Friday, July 5, 2024
HomeCup SeriesCup Series Notable Drivers Statistics & Outlook: New Hampshire

Cup Series Notable Drivers Statistics & Outlook: New Hampshire

Atlanta, while not real racing, was thrilling to watch. Apparently NASCAR needs weather for some races to be good. Nevertheless the rain shortened race gave William Byron his series leading 4th win this year. This weekend we go to another track where weather has played a part in races in the past, New Hampshire. I have picked 8 notable drivers to look at, 1 based on the 2023 point standings, 2 based on 2023 stats, 2 based on Small track stats, 1 based on the last New Hampshire race and 2 based on their overall New Hampshire stats. Here is a look at those 8 notable drivers 2023 season statistics, along with ranks among drivers in 2023 and ranking through 19 races since the Chase started in 2004. We will also highlight notable streaks accomplished through the year, 2023 Small track (1.0-1.3 miles) statistics and New Hampshire statistics.

1st in Points – William Byron

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 19 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 11.42 2nd of 36 T59th of 821
 Completed Laps%¹ 98.35% 12th of 36 160th of 821
Laps in Top15%¹ 79.77% 2nd of 36 51st of 779‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 101.65 1st of 36 48th of 779‡
 Wins 4 1st of 59 T8th of 1251
 Poles 2 T2nd of 59 T32nd of 1251
 Top 2’s 5 T1st of 59 T21st of 1251
 Top 3’s 6 1st of 59 T29th of 1251
 Top 5’s 8 T1st of 59 T35th of 1251
 Top 10’s 11 2nd of 59 T61st of 12351
 DNF’sÂą 2 T13th of 36 T289th of 821
 Stage Wins 7 1st of 59 T4th of 400*
 Stage T10s 26 T1st of 59 T14th of 400*
 Stage Pts 185 1st of 59 10th of 400*
 Playoff Pts² 27 1st of 59 T5th of 400*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 19 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 2 straight Wins (longest streak in Cup Series this year)
  • 2 straight Top 2 finishes (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
  • 3 straight Top 3 finishes (longest streak in Cup Series this year)
  • 4 straight Top 5 finishes (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
  • 6 straight Top 10 finishes
  • 2023 Small track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Small track start, 41 drivers)
  • 3 Races, Avg. Finish 4.33(2nd), 98.85% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 122.37(1st), Best 1st, Worst 8th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 29.9% of laps he ran, 1 Win, 0 Poles, 1 Top 3, 2 Top 5’s, 3 Top 10’s, 3 Top 15’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 2 Stage Wins, 8.17 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • New Hampshire Statistics
  • 2022 New Hampshire Race
  • Finished 11th, Started 6th, Led 0 laps, Finished 8th in Stage 1 and 8th in Stage 2, ran 290 Laps in Top15 (96.35% of laps he ran), had 88.3 Driver Rating (ranked 10th)
  • Notable New Hampshire Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at New Hampshire, 42 drivers)
  • 5 Races
  • 13.8 Avg. Finish (Ranks 10th)
  • Best Finish: 11th, Worst: 21st
  • Completed 99.93% of laps (% ranks T2nd)
  • 70.72% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 8th)
  • 79.22 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 13th)
  • Led 0.00% of laps he’s run
  • 0 Top 10’s
  • 4 Top 15’s, 80.0% (% ranks 5th)
  • 1 finish outside Top 20, 20.0% (% ranks 8th)
  • 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
  • 0 Stage Wins
  • 4 Stage T10’s, 40.0% (% ranks 13th)
Outlook
William Byron is notable because of how good he’s run in the 2023 season thru 19 races. Byron had an up and down day at Atlanta as he spun out and ran only 51% of his laps in the Top 15 before winding up in victory lane. This was Byron’s series leading 4th Win, 5th Top 2, 6th Top 3, and 8th Top 5. In addition he leads the series in the following categories as well: Stage Wins (7), Stage T10’s (26), Stage Pts (185), Playoff Pts (27), and Avg. Driver Rating (101.65). In fact only 2 of his 2023 Ranks above aren’t 1st or 2nd, which speaks to just how dominant of a season he is having. The good stats for Byron continue when you look at his 2023 Small track stats as he has the 2nd best Avg. Finish (4.33) and the best Avg. Driver Rating (122.37). In addition he’s ran 98.85% of his laps in the Top 15, led 30% of his laps with 1 Win, 2 Top 5’s, and a worst finish of 8th. Unfortunately Byron was not as good at New Hampshire last year as he finished 11th with the 10th best Driver Rating (88.3). However, good new from the race is that he got 4 Stage Pts and ran 96% of his laps in the Top 15. This is typical of Byron here as in 5 starts he has a 13.8 Avg. Finish, 0 Top 10’s, and a best of 11th. Furthermore he’s ran 70.72% of his laps in the Top 15 here, has led 0 laps, has a 79.22 Avg. Driver Rating, and only 4 Stage T10’s in 10 stages. In all New Hampshire is just not good for Byron and for that reason I see him finishing between 7th and 18th.

