Friday, July 5, 2024
HomeCup SeriesCup Series Notable Drivers Statistics & Outlook: Kansas

Cup Series Notable Drivers Statistics & Outlook: Kansas

Last week Kyle Larson became the first driver to clinch their spot into the Round of 12 with his win at Darlington. This week we head to another mile and a half where we could see more drivers clinch their spots into the next round, Kansas. I have picked 8 notable drivers to look at, 5 based on the playoff bubble, 1 based on 2023 stats, 1 based on Intermediate stats, and 1 based on their overall Kansas stats. Here is a look at those 8 notable drivers 2023 season statistics, along with ranks among drivers in 2023 and ranking through 27 races since the Chase started in 2004. We will also highlight notable streaks accomplished through the year, 2023 Intermediate (1.3-1.5 mile) statistics and Kansas statistics.
P = Playoff Driver
OP = Owner Playoff Driver

1st in Points – William Byron (P & OP)

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 27 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 12.52 3rd of 35 86th of 819
 Completed Laps%¹ 96.45% T23rd of 35 T310th of 819
Laps in Top15%¹ 72.41% 3rd of 35 117th of 777‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 98.11 1st of 35 77th of 777‡
 Wins 5 1st of 62 T10th of 1353
 Poles 3 2nd of 62 T25th of 1353
 Top 2’s 6 1st of 62 T32nd of 1353
 Top 3’s 7 T2nd of 62 T54th of 1353
 Top 5’s 10 2nd of 62 T56th of 1353
 Top 10’s 14 T2nd of 62 T107th of 1353
 DNF’sÂą 3 T14th of 35 T342nd of 819
 Stage Wins 8 1st of 62 T7th of 429*
 Stage T10s 33 T3rd of 62 T28th of 429*
 Stage Pts 237 1st of 62 15th of 429*
 Playoff Pts² 33 1st of 62 7th of 429*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 27 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • 2023 Playoff Statistics (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Playoff start, 36 drivers)
  • 1 Race, Avg. Finish 4.0(4th), 69.75% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 101.9(5th), Best 4th, Worst 4th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 0.00% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 1 Top 5, 1 Top 10, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 1 Stage T10, 3.0 Stage Pts Per Stage, 0 Playoff Pts earned in races
  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 2 straight Wins (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
  • 2 straight Top 2 finishes (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
  • 3 straight Top 3 finishes (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
  • 4 straight Top 5 finishes (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
  • 3 straight Top 10 finishes (active streak, tied longest active streak in Cup Series)
  • 6 straight Top 10 finishes
  • 2023 Intermediate Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Intermediate start, 43 drivers)
  • 6 Races, Avg. Finish 2.83(1st), 86.63% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 119.13(1st), Best 1st, Worst 6th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 15.21% of laps he ran, 2 Wins, 1 Pole, 4 Top 3’s, 5 Top 5’s, 6 Top 10’s, 6 Top 15’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 3 Stage Wins, 5.92 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Kansas Statistics
  • 2023 Spring Kansas race
  • Finished 3rd, Started 1st, Led 10 laps (3.75%), got 0 Stage T10’s, ran 135 Laps in Top15 (50.56% of laps he ran), had 108.1 Driver Rating (ranked 5th)
  • Notable Kansas Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Kansas, 45 drivers)
  • 11 Races
  • 14.0 Avg. Finish (Ranks 8th)
  • Best Finish: 3rd, Worst: 38th
  • Completed 92.27% of laps (% ranks 34th)
  • 66.14% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 12th)
  • 88.74 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 11th)
  • Led 4.99% of laps he’s run (% ranks 8th)
  • 0 Top 2’s
  • 1 Top 3, 9.09% (% ranks T13th)
  • 2 Top 5’s, 18.18% (% ranks T13th)
  • 7 Top 10’s, 63.64% (% ranks 2nd)
  • 2 finishes outside Top 20, 18.18% (% ranks 4th)
  • 2 DNF’s, 18.18% (% ranks T34th)
  • 1 Stage Win, 4.55% (% ranks 10th)
  • 2.09 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 12th)
Main Points & Outlook
William Byron is notable because of how he’s done on Intermediate tracks this year
At Darlington Byron got 6 Stage Pts and finished 4th to put himself in a good points spot heading into Kansas
He is tied with Chris Buescher for the longest active Top 10 streak in the Cup Series at 3
13 of his 15 2023 Ranks above are T3rd or better including his 12.52 Avg. Finish, 72.41 Laps in Top 15%, 3 Poles, 14 Top 10’s, and 33 Stage T10’s
His 98.11 Avg. Driver Rating, 5 Wins, 6 Top 2’s, 8 Stage Wins, 237 Stage Pts, and 33 Playoff Pts earned in races all rank 1st in the 2023 Ranks above
In 6 Intermediate races this year he has 2 Wins, 5 Top 5’s and a worst finish of 6th
In these 6 races he has the best Avg. Finish (2.83), best Avg. Driver Rating (119.13), and the most Stage Pts Per Stage (5.92)
In the Kansas race this Spring Byron started 1st, ran only 50.56% of his laps in the Top 15, had the 5th best Avg. Driver Rating (108.1), and finished 3rd
This was only his 2nd Top 5 finish in 11 career Cup races at Kansas
In his 11 races here he has 7 Top 10’s, a 14.0 Avg. Finish, 2 finishes out of the Top 20, and 2 DNF’s
In the 11 races he’s ran 66% of his laps in the Top 15, led 5% of his laps, and has gotten only 2.09 Stage Pts Per Stage
Outlook for this weekend
Byron had a solid race last week and with another solid race this week could clinch a spot in the Round of 12. His overall stats this year have been superb but are still not as tremendous as his Intermediate stats this year where he leads almost every category. However, this weekend is Kansas where he’s been just okay in his career. Based on all the stats I see Byron coming home 5th-10th this weekend.

