Friday, November 15, 2024
HomeCup SeriesCup Series Notable Drivers Statistics & Outlook: Kansas

Cup Series Notable Drivers Statistics & Outlook: Kansas

Last week saw a thrilling finish, and pretty good race overall, in which Martin Truex Jr. picked up his first Cup points victory since September 11, 2021. This week NASCAR heads to Kansas for only the 2nd Intermediate race of the year. I have picked 8 notable drivers to look at, 1 based on the 2023 point standings, 2 based on 2023 stats, 2 based on Intermediate track stats, 1 based on the last Kansas race and 2 based on their overall Kansas stats. Here is a look at those 8 notable drivers 2023 season statistics, along with ranks among drivers in 2023 with ranking through 11 races since the Chase started in 2004. We will also highlight notable streaks accomplished through the year, 2022/23 Intermediate track (1.3-1.5 miles) statistics and Kansas statistics.
*This was written prior to any penalties or reversal of penalties, so points position does not reflect after penalty or reversal.

1st in Points – Ross Chastain

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 11 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 12.18 3rd of 37 T93rd of 826
 Completed Laps%¹ 99.97% 3rd of 37 T13th of 826
Laps in Top15%¹ 72.46% 6th of 37 124th of 782‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 92.04 4th of 37 148th of 782‡
 Wins 0 T9th of 52 T150th of 1092
 Poles 0 T7th of 52 T137th of 1092
 Top 2’s 1 T7th of 52 T115th of 1092
 Top 3’s 3 T1st of 52 T49th of 1092
 Top 5’s 4 T2nd of 52 T62nd of 1092
 Top 10’s 5 T4th of 52 T140th of 1092
 DNF’sÂą 0 T1st of 37 T1st of 826
 Stage Wins 4 2nd of 52 T8th of 351*
 Stage T10s 14 T2nd of 52 T30th of 351*
 Stage Pts 97 2nd of 52 T22nd of 351*
 Playoff Pts² 4 9th of 52 T55th of 351*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 11 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 2 straight Top 5 finishes
  • 2022/23 Intermediate Track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Intermediate track start, 46 drivers)
  • 11 Races, Avg. Finish 10.55(2nd), 88.04% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 106.74(1st), Best 2nd, Worst 30th, Laps Completed 96.99%, Led 10.43% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 3 Top 3’s, 4 Top 5’s, 6 Top 10’s, 9 Top 15’s, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 1 DNF, 3 Stage Wins, 5.48 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Kansas Statistics
  • 2022 Fall Kansas Race
  • Finished 7th, Started 5th, Led 0 laps, Finished 8th in Stage 1 and 10th in Stage 2, ran 261 Laps in Top15 (97.75% of laps he ran), had 97.1 Driver Rating (ranked 7th)
  • Notable Kansas Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year)
  • 8 Races
  • 20.5 Avg. Finish (Ranks 23rd)
  • Best Finish: 7th, Worst: 39th
  • Completed 88.56% of laps (% ranks 33rd)
  • 46.17% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 17th)
  • 63.94 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 24th)
  • Led 0.26% of laps he’s run (% ranks 21st)
  • 0 Top 5’s
  • 2 Top 10’s, 25.0% (% ranks 18th)
  • 4 Top 15’s, 50.0% (% ranks 15th)
  • 4 finishes outside Top 20, 50.0% (% ranks T20th)
  • 1 DNF, 12.5% (% ranks T21st)
  • 0 Stage Wins
  • 6 Stage T10’s, 37.5% (% ranks T13th)
Outlook
Ross Chastain is notable because of how good he’s run on Intermediate tracks since the start of 2022. Last week Chastain was up front all race and almost made 4 tires pay off at the end, but alas he ended up 2nd. As good as he’s been this year this was his best finish of the year, but was his 3rd Top 3 which is tied for the most this year. This race now has his Avg. Finish at 12.18, 3rd best, and his Avg. Driver Rating at 92.04, 4th best. In addition Chastain has 4 Top 5’s, 5 Top 10’s, and his 4 Stage Wins, 14 Stage T10’s, and 97 Stage Pts all rank 2nd best this year. These good stats are accompanied by good Intermediate stats as well. Since the beginning of 2022 Chastain’s 10.55 Avg. Finish is 2nd best at these tracks and his 106.74 Avg. Driver Rating is the best. In the 11 races he has 3 Top 3’s, 6 Top 10’s, and 9 Top 15’s, but also 0 Wins. However, there is more good news in that his only finish out of the Top 20 was a DNF, and he’s gotten 5.48 Stage Pts Per Stage in the 11 races. Last Fall at Kansas Chastain finished 7th after acquiring 4 Stage Pts, running 97.75% of his laps in the Top 15, and ended with the 7th best Driver Rating at 97.1. This tied Chastain’s best finish here in 8 races and was only his 2nd Top 10. In addition he’s ran less than 50% of his laps here in the Top 15, but half of his starts were in subpar equipment. Anyway, taking all the info in I see a decent day for Chastain with a finish between 6th and 12th.

