Thursday, November 21, 2024
HomeCup SeriesCup Series Notable Drivers Statistics & Outlook: Atlanta

Cup Series Notable Drivers Statistics & Outlook: Atlanta

Last week at Chicago was a surprisingly good race, and as a bonus we got to see something that hasn’t happened in 60 years as Shane Van Gisbergen won in his first NASCAR Cup start. This weekend we could see another surprise winner as we head to a Superspeedway, Atlanta. I have picked 8 notable drivers to look at, 1 based on the 2023 point standings, 2 based on 2023 stats, 2 based on Superspeedway stats, 1 based on the last Atlanta race and 2 based on their overall Atlanta stats. Here is a look at those 8 notable drivers 2023 season statistics, along with ranks among drivers in 2023 and ranking through 18 races since the Chase started in 2004. We will also highlight notable streaks accomplished through the year, 2023 Superspeedway (Drafting tracks) statistics and Atlanta statistics.

1st in Points – Martin Truex Jr.

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 18 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 12.06 4th of 36 75th of 813
 Completed Laps%¹ 99.66% 3rd of 36 T39th of 813
Laps in Top15%¹ 77.11% 3rd of 36 66th of 771‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 97.51 2nd of 36 T82nd of 771‡
 Wins 2 T3rd of 58 T41st of 1236
 Poles 1 T5th of 58 T68th of 1236
 Top 2’s 3 T4th of 58 T65th of 1236
 Top 3’s 5 T1st of 58 T45th of 1236
 Top 5’s 6 T3rd of 58 T74th of 1236
 Top 10’s 9 T4th of 58 T113th of 1236
 DNF’sÂą 1 T3rd of 36 T112th of 813
 Stage Wins 1 T10th of 58 T69th of 397*
 Stage T10s 24 T2nd of 58 T18th of 397*
 Stage Pts 131 4th of 58 36th of 397*
 Playoff Pts² 11 4th of 58 28th of 397*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 18 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 2 straight Top 2 finishes (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
  • 4 straight Top 5 finishes (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
  • 2023 Superspeedway Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Superspeedway start, 43 drivers)
  • 3 Races, Avg. Finish 20.33(23rd), 67.07% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 84.3(8th), Best 15th, Worst 27th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 4.79% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 0 Top 5’s, 0 Top 10’s, 1 Top 15, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 2.83 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Atlanta Statistics
  • 2023 Spring Atlanta Race
  • Finished 19th, Started 29th, Led 0 laps, Finished 10th in Stage 1 and 7th in Stage 2, ran 141 Laps in Top15 (54.23% of laps he ran), had 86.9 Driver Rating (ranked 9th)
  • Notable Atlanta Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Atlanta, 44 drivers)
  • 27 Races
  • 15.11 Avg. Finish (Ranks 8th)
  • Best Finish: 2nd, Worst: 40th
  • Completed 97.14% of laps (% ranks 22nd)
  • 80.98% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 2nd)
  • 95.38 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 5th)
  • Led 4.57% of laps he’s run (% ranks 9th)
  • 0 Wins
  • 1 Top 2, 3.7% (% ranks 12th)
  • 4 Top 3’s, 14.81% (% ranks 9th)
  • 13 Top 10’s, 48.15% (% ranks 6th)
  • 17 Top 15’s, 62.96% (% ranks 6th)
  • 8 finishes outside Top 20, 29.63% (% ranks 9th)
  • 4 DNF’s, 14.81% (% ranks 26th)
  • 2 Stage Wins, 11.11% (% ranks 5th)
  • 13 Stage T10’s, 72.22% (% ranks 3rd)
  • 3.94 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 5th)
Outlook
Martin Truex Jr. is notable because he’s the points leader thru the first 18 races. The first 45 laps were great for Truex at Chicago as he ran up front, but the last 30 saw him spin multiple times and finish 32nd. This took Truex’s Avg. Finish from 1st best to 4th best at 12.06, but the good news is that 4th best is one of his worst ranks as all but one of the 2023 Ranks above are 5th or better. However, only one of them is 1st best, his 5 Top 3’s. In terms of stats he has a 97.51 Avg. Driver Rating, 2 Wins, 6 Top 5’s, 9 Top 10’s, 1 DNF, 24 Stage T10’s, and 131 Stage Pts this year. That’s the good news, but the bad news is Truex’s stats on Superspeedway’s this year. In the 3 races he has 1 Top 15 (15th at Daytona), a 20.33 Avg. Finish, 1 finish out of the Top 20, and 0 DNF’s. That said, there is good news in the fact he’s ran 67% of his laps in the Top 15, led 4.79% of his laps, has an 84.3 Avg. Driver Rating (8th best), and has gotten 2.83 Stage Pts Per Stage. In the Atlanta Spring race Truex ran 54% of his laps in the Top 15, and had the 9th best Driver Rating (86.9); but finished 19th and led 0 laps. Overall at Atlanta Truex has ran 27 races with a 2nd place finish, 13 Top 10’s, 4 DNF’s, 3.94 Stage Pts Per Stage, and a 15.11 Avg. Finish. However, these stats don’t mean much at the new Atlanta, so I see a struggle based on Truex’s Superspeedway stats this year and him finishing between 10th and 25th, or with a DNF.

