Monday, December 23, 2024
HomeCup SeriesCup Series Notable Drivers Statistics & Outlook: Charlotte

Cup Series Notable Drivers Statistics & Outlook: Charlotte

The All-Star race at North Wilkesboro brought feelings of nostalgia, and also a pretty boring race (not just for the lead) where Kyle Larson dominated en route to his 3rd All-Star race victory. This week we go to where the Next Gen car shines, an Intermediate track at Charlotte Motor Speedway. I have picked 8 notable drivers to look at, 1 based on the 2023 point standings, 2 based on 2023 stats, 2 based on Intermediate track stats, 1 based on the last Charlotte race and 2 based on their overall Charlotte stats. Here is a look at those 8 notable drivers 2023 season statistics, along with ranks among drivers in 2023 and ranking through 13 races since the Chase started in 2004. We will also highlight notable streaks accomplished through the year, 2023 Intermediate track (1.3-1.5 miles) statistics and Charlotte statistics.

1st in Points – Ross Chastain

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 13 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 12.92 7th of 37 T107th of 816
 Completed Laps%¹ 99.75% 4th of 37 T50th of 816
Laps in Top15%¹ 75.92% 5th of 37 93rd of 773‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 94.01 4th of 37 T127th of 773‡
 Wins 0 T10th of 53 T167th of 1113
 Poles 0 T8th of 53 T152nd of 1113
 Top 2’s 1 T7th of 53 T130th of 1113
 Top 3’s 3 T3rd of 53 T69th of 1113
 Top 5’s 5 T2nd of 53 T55th of 1113
 Top 10’s 6 T4th of 53 T144th of 1113
 DNF’sÂą 1 T8th of 37 T181st of 816
 Stage Wins 5 2nd of 53 T5th of 366*
 Stage T10s 17 T1st of 53 T26th of 366*
 Stage Pts 116 2nd of 53 T22nd of 366*
 Playoff Pts² 5 T8th of 53 T48th of 366*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 13 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 2 straight Top 5 finishes
  • 2023 Intermediate track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Intermediate track start, 40 drivers)
  • 3 Races, Avg. Finish 15.33(T11th), 96.97% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 104.27(6th), Best 5th, Worst 29th, Laps Completed 99.04%, Led 11.64% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 1 Top 5, 1 Top 10, 2 Top 15’s, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 1 DNF, 1 Stage Win, 5.17 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Charlotte Statistics
  • 2022 Charlotte Race
  • Finished 15th, Started 22nd, Led 153 laps (37.05%), Finished 4th in Stage 1, 2nd in Stage 2 and 1st in Stage 3, ran 380 Laps in Top15 (92.01% of laps he ran), had 121.3 Driver Rating (ranked 1st)
  • Notable Charlotte Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year)
  • 5 Races
  • 26.6 Avg. Finish (Ranks 31st)
  • Best Finish: 15th, Worst: 37th
  • Completed 84.59% of laps (% ranks 30th)
  • 25.72% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 25th)
  • 61.46 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 25th)
  • Led 8.96% of laps he’s run (% ranks 5th)
  • 0 Top 10’s
  • 1 Top 15, 20.0% (% ranks 25th)
  • 4 finishes outside Top 20, 80.0% (% ranks 30th)
  • 1 DNF, 20.0% (% ranks 24th)
  • 1 Stage Win, 6.67% (% ranks 8th)
  • 3 Stage T10’s, 20.0% (% ranks 18th)
Outlook
Ross Chastain is notable because of how well his stats are this year. Chastain had an uneventful All-Star race finishing 11th which is actually better than his Avg. Finish this year of 12.92, 7th best. In the 13 races this year he’s ran 76% of his laps in the Top 15 with a 94.01 Avg. Driver Rating. In terms of finishes he has 3 Top 3’s, 5 Top 5’s, 6 Top 10’s, and 1 DNF; but also 0 Wins. As far as stages go Chastain has been really good collecting 5 Stage Wins, 2nd most, 17 Stage Top 10’s, T1st most, and 116 Stage Pts, 2nd most. He’s also been good in stages at Intermediates this year as he has 5.17 Stage Pts Per Stage in the 3 races. In addition he’s ran 97% of his laps in the Top 15 and has the 6th best Avg. Driver Rating at 104.27. However, the finishes have been lacking as he has just a 15.33 Avg. Finish, only 1 Top 10, and 1 DNF. In the 2022 Charlotte race Chastain ran 92% of his laps in the Top 15, led 153 laps, got 26 Stage Pts, and was near the front at the end of the race. Unfortunately he ended up 15th after a late wreck but still had the best Driver Rating at 121.3. This is Chastain’s only Top 15 here in 5 races with the other 4 being out of the Top 20. Furthermore he’s only ran 26% of his laps in the Top 15 and has a 61.46 Avg. Driver Rating, but only 2 of these races have been in a good ride. The stats suggest a good run, but not finish, for Chastain this weekend. Thus I see him getting 15+ Stage Pts but finishing 5th-10th or out of the Top 15.