2nd in Points – Martin Truex Jr.

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 19 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 12.95 4th of 36 101st of 821
 Completed Laps%¹ 99.65% 2nd of 36 T38th of 821
Laps in Top15%¹ 76.52% 3rd of 36 75th of 779‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 96.93 2nd of 36 88th of 779‡
 Wins 2 T3rd of 59 T45th of 1251
 Poles 1 T5th of 59 T70th of 1251
 Top 2’s 3 T4th of 59 T69th of 1251
 Top 3’s 5 T2nd of 59 T53rd of 1251
 Top 5’s 6 T4th of 59 T87th of 1251
 Top 10’s 9 T5th of 59 T135th of 12351
 DNF’sÂą 1 T3rd of 36 T108th of 821
 Stage Wins 1 T11th of 59 T71st of 400*
 Stage T10s 25 3rd of 59 T20th of 400*
 Stage Pts 139 3rd of 59 34th of 400*
 Playoff Pts² 11 4th of 59 T29th of 400*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 19 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 2 straight Top 2 finishes (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
  • 4 straight Top 5 finishes (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
  • 2023 Small track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Small track start, 41 drivers)
  • 3 Races, Avg. Finish 7.67(T3rd), 60.83% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 92.97(8th), Best 1st, Worst 17th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 7.08% of laps he ran, 1 Win, 0 Poles, 1 Top 3, 2 Top 5’s, 2 Top 10’s, 2 Top 15’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 2.67 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • New Hampshire Statistics
  • 2022 New Hampshire Race
  • Finished 4th, Started 1st, Led 172 laps (57.14%), Finished 1st in Stage 1 and 1st in Stage 2, ran 301 Laps in Top15 (100% of laps he ran), had 136.9 Driver Rating (ranked 1st)
  • Notable New Hampshire Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at New Hampshire, 42 drivers)
  • 29 Races
  • 11.69 Avg. Finish (Ranks 5th)
  • Best Finish: 3rd, Worst: 37th
  • Completed 98.85% of laps (% ranks 22nd)
  • 69.03% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 9th)
  • 96.26 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 7th)
  • Led 10.68% of laps he’s run (% ranks 2nd)
  • 2 Poles, 6.9% (% ranks 4th)
  • 0 Top 2’s
  • 3 Top 3’s, 10.34% (% ranks 13th)
  • 8 Top 5’s, 27.59% (% ranks 9th)
  • 14 Top 10’s, 48.28% (% ranks 11th)
  • 3 finishes outside Top 20, 10.34% (% ranks 3rd)
  • 1 DNF, 3.45% (% ranks 25th)
  • 5 Stage Wins, 35.71% (% ranks 1st)
  • 11 Stage T10’s, 78.57% (% ranks T1st)
  • 6.07 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 1st)
Outlook
Martin Truex Jr. is notable because of how he ran in the 2022 New Hampshire race. Last week Truex had issues late that caused his decent run to finish P29. This race caused his Avg. Finish to rise to 12.95 (4th best) with his Laps in Top 15% and Avg. Driver Rating both getting worse as well as they sit at 76.52% (3rd best) and 96.93 (2nd best). However, these along with all of his other 2023 Ranks above aren’t bad as his worst is T11th (1 Stage Win) and that is his only ranking worst than 5th, but he also doesn’t rank 1st in any category either. Small tracks have brought similar success for Truex this year as in the 3 races he has 1 Win, 2 Top 5’s, an Avg. Finish of 7.67 (T3rd best), and a 92.97 Avg. Driver Rating (8th best). Still, it’s not all good news as he has ran just 61% of his laps in the Top 15, has gotten 0 Stage Wins, and only acquired 2.67 Stage Pts Per Stage. Last year at New Hampshire Truex was class of the field as he won the Pole, won Stage 1 and 2, ran all 301 laps in the Top 15, led 172 laps (57.14%), and ended the day with the best Avg. Driver Rating (136.9). Unfortunately for him the end wasn’t as good as he ended the race in 4th place, his 8th Top 5 in 29 races here. Even with these 8 Top 5’s Truex’s best finish is only 3rd, but he does have 14 Top 10’s and an 11.69 Avg. Finish with a 96.26 Avg. Driver Rating. Overall this weekend I see Truex running well, but not winning as he comes home between 3rd and 15th.