2nd in Points – Christopher Bell

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 11 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 10.45 2nd of 37 T56th of 826
 Completed Laps%¹ 96.18% 25th of 37 T387th of 826
Laps in Top15%¹ 75.21% 5th of 37 105th of 782‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 91.94 5th of 37 150th of 782‡
 Wins 1 T4th of 52 T53rd of 1092
 Poles 0 T7th of 52 T137th of 1092
 Top 2’s 1 T7th of 52 T115th of 1092
 Top 3’s 3 T1st of 52 T49th of 1092
 Top 5’s 5 1st of 52 T34th of 1092
 Top 10’s 8 1st of 52 T16th of 1092
 DNF’sÂą 2 T20th of 37 T493rd of 826
 Stage Wins 0 T13th of 52 T77th of 351*
 Stage T10s 13 T4th of 52 T37th of 351*
 Stage Pts 62 8th of 52 T54th of 351*
 Playoff Pts² 5 T6th of 52 T41st of 351*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 11 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 2 straight Top 5 finishes
  • 3 straight Top 10 finishes
  • 2 straight Top 10 finishes (active streak)
  • 2022/23 Intermediate Track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Intermediate track start, 46 drivers)
  • 11 Races, Avg. Finish 11.45(4th), 82.77% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 92.76(8th), Best 3rd, Worst 34th, Laps Completed 88.83%, Led 2.98% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 2 Poles, 1 Top 3, 5 Top 5’s, 8 Top 10’s, 9 Top 15’s, 2 Finishes out of Top 20, 2 DNF’s, 1 Stage Win, 3.48 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Kansas Statistics
  • 2022 Fall Kansas Race
  • Finished 3rd, Started 4th, Led 12 laps (4.49%), Finished 1st in Stage 1 and 2nd in Stage 2, ran 266 Laps in Top15 (99.63% of laps he ran), had 119.7 Driver Rating (ranked 3rd)
  • Notable Kansas Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year)
  • 6 Races
  • 12.83 Avg. Finish (Ranks 6th)
  • Best Finish: 3rd, Worst: 28th
  • Completed 99.69% of laps (% ranks 4th)
  • 74.77% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 6th)
  • 93.02 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 7th)
  • Led 3.07% of laps he’s run (% ranks 14th)
  • 1 Pole, 16.67% (% ranks 1st)
  • 0 Top 2’s
  • 1 Top 3, 16.67% (% ranks 10th)
  • 2 Top 5’s, 33.33% (% ranks T5th)
  • 4 Top 10’s, 66.67% (% ranks 1st)
  • 2 finishes outside Top 20, 33.33% (% ranks T13th)
  • 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
  • 1 Stage Win, 8.33% (% ranks T4th)
  • 4 Stage T10’s, 33.33% (% ranks 15th)
Outlook
Christopher Bell is notable because of his 2023 stats. Last week Bell ran decent the whole race and got his series leading 8th Top 10, finishing 6th. Bell also leads the series in Top 5’s with 5, and is tied for the lead in Top 3’s with 3. In addition his 10.45 Avg. Finish is 2nd best, his 91.94 Avg. Driver Rating is 5th best, and his 13 Stage Top 10’s are tied for 4th best. The only bad news for Bell so far this year is that he has 0 Stage Wins and just 62 Stage Pts, 8th most, but other than that he’s been great. In fact he is on a 2 race Top 10 streak which could be continued this weekend when you see that his last 11 Intermediate races have resulted in 5 Top 5’s and 8 Top 10’s. In addition 2 of his 3 finishes non-Top 10’s were DNF’s, so if he can stay on track he’ll likely end up Top 10. All of this has his Avg. Finish at 11.45, 4th best, and his Avg. Driver Rating at 92.76, 6th best. In the last race at Kansas Bell led 4.5% of the laps, finished 1st in Stage 1, 2nd in Stage 2, and 3rd in Stage 3 (the race finish). In fact Bell only ran 1 lap out of the Top 15 in the race which helped him have the 3rd best Driver Rating that day at 119.7. This was Bell’s 2nd Top 5, 4th Top 10, and best race of his 6 races here. His Avg. Finish here is 12.83, 6th best, his Avg. Driver Rating is 93.02, 7th best, but he also has just 4 Stage T10’s in 12 stages. Based on all the stats a Top 10 is a safe bet for Bell this weekend, a Top 5 is likely as well, and I wouldn’t be surprised if he won.

