NASCAR, once again, was plagued by bad weather in New Hampshire. However Monday brought some really good racing and a dominant winning performance by Monday Martin Truex Jr. This weekend NASCAR heads a little further south to the Tricky Triangle, Pocono. I have picked 8 notable drivers to look at, 1 based on the 2023 point standings, 2 based on 2023 stats, 2 based on Big track stats, 1 based on the last Pocono race and 2 based on their overall Pocono stats. Here is a look at those 8 notable drivers 2023 season statistics, along with ranks among drivers in 2023 and ranking through 20 races since the Chase started in 2004. We will also highlight notable streaks accomplished through the year, 2022/23 Big track (2+ miles) statistics and Pocono statistics.
1st in Points – Martin Truex Jr.
| Category | Statistic | 2023 Rank | ªRank Thru 20 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 12.35 | 3rd of 36 | 88th of 828 |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 99.67% | 1st of 36 | T33rd of 828 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 77.89% | 3rd of 36 | 61st of 786‡ |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 99.59 | 2nd of 36 | 68th of 786‡ |
| Wins | 3 | T2nd of 59 | T26th of 1263 |
| Poles | 1 | T5th of 59 | T77th of 1263 |
| Top 2’s | 4 | T3rd of 59 | T47th of 1263 |
| Top 3’s | 6 | T1st of 59 | T37th of 1263 |
| Top 5’s | 7 | T3rd of 59 | T63rd of 1263 |
| Top 10’s | 10 | T3rd of 59 | T112th of 1263 |
| DNF’s¹ | 1 | T3rd of 36 | T104th of 828 |
| Stage Wins | 3 | T4th of 59 | T26th of 404* |
| Stage T10s | 27 | T2nd of 59 | T19th of 404* |
| Stage Pts | 159 | 2nd of 59 | 23rd of 404* |
| Playoff Pts² | 18 | 2nd of 59 | 15th of 404* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2004
¹Ranks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 20 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 2 straight Top 2 finishes (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
- 2 straight Top 3 finishes
- 4 straight Top 5 finishes (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
- 2022/23 Big track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Big track start, 42 drivers)
- 4 Races, Avg. Finish 9.25(5th), 67.63% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 87.13(9th), Best 6th, Worst 13th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 0.26% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 0 Top 5’s, 2 Top 10’s, 4 Top 15’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 1.75 Stage Pts Per Stage
- Pocono Statistics
- 2022 Pocono Race
- Finished 7th, Started 8th, Led 2 laps (1.25%), Finished 7th in Stage 1 and 10th in Stage 2, ran 137 Laps in Top15 (85.63% of laps he ran), had 89.1 Driver Rating (ranked 10th)
- Notable Pocono Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Pocono, 44 drivers)
- 33 Races
- 14.48 Avg. Finish (Ranks 11th)
- Best Finish: 1st, Worst: 38th
- Completed 97.41% of laps (% ranks 22nd)
- 55.15% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 16th)
- 88.17 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 10th)
- Led 4.43% of laps he’s run (% ranks 8th)
- 2 Wins, 6.06% (% ranks 8th)
- 6 Top 3’s, 18.18% (% ranks T6th)
- 6 Top 5’s, 18.18% (% ranks T13th)
- 14 Top 10’s, 42.42% (% ranks 11th)
- 7 finishes outside Top 20, 21.21% (% ranks T8th)
- 2 DNF’s, 6.06% (% ranks 20th)
- 2 Stage Wins, 9.09% (% ranks T3rd)
- 15 Stage T10’s, 68.18% (% ranks 4th)
- 4.14 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks T4th)
Main Points & Outlook
– Martin Truex Jr. is notable because of his 2023 season stats
– At New Hampshire Truex led 84.4% of the laps and swept the stages en route to getting his 3rd win of the season
– He has only two 1st place ranks in the 2023 Ranks above (99.67 Completed Laps% and 6 Top 3’s)
– Only two of his ranks are worse than 3rd (1 Pole, ranks T5th and 3 Stage Wins, ranks T4th)
– In the 4 Big track races ran since the start of 2022 he has a 9.25 Avg. Finish (5th best) and an 87.13 Avg. Driver Rating (9th best)
– He’s finished all 4 races between 6th and 13th with only 2 Top 10’s
– He’s only ran 68% of his laps in the Top 15, led 0.26% of his laps, and has just 1.75 Stage Pts Per Stage in the 4 races
– At Pocono last year Truex finished 7th, had the 10th best Driver Rating (89.1), and ran 85.63% of his laps in the Top 15
– In his Cup career he’s ran 33 races at Pocono with a 14.48 Avg. Finish and an 88.17 Avg. Driver Rating
– At Pocono he has 2 Wins, 6 Top 3’s, 6 Top 5’s, 7 finishes out of the Top 20, and 2 DNF’s
– He’s only ran 55.15% of his laps in the Top 15 at Pocono, has just 2 Stage Wins, and 4.14 Stage Pts Per Stage
Outlook for this weekend
Looking at the stats above it is hard to say for sure that Truex will be in the Top 15 all day, but a Top 15 finish seems like a sure thing, as long as nothing happens. In the end I expect Truex to finish somewhere between 3rd and 9th probably, but I wouldn’t be surprised if he wins.
