This article is a race finish projection for the 2023 NASCAR Cup race at Pocono Raceway. The finishing order below is determined based on the statistics used in the Pocono Cup Outlook article (mainly track stats and track style stats), weekend practice speeds (both single lap and multi-lap averages), and qualifying results. There is little opinion on the matter as this is based on mostly statistics, so just because a driver with bad stats is in a good car does not mean he will be bumped up based on the car/team he is with.
Last weeks projected winner: Martin Truex Jr.
Finished: 1st
Last weeks winner: Martin Truex Jr.
Projected Finish: 1st
Additional notes from last week:
-2 drivers finished where they were projected (Martin Truex Jr. 1st, Michael McDowell 13th)
-19 of the 36 drivers finished within 5 spots (better or worse) of where they were projected to finish
-Only 3 of the 36 drivers finished 20+ spots (better or worse) than they were projected to finish
-9 of the Top 13 drivers were projected to finish in the Top 13
Notable results this week
Winner: Martin Truex Jr.
One to Watch: Ty Gibbs
Disappointment: Ross Chastain
| Proj. Finish | Number | Driver | Finish/Diff. |
| 1. | 19 | Martin Truex Jr. | 3rd -2 |
| 2. | 5 | Kyle Larson | 20th -18 |
| 3. | 24 | William Byron | 14th -11 |
| 4. | 11 | Denny Hamlin | 1st +3 |
| 5. | 4 | Kevin Harvick | 4th +1 |
| 6. | 8 | Kyle Busch | 21st -15 |
| 7. | 45 | Tyler Reddick | 2nd +5 |
| 8. | 54 | Ty Gibbs | 5th +3 |
| 9. | 9 | Chase Elliott | 10th -1 |
| 10. | 99 | Daniel Suarez | 36th -26 |
| 11. | 48 | Alex Bowman | 24th -13 |
| 12. | 17 | Chris Buescher | 18th -6 |
| 13. | 22 | Joey Logano | 35th -22 |
| 14. | 12 | Ryan Blaney | 30th -16 |
| 15. | 43 | Erik Jones | 9th +6 |
| 16. | 6 | Brad Keselowski | 16th +0 |
| 17. | 23 | Bubba Wallace | 11th +6 |
| 18. | 3 | Austin Dillon | 34th -16 |
| 19. | 20 | Christopher Bell | 6th +13 |
| 20. | 47 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 7th +13 |
| 21. | 16 | A.J. Allmendinger | 17th +4 |
| 22. | 1 | Ross Chastain | 13th +9 |
| 23. | 7 | Corey LaJoie | 27th -4 |
| 24. | 34 | Michael McDowell | 19th +5 |
| 25. | 31 | Justin Haley | 33rd -8 |
| 26. | 41 | Ryan Preece | 31st -5 |
| 27. | 14 | Chase Briscoe | 29th -2 |
| 28. | 10 | Aric Almirola | 12th +16 |
| 29. | 2 | Austin Cindric | 23rd +6 |
| 30. | 51 | Cole Custer | 25th +5 |
| 31. | 77 | Ty Dillon | 28th +3 |
| 32. | 21 | Harrison Burton | 8th +24 |
| 33. | 38 | Todd Gilliland | 15th +18 |
| 34. | 15 | J.J. Yeley | 26th +8 |
| 35. | 78 | B.J. McLeod | 32nd +3 |
| 36. | 42 | Noah Gragson | 22nd +14 |
*This will be updated after the race is over so you can compare how the projection did with the actual finishing order.
