A Cup regular, Denny Hamlin won last week at Darlington meaning at least 3 drivers and 2 owners will make it in the playoffs based on points. What’s more is there are only a few spots that aren’t clinched, so the race for the final spots will be nuts. In addition there is the Regular Season Championship that is up for grabs as well. Below are the scenarios in which no matter what happens in the race Saturday, if the scenario happens then the ticket is punched to the playoffs or the regular season championship is clinched. Likely the drivers will not need this much, but this is the maximum that needs to be done to clinch. However in the instance where a driver needs more or less than another, that is what needs to be done (or better) no exceptions. The only thing that can make a scenario change is if the finishing order changes the tie breaker, but still that is only changes some scenarios by 1 point.
*Does not include winning driver/owner scenario
Driver Regular Season Points Championship Clinching Scenarios
1) Austin Hill
Tiebreaker/finishes this year: 1st (4), 2nd (1)
-
-
- Needs both of the following scenarios:
- 38 points (2nd place finish + 3 Stage Pts)Â OR Be within 22 points of John Hunter Nemechek
- 27 points (10th place finish)Â OR Be within 33 points of Justin Allgaier
- Needs both of the following scenarios:
-
2) John Hunter Nemechek
Tiebreaker/Best finishes this year: 1st (5), 2nd (4)
-
-
- Needs both of the following scenarios:
- 23 points more than Austin Hill
- 50 points (2nd place finish + 15 Stage Pts) OR Be within 10 points of Justin Allgaier
- Needs both of the following scenarios:
-
3) Justin Allgaier
Tiebreaker/Best finishes this year: 1st (2), 2nd (3)
-
-
- Needs both of the following scenarios:
- 34 points more than Austin Hill
- 11 points more than John Hunter Nemechek
- Needs both of the following scenarios:
-
Driver Playoff Spot Clinching Scenarios
11)Â Daniel Hemric
Tiebreaker/Best finishes this year: 2nd (2), 3rd
-
-
- Driver below cut doesn’t win: Win OR Needs 1* of the following scenarios
- 1 point (start the race)Â OR Be within 54 points of Riley Herbst
- 1 point (start the race)Â OR Be within 54 points of Parker Kligerman
- Driver mentioned above wins: Needs 1* of the scenarios above
- Driver below cut and not mentioned above wins: Needs both of the scenarios above
- Driver below cut doesn’t win: Win OR Needs 1* of the following scenarios
-
12) Riley Herbst
Tiebreaker/Best finishes this year: 2nd, 4th (2)
-
-
- Driver below cut doesn’t win: Win OR Needs 1* of the following scenarios
- 55 points more than Daniel Hemric
- 55 points (2nd place finish + 20 Stage Pts) OR 0+ points more than Parker Kligerman
- Driver mentioned above wins: Needs 1* of the scenarios above
- Driver below cut and not mentioned above wins: Needs both of the scenarios above
- Driver below cut doesn’t win: Win OR Needs 1* of the following scenarios
-
13)Â Parker Kligerman
Tiebreaker/Best finishes this year: 2nd, 3rd (2)
-
-
- Driver below cut doesn’t win: Needs 1* of the following scenarios
- 55 points more than Daniel Hemric
- 55 points (2nd place finish + 20 Stage Pts) OR get 2 points more than Riley Herbst
- Driver below cut wins: Win OR Needs both of the scenarios above
- Driver below cut doesn’t win: Needs 1* of the following scenarios
-
Owner Regular Season Points Championship Clinching Scenarios
1)Â Richard Childress Racing No.21
Tiebreaker/finishes this year:Â 1st (4), 2nd (1)
-
-
- Needs both of the following scenarios:
- 38 points (2nd place finish + 3 Stage Pts)Â OR Be within 22 points of the No.20
- 27 points (10th place finish)Â OR Be within 33 points of the No.7
- Needs both of the following scenarios:
-
2) Joe Gibbs Racing No.20
Tiebreaker/finishes this year: 1st (5), 2nd (4)
-
-
- Needs both of the following scenarios:
- 23 points more than the No.21
- 50 points (2nd place finish + 15 Stage Pts) OR Be within 10 points of the No.7
- Needs both of the following scenarios:
-
3) JR Motorsports No.7
Tiebreaker/finishes this year: 1st (2), 2nd (3)
-
-
- Needs both of the following scenarios:
- 34 points more than the No.21
- 11 points more than the No.20
- Needs both of the following scenarios:
-
Driver Playoff Spot Clinching Scenarios
11)Â JR Motorsports No.8
Tiebreaker/finishes this year: 2nd (2), 3rd, 4th (2)
-
-
- Owner below cut doesn’t win: Win OR Needs 1* of the following scenarios
- 28 points (9th place finish) OR Be within 27 points of the No.2
- 2 points (35th place finish) OR Be within 53 points of the No.11
- Owner mentioned above wins: Needs 1* of the scenarios above
- Owner below cut and not mentioned above wins: Needs both of the scenarios above
- Owner below cut doesn’t win: Win OR Needs 1* of the following scenarios
-
12) Richard Childress Racing No.2
Tiebreaker/finishes this year: 2nd (3), 3rd, 6th
-
-
- Owner below cut doesn’t win: Win OR Needs 1* of the following scenarios
- 28 points more than the No.8
- 30 points (7th place finish) OR Be within 25 points of the No.2
- Owner mentioned above wins: Needs 1* of the scenarios above
- Owner below cut and not mentioned above wins: Needs both of the scenarios above
- Owner below cut doesn’t win: Win OR Needs 1* of the following scenarios
-
13)Â Kaulig Racing No.11
Tiebreaker/finishes this year: 2nd (2), 3rd, 4th
-
-
- Owner below cut doesn’t win: Needs 1* of the following scenarios
- 54 points more than the No.8
- 27 points more than the No.2
- Driver below cut wins: Win OR Needs both of the scenarios above
- Owner below cut doesn’t win: Needs 1* of the following scenarios
-