2nd in Points – William Byron

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 18 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 12.0 3rd of 36 T72nd of 813
 Completed Laps%¹ 98.29% 12th of 36 170th of 813
Laps in Top15%¹ 80.89% 1st of 36 42nd of 771‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 101.88 1st of 36 43rd of 771‡
 Wins 3 T1st of 58 T20th of 1236
 Poles 2 T2nd of 58 T31st of 1236
 Top 2’s 4 T2nd of 58 T35th of 1236
 Top 3’s 5 T1st of 58 T45th of 1236
 Top 5’s 7 2nd of 58 T49th of 1236
 Top 10’s 10 T2nd of 58 T74th of 1236
 DNF’sÂą 2 T14th of 36 T302nd of 813
 Stage Wins 7 1st of 58 T4th of 397*
 Stage T10s 25 1st of 58 T12th of 397*
 Stage Pts 179 1st of 58 T9th of 397*
 Playoff Pts² 22 1st of 58 T7th of 397*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 18 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 2 straight Wins (longest streak in Cup Series this year)
  • 2 straight Top 2 finishes (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
  • 3 straight Top 3 finishes (longest streak in Cup Series this year)
  • 4 straight Top 5 finishes (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
  • 6 straight Top 10 finishes (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
  • 2023 Superspeedway Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Superspeedway start, 43 drivers)
  • 3 Races, Avg. Finish 24.33(T29th), 59.32% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 74.13(15th), Best 7th, Worst 34th, Laps Completed 88.32%, Led 0.17% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 0 Top 5’s, 1 Top 10, 1 Top 15, 2 Finishes out of Top 20, 2 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 2.83 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Atlanta Statistics
  • 2023 Spring Atlanta Race
  • Finished 32nd (crash), Started 11th, Led 0 laps, Finished 5th in Stage 2, ran 181 Laps in Top15 (94.27% of laps he ran), had 75.9 Driver Rating (ranked 16th)
  • Notable Atlanta Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Atlanta, 44 drivers)
  • 8 Races
  • 19.88 Avg. Finish (Ranks 26th)
  • Best Finish: 1st, Worst: 33rd
  • Completed 92.81% of laps (% ranks 31st)
  • 52.69% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 12th)
  • 78.33 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 15th)
  • Led 6.9% of laps he’s run (% ranks 3rd)
  • 1 Win, 12.5% (% ranks 2nd)
  • 1 Top 5, 12.5% (% ranks 17th)
  • 2 Top 10’s, 25.0% (% ranks T21st)
  • 3 finishes outside Top 20, 37.5% (% ranks 20th)
  • 2 DNF’s, 25.0% (% ranks T34th)
  • 1 Stage Win, 6.25% (% ranks 6th)
  • 8 Stage T10’s, 50.0% (% ranks T7th)
Outlook
William Byron is notable because of his 2023 statistics thru 18 races. Byron struggled at Chicago running just 42% of his laps in the Top 15 and finishing 13th. However, even with this Byron still has a 12.0 Avg. Finish (3rd best), and his 80.89 Laps in Top15%, 101.88 Avg. Driver Rating, 3 Wins, 5 Top 3’s, 7 Stage Wins, 25 Stage T10’s, and 179 Stage Pts all still rank 1st or T1st this year. The good news stops there, though, as the 3 Superspeedway races this year have been a struggle for Byron. In the 3 races he has 1 Top 10 (7th at Talladega), a 24.33 Avg. Finish, and a 74.13 Avg. Driver Rating; but he also has 2 DNF’s so maybe if he finishes then the numbers are better. Then again, he has only ran 59% of his laps in the Top 15 and has only led 0.17% of his laps as well. None of those laps led were at the Spring Atlanta race where Byron finished 32nd after a crash with 70 laps to go. However, he did run well in the race as he ran 94.27% of his laps in the Top 15 and despite the bad finish ended with the 16th best Driver Rating (75.9). In his career Byron has 8 starts at Atlanta with a Win (his only Top 5), 2 Top 10’s, and 3 finishes out of the Top 20. Moreover he has just a 19.88 Avg. Finish and has only ran 53% of his laps in the Top 15. All of the stats (other than his 2023 season stats) say Byron will struggle this weekend and I somewhat agree. I think he will run decent all day, but will finish with either a DNF or a Top 10.