2nd in Points – Christopher Bell

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 13 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 12.69 6th of 37 T101st of 816
 Completed Laps%¹ 93.68% 32nd of 37 500th of 816
Laps in Top15%¹ 75.73% 6th of 37 98th of 773‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 90.91 7th of 37 162nd of 773‡
 Wins 1 T4th of 53 T63rd of 1113
 Poles 0 T8th of 53 T152nd of 1113
 Top 2’s 1 T7th of 53 T130th of 1113
 Top 3’s 3 T3rd of 53 T69th of 1113
 Top 5’s 5 T2nd of 53 T55th of 1113
 Top 10’s 8 1st of 53 T48th of 1113
 DNF’sÂą 3 T25th of 37 T610th of 816
 Stage Wins 0 T14th of 53 T84th of 366*
 Stage T10s 16 T3rd of 53 T36th of 366*
 Stage Pts 73 7th of 53 58th of 366*
 Playoff Pts² 5 T8th of 53 T48th of 366*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 13 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 2 straight Top 5 finishes
  • 3 straight Top 10 finishes
  • 2023 Intermediate track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Intermediate track start, 40 drivers)
  • 3 Races, Avg. Finish 18.33(T17th), 93.5% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 90.5(9th), Best 5th, Worst 36th, Laps Completed 86.79%, Led 0.41% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 1 Top 5, 1 Top 10, 2 Top 15’s, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 1 DNF, 0 Stage Wins, 4.0 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Charlotte Statistics
  • 2022 Charlotte Race
  • Finished 5th, Started 3rd, Led 0 laps, Finished 3rd in Stage 1 and 10th in Stage 2, ran 263 Laps in Top15 (63.68% of laps he ran), had 98.4 Driver Rating (ranked 5th)
  • Notable Charlotte Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year)
  • 4 Races
  • 14.75 Avg. Finish (Ranks 12th)
  • Best Finish: 5th, Worst: 24th
  • Completed 99.79% of laps (% ranks 4th)
  • 49.19% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 17th)
  • 79.28 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 15th)
  • Led 0.21% of laps he’s run (% ranks 18th)
  • 0 Top 3’s
  • 1 Top 5, 25.0% (% ranks T6th)
  • 2 Top 10’s, 50.0% (% ranks T7th)
  • 2 finishes outside Top 20, 50.0% (% ranks T22nd)
  • 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
  • 0 Stage Wins
  • 3 Stage T10’s, 27.27% (% ranks 17th)
Outlook
Christopher Bell is notable because he is 2nd in points thru 13 races. The All-Star race was a challenge for Bell as he ran most the race out of the Top 10, finishing 12th. This is not typical of Bell this year as he has a 12.69 Avg. Finish with 1 Win, 5 Top 5’s, and 8 Top 10’s. In terms of race pace success he has ran 75.73% of his laps in the Top 15, has a 90.91 Avg. Driver Rating, 16 Stage T10’s, and 73 Stage Pts; but also 0 Stage Wins. At Intermediates this year Bell has ran well as he’s ran 93.5% of his laps in the Top 15, has a 90.5 Avg. Driver Rating, and 4 Stage Pts Per Stage. However, like Chastain above, the finishes haven’t been there as he only has 1 Top 10 and also has 1 DNF, leading to an 18.33 Avg. Finish. The nice thing for Bell is that this week is Charlotte where he finished 5th last year and had the 5th best Driver Rating at 98.4. However, he only ran 64% of his laps in the Top 15 and he didn’t lead a single lap in the race. Still, this was Bell’s best finish here and his 2nd Top 10 in 4 races, with his other 2 ending up out of the Top 20. All told he has 14.75 Avg. Finish here, has ran just 49.19% of his laps in the Top 15 and he’s only finished in the Top 10 of a stage 27% of the time. This season seems different, though, and I see Bell having a good run this weekend finishing anywhere from 1st-10th if nothing goes wrong.

