This article is a race finish projection for the Summer 2023 NASCAR Cup race at Atlanta Motor Speedway. The finishing order below is determined based on the statistics used in the Atlanta Cup Outlook article (mainly track stats and track style stats), weekend practice speeds (both single lap and multi-lap averages), and qualifying results. There is little opinion on the matter as this is based on mostly statistics, so just because a driver with bad stats is in a good car does not mean he will be bumped up based on the car/team he is with.
Last weeks projected winner: Tyler Reddick
Finished: 28th
Last weeks winner: Shane Van Gisbergen
Projected Finish: 6th
Additional notes from last week:
-2 drivers finished where they were projected (Kyle Larson 4th, Michael McDowell 7th)
-15 of the 36 drivers were finished more than 10 spots better or worse than they were projected to finish
-13 of the 36 drivers finished within 5 spots of where they were projected to finish
-6 of the Top 11 drivers were projected to finish in the Top 11
Notable results this week
Winner: Ryan Blaney
One to Watch: Brad Keselowski
Disappointment: Austin Dillon
| Proj. Finish | Number | Driver | Finish/Diff. |
| 1. | 12 | Ryan Blaney | 9th -8 |
| 2. | 22 | Joey Logano | 17th -15 |
| 3. | 1 | Ross Chastain | 35th -32 |
| 4. | 20 | Christopher Bell | 23rd -19 |
| 5. | 99 | Daniel Suarez | 2nd +3 |
| 6. | 48 | Alex Bowman | 26th -20 |
| 7. | 6 | Brad Keselowski | 6th +1 |
| 8. | 43 | Erik Jones | 11th -3 |
| 9. | 17 | Chris Buescher | 15th -6 |
| 10. | 7 | Corey LaJoie | 31st -21 |
| 11. | 11 | Denny Hamlin | 14th -3 |
| 12. | 19 | Martin Truex Jr. | 29th -17 |
| 13. | 8 | Kyle Busch | 5th +8 |
| 14. | 2 | Austin Cindric | 12th +2 |
| 15. | 54 | Ty Gibbs | 34th -19 |
| 16. | 9 | Chase Elliott | 13th +3 |
| 17. | 47 | Rickey Stenhouse Jr. | 10th +7 |
| 18. | 45 | Tyler Reddick | 27th -9 |
| 19. | 24 | William Byron | 1st +18 |
| 20. | 51 | Cole Custer | 32nd -12 |
| 21. | 4 | Kevin Harvick | 30th -9 |
| 22. | 38 | Todd Gilliland | 16th +6 |
| 23. | 31 | Justin Haley | 8th +15 |
| 24. | 14 | Chase Briscoe | 22nd +2 |
| 25. | 10 | Aric Almirola | 18th +7 |
| 26. | 23 | Bubba Wallace | 25th +1 |
| 27. | 5 | Kyle Larson | 36th -9 |
| 28. | 16 | A.J. Allmendinger | 3rd +25 |
| 29. | 77 | Ty Dillon | 19th +10 |
| 30. | 15 | J.J. Yeley | 7th +23 |
| 31. | 42 | Noah Gragson | 33rd -2 |
| 32. | 41 | Ryan Preece | 24th +8 |
| 33. | 21 | Harrison Burton | 28th +5 |
| 34. | 34 | Michael McDowell | 4th +30 |
| 35. | 62 | Austin Hill | 37th -2 |
| 36. | 3 | Austin Dillon | 21st +15 |
| 37. | 78 | B.J. McLeod | 20th +17 |
*This will be updated after the race is over so you can compare how the projection did with the actual finishing order.
