1st in Points – Martin Truex Jr.
Category | Statistic | 2023 Rank | ÂŞRank Thru 25 Races |
 Avg. Fin.¹ | 10.88 | 1st of 35 | 34th of 821 |
 Completed Laps%¹ | 99.72% | 1st of 35 | T17th of 821 |
Laps in Top15%¹ | 77.31% | 2nd of 35 | 67th of 779‡ |
Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 100.28 | 1st of 35 | 54th of 779‡ |
 Wins | 3 | T2nd of 62 | T38th of 1332 |
 Poles | 1 | T6th of 62 | T97th of 1332 |
 Top 2’s | 5 | T2nd of 62 | T47th of 1332 |
 Top 3’s | 8 | 1st of 62 | T24th of 1332 |
 Top 5’s | 9 | T2nd of 62 | T62nd of 1332 |
 Top 10’s | 15 | 1st of 62 | T49th of 1332 |
 DNF’sÂą | 1 | T2nd of 35 | T72nd of 821 |
 Stage Wins | 5 | T2nd of 62 | T14th of 424* |
 Stage T10s | 33 | 1st of 62 | T18th of 424* |
 Stage Pts | 193 | 3rd of 62 | T26th of 424* |
 Playoff Pts² | 20 | 2nd of 62 | T14th of 424* |
ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 25 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 2 straight Top 2 finishes (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
- 4 straight Top 5 finishes (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
- 6 straight Top 10 finishes (active streak, longest active streak in Cup Series)
- 2023 Superspeedway Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Superspeedway start, 44 drivers)
- 4 Races, Avg. Finish 22.5(28th), 65.96% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 84.88(8th), Best 15th, Worst 29th, Laps Completed 99.88%, Led 4.34% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 0 Top 5’s, 0 Top 10’s, 1 Top 15, 2 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 3.13 Stage Pts Per Stage
- Daytona Statistics
- 2023 Daytona 500
- Finished 15th, Started 16th, Led 13 laps (6.13%), Finished 9th in Stage 1 and 6th in Stage 2, ran 143 Laps in Top15 (67.45% of laps he ran), had 82.0 Driver Rating (ranked 12th)
- Notable Daytona Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Daytona, 49 drivers)
- 36 Races
- 21.33 Avg. Finish (Ranks 30th)
- Best Finish: 2nd, Worst: 43rd
- Completed 91.92% of laps (% ranks 26th)
- 55.68% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 11th)
- 77.46 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 12th)
- Led 2.41% of laps he’s run (% ranks 16th)
- 0 Wins
- 2 Top 2’s, 5.56% (% ranks 16th)
- 3 Top 5’s, 8.33% (% ranks 26th)
- 6 Top 10’s, 16.67% (% ranks T33rd)
- 13 Top 15’s, 36.11% (% ranks 24th)
- 17 finishes outside Top 20, 47.22% (% ranks 24th)
- 8 DNF’s, 22.22% (% ranks 19th)
- 2 Stage Wins, 7.69% (% ranks T4th)
- 12 Stage T10’s, 46.15% (% ranks 6th)
- 2.92 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 4th)
– Martin Truex Jr. is notable because of his 2023 stats
– Truex only ran 63% of his laps in the Top 15 last week but managed to finish with his 6th straight Top 10 finish, in 6th
– His 6 race Top 10 streak is 4 races longer than any other active Top 10 streak
– Only 1 of his 15 2023 Ranks above is worse than 3rd (1 Pole, T6th)
– 13 of his 15 2023 Ranks above are 1st or 2nd including his 10.88 Avg. Finish, 100.28 Avg. Driver Rating, 8 Top 3’s, 15 Top 10’s, and 33 Stage T10’s
– His 99.72 Completed Laps%, 5 Stage Wins, 33 Stage T10’s, and 20 Playoff Pts thru 25 races are all better than 20th best since 2004
– In 4 Superspeedway races this year he has a 22.5 Avg. Finish with only 1 Top 15 and 2 finishes out of the Top 20
– In the 4 races he’s ran 66% of his laps in the Top 15, has the 8th best Avg. Driver Rating (84.88), and has 3.13 Stage Pts Per Stage
– In this year’s Daytona 500 Truex ran 67% of his laps in the Top 15, had the 12 best Driver Rating (82.0), and finished 15th
– In 36 Daytona Cup starts he has a terrible 21.33 Avg. Finish with 2 Top 2’s, and only 6 Top 10’s
– At Daytona he has more finishes out of the Top 20 (17) than finishes in the Top 15 (13) and he has more DNF’s (8) than Top 10’s (6)
– In his 36 races here he’s ran 56% of his laps in the Top 15, has 2.92 Stage Pts Per Stage, and a 77.46 Avg. Driver Rating
Outlook for this weekend
Truex’s 2023 stats above are pretty impressive, but that is about where the impressiveness of his stats ends. In the 4 Superspeedway races this year he’s raced well, but finished not well, and at Daytona in his career it’s been overall very unimpressive. All of this said I see Truex running well this weekend but in the end I think he finishes between 9th and 23rd.