– Martin Truex Jr. is notable because of his 2023 season stats
– At New Hampshire Truex led 84.4% of the laps and swept the stages en route to getting his 3rd win of the season
– He has only two 1st place ranks in the 2023 Ranks above (99.67 Completed Laps% and 6 Top 3’s)
– Only two of his ranks are worse than 3rd (1 Pole, ranks T5th and 3 Stage Wins, ranks T4th)
– In the 4 Big track races ran since the start of 2022 he has a 9.25 Avg. Finish (5th best) and an 87.13 Avg. Driver Rating (9th best)
– He’s finished all 4 races between 6th and 13th with only 2 Top 10’s
– He’s only ran 68% of his laps in the Top 15, led 0.26% of his laps, and has just 1.75 Stage Pts Per Stage in the 4 races
– At Pocono last year Truex finished 7th, had the 10th best Driver Rating (89.1), and ran 85.63% of his laps in the Top 15
– In his Cup career he’s ran 33 races at Pocono with a 14.48 Avg. Finish and an 88.17 Avg. Driver Rating
– At Pocono he has 2 Wins, 6 Top 3’s, 6 Top 5’s, 7 finishes out of the Top 20, and 2 DNF’s
– He’s only ran 55.15% of his laps in the Top 15 at Pocono, has just 2 Stage Wins, and 4.14 Stage Pts Per Stage
Outlook for this weekend
Looking at the stats above it is hard to say for sure that Truex will be in the Top 15 all day, but a Top 15 finish seems like a sure thing, as long as nothing happens. In the end I expect Truex to finish somewhere between 3rd and 9th probably, but I wouldn’t be surprised if he wins.
2nd in Points – William Byron
| Category | Statistic | 2023 Rank | ªRank Thru 20 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 12.05 | 2nd of 36 | T75th of 828 |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 98.45% | 11th of 36 | T147th of 828 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 78.74% | 2nd of 36 | 56th of 786‡ |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 100.55 | 1st of 36 | 58th of 786‡ |
| Wins | 4 | 1st of 59 | T8th of 1263 |
| Poles | 2 | T2nd of 59 | T33rd of 1263 |
| Top 2’s | 5 | T1st of 59 | T25th of 1263 |
| Top 3’s | 6 | T1st of 59 | T37th of 1263 |
| Top 5’s | 8 | 2nd of 59 | T45th of 1263 |
| Top 10’s | 11 | 2nd of 59 | T75th of 1263 |
| DNF’s¹ | 2 | T13th of 36 | T282nd of 828 |
| Stage Wins | 7 | 1st of 59 | T4th of 404* |
| Stage T10s | 27 | T2nd of 59 | T19th of 404* |
| Stage Pts | 194 | 1st of 59 | 10th of 404* |
| Playoff Pts² | 27 | 1st of 59 | T6th of 404* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2004
¹Ranks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 20 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 2 straight Wins (longest streak in Cup Series this year)
- 2 straight Top 2 finishes (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
- 3 straight Top 3 finishes (longest streak in Cup Series this year)
- 4 straight Top 5 finishes (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
- 6 straight Top 10 finishes
- 2022/23 Big track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Big track start, 42 drivers)
- 4 Races, Avg. Finish 20.75(T23rd), 77.15% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 84.48(12th), Best 12th, Worst 34th, Laps Completed 93.29%, Led 2.26% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 0 Top 5’s, 0 Top 10’s, 2 Top 15’s, 2 Finishes out of Top 20, 1 DNF, 0 Stage Wins, 4.0 Stage Pts Per Stage
- Pocono Statistics
- 2022 Pocono Race
- Finished 12th, Started 18th, Led 0 laps, Finished 6th in Stage 1 and 5th in Stage 2, ran 86 Laps in Top15 (53.75% of laps he ran), had 82.7 Driver Rating (ranked 12th)
- Notable Pocono Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Pocono, 44 drivers)
- 9 Races
- 9.44 Avg. Finish (Ranks 1st)
- Best Finish: 3rd, Worst: 18th
- Completed 100% of laps (% ranks T1st)
- 67.33% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 8th)
- 93.06 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 8th)
- Led 5.2% of laps he’s run (% ranks 7th)
- 0 Top 2’s
- 1 Top 3, 11.11% (% ranks 12th)
- 5 Top 10’s, 55.56% (% ranks 6th)
- 8 Top 15’s, 88.89% (% ranks 1st)
- 0 finishes outside Top 20, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 1 Stage Wins, 5.56% (% ranks 7th)
- 3.06 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 8th)
Main Points & Outlook
– William Byron is notable because of his really good 2023 stats thru 20 races
– Byron struggled at New Hampshire running only 62% of his laps in the Top 15 and finishing 24th
– He ranks 2nd or better in 13 of the 15 2023 Ranks above
– His 4 Wins rank T8th thru 20 races since 2004, his 7 Stage Wins rank T4th thru 20 races all-time, and his 194 Stage Pts are 10th most thru 20 races all-time
– His 20.75 Avg. Finish in the last 4 Big track races is tied for 23rd best and his 84.48 Avg. Driver Rating in the 4 races is 12th best
– He’s ran 77% of his Big track laps in the Top 15, has a best finish of 12th, 2 Top 15, and 4.0 Stage Pts Per Stage
– Last year at Pocono Byron ran only 54% of his laps in the Top 15, led 0 laps, had the 12th best Driver Rating (82.7), and finished 12th
– He has the best active Avg. Finish at Pocono (9.44), but 9th best active Avg. Driver Rating (93.06)
– His best finish is only 3rd, he has 5 Top 10’s, and 8 Top 15’s in 9 Pocono races
Outlook for this weekend
Byron’s finishes at Pocono are better than he’s run and nothing in the stats above tell me he will challenge for the win this weekend. Overall I think he does okay this weekend, finishing between 6th and 15th.
– William Byron is notable because of his really good 2023 stats thru 20 races
– Byron struggled at New Hampshire running only 62% of his laps in the Top 15 and finishing 24th
– He ranks 2nd or better in 13 of the 15 2023 Ranks above
– His 4 Wins rank T8th thru 20 races since 2004, his 7 Stage Wins rank T4th thru 20 races all-time, and his 194 Stage Pts are 10th most thru 20 races all-time
– His 20.75 Avg. Finish in the last 4 Big track races is tied for 23rd best and his 84.48 Avg. Driver Rating in the 4 races is 12th best
– He’s ran 77% of his Big track laps in the Top 15, has a best finish of 12th, 2 Top 15, and 4.0 Stage Pts Per Stage
– Last year at Pocono Byron ran only 54% of his laps in the Top 15, led 0 laps, had the 12th best Driver Rating (82.7), and finished 12th
– He has the best active Avg. Finish at Pocono (9.44), but 9th best active Avg. Driver Rating (93.06)
– His best finish is only 3rd, he has 5 Top 10’s, and 8 Top 15’s in 9 Pocono races
Outlook for this weekend
Byron’s finishes at Pocono are better than he’s run and nothing in the stats above tell me he will challenge for the win this weekend. Overall I think he does okay this weekend, finishing between 6th and 15th.