4th in Points – Denny Hamlin

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 13 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 12.31 3rd of 37 91st of 816
 Completed Laps%¹ 100% 1st of 37 T1st of 816
Laps in Top15%¹ 82.05% 1st of 37 40th of 773‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 95.18 2nd of 37 T108th of 773‡
 Wins 1 T4th of 53 T63rd of 1113
 Poles 1 T4th of 53 T47th of 1113
 Top 2’s 1 T7th of 53 T130th of 1113
 Top 3’s 1 T12th of 53 T197th of 1113
 Top 5’s 3 T7th of 53 T151st of 1113
 Top 10’s 5 T11th of 53 T201st of 1113
 DNF’sÂą 0 T1st of 37 T1st of 816
 Stage Wins 2 T3rd of 53 T26th of 366*
 Stage T10s 16 T3rd of 53 T36th of 366*
 Stage Pts 91 T3rd of 53 T42nd of 366*
 Playoff Pts² 7 T4th of 53 T26th of 366*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 13 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 2 straight Top 5 finishes
  • 2023 Intermediate track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Intermediate track start, 40 drivers)
  • 3 Races, Avg. Finish 8.0(T6th), 81.87% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 107.27(5th), Best 1st, Worst 12th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 6.36% of laps he ran, 1 Win, 0 Poles, 1 Top 3, 1 Top 5, 1 Top 10, 3 Top 15’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 1 Stage Win, 3.33 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Charlotte Statistics
  • 2022 Charlotte Race
  • Finished 1st, Started 1st, Led 15 laps (3.63%), Finished 10th in Stage 1 and 10th in Stage 3, ran 398 Laps in Top15 (96.37% of laps he ran), had 114.9 Driver Rating (ranked 2nd)
  • Notable Charlotte Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year)
  • 31 Races
  • 11.94 Avg. Finish (Ranks 3rd)
  • Best Finish: 1st, Worst: 42nd
  • Completed 97.8% of laps (% ranks 10th)
  • 76.82% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 6th)
  • 95.56 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 5th)
  • Led 3.6% of laps he’s run (% ranks 11th)
  • 1 Win, 3.23% (% ranks 9th)
  • 3 Poles, 9.68% (% ranks 4th)
  • 4 Top 2’s, 12.9% (% ranks T5th)
  • 11 Top 5’s, 35.48% (% ranks 5th)
  • 20 Top 10’s, 64.52% (% ranks 2nd)
  • 6 finishes outside Top 20, 19.35% (% ranks 5th)
  • 2 DNF’s, 6.45% (% ranks 12th)
  • 1 Stage Win, 4.55% (% ranks T9th)
  • 13 Stage T10’s, 59.09% (% ranks T7th)
Outlook
Denny Hamlin is notable because of his stats thru 13 races this year. Hamlin was a bit of a disappointment at the All-Star race ending up in 13th. This matches his season finishes as his 1 Win, 1 Top 3, 3 Top 5’s, and 5 Top 10’s are also a bit disappointing; but what’s not disappointing are his other stats. His 12.31 Avg. Finish ranks 3rd, his 82.05 Laps in Top15% ranks 1st, and his 95.18 Avg. Driver Rating ranks 2nd. Furthermore he’s tied for 3rd best in Stage Wins (2), Stage T10’s (16), and Stage Pts (91). Some of this success has come in the 3 Intermediate races as Hamlin has an 8.0 Avg. Finish with 1 Win, a 107.27 Avg. Driver Rating, and 3.33 Stage Pts Per Stage. Unfortunately that win is his only Top 10, but his worst finish is also just 12th. At Charlotte last year Hamlin only led 15 laps and got 2 Stage Pts despite running 96% of his laps in the Top 15. However, he still ended up in victory lane, albeit with a little luck, and acquired the 2nd best Driver Rating at 114.9. This was Hamlin’s 31st race at Charlotte and surprisingly his first win. He does, however, have 4 Top 2’s, 11 Top 5’s, 20 Top 10’s, and an 11.94 Avg. Finish (ranks 3rd amongst active drivers) here. In addition he’s ran 77% of his laps in the Top 15, has a 95.56 Avg. Driver Rating, and just 2 DNF’s. The stats seem to say Hamlin will run good this weekend no doubt, but a good finish is harder to see. However, I think he gets a good finish, finishing 1st-7th.