2nd in Points – Denny Hamlin
Category | Statistic | 2023 Rank | ÂŞRank Thru 25 Races |
 Avg. Fin.¹ | 11.8 | 2nd of 35 | 58th of 821 |
 Completed Laps%¹ | 96.18% | 23rd of 35 | 332nd of 821 |
Laps in Top15%¹ | 82.22% | 1st of 35 | 27th of 779‡ |
Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 97.97 | 3rd of 35 | 85th of 779‡ |
 Wins | 2 | T4th of 62 | T66th of 1332 |
 Poles | 4 | 1st of 62 | T10th of 1332 |
 Top 2’s | 5 | T2nd of 62 | T47th of 1332 |
 Top 3’s | 7 | T2nd of 62 | T40th of 1332 |
 Top 5’s | 9 | T2nd of 62 | T62nd of 1332 |
 Top 10’s | 12 | T4th of 62 | T142nd of 1332 |
 DNF’sÂą | 2 | T9th of 35 | T198th of 821 |
 Stage Wins | 5 | T2nd of 62 | T14th of 424* |
 Stage T10s | 32 | 2nd of 62 | T22nd of 424* |
 Stage Pts | 207 | 2nd of 62 | T18th of 424* |
 Playoff Pts² | 15 | 4th of 62 | T23rd of 424* |
ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 25 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 2 straight Top 2 finishes (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
- 3 straight Top 3 finishes (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
- 4 straight Top 10 finishes
- 2023 Superspeedway Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Superspeedway start, 44 drivers)
- 4 Races, Avg. Finish 13.5(T9th), 79.48% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 92.25(4th), Best 6th, Worst 17th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 3.17% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 1 Pole, 0 Top 3’s, 0 Top 5’s, 1 Top 10, 2 Top 15’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 1.5 Stage Pts Per Stage
- Daytona Statistics
- 2023 Daytona 500
- Finished 17th, Started 18th, Led 6 laps (2.83%), got 0 Stage T10’s, ran 163 Laps in Top15 (76.89% of laps he ran), had 93.8 Driver Rating (ranked 6th)
- Notable Daytona Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Daytona, 49 drivers)
- 35 Races
- 16.77 Avg. Finish (Ranks 8th)
- Best Finish: 1st, Worst: 43rd
- Completed 94.09% of laps (% ranks 19th)
- 64.02% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 7th)
- 88.73 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 3rd)
- Led 11.04% of laps he’s run (% ranks 1st)
- 3 Wins, 8.57% (% ranks 6th)
- 8 Top 3’s, 22.86% (% ranks 3rd)
- 12 Top 10’s, 34.29% (% ranks 11th)
- 15 Top 15’s, 42.86% (% ranks T20th)
- 14 finishes outside Top 20, 40.0% (% ranks 13th)
- 5 DNF’s, 14.29% (% ranks 14th)
- 3 Stage Wins, 11.54% (% ranks T2nd)
- 2.69 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 5th)
– Denny Hamlin is notable because he’s trying to chase down Martin Truex Jr. for the regular season championship
– Hamlin started 1st, got 17 Stage Pts, ran every lap in the Top 15, and finished 2nd last week
– 9 of his 15 2023 Ranks above are either 1st or 2nd including his 11.8 Avg. Finish, 4 Poles, 7 Top 3’s, 32 Stage T10’s, and 207 Stage Pts
– Only 2 of his 15 2023 Ranks above are worse than 4th (2 DNF’s and 96.18 Completed Laps%)
– His 4 Poles thru 25 races this year are tied for 10th most since 2004
– His longest Top 10 streak this year is only 4 races
– In 4 Superspeedway races this year he’s got a 13.5 Avg. Finish with every race finishing between 6th and 17th
– In the Superspeedway races this year he’s ran 79.5% of his laps in the Top 15 and has the 4th best Avg. Driver Rating (92.25), but he’s only gotten 1.5 Stage Pts Per Stage
– In the Daytona 500 this year Hamlin got 0 Stage T10’s despite running 77% of his laps in the Top 15, had the 6th best Driver Rating (93.8), and finished 17th
– This was his 35th race at Daytona in his Cup career
– In the 35 races he has 3 Wins and 8 Top 3’s, but also more finishes out of the Top 20 (14) than finishes in the Top 10 (12)
– His 88.73 Avg. Driver Rating at Daytona, 11.04 Laps Led%, and 11.54 Stage Win% are 3rd best or better among active drivers
Outlook for this weekend
Hamlin has really picked it up over the last couple hand full of races and his 2023 Ranks really show it. In terms of Superspeedway’s this year his stats aren’t bad but aren’t too impressive either. On the other hand his career Daytona stats are pretty good as he usually runs well and by comparison finishes good too. This weekend I expect Hamlin to run like he does at Daytona usually and finish 1st-9th.