3rd in Points – Kyle Busch

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 19 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 11.21 1st of 36 T53rd of 821
 Completed Laps%¹ 97.47% 17th of 36 T228th of 821
Laps in Top15%¹ 63.37% 11th of 36 194th of 779‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 88.82 6th of 36 182nd of 779‡
 Wins 3 2nd of 59 T23rd of 1251
 Poles 1 T5th of 59 T70th of 1251
 Top 2’s 5 T1st of 59 T21st of 1251
 Top 3’s 5 T2nd of 59 T53rd of 1251
 Top 5’s 7 3rd of 59 T57th of 1251
 Top 10’s 12 1st of 59 T41st of 12351
 DNF’sÂą 3 T23rd of 36 T491st of 821
 Stage Wins 2 T6th of 59 T40th of 400*
 Stage T10s 15 11th of 59 T82nd of 400*
 Stage Pts 90 T10th of 59 T71st of 400*
 Playoff Pts² 17 2nd of 59 T14th of 400*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 19 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 2 straight Top 2 finishes (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
  • 2 straight Top 5 finishes (active streak, longest active streak in Cup Series)
  • 7 straight Top 10 finishes (active streak, longest streak in Cup Series this year)
  • 2023 Small track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Small track start, 41 drivers)
  • 3 Races, Avg. Finish 10.0(T5th), 56.74% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 98.37(4th), Best 1st, Worst 21st, Laps Completed 99.69%, Led 15.26% of laps he ran, 1 Win, 1 Pole, 1 Top 3, 1 Top 5, 2 Top 10’s, 2 Top 15’s, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 1 Stage Win, 3.33 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • New Hampshire Statistics
  • 2022 New Hampshire Race
  • Finished 12th, Started 17th, Led 0 laps, got 0 Stage T10’s, ran 129 Laps in Top15 (42.86% of laps he ran), had 77.2 Driver Rating (ranked 13th)
  • Notable New Hampshire Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at New Hampshire, 42 drivers)
  • 31 Races
  • 14.19 Avg. Finish (Ranks 12th)
  • Best Finish: 1st, Worst: 38th
  • Completed 92.19% of laps (% ranks 32nd)
  • 74.11% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 7th)
  • 97.45 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 6th)
  • Led 13.26% of laps he’s run (% ranks 1st)
  • 3 Wins, 9.68% (% ranks 4th)
  • 3 Poles, 9.68% (% ranks 3rd)
  • 7 Top 2’s, 22.58% (% ranks 4th)
  • 16 Top 10’s, 51.61% (% ranks 8th)
  • 9 finishes outside Top 20, 29.03% (% ranks 14th)
  • 2 DNF’s, 6.45% (% ranks 27th)
  • 3 Stage Wins, 21.43% (% ranks 2nd)
  • 4.29 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 3rd)
Outlook
Kyle Busch is notable because he’s 3rd in points thru 19 races. At Atlanta Busch squeaked out his 2nd Top 5 in a row as he finished 5th after running just 28% of his laps in the Top 15. This helped Busch keep the best Avg. Finish title for now at 11.21, but he also leads the series in Top 2’s (5) and Top 10’s (12). Other than this his 2023 Ranks above are a mixed bag as he has ran just 63.37% of his laps in the Top 15 (11th best), has an 88.82 Avg. Driver Rating (6th best), 3 Wins (2nd best), and 3 DNF’s (T23rd best). However, there is one more thing Busch leads in as he has 7 straight Top 10 finishes, the longest such streak this year. Busch’s 2023 Small track stats have been the same as his overall 2023 stats as he has a 10.0 Avg. Finish (5th best) and a 98.37 Avg. Driver Rating (4th best). However, he’s also ran just 57% of his laps in the Top 15, has 1 Top 5 (a Win), and a worst finish of 21st. The good news is that his stage stats are better at Small tracks as he has 1 Stage Win and 3.33 Stage Pts Per Stage. However, back the good news train up because last year at New Hampshire Busch ran just 43% of his laps in the Top 15, led 0 laps, had the 13th best Driver Rating (77.2), and finished 12th. This was Busch’s 31st race here and in those races he has 3 Wins and 7 Top 2’s, but also just 16 Top 10’s with 9 finishes out of the Top 20 leading to a 14.19 Avg. Finish. This weekend I see Busch running decent most of the race, but finishing either 1st-3rd or 9th-15th.

