Last week, at Pocono, we saw another dominating performance in the Xfinity Series, but this time that driver did not win as Austin Hill outbested Josh Berry late in the race to win. This week if a driver hits it right we could see another dominating performance as we head to Road America. I have picked 8 notable drivers to look at, 1 based on the 2023 point standings, 2 based on 2023 stats, 2 based on Road Course stats, 1 based on the last Road America race and 2 based on their overall Road America stats. Here is a look at those 8 notable drivers 2023 season statistics, along with ranks among drivers in 2023 and ranking through 19 races since the Playoffs started in 2016. We will also highlight notable streaks accomplished through the year, 2023 Road Course (right & left turns) statistics and Road America statistics.
1st in Points – John Hunter Nemechek
| Category | Statistic | 2023 Rank | ªRank Thru 19 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 8.68 | 2nd of 34 | 14th of 276 |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 98.52% | 8th of 34 | 42nd of 276 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 86.91% | 1st of 34 | 29th of 276 |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 110.76 | 1st of 34 | 9th of 276‡ |
| Wins | 4 | T1st of 88 | T7th of 694 |
| Poles | 1 | T4th of 88 | T20th of 694 |
| Top 2’s | 8 | 1st of 88 | T2nd of 694 |
| Top 3’s | 8 | T1st of 88 | T9th of 694 |
| Top 5’s | 10 | 2nd of 88 | T12th of 694 |
| Top 10’s | 15 | T1st of 88 | T6th of 694 |
| DNF’s¹ | 1 | T5th of 34 | T29th of 276 |
| Stage Wins | 4 | 3rd of 88 | T18th of 603* |
| Stage T10s | 28 | T1st of 88 | T16th of 603* |
| Stage Pts | 197 | 1st of 88 | T11th of 603* |
| Playoff Pts² | 24 | 1st of 88 | T6th of 603* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2016
¹Ranks of drivers to start 45% of races thru 19 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 2 straight Wins (longest streak in Xfinity Series this year and tied 15th longest in Xfinity Series all-time)
- 3 straight Top 2 finishes (tied longest streak in Xfinity Series this year and tied 26th longest in Xfinity Series all-time)
- 3 straight Top 3 finishes
- 5 straight Top 10 finishes
- 2023 Road Course Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Road Course start, 58 drivers)
- 4 Races, Avg. Finish 13.75(T14th), 88.11% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 100.53(8th), Best 2nd, Worst 27th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 1.32% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 1 Top 3, 1 Top 5, 2 Top 10’s, 2 Top 15’s, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 6.0 Stage Pts Per Stage
- Road America Statistics
- 2022 Road America race
- Finished 18th, Started 35th, Led 0 laps, Finished 4th in Stage 2, ran 10 Laps in Top15 (20.83% of laps he ran), had 55.8 Driver Rating (ranked 27th)
- Notable Road America Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Road America, 58 drivers)
- 2 Races
- 22.0 Avg. Finish (Ranks T30th)
- Best Finish: 18th, Worst: 26th
- Completed 100% of laps (% ranks T1st)
- 48.39% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 30th)
- 63.3 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 35th)
- Led 0.00% of laps he’s run
- 0 Top 15’s
- 1 finish outside Top 20, 50.0% (% ranks T25th)
- 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 Stage Wins
- 2 Stage T10’s, 50.0% (% ranks T10th)
Main Points & Outlook
– John Hunter Nemechek is notable because of his really good 2023 stats
– Nemecheck had a good run going at Pocono until an incident after Stage 2 beat up his car and had him finish 32nd
– He ranks 1st or T1st in 9 of the 15 2023 Ranks above
– Only 2 of his 2023 Ranks above are worst than 4th (1 DNF, ranks 5th and 98.52 Completed Laps%, ranks 8th)
– His 8 Top 2’s, 15 Top 10’s, 24 Playoff Pts, 4 Wins, 8 Top 3’s, and 100.76 Avg. Driver Rating all rank 10th or better thru 19 races since 2016
– His longest Top 10 streak this year is only 5 races
– In the 4 Road Course races this year he has a 13.75 Avg. Finish with 1 Top 3, 2 Top 10’s, and 1 finish out of the Top 20
– He’s ran 88% of his laps in the Top 15 in the 4 races, has a 100.53 Avg. Driver Rating, and has gotten 6 Stage Pts Per Stage
– Last year at Road America Nemechek ran just 21% of his laps in the Top 15, had only the 27th best Avg. Driver Rating (55.8), and finished 18th
– He has 2 races in the Xfinity Series at Road America finishing 18th and 26th
– He’s ran only 48% of his laps here in the Top 15 and has a subpar 63.3 Avg. Driver Rating
Outlook for this weekend
Looking at the stats above the only good thing going for Nemechek is his 2023 season stats, the rest are not all that good. This is especially true for his Road America stats and for that reason I think Nemechek will struggle this weekend coming home with a finish between 9th and 25th.