3rd in Points – Christopher Bell
| Category | Statistic | 2023 Rank | ªRank Thru 20 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 14.3 | 8th of 36 | 162nd of 828 |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 95.62% | 25th of 36 | 377th of 828 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 73.31% | 4th of 36 | 111th of 786‡ |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 90.85 | 5th of 36 | 158th of 786‡ |
| Wins | 1 | T5th of 59 | T98th of 1263 |
| Poles | 1 | T5th of 59 | T77th of 1263 |
| Top 2’s | 1 | T10th of 59 | T184th of 1263 |
| Top 3’s | 3 | T8th of 59 | T137th of 1263 |
| Top 5’s | 5 | T7th of 59 | T144th of 1263 |
| Top 10’s | 10 | T3rd of 59 | T112th of 1263 |
| DNF’s¹ | 3 | T23rd of 36 | T468th of 828 |
| Stage Wins | 2 | T7th of 59 | T42nd of 404* |
| Stage T10s | 28 | 1st of 59 | T13th of 404* |
| Stage Pts | 138 | 5th of 59 | T42nd of 404* |
| Playoff Pts² | 7 | T9th of 59 | T46th of 404* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2004
¹Ranks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 20 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 2 straight Top 5 finishes
- 3 straight Top 10 finishes
- 2022/23 Big track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Big track start, 42 drivers)
- 4 Races, Avg. Finish 24.5(33rd), 71.59% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 71.93(18th), Best 4th, Worst 36th, Laps Completed 70.39%, Led 8.6% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 1 Top 5, 1 Top 10, 1 Top 15, 3 Finishes out of Top 20, 3 DNF’s, 1 Stage Wins, 2.38 Stage Pts Per Stage
- Pocono Statistics
- 2022 Pocono Race
- Finished 4th, Started 11th, Led 14 laps (8.75%), Finished 9th in Stage 2, ran 139 Laps in Top15 (86.88% of laps he ran), had 102.3 Driver Rating (ranked 5th)
- Notable Pocono Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Pocono, 44 drivers)
- 5 Races
- 19.2 Avg. Finish (Ranks 19th)
- Best Finish: 4th, Worst: 39th
- Completed 84.86% of laps (% ranks 39th)
- 59.09% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 12th)
- 81.38 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 14th)
- Led 2.86% of laps he’s run (% ranks 13th)
- 0 Top 3’s
- 2 Top 5’s, 40.0% (% ranks 4th)
- 2 Top 15’s, 40.0% (% ranks 18th)
- 2 finishes outside Top 20, 40.0% (% ranks T17th)
- 1 DNF, 20.0% (% ranks T36th)
- 0 Stage Wins
- 1.7 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 12th)
Main Points & Outlook
– Christopher Bell is notable because he’s 3rd in points
– Bell had a good race going last week until a late wreck put him P29 at the races end
– 8 of his 15 2023 Ranks above are 7th or worst
– He only has 1 Top 2 (a Win), 3 Top 3’s, 5 Top 5’s, and 10 Top 10’s this year leading to a 14.3 Avg. Finish (8th best)
– He has the most Stage T10’s this year (28) and the 5th most Stage Pts (138)
– In the last 4 Big track races he has only a 24.5 Avg. Finish, a 71.93 Avg. Driver Rating, 1 Top 5, 1 Top 15, and 3 DNF’s.
– In the 4 races he’s ran 71.59% of his laps in the Top 15 and has gotten 2.38 Stage Pts Per Stage
– Bell’s Pocono race last year was his best finish in the 4 races as he finished 4th
– In the race he ran 87% of his laps in the Top 15, had the 5th best Driver Rating (102.3), and led 8.75% of the race
– This 4th place finish was his best finish at Pocono, his 2nd Top 5, and also his 2nd Top 15
– He has 2 finishes out of the Top 20 here, 1 DNF, a 19.2 Avg. Finish, and an 81.38 Avg. Driver Rating
Outlook for this weekend
The stats say this weekend will be a struggle for Bell as he’s either ran great or terrible at Pocono and his Big track stats in the Next Gen car are putrid. With all of that said I think Bell finishes either Top 5 this weekend or out of the Top 20.
– Christopher Bell is notable because he’s 3rd in points
– Bell had a good race going last week until a late wreck put him P29 at the races end
– 8 of his 15 2023 Ranks above are 7th or worst
– He only has 1 Top 2 (a Win), 3 Top 3’s, 5 Top 5’s, and 10 Top 10’s this year leading to a 14.3 Avg. Finish (8th best)
– He has the most Stage T10’s this year (28) and the 5th most Stage Pts (138)
– In the last 4 Big track races he has only a 24.5 Avg. Finish, a 71.93 Avg. Driver Rating, 1 Top 5, 1 Top 15, and 3 DNF’s.
– In the 4 races he’s ran 71.59% of his laps in the Top 15 and has gotten 2.38 Stage Pts Per Stage
– Bell’s Pocono race last year was his best finish in the 4 races as he finished 4th
– In the race he ran 87% of his laps in the Top 15, had the 5th best Driver Rating (102.3), and led 8.75% of the race
– This 4th place finish was his best finish at Pocono, his 2nd Top 5, and also his 2nd Top 15
– He has 2 finishes out of the Top 20 here, 1 DNF, a 19.2 Avg. Finish, and an 81.38 Avg. Driver Rating
Outlook for this weekend
The stats say this weekend will be a struggle for Bell as he’s either ran great or terrible at Pocono and his Big track stats in the Next Gen car are putrid. With all of that said I think Bell finishes either Top 5 this weekend or out of the Top 20.