5th in Points – William Byron

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 13 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 13.31 8th of 37 T119th of 816
 Completed Laps%¹ 97.74% 17th of 37 T248th of 816
Laps in Top15%¹ 77.62% T3rd of 37 T69th of 773‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 103.28 1st of 37 43rd of 773‡
 Wins 3 1st of 53 T7th of 1113
 Poles 2 T1st of 53 T18th of 1113
 Top 2’s 3 T2nd of 53 T37th of 1113
 Top 3’s 4 T1st of 53 T34th of 1113
 Top 5’s 6 1st of 53 T26th of 1113
 Top 10’s 7 T2nd of 53 T90th of 1113
 DNF’sÂą 2 T19th of 37 T418th of 816
 Stage Wins 6 1st of 53 T2nd of 366*
 Stage T10s 17 T1st of 53 T26th of 366*
 Stage Pts 126 1st of 53 12th of 366*
 Playoff Pts² 21 1st of 53 3rd of 366*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 13 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 2 straight Wins
  • 2 straight Top 3 finishes (active streak)
  • 3 straight Top 5 finishes (active streak)
  • 4 straight Top 10 finishes (active streak)
  • 2023 Intermediate track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Intermediate track start, 40 drivers)
  • 3 Races, Avg. Finish 1.67(1st), 83.79% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 127.5(1st), Best 1st, Worst 3rd, Laps Completed 100%, Led 23.17% of laps he ran, 2 Wins, 1 Pole, 3 Top 3’s, 3 Top 5’s, 3 Top 10’s, 3 Top 15’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 2 Stage Wins, 6.0 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Charlotte Statistics
  • 2022 Charlotte Race
  • Finished 32nd (crash), Started 5th, Led 1 laps (0.24%), got 0 Stage T10’s, ran 174 Laps in Top15 (91.1% of laps he ran), had 71.2 Driver Rating (ranked 18th)
  • Notable Charlotte Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year)
  • 6 Races
  • 19.33 Avg. Finish (Ranks 22nd)
  • Best Finish: 4th, Worst: 39th
  • Completed 78.26% of laps (% ranks 33rd)
  • 84.79% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 3rd)
  • 87.23 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 10th)
  • Led 3.56% of laps he’s run (% ranks 12th)
  • 1 Pole, 16.67% (% ranks 2nd)
  • 0 Top 3’s
  • 1 Top 5, 16.67% (% ranks T11th)
  • 2 Top 10’s, 33.33% (% ranks 15th)
  • 3 Top 15’s, 50.0% (% ranks T14th)
  • 2 finishes outside Top 20, 33.33% (% ranks 15th)
  • 2 DNF’s, 33.33% (% ranks T31st)
  • 0 Stage Wins
  • 2.82 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 8th)
Outlook
William Byron is notable because of how good he has done in the 3 Intermediate races this year. Last week Byron tried a green flag pit stop in the first half of the race that set him back all race ending in a 20th place finish, 2 laps down. When looking at Byron’s 2023 Ranks above, though, he’s been the best driver this year. As proof his 103.28 Avg. Driver Rating, 3 Wins, 2 Poles, 4 Top 3’s, 6 Top 5’s, 6 Stage Wins, 17 Stage T10’s, and 126 Stage Pts are all either 1st or T1st. In addition he’s ran 77.62% of his laps in the Top 15, T3rd best, and even with his 2 DNF’s he has the 8th best Avg. Finish at 13.31. This weekend Byron is looking to extend his 2 race Top 3, 3 race Top 5, and 4 race Top 10 streak; and when looking at his Intermediate stats this year he’s got a good chance to do that. In the 3 races he has 2 Wins, a 3rd, the best Avg. Driver Rating at 127.5, and 6 Stage Pts Per Stage. Furthermore he’s ran 84% of his laps in the Top 15, led 23.17% of his laps, and has won 2 of the 6 stages. In Charlotte last year Byron was involved in a wreck halfway through the race causing to finish 32nd with a 71.2 Driver Rating, but the good news is he ran 91% of his laps in the Top 15. This is unfortunately typical of Byron here as in 6 races he has 2 DNF’s, 2 Top 10’s, and a 19.33 Avg. Finish while he’s ran 85% of his laps in the Top 15. This weekend I see Byron running Top 15 most of his race and finishing either 3rd-7th or with a DNF.