– John Hunter Nemechek is notable because of his really good 2023 stats
– Nemecheck had a good run going at Pocono until an incident after Stage 2 beat up his car and had him finish 32nd
– He ranks 1st or T1st in 9 of the 15 2023 Ranks above
– Only 2 of his 2023 Ranks above are worst than 4th (1 DNF, ranks 5th and 98.52 Completed Laps%, ranks 8th)
– His 8 Top 2’s, 15 Top 10’s, 24 Playoff Pts, 4 Wins, 8 Top 3’s, and 100.76 Avg. Driver Rating all rank 10th or better thru 19 races since 2016
– His longest Top 10 streak this year is only 5 races
– In the 4 Road Course races this year he has a 13.75 Avg. Finish with 1 Top 3, 2 Top 10’s, and 1 finish out of the Top 20
– He’s ran 88% of his laps in the Top 15 in the 4 races, has a 100.53 Avg. Driver Rating, and has gotten 6 Stage Pts Per Stage
– Last year at Road America Nemechek ran just 21% of his laps in the Top 15, had only the 27th best Avg. Driver Rating (55.8), and finished 18th
– He has 2 races in the Xfinity Series at Road America finishing 18th and 26th
– He’s ran only 48% of his laps here in the Top 15 and has a subpar 63.3 Avg. Driver Rating
Outlook for this weekend
Looking at the stats above the only good thing going for Nemechek is his 2023 season stats, the rest are not all that good. This is especially true for his Road America stats and for that reason I think Nemechek will struggle this weekend coming home with a finish between 9th and 25th.
2nd in Points – Austin Hill
| Category | Statistic | 2023 Rank | ªRank Thru 19 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 7.68 | 1st of 34 | 9th of 276 |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 98.86% | 7th of 34 | 38th of 276 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 85.95% | 2nd of 34 | 33rd of 276 |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 105.4 | 2nd of 34 | 22nd of 276‡ |
| Wins | 4 | T1st of 88 | T7th of 694 |
| Poles | 2 | 3rd of 88 | T12th of 694 |
| Top 2’s | 4 | T2nd of 88 | T17th of 694 |
| Top 3’s | 5 | 4th of 88 | T25th of 694 |
| Top 5’s | 11 | 1st of 88 | T6th of 694 |
| Top 10’s | 15 | T1st of 88 | T6th of 694 |
| DNF’s¹ | 1 | T5th of 34 | T29th of 276 |
| Stage Wins | 3 | T4th of 88 | T25th of 603* |
| Stage T10s | 25 | 6th of 88 | T32nd of 603* |
| Stage Pts | 164 | 3rd of 88 | 24th of 603* |
| Playoff Pts² | 23 | 2nd of 88 | T8th of 603* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2016
¹Ranks of drivers to start 45% of races thru 19 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 2 straight Top 3 finishes (active streak, longest active streak in Xfinity Series)
- 4 straight Top 5 finishes (tied longest streak in Xfinity Series this year)
- 7 straight Top 10 finishes
- 2023 Road Course Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Road Course start, 58 drivers)
- 4 Races, Avg. Finish 13.75(T14th), 98.97% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 96.83(10th), Best 5th, Worst 37th, Laps Completed 85.46%, Led 2.06% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 2 Top 5’s, 3 Top 10’s, 3 Top 15’s, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 1 DNF, 0 Stage Wins, 3.63 Stage Pts Per Stage
- Road America Statistics
- 2022 Road America race
- Finished 4th, Started 10th, Led 0 laps, got 0 Stage T10’s, ran 34 Laps in Top15 (70.83% of laps he ran), had 91.2 Driver Rating (ranked 10th)
- Notable Road America Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Road America, 58 drivers)
- 1 Race
- 4.0 Avg. Finish (Ranks T3rd)
- Best Finish: 4th, Worst: 4th
- Completed 100% of laps (% ranks T1st)
- 70.83% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 17th)
- 91.2 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 12th)
- Led 0.00% of laps he’s run
- 0 Top 3’s
- 1 Top 5, 100% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 finishes outside Top 20, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 Stage Wins
- 0 Stage T10’s
Main Points & Outlook
– Austin Hill is notable because of his 2023 stats thru 19 races
– Last week Hill was able to take advantage of some late race misfortune for others to get his series lead tying 4th win of the season
– 10 of his 15 2023 Ranks above are 3rd or better, and his worst rank is only 7th
– His 11 Top 5’s, 15 Top 10’s, 4 Wins, 23 Playoff Pts, and 7.68 Avg. Finish all rank 10th or better thru 19 races since 2016
– He’s on a 2 race Top 3 streak, the longest active streak in the Xfinity Series
– In the 4 Road Course races this year he’s gotten 2 Top 5’s, 3 Top 10’s, a DNF, leading to a 13.75 Avg. Finish
– In the 4 races he’s ran 99% of his laps in the Top 15, has the 10th best Avg. Driver Rating (96.83), and has gotten 3.63 Stage Pts Per Stage
– At the Xfinity Road America race last year Hill started 10th, ran 71% of his laps in the Top 15, had the 10th best Driver Rating (91.2), got 0 Stage 10’s and finished 4th
– This was his first and only Xfinity race at Road America
Outlook for this weekend
Hill has been really good this year and his stats show as much. What’s even better is that his Road Course stats and Road America race last year are pretty good too. So, with these good stats I see Hill doing well this weekend, finishing somewhere between 4th and 12th.
– Austin Hill is notable because of his 2023 stats thru 19 races
– Last week Hill was able to take advantage of some late race misfortune for others to get his series lead tying 4th win of the season
– 10 of his 15 2023 Ranks above are 3rd or better, and his worst rank is only 7th
– His 11 Top 5’s, 15 Top 10’s, 4 Wins, 23 Playoff Pts, and 7.68 Avg. Finish all rank 10th or better thru 19 races since 2016
– He’s on a 2 race Top 3 streak, the longest active streak in the Xfinity Series
– In the 4 Road Course races this year he’s gotten 2 Top 5’s, 3 Top 10’s, a DNF, leading to a 13.75 Avg. Finish
– In the 4 races he’s ran 99% of his laps in the Top 15, has the 10th best Avg. Driver Rating (96.83), and has gotten 3.63 Stage Pts Per Stage
– At the Xfinity Road America race last year Hill started 10th, ran 71% of his laps in the Top 15, had the 10th best Driver Rating (91.2), got 0 Stage 10’s and finished 4th
– This was his first and only Xfinity race at Road America
Outlook for this weekend
Hill has been really good this year and his stats show as much. What’s even better is that his Road Course stats and Road America race last year are pretty good too. So, with these good stats I see Hill doing well this weekend, finishing somewhere between 4th and 12th.
