This article is a race finish projection for the 2023 NASCAR Cup race at Daytona International Speedway. The finishing order below is determined based on the statistics used in the Daytona Cup Outlook article (mainly track stats and track style stats), weekend practice speeds (both single lap and multi-lap averages), and qualifying results. There is little opinion on the matter as this is based on mostly statistics, so just because a driver with bad stats is in a good car does not mean he will be bumped up based on the car/team he is with.
Last weeks projected winner: Kyle Larson
Finished: 26th
Last weeks winner: William Byron
Projected Finish: 2nd
Additional notes from last week:
-3 drivers finished where they were projected (A.J. Allmendinger (4th), Tyler Reddick (8th) & Ross Chastain (18th))
-14 of the 36 drivers finished within 3 spots (better or worse) of where they were projected to finish
-Only 11 of the 36 drivers finished 10+ spots (better or worse) than they were projected to finish
-7 of the Top 11 drivers were projected to finish in the Top 11
Notable results this week
Winner: Joey Logano
One to Watch: Austin Cindric
Disappointment: Ty Gibbs
| Proj. Finish | Number | Driver | Finish/Diff. |
| 1. | 22 | Joey Logano | 5th -4 |
| 2. | 11 | Denny Hamlin | 26th -24 |
| 3. | 12 | Ryan Blaney | 36th -33 |
| 4. | 6 | Brad Keselowski | 2nd +2 |
| 5. | 2 | Austin Cindric | 37th -32 |
| 6. | 20 | Christopher Bell | 16th -10 |
| 7. | 8 | Kyle Busch | 7th +0 |
| 8. | 47 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 34th -26 |
| 9. | 4 | Kevin Harvick | 9th +0 |
| 10. | 48 | Alex Bowman | 6th +4 |
| 11. | 17 | Chris Buescher | 1st +10 |
| 12. | 23 | Bubba Wallace | 12th +0 |
| 13. | 9 | Chase Elliott | 4th +9 |
| 14. | 16 | A.J. Allmendinger | 29th -15 |
| 15. | 43 | Erik Jones | 18th -3 |
| 16. | 31 | Justin Haley | 21st -5 |
| 17. | 19 | Martin Truex Jr. | 24th -7 |
| 18. | 10 | Aric Almirola | 3rd +15 |
| 19. | 24 | William Byron | 8th +11 |
| 20. | 1 | Ross Chastain | 17th +3 |
| 21. | 99 | Daniel Suarez | 20th +1 |
| 22. | 38 | Todd Gilliland | 32nd -10 |
| 23. | 14 | Chase Briscoe | 30th -7 |
| 24. | 34 | Michael McDowell | 13th +11 |
| 25. | 15 | Brennan Poole | 39th -14 |
| 26. | 45 | Tyler Reddick | 25th +1 |
| 27. | 42 | Josh Berry | 22nd +5 |
| 28. | 3 | Austin Dillon | 33rd -5 |
| 29. | 36 | Riley Herbst | 38th -9 |
| 30. | 7 | Corey LaJoie | 10th +20 |
| 31. | 5 | Kyle Larson | 27th +4 |
| 32. | 41 | Ryan Preece | 31st +1 |
| 33. | 13 | Chandler Smith | 15th +18 |
| 34. | 54 | Ty Gibbs | 35th +1 |
| 35. | 77 | Ty Dillon | 11th +24 |
| 36. | 51 | J.J. Yeley | 19th +17 |
| 37. | 62 | Austin Hill | 14th +20 |
| 38. | 78 | B.J. McLeod | 23rd +12 |
| 39. | 21 | Harrison Burton | 28th +8 |
*This will be updated after the race is over so you can compare how the projection did with the actual finishing order.