7th in Points – Chris Buescher
Category | Statistic | 2023 Rank | ÂŞRank Thru 25 Races |
 Avg. Fin.¹ | 12.68 | 3rd of 35 | T94th of 821 |
 Completed Laps%¹ | 98.79% | 7th of 35 | 90th of 821 |
Laps in Top15%¹ | 54.32% | 16th of 35 | 273rd of 779‡ |
Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 81.83 | 10th of 35 | 269th of 779‡ |
 Wins | 2 | T4th of 62 | T66th of 1332 |
 Poles | 0 | T14th of 62 | T239th of 1332 |
 Top 2’s | 2 | T9th of 62 | T144th of 1332 |
 Top 3’s | 3 | 12th of 62 | T171st of 1332 |
 Top 5’s | 5 | 12th of 62 | T195th of 1332 |
 Top 10’s | 11 | T9th of 62 | T181st of 1332 |
 DNF’sÂą | 1 | T2nd of 35 | T72nd of 821 |
 Stage Wins | 1 | T13th of 62 | T80th of 424* |
 Stage T10s | 14 | T17th of 62 | T111th of 424* |
 Stage Pts | 72 | 17th of 62 | T107th of 424* |
 Playoff Pts² | 11 | 6th of 62 | 39th of 424* |
ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 25 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 2 Wins (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
- 2 straight Top 2 finishes (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
- 2023 Superspeedway Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Superspeedway start, 44 drivers)
- 4 Races, Avg. Finish 14.25(11th), 64.71% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 86.4(6th), Best 3rd, Worst 35th, Laps Completed 91.68%, Led 9.72% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 1 Top 3, 2 Top 5’s, 2 Top 10’s, 3 Top 15’s, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 1 DNF, 0 Stage Wins, 3.25 Stage Pts Per Stage
- Daytona Statistics
- 2023 Daytona 500
- Finished 4th, Started 9th, Led 32 laps (15.09%), Finished 3rd in Stage 1 and 9th in Stage 2, ran 180 Laps in Top15 (84.91% of laps he ran), had 109.8 Driver Rating (ranked 1st)
- Notable Daytona Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Daytona, 49 drivers)
- 15 Races
- 21.2 Avg. Finish (Ranks 29th)
- Best Finish: 3rd, Worst: 40th
- Completed 82.47% of laps (% ranks 43rd)
- 50.29% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 15th)
- 70.08 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 23rd)
- Led 1.86% of laps he’s run (% ranks 18th)
- 0 Top 2’s
- 1 Top 3, 6.67% (% ranks 21st)
- 4 Top 5’s, 26.67% (% ranks 6th)
- 6 Top 10’s, 40.0% (% ranks 7th)
- 7 finishes outside Top 20, 46.67% (% ranks 23rd)
- 6 DNF’s, 40.0% (% ranks T33rd)
- 0 Stage Wins
- 5 Stage T10’s, 19.23% (% ranks 24th)
– Chris Buescher is notable because of how he ran in the Daytona 500 earlier this year
– At Watkins Glen Buescher got 0 Stage Pts and ran only 61% of his laps in the Top 15, but he ended up finishing 7th
– Only 5 of his 15 2023 Ranks above are better than 7th including his 12.68 Avg. Finish, 2 Wins, and 1 DNF
– 7 of his 15 2023 Ranks above are between 12th and T17th
– His 3 stage stats (1 Stage Win, 14 Stage T10’s, and 72 Stage Pts) all rank T13th or T17th
– His longest Top 10 streak this year is only 2 races
– On the 4 Superspeedway’s this year he’s ran 65% of his laps in the Top 15, led 10% of his laps, and has the 6th best Avg. Driver Rating (86.4)
– In the 4 races he has a 14.25 Avg. Finish with 2 Top 5’s, 3 Top 15’s, and a 35th place DNF
– In the Daytona 500 this year Buescher led 15% of the race, ran 85% of his laps in the Top 15, had the best Driver Rating (109.8), and finished 4th
– This was his 4th Top 5 and 6th Top 10 in 15 career Cup starts here
– He has the same amount of DNF’s at Daytona as he does Top 10’s (6)
– He has a 21.2 Avg. Finish here, has ran 50% of his laps in the Top 15, has a 70.08 Avg. Driver Rating, and 6 DNF’s
Outlook for this weekend
Chris Buescher has been pretty decent this year with his finishes, but not spectacular, although he has been pretty good of late. Unfortunately his stage stats still aren’t good, but his Superspeedway stats are. This includes his 4th place finish and best Driver Rating in the Daytona 500 this year. However, in his career here he’s either done well or very bad, so with all that said I say he finishes either Top 10 or with a DNF.