3rd in Points – Kevin Harvick

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 11 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 13.73 8th of 37 T140th of 826
 Completed Laps%¹ 97.62% 18th of 37 T295th of 826
Laps in Top15%¹ 75.38% 4th of 37 102nd of 782‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 88.25 8th of 37 188th of 782‡
 Wins 0 T9th of 52 T150th of 1092
 Poles 0 T7th of 52 T137th of 1092
 Top 2’s 0 T14th of 52 T238th of 1092
 Top 3’s 0 T17th of 52 T307th of 1092
 Top 5’s 3 T6th of 52 T116th of 1092
 Top 10’s 5 T4th of 52 T140th of 1092
 DNF’sÂą 1 T11th of 37 T229th of 826
 Stage Wins 1 T5th of 52 T41st of 351*
 Stage T10s 13 T4th of 52 T37th of 351*
 Stage Pts 71 5th of 52 T46th of 351*
 Playoff Pts² 1 T10th of 52 T70th of 351*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 11 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 3 straight Top 10 finishes
  • 2022/23 Intermediate Track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Intermediate track start, 46 drivers)
  • 11 Races, Avg. Finish 14.64(12th), 67.56% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 75.73(17th), Best 3rd, Worst 36th, Laps Completed 90.15%, Led 0.33% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 1 Top 3, 2 Top 5’s, 5 Top 10’s, 8 Top 15’s, 2 Finishes out of Top 20, 2 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 0.91 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Kansas Statistics
  • 2022 Fall Kansas Race
  • Finished 36th (crash), Started 14th, Led 0 laps, got 0 Stage T10’s, ran 31 Laps in Top15 (93.94% of laps he ran), had 37.7 Driver Rating (ranked 31st)
  • Notable Kansas Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year)
  • 34 Races
  • 9.88 Avg. Finish (Ranks 1st)
  • Best Finish: 1st, Worst: 36th
  • Completed 96.18% of laps (% ranks 17th)
  • 80.69% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 3rd)
  • 106.09 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 1st)
  • Led 10.91% of laps he’s run (% ranks 2nd)
  • 3 Wins, 8.82% (% ranks 5th)
  • 5 Poles, 14.71% (% ranks 2nd)
  • 8 Top 2’s, 23.53% (% ranks 1st)
  • 12 Top 5’s, 35.29% (% ranks 3rd)
  • 19 Top 10’s, 55.88% (% ranks 5th)
  • 28 Top 15’s, 82.35% (% ranks 1st)
  • 4 finishes outside Top 20, 11.76% (% ranks 2nd)
  • 2 DNF’s, 5.88% (% ranks 13th)
  • 2 Stage Wins, 8.33% (% ranks T4th)
  • 18 Stage T10’s, 75.0% (% ranks 4th)
  • 5.04 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 3rd)
Outlook
Kevin Harvick is notable because of how well he’s done at Kansas in his Cup Series career. At Dover Harvick ran most the race in the Top 15 but in the end finished 19th. This race now puts both his 13.73 Avg. Finish and 88.25 Avg. Driver Rating at 8th best this year, but he’s ran 75.38% of his laps in the Top 15 which is the 4th best percentage. His finishes, however, have been lacking as he has 0 Top 3’s, and just 3 Top 5’s, but he does have the 4th most Top 10’s with 5. Harvick does have the 5th most Stage Pts at 71 though. This stage success is not likely to continue based on his last 11 Intermediate races as he has less than 1 Stage Pt Per Stage in the 11 races. In general these races haven’t been great for him as his Avg. Finish is 14.64, his Avg. Driver Rating is 75.73, and he’s only ran 68% of his laps in the Top 15. Furthermore he’s led only 0.33% of his laps, has 2 Top 5’s, and 5 Top 10’s. The last race at Kansas was not good for Harvick either as he wrecked early to finish 36th. The good news is that he was Top 5 at the time of the wreck and he ran 94% of his laps in the Top 15. This was only Harvick’s 2nd DNF in 34 starts at Kansas and his 4th finish out of the Top 20, plus his 9.88 Avg. Finish and 106.09 Avg. Driver Rating are best among active drivers here. In addition he’s led 11% of his laps here with 3 Wins, 5 Poles, 8 Top 2’s, and 19 Top 10’s. Based on all of the stats I can see another Top 10 for Harvick this weekend, but I don’t think he gets a Top 5.