3rd in Points – Justin Allgaier
| Category | Statistic | 2023 Rank | ªRank Thru 19 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 10.74 | T3rd of 34 | T36th of 276 |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 95.55% | 12th of 34 | 95th of 276 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 80.59% | 5th of 34 | 53rd of 276 |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 102.23 | 3rd of 34 | 33rd of 276‡ |
| Wins | 1 | T5th of 88 | T35th of 694 |
| Poles | 1 | T4th of 88 | T20th of 694 |
| Top 2’s | 4 | T2nd of 88 | T17th of 694 |
| Top 3’s | 8 | T1st of 88 | T9th of 694 |
| Top 5’s | 9 | 3rd of 88 | T15th of 694 |
| Top 10’s | 12 | T3rd of 88 | T27th of 694 |
| DNF’s¹ | 3 | T20th of 34 | T122nd of 276 |
| Stage Wins | 5 | T1st of 88 | T11th of 603* |
| Stage T10s | 28 | T1st of 88 | T16th of 603* |
| Stage Pts | 193 | 2nd of 88 | 13th of 603* |
| Playoff Pts² | 10 | 4th of 88 | T23rd of 603* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2016
¹Ranks of drivers to start 45% of races thru 19 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 3 straight Top 2 finishes (tied longest streak in Xfinity Series this year and tied 26th longest in Xfinity Series all-time)
- 4 straight Top 3 finishes (longest streak in Xfinity Series this year and tied 29th longest in Xfinity Series all-time)
- 4 straight Top 5 finishes (tied longest streak in Xfinity Series this year)
- 5 straight Top 10 finishes
- 2023 Road Course Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Road Course start, 58 drivers)
- 4 Races, Avg. Finish 4.25(5th), 96.48% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 112.3(5th), Best 2nd, Worst 7th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 10.13% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 2 Top 3’s, 3 Top 5’s, 4 Top 10’s, 4 Top 15’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 6.13 Stage Pts Per Stage
- Road America Statistics
- 2022 Road America race
- Finished 12th, Started 15th, Led 3 laps (6.25%), Finished 5th in Stage 2, ran 35 Laps in Top15 (72.92% of laps he ran), had 89.5 Driver Rating (ranked 11th)
- Notable Road America Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Road America, 58 drivers)
- 11 Races
- 13.36 Avg. Finish (Ranks 13th)
- Best Finish: 1st, Worst: 35th
- Completed 95.31% of laps (% ranks 33rd)
- 75.59% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 12th)
- 92.76 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 11th)
- Led 5.51% of laps he’s run (% ranks 7th)
- 1 Win, 9.09% (% ranks 4th)
- 2 Top 2’s, 18.18% (% ranks 6th)
- 5 Top 10’s, 45.45% (% ranks 18th)
- 8 Top 15’s, 72.73% (% ranks 12th)
- 2 finishes outside Top 20, 18.18% (% ranks 12th)
- 2 DNF’s, 18.18% (% ranks 33rd)
- 0 Stage Wins
- 8 Stage T10’s, 66.67% (% ranks T5th)
- 3.75 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 5th)
Main Points & Outlook
– Justin Allgaier is notable because of his stats on Road Courses this year
– Allgaier ran 76% of his race last week in the Top 15 before contact with a lap car and last lap wreck put him P23 at the finish
– His 8 Top 3’s, 5 Stage Wins, and 28 Stage T10’s are tied for most this year
– His 95.5 Completed Laps% and 3 DNF’s are the only 2023 Ranks above that are worse than 5th for him
– He has 4 Top 2’s, 8 Top 3’s, but only 1 Win this year
– His longest Top 10 streak this year is only 5 races, but he does have a 4 race Top 5 streak this year (tied longest streak this year)
– In the 4 Road Course races this year he has a best finish of 2nd and worst finish of 7th
– In the 4 races he has a 4.25 Avg. Finish, a 112.3 Avg. Driver Rating, has ran 96.48% of his laps in the Top 15, and has gotten 6.13 Stage Pts Per Stage
– At Road America last year Allgaier ran 73% of the race in the Top 15, led 3 laps, had the 11th best Driver Rating (89.5), and finished 12th
– In 11 races here he has a 13.36 Avg. Finish with 1 Win, but only 5 Top 5’s
– Both of his finishes out of the Top 20 here have been DNF’s
– He’s ran 75.59% of his laps here in the Top 15 and has led 5.51% of his laps here as well
Outlook for this weekend
Allgaier has been so close to winning so many races this year but has fallen short in most of them. The good news is that he’s ran really well on Road Courses, but on the other hand he’s not been as good at Road America in his career. However, I think Allgaier does well this weekend for most of the race and if nothing goes wrong finishes somewhere in the Top 5.