9th in Points – Ryan Blaney
Category | Statistic | 2023 Rank | ÂŞRank Thru 25 Races |
 Avg. Fin.¹ | 15.04 | 10th of 35 | T204th of 821 |
 Completed Laps%¹ | 97.37% | 18th of 35 | 214th of 821 |
Laps in Top15%¹ | 69.21% | 6th of 35 | 147th of 779‡ |
Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 85.64 | 7th of 35 | 223rd of 779‡ |
 Wins | 1 | T7th of 62 | T124th of 1332 |
 Poles | 0 | T14th of 62 | T239th of 1332 |
 Top 2’s | 3 | T7th of 62 | T98th of 1332 |
 Top 3’s | 4 | T7th of 62 | T130th of 1332 |
 Top 5’s | 4 | T14th of 62 | T238th of 1332 |
 Top 10’s | 12 | T4th of 62 | T142nd of 1332 |
 DNF’sÂą | 1 | T2nd of 35 | T72nd of 821 |
 Stage Wins | 3 | T6th of 62 | T38th of 424* |
 Stage T10s | 20 | T10th of 62 | T85th of 424* |
 Stage Pts | 133 | 8th of 62 | 64th of 424* |
 Playoff Pts² | 8 | T9th of 62 | T49th of 424* |
ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 25 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 2 straight Top 3 finishes
- 3 straight Top 10 finishes
- 2023 Superspeedway Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Superspeedway start, 44 drivers)
- 4 Races, Avg. Finish 6.5(1st), 66.59% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 101.18(1st), Best 2nd, Worst 9th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 8.56% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 1 Top 3, 1 Top 5, 4 Top 10’s, 4 Top 15’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 1 Stage Win, 3.25 Stage Pts Per Stage
- Daytona Statistics
- 2023 Daytona 500
- Finished 8th, Started 7th, Led 1 laps (0.47%), got 0 Stage T10’s, ran 79 Laps in Top15 (37.26% of laps he ran), had 77.9 Driver Rating (ranked 14th)
- Notable Daytona Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Daytona, 49 drivers)
- 16 Races
- 17.5 Avg. Finish (Ranks 13th)
- Best Finish: 1st, Worst: 40th
- Completed 87.44% of laps (% ranks 35th)
- 68.72% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 4th)
- 84.44 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 6th)
- Led 7.45% of laps he’s run (% ranks 16th)
- 1 Win, 6.25% (% ranks 9th)
- 3 Top 2’s, 18.75% (% ranks 3rd)
- 7 Top 10’s, 43.75% (% ranks 4th)
- 9 Top 15’s, 56.25% (% ranks 6th)
- 6 finishes outside Top 20, 37.5% (% ranks 10th)
- 6 DNF’s, 37.5% (% ranks 32nd)
- 2 Stage Wins, 7.69% (% ranks T4th)
- 14 Stage T10’s, 53.85% (% ranks 5th)
- 3.15 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 3rd)
– Ryan Blaney is notable because of his 2023 stats on Superspeedways
– Last week at Watkins Glen Blaney ran less than half the race in the Top 15, but somehow ended up 9th
– His 9th place finish tied his best finish in the last 10 races
– Only 2 of his 15 2023 Ranks above are better than 5th (12 Top 10’s, 1 DNF)
– 10 of his 15 2023 Ranks above are between 6th and 10th including his 15.04 Avg. Finish, 85.64 Avg. Driver Rating, 3 Stage Wins, and 133 Stage Pts
– His longest Top 10 streak this year is only 3 races
– At the 4 Superspeedway races this year he has the best Avg. Finish (6.5) and the best Avg. Driver Rating (101.18)
– He is the only driver to finish all 4 Superspeedway races this year in the Top 10
– In the 4 races he’s ran 67% of his laps in the Top 15 and led 8.56% of his laps, but only has 1 Top 5
– In the 2023 Daytona 500 Blaney only ran 37% of his laps in the Top 15 and had the 14th best Driver Rating (77.9), but he ended up 8th
– In his 16 career races at Daytona he has a 17.5 Avg. Finish with 1 Win, 7 Top 10’s, 9 Top 15’s, and 6 finishes out of the Top 20
– His 6 finishes out of the Top 20 have all been DNF’s
Outlook for this weekend
The 2023 stats for Blaney aren’t bad, but they also aren’t that impressive either. However, his Superspeedway stats are very impressive as he is the only driver to have a Top 10 in every Superspeedway race this year. Even more in his favor is that Blaney has good career Daytona stats as well. The stats point to Blaney being a favorite this weekend and for that reason I see him finishing somewhere in the Top 5.