4th in Points – Denny Hamlin
| Category | Statistic | 2023 Rank | ªRank Thru 20 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 13.4 | 5th of 36 | T117th of 828 |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 95.48% | 26th of 36 | T388th of 828 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 80.81% | 1st of 36 | 42nd of 786‡ |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 95.7 | 3rd of 36 | 102nd of 786‡ |
| Wins | 1 | T5th of 59 | T98th of 1263 |
| Poles | 3 | 1st of 59 | T14th of 1263 |
| Top 2’s | 2 | T7th of 59 | T114th of 1263 |
| Top 3’s | 3 | T8th of 59 | T137th of 1263 |
| Top 5’s | 5 | T7th of 59 | T144th of 1263 |
| Top 10’s | 8 | T8th of 59 | T201st of 1263 |
| DNF’s¹ | 2 | T13th of 36 | T282nd of 828 |
| Stage Wins | 4 | 3rd of 59 | T17th of 404* |
| Stage T10s | 24 | T4th of 59 | T35th of 404* |
| Stage Pts | 148 | T3rd of 59 | T30th of 404* |
| Playoff Pts² | 9 | 6th of 59 | T35th of 404* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2004
¹Ranks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 20 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 2 straight Top 5 finishes
- 2022/23 Big track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Big track start, 42 drivers)
- 4 Races, Avg. Finish 14.75(T13th), 91.97% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 113.43(1st), Best 3rd, Worst 35th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 9.21% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 1 Pole, 1 Top 3, 1 Top 5, 2 Top 10’s, 3 Top 15’s, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 1 Stage Wins, 3.88 Stage Pts Per Stage
- Pocono Statistics
- 2022 Pocono Race
- Finished 35th (disqualified), Started 1st, Led 21 laps (13.13%), got 0 Stage T10’s, ran 143 Laps in Top15 (89.38% of laps he ran), had 129.0 Driver Rating (ranked 2nd)
- Notable Pocono Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Pocono, 44 drivers)
- 33 Races
- 11.85 Avg. Finish (Ranks 4th)
- Best Finish: 1st, Worst: 43rd
- Completed 96.52% of laps (% ranks 23rd)
- 83.93% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 1st)
- 107.74 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 1st)
- Led 15.43% of laps he’s run (% ranks 1st)
- 6 Wins, 18.18% (% ranks 1st)
- 4 Poles, 12.12% (% ranks 1st)
- 9 Top 3’s, 27.27% (% ranks 3rd)
- 14 Top 5’s, 42.42% (% ranks 3rd)
- 21 Top 10’s, 63.64% (% ranks T1st)
- 7 finishes outside Top 20, 21.21% (% ranks T8th)
- 3 DNF’s, 9.09% (% ranks T25th)
- 0 Stage Wins
- 10 Stage T10’s, 45.45% (% ranks 8th)
Main Points & Outlook
– Denny Hamlin is notable because of his incredible career stats here at Pocono
– Last week Hamlin ran 96% of his laps in the Top 15 and finished 7th
– This was his 8th Top 10 this year and on the year he has a 13.4 Avg. Finish with a 95.7 Avg. Driver Rating
– All but 2 of his 15 2023 Ranks above are 8th or better, including his 80.81 Laps in Top 15% (1st), 3 Poles (1st), 4 Stage Wins (3rd), and 148 Stage Pts (T3rd)
– In the 4 Big track races in the Next Gen car he has 1 Top 3, 2 Top 10’s, 3 Top 15’s, a best finish of 3rd, worst of 35th, and a 14.75 Avg. Finish
– He has the best Avg. Driver Rating (113.43) in the 4 races, has ran 92% of his laps in the Top 15, and has gotten 3.88 Stage Pts Per Stage
– Last year at Pocono Hamlin finished 1st before being disqualified to finish 35th
– In the race he led 13% of the race, ran 89% of the race in the Top 15, and had the 2nd best Driver Rating (129.0)
– He’s ran 33 races at Pocono in his Cup career and has an 11.85 Avg. Finish, a 107.74 Avg. Driver Rating, and 6 Wins
– His 83.93 Laps in Top 15%, 107.74 Avg. Driver Rating, 15.43 Laps Led%, 18.18 Win%, 12.12 Pole%, and 63.64 Top 10% at Pocono are all best among active drivers
– He has never won a stage here and only has 10 Stage T10’s in 22 stages
Outlook for this weekend
Looking at the stats Hamlin may not get many Stage Pts this weekend at Pocono, but it seems he will be there at the end. At the finish of the race I expect Hamlin to be in the Top 10, finishing between 1st and 5th most likely.
– Denny Hamlin is notable because of his incredible career stats here at Pocono
– Last week Hamlin ran 96% of his laps in the Top 15 and finished 7th
– This was his 8th Top 10 this year and on the year he has a 13.4 Avg. Finish with a 95.7 Avg. Driver Rating
– All but 2 of his 15 2023 Ranks above are 8th or better, including his 80.81 Laps in Top 15% (1st), 3 Poles (1st), 4 Stage Wins (3rd), and 148 Stage Pts (T3rd)
– In the 4 Big track races in the Next Gen car he has 1 Top 3, 2 Top 10’s, 3 Top 15’s, a best finish of 3rd, worst of 35th, and a 14.75 Avg. Finish
– He has the best Avg. Driver Rating (113.43) in the 4 races, has ran 92% of his laps in the Top 15, and has gotten 3.88 Stage Pts Per Stage
– Last year at Pocono Hamlin finished 1st before being disqualified to finish 35th
– In the race he led 13% of the race, ran 89% of the race in the Top 15, and had the 2nd best Driver Rating (129.0)
– He’s ran 33 races at Pocono in his Cup career and has an 11.85 Avg. Finish, a 107.74 Avg. Driver Rating, and 6 Wins
– His 83.93 Laps in Top 15%, 107.74 Avg. Driver Rating, 15.43 Laps Led%, 18.18 Win%, 12.12 Pole%, and 63.64 Top 10% at Pocono are all best among active drivers
– He has never won a stage here and only has 10 Stage T10’s in 22 stages
Outlook for this weekend
Looking at the stats Hamlin may not get many Stage Pts this weekend at Pocono, but it seems he will be there at the end. At the finish of the race I expect Hamlin to be in the Top 10, finishing between 1st and 5th most likely.