– Justin Allgaier is notable because of his stats on Road Courses this year
– Allgaier ran 76% of his race last week in the Top 15 before contact with a lap car and last lap wreck put him P23 at the finish
– His 8 Top 3’s, 5 Stage Wins, and 28 Stage T10’s are tied for most this year
– His 95.5 Completed Laps% and 3 DNF’s are the only 2023 Ranks above that are worse than 5th for him
– He has 4 Top 2’s, 8 Top 3’s, but only 1 Win this year
– His longest Top 10 streak this year is only 5 races, but he does have a 4 race Top 5 streak this year (tied longest streak this year)
– In the 4 Road Course races this year he has a best finish of 2nd and worst finish of 7th
– In the 4 races he has a 4.25 Avg. Finish, a 112.3 Avg. Driver Rating, has ran 96.48% of his laps in the Top 15, and has gotten 6.13 Stage Pts Per Stage
– At Road America last year Allgaier ran 73% of the race in the Top 15, led 3 laps, had the 11th best Driver Rating (89.5), and finished 12th
– In 11 races here he has a 13.36 Avg. Finish with 1 Win, but only 5 Top 5’s
– Both of his finishes out of the Top 20 here have been DNF’s
– He’s ran 75.59% of his laps here in the Top 15 and has led 5.51% of his laps here as well
Outlook for this weekend
Allgaier has been so close to winning so many races this year but has fallen short in most of them. The good news is that he’s ran really well on Road Courses, but on the other hand he’s not been as good at Road America in his career. However, I think Allgaier does well this weekend for most of the race and if nothing goes wrong finishes somewhere in the Top 5.
4th in Points – Cole Custer
| Category | Statistic | 2023 Rank | ªRank Thru 19 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 10.74 | T3rd of 34 | T36th of 276 |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 99.72% | 3rd of 34 | 16th of 276 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 85.67% | 3rd of 34 | 37th of 276 |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 100.65 | 4th of 34 | 35th of 276‡ |
| Wins | 2 | T3rd of 88 | T21st of 694 |
| Poles | 4 | 1st of 88 | T5th of 694 |
| Top 2’s | 2 | T5th of 88 | T41st of 694 |
| Top 3’s | 6 | 3rd of 88 | T18th of 694 |
| Top 5’s | 8 | 4th of 88 | T21st of 694 |
| Top 10’s | 12 | T3rd of 88 | T27th of 694 |
| DNF’s¹ | 0 | T1st of 34 | T1st of 276 |
| Stage Wins | 5 | T1st of 88 | T11th of 603* |
| Stage T10s | 26 | T4th of 88 | T24th of 603* |
| Stage Pts | 159 | 4th of 88 | T26th of 603* |
| Playoff Pts² | 15 | 3rd of 88 | T15th of 603* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2016
¹Ranks of drivers to start 45% of races thru 19 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 2 straight Poles (tied longest streak in Xfinity Series this year and tied 10th longest in Xfinity Series all-time)
- 3 straight Top 3 finishes
- 11 straight Top 10 finishes (longest streak in Xfinity Series this year and tied 24th longest in Xfinity Series all-time)
- 2023 Road Course Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Road Course start, 58 drivers)
- 4 Races, Avg. Finish 10.0(9th), 72.12% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 105.6(6th), Best 1st, Worst 32nd, Laps Completed 99.56%, Led 13.27% of laps he ran, 2 Wins, 1 Pole, 2 Top 3’s, 2 Top 5’s, 3 Top 10’s, 3 Top 15’s, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 3 Stage Wins, 4.25 Stage Pts Per Stage
- Road America Statistics
- 2022 Road America race
- Finished 25th (crash), Started 4th, Led 6 laps (12.5%), Finished 3rd in Stage 1 and 3rd in Stage 2, ran 39 Laps in Top15 (90.7% of laps he ran), had 110.2 Driver Rating (ranked 3rd)
- Notable Road America Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Road America, 58 drivers)
- 4 Races
- 11.75 Avg. Finish (Ranks 11th)
- Best Finish: 4th, Worst: 25th
- Completed 97.27% of laps (% ranks 30th)
- 71.35% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 14th)
- 104.9 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 7th)
- Led 3.37% of laps he’s run (% ranks 10th)
- 0 Top 3’s
- 1 Top 5, 25.0% (% ranks 14th)
- 3 Top 10’s, 75.0% (% ranks 9th)
- 1 finish outside Top 20, 25.0% (% ranks T14th)
- 1 DNF, 25.0% (% ranks T36th)
- 0 Stage Wins
- 5 Stage T10’s, 62.5% (% ranks T8th)
Main Points & Outlook
– Cole Custer is notable because of career Xfinity stats at Road America
– At Pocono Custer got 6 Stage Pts before getting collected in the wreck right after Stage 2, relegating him to a 33rd place finish
– All of his 2023 Ranks above are T5th or better, his worst being his 2 Top 2’s (ranks T5th)
– His 4 Poles, 0 DNF’s, and 5 Stage Wins are the only 2023 Ranks above better than 3rd
– He has a 10.74 Avg. Finish, a 100.65 Avg. Driver Rating, 12 Stage T10’s, and 26 Stage T10’s
– He has the longest Top 10 streak in the Xfinity Series this year at 11
– In the 4 Road Course races this year he has 2 Wins, 3 Top 10’s, and a 10.0 Avg. Finish
– In the 4 races he’s ran 72% of his laps in the Top 15 and has the 6th best Avg. Driver Rating (105.6)
– He’s won 3 of the 8 Road Course stages and has gotten 4.25 Stage Pts Per Stage in the 8 stages
– Last year at Road America Custer ran 91% of his laps in the Top 15 and had the 3rd best Driver Rating (110.2), but finished 25th after a crash
– He’s ran 4 Xfinity races at Road America and has 1 Top 5, 3 Top 10’s, an 11.75 Avg. Finish, and a 104.9 Avg. Driver Rating
Outlook for this weekend
Custer has had trouble the last 2 weeks, but that hasn’t hurt his 2023 stats much, and his 2023 Road Course stats are pretty incredible. This weekend, as long as he doesn’t get involved in a wreck, I see Custer getting a solid Top 10 finish coming home between 1st and 7th.
