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Statistical Cup Race Finish Projection: Nashville

This article is a race finish projection for the 2023 NASCAR Cup race at Nashville Superspeedway. The finishing order below is determined based on the statistics used in the Nashville Cup Outlook article (mainly track stats and track style stats), weekend practice speeds (both single lap and multi-lap averages), and qualifying results. There is little opinion on the matter as this is based on mostly statistics, so just because a driver with bad stats is in a good car does not mean he will be bumped up based on the car/team he is with.

Last weeks projected winner: Chase Elliott
Finished: 5th
Last weeks winner: Martin Truex Jr.
Projected Finish: 4th

Additional notes from last week:
-2 drivers finished where they were projected (Michael McDowell 7th, Justin Haley 21st)
-11 of the Top 15 drivers were projected to finish in the Top 15

Notable results this week

Winner: Ross Chastain
One to Watch: Chris Buescher
Disappointment: Kyle Busch

Proj. Finish Number Driver Finish/Diff.
1. 1 Ross Chastain 1st +0
2. 45 Tyler Reddick 30th -28
3. 24 William Byron 6th -3
4. 19 Martin Truex Jr. 2nd +2
5. 5 Kyle Larson 5th +0
6. 11 Denny Hamlin 3rd +3
7. 23 Bubba Wallace 15th -8
8. 12 Ryan Blaney 36th -28
9. 9 Chase Elliott 4th +5
10. 4 Kevin Harvick 24th -14
11. 17 Chris Buescher 18th -7
12. 20 Christopher Bell 7th +5
13. 22 Joey Logano 19th -6
14. 54 Ty Gibbs 14th +0
15. 31 Justin Haley 23rd -8
16. 48 Alex Bowman 17th -1
17. 99 Daniel Suarez 12th +5
18. 8 Kyle Busch 9th +9
19. 6 Brad Keselowski 11th +8
20. 16 A.J. Allmendinger 10th +10
21. 43 Erik Jones 8th +13
22. 10 Aric Almirola 25th -3
23. 47 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 22nd +1
24. 3 Austin Dillon 13th +11
25. 2 Austin Cindric 27th -2
26. 41 Ryan Preece 16th +10
27. 14 Chase Briscoe 31st -4
28. 34 Michael McDowell 28th +0
29. 7 Corey LaJoie 20th +9
30. 21 Harrison Burton 21st +9
31. 38 Todd Gilliland 35th -4
32. 42 Noah Gragson 26th +6
33. 51 J.J. Yeley 29th +4
34. 77 Ty Dillon 32nd +2
35. 15 Brennan Poole 33rd +2
36. 78 Josh Bilicki 34th +2

*This will be updated after the race is over so you can compare how the projection did with the actual finishing order.

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Daniel Smith
Daniel Smithhttps://pitpassnetwork.com
Cup drivers: Kyle Larson & Ross Chastain, Xfinity drivers: SVG & Ryan Sieg, Truck drivers: Grant Enfinger & Jake Garcia

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