4th in Points – Christopher Bell

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 19 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 13.53 5th of 36 T122nd of 821
 Completed Laps%¹ 95.39% 27th of 36 401st of 821
Laps in Top15%¹ 72.5% 5th of 36 121st of 779‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 91.11 5th of 36 160th of 779‡
 Wins 1 T5th of 59 T91st of 1251
 Poles 0 T11th of 59 T201st of 1251
 Top 2’s 1 T10th of 59 T181st of 1251
 Top 3’s 3 T8th of 59 T133rd of 1251
 Top 5’s 5 T6th of 59 T125th of 1251
 Top 10’s 10 T3rd of 59 T94th of 12351
 DNF’sÂą 3 T23rd of 36 T491st of 821
 Stage Wins 2 T6th of 59 T40th of 400*
 Stage T10s 26 T1st of 59 T14th of 400*
 Stage Pts 132 5th of 59 41st of 400*
 Playoff Pts² 7 T9th of 59 T43rd of 400*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 19 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 2 straight Top 5 finishes
  • 3 straight Top 10 finishes
  • 2023 Small track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Small track start, 41 drivers)
  • 3 Races, Avg. Finish 7.67(T3rd), 83.13% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 95.1(7th), Best 6th, Worst 11th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 0.1% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 0 Top 5’s, 2 Top 10’s, 3 Top 15’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 2.83 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • New Hampshire Statistics
  • 2022 New Hampshire Race
  • Finished 1st, Started 5th, Led 42 laps (13.95%), Finished 6th in Stage 1 and 9th in Stage 2, ran 301 Laps in Top15 (100% of laps he ran), had 115.9 Driver Rating (ranked 3rd)
  • Notable New Hampshire Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at New Hampshire, 42 drivers)
  • 3 Races
  • 10.33 Avg. Finish (Ranks 3rd)
  • Best Finish: 1st, Worst: 28th
  • Completed 99.78% of laps (% ranks 6th)
  • 83.54% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 1st)
  • 101.2 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 3rd)
  • Led 4.7% of laps he’s run (% ranks 7th)
  • 1 Win, 33.33% (% ranks 1st)
  • 2 Top 2’s, 66.67% (% ranks 1st)
  • 2 Top 15’s, 66.67% (% ranks T9th)
  • 1 finish outside Top 20, 33.33% (% ranks T17th)
  • 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
  • 0 Stage Wins
  • 4 Stage T10’s, 66.67% (% ranks 6th)
  • 3.17 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 9th)
Outlook
Christopher Bell is notable because of his 2023 stats. Bell had an up and down race at Atlanta that ultimately ended in a down as he finished 23rd. After this race Bell now has the 5th best Avg. Finish (13.53), Laps in Top15% (72.5%), Avg. Driver Rating (91.11), and Stage Pts (132). In all this year he has 1 Win, 3 Top 3’s, 5 Top 10’s, and 10 Top 10’s to go along with his series lead tying 26 Stage T10’s. At Small tracks this year Bell has been decent, but not great, as he has 0 Top 5’s in the 3 races but does have 2 Top 10’s, and is tied for the 3rd best Avg. Finish at 7.67. In addition he’s gotten 2.83 Stage Pts Per Stage, been in the Top 15 for 83% of his laps, but ago has only led 0.1% of his laps ran as well. However, it’s not all bad for Bell because NASCAR is headed to New Hampshire this week. Last year here Bell got 7 Stage Pts, ran all 301 laps in the Top 15, led 14% of the race, had the 3rd best Driver Rating (115.9), and won the race. This was Bell’s 3rd Cup start here, 1st Win, and 2nd Top 2. However, his other race here was a 28th place finish, but even with this he still has a 10.33 Avg. Finish, a 101.2 Avg. Driver Rating, and an 83.54% of his laps run in the Top 15. With all this New Hampshire success I definitely think Bell contends for the Win this weekend and finishes somewhere in the Top 5.