14th in Points – Bubba Wallace
Category | Statistic | 2023 Rank | ÂŞRank Thru 25 Races |
 Avg. Fin.¹ | 17.0 | 17th of 35 | T306th of 821 |
 Completed Laps%¹ | 98.24% | 9th of 35 | T123rd of 821 |
Laps in Top15%¹ | 58.9% | 14th of 35 | 236th of 779‡ |
Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 76.53 | 17th of 35 | 330th of 779‡ |
 Wins | 0 | T15th of 62 | T250th of 1332 |
 Poles | 0 | T14th of 62 | T239th of 1332 |
 Top 2’s | 0 | T21st of 62 | T367th of 1332 |
 Top 3’s | 0 | T24th of 62 | T436th of 1332 |
 Top 5’s | 4 | T14th of 62 | T238th of 1332 |
 Top 10’s | 6 | T19th of 62 | T353rd of 1332 |
 DNF’sÂą | 5 | T30th of 35 | T651st of 821 |
 Stage Wins | 0 | T19th of 62 | T108th of 424* |
 Stage T10s | 17 | T14th of 62 | T100th of 424* |
 Stage Pts | 85 | T15th of 62 | T98th of 424* |
 Playoff Pts² | 0 | T21st of 62 | T127th of 424* |
ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 25 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 3 straight Top 5 finishes
- 2023 Superspeedway Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Superspeedway start, 44 drivers)
- 4 Races, Avg. Finish 25.0(T33rd), 36.29% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 63.4(29th), Best 20th, Worst 28th, Laps Completed 99.18%, Led 5.32% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 0 Top 5’s, 0 Top 10’s, 0 Top 15’s, 3 Finishes out of Top 20, 2 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 1.5 Stage Pts Per Stage
- Daytona Statistics
- 2023 Daytona 500
- Finished 20th, Started 15th, Led 5 laps (2.36%), got 0 Stage T10’s, ran 50 Laps in Top15 (23.7% of laps he ran), had 65.1 Driver Rating (ranked 20th)
- Notable Daytona Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Daytona, 49 drivers)
- 12 Races
- 13.0 Avg. Finish (Ranks T4th)
- Best Finish: 2nd, Worst: 38th
- Completed 98.03% of laps (% ranks 9th)
- 47.1% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 20th)
- 79.48 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 10th)
- Led 1.31% of laps he’s run (% ranks 21st)
- 0 Wins
- 3 Top 2’s, 25.0% (% ranks T1st)
- 4 Top 5’s, 33.33% (% ranks T2nd)
- 9 Top 15’s, 75.0% (% ranks T4th)
- 1 finish outside Top 20, 8.33% (% ranks 7th)
- 3 DNF’s, 25.0% (% ranks 23rd)
- 0 Stage Wins
- 9 Stage T10’s, 37.5% (% ranks T15th)
– Bubba Wallace is notable because he currently holds the last spot left in the 2023 Cup Series playoffs
– At Watkins Glen Wallace ran only 1 lap out of the Top 15 and finished 12th
– Only 1 of his 15 2023 Ranks above is better than 10th (98.24 Completed Laps%, ranks 9th)
– Only 7 of his 15 2023 Ranks above are better than 16th including his 58.9 Laps in Top15%, 4 Top 5’s, and 85 Stage Pts
– His 0 Top 2’s, 0 Top 3’s, 5 DNF’s, and 0 Playoff Pts are all worse than 20th in the 2023 Ranks above
– At Superspeedways this year he has a 25.0 Avg. Finish in 4 races with all of his finishing coming between 20th and 28th
– In the 4 races he’s ran just 36% of his laps in the Top 15, has a 63.4 Avg. Driver Rating, and only 1.5 Stage Pts Per Stage
– Wallace’s best finish in the 4 races was at the Daytona 500 where he finished 20th, ran 24% of his laps in the Top 15 and had the 20th best Driver Rating (65.1)
– In his 12 Cup races at Daytona he has 3 Top 2’s and 9 Top 15’s with only 1 finish out of the Top 20
– In the 12 races he has a 13.0 Avg. Finish, but only a 79.48 Avg. Driver Rating, and has ran just 47% of his laps in the Top 15
Outlook for this weekend
Bubba Wallace is in the last playoff position and only needs a 13th place finish to lock himself into the playoffs, if there is no new winner. However, looking at the stats above this might not be as easy as it seems as he’s not been good this year at Superspeedways, and he hasn’t ran well at Daytona in his career, but has finished well. All told I see Wallace coming home between 10th and 20th this weekend.