10th in Points – Tyler Reddick

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 13 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 14.69 13th of 37 T182nd of 816
 Completed Laps%¹ 94.13% 31st of 37 T481st of 816
Laps in Top15%¹ 69.04% 10th of 37 154th of 773‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 87.39 9th of 37 200th of 773‡
 Wins 1 T4th of 53 T63rd of 1113
 Poles 0 T8th of 53 T152nd of 1113
 Top 2’s 2 T5th of 53 T69th of 1113
 Top 3’s 3 T3rd of 53 T69th of 1113
 Top 5’s 4 T5th of 53 T94th of 1113
 Top 10’s 6 T4th of 53 T144th of 1113
 DNF’sÂą 2 T19th of 37 T418th of 816
 Stage Wins 2 T3rd of 53 T26th of 366*
 Stage T10s 12 9th of 53 T68th of 366*
 Stage Pts 74 6th of 53 T56th of 366*
 Playoff Pts² 7 T4th of 53 T26th of 366*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 13 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 3 straight Top 5 finishes
  • 2023 Intermediate track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Intermediate track start, 40 drivers)
  • 3 Races, Avg. Finish 15.33(T11th), 88.36% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 86.33(12th), Best 9th, Worst 22th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 3.12% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 0 Top 5’s, 1 Top 10, 2 Top 15’s, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 1.5 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Charlotte Statistics
  • 2022 Charlotte Race
  • Finished 6th, Started 8th, Led 19 laps (4.6%), Finished 2nd in Stage 1, 8th in Stage 2 and 4th in Stage 3, ran 339 Laps in Top15 (82.08% of laps he ran), had 113.6 Driver Rating (ranked 3rd)
  • Notable Charlotte Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year)
  • 4 Races
  • 9.25 Avg. Finish (Ranks 1st)
  • Best Finish: 6th, Worst: 14th
  • Completed 100% of laps (% ranks T1st)
  • 90.67% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 1st)
  • 97.1 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 4th)
  • Led 1.75% of laps he’s run (% ranks 14th)
  • 0 Top 5’s
  • 3 Top 10’s, 75.0% (% ranks 1st)
  • 0 finishes outside Top 20, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
  • 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
  • 0 Stage Wins
  • 8 Stage T10’s, 72.73% (% ranks T1st)
  • 3.73 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 6th)
Outlook
Tyler Reddick is notable because of how he ran in the Charlotte race last year. Reddick is the only driver in this article to finish Top 10 in the All-Star race last week, finishing 3rd. This may be the momentum Reddick needs as he only has a 14.69 Avg. Finish this year despite having 1 Win, 3 Top 3’s, and 6 Top 10’s. His in-race stats aren’t terrible, but aren’t too good either, as he’s ran 69% of his laps in the Top 15, has an 87.39 Avg. Driver Rating, 2 Stage Wins, 12 Stage T10’s, and 74 Stage Pts; all of which are 10th or better in the 2023 Ranks above. In the 3 Intermediate races this year Reddick has been okay as well as he has a 15.33 Avg. Finish with a best of 9th, worst of 22nd, and the 12th best Avg. Driver Rating at 86.33. Furthermore he’s ran 88.36% of his laps in the Top 15, led just 3.12% of his laps, and what’s worse is he’s only gotten 1.5 Stage Pts Per Stage. What’s better is his stats from the 2022 Charlotte race where he got 19 Stage Pts, ran 82% of his laps in the Top 15, had the 3rd best Driver Rating at 113.6, and finished 6th. This was Reddick’s 4th race at Charlotte and was his best finish in the 4 races, but his other races weren’t bad as he has the best Avg. Finish of any active driver at 9.25. In addition he’s run 91% of his laps in the Top 15 and has a 97.1 Avg. Driver Rating. This weekend I see another similar run for Reddick where he spend all day in the Top 15 and comes home with a solid Top 10 finish.