2nd in Points – Kyle Larson (P & OP)

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 27 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 15.48 12th of 35 T234th of 819
 Completed Laps%¹ 95.65% 26th of 35 362nd of 819
Laps in Top15%¹ 69.57% 6th of 35 153rd of 777‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 92.84 4th of 35 144th of 777‡
 Wins 3 T2nd of 62 T45th of 1353
 Poles 2 T4th of 62 T48th of 1353
 Top 2’s 5 T2nd of 62 T57th of 1353
 Top 3’s 6 T4th of 62 T81st of 1353
 Top 5’s 11 1st of 62 T34th of 1353
 Top 10’s 13 T4th of 62 T144th of 1353
 DNF’sÂą 6 T33rd of 35 T705th of 819
 Stage Wins 3 T7th of 62 T42nd of 429*
 Stage T10s 32 5th of 62 T34th of 429*
 Stage Pts 190 5th of 62 T35th of 429*
 Playoff Pts² 18 3rd of 62 23rd of 429*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 27 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • 2023 Playoff Statistics (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Playoff start, 36 drivers)
  • 1 Race, Avg. Finish 1.0(1st), 96.46% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 127.9(1st), Best 1st, Worst 1st, Laps Completed 100%, Led 14.99% of laps he ran, 1 Win, 0 Poles, 1 Top 3, 1 Top 5, 1 Top 10, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 2 Stage T10’s, 8.5 Stage Pts Per Stage, 5 Playoff Pts earned in races
  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 2 straight Top 5 finishes
  • 4 straight Top 10 finishes
  • 2023 Intermediate Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Intermediate start, 43 drivers)
  • 6 Races, Avg. Finish 10.0(T3rd), 89.77% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 107.45(2nd), Best 1st, Worst 30th, Laps Completed 98.79%, Led 12.41% of laps he ran, 1 Win, 0 Poles, 3 Top 3’s, 4 Top 5’s, 4 Top 10’s, 4 Top 15’s, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 1 DNF, 0 Stage Wins, 4.31 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Kansas Statistics
  • 2023 Spring Kansas race
  • Finished 2nd, Started 2nd, Led 85 laps (31.84%), Finished 10th in Stage 1 and 9th in Stage 2, ran 227 Laps in Top15 (85.02% of laps he ran), had 116.4 Driver Rating (ranked 3rd)
  • Notable Kansas Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Kansas, 45 drivers)
  • 17 Races
  • 13.47 Avg. Finish (Ranks 7th)
  • Best Finish: 1st, Worst: 39th
  • Completed 95.28% of laps (% ranks 24th)
  • 81.61% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 2nd)
  • 101.65 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 2nd)
  • Led 12.44% of laps he’s run (% ranks 1st)
  • 1 Win, 5.88% (% ranks 10th)
  • 4 Top 2’s, 23.53% (% ranks 1st)
  • 6 Top 5’s, 35.29% (% ranks 3rd)
  • 12 Top 15’s, 70.59% (% ranks 4th)
  • 4 finishes outside Top 20, 23.53% (% ranks 9th)
  • 2 DNF’s, 11.76% (% ranks T24th)
  • 3 Stage Wins, 13.64% (% ranks 3rd)
  • 15 Stage T10’s, 68.18% (% ranks 6th)
  • 4.27 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 6th)
Main Points & Outlook
Kyle Larson is notable because of how he’s performed in his 17 career starts here at Kansas
Last week Larson ran 96.5% of his laps in the Top 15 and lead the final 55 laps to win at Darlington, in doing so he clinched a spot in the Round of 12
He now has as many Top 3’s as DNF’s this year (6)
10 of his 15 2023 Ranks above are 5th or better including his 92.84 Avg. Driver Rating, 5 Top 2’s, 13 Top 10’s, and 32 Stage T10’s
His 11 Top 5’s thru 27 races is most of any driver this year and tied for 34th most since 2004
His longest Top 10 streak this year is only 4 races
In 6 Intermediate races this year he’s ran 90% of his laps in the Top 15, led 12% of his laps, and has the 2nd best Avg. Driver Rating (107.45)
In the 6 races he has 1 Win, 3 Top 3’s, and a 10.0 Avg. Finish; but only 4 Top 15’s
At Kansas this Spring Larson had a great race and was on his way to a win before contact with Denny Hamlin caused him to hit the wall and finish 2nd
In his 17 career Cup races at Kansas he has 4 Top 2’s, 6 Top 5’s, and 4 finishes outside the Top 20 leading to a 13.47 Avg. Finish
He’s ran 82% of his laps in the Top 15 in the 17 races, led 12.44% of his laps, has a 101.65 Avg. Driver Rating, and 3 Stage Wins in 22 stages
Outlook for this weekend
With Yung Money winning last weekend he’s running on house money the next two weeks. His 2023 season has been up and down but his 2023 Intermediate races have been mostly up. However, his downs at Intermediates have been way down. Thankfully for him one of the ups was here at Kansas and his career stats here are pretty good too. In all, if he can avoid trouble, I see Larson coming home in the Top 5 this weekend.