8th in Points – Kyle Larson
| Category | Statistic | 2023 Rank | ªRank Thru 20 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 15.6 | 14th of 36 | T229th of 828 |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 94.46% | 29th of 36 | T458th of 828 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 72.66% | 6th of 36 | 117th of 786‡ |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 93.81 | 4th of 36 | T122nd of 786‡ |
| Wins | 2 | 4th of 59 | T49th of 1263 |
| Poles | 2 | T2nd of 59 | T33rd of 1263 |
| Top 2’s | 4 | T3rd of 59 | T47th of 1263 |
| Top 3’s | 5 | T4th of 59 | T59th of 1263 |
| Top 5’s | 9 | 1st of 59 | T26th of 1263 |
| Top 10’s | 10 | T3rd of 59 | T112th of 1263 |
| DNF’s¹ | 6 | T34th of 36 | T769th of 828 |
| Stage Wins | 2 | T7th of 59 | T42nd of 404* |
| Stage T10s | 23 | T5th of 59 | T42nd of 404* |
| Stage Pts | 133 | 7th of 59 | 50th of 404* |
| Playoff Pts² | 12 | 4th of 59 | T27th of 404* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2004
¹Ranks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 20 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 2 straight Top 5 finishes
- 4 straight Top 10 finishes
- 2022/23 Big track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Big track start, 42 drivers)
- 4 Races, Avg. Finish 10.5(10th), 70.07% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 93.85(4th), Best 1st, Worst 29th, Laps Completed 98.03%, Led 6.17% of laps he ran, 1 Win, 0 Poles, 1 Top 3, 2 Top 5’s, 3 Top 10’s, 3 Top 15’s, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 1 Stage Win, 4.13 Stage Pts Per Stage
- Pocono Statistics
- 2022 Pocono Race
- Finished 5th, Started 4th, Led 18 laps (11.25%), Finished 1st in Stage 1 and 8th in Stage 2, ran 140 Laps in Top15 (87.5% of laps he ran), had 106.2 Driver Rating (ranked 3rd)
- Notable Pocono Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Pocono, 44 drivers)
- 15 Races
- 11.0 Avg. Finish (Ranks 3rd)
- Best Finish: 2nd, Worst: 33rd
- Completed 99.44% of laps (% ranks 11th)
- 77.91% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 2nd)
- 97.15 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 4th)
- Led 5.77% of laps he’s run (% ranks 5th)
- 0 Wins
- 2 Top 2’s, 13.33% (% ranks 6th)
- 5 Top 5’s, 33.33% (% ranks 6th)
- 12 Top 15’s, 80.0% (% ranks 2nd)
- 3 finishes outside Top 20, 20.0% (% ranks T6th)
- 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 4 Stage Wins, 22.22% (% ranks 1st)
- 15 Stage T10’s, 83.33% (% ranks 1st)
- 5.11 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 2nd)
Main Points & Outlook
– Kyle Larson is notable because of his stats in his 15 races here at Pocono
– In New Hampshire Larson ran 87.7% of his laps in the Top 15 and finished 3rd
– This was his Series leading 9th Top 5, the only 2023 Rank above he is 1st in
– He has 2 Wins, 5 Top 3’s, and 10 Top 10’s, but also 6 DNF’s this year leading to his 15.6 Avg. Finish
– His 93.81 Avg. Driver Rating is 4th best in the 2023 Ranks above
– In the 4 Big track races since the start of 2022 he has ran only 70% of his laps in the Top 15, but has 1 Win, 2 Top 5’s, and 3 Top 10’s
– In the 4 races he has a 10.5 Avg. Finish, a 93.85 Avg. Driver Rating, and 4.13 Stage Pts Per Stage with 1 Stage Win
– In the 2022 Pocono race Larson won Stage 1, led 11.25% of the race, ran 87.5% of his laps in the Top 15, had the 3rd best Driver Rating (106.2), but finished 5th
– He’s has ran 15 races at Pocono and has an 11.0 Avg. Finish with 0 Wins, 2 Top 2’s, 5 Top 5’s, and 12 Top 10’s
– Every race he’s finished out of the Top 10 here has also been out of the Top 20
– He’s ran 78% of his laps here in the Top 15, has a 97.15 Avg. Driver Rating, 4 Stage Wins, 15 Stage T10’s, and has gotten 5.11 Stage Pts Per Stage
Outlook for this weekend
When you look at the stats it is clear to see that Larson will run well this weekend and probably be there at the end of the race, either that or he’ll have a problem and DNF. This weekend as long as nothing big happens I expect Larson to be in the mix all day and finish somewhere between 1st and 7th.
– Kyle Larson is notable because of his stats in his 15 races here at Pocono
– In New Hampshire Larson ran 87.7% of his laps in the Top 15 and finished 3rd
– This was his Series leading 9th Top 5, the only 2023 Rank above he is 1st in
– He has 2 Wins, 5 Top 3’s, and 10 Top 10’s, but also 6 DNF’s this year leading to his 15.6 Avg. Finish
– His 93.81 Avg. Driver Rating is 4th best in the 2023 Ranks above
– In the 4 Big track races since the start of 2022 he has ran only 70% of his laps in the Top 15, but has 1 Win, 2 Top 5’s, and 3 Top 10’s
– In the 4 races he has a 10.5 Avg. Finish, a 93.85 Avg. Driver Rating, and 4.13 Stage Pts Per Stage with 1 Stage Win
– In the 2022 Pocono race Larson won Stage 1, led 11.25% of the race, ran 87.5% of his laps in the Top 15, had the 3rd best Driver Rating (106.2), but finished 5th
– He’s has ran 15 races at Pocono and has an 11.0 Avg. Finish with 0 Wins, 2 Top 2’s, 5 Top 5’s, and 12 Top 10’s
– Every race he’s finished out of the Top 10 here has also been out of the Top 20
– He’s ran 78% of his laps here in the Top 15, has a 97.15 Avg. Driver Rating, 4 Stage Wins, 15 Stage T10’s, and has gotten 5.11 Stage Pts Per Stage
Outlook for this weekend
When you look at the stats it is clear to see that Larson will run well this weekend and probably be there at the end of the race, either that or he’ll have a problem and DNF. This weekend as long as nothing big happens I expect Larson to be in the mix all day and finish somewhere between 1st and 7th.