11th in Points – Kyle Busch

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 13 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 14.23 11th of 37 T161st of 816
 Completed Laps%¹ 96.53% 23rd of 37 326th of 816
Laps in Top15%¹ 60.23% 12th of 37 219th of 773‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 84.44 11th of 37 226th of 773‡
 Wins 2 T2nd of 53 T26th of 1113
 Poles 0 T8th of 53 T152nd of 1113
 Top 2’s 3 T2nd of 53 T37th of 1113
 Top 3’s 3 T3rd of 53 T69th of 1113
 Top 5’s 3 T7th of 53 T151st of 1113
 Top 10’s 6 T4th of 53 T144th of 1113
 DNF’sÂą 3 T25th of 37 T610th of 816
 Stage Wins 0 T14th of 53 T84th of 366*
 Stage T10s 9 12th of 53 T89th of 366*
 Stage Pts 49 13th of 53 84th of 366*
 Playoff Pts² 10 3rd of 53 T20th of 366*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 13 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 3 straight Top 10 finishes
  • 2023 Intermediate track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Intermediate track start, 40 drivers)
  • 3 Races, Avg. Finish 18.67(T19th), 89.56% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 87.0(11th), Best 7th, Worst 35th, Laps Completed 87.39%, Led 0.00% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 0 Top 5’s, 1 Top 10, 2 Top 15’s, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 1 DNF, 0 Stage Wins, 2.83 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Charlotte Statistics
  • 2022 Charlotte Race
  • Finished 2nd, Started 4th, Led 36 laps (8.72%), got 0 Stage T10’s, ran 280 Laps in Top15 (67.8% of laps he ran), had 97.0 Driver Rating (ranked 7th)
  • Notable Charlotte Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year)
  • 34 Races
  • 13.97 Avg. Finish (Ranks 8th)
  • Best Finish: 1st, Worst: 39th
  • Completed 95.04% of laps (% ranks 17th)
  • 82.39% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 4th)
  • 105.85 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 2nd)
  • Led 12.67% of laps he’s run (% ranks 2nd)
  • 1 Win, 2.94% (% ranks 10th)
  • 3 Poles, 8.82% (% ranks 5th)
  • 11 Top 3’s, 32.35% (% ranks 3rd)
  • 16 Top 5’s, 47.06% (% ranks 2nd)
  • 21 Top 10’s, 61.76% (% ranks 3rd)
  • 11 finishes outside Top 20, 32.35% (% ranks 14th)
  • 6 DNF’s, 17.65% (% ranks 23rd)
  • 4 Stage Wins, 18.18% (% ranks 1st)
  • 16 Stage T10’s, 72.3% (% ranks T1st)
  • 5.73 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 1st)
Outlook
Kyle Busch is notable because of how good he’s done at Charlotte in his career. The All-Star race didn’t go as Busch planned as he spent all day out of the Top 15 and finished 22nd, 2 laps down. This has been the tale of Busch’s season as he has only run 60.23% of his laps in the Top 15, but somehow still has a 14.23 Avg. Finish and an 84.44 Avg. Driver Rating, both of which are 11th best. The nice thing for him is that he has 2 Wins in his pocket with 3 Top 3’s and 6 Top 10’s on the year as well. As for the Intermediate races this year Busch has a best finish of 7th in the 3 races, but that is also his only Top 10. In addition he only has an 87.0 Avg. Driver Rating with 0 laps led, but he does have 2.83 Stage Pts Per Stage and has run 89.56% of his laps in the Top 15. Last year at Charlotte was worse for Busch in the sense that he only ran 68% of his laps in the Top 15 and got 0 Stage Pts, but was better in the sense that he had a 97.0 Driver Rating (7th best) and finished 2nd in the race. This was Busch’s 11th Top 3 finish in his 34 starts at Charlotte and left him with a 13.97 Avg. Finish here as well as the 2nd best active Avg. Driver Rating at 105.8. In addition he’s led 12.67% of the laps he’s run and his 18.18 Stage Win%, 72.3 Stage T10%, and 5.73 Stage Pts Per Stage all are best among active drivers. All that said Busch has been hit or miss this year but with his success here in his career I think he pulls out a 5th-15th place finish this weekend.