16th in Points – Ty Gibbs
Category | Statistic | 2023 Rank | ÂŞRank Thru 25 Races |
 Avg. Fin.¹ | 17.44 | 18th of 35 | T327th of 821 |
 Completed Laps%¹ | 97.78% | 14th of 35 | 169th of 821 |
Laps in Top15%¹ | 52.05% | 17th of 35 | 295th of 779‡ |
Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 78.01 | 16th of 35 | 317th of 779‡ |
 Wins | 0 | T15th of 62 | T250th of 1332 |
 Poles | 0 | T14th of 62 | T239th of 1332 |
 Top 2’s | 0 | T21st of 62 | T367th of 1332 |
 Top 3’s | 0 | T24th of 62 | T436th of 1332 |
 Top 5’s | 2 | T19th of 62 | T332nd of 1332 |
 Top 10’s | 7 | T16th of 62 | T311th of 1332 |
 DNF’sÂą | 2 | T9th of 35 | T198th of 821 |
 Stage Wins | 0 | T19th of 62 | T108th of 424* |
 Stage T10s | 15 | 16th of 62 | T107th of 424* |
 Stage Pts | 69 | 18th of 62 | 110th of 424* |
 Playoff Pts² | 0 | T21st of 62 | T127th of 424* |
ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 25 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 4 straight Top 10 finishes
- 2023 Superspeedway Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Superspeedway start, 44 drivers)
- 4 Races, Avg. Finish 24.75(32nd), 41.65% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 71.58(19th), Best 9th, Worst 34th, Laps Completed 95.43%, Led 0.49% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 0 Top 5’s, 1 Top 10, 1 Top 15, 3 Finishes out of Top 20, 1 DNF, 0 Stage Wins, 0.63 Stage Pts Per Stage
- Daytona Statistics
- 2023 Daytona 500
- Finished 25th, Started 33rd, Led 0 laps, Finished 6th in Stage 1, ran 72 Laps in Top15 (34.29% of laps he ran), had 63.1 Driver Rating (ranked 23rd)
- Notable Daytona Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Daytona, 49 drivers)
- 2 Races
- 19.0 Avg. Finish (Ranks 18th)
- Best Finish: 13th, Worst: 25th
- Completed 98.92% of laps (% ranks 7th)
- 25.0% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 32nd)
- 57.05 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 34th)
- Led 0.00% of laps he’s run
- 0 Top 10’s
- 1 Top 15, 50.0% (% ranks T10th)
- 1 finish outside Top 20, 50.0% (% ranks T26th)
- 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 Stage Wins
- 1 Stage T10, 25.0% (% ranks 20th)
– Ty Gibbs is notable because he can still point his way in to the 2023 playoffs
– Gibbs was one of five drivers to run every lap in the Top 15 last week en route to a 5th place finish
– His best 2023 Rank above is only T9th (2 DNF’s)
– On the year he has a 17.44 Avg. Finish, a 78.01 Avg. Driver Rating, and only 1.35 Stage Pts Per Stage
– 12 of his 15 2023 Ranks above are T15th or worse including his 17.44 Avg. Finish, 0 Wins, 2 Top 5’s, 7 Top 10’s, and 15 Stage T10’s
– Earlier this year he had an impressive 4 race Top 10 streak
– In the 4 Superspeedway races this year he has 1 Top 10 with 3 finishes out of the Top 20 and an awful 24.75 Avg. Finish
– In his 4 races he’s only ran 42% of his laps in the Top 15, led just 0.49% of his laps, and has gotten only 0.63 Stage Pts Per Stage
– At the Daytona 500 this year Gibbs ran 34% of his laps in the Top 15, had the 23rd best Driver Rating (63.1), and finished 25th
– This was his 2nd race at Daytona and in his first race he finished only 13th
– In his 2 races here he’s only ran 25% of his laps in the Top 15, has just a 57.05 Avg. Driver Rating, and has led 0 laps
Outlook for this weekend
Gibbs 2023 stat above aren’t all that impressive, but when you consider he is a rookie and the fact he has a shot to get into the playoffs on points it’s a bit more impressive. However, Daytona and Superspeedways have been a struggle for Gibbs and for that reason I see him finishing out of the Top 10 between 12th and 24th.