17th in Points – Daniel Suarez
| Category | Statistic | 2023 Rank | ªRank Thru 20 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 18.3 | 20th of 36 | 349th of 828 |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 90.16% | 33rd of 36 | T669 of 828 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 49.9% | 17th of 36 | 302nd of 786‡ |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 72.79 | 18th of 36 | 367th of 786‡ |
| Wins | 0 | T13th of 59 | T221st of 1263 |
| Poles | 0 | T12th of 59 | T209th of 1263 |
| Top 2’s | 1 | T10th of 59 | T184th of 1263 |
| Top 3’s | 1 | T13th of 59 | T265th of 1263 |
| Top 5’s | 2 | T18th of 59 | T298th of 1263 |
| Top 10’s | 6 | T15th of 59 | T288th of 1263 |
| DNF’s¹ | 3 | T23rd of 36 | T468th of 828 |
| Stage Wins | 0 | T18th of 59 | T103rd of 404* |
| Stage T10s | 13 | T13th of 59 | T102nd of 404* |
| Stage Pts | 57 | 15th of 59 | T107th of 404* |
| Playoff Pts² | 0 | 20th of 59 | T119th of 404* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2004
¹Ranks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 20 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 3 straight Top 10 finishes
- 2022/23 Big track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Big track start, 42 drivers)
- 4 Races, Avg. Finish 9.0(T3rd), 70.84% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 93.55(5th), Best 3rd, Worst 25th, Laps Completed 99.74%, Led 4.35% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 1 Top 3, 3 Top 5’s, 3 Top 10’s, 3 Top 15’s, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 4.5 Stage Pts Per Stage
- Pocono Statistics
- 2022 Pocono Race
- Finished 3rd, Started 9th, Led 0 laps, Finished 3rd in Stage 1 and 6th in Stage 2, ran 125 Laps in Top15 (78.13% of laps he ran), had 99.7 Driver Rating (ranked 6th)
- Notable Pocono Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Pocono, 44 drivers)
- 11 Races
- 15.0 Avg. Finish (Ranks 12th)
- Best Finish: 2nd, Worst: 28th
- Completed 99.82% of laps (% ranks 8th)
- 56.13% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 15th)
- 77.08 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 15th)
- Led 2.34% of laps he’s run (% ranks 18th)
- 0 Wins
- 1 Top 2, 9.09% (% ranks T7th)
- 2 Top 3’s, 18.18% (% ranks T6th)
- 4 Top 10’s, 36.36% (% ranks 16th)
- 7 Top 15’s, 63.64% (% ranks T10th)
- 4 finishes outside Top 20, 36.36% (% ranks T13th)
- 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 Stage Wins
- 7 Stage T10’s, 31.82% (% ranks 13th)
Main Points & Outlook
– Daniel Suarez is notable because of his stats in the last 4 Big track races
– Suarez was average last week and finished average as well, in 16th
– This race improved his Avg. Finish to 18.3 and his Laps in Top15% to 49.9
– His best rank in the 2023 Ranks above is 10th (1 Top 2) and 4 of his 2023 Ranks are actually 20th or worse
– On the year he has just 2 Top 5’s and 6 Top 10’s
– In the last 4 Big track races he has a 9.0 Avg. Finish (T3rd best) and a 93.55 Avg. Driver Rating (5th best) with 3 Top 5’s
– His only finish out of the Top 5 in the 4 races is a 25th place finish (Michigan)
– At Pocono last year Suarez ran 78% of his laps in the Top 15, led 0 laps, got 13 Stage Pts, had the 6th best Driver Rating (99.7), and finished 3rd
– This was his 11th Pocono race, his 2nd Top 3, 4th Top 10, and 7th Top 15
– He has 4 finishes out of the Top 20 here, a 15.0 Avg. Finish, just a 77.08 Avg. Driver Rating, and he’s only ran 56% of his laps here in the Top 15
Outlook for this weekend
It’s no secret that Suarez has struggled this year as a whole, but his Big track success gives room for optimism this weekend. However, his Pocono career stats are hit or miss. Overall I expect Suarez to be okay this weekend, but not a contender for the win as he’ll finish between 8th and 20th.
– Daniel Suarez is notable because of his stats in the last 4 Big track races
– Suarez was average last week and finished average as well, in 16th
– This race improved his Avg. Finish to 18.3 and his Laps in Top15% to 49.9
– His best rank in the 2023 Ranks above is 10th (1 Top 2) and 4 of his 2023 Ranks are actually 20th or worse
– On the year he has just 2 Top 5’s and 6 Top 10’s
– In the last 4 Big track races he has a 9.0 Avg. Finish (T3rd best) and a 93.55 Avg. Driver Rating (5th best) with 3 Top 5’s
– His only finish out of the Top 5 in the 4 races is a 25th place finish (Michigan)
– At Pocono last year Suarez ran 78% of his laps in the Top 15, led 0 laps, got 13 Stage Pts, had the 6th best Driver Rating (99.7), and finished 3rd
– This was his 11th Pocono race, his 2nd Top 3, 4th Top 10, and 7th Top 15
– He has 4 finishes out of the Top 20 here, a 15.0 Avg. Finish, just a 77.08 Avg. Driver Rating, and he’s only ran 56% of his laps here in the Top 15
Outlook for this weekend
It’s no secret that Suarez has struggled this year as a whole, but his Big track success gives room for optimism this weekend. However, his Pocono career stats are hit or miss. Overall I expect Suarez to be okay this weekend, but not a contender for the win as he’ll finish between 8th and 20th.