– Cole Custer is notable because of career Xfinity stats at Road America
– At Pocono Custer got 6 Stage Pts before getting collected in the wreck right after Stage 2, relegating him to a 33rd place finish
– All of his 2023 Ranks above are T5th or better, his worst being his 2 Top 2’s (ranks T5th)
– His 4 Poles, 0 DNF’s, and 5 Stage Wins are the only 2023 Ranks above better than 3rd
– He has a 10.74 Avg. Finish, a 100.65 Avg. Driver Rating, 12 Stage T10’s, and 26 Stage T10’s
– He has the longest Top 10 streak in the Xfinity Series this year at 11
– In the 4 Road Course races this year he has 2 Wins, 3 Top 10’s, and a 10.0 Avg. Finish
– In the 4 races he’s ran 72% of his laps in the Top 15 and has the 6th best Avg. Driver Rating (105.6)
– He’s won 3 of the 8 Road Course stages and has gotten 4.25 Stage Pts Per Stage in the 8 stages
– Last year at Road America Custer ran 91% of his laps in the Top 15 and had the 3rd best Driver Rating (110.2), but finished 25th after a crash
– He’s ran 4 Xfinity races at Road America and has 1 Top 5, 3 Top 10’s, an 11.75 Avg. Finish, and a 104.9 Avg. Driver Rating
Outlook for this weekend
Custer has had trouble the last 2 weeks, but that hasn’t hurt his 2023 stats much, and his 2023 Road Course stats are pretty incredible. This weekend, as long as he doesn’t get involved in a wreck, I see Custer getting a solid Top 10 finish coming home between 1st and 7th.
5th in Points – Chandler Smith
| Category | Statistic | 2023 Rank | ªRank Thru 19 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 13.0 | 6th of 34 | 62nd of 276 |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 95.51% | 13th of 34 | 96th of 276 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 85.19% | 4th of 34 | 41st of 276 |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 94.87 | 5th of 34 | 48th of 276‡ |
| Wins | 1 | T5th of 88 | T35th of 694 |
| Poles | 3 | 2nd of 88 | T8th of 694 |
| Top 2’s | 2 | T5th of 88 | T41st of 694 |
| Top 3’s | 3 | T6th of 88 | T45th of 694 |
| Top 5’s | 5 | T6th of 88 | T51st of 694 |
| Top 10’s | 8 | T9th of 88 | T67th of 694 |
| DNF’s¹ | 3 | T20th of 34 | T122nd of 276 |
| Stage Wins | 2 | T9th of 88 | T39th of 603* |
| Stage T10s | 26 | T4th of 88 | T24th of 603* |
| Stage Pts | 127 | 6th of 88 | 40th of 603* |
| Playoff Pts² | 7 | T5th of 88 | T27th of 603* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2016
¹Ranks of drivers to start 45% of races thru 19 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 2 straight Poles (tied longest streak in Xfinity Series this year and tied 10th longest in Xfinity Series all-time)
- 3 straight Top 5 finishes
- 2023 Road Course Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Road Course start, 58 drivers)
- 4 Races, Avg. Finish 10.75(10th), 52.86% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 79.3(19th), Best 8th, Worst 14th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 0.00% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 0 Top 5’s, 2 Top 10’s, 4 Top 15’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 0.5 Stage Pts Per Stage
- Road America Statistics
- 2022 Road America race
- did not race
- Notable Road America Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Road America, 58 drivers)
- 0 Races
Main Points & Outlook
– Chandler Smith is notable because he’s 5th in points
– Smith ran 75% of his laps in the Top 15 last week, but the last lap mayhem caused him to come home in 20th place
– In his rookie year he has 1 Win, 3 Poles, 3 Top 3’s, 5 Top 5’s, and 8 Top 10’s with a 13.0 Avg. Finish
– All but 2 of his 2023 Ranks above are T9th or better
– His 3 Poles are tied for 8th most thru 19 races since 2016
– In the 4 Road Course races his worst finish is only 14th, but his best is only 8th
– In the 4 races he’s ran just 53% of his laps in the Top 15, has just a 79.3 Avg. Driver Rating, and has only gotten 0.5 Stage Pts Per Stage
– Smith has never ran an Xfinity race at Road America
Outlook for this weekend
Smith has been impressive this year for a rookie, but his finishes on Road Courses have not been indicative of his races as a whole. This weekend I see the same sort of run for him, about half of his laps will be in the Top 15 and then he’ll finish between 10th and 20th probably.
– Chandler Smith is notable because he’s 5th in points
– Smith ran 75% of his laps in the Top 15 last week, but the last lap mayhem caused him to come home in 20th place
– In his rookie year he has 1 Win, 3 Poles, 3 Top 3’s, 5 Top 5’s, and 8 Top 10’s with a 13.0 Avg. Finish
– All but 2 of his 2023 Ranks above are T9th or better
– His 3 Poles are tied for 8th most thru 19 races since 2016
– In the 4 Road Course races his worst finish is only 14th, but his best is only 8th
– In the 4 races he’s ran just 53% of his laps in the Top 15, has just a 79.3 Avg. Driver Rating, and has only gotten 0.5 Stage Pts Per Stage
– Smith has never ran an Xfinity race at Road America
Outlook for this weekend
Smith has been impressive this year for a rookie, but his finishes on Road Courses have not been indicative of his races as a whole. This weekend I see the same sort of run for him, about half of his laps will be in the Top 15 and then he’ll finish between 10th and 20th probably.
