of all 4 stages which has him with the 2nd best active Stage Pts Per Stage at 5.75. What’s more is that both the finishes have been Top 3’s with the first race ending in a Win. If that isn’t good enough to convince you Logano is good here, then nothing will. I think Logano gets a Top 10 in both stages this weekend and with all the 6’s above he finishes….6th.

8th in Points – Kyle Busch

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 7 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 9.71 T2nd of 36 T56th of 846
 Completed Laps%¹ 99.94% 5th of 36 T67th of 846
Laps in Top15%¹ 73.26% 9th of 36 124th of 802‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 89.46 8th of 36 T177th of 802‡
 Wins 1 T2nd of 48 T28th of 1025
 Poles 0 T5th of 48 T99th of 1025
 Top 2’s 2 T1st of 48 T23rd of 1025
 Top 3’s 2 T1st of 48 T42nd of 1025
 Top 5’s 2 T8th of 48 T104th of 1025
 Top 10’s 4 T3rd of 48 T69th of 1025
 DNF’sÂą 1 T13th of 36 T374th of 846
 Stage Wins 0 T9th of 48 T56th of 337*
 Stage T10s 5 T11th of 48 T79th of 337*
 Stage Pts 20 16th of 48 T94th of 337*
 Playoff Pts² 5 T5th of 48 T29th of 337*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 7 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 3 straight Top 10 finishes
  • 2022 Dirt Track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Dirt Track start, 36 drivers)
  • 1 Race, Avg. Finish 1.0(1st), 99.6% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 131.2(3rd), Best 1st, Worst 1st, Laps Completed 100%, Led 0.4% of laps he ran, 1 Win, 0 Poles, 1 Top 3, 1 Top 5, 1 Top 10, 1 Top 15, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 6.0 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Bristol Dirt Statistics
  • 2022 Bristol Dirt Race
  • Finished 1st, Started 11th, Led 1 lap (0.4%), Finished 5th in Stage 1 and 5th in Stage 2, ran 249 Laps in Top15 (99.6% of laps he ran), had 131.2 Driver Rating
  • Notable Bristol Dirt Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year)
  • 2 Races
  • 9.0 Avg. Finish (Ranks T5th)
  • Best Finish: 1st, Worst: 17th
  • Completed 100% of laps (% ranks T1st)
  • 60.64% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 13th)
  • 104.4 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 3rd)
  • Led 1.59% of laps he’s run (% ranks 7th)
  • 1 Win, 50.0% (% ranks T1st)
  • 1 Top 15, 50.0% (% ranks T10th)
  • 0 finishes outside Top 20, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
  • 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
  • 0 Stage Wins
  • 2 Stage T10’s, 50.0% (% ranks T6th)
Outlook
Kyle Busch is notable because of how well he ran at the Bristol Dirt race last year. Last week was not a typical day for Busch at Richmond as he only had the 14th best Driver Rating and finished 14th as well. This raised his Avg. Finish to 9.71, but this is still tied for 2nd in the 2023 Ranks above while his 89.46 Avg. Driver Rating ranks just 8th. Some good news for Busch is he has 2 Top 2’s this year and 4 Top 10’s, but bad news is that he also has just 2 Top 5’s. Even worse is Busch’s stages as he only has 5 Stage T10’s with just 20 Stage Pts, and the Stage Pts is only 16th most this year. There is more good news on the horizon though as this week is the Bristol Dirt race. In this race last year Busch finished 5th in both stages, ran all but 1 lap in the Top 15, had the 3rd best Driver Rating at 131.2, and won the race. This did come with a little help, however, as Chase Briscoe spun Tyler Reddick going for the win, otherwise Busch would have finished 3rd. Nevertheless Busch still won and in his 2 races here he has a respectable 9.0 Avg. Finish with the 3rd best Avg. Driver Rating at 104.4. In all he has only ran 60% of his laps in the Top 15 here but he does have 2 Stage T10’s in the 2 races. Overall with the speed the 8 car had plus Busch’s speed here last year this weekend could be very good. I think Busch runs Top 15 most, if not all, the race and comes home somewhere in the Top 10.