6th in Points – Denny Hamlin

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 18 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 13.72 7th of 36 T128th of 813
 Completed Laps%¹ 95.01% 29th of 36 T415th of 813
Laps in Top15%¹ 80.74% 2nd of 36 43rd of 771‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 96.1 3rd of 36 T95th of 771‡
 Wins 1 T5th of 58 T87th of 1236
 Poles 3 1st of 58 T9th of 1236
 Top 2’s 2 T7th of 58 T99th of 1236
 Top 3’s 3 T8th of 58 T118th of 1236
 Top 5’s 5 T6th of 58 T112th of 1236
 Top 10’s 7 T10th of 58 T205th of 1236
 DNF’sÂą 2 T14th of 36 T302nd of 813
 Stage Wins 4 3rd of 58 T13th of 397*
 Stage T10s 22 5th of 58 T33rd of 397*
 Stage Pts 138 3rd of 58 T28th of 397*
 Playoff Pts² 9 6th of 58 T33rd of 397*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 18 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 2 straight Top 5 finishes
  • 2023 Superspeedway Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Superspeedway start, 43 drivers)
  • 3 Races, Avg. Finish 13.33(9th), 85.63% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 96.1(2nd), Best 6th, Worst 17th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 4.04% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 1 Pole, 0 Top 3’s, 0 Top 5’s, 1 Top 10, 1 Top 15, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 2.0 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Atlanta Statistics
  • 2023 Spring Atlanta Race
  • Finished 6th, Started 14th, Led 14 laps (5.38%), Finished 5th in Stage 1 and 8th in Stage 2, ran 260 Laps in Top15 (100% of laps he ran), had 107.8 Driver Rating (ranked 3rd)
  • Notable Atlanta Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Atlanta, 44 drivers)
  • 26 Races
  • 16.96 Avg. Finish (Ranks 15th)
  • Best Finish: 1st, Worst: 43rd
  • Completed 92.97% of laps (% ranks 30th)
  • 78.26% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 4th)
  • 95.17 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 6th)
  • Led 5.67% of laps he’s run (% ranks 8th)
  • 1 Win, 3.85% (% ranks 9th)
  • 3 Top 3’s, 11.54% (% ranks 11th)
  • 6 Top 5’s, 23.08% (% ranks 9th)
  • 9 Top 10’s, 38.46% (% ranks 9th)
  • 9 finishes outside Top 20, 34.62% (% ranks 16th)
  • 4 DNF’s, 15.38% (% ranks T27th)
  • 0 Stage Wins
  • 15 Stage T10’s, 83.33% (% ranks 1st)
  • 4.22 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks T2nd)
Outlook
Denny Hamlin is notable because of his 2023 season statistics. Hamlin started 1st at Chicago, but he struggled after that running most of the race out of the Top 10 and finishing 11th. This helped Hamlin’s Avg. Finish as it now sits at 13.72 (7th best), but the race as a whole hurt his Avg. Driver Rating as it now sits at 96.1 (3rd best). In all this year he’s ran 80.74% of his laps in the Top 15 (2nd best), has 3 Poles (1st best, and T9th best thru 18 races since 2004), 1 Win, 5 Top 5’s, 7 Top 10’s, 4 Stage Wins (3rd best), and 138 Stage Pts (3rd best). At Superspeedways this year Hamlin has finished RFK in all 3 races (17th, 6th, 17th) leading to a decent 13.33 Avg. Finish, but he’s also collected just 2 Stage Pts Per Stage as well. However, he’s been good in the races running 85.63% of his laps in the Top 15, leading 4% of his laps, and having the 2nd best Avg. Driver Rating at 96.1. The Spring Atlanta race was the best of the 3 races as he ran all 260 laps in the Top 15, collected 9 Stage Pts, led 14 laps, had the 3rd best Driver Rating (107.8), and finished 6th. However, Atlanta hasn’t been as kind to Hamlin in his career as he has a 16.96 Avg. Finish in his 26 races here with 1 Win, 3 Top 3’s, and as many finishes out of the Top 20 as in the Top 10 (9). Yet, he still has a 95.17 Avg. Driver Rating and has gotten 15 Stage T10’s in 18 stages. All this said I think Hamlin runs up front all race this weekend, ending with a finish between 1st and 15th.