5th in Owner Points – A.J. Allmendinger
| Category | Statistic | 2023 Rank | ªRank Thru 19 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 1.33 | – of 34 | – of 276 |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 100% | – of 34 | – of 276 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 88.16% | – of 34 | – of 276 |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 133.37 | – of 34 | – of 276‡ |
| Wins | 2 | T3rd of 88 | T21st of 694 |
| Poles | 1 | T4th of 88 | T20th of 694 |
| Top 2’s | 3 | 4th of 88 | T27th of 694 |
| Top 3’s | 3 | T6th of 88 | T45th of 694 |
| Top 5’s | 3 | T11th of 88 | T77th of 694 |
| Top 10’s | 3 | T17th of 88 | T140th of 694 |
| DNF’s¹ | 0 | – of 34 | – of 276 |
| Stage Wins | 1 | T11th of 88 | T61st of 603* |
| Stage T10s | 5 | 19th of 88 | T133rd of 603* |
| Stage Pts | 0 | T27th of 88 | T206th of 603* |
| Playoff Pts² | 0 | T13th of 88 | T78th of 603* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2016
¹Ranks of drivers to start 45% of races thru 19 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 3 straight Top 2 finishes (active streak of races he’s run)
- 2023 Road Course Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Road Course start, 58 drivers)
- 2 Races, Avg. Finish 1.5(1st), 94.4% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 136.1(2nd), Best 1st, Worst 2nd, Laps Completed 100%, Led 24.0% of laps he ran, 1 Win, 1 Pole, 2 Top 3’s, 2 Top 5’s, 2 Top 10’s, 2 Top 15’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 1 Stage Win, 4 Stage T10’s
- Road America Statistics
- 2022 Road America race
- Finished 6th, Started 38th, Led 1 lap (2.08%), Finished 9th in Stage 1, ran 39 Laps in Top15 (81.25% of laps he ran), had 97.5 Driver Rating (ranked 6th)
- Notable Road America Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Road America, 58 drivers)
- 5 Races
- 7.4 Avg. Finish (Ranks 8th)
- Best Finish: 1st, Worst: 24th
- Completed 100% of laps (% ranks T1st)
- 86.13% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 7th)
- 119.84 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 4th)
- Led 25.63% of laps he’s run (% ranks 2nd)
- 1 Win, 20.0% (% ranks 3rd)
- 2 Poles, 40.0% (% ranks 3rd)
- 2 Top 2’s 40.0% (% ranks 4th)
- 3 Top 5’s, 60.0% (% ranks 5th)
- 4 Top 10’s, 80.0% (% ranks 8th)
- 1 finish outside Top 20, 20.0% (% ranks 13th)
- 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 4 Stage Wins, 50.0% (% ranks 2nd)
- 5 Stage T10’s, 62.5% (% ranks T8th)
Main Points & Outlook
– A.J. Allmendinger is notable because of his 2023 Xfinity Road Course stats
– Allmendinger’s last Xfinity race was at Nashville where he led the final 20 laps en route to his 2nd Xfinity win of the year
– He’s ran 3 races this year, has 2 Wins, 3 Top 2’s, and a 133.67 Avg. Driver Rating
– In the 3 races he’s ran 88% of his laps in the Top 15, has 1 Stage Win, and 5 Stage T10’s in 6 stages
– 2 of his 3 starts have come on Road Courses where he has finished 1st and 2nd, has a 136.1 Avg. Driver Rating, and ran 94.4% of his laps in the Top 15
– In the 2 Road Course races he’s ran he has 1 Stage Win and has finished every stage in the Top 10
– Last year at Road America Allmendinger ran 81.25% of his laps in the Top 15, led only 1 lap, had the 6th best Driver Rating (97.5), and finished 6th
– This was his 5th Xfinity start at Road America and his 4th Top 10
– In the 5 races he has a 7.4 Avg. Finish with 1 Win, 2 Top 2’s, 3 Top 5’s, and a 119.84 Avg. Driver Rating
– In the 5 races he’s ran 86% of his laps in the Top 15, led 26% of his laps, and has 4 Stage Wins in the 8 stages he’s competed in here
Outlook for this weekend
The stats for Allmendinger above are just plain stupid good, the only blemish is that last year at Road America he didn’t run great. This weekend I feel Allmendinger will be challenged by a couple of other drivers, but in the end will finish in the Top 5 and probably win.
– A.J. Allmendinger is notable because of his 2023 Xfinity Road Course stats
– Allmendinger’s last Xfinity race was at Nashville where he led the final 20 laps en route to his 2nd Xfinity win of the year
– He’s ran 3 races this year, has 2 Wins, 3 Top 2’s, and a 133.67 Avg. Driver Rating
– In the 3 races he’s ran 88% of his laps in the Top 15, has 1 Stage Win, and 5 Stage T10’s in 6 stages
– 2 of his 3 starts have come on Road Courses where he has finished 1st and 2nd, has a 136.1 Avg. Driver Rating, and ran 94.4% of his laps in the Top 15
– In the 2 Road Course races he’s ran he has 1 Stage Win and has finished every stage in the Top 10
– Last year at Road America Allmendinger ran 81.25% of his laps in the Top 15, led only 1 lap, had the 6th best Driver Rating (97.5), and finished 6th
– This was his 5th Xfinity start at Road America and his 4th Top 10
– In the 5 races he has a 7.4 Avg. Finish with 1 Win, 2 Top 2’s, 3 Top 5’s, and a 119.84 Avg. Driver Rating
– In the 5 races he’s ran 86% of his laps in the Top 15, led 26% of his laps, and has 4 Stage Wins in the 8 stages he’s competed in here
Outlook for this weekend
The stats for Allmendinger above are just plain stupid good, the only blemish is that last year at Road America he didn’t run great. This weekend I feel Allmendinger will be challenged by a couple of other drivers, but in the end will finish in the Top 5 and probably win.
