In the last Truck race, at Bristol, we saw passing be hard, but not impossible as Corey Heim passed Christian Eckes late in the race to punch his ticket to the Championship 4. This weekend we go to Talladega where the recent races have shown that a driver not in the playoffs will win. Since it’s unlikely a playoff driver wins that means this article may have more bearing than usual. Below are the scenarios in which no matter what happens in the race Saturday, if the scenario happens then the ticket is punched to the Championship 4. The only thing that can make a scenario change is if the finishing order changes the tie breaker, but still that only changes some scenarios by 1 point.
P.s. Obviously if a driver wins the race then they are in the next round, but that’s a boring and simple scenario to figure out, so only must win scenarios are mentioned.
*Does not include winning driver/owner scenario
Driver Points Clinching Scenarios
1) Corey Heim
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- Clinched based on win at Bristol
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2) Christian Eckes
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- Driver not mentioned below wins: Needs any of the 5 following scenarios
- 45 points more than Carson Hocevar
- 41 points more than Grant Enfinger
- 27 points more than Zane Smith
- 22 points more than Ben Rhodes
- 19 points more than Nick Sanchez
- 19 points more than Ty Majeski
- Driver mentioned above wins: Needs 5* of the scenarios above
- Driver not mentioned below wins: Needs any of the 5 following scenarios
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3) Carson Hocevar
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- Driver not mentioned below wins: Needs all 5 of the following scenarios
- 52 points more than Grant Enfinger
- 38 points more than Zane Smith
- 33 points more than Ben Rhodes
- 30 points more than Nick Sanchez
- 30 points more than Ty Majeski
- Driver mentioned above wins: Can’t clinch
- Driver not mentioned below wins: Needs all 5 of the following scenarios
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4) Grant Enfinger
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- Only way to clinch is to win
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5) Zane Smith
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- Only way to clinch is to win
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6) Ben Rhodes
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- Only way to clinch is to win
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7) Nick Sanchez
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- Only way to clinch is to win
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8) Ty Majeski
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- Only way to clinch is to win
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Owner Points Clinching Scenarios
1) TRICON Garage No.11
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- Clinched based on win at Bristol
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2) McAnally Hilgermann Racing No.19
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- Owner not mentioned below wins: Needs any of the 5 following scenarios
- 44 points more than the No.42
- 41 points more than the No.23
- 27 points more than the No.38
- 22 points more than the No.99
- 19 points more than the No.98
- 18 points more than the No.2
- Owner mentioned above wins: Needs 5* of the scenarios above
- Owner not mentioned below wins: Needs any of the 5 following scenarios
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3) Niece Motorsports No.42
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- Owner not mentioned below wins: Needs all 5 of the following scenarios
- 53 points more than the No.23
- 39 points more than the No.38
- 34 points more than the No.99
- 31 points more than the No.98
- 30 points more than the No.2
- Owner mentioned above wins: Can’t clinch
- Owner not mentioned below wins: Needs all 5 of the following scenarios
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4) GMS Racing No.23
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- Only way to clinch is to win
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5) Front Row Motorsports No.38
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- Only way to clinch is to win
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6) ThorSport Racing No.99
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- Only way to clinch is to win
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7) ThorSport racing No.98
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- Only way to clinch is to win
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8) Rev Racing No.2
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- Only way to clinch is to win
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