6th in Points – Denny Hamlin

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 19 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 13.74 6th of 36 T132nd of 821
 Completed Laps%¹ 95.2% 28th of 36 T411th of 821
Laps in Top15%¹ 79.85% 1st of 36 50th of 779‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 95.29 3rd of 36 101st of 779‡
 Wins 1 T5th of 59 T91st of 1251
 Poles 3 1st of 59 T11th of 1251
 Top 2’s 2 T7th of 59 T109th of 1251
 Top 3’s 3 T8th of 59 T133rd of 1251
 Top 5’s 5 T6th of 59 T125th of 1251
 Top 10’s 7 T10th of 59 T222nd of 12351
 DNF’sÂą 2 T13th of 36 T289th of 821
 Stage Wins 4 3rd of 59 T17th of 400*
 Stage T10s 22 T5th of 59 T40th of 400*
 Stage Pts 138 4th of 59 T35th of 400*
 Playoff Pts² 9 6th of 59 T34th of 400*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 19 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 2 straight Top 5 finishes
  • 2023 Small track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Small track start, 41 drivers)
  • 3 Races, Avg. Finish 10.0(T5th), 99.58% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 106.97(3rd), Best 2nd, Worst 23rd, Laps Completed 100%, Led 0.42% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 1 Top 3, 2 Top 5’s, 2 Top 10’s, 2 Top 15’s, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 7.17 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • New Hampshire Statistics
  • 2022 New Hampshire Race
  • Finished 6th, Started 14th, Led 0 laps, Finished 10th in Stage 1, ran 253 Laps in Top15 (84.05% of laps he ran), had 91.0 Driver Rating (ranked 9th)
  • Notable New Hampshire Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at New Hampshire, 42 drivers)
  • 29 Races
  • 9.48 Avg. Finish (Ranks 1st)
  • Best Finish: 1st, Worst: 37th
  • Completed 99.54% of laps (% ranks 13th)
  • 77.33% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 6th)
  • 103.6 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 1st)
  • Led 8.74% of laps he’s run (% ranks 4th)
  • 3 Wins, 10.34% (% ranks 2nd)
  • 9 Top 2’s, 31.03% (% ranks 2nd)
  • 18 Top 10’s, 62.07% (% ranks 4th)
  • 26 Top 15’s, 89.66% (% ranks 2nd)
  • 3 finishes outside Top 20, 10.34% (% ranks T3rd)
  • 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
  • 1 Stage Win, 7.14% (% ranks T4th)
  • 11 Stage T10’s, 78.57% (% ranks T1st)
  • 3.86 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 5th)
Outlook
Denny Hamlin is notable because of his 2023 Small track stats. Hamlin was another driver who had a lot of ups and downs at Atlanta, in the end finishing P14. This is right on top of Hamlin’s Avg. Finish this year (13.74) which is 6th best on the year. As good as this ranking is his 79.85 Laps in Top 15% and 95.29 Avg. Driver Rating are even better at 1st and 3rd, respectively, in the 2023 Ranks above. In addition he has 4 Stage Wins (ranks 3rd) and 138 Stage Pts (rans 4th), but has trouble finishing races as his 2 Top 2’s, 3 Top 3’s, 5 Top 5’s, and 7 Top 10’s all rank T6th or worse. One style Hamlin has ran and finished well at this year are Small tracks as in the 3 races he has ran 99.58% of his laps in the Top 15, has the 3rd best Driver Rating at 106.97, has gotten 7.17 Stage Pts Per Stage, and is tied for the 5th best Avg. Finish at 10.0 with 1 Top 3 and 2 Top 5’s. The only bad thing about his Small track stats is that he’s only led 0.42% of the laps he’s ran, but that is more than he led at New Hampshire last year. In that race Hamlin led 0 laps, got 1 Stage Pt, ran 84% of his laps in the Top 15, and finished 6th with the 9th best Driver Rating (91.0). This was Hamlin’s 18th Top 10 here in 29 races. Even more impressive is that he has a 9.48 Avg. Finish here, a 103.6 Avg. Driver Rating, 3 Wins, and 9 Top 2’s with 11 Stage T10’s to boot. All told Hamlin will be one to reckon with Sunday coming home in the Top 10 for sure, and probably battling for a Top 5 or even a win.