9th in Points – Ryan Blaney

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 18 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 15.0 11th of 36 T188th of 813
 Completed Laps%¹ 96.58% 22nd of 36 304th of 813
Laps in Top15%¹ 71.12% 9th of 36 137th of 771‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 84.38 9th of 36 232nd of 771‡
 Wins 1 T5th of 58 T87th of 1236
 Poles 0 T10th of 58 T191st of 1236
 Top 2’s 3 T4th of 58 T65th of 1236
 Top 3’s 4 T5th of 58 T72nd of 1236
 Top 5’s 4 T11th of 58 T161st of 1236
 Top 10’s 9 T4th of 58 T113th of 1236
 DNF’sÂą 1 T3rd of 36 T112th of 813
 Stage Wins 2 T5th of 58 T39th of 397*
 Stage T10s 15 T10th of 58 T78th of 397*
 Stage Pts 98 9th of 58 T64th of 397*
 Playoff Pts² 7 T8th of 58 T42nd of 397*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 18 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 2 straight Top 3 finishes
  • 3 straight Top 10 finishes
  • 2023 Superspeedway Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Superspeedway start, 43 drivers)
  • 3 Races, Avg. Finish 5.67(2nd), 59.28% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 94.8(3rd), Best 2nd, Worst 8th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 7.93% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 1 Top 3, 1 Top 5, 3 Top 10’s, 3 Top 15s’, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 1.17 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Atlanta Statistics
  • 2023 Spring Atlanta Race
  • Finished 7th, Started 3rd, Led 5 laps (1.92%), Finished 4th in Stage 1, ran 183 Laps in Top15 (70.38% of laps he ran), had 96.1 Driver Rating (ranked 5th)
  • Notable Atlanta Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Atlanta, 44 drivers)
  • 10 Races
  • 11.6 Avg. Finish (Ranks 3rd)
  • Best Finish: 1st, Worst: 25th
  • Completed 99.87% of laps (% ranks 3rd)
  • 79.61% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 3rd)
  • 95.78 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 4th)
  • Led 2.95% of laps he’s run (% ranks 12th)
  • 1 Win, 10.0% (% ranks 5th)
  • 4 Top 5’s, 40.0% (% ranks 2nd)
  • 5 Top 10’s, 50.0% (% ranks 5th)
  • 6 Top 15’s, 60.0% (% ranks T7th)
  • 2 finishes outside Top 20, 20.0% (% ranks 4th)
  • 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
  • 1 Stage Win, 5.56% (% ranks T7th)
  • 11 Stage T10’s, 61.11% (% ranks T4th)
  • 4.11 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 4th)
Outlook
Ryan Blaney is notable because of how good his stats here at Atlanta are in his career. Chicago was bad for Blaney, how bad? Well, he was one of two drivers to not run a single lap in the Top 15 and he ended up finishing 33rd. The race worsened Blaney’s Avg Finish to 15.0 (11th best), his Laps in Top15% to 71.12 (9th best), and his Avg. Driver Rating to 84.38 (9th best). Additionally he has 1 Win, 3 Top 2’s, just 4 Top 5’s, 9 Top 10’s, 1 DNF, 2 Stage Wins, and just 15 Stage T10’s leading to only 98 Stage Pts this year. As you can see his season stats are decent, but the good news is most of his success has been on Superspeedways. In the 3 races this year Blaney has a 5.67 Avg. Finish (2nd best) and a 94.8 Avg. Driver Rating (3rd best). Furthermore he’s led 8% of the laps and has a Top 10 in all 3 races, with one being a 2nd place. However, he’s only acquired 1.17 Stage Pts Per Stage and has been in the Top 15 for just 59.28% of his laps. The nice thing for Blaney is that in the Atlanta Spring race he ran 70% of his laps in the Top 15 while getting the 5th best Driver Rating at 96.1 and finishing 7th in the race. This is typical of Blaney at Atlanta as in his 10 races he’s ran 80% of his laps in the Top 15, has a 95.78 Avg. Driver Rating, 1 Win, 4 Top 5’s, and an 11.6 Avg. Finish. This weekend expect Blaney to be up front a lot of the day, especially at the end as I think he’ll finish between 1st and 9th.

