Tuesday, November 5, 2024
HomeCup SeriesStatistical Cup Race Finish Projection: Bristol

Statistical Cup Race Finish Projection: Bristol

This article is a race finish projection for the 2023 NASCAR Cup Playoff race at Bristol Motor Speedway. The finishing order below is determined based on the statistics used in the Bristol Cup Outlook article (mainly track stats and track style stats), weekend practice speeds (both single lap and multi-lap averages), and qualifying results. There is little opinion on the matter as this is based on mostly statistics, so just because a driver with bad stats is in a good car does not mean he will be bumped up based on the car/team he is with.

Last weeks projected winner: Kyle Larson
Finished: 4th
Last weeks winner: Tyler Reddick
Projected Finish: 5th

Additional notes from last week:
-1 driver finished where they were projected (Christopher Bell (8th))
-17 of the 36 drivers finished within 5 spots (better or worse) of where they were projected to finish
-Only 3 of the 36 drivers finished 15+ spots (better or worse) than they were projected to finish
-10 of the 36 drivers finished within 2 spots (better or worse) of where they were projected to finish
-11 of the Top 15 drivers were projected to finish in the Top 15

Notable results this week

Winner: Denny Hamlin
One to Watch: Alex Bowman
Disappointment: Daniel Suarez

Highlighted = In Driver/Owner Playoff

Proj. Finish Number Driver Finish/Diff.
1. 11 Denny Hamlin 1st +0
2. 9 Chase Elliott 7th -5
3. 20 Christopher Bell 3rd +0
4. 48 Alex Bowman 13th -9
5. 23 Bubba Wallace 14th -9
6. 54 Ty Gibbs 5th +1
7. 24 William Byron 9th -2
8. 5 Kyle Larson 2nd +6
9. 4 Kevin Harvick 29th -20
10. 8 Kyle Busch 20th -10
11. 45 Tyler Reddick 15th -4
12. 6 Brad Keselowski 8th +4
13. 22 Joey Logano 34th -21
14. 17 Chris Buescher 4th +10
15. 14 Chase Briscoe 27th -12
16. 19 Martin Truex Jr. 19th -3
17. 12 Ryan Blaney 22nd -5
18. 1 Ross Chastain 23rd -5
19. 41 Ryan Preece 12th +7
20. 34 Michael McDowell 6th +14
21. 10 Aric Almirola 18th +3
22. 16 A.J. Allmendinger 30th -8
23. 47 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 10th +13
24. 3 Austin Dillon 17th +7
25. 7 Corey LaJoie 25th +0
26. 42 Carson Hocevar 11th +15
27. 43 Erik Jones 24th +3
28. 51 Ryan Newman 36th -8
29. 99 Daniel Suarez 21st +8
30. 38 Todd Gilliland 16th +14
31. 31 Justin Haley 35th -4
32. 21 Harrison Burton 28th +4
33. 2 Austin Cindric 32nd +1
34. 78 B.J. McLeod 31st +3
35. 77 Ty Dillon 33rd +2
36. 15 J.J. Yeley 26th +10

*This will be updated after the race is over so you can compare how the projection did with the actual finishing order.

0 0 votes
Article Rating
Subscribe
Notify of
guest
0 Comments
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
Daniel Smith
Daniel Smithhttps://pitpassnetwork.com
Cup drivers: Kyle Larson & Ross Chastain, Xfinity drivers: SVG & Ryan Sieg, Truck drivers: Grant Enfinger & Jake Garcia

More From This Author

Recent Comments

0
Would love your thoughts, please comment.x
()
x