13th in Points – Tyler Reddick

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 7 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 16.14 14th of 36 T244th of 846
 Completed Laps%¹ 88.01% 34th of 36 694th of 846
Laps in Top15%¹ 52.85% 14th of 36 272nd of 802‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 84.99 12th of 36 223rd of 802‡
 Wins 1 T2nd of 48 T28th of 1025
 Poles 0 T5th of 48 T99th of 1025
 Top 2’s 1 T5th of 48 T64th of 1025
 Top 3’s 2 T1st of 48 T42nd of 1025
 Top 5’s 3 T2nd of 48 T44th of 1025
 Top 10’s 3 T7th of 48 T152nd of 1025
 DNF’sÂą 2 T24th of 36 T653rd of 846
 Stage Wins 1 T3rd of 48 T28th of 337*
 Stage T10s 5 T11th of 48 T79th of 337*
 Stage Pts 34 T10th of 48 T64th of 337*
 Playoff Pts² 6 T2nd of 48 T18th of 337*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 7 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 3 straight Top 5 finishes
  • 2022 Dirt Track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Dirt Track start, 36 drivers)
  • 1 Race, Avg. Finish 2.0(2nd), 99.6% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 132.3(2nd), Best 2nd, Worst 2nd, Laps Completed 100%, Led 39.6% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 1 Top 3, 1 Top 5, 1 Top 10, 1 Top 15, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 2.0 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Bristol Dirt Statistics
  • 2022 Bristol Dirt Race
  • Finished 2nd, Started 3rd, Led 99 laps (39.6%), Finished 8th in Stage 1 and 10th in Stage 2, ran 249 Laps in Top15 (99.6% of laps he ran), had 132.3 Driver Rating
  • Notable Bristol Dirt Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year)
  • 2 Races
  • 4.5 Avg. Finish (Ranks 2nd)
  • Best Finish: 2nd, Worst: 7th
  • Completed 100% of laps (% ranks T1st)
  • 89.46% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 3rd)
  • 111.05 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 2nd)
  • Led 19.68% of laps he’s run (% ranks 3rd)
  • 0 Top Wins
  • 1 Top 2’s, 50.0% (% ranks T1st)
  • 2 Top 10’s, 100% (% ranks T1st)
  • 0 finishes outside Top 20, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
  • 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
  • 0 Stage Wins
  • 3 Stage T10’s, 75.0% (% ranks T2nd)
Outlook
Tyler Reddick is notable because of how well he did in the one Dirt race he ran last year. At Richmond last week Reddick struggled to a 16th place finish as he only ran 33% of his laps in the Top 15. That has been about right for Reddick over this year as he’s only ran 52.85% of his laps in the Top 15 and his Avg. Finish is just 16.14. Both of these are 14th in the 2023 ranks above and his Avg. Driver Rating of 84.99 isn’t much better at 12th. Some more not so good rankings are his 5 Stage T10’s (ranks T11th) and his 34 Stage Pts (ranks T10th). It is not all bad though as before last weekend Reddick had 3 straight Top 5 finishes with a win, but those are also his only Top 10 finishes on the year. In much better news Reddick ran all but 1 lap inside the Top 15 at the Bristol Dirt race last year en route to a 2nd place finish, that should have been 1st. In the race he led 40% of the laps and his 132.3 Driver Rating was 2nd best in the race. This was his best race at the Bristol Dirt track but his first wasn’t bad either. In the 2 races he has a 4.5 Avg. Finish, a 111.05 Avg. Driver Rating, has run 89.46% of his laps in the Top 15, and has led 20% of his laps. All of those rank either 2nd or 3rd among active drivers. With this said Reddick is bound to be contender for the win again this weekend and I think the worst he finishes somewhere in the Top 5.