23rd in Points – Chase Elliott
| Category | Statistic | 2023 Rank | ªRank Thru 20 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 11.85 | 1st of 36 | T70th of 828 |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 90.76% | 32nd of 36 | 653rd of 828 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 58.49% | 14th of 36 | 232nd of 786‡ |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 81.2 | 13th of 36 | 272nd of 786‡ |
| Wins | 0 | T13th of 59 | T221st of 1263 |
| Poles | 0 | T12th of 59 | T209th of 1263 |
| Top 2’s | 1 | T10th of 59 | T184th of 1263 |
| Top 3’s | 3 | T8th of 59 | T137th of 1263 |
| Top 5’s | 5 | T7th of 59 | T144th of 1263 |
| Top 10’s | 7 | 14th of 59 | T249th of 1263 |
| DNF’s¹ | 2 | T13th of 36 | T282nd of 828 |
| Stage Wins | 1 | T12th of 59 | T72nd of 404* |
| Stage T10s | 7 | T23rd of 59 | T138th of 404* |
| Stage Pts | 35 | 23rd of 59 | 132nd of 404* |
| Playoff Pts² | 1 | T14th of 59 | T96th of 404* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2004
¹Ranks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 20 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 3 straight Top 5 finishes
- 2022/23 Big track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Big track start, 42 drivers)
- 4 Races, Avg. Finish 10.0(T8th), 57.26% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 86.83(10th), Best 1st, Worst 26th, Laps Completed 99.74%, Led 1.72% of laps he ran, 1 Win, 0 Poles, 2 Top 3’s, 2 Top 5’s, 2 Top 10’s, 3 Top 15’s, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 2.25 Stage Pts Per Stage
- Pocono Statistics
- 2022 Pocono Race
- Finished 1st, Started 3rd, Led 0 laps, Finished 2nd in Stage 1 and 7th in Stage 2, ran 127 Laps in Top15 (79.38% of laps he ran), had 104.8 Driver Rating (ranked 4th)
- Notable Pocono Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Pocono, 44 drivers)
- 13 Races
- 14.08 Avg. Finish (Ranks 9th)
- Best Finish: 1st, Worst: 38th
- Completed 95.62% of laps (% ranks T29th)
- 77.49% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 3rd)
- 93.59 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 7th)
- Led 3.57% of laps he’s run (% ranks 10th)
- 1 Win, 7.69% (% ranks T4th)
- 4 Top 5’s, 30.77% (% ranks 8th)
- 8 Top 10’s, 61.54% (% ranks 3rd)
- 4 finishes outside Top 20, 30.77% (% ranks 12th)
- 1 DNF, 7.69% (% ranks T22nd)
- 1 Stage Win, 4.55% (% ranks T9th)
- 12 Stage T10’s, 54.55% (% ranks 7th)
- 3.09 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 7th)
Main Points & Outlook
– Chase Elliott is notable because of his race and finish in last years Pocono race
– Elliott struggled last week running only 37% of his laps in the Top 15 and finishing 12th
– He now has the best Avg. Finish in the 2023 Ranks above at 11.85
– In 13 races this year he has 1 Top 2, 3 Top 3’s, 5 Top 5’s, and 7 Top 10’s
– He only has the 13th best Avg. Driver Rating this year at 81.2, he’s only spent 58.49% of his laps in the Top 15, has just 7 Stage T10’s, and only 35 Stage Pts
– He has ran all 4 Big track races since the beginning of 2022 and has 1 Win, 2 Top 3’s, and a 10.0 Avg. Finish.
– In the 4 races he’s ran just 57% of his laps in the Top 15 and only has 2.25 Stage Pts Per Stage
– Last year at Pocono Elliott finished 3rd, then 1st after the top 2 were DQ’d
– In the race he ran 79% of his laps in the Top 15, led 0 laps, got 13 Stage Pts, and had the 4th best Driver Rating (104.8)
– He’s ran 13 races at Pocono with 1 Win, 4 Top 5’s, 8 Top 10’s, 4 finishes out of the Top 20, and a 14.08 Avg. Finish
– In his races here he’s ran 77.49% of his laps in the Top 15, has a 93.59 Avg. Driver Rating, and has only 12 Stage T10’s in 22 stages
Outlook for this weekend
Besides Elliott’s gifted win here last year the stats above do not really suggest he will be the winner Sunday. However, they don’t suggest a bad run either, so with that said I think he ends up with a finish between 5th and 14th.
– Chase Elliott is notable because of his race and finish in last years Pocono race
– Elliott struggled last week running only 37% of his laps in the Top 15 and finishing 12th
– He now has the best Avg. Finish in the 2023 Ranks above at 11.85
– In 13 races this year he has 1 Top 2, 3 Top 3’s, 5 Top 5’s, and 7 Top 10’s
– He only has the 13th best Avg. Driver Rating this year at 81.2, he’s only spent 58.49% of his laps in the Top 15, has just 7 Stage T10’s, and only 35 Stage Pts
– He has ran all 4 Big track races since the beginning of 2022 and has 1 Win, 2 Top 3’s, and a 10.0 Avg. Finish.
– In the 4 races he’s ran just 57% of his laps in the Top 15 and only has 2.25 Stage Pts Per Stage
– Last year at Pocono Elliott finished 3rd, then 1st after the top 2 were DQ’d
– In the race he ran 79% of his laps in the Top 15, led 0 laps, got 13 Stage Pts, and had the 4th best Driver Rating (104.8)
– He’s ran 13 races at Pocono with 1 Win, 4 Top 5’s, 8 Top 10’s, 4 finishes out of the Top 20, and a 14.08 Avg. Finish
– In his races here he’s ran 77.49% of his laps in the Top 15, has a 93.59 Avg. Driver Rating, and has only 12 Stage T10’s in 22 stages
Outlook for this weekend
Besides Elliott’s gifted win here last year the stats above do not really suggest he will be the winner Sunday. However, they don’t suggest a bad run either, so with that said I think he ends up with a finish between 5th and 14th.
