This article is a race finish projection for the 2023 NASCAR Cup race at New Hampshire Motor Speedway. The finishing order below is determined based on the statistics used in the New Hampshire Cup Outlook article (mainly track stats and track style stats), weekend practice speeds (both single lap and multi-lap averages), and qualifying results. There is little opinion on the matter as this is based on mostly statistics, so just because a driver with bad stats is in a good car does not mean he will be bumped up based on the car/team he is with.
Last weeks projected winner: Ryan Blaney
Finished: 9th
Last weeks winner: William Byron
Projected Finish: 19th
Additional notes from last week:
-0 drivers finished where they were projected (not surprising)
-2 drivers finished with in 1 spot of where they were projected (Brad Keselowski, Bubba Wallace)
-6 of the 37 drivers finished 20+ spots (better or worse) than they were projected to finish
-11 of the 37 drivers finished within 5 spots (better or worse) of where they were projected to finish
-3 of the Top 10 drivers were projected to finish in the Top 10
Notable results this week
Winner: Martin Truex Jr.
One to Watch: Michael McDowell
Disappointment: Alex Bowman
| Proj. Finish | Number | Driver | Finish/Diff. |
| 1. | 19 | Martin Truex Jr. | 1st +0 |
| 2. | 20 | Christopher Bell | 29th -27 |
| 3. | 12 | Ryan Blaney | 22nd -19 |
| 4. | 45 | Tyler Reddick | 6th -2 |
| 5. | 23 | Bubba Wallace | 8th -3 |
| 6. | 11 | Denny Hamlin | 7th -1 |
| 7. | 4 | Kevin Harvick | 4th +3 |
| 8. | 8 | Kyle Busch | 36th -28 |
| 9. | 24 | William Byron | 24th -15 |
| 10. | 6 | Brad Keselowski | 5th +5 |
| 11. | 5 | Kyle Larson | 3rd +8 |
| 12. | 22 | Joey Logano | 2nd +10 |
| 13. | 34 | Michael McDowell | 13th +0 |
| 14. | 16 | A.J. Allmendinger | 19th -5 |
| 15. | 99 | Daniel Suarez | 16th -1 |
| 16. | 17 | Chris Buescher | 15th +1 |
| 17. | 9 | Chase Elliott | 12th +5 |
| 18. | 1 | Ross Chastain | 23rd -5 |
| 19. | 10 | Aric Almirola | 34th -15 |
| 20. | 41 | Ryan Preece | 28th -8 |
| 21. | 47 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 18th +3 |
| 22. | 54 | Ty Gibbs | 27th -5 |
| 23. | 2 | Austin Cindric | 25th -2 |
| 24. | 3 | Austin Dillon | 9th +15 |
| 25. | 31 | Justin Haley | 17th +8 |
| 26. | 15 | Ryan Newman | 30th -4 |
| 27. | 48 | Alex Bowman | 14th +13 |
| 28. | 51 | Cole Custer | 35th -7 |
| 29. | 14 | Chase Briscoe | 10th +19 |
| 30. | 7 | Corey LaJoie | 33rd -3 |
| 31. | 38 | Todd Gilliland | 21st +10 |
| 32. | 43 | Erik Jones | 11th +21 |
| 33. | 42 | Noah Gragson | 32nd +1 |
| 34. | 21 | Harrison Burton | 20th +14 |
| 35. | 77 | Ty Dillon | 26th +9 |
| 36. | 78 | B.J. McLeod | 31st +5 |
*This will be updated after the race is over so you can compare how the projection did with the actual finishing order.