18th in Points – Daniel Suarez
Category | Statistic | 2023 Rank | ÂŞRank Thru 25 Races |
 Avg. Fin.¹ | 18.64 | 19th of 35 | 362nd of 821 |
 Completed Laps%¹ | 89.58% | 31st of 35 | 676th of 821 |
Laps in Top15%¹ | 46.67% | 18th of 35 | 324th of 779‡ |
Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 71.97 | 18th of 35 | 370th of 779‡ |
 Wins | 0 | T15th of 62 | T250th of 1332 |
 Poles | 1 | T6th of 62 | T97th of 1332 |
 Top 2’s | 1 | T12th of 62 | T220th of 1332 |
 Top 3’s | 2 | T13th of 62 | T220th of 1332 |
 Top 5’s | 3 | T17th of 62 | T280th of 1332 |
 Top 10’s | 8 | 15th of 62 | T281st of 1332 |
 DNF’sÂą | 4 | T26th of 35 | T531st of 821 |
 Stage Wins | 0 | T19th of 62 | T108th of 424* |
 Stage T10s | 17 | T14th of 62 | T100th of 424* |
 Stage Pts | 88 | 14th of 62 | 96th of 424* |
 Playoff Pts² | 0 | T21st of 62 | T127th of 424* |
ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 25 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 3 straight Top 10 finishes
- 2023 Superspeedway Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Superspeedway start, 44 drivers)
- 4 Races, Avg. Finish 11.75(7th), 41.44% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 71.45(20th), Best 2nd, Worst 29th, Laps Completed 94.49%, Led 0.99% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 1 Top 3, 1 Top 5, 3 Top 10’s, 3 Top 15’s, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 1 DNF, 0 Stage Wins, 0.38 Stage Pts Per Stage
- Daytona Statistics
- 2023 Daytona 500
- Finished 7th, Started 24th, Led 3 laps (1.42%), got 0 Stage T10’s, ran 66 Laps in Top15 (31.13% of laps he ran), had 70.1 Driver Rating (ranked 17th)
- Notable Daytona Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Daytona, 49 drivers)
- 12 Races
- 26.75 Avg. Finish (Ranks 43rd)
- Best Finish: 7th, Worst: 40th
- Completed 72.4% of laps (% ranks 47th)
- 36.21% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 28th)
- 58.76 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 33rd)
- Led 2.22% of laps he’s run (% ranks 17th)
- 0 Top 5’s
- 1 Top 10, 8.33% (% ranks 36th)
- 1 Top 15, 8.33% (% ranks 42nd)
- 8 finishes outside Top 20, 66.67% (% ranks T40th)
- 9 DNF’s, 75.0% (% ranks 48th)
- 0 Stage Wins
- 0.63 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 28th)
– Daniel Suarez is notable because he has an outside chance of getting into the playoffs on points
– After a good run at Indy Suarez struggled at The Glen as he ran only 4 laps in the Top 15 and finished 22nd
– Only 1 of his 15 2023 Ranks above is better than 11th (1 Pole, T6th)
– His 18.64 Avg. Finish, 46.67 Laps in Top 15%, 71.97 Avg. Driver Rating, and 0 Stage Wins are a few of his stats that are 18th or worse in the 2023 Ranks above
– His worst 2023 Rank is 31st (89.58 Completed Laps%)
– In the 4 Superspeedway races this year he has 1 Top 3, 3 Top 10’s, 1 DNF, and an 11.75 Avg. Finish
– In the 4 races he’s only ran 41.44% of his laps in the Top 15, has just the 20th best Avg. Driver Rating (71.45), and a measly 0.38 Stage Pts Per Stage
– In the Daytona 500 this year Suarez led 3 laps, ran only 31% of his laps in the Top 15, and had the 17th best Driver Rating (70.1); but finished 7th
– This is his only Top 15 finish here in 12 races at Daytona
– In his 12 races here he has a pathetic 26.75 Avg. Finish, a terrible 58.76 Avg. Driver Rating, and he’s only ran 36% of his laps in the Top 15
– He has more DNF’s (9) than finishes out of the Top 20 (8)
Outlook for this weekend
Suarez has been disappointing this year as his 2023 stats show, but he still has an outside chance at pointing his way into the 2023 Playoffs. The problem is that this last race is at Daytona where he has been putrid in his career. The good thing is his best race was earlier this year and he’s done well at Superspeedways this year. However, I still don’t see a good day for Suarez as he ends up with a DNF.