6th in Points – Martin Truex Jr. (P & OP)

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 27 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 11.63 1st of 35 53rd of 819
 Completed Laps%¹ 99.74% 1st of 35 14th of 819
Laps in Top15%¹ 73.68% 2nd of 35 104th of 777‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 98.02 2nd of 35 79th of 777‡
 Wins 3 T2nd of 62 T45th of 1353
 Poles 1 T6th of 62 T107th of 1353
 Top 2’s 5 T2nd of 62 T57th of 1353
 Top 3’s 8 1st of 62 T31st of 1353
 Top 5’s 9 T3rd of 62 T84th of 1353
 Top 10’s 15 1st of 62 T76th of 1353
 DNF’sÂą 1 T2nd of 35 T62nd of 819
 Stage Wins 6 3rd of 62 T13th of 429*
 Stage T10s 34 2nd of 62 T22nd of 429*
 Stage Pts 203 3rd of 62 T27th of 429*
 Playoff Pts² 21 2nd of 62 T15th of 429*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 27 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • 2023 Playoff Statistics (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Playoff start, 36 drivers)
  • 1 Race, Avg. Finish 18.0(18th), 15.26% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 59.5(22nd), Best 18th, Worst 18th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 0.00% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 0 Top 5’s, 0 Top 10’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 0 Stage T10’s, 0.00 Stage Pts Per Stage, 0 Playoff Pts earned in races
  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 2 straight Top 2 finishes (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
  • 4 straight Top 5 finishes (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
  • 6 straight Top 10 finishes
  • 2023 Intermediate Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Intermediate start, 43 drivers)
  • 6 Races, Avg. Finish 11.5(6th), 81.7% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 105.48(3rd), Best 2nd, Worst 31st, Laps Completed 99.21%, Led 14.69% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 1 Pole, 2 Top 3’s, 2 Top 5’s, 4 Top 10’s, 4 Top 15’s, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 1 DNF, 1 Stage Win, 4.77 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Kansas Statistics
  • 2023 Spring Kansas race
  • Finished 8th, Started 4th, Led 79 laps (25.59%), Finished 2nd in Stage 1, ran 264 Laps in Top15 (98.88% of laps he ran), had 122.4 Driver Rating (ranked 2nd)
  • Notable Kansas Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Kansas, 45 drivers)
  • 30 Races
  • 12.1 Avg. Finish (Ranks 4th)
  • Best Finish: 1st, Worst: 43rd
  • Completed 98.66% of laps (% ranks 10th)
  • 75.51% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 6th)
  • 101.04 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 3rd)
  • Led 11.52% of laps he’s run (% ranks 2nd)
  • 2 Wins, 6.67% (% ranks T7th)
  • 6 Top 3’s, 20.0% (% ranks T6th)
  • 10 Top 5’s, 33.33% (% ranks 5th)
  • 17 Top 10’s, 56.67% (% ranks 5th)
  • 4 finishes outside Top 20, 13.33% (% ranks 2nd)
  • 1 DNF, 3.33% (% ranks 12th)
  • 0 Stage Wins
  • 3.08 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 7th)
Main Points & Outlook
Martin Truex Jr. is notable because of his overall 2023 stats
Truex was pretty close to awful at Darlington as he ran only 15% of his laps in the Top 15 and finished 18th
He’s now finished outside the Top 15 in back-to-back races for the first time since early July
11 of his 15 2023 Ranks above are 1st or 2nd including his 11.63 Avg. Finish, 98.02 Avg. Driver Rating, 5 Top 2’s, 8 Top 3’s, and 15 Top 10’s
His 99.74 Completed Laps% thru 27 races is 14th best since 2004
At the 6 Intermediate tracks this year he’s ran 82% of his laps in the Top 15, led 15% of his laps, and has gotten 4.77 Stage Pts Per Stage
In the 6 races he has the 6th best Avg. Finish (11.5) and the 3rd best Avg. Driver Rating (105.48) with 4 Top 10’s
At Kansas this Spring Truex ran all but 3 laps in the Top 15, had the 2nd best Driver Rating (122.4), and finished 8th
 In his 30 career Cup races at Kansas he has a 12.1 Avg. Finish with 2 Win, 6 Top 3’s, and 17 Top 10’s
He has more Top 3’s (6) than finishes out of the Top 20 (4)
In the 30 races he’s ran 75.51% of his laps in the Top 15, led 11.52% of his laps, and has the 3rd best active Avg. Driver Rating at 101.04
Outlook for this weekend
Truex had a terrible Darlington, but thankfully for him his 2023 stats and Intermediate stats above are still really good. This bodes well for him as another Intermediate track is on the docket in Kansas. To make things even better he’s performed admirably here in his career and faired well in the Spring. With all of these good stats I see Truex coming home with a solid Top 10 finish this weekend.