17th in Points – Alex Bowman

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 13 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 10.3 1st of 37 41st of 816
 Completed Laps%¹ 99.92% 2nd of 37 20th of 816
Laps in Top15%¹ 81.94% 2nd of 37 42nd of 773‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 91.25 6th of 37 158th of 773‡
 Wins 0 T10th of 53 T167th of 1113
 Poles 1 T4th of 53 T47th of 1113
 Top 2’s 0 T16th of 53 T265th of 1113
 Top 3’s 2 T9th of 53 T120th of 1113
 Top 5’s 3 T7th of 53 T151st of 1113
 Top 10’s 6 T4th of 53 T144th of 1113
 DNF’sÂą 0 T1st of 37 T1st of 816
 Stage Wins 0 T14th of 53 T84th of 366*
 Stage T10s 10 T10th of 53 T78th of 366*
 Stage Pts 63 10th of 53 69th of 366*
 Playoff Pts² 0 T17th of 53 T97th of 366*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 13 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 4 straight Top 10 finishes
  • 2023 Intermediate track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Intermediate track start, 40 drivers)
  • 1 Race, Avg. Finish 3.0(2nd), 98.15% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 110.5(4th), Best 3rd, Worst 3rd, Laps Completed 100%, Led 0.74% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 1 Top 3, 1 Top 5, 1 Top 10, 1 Top 15, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 6.0 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Charlotte Statistics
  • 2022 Charlotte Race
  • Finished 10th, Started 9th, Led 0 laps, Finished 9th in Stage 1, ran 219 Laps in Top15 (53.02% of laps he ran), had 76.8 Driver Rating (ranked 14th)
  • Notable Charlotte Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year)
  • 11 Races
  • 21.91 Avg. Finish (Ranks 24th)
  • Best Finish: 5th, Worst: 39th
  • Completed 92.68% of laps (% ranks 23rd)
  • 49.18% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 18th)
  • 73.04 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 20th)
  • Led 6.11% of laps he’s run (% ranks 7th)
  • 0 Top 3’s
  • 1 Top 5, 9.09% (% ranks 16th)
  • 4 Top 10’s, 36.36% (% ranks 14th)
  • 4 Top 15’s, 36.36% (% ranks 22nd)
  • 6 finishes outside Top 20, 54.55% (% ranks 25th)
  • 1 DNF, 9.09% (% ranks 14th)
  • 3 Stage Wins, 17.65% (% ranks T2nd)
  • 11 Stage T10’s, 64.71% (% ranks 5th)
  • 4.24 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 5th)
Outlook
Alex Bowman is notable because of how well he’s done on Intermediates this year. Bowman has been out the last 3 weeks, so he’s only ran 10 races this year but he is still tied for the 4th most Top 10’s at 6 and 7th most Top 5’s at 3. In addition he has the best Avg. Finish at 10.3, 2nd best Laps in Top 15% at 81.94%, and 6th best Avg. Driver Rating at 91.25. During this time Bowman missed 2 of the 3 Intermediate tracks so his only Intermediate start this year was at Las Vegas in March. In that race he finished 3rd, ran 98.15% of his laps in the Top 15, had a 110.5 Avg. Driver Rating, and ended up with 12 Stage Pts. Last year at Charlotte Bowman was mediocre as he ran just 53% of his laps in the Top 15, got only 2 Stage Pts, and led 0 laps. At the end of the day he ended up 10th with the 14th best Driver Rating at 76.8. This was one of Bowman’s better runs at Charlotte as in his 11 races he has more finishes out of the Top 20 (6) than Top 10’s (4). In fact his Avg. Finish is a bleak 21.91, he’s only ran 49.18% of his laps in the Top 15, and his Avg. Driver Rating is 73.04. The only bit of good news is that he has 3 Stage Wins and has gotten 4.24 Stage Pts Per Stage. These stats plus the fact Bowman is coming back this week give me little hope that this weekend will be a good run for him. In all I see him struggling in his return to a finish out of the Top 15.