7th in Points – Ryan Blaney

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 19 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 14.68 8th of 36 174th of 821
 Completed Laps%¹ 96.71% 22nd of 36 301st of 821
Laps in Top15%¹ 71.95% 6th of 36 124th of 779‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 86.27 9th of 36 215th of 779‡
 Wins 1 T5th of 59 T91st of 1251
 Poles 0 T11th of 59 T201st of 1251
 Top 2’s 3 T4th of 59 T69th of 1251
 Top 3’s 4 T5th of 59 T74th of 1251
 Top 5’s 4 T11th of 59 T174th of 1251
 Top 10’s 10 T3rd of 59 T94th of 12351
 DNF’sÂą 1 T3rd of 36 T108th of 821
 Stage Wins 3 T4th of 59 T25th of 400*
 Stage T10s 17 T9th of 59 T70th of 400*
 Stage Pts 117 8th of 59 T55th of 400*
 Playoff Pts² 8 T7th of 59 T36th of 400*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 19 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 2 straight Top 3 finishes
  • 3 straight Top 10 finishes
  • 2023 Small track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Small track start, 41 drivers)
  • 3 Races, Avg. Finish 3.67(1st), 99.38% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 115.2(2nd), Best 2nd, Worst 6th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 8.65% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 2 Top 3’s, 2 Top 5’s, 3 Top 10’s, 3 Top 15’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 1 Stage Win, 7.17 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • New Hampshire Statistics
  • 2022 New Hampshire Race
  • Finished 18th, Started 11th, Led 0 laps, got 0 Stage T10’s, ran 104 Laps in Top15 (34.67% of laps he ran), had 62.5 Driver Rating (ranked 21st)
  • Notable New Hampshire Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at New Hampshire, 42 drivers)
  • 10 Races
  • 12.8 Avg. Finish (Ranks 8th)
  • Best Finish: 4th, Worst: 23rd
  • Completed 99.93% of laps (% ranks T2nd)
  • 65.28% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 11th)
  • 87.82 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 10th)
  • Led 2.3% of laps he’s run (% ranks 10th)
  • 0 Top 3’s
  • 2 Top 5’s, 20.0% (% ranks T11th)
  • 4 Top 10’s, 40.0% (% ranks 13th)
  • 1 finish outside Top 20, 10.0% (% ranks 2nd)
  • 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
  • 1 Stage Win, 7.14% (% ranks T4th)
  • 10 Stage T10’s, 71.43% (% ranks 5th)
  • 3.5 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 8th)
Outlook
Ryan Blaney is notable because of his stats in the 3 Small track races this year. At Atlanta Blaney had a fast car, leading 10.8% of the race and spending 93% of the race in the Top 15, finishing 9th. This was Blaney’s 10th Top 10 this year and improved his Avg. Finish to 14.68 (8th best). In addition he has an 86.27 Avg. Driver Rating (9th best), 3 Top 2’s (T4th best), and 4 Top 3’s (T5th best); but he also has only 4 Top 5’s (T11th best). Furthermore he’s gotten 3 Stage Wins this year and has only 1 DNF. The good news keeps coming for Blaney as in the 3 Small track races this year he has the best Avg. Finish at 3.67, the 2nd best Avg. Driver Rating at 115.2, and he’s ran 99.38% of his laps in the Top 15. In addition he’s finished no worse than 6th, has led 8.65% of his laps, has 2 Top 3’s, 1 Stage Win, and 7.17 Stage Pts Per Stage. However, that’s where the good news stop as last year at New Hampshire Blaney ran only 35% of his laps in the Top 15, led 0 laps, had a 62.5 Driver Rating (21st best), and finished 18th. This isn’t uncommon as in 10 races at New Hampshire Blaney has just 2 Top 5’s, 4 Top 10’s, and a 12.8 Avg. Finish. Furthermore he’s ran just 65% of his laps in the Top 15 and has just an 87.82 Avg. Driver Rating. All of this non-success leaves me hesitant about Blaney doing as well as he has in Small track races this year. Therefore I see him finishing between 6th and 12th this weekend.