4th in Points – Martin Truex Jr.

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 11 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 12.27 4th of 37 T96th of 826
 Completed Laps%¹ 100% T1st of 37 T1st of 826
Laps in Top15%¹ 68.13% 7th of 37 156th of 782‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 88.83 7th of 37 180th of 782‡
 Wins 1 T4th of 52 T53rd of 1092
 Poles 0 T7th of 52 T137th of 1092
 Top 2’s 1 T7th of 52 T115th of 1092
 Top 3’s 2 T8th of 52 T97th of 1092
 Top 5’s 2 T12th of 52 T184th of 1092
 Top 10’s 4 T11th of 52 T213th of 1092
 DNF’sÂą 0 T1st of 37 T1st of 826
 Stage Wins 0 T13th of 52 T77th of 351*
 Stage T10s 12 T6th of 52 T45th of 351*
 Stage Pts 51 10th of 52 71st of 351*
 Playoff Pts² 5 T6th of 52 T41st of 351*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 11 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 2 straight Top 10 finishes
  • 2022/23 Intermediate Track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Intermediate track start, 46 drivers)
  • 11 Races, Avg. Finish 14.45(10th), 86.34% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 98.23(5th), Best 5th, Worst 31st, Laps Completed 96.14%, Led 7.17% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 1 Top 5, 6 Top 10’s, 7 Top 15’s, 4 Finishes out of Top 20, 3 DNF’s, 2 Stage Wins, 4.78 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Kansas Statistics
  • 2022 Fall Kansas Race
  • Finished 5th, Started 12th, Led 24 laps (8.99%), Finished 3rd in Stage 1, ran 209 Laps in Top15 (78.28% of laps he ran), had 99.4 Driver Rating (ranked 6th)
  • Notable Kansas Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year)
  • 29 Races
  • 12.24 Avg. Finish (Ranks 5th)
  • Best Finish: 1st, Worst: 43rd
  • Completed 98.61% of laps (% ranks 9th)
  • 74.68% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 7th)
  • 100.31 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 3rd)
  • Led 10.88% of laps he’s run (% ranks 3rd)
  • 2 Wins, 6.9% (% ranks 8th)
  • 5 Top 2’s, 17.24% (% ranks T4th)
  • 10 Top 5’s, 34.48% (% ranks 4th)
  • 16 Top 10’s, 55.17% (% ranks 6th)
  • 4 finishes outside Top 20, 13.79% (% ranks 3rd)
  • 1 DNF, 3.45% (% ranks 10th)
  • 0 Stage Wins
  • 14 Stage T10’s, 58.33% (% ranks 7th)
  • 2.96 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 8th)
Outlook
Martin Truex Jr. is notable because of how well he’s done at Kansas in his 29 career starts. Last week Truex broke his long losing streak as he pulled out a win at Dover. This was only his 2nd Top 3, 2nd Top 5, and 4th Top 10 this year, but somehow he has the 4th best Avg. Finish at 12.27. Part of why his Avg. Finish is so good is that he’s ran all 2,981 laps this year, but only 68% of those laps have been in the Top 15 and his Avg. Driver Rating is 7th best at 88.83. In the last 11 Intermediate races Truex has a 14.45 Avg. Finish with just 1 Top 5, but he does have 6 Top 10’s with 3 of his 5 finishes out of the Top 15 being DNF’s. However, he has ran better than his finishes indicate as his 98.23 Avg. Driver Rating ranks 5th best, plus he’s ran 86% of his laps in the Top 15 with 2 Stage Wins and 4.7 Stage Pts Per Stage. The good news is the only Top 5 I spoke of was the Fall Kansas race where he led 9% of the race en route to a 5th place finish. In the race he finished 3rd in Stage 1, ran 78% of his laps in the Top 15 and ended with the 6th best Driver Rating at 99.4. This was his 10th Top 5 here and overall he has a 12.24 Avg. Finish, a 100.31 Avg. Driver Rating, and 2 Wins. Furthermore he has 5 Top 2’s, just 1 DNF, has finished over half his races here in the Top 10, and finished Top 10 in 11 of his last 12 races here. Taking all the stats in it’s a bit of a mixed bag, but with Truex’s Kansas history I say he finishes between 5th and 10th this weekend.