11th in Points – Joey Logano (P & OP)

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 27 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 15.04 11th of 35 T209th of 819
 Completed Laps%¹ 94.25% 29th of 35 T473rd of 819
Laps in Top15%¹ 59.41% 14th of 35 231st of 777‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 81.39 13th of 35 274th of 777‡
 Wins 1 T7th of 62 T129th of 1353
 Poles 2 T4th of 62 T48th of 1353
 Top 2’s 4 T6th of 62 T82nd of 1353
 Top 3’s 6 T4th of 62 T81st of 1353
 Top 5’s 8 T5th of 62 T108th of 1353
 Top 10’s 13 T4th of 62 T144th of 1353
 DNF’sÂą 4 T25th of 35 T495th of 819
 Stage Wins 3 T7th of 62 T42nd of 429*
 Stage T10s 20 12th of 62 T96th of 429*
 Stage Pts 122 12th of 62 78th of 429*
 Playoff Pts² 8 T9th of 62 T51st of 429*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 27 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • 2023 Playoff Statistics (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Playoff start, 36 drivers)
  • 1 Race, Avg. Finish 12.0(12th), 51.77% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 78.2(13th), Best 12th, Worst 12th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 0.00% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 0 Top 5’s, 0 Top 10’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 0 Stage T10’s, 0.00 Stage Pts Per Stage, 0 Playoff Pts earned in races
  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 2 straight Top 3 finishes
  • 2023 Intermediate Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Intermediate start, 43 drivers)
  • 6 Races, Avg. Finish 18.67(21st), 60.82% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 73.95(16th), Best 6th, Worst 36th, Laps Completed 95.37%, Led 0.94% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 1 Pole, 0 Top 3’s, 0 Top 5’s, 1 Top 10, 2 Top 15’s, 2 Finishes out of Top 20, 1 DNF, 1 Stage Win, 1.31 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Kansas Statistics
  • 2023 Spring Kansas race
  • Finished 6th, Started 6th, Led 8 laps (3.0%), Finished 1st in Stage 2, ran 174 Laps in Top15 (65.17% of laps he ran), had 82.1 Driver Rating (ranked 11th)
  • Notable Kansas Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Kansas, 45 drivers)
  • 28 Races
  • 16.71 Avg. Finish (Ranks 14th)
  