6th in Points – Josh Berry
| Category | Statistic | 2023 Rank | ªRank Thru 19 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 12.89 | 5th of 34 | T60th of 276 |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 99.07% | 5th of 34 | 32nd of 276 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 75.31% | 7th of 34 | 73rd of 276 |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 91.65 | 6th of 34 | 58th of 276‡ |
| Wins | 0 | T12th of 88 | T80th of 694 |
| Poles | 1 | T4th of 88 | T20th of 694 |
| Top 2’s | 1 | T11th of 88 | T67th of 694 |
| Top 3’s | 2 | T9th of 88 | T65th of 694 |
| Top 5’s | 7 | 5th of 88 | T34th of 694 |
| Top 10’s | 11 | T5th of 88 | T40th of 694 |
| DNF’s¹ | 1 | T5th of 34 | T29th of 276 |
| Stage Wins | 3 | T4th of 88 | T125h of 603* |
| Stage T10s | 21 | T8th of 88 | T51st of 603* |
| Stage Pts | 119 | 7th of 88 | T43rd of 603* |
| Playoff Pts² | 3 | T9th of 88 | T49th of 603* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2016
¹Ranks of drivers to start 45% of races thru 19 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 2 straight Top 5 finishes
- 7 straight Top 10 finishes
- 2023 Road Course Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Road Course start, 58 drivers)
- 4 Races, Avg. Finish 17.0(20th), 32.14% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 73.93(21st), Best 4th, Worst 33rd, Laps Completed 98.68%, Led 0.00% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 1 Top 5, 2 Top 10’s, 2 Top 15’s, 2 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 1.5 Stage Pts Per Stage
- Road America Statistics
- 2022 Road America race
- Finished 3rd, Started 16th, Led 0 laps, got 0 Stage T10’s, ran 27 Laps in Top15 (56.25% of laps he ran), had 85.3 Driver Rating (ranked 12th)
- Notable Road America Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Road America, 58 drivers)
- 1 Race
- 3.0 Avg. Finish (Ranks 3rd)
- Best Finish: 3rd, Worst: 3rd
- Completed 100% of laps (% ranks T1st)
- 56.25% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 25th)
- 85.3 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 15th)
- Led 0.00% of laps he’s run
- 0 Top 2’s
- 1 Top 3, 100% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 finishes outside Top 20, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 Stage Wins
- 0 Stage T10’s
Main Points & Outlook
– Josh Berry is notable because of his stats in his 1 career start at Road America
– Berry had a dominant car at Pocono, except when it counted, as he led 56% of the race but finished 24th after a last lap wreck
– His best 2023 Rank above is only T4th (1 Pole & 3 Stage Wins), but his worst is only T12th (0 Wins)
– On the year he has a 12.89 Avg. Finish, 2 Top 3’s, 7 Top 5’s, 11 Top 10’s, and a 91.65 Avg. Driver Rating
– Earlier this year he had a 7 race Top 10 streak
– In the 4 Road Course races this year he has 1 Top 5, 2 Top 10’s, and 2 finishes out of the Top 20 leading to a 17.0 Avg. Finish
– In the 4 races he’s only ran 32% of his laps in the Top 15, has just a 73.93 Avg. Driver Rating, and just 1.5 Stage Pts Per Stage
– Last year at Road America Berry ran only 56.25% of his laps in the Top 15, had the 12th best Driver Rating (85.3), and got 0 Stage Pts, but found a way to finish 3rd
– This is his only Xfinity start at Road America
Outlook for this weekend
Berry has had a bit of a disappointing season this year and his Road Course stats are even worse yet. The only real good part about his stats above is that he finished 3rd last year at Road America, but that race as a whole still wasn’t good. For these reasons I see this weekend being a bit of a struggle for Berry as he’ll run Top 15 some but finish somewhere between 8th and 20th.
– Josh Berry is notable because of his stats in his 1 career start at Road America
– Berry had a dominant car at Pocono, except when it counted, as he led 56% of the race but finished 24th after a last lap wreck
– His best 2023 Rank above is only T4th (1 Pole & 3 Stage Wins), but his worst is only T12th (0 Wins)
– On the year he has a 12.89 Avg. Finish, 2 Top 3’s, 7 Top 5’s, 11 Top 10’s, and a 91.65 Avg. Driver Rating
– Earlier this year he had a 7 race Top 10 streak
– In the 4 Road Course races this year he has 1 Top 5, 2 Top 10’s, and 2 finishes out of the Top 20 leading to a 17.0 Avg. Finish
– In the 4 races he’s only ran 32% of his laps in the Top 15, has just a 73.93 Avg. Driver Rating, and just 1.5 Stage Pts Per Stage
– Last year at Road America Berry ran only 56.25% of his laps in the Top 15, had the 12th best Driver Rating (85.3), and got 0 Stage Pts, but found a way to finish 3rd
– This is his only Xfinity start at Road America
Outlook for this weekend
Berry has had a bit of a disappointing season this year and his Road Course stats are even worse yet. The only real good part about his stats above is that he finished 3rd last year at Road America, but that race as a whole still wasn’t good. For these reasons I see this weekend being a bit of a struggle for Berry as he’ll run Top 15 some but finish somewhere between 8th and 20th.