5th in Points – Ryan Blaney

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 11 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 12.55 5th of 37 T104th of 826
 Completed Laps%¹ 99.83% 6th of 37 T49th of 826
Laps in Top15%¹ 66.96% 9th of 37 171st of 782‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 85.98 10th of 37 214th of 782‡
 Wins 0 T9th of 52 T150th of 1092
 Poles 0 T7th of 52 T137th of 1092
 Top 2’s 2 T4th of 52 T56th of 1092
 Top 3’s 3 T1st of 52 T49th of 1092
 Top 5’s 3 T6th of 52 T116th of 1092
 Top 10’s 6 T2nd of 52 T87th of 1092
 DNF’sÂą 0 T1st of 37 T1st of 826
 Stage Wins 0 T13th of 52 T77th of 351*
 Stage T10s 8 11th of 52 T79th of 351*
 Stage Pts 49 11th of 52 T72nd of 351*
 Playoff Pts² 0 T17th of 52 T92nd of 351*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 11 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 2 straight Top 3 finishes (active streak)
  • 3 straight Top 10 finishes (active streak)
  • 2022/23 Intermediate Track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Intermediate track start, 46 drivers)
  • 11 Races, Avg. Finish 16.45(T15th), 83.59% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 88.84(11th), Best 3rd, Worst 36th, Laps Completed 88.1%, Led 2.87% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 1 Top 3, 2 Top 5’s, 3 Top 10’s, 6 Top 15’s, 3 Finishes out of Top 20, 2 DNF’s, 2 Stage Wins, 3.7 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Kansas Statistics
  • 2022 Fall Kansas Race
  • Finished 9th, Started 17th, Led 2 laps (0.75%), Finished 2nd in Stage 1 and 9th in Stage 2, ran 227 Laps in Top15 (85.02% of laps he ran), had 95.7 Driver Rating (ranked 9th)
  • Notable Kansas Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year)
  • 16 Races
  • 16.44 Avg. Finish (Ranks 14th)
  • Best Finish: 3rd, Worst: 37th
  • Completed 98.25% of laps (% ranks 10th)
  • 80.82% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 2nd)
  • 95.01 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 6th)
  • Led 4.13% of laps he’s run (% ranks 12th)
  • 0 Top 2’s
  • 1 Top 3, 6.25% (% ranks 14th)
  • 3 Top 5’s, 18.75% (% ranks 13th)
  • 7 Top 10’s, 43.75% (% ranks 11th)
  • 6 finishes outside Top 20, 37.5% (% ranks 17th)
  • 2 DNF’s, 12.5% (% ranks T21st)
  • 2 Stage Wins, 8.33% (% ranks T4th)
  • 20 Stage T10’s, 83.33% (% ranks T1st)
  • 5.67 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 1st)
Outlook
Ryan Blaney is notable because he is 5th in points. At Dover Blaney was oh so close for the 2nd week in a row to breaking his losing streak, but he ended up finishing 3rd. This was Blaney’s 2nd straight Top 3, 3rd Top 3 this year, and his 3rd straight Top 10. This has his Avg. Finish ranking 5th at 12.55, but his Avg. Driver Rating is much worse ranking 10th at 85.98. Additionally he only has 8 Stage T10’s and 49 Stage Pts, both rank 11th best, in the 22 stages this year. What’s worse is that this weekend is an Intermediate track where his last 11 races have produced just 2 Top 5’s and 3 Top 10’s. In all he has a low 16.45 Avg. Finish in the 11 races, but his Avg. Driver Rating sits at a modest 88.84. Additionally he’s ran 84% of his laps in the Top 15, has 2 Stage Wins, and 3.7 Stage Pts Per Stage. Another nice thing for Blaney is that one of his 3 Top 10’s came in the last Kansas race where he finished with 11 Stage Pts, ran 85% of his laps in the Top 15, and had the 9th best Driver Rating at 95.7. However, Blaney’s finishes in his 16 starts here aren’t too flattering as he boasts a 16.44 Avg. Finish with a best of 3rd, only 3 Top 5’s, and almost as many finishes out of the Top 20 (6) as in the Top 10 (7). The good things are his Avg. Driver Rating is 95.01, he has 20 Stage T10’s, and gets 5.67 Stage Pts Per Stage. In short this weekend may bring stage success to Blaney, but in the end I see him finishing 10th-20th.