9th in Points – Kevin Harvick

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 19 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 14.68 T8th of 36 T174th of 821
 Completed Laps%¹ 98.44% 11th of 36 T154th of 821
Laps in Top15%¹ 71.27% 8th of 36 127th of 779‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 82.11 11th of 36 259th of 779‡
 Wins 0 T13th of 59 T216th of 1251
 Poles 0 T11th of 59 T201st of 1251
 Top 2’s 1 T10th of 59 T181st of 1251
 Top 3’s 1 T13th of 59 T257th of 1251
 Top 5’s 4 T11th of 59 T174th of 1251
 Top 10’s 7 T10th of 59 T222nd of 12351
 DNF’sÂą 1 T3rd of 36 T108th of 821
 Stage Wins 1 T11th of 59 T71st of 400*
 Stage T10s 21 7th of 59 T48th of 400*
 Stage Pts 101 9th of 59 66th of 400*
 Playoff Pts² 1 T14th of 59 T94th of 400*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 19 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 3straight Top 10 finishes
  • 2023 Small track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Small track start, 41 drivers)
  • 3 Races, Avg. Finish 11.33(9th), 96.56% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 96.63(6th), Best 5th, Worst 19th, Laps Completed 99.9%, Led 3.75% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 1 Top 5, 2 Top 10’s, 2 Top 15’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 3.67 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • New Hampshire Statistics
  • 2022 New Hampshire Race
  • Finished 5th, Started 10th, Led 0 laps, Finished 5th in Stage 1 and 2nd in Stage 2, ran 301 Laps in Top15 (100% of laps he ran), had 114.3 Driver Rating (ranked 4th)
  • Notable New Hampshire Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at New Hampshire, 42 drivers)
  • 39 Races
  • 12.23 Avg. Finish (Ranks 6th)
  • Best Finish: 1st, Worst: 36th
  • Completed 98.2% of laps (% ranks 24th)
  • 77.88% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 4th)
  • 100.05 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 4th)
  • Led 7.3% of laps he’s run (% ranks 5th)
  • 4 Wins, 10.26% (% ranks 3rd)
  • 14 Top 3’s, 35.9% (% ranks 4th)
  • 23 Top 10’s, 58.97% (% ranks 5th)
  • 9 finishes outside Top 20, 23.08% (% ranks 10th)
  • 1 DNF, 2.56% (% ranks 23rd)
  • 0 Stage Wins
  • 11 Stage T10’s, 78.57% (% ranks T1st)
  • 4.64 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 2nd)
Outlook
Kevin Harvick is notable because of his career New Hampshire stats. Atlanta was rough for Harvick as he ran just 29% of his laps in the Top 15 and finished 30th. This has Harvick’s finish at 14.68 now (T8th best) and that unfortunately is one of his better 2023 Ranks above as the only better ones are his 21 Stage T10’s (7th best) and his 1 DNF (T3rd best). However, his ranks aren’t awful, just mediocre as his 82.1 Avg. Driver Rating, 1 Top 2, 1 Top 3, 4 Top 5’s, 7 Top 10’s, and 1 Stage Win are all between T10th and T13th. Fortunately for Harvick his 2023 Small track ranks are better as his 11.33 Avg. Finish is 9th best and his 96.63 Avg. Driver Rating is 6th best. In addition he’s ran 96.56% of his laps in the Top 15, led 3.75% of his laps, has 1 Top 5, 2 Top 10’s, and 3.67 Stage Pts Per Stage. Even better news is that Harvick ran well at New Hampshire last year running all 301 laps in the Top 15, getting 15 Stage Pts in the process. At the end of the race he finished 5th with the 4th best Driver Rating at 114.3. It’s pretty typical for Harvick to have good runs here as he’s gotten 4 Wins, 14 Top 3’s, and 23 Top 10’s in 39 races leading to a 12.23 Avg. Finish. Furthermore he’s ran 78% of his laps here in the Top 15, has a 100.05 Avg. Driver Rating, 11 Stage T10’s, and 4.64 Stage Pts Per Stage. All of this says that despite Harvick’s rough season he will have a decent day on Sunday, finishing somewhere in the Top 10.