15th in Points – Brandon Jones
| Category | Statistic | 2023 Rank | ªRank Thru 19 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 18.47 | 15th of 34 | T122nd of 276 |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 94.41% | 17th of 34 | 112th of 276 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 67.33% | 11th of 34 | 93rd of 276 |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 80.01 | 13th of 34 | 102nd of 276‡ |
| Wins | 0 | T12th of 88 | T80th of 694 |
| Poles | 0 | T10th of 88 | T66th of 694 |
| Top 2’s | 0 | T18th of 88 | T127th of 694 |
| Top 3’s | 0 | T21st of 88 | T159th of 694 |
| Top 5’s | 1 | T17th of 88 | T134th of 694 |
| Top 10’s | 4 | T14th of 88 | T123rd of 694 |
| DNF’s¹ | 2 | T10th of 34 | T59th of 276 |
| Stage Wins | 0 | T16th of 88 | T104th of 603* |
| Stage T10s | 16 | T12th of 88 | T68th of 603* |
| Stage Pts | 87 | 12th of 88 | T60th of 603* |
| Playoff Pts² | 0 | T13th of 88 | T78th of 603* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2016
¹Ranks of drivers to start 45% of races thru 19 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- none
- 2023 Road Course Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Road Course start, 58 drivers)
- 4 Races, Avg. Finish 18.75(T14th), 21.59% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 63.93(28th), Best 11th, Worst 30th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 0.00% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 0 Top 5’s, 0 Top 10’s, 2 Top 15’s, 2 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 0.38 Stage Pts Per Stage
- Road America Statistics
- 2022 Road America race
- Finished 5th, Started 14th, Led 0 laps, Finished 5th in Stage 1, ran 41 Laps in Top15 (85.42% of laps he ran), had 109.5 Driver Rating (ranked 4th)
- Notable Road America Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Road America, 58 drivers)
- 7 Races
- 14.86 Avg. Finish (Ranks 17th)
- Best Finish: 5th, Worst: 25th
- Completed 100% of laps (% ranks T1st)
- 43.93% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 33rd)
- 74.14 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 26th)
- Led 1.25% of laps he’s run (% ranks 15th)
- 0 Top 3’s
- 1 Top 5, 14.29% (% ranks 17th)
- 2 Top 10’s, 28.57% (% ranks 23rd)
- 3 Top 15’s, 42.86% (% ranks 27th)
- 1 finish outside Top 20, 14.29% (% ranks 11th)
- 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 Stage Wins
- 1.17 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks T19th)
Main Points & Outlook
– Brandon Jones is notable because of his race last year at Road America
– Jones was the only driver at Pocono to run every lap in the Top 15, finishing 7th
– This year he has just 1 Top 5, 4 Top 10’s, 87 Stage Pts, and an 18.47 Avg. Finish
– He’s only ran 67.33% of his laps in the Top 15 this year and has the 13th best Avg. Driver Rating (80.01)
– His best 2023 Ranks above are T10th (0 Wins, 2 DNF’s)
– He hasn’t had back to back Top 10’s this year
– In the 4 Road Course races this year he’s ran only 21.59% of his laps in the Top 15, has 0 Top 10’s, 2 finishes out of the Top 20, and an 18.75 Avg. Finish
– In the 4 races he has a meager 63.93 Avg. Driver Rating and only 0.38 Stage Pts Per Stage
– Last year at Road America Jones ran 85% of his laps in the Top 15, had the 4th best Driver Rating (109.5), and finished 5th
– This was his best finish in 7 starts at Road America and he only has a 14.86 Avg. Finish here
– In his 7 starts here he has 2 Top 10’s, 3 Top 15’s, but only 1 finish out of the Top 20
– He’s only ran 44% of his laps here in the Top 15, has a 74.14 Avg. Driver Rating, and only 1.17 Stage Pts Per Stage
Outlook for this weekend
It’s no secret, Jones has been bad this year, and his Road Course stats have been even worse. Like his teammate Berry above, his only good stat is his finish at Road America last year. Based on all of this I don’t see this weekend being good for Jones as he’ll get at most 1 or 2 Stage Pts and finish between 10th and 20th.
– Brandon Jones is notable because of his race last year at Road America
– Jones was the only driver at Pocono to run every lap in the Top 15, finishing 7th
– This year he has just 1 Top 5, 4 Top 10’s, 87 Stage Pts, and an 18.47 Avg. Finish
– He’s only ran 67.33% of his laps in the Top 15 this year and has the 13th best Avg. Driver Rating (80.01)
– His best 2023 Ranks above are T10th (0 Wins, 2 DNF’s)
– He hasn’t had back to back Top 10’s this year
– In the 4 Road Course races this year he’s ran only 21.59% of his laps in the Top 15, has 0 Top 10’s, 2 finishes out of the Top 20, and an 18.75 Avg. Finish
– In the 4 races he has a meager 63.93 Avg. Driver Rating and only 0.38 Stage Pts Per Stage
– Last year at Road America Jones ran 85% of his laps in the Top 15, had the 4th best Driver Rating (109.5), and finished 5th
– This was his best finish in 7 starts at Road America and he only has a 14.86 Avg. Finish here
– In his 7 starts here he has 2 Top 10’s, 3 Top 15’s, but only 1 finish out of the Top 20
– He’s only ran 44% of his laps here in the Top 15, has a 74.14 Avg. Driver Rating, and only 1.17 Stage Pts Per Stage
Outlook for this weekend
It’s no secret, Jones has been bad this year, and his Road Course stats have been even worse. Like his teammate Berry above, his only good stat is his finish at Road America last year. Based on all of this I don’t see this weekend being good for Jones as he’ll get at most 1 or 2 Stage Pts and finish between 10th and 20th.