7th in Points – Denny Hamlin

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 11 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 13.36 7th of 37 T130th of 826
 Completed Laps%¹ 100% T1st of 37 T1st of 826
Laps in Top15%¹ 83.46% 1st of 37 35th of 782‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 92.8 3rd of 37 137th of 782‡
 Wins 0 T9th of 52 T150th of 1092
 Poles 1 T3rd of 52 T36th of 1092
 Top 2’s 0 T14th of 52 T238th of 1092
 Top 3’s 0 T17th of 52 T307th of 1092
 Top 5’s 2 T12th of 52 T184th of 1092
 Top 10’s 4 T11th of 52 T213th of 1092
 DNF’sÂą 0 T1st of 37 T1st of 826
 Stage Wins 1 T5th of 52 T41st of 351*
 Stage T10s 14 T2nd of 52 T30th of 351*
 Stage Pts 80 T3rd of 52 T36th of 351*
 Playoff Pts² 1 T10th of 52 T70th of 351*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 11 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • none
  • 2022/23 Intermediate Track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Intermediate track start, 46 drivers)
  • 11 Races, Avg. Finish 9.18(1st), 85.32% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 102.28(2nd), Best 1st, Worst 32nd, Laps Completed 98.31%, Led 7.02% of laps he ran, 1 Win, 2 Poles, 3 Top 3’s, 5 Top 5’s, 8 Top 10’s, 9 Top 15’s, 2 Finishes out of Top 20, 1 DNF, 0 Stage Wins, 3.57 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Kansas Statistics
  • 2022 Fall Kansas Race
  • Finished 2nd, Started 25th, Led 0 laps, Finished 6th in Stage 2, ran 180 Laps in Top15 (67.42% of laps he ran), had 100.3 Driver Rating (ranked 5th)
  • Notable Kansas Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year)
  • 29 Races
  • 13.31 Avg. Finish (Ranks 7th)
  • Best Finish: 1st, Worst: 41st
  • Completed 98.75% of laps (% ranks 8th)
  • 71.03% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 9th)
  • 92.27 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 9th)
  • Led 4.59% of laps he’s run (% ranks 11th)
  • 3 Wins, 10.34% (% ranks T2nd)
  • 6 Top 3’s, 20.69% (% ranks T6th)
  • 11 Top 5’s, 37.93% (% ranks 2nd)
  • 19 Top 15’s, 65.52% (% ranks 9th)
  • 6 finishes outside Top 20, 20.69% (% ranks T6th)
  • 2 DNF’s, 6.9% (% ranks T15th)
  • 3 Stage Wins, 12.5% (% ranks 3rd)
  • 17 Stage T10’s, 70.83% (% ranks 5th)
  • 4.33 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 6th)
Outlook
Denny Hamlin is notable because of his 2022/23 Intermediate stats. At Dover Hamlin was the only driver to run all 400 laps in the Top 15 and came home with his 2nd Top 5 of the year, finishing 5th. This was also his 4th Top 10 this year, and like his teammate above he’s ran every lap this year which has helped his Avg. Finish to be 13.36. Hamlin has ran well this year, however, as his 92.8 Avg. Driver Rating ranks 3rd best, and his 83.46 Laps in Top15% is the best this year. To further show how good he’s ran he’s gotten 14 Stage T10’s this year, ranks T2nd, and his 80 Stage Pts are tied for 3rd most. If he can put a full race together this weekend that may spell trouble for the competition as in the last 11 Intermediate races he has a 9.18 Avg. Finish, best, and a 102.28 Avg. Driver Rating, 2nd best. He does have only 1 Win, however, in the 11 races, but he does have 5 Top 5’s with 8 Top 10’s while leading 7% of the laps he’s run. The news only gets better as in the Fall Kansas race last year Hamlin had the 5th best Driver Rating at 100.3 and finished 2nd after starting 25th while only running 67% of his laps in the Top 15. His stats in his 29 Kansas races aren’t bad either as he has a 13.31 Avg. Finish with 3 Wins, 11 Top 5’s (but only 12 Top 10’s), 3 Stage Wins, and a 92.27 Avg. Driver Rating. This weekend I see a lot of success for Hamlin. He’ll run Top 15 most the day, and finish Top 5 with a high likelihood of a Top 3 or even a Win.