17th in Points – Daniel Suarez

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 7 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 17.43 T17th of 36 T297th of 846
 Completed Laps%¹ 97.29% 20th of 36 402nd of 846
Laps in Top15%¹ 59.54% 12th of 36 230th of 802‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 82.9 13th of 36 241st of 802‡
 Wins 0 T7th of 48 T110th of 1025
 Poles 0 T5th of 48 T99th of 1025
 Top 2’s 0 T11th of 48 T189th of 1025
 Top 3’s 0 T14th of 48 T254th of 1025
 Top 5’s 1 T10th of 48 T189th of 1025
 Top 10’s 3 T7th of 48 T152nd of 1025
 DNF’sÂą 1 T13th of 36 T374th of 846
 Stage Wins 0 T9th of 48 T56th of 337*
 Stage T10s 4 T14th of 48 T102nd of 337*
 Stage Pts 21 15th of 48 T91st of 337*
 Playoff Pts² 0 T11th of 48 T69th of 337*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 7 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 3 straight Top 10 finishes
  • 2022 Dirt Track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Dirt Track start, 36 drivers)
  • 1 Race, Avg. Finish 12.0(12th), 39.2% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 88.0(11th), Best 12th, Worst 12th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 25.6% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 0 Top 5’s, 0 Top 10’s, 1 Top 15, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 4.0 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Bristol Dirt Statistics
  • 2022 Bristol Dirt Race
  • Finished 12th, Started 21st, Led 64 laps (25.6%), Finished 3rd in Stage 2, ran 98 Laps in Top15 (39.2% of laps he ran), had 88.0 Driver Rating
  • Notable Bristol Dirt Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year)
  • 2 Races
  • 8.0 Avg. Finish (Ranks 4th)
  • Best Finish: 4th, Worst: 12th
  • Completed 100% of laps (% ranks T1st)
  • 69.78% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 8th)
  • 101.2 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 4th)
  • Led 24.25% of laps he’s run (% ranks 2nd)
  • 0 Top 3’s
  • 1 Top 5, 50.0% (% ranks T2nd)
  • 2 Top 15’s, 100% (% ranks T1st)
  • 0 finishes outside Top 20, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
  • 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
  • 0 Stage Wins
  • 3 Stage T10’s, 75.0% (% ranks T2nd)
  • 6.0 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 1st)
Outlook
Daniel Suarez is notable because of the numbers in his 2 career starts here at the Bristol Dirt race. In Richmond last week Suarez struggled mightily, coming home 23rd. After Suarez opened the year with 3 straight Top 10’s he has now finished 4 straight races out of the Top 10 and his Avg. Finish is a mere 17.43. Moreover his Avg. Driver Rating is 82.9 (ranks 13th) and he’s only ran 59.54% of his laps in the Top 15 (ranks 12th). This lack of running in the Top 15 has hurt Suarez in stages too as he only has 4 Stage T10’s and his 21 Stage Pts ranks just 15th best this year. When looking at Suarez’s stats from last years Dirt Track race it doesn’t seem these stats will get much better as he only ran 39.2% of his laps in the Top 15. The good news from the race is that Suarez finished 3rd in Stage 2, led over 25% of the race and ended up inside the Top 15 at the end of the race in 12th. All this put together gave Suarez the 11th best Driver Rating at 88.0. The overall stats from the 2 races here at the Bristol Dirt Track bring much more optimism though. In the 2 races Suarez has the 4th best active Avg. Finish at 8.0 and his 101.2 Avg. Driver Rating ranks 4th as well. Even more impressive is that he has led 24.25% of the laps he’s run here and his 6.0 Stage Pts Per Stage are the best among active drivers. In all it seems Suarez will run well this weekend and at least get a few Stage Pts before finishing somewhere between 5th and 11th.
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Daniel Smith
Daniel Smithhttps://pitpassnetwork.com
Cup drivers: Kyle Larson & Ross Chastain, Xfinity drivers: SVG & Ryan Sieg, Truck drivers: Grant Enfinger & Jake Garcia

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