10th in Points – Joey Logano

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 18 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 15.17 T12th of 36 T195th of 813
 Completed Laps%¹ 94.27% 30th of 36 T455th of 813
Laps in Top15%¹ 55.52% 14th of 36 254th of 771‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 80.21 13th of 36 282nd of 771‡
 Wins 1 T5th of 58 T87th of 1236
 Poles 2 T2nd of 58 T31st of 1236
 Top 2’s 3 T4th of 58 T65th of 1236
 Top 3’s 5 T1st of 58 T45th of 1236
 Top 5’s 5 T6th of 58 T112th of 1236
 Top 10’s 9 T4th of 58 T113th of 1236
 DNF’sÂą 3 T23rd of 36 T502nd of 813
 Stage Wins 2 T5th of 58 T39th of 397*
 Stage T10s 12 T12th of 58 T97th of 397*
 Stage Pts 83 11th of 58 T72nd of 397*
 Playoff Pts² 7 T8th of 58 T42nd of 397*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 18 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 2 straight Top 3 finishes
  • 2023 Superspeedway Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Superspeedway start, 43 drivers)
  • 3 Races, Avg. Finish 11.0(T6th), 73.16% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 98.17(1st), Best 1st, Worst 30th, Laps Completed 99.85%, Led 23.24% of laps he ran, 1 Win, 1 Pole, 2 Top 3’s, 2 Top 5’s, 2 Top 10’s, 2 Top 15’s, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 1 Stage Win, 4.83 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Atlanta Statistics
  • 2023 Spring Atlanta Race
  • Finished 1st, Started 1st, Led 140 laps (53.85%), Finished 1st in Stage 1 and 2nd in Stage 2, ran 242 Laps in Top15 (93.08% of laps he ran), had 129.8 Driver Rating (ranked 1st)
  • Notable Atlanta Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Atlanta, 44 drivers)
  • 19 Races
  • 15.95 Avg. Finish (Ranks 10th)
  • Best Finish: 1st, Worst: 35th
  • Completed 99.37% of laps (% ranks 7th)
  • 59.31% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 10th)
  • 85.95 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 10th)
  • Led 5.8% of laps he’s run (% ranks 7th)
  • 1 Win, 5.26% (% ranks 8th)
  • 2 Poles, 10.53% (% ranks 2nd)
  • 3 Top 5’s, 15.79% (% ranks 16th)
  • 7 Top 10’s, 36.84% (% ranks 10th)
  • 10 Top 15’s, 52.63% (% ranks 14th)
  • 7 finishes outside Top 20, 36.84% (% ranks 19th)
  • 1 DNF, 5.26% (% ranks 15th)
  • 1 Stage Win, 5.56% (% ranks T7th)
  • 2.56 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 10th)
Outlook
Joey Logano is notable because of how he’s run in the 2023 Superspeedway races. At Chicago Logano and crew used strategy yet again to bolster their finish, coming home 8th. This was Logano’s 8th Top 10 this year (T4th best), but he’s still tied for just 12th best in Avg. Finish at 15.17. Even worse is that his 55.52 Laps in Top15% is 14th best and his 80.21 Avg. Driver Rating is 13th best, so he hasn’t ran well despite his good finishes. To prove that point all of his finish stats are 1st-6th in the 2023 Ranks above, but his in race stats are 11th-14th. However, what’s good all around are Logano’s 2023 Superspeedway stats as in the 3 races he has 1 Win and 2 Top 3’s, but also a 30th place finish (Talladega) leading to an 11.0 Avg. Finish. Even his in race stats are pretty good as he has ran 73% of his laps in the Top 15, led 23% of his laps, has the best Avg. Driver Rating (98.17), and has gotten 4.83 Stage Pts Per Stage. His best of the 3 races was at Atlanta where he started 1st, finished 1st, led 54% of the race, ran 93% of his laps in the Top 15, and had the best Driver Rating (129.8). This was Logano’s 19th race at Atlanta, 1st Win, 3rd Top 5, and 10th Top 15. However, he also has the same amount of finishes out of the Top 20 as in the Top 10 (7) and he’s only ran 59% of his laps in the Top 15. This is a new Atlanta, though, so I expect the numbers to be better after this weekend as Logano will run Top 10 all day and finish there as well.

