This article is a race finish projection for the 2023 NASCAR Cup race at the Chicago Street Course. The finishing order below is determined based on the statistics used in the Chicago Cup Outlook article (mainly track stats and track style stats), weekend practice speeds (both single lap and multi-lap averages), and qualifying results. There is little opinion on the matter as this is based on mostly statistics, so just because a driver with bad stats is in a good car does not mean he will be bumped up based on the car/team he is with.
Last weeks projected winner: Ross Chastain
Finished: 1st
Last weeks winner: Ross Chastain
Projected Finish: 1st
Additional notes from last week:
-4 drivers finished where they were projected (Ross Chastain 1st, Kyle Larson 5th, Ty Gibbs 14th, Michael McDowell 28th)
-5 of the Top 6 drivers were projected to finish in the Top 6
-20 of the 36 drivers finished within 5 spots of where they were projected to finish
Notable results this week
Winner: Tyler Reddick
One to Watch: Corey LaJoie
Disappointment: Ross Chastain
| Proj. Finish | Number | Driver | Finish/Diff. |
| 1. | 45 | Tyler Reddick | 28th -27 |
| 2. | 11 | Denny Hamlin | 11th -9 |
| 3. | 19 | Martin Truex Jr. | 32nd -29 |
| 4. | 5 | Kyle Larson | 4th +0 |
| 5. | 20 | Christopher Bell | 18th -13 |
| 6. | 91 | Shane Van Gisbergen | 1st +5 |
| 7. | 34 | Michael McDowell | 7th +0 |
| 8. | 17 | Chris Buescher | 10th -2 |
| 9. | 48 | Alex Bowman | 37th -28 |
| 10. | 16 | A.J. Allmendinger | 17th -7 |
| 11. | 54 | Ty Gibbs | 9th +2 |
| 12. | 7 | Corey LaJoie | 14th -2 |
| 13. | 15 | Jensen Button | 21st -8 |
| 14. | 99 | Daniel Suarez | 27th -13 |
| 15. | 24 | William Byron | 13th +2 |
| 16. | 8 | Kyle Busch | 5th +11 |
| 17. | 6 | Brad Keselowski | 24th -7 |
| 18. | 22 | Joey Logano | 8th +10 |
| 19. | 9 | Chase Elliott | 3rd +16 |
| 20. | 1 | Ross Chastain | 22nd -2 |
| 21. | 14 | Chase Briscoe | 20th +1 |
| 22. | 12 | Ryan Blaney | 33rd -11 |
| 23. | 23 | Bubba Wallace | 31st -8 |
| 24. | 42 | Noah Gragson | 25th -1 |
| 25. | 38 | Todd Gilliland | 19th +6 |
| 26. | 47 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 34th -8 |
| 27. | 4 | Kevin Harvick | 29th -2 |
| 28. | 41 | Ryan Preece | 15th +13 |
| 29. | 2 | Austin Cindric | 6th +23 |
| 30. | 43 | Erik Jones | 16th +14 |
| 31. | 10 | Aric Almirola | 12th +19 |
| 32. | 3 | Austin Dillon | 36th -4 |
| 33. | 31 | Justin Haley | 2nd +31 |
| 34. | 78 | Josh Bilicki | 23rd +11 |
| 35. | 51 | Andy Lally | 26th +9 |
| 36. | 21 | Harrison Burton | 30th +6 |
| 37. | 77 | Ty Dillon | 35th +2 |
*This will be updated after the race is over so you can compare how the projection did with the actual finishing order.