22nd in Points – Austin Cindric
Category | Statistic | 2023 Rank | ÂŞRank Thru 25 Races |
 Avg. Fin.¹ | 20.48 | T24th of 35 | T432nd of 821 |
 Completed Laps%¹ | 99.06% | 5th of 35 | T66th of 821 |
Laps in Top15%¹ | 26.25% | 25th of 35 | 450th of 779‡ |
Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 63.31 | 23rd of 35 | 471st of 779‡ |
 Wins | 0 | T15th of 62 | T250th of 1332 |
 Poles | 0 | T14th of 62 | T239th of 1332 |
 Top 2’s | 0 | T21st of 62 | T367th of 1332 |
 Top 3’s | 0 | T24th of 62 | T436th of 1332 |
 Top 5’s | 0 | T29th of 62 | T528th of 1332 |
 Top 10’s | 3 | T26th of 62 | T454th of 1332 |
 DNF’sÂą | 2 | T9th of 35 | T198th of 821 |
 Stage Wins | 1 | T13th of 62 | T80th of 424* |
 Stage T10s | 9 | T22nd of 62 | T135th of 424* |
 Stage Pts | 54 | 21st of 62 | 122nd of 424* |
 Playoff Pts² | 1 | T16th of 62 | T104th of 424* |
ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 25 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- none
- 2023 Superspeedway Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Superspeedway start, 44 drivers)
- 4 Races, Avg. Finish 18.0(T17th), 80.38% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 93.43(3rd), Best 11th, Worst 26th, Laps Completed 99.77%, Led 1.76% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 0 Top 5’s, 0 Top 10’s, 2 Top 15’s, 2 Finishes out of Top 20, 1 DNF, 1 Stage Win, 5.13 Stage Pts Per Stage
- Daytona Statistics
- 2023 Daytona 500
- Finished 23rd (crash), Started 6th, Led 0 laps, Finished 5th in Stage 2, ran 182 Laps in Top15 (86.67% of laps he ran), had 97.4 Driver Rating (ranked 5th)
- Notable Daytona Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Daytona, 49 drivers)
- 4 Races
- 10.5 Avg. Finish (Ranks 2nd)
- Best Finish: 1st, Worst: 23rd
- Completed 99.61% of laps (% ranks 6th)
- 74.81% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 1st)
- 94.43 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 1st)
- Led 4.68% of laps he’s run (% ranks 10th)
- 1 Win, 25.0% (% ranks 1st)
- 2 Top 3’s, 50.0% (% ranks 1st)
- 2 Top 10’s, 50.0% (% ranks 2nd)
- 3 Top 15’s, 75.0% (% ranks T4th)
- 1 finish outside Top 20, 25.0% (% ranks 8th)
- 2 DNF’s, 50.0% (% ranks T36th)
- 0 Stage Wins
- 3 Stage T10’s, 37.5% (% ranks T15th)
– Austin Cindric is notable because of how he’s done at Daytona in his Cup career
– Cindric disappointed last week as he ran only 21 laps in the Top 15 and finished 16th
– 2 of his 15 2023 Ranks above are better than T13th (99.06 Completed Laps%, 2 DNF’s)
– 9 of his 15 2023 Ranks above are worst than 20th including his 20.48 Avg. Finish, 63.31 Avg. Driver Rating, 26.25 Laps in Top15%, and 3 Top T10’s
– In the 51 stages this year he has 1 Stage Win, 9 Stage T10’s, and 54 Stage Pts
– He has not had back-to-back Top 10’s this year
– His best finish in the 4 Superspeedway races this year is 11th and overall he has an 18.0 Avg. Finish
– In the 4 races he’s ran 80% of his laps in the Top 15, has the 3rd best Avg. Driver Rating (93.43), and a whopping 5.13 Stage Pts Per Stage
– In the Daytona 500 this year Cindric ran 87% of his laps in the Top 15 and had the 5th best Driver Rating, but a late crash caused him to finish 23rd
– This was his 4th race at Daytona and his first finish out of the Top 15
– In his 4 races here he has 1 Win, 2 Top 3’s, 2 DNF’s, and a 10.5 Avg. Finish
– His 74.81 Laps in Top 15%, 94.43 Avg. Driver Rating, 25.0 Win%, and 50.0 Top 3% all rank 1st among active drivers
Outlook for this weekend
Cindric has been bad this year and his only shot of making the playoffs this year is to win at Daytona this weekend. Looking at his 2023 Superspeedway stats that seems unlikely as he’s run well but not finished well in them. However, his Daytona stats are impressive, but he either finishes Top 3 or with a DNF. This weekend I expect about as much as I think he DNF’s, but if he doesn’t then he finishes in the Top 5.