13th in Points – Brad Keselowski

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 18 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 15.89 14th of 36 231st of 813
 Completed Laps%¹ 99.57% 5th of 36 T54th of 813
Laps in Top15%¹ 58.45% 13th of 36 233rd of 771‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 74.93 15th of 36 342nd of 771‡
 Wins 0 T13th of 58 T209th of 1236
 Poles 0 T10th of 58 T191st of 1236
 Top 2’s 1 T10th of 58 T175th of 1236
 Top 3’s 1 T13th of 58 T243rd of 1236
 Top 5’s 3 T14th of 58 T220th of 1236
 Top 10’s 6 T14th of 58 T256th of 1236
 DNF’sÂą 2 T14th of 36 T302nd of 813
 Stage Wins 1 T10th of 58 T69th of 397*
 Stage T10s 16 9th of 58 T73rd of 397*
 Stage Pts 76 12th of 58 T78th of 397*
 Playoff Pts² 1 T13th of 58 T92nd of 397*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 18 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 2 straight Top 10 finishes
  • 2023 Superspeedway Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Superspeedway start, 43 drivers)
  • 3 Races, Avg. Finish 9.67(3rd), 67.77% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 92.57(4th), Best 2nd, Worst 22nd, Laps Completed 99.85%, Led 13.64% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 1 Top 3, 2 Top 5’s, 2 Top 10’s, 2 Top 15’s, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 1 DNF, 1 Stage Win, 3.33 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Atlanta Statistics
  • 2023 Spring Atlanta Race
  • Finished 2nd, Started 4th, Led 47 laps (18.08%), Finished 3rd in Stage 1 and 9th in Stage 2, ran 250 Laps in Top15 (96.15% of laps he ran), had 114.6 Driver Rating (ranked 2nd)
  • Notable Atlanta Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Atlanta, 44 drivers)
  • 17 Races
  • 14.41 Avg. Finish (Ranks 6th)
  • Best Finish: 1st, Worst: 39th
  • Completed 98.49% of laps (% ranks 15th)
  • 76.18% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 6th)
  • 91.9 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 8th)
  • Led 3.45% of laps he’s run (% ranks 11th)
  • 2 Wins, 11.76% (% ranks 3rd)
  • 4 Top 2’s, 23.53% (% ranks 3rd)
  • 5 Top 3’s, 29.41% (% ranks 2nd)
  • 10 Top 10’s, 58.82% (% ranks 3rd)
  • 5 finishes outside Top 20, 29.41% (% ranks 8th)
  • 3 DNF’s, 17.65% (% ranks 29th)
  • 1 Stage Win, 5.56% (% ranks T7th)
  • 10 Stage T10’s, 55.56% (% ranks 6th)
  • 3.39 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 8th)
Outlook
Brad Keselowski is notable because of his 2023 Superspeedway stats. Keselowski had a tough day at Chicago as he ran just 1 lap in the Top 15 and finished 24th. This now has Keselowski’s Avg. Finish at 15.89 (14th best), Laps in Top15% at 58.45 (13th best), and Avg. Driver Rating at 74.93 (15th best). In fact, all of his 2023 Ranks above (besides his 99.57 Completed Laps% and 16 Stage T10’s) rank 10th or worse, but none rank worse than 15th as well so his 13th place in points makes sense. Some of the races that have helped Keselowski’s stats this year are the 3 Superspeedway races where he has 1 Top 3, 2 Top 5’s, and a 22nd place DNF. These finishes give him a 9.67 Avg. Finish (3rd best) and overall his races have given him a 92.57 Avg. Driver Rating (4th best). Part of the reason for this good Avg. Driver Rating is the fact he’s ran 67.77% of his laps in the Top 15, led 13.64% of his laps, and has gotten 3.33 Stage Pts Per Stage. Even more of a reason for these good stats is how he ran at Atlanta this year. In the race he ran 96% of his laps in the Top 15, led 18% of the race, got 10 Stage Pts, and finished 2nd with the 2nd best Driver Rating at 114.6. Atlanta has always been good to Keselowski as in his 17 races he has 2 Wins, 5 Top 3’s, 10 Top 10’s, a 91.9 Avg. Driver Rating, and a 14.41 Avg. Finish. This weekend I expect more of this from Keselowski as he’ll probably finish in the Top 5 with a shot at the win.