39th in Points – Jimmie Johnson

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 13 Races
 Avg. Fin.Âą 34.5 – of 37 – of 816
 Completed Laps%Âą 70.73% – of 37 – of 816
Laps in Top15%Âą 47.78% – of 37 – of 773‡
Avg. Driver RatingÂą 47.25 – of 37 – of 773‡
 Wins 0 T10th of 53 T167th of 1113
 Poles 0 T8th of 53 T152nd of 1113
 Top 2’s 0 T16th of 53 T265th of 1113
 Top 3’s 0 T19th of 53 T337th of 1113
 Top 5’s 0 T23rd of 53 T442nd of 1113
 Top 10’s 0 T33rd of 53 T609th of 1113
 DNF’sÂą 2 – of 37 – of 816
 Stage Wins 0 T14th of 53 T84th of 366*
 Stage T10s 1 T32nd of 53 T187th of 366*
 Stage Pts 4 T31st of 53 T182nd of 366*
 Playoff Pts² 0 T17th of 53 T97th of 366*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 13 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • none
  • 2023 Intermediate track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Intermediate track start, 40 drivers)
  • 0 Races
  • Charlotte Statistics
  • 2022 Charlotte Race
  • did not race
  • Notable Charlotte Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year)
  • 37 Races
  • 12.92 Avg. Finish (Ranks 5th)
  • Best Finish: 1st, Worst: 40th
  • Completed 97.24% of laps (% ranks 14th)
  • 88.57% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 2nd)
  • 108.16 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 1st)
  • Led 15.08% of laps he’s run (% ranks 1st)
  • 8 Wins, 21.62% (% ranks 1st)
  • 4 Poles, 10.81% (% ranks 3rd)
  • 14 Top 3’s, 37.84% (% ranks 1st)
  • 22 Top 10’s, 59.46% (% ranks 4th)
  • 26 Top 15’s, 70.27% (% ranks 3rd)
  • 9 finishes outside Top 20, 24.32% (% ranks 7th)
  • 5 DNF’s, 13.51% (% ranks 20th)
  • 0 Stage Wins
  • 2.0 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 13th)
Outlook
Jimmie Johnson is notable because of how his 37 races at Charlotte have gone. Johnson’s last race came at COTA this year where he finished 38th after wrecking out on the first lap. This is the story of Johnson’s return to NASCAR as he has 2 starts this year and 2 DNF’s leading to a 34.5 Avg. Finish. In fact he’s only ran 47.78% of his laps in the Top 15 and speaking of 47 his Avg. Driver Rating is 47.25. As far as Intermediates this year Johnson hasn’t competed in any of the 3 races so there is no data and the only Charlotte data we have is his career data; but oh what data that is. Johnson has raced at Charlotte 37 times and in those races he has 8 Wins, 14 Top 3’s, and 22 Top 10’s. Furthermore he’s only finished outside the Top 20 9 times with 5 of those being DNF’s. It’s not all finishes either as he’s got the best active Avg. Driver Rating at 108.16, has ran 88.57% of his laps in the Top 15, and he’s led 15.08% of his laps as well. However, this was all in Hendrick equipment, now he’s in his own equipment which has been quite bad this year. So for that reason I see a lot of Johnson’s Charlotte stats being a lot worse after this weekend as I think he finishes somewhere between 20th and last.
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Daniel Smith
Daniel Smithhttps://pitpassnetwork.com
Cup drivers: Kyle Larson & Ross Chastain, Xfinity drivers: SVG & Ryan Sieg, Truck drivers: Grant Enfinger & Jake Garcia

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