28th in Points – Erik Jones
| Category | Statistic | 2023 Rank | ªRank Thru 20 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 19.95 | 24th of 36 | T409th of 828 |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 96.86% | 22nd of 36 | 284th of 828 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 21.9% | 28th of 36 | 474th of 786‡ |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 60.82 | 29th of 36 | 503rd of 786‡ |
| Wins | 0 | T13th of 59 | T221st of 1263 |
| Poles | 0 | T12th of 59 | T209th of 1263 |
| Top 2’s | 0 | T19th of 59 | T329th of 1263 |
| Top 3’s | 0 | T23th of 59 | T404th of 1263 |
| Top 5’s | 0 | T27th of 59 | T498th of 1263 |
| Top 10’s | 3 | T25th of 59 | T425th of 1263 |
| DNF’s¹ | 2 | T13th of 36 | T282nd of 828 |
| Stage Wins | 0 | T18th of 59 | T103rd of 404* |
| Stage T10s | 3 | T28th of 59 | T169th of 404* |
| Stage Pts | 11 | 29th of 59 | T177th of 404* |
| Playoff Pts² | 0 | T20th of 59 | T119th of 404* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2004
¹Ranks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 20 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- none
- 2022/23 Big track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Big track start, 42 drivers)
- 4 Races, Avg. Finish 9.75(T6th), 78.68% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 94.35(2nd), Best 3rd, Worst 19th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 4.47% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 1 Top 3, 1 Top 5, 3 Top 10’s, 3 Top 15’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 5.63 Stage Pts Per Stage
- Pocono Statistics
- 2022 Pocono Race
- Finished 9th, Started 34th, Led 11 laps (6.88%), Finished 5th in Stage 1 and 3rd in Stage 2, ran 118 Laps in Top15 (73.75% of laps he ran), had 93.9 Driver Rating (ranked 8th)
- Notable Pocono Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Pocono, 44 drivers)
- 11 Races
- 13.91 Avg. Finish (Ranks 8th)
- Best Finish: 2nd, Worst: 38th
- Completed 96.1% of laps (% ranks 25th)
- 69.35% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 7th)
- 90.94 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 9th)
- Led 3.5% of laps he’s run (% ranks 11th)
- 0 Wins
- 1 Top 2, 9.09% (% ranks T7th)
- 4 Top 3’s, 36.36% (% ranks 1st)
- 7 Top 10’s, 63.64% (% ranks T1st)
- 4 finishes outside Top 20, 36.36% (% ranks T13th)
- 1 DNF, 9.09% (% ranks T25th)
- 0 Stage Wins
- 1.27 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 15th)
Main Points & Outlook
– Erik Jones is notable because of how he’s done on Big tracks since the start of 2022
– Jones got one of his better finishes of the year last week at New Hampshire as he finished 11th
– His Avg. Finish is now at 19.95, his Avg. Driver Rating is at 60.82, and he’s only ran 22% of his laps in the Top 15 this year
– His best finish this year is 6th and he only has 3 Top 10’s this year
– He only has 3 Stage T10’s and just 11 Stage Pts
– His 9.75 Avg. Finish in the last 4 Big track races is tied for 6th best and his 94.35 Avg. Driver Rating is 2nd best
– He has 1 Top 3, 3 Top 10’s, a worst finish of 19th in the 4 races
– In the 4 Big track races he’s ran 79% of his laps in the Top 15 and has gotten 5.63 Stage Pts Per Stage
– Jones finished 9th at Pocono last year, led 11 laps, ran 74% of his laps in the Top 15, and ended with the 8th best Driver Rating (93.9)
– He’s ran 11 races at Pocono in the Cup Series getting 4 Top 3’s, 7 Top 10’s, and 4 finishes out of the Top 20 leading to a 13.91 Avg. Finish
– He has a 90.94 Avg. Driver Rating here and his Pocono Top 3% and Top10% are best of active drivers
Outlook for this weekend
Jones and LMC have been bad this year, but his Pocono and Big track stats are above average. However, his bad stats out trump these I feel and I see Jones struggling to try to get a Top 15 finish this year, coming home between 14th and 25th.
– Erik Jones is notable because of how he’s done on Big tracks since the start of 2022
– Jones got one of his better finishes of the year last week at New Hampshire as he finished 11th
– His Avg. Finish is now at 19.95, his Avg. Driver Rating is at 60.82, and he’s only ran 22% of his laps in the Top 15 this year
– His best finish this year is 6th and he only has 3 Top 10’s this year
– He only has 3 Stage T10’s and just 11 Stage Pts
– His 9.75 Avg. Finish in the last 4 Big track races is tied for 6th best and his 94.35 Avg. Driver Rating is 2nd best
– He has 1 Top 3, 3 Top 10’s, a worst finish of 19th in the 4 races
– In the 4 Big track races he’s ran 79% of his laps in the Top 15 and has gotten 5.63 Stage Pts Per Stage
– Jones finished 9th at Pocono last year, led 11 laps, ran 74% of his laps in the Top 15, and ended with the 8th best Driver Rating (93.9)
– He’s ran 11 races at Pocono in the Cup Series getting 4 Top 3’s, 7 Top 10’s, and 4 finishes out of the Top 20 leading to a 13.91 Avg. Finish
– He has a 90.94 Avg. Driver Rating here and his Pocono Top 3% and Top10% are best of active drivers
Outlook for this weekend
Jones and LMC have been bad this year, but his Pocono and Big track stats are above average. However, his bad stats out trump these I feel and I see Jones struggling to try to get a Top 15 finish this year, coming home between 14th and 25th.