23rd in Points – Corey LaJoie

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 18 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 19.06 21st of 36 T382nd of 813
 Completed Laps%¹ 99.81% T1st of 36 T19th of 813
Laps in Top15%¹ 19.6% 29th of 36 482nd of 771‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 57.59 30th of 36 535th of 771‡
 Wins 0 T13th of 58 T209th of 1236
 Poles 0 T10th of 58 T191st of 1236
 Top 2’s 0 T18th of 58 T316th of 1236
 Top 3’s 0 T21st of 58 T391st of 1236
 Top 5’s 1 T19th of 58 T361st of 1236
 Top 10’s 1 T29th of 58 T530th of 1236
 DNF’sÂą 0 T1st of 36 T1st of 813
 Stage Wins 0 T18th of 58 T98th of 397*
 Stage T10s 2 T29th of 58 T181st of 397*
 Stage Pts 2 36th of 58 209th of 397*
 Playoff Pts² 0 T20th of 58 T112th of 397*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 18 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • none
  • 2023 Superspeedway Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Superspeedway start, 43 drivers)
  • 3 Races, Avg. Finish 15.0(T11th), 46.86% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 73.93(16th), Best 4th, Worst 25th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 0.00% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 1 Top 5, 1 Top 10, 1 Top 15, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 0.17 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Atlanta Statistics
  • 2023 Spring Atlanta Race
  • Finished 4th, Started 31st, Led 0 laps, Finished 10th in Stage 2, ran 183 Laps in Top15 (70.38% of laps he ran), had 97.0 Driver Rating (ranked 4th)
  • Notable Atlanta Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Atlanta, 44 drivers)
  • 8 Races
  • 21.38 Avg. Finish (Ranks 30th)
  • Best Finish: 4th, Worst: 34th
  • Completed 98.84% of laps (% ranks 12th)
  • 16.87% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 33rd)
  • 58.66 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 29th)
  • Led 0.8% of laps he’s run (% ranks 20th)
  • 0 Top 3’s
  • 2 Top 5’s, 25.0% (% ranks T7th)
  • 2 Top 15’s, 25.0% (% ranks T31st)
  • 6 finishes outside Top 20, 75.0% (% ranks T33rd)
  • 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
  • 0 Stage Wins
  • 2 Stage T10’s, 12.5% (% ranks 25th)
Outlook
Corey LaJoie is notable because of how well he ran at Atlanta in the Spring race. At Chicago LaJoie was either 10th-15th or outside the Top 20 almost all race, ending in a P14 finish. This race now has LaJoie’s Avg. Finish at 19.06 (21st best), which isn’t great but is better than his 57.59 Avg. Driver Rating that is 30th best. Almost equally as bad is the fact he’s only spent 19.6% of his laps in the Top 15 (29th best) and has gotten just 2 Stage T10’s (T29th best) with only 2 Stage Pts (36th best). In terms of good news he does have 1 Top 5 this year, and that Top 5 came at a Superspeedway. In the 3 races on Superspeedway’s LaJoie has a 4th, 16th, and 25th place finish leading to a 15.0 Avg. Finish. Furthermore he’s ran 47% of his laps in the Top 15, has a 73.93 Avg. Driver Rating, and has gotten 0.17 Stage Pts Per Stage. The best of these races was this Spring at Atlanta where LaJoie finished 4th, had the 4th best Driver Rating (97.0), and ran 70% of his laps in the Top 15. This was LaJoie’s best finish here in 8 races and overall he has a 21.38 Avg. Finish with a 58.66 Avg. Driver Rating. In addition he has ran just 16.87% of his laps in the Top 15 here with only 2 finishes in the Top 20, but those have been Top 5’s and both were in the last 3 races. This weekend LaJoie could very much end up near the front at the end of the race, but I just don’t see it based on all the stats and think he finishes outside the Top 15.