12th in Points – Brad Keselowski

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 19 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 15.37 13th of 36 T210th of 821
 Completed Laps%¹ 99.59% 4th of 36 49th of 821
Laps in Top15%¹ 58.41% 13th of 36 236th of 779‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 75.72 15th of 36 336th of 779‡
 Wins 0 T13th of 59 T19th of 1251
 Poles 0 T11th of 59 T201st of 1251
 Top 2’s 1 T10th of 59 T181st of 1251
 Top 3’s 1 T13th of 59 T257th of 1251
 Top 5’s 3 T14th of 59 T231st of 1251
 Top 10’s 7 T10th of 59 T222nd of 12351
 DNF’sÂą 2 T13th of 36 T289th of 821
 Stage Wins 2 T6th of 59 T40th of 400*
 Stage T10s 17 T9th of 59 T70th of 400*
 Stage Pts 86 12th of 59 75th of 400*
 Playoff Pts² 2 13th of 59 T81st of 400*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 19 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 2 straight Top 10 finishes
  • 2023 Small track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Small track start, 41 drivers)
  • 3 Races, Avg. Finish 18.0(19th), 64.06% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 73.53(16th), Best 8th, Worst 28th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 0.94% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 0 Top 5’s, 1 Top 10, 1 Top 15, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 2.67 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • New Hampshire Statistics
  • 2022 New Hampshire Race
  • Finished 7th, Started 9th, Led 0 laps, got 0 Stage T10’s, ran 204 Laps in Top15 (67.77% of laps he ran), had 84.5 Driver Rating (ranked 12th)
  • Notable New Hampshire Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at New Hampshire, 42 drivers)
  • 22 Races
  • 10.0 Avg. Finish (Ranks 2nd)
  • Best Finish: 1st, Worst: 35th
  • Completed 99.18% of laps (% ranks 19th)
  • 77.88% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 5th)
  • 101.45 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 2nd)
  • Led 9.15% of laps he’s run (% ranks 3rd)
  • 2 Wins, 9.09% (% ranks 5th)
  • 4 Poles, 18.18% (% ranks 2nd)
  • 9 Top 5’s, 40.91% (% ranks 2nd)
  • 15 Top 10’s, 68.18% (% ranks 1st)
  • 3 finishes outside Top 20, 13.64% (% ranks 5th)
  • 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
  • 2 Stage Wins, 14.29% (% ranks 3rd)
  • 3.79 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 6th)
Outlook
Brad Keselowski is notable because of how he’s done in his 22 career starts at New Hampshire. Atlanta provided Keselowski a darn good shot at his first win with RFK, leading 19 laps and finishing P6. This was Keselowski’s 7th Top 10 of the season and now has him at a 15.37 Avg. Finish, 13th best. In addition his 58.41 Laps in Top15%, 0 Wins, 1 Top 3, 2 DNF’s, and 2 Playoff Pts rank 13th as well. However, his stages have been even better as he’s gotten 2 Stage Wins (T6th most) and 17 Stage T10’s (T9th most). Unfortunately for Keselowski Small tracks haven’t been as good he has an 18.0 Avg. Finish in the 3 races with a 73.53 Avg. Driver Rating. Furthermore he only has 1 Top 15 finish, has ran just 64% of his laps in the Top 15, and has only led 0.94% of his laps. However, like Harvick above, the 2023 New Hampshire race is a different story for Keselowski. In the race he ran 67.77% of his laps in the Top 15, had the 12th best Driver Rating (84.5), and finished 7th. This is about right for Keselowski here as in 22 starts he has 2 Wins, 4 Poles, 9 Top 5’s, and 15 Top 10’s with only 3 finishes out of the Top 20. In addition he’s ran 78% of his laps in the Top 15, led 9% of his laps, has a 101.45 Avg. Driver Rating, 2 Stage Wins, 0 DNF’s, and 3.79 Stage Pts Per Stage. With how good Keselowski has been here and how he’s run this season I expect him to finish between 8th and 15th, but I wouldn’t be surprised if he got a Top 5 either.
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Daniel Smith
Daniel Smithhttps://pitpassnetwork.com
Cup drivers: Kyle Larson & Ross Chastain, Xfinity drivers: SVG & Ryan Sieg, Truck drivers: Grant Enfinger & Jake Garcia

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