11th in Points – William Byron

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 11 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 15.36 13th of 37 T209th of 826
 Completed Laps%¹ 97.32% 20th of 37 T318th of 826
Laps in Top15%¹ 77.93% 3rd of 37 72nd of 782‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 100.75 1st of 37 60th of 782‡
 Wins 2 T1st of 52 T18th of 1092
 Poles 1 T3rd of 52 T36th of 1092
 Top 2’s 2 T4th of 52 T56th of 1092
 Top 3’s 2 T8th of 52 T97th of 1092
 Top 5’s 4 T2nd of 52 T62nd of 1092
 Top 10’s 5 T4th of 52 T140th of 1092
 DNF’sÂą 2 T20th of 37 T493rd of 826
 Stage Wins 6 1st of 52 T1st of 351*
 Stage T10s 15 1st of 52 T20th of 351*
 Stage Pts 110 1st of 52 12th of 351*
 Playoff Pts² 16 1st of 52 4th of 351*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 11 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 2 straight Wins
  • 2022/23 Intermediate Track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Intermediate track start, 46 drivers)
  • 11 Races, Avg. Finish 13.45(7th), 85.1% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 100.49(3rd), Best 1st, Worst 35th, Laps Completed 92.17%, Led 11.99% of laps he ran, 1 Win, 1 Pole, 1 Top 3, 2 Top 5’s, 5 Top 10’s, 8 Top 15’s, 2 Finishes out of Top 20, 1 DNF, 3 Stage Wins, 4.91 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Kansas Statistics
  • 2022 Fall Kansas Race
  • Finished 6th, Started 9th, Led 9 laps (3.37%), Finished 3rd in Stage 2, ran 253 Laps in Top15 (94.76% of laps he ran), had 102.2 Driver Rating (ranked 4th)
  • Notable Kansas Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year)
  • 10 Races
  • 15.1 Avg. Finish (Ranks 10th)
  • Best Finish: 5th, Worst: 38th
  • Completed 91.51% of laps (% ranks 30th)
  • 67.83% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 11th)
  • 86.8 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 13th)
  • Led 5.13% of laps he’s run (% ranks 8th)
  • 0 Top 3’s
  • 1 Top 5, 10.0% (% ranks T14th)
  • 6 Top 10’s, 60.0% (% ranks 3rd)
  • 2 finishes outside Top 20, 20.0% (% ranks 5th)
  • 2 DNF’s, 20.0% (% ranks T31st)
  • 1 Stage Wins, 5.0% (% ranks T9th)
  • 2.3 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 10th)
Outlook
William Byron is notable because of his 2023 season stats, specifically his Avg. Driver Rating. Last week, at Dover, Byron led almost half the race, but ended up finishing 4th. This was his 4th Top 5 on the year and leaves him with his 2 Wins being his only Top 3’s this year. In addition he only has 5 Top 10’s which ends up putting his Avg. Finish at 15.36 that ranks a disappointing 13th best. However, Byron has run better than he’s finished. For example his 100.75 Avg. Driver, 6 Stage Wins, 15 Stage T10’s, and 110 Stage Pts are all best of anyone this year. In fact his 6 Stage Wins are tied most thru 11 races of anyone since stages started in 2017. His success may continue this week as in the last 11 Intermediate races Byron has a 100.49 Avg. Driver Rating (ranks 3rd) and he’s gotten 4.91 Stage Pts Per Stage while running 85% of his laps in the Top 15. In addition he’s led 12% of his laps, has a 13.45 Avg. Finish with 1 Win, but only 2 Top 5’s. One of these Top 5’s was not at Kansas last Fall where Byron ended up 6th after starting 9th, leading 9 laps, and running 95% of his laps in the Top 15. This led to him having the 4th best Driver Rating at 102.2. Overall he is okay at Kansas as he has a 15.1 Avg. Finish, 86.8 Avg. Driver Rating, 1 Top 5, 6 Top 10’s, and 2 DNF’s. In fact his only non-Top 15’s have been DNF’s, so as long as Byron keeps it on track, it appears he’s a shoe-in for a Top 15, and actually I’ll say he finishes 6th-12th.

21st in Points – Bubba Wallace

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 11 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 19.55 T23rd of 37 T383rd of 826
 Completed Laps%¹ 96.65% T23rd of 37 T359th of 826
Laps in Top15%¹ 50.18% 16th of 37 293rd of 782‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 70.14 20th of 37 398th of 782‡
 Wins 0 T9th of 52 T150th of 1092
 Poles 0 T7th of 52 T137th of 1092
 Top 2’s 0 T14th of 52 T238th of 1092
 Top 3’s 0 T17th of 52 T307th of 1092
 Top 5’s 1 T17th of 52 T271st of 1092
 Top 10’s 2 T21st of 52 T365th of 1092
 DNF’sÂą 4 T34th of 37 T776th of 826
 Stage Wins 0 T13th of 52 T77th of 351*
 Stage T10s 4 T21st of 52 T131st of 351*
 Stage Pts 19 22nd of 52 T130th of 351*
 Playoff Pts² 0 T17th of 52 T92nd of 351*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 11 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • none
  • 2022/23 Intermediate Track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Intermediate track start, 46 drivers)
  • 10 Races, Avg. Finish 17.7(19th), 67.87% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 80.13(14th), Best 1st, Worst 36th, Laps Completed 86.24%, Led 3.49% of laps he ran, 1 Win, 0 Poles, 1 Top 3, 2 Top 5’s, 4 Top 10’s, 5 Top 15’s, 5 Finishes out of Top 20, 3 DNF’s, 1 Stage Win, 2.33 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Kansas Statistics
  • 2022 Fall Kansas Race
  • Finished 1st, Started 6th, Led 58 laps (21.72%), Finished 5th in Stage 1 and 4th in Stage 2, ran 246 Laps in Top15 (92.13% of laps he ran), had 125.9 Driver Rating (ranked 2nd)
  • Notable Kansas Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year)
  • 10 Races
  • 21.9 Avg. Finish (Ranks 26th)
  • Best Finish: 1st, Worst: 37th
  • Completed 95.42% of laps (% ranks 22nd)
  • 30.53% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 20th)
  • 68.16 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 20th)
  • Led 2.34% of laps he’s run (% ranks 15th)
  • 1 Win, 10.0% (% ranks 4th)
  • 2 Top 10’s, 20.0% (% ranks 21st)
  • 3 Top 15’s, 30.0% (% ranks 24th)
  • 6 finishes outside Top 20, 60.0% (% ranks 27th)
  • 2 DNF’s, 20.0% (% ranks T31st)
  • 0 Stage Wins
  • 5 Stage T10’s, 25.0% (% ranks 17th)
Outlook
Bubba Wallace is notable because of his 2022 Fall race here at Kansas. In Dover Wallace ran half the race in the Top 15, but he ended up in 12th. This improved his Avg. Finish to 19.55 which ranks T23rd on the year, and actually the rest of his stats aren’t too impressive either. His best 2023 Rank above, where the stat isn’t 0, is his 50.18 Laps in Top15% which ranks 16th. On the year he has a 70.14 Avg. Driver Rating, 1 Top 5, 2 Top 10’s, and as many DNF’s as Stage T10’s (4). In the 10 Intermediate races Wallace has ran since the start of 2022 he has a 17.7 Avg. Finish with an 80.13 Avg. Driver Rating. These aren’t too impressive but it sums the races up well as he has 1 Win with 4 Top 10’s, but also 5 finishes outside the Top 20 with 3 DNF’s. The nice thing for Wallace is that his Win came here at Kansas last Fall. In the race he had the 2nd best Driver Rating at 125.9, acquired 13 Stage Pts, led 21.72% of the race, and ran 92% of his laps in the Top 15. This was by far his best race at Kansas as in his 10 starts here he has a 21.9 Avg. Finish with that Win being his lone Top 5. Furthermore only 30.53% of his laps here have been run in the Top 15 and he has more finishes out of the Top 20 (6) than in the Top 15 (3). With that said I think Wallace will be decent this weekend as Toyota’s were fast here last year. I think he could get his 3rd Top 10 this year and finishes between 4th and 12th.
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Daniel Smith
Daniel Smithhttps://pitpassnetwork.com
Cup drivers: Kyle Larson & Ross Chastain, Xfinity drivers: SVG & Ryan Sieg, Truck drivers: Grant Enfinger & Jake Garcia

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