24th in Points – Chase Elliott

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 18 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 11.73 2nd of 36 66th of 813
 Completed Laps%¹ 89.19% 32nd of 36 T677th of 813
Laps in Top15%¹ 62.56% 12th of 36 197th of 771‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 82.94 12th of 36 251st of 771‡
 Wins 0 T13th of 58 T209th of 1236
 Poles 0 T10th of 58 T191st of 1236
 Top 2’s 1 T10th of 58 T175th of 1236
 Top 3’s 3 T8th of 58 T118th of 1236
 Top 5’s 5 T6th of 58 T112th of 1236
 Top 10’s 7 T10th of 58 T205th of 1236
 DNF’sÂą 2 T14th of 36 T302nd of 813
 Stage Wins 1 T10th of 58 T69th of 397*
 Stage T10s 7 T21st of 58 T133rd of 397*
 Stage Pts 35 22nd of 58 T127th of 397*
 Playoff Pts² 1 T13th of 58 T92nd of 397*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 18 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 3 straight Top 5 finishes (active streak, longest active streak in Cup Series)
  • 2023 Superspeedway Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Superspeedway start, 43 drivers)
  • 2 Races, Avg. Finish 25.0(T32nd), 60.83% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 73.25(18th), Best 12th, Worst 38th, Laps Completed 76.96%, Led 5.73% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 0 Top 5’s, 0 Top 10’s, 1 Top 15, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 1 DNF, 1 Stage Win, 4.75 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Atlanta Statistics
  • 2023 Spring Atlanta Race
  • did not race
  • Notable Atlanta Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Atlanta, 44 drivers)
  • 9 Races
  • 11.33 Avg. Finish (Ranks 2nd)
  • Best Finish: 1st, Worst: 38th
  • Completed 96.21% of laps (% ranks 25th)
  • 85.86% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 1st)
  • 96.96 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 2nd)
  • Led 6.09% of laps he’s run (% ranks 6th)
  • 1 Win, 11.11% (% ranks 4th)
  • 2 Top 5’s, 22.22% (% ranks T10th)
  • 7 Top 10’s, 77.78% (% ranks 2nd)
  • 1 finish outside Top 20, 11.11% (% ranks 3rd)
  • 1 DNF, 11.11% (% ranks T22nd)
  • 2 Stage Wins, 12.5% (% ranks T3rd)
  • 8 Stage T10’s, 50.0% (% ranks T7th)
  • 3.75 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 6th)
Outlook
Chase Elliott is notable because of his amazing Atlanta stats in his 9 starts here. Elliott was one of the cars to benefit from NASCAR shortening the race last week as he ended up 3rd because of it. This improved Elliott’s Avg. Finish to 11.73 (2nd best) and was his 3rd straight Top 5, which is important if he is to point his way into the playoffs. That gives him 5 Top 5’s this year with 3 Top 3’s, and 7 Top 10’s. However he’s ran just 62.56% of his laps in the Top 15 (12th best), has an 82.94 Avg. Driver Rating, and only 7 Stage T10’s leading to just 35 Stage Pts. Furthermore Elliott’s Superspeedway stats are less than flattering as in the 2 races he has a 12th and 38th place finish, a 73.25 Avg. Driver Rating, and has only ran 61% of his laps in the Top 15. The good news is that he’s got 1 Stage Win and 4.75 Stage Pts Per Stage in the 2 races as well. Elliott did not race here in the Spring, but he did win at Atlanta last summer and overall has an 11.33 Avg. Finish in 9 starts here. However, last year was his only Win here and was just his 2nd Top 5, but what’s helping his Avg. Finish is that he has 7 Top 10’s here. In addition he’s also ran 85.86% of his laps here in the Top 15 and has a stellar 96.96 Avg. Driver Rating. This weekend I feel Elliott will be a contender all race and be near the front at the end of the race. Based on the stats, as long as he doesn’t end up in a wreck he will finish no worse than 12th.
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Daniel Smith
Daniel Smithhttps://pitpassnetwork.com
Cup drivers: Kyle Larson & Ross Chastain, Xfinity drivers: SVG & Ryan Sieg, Truck drivers: Grant Enfinger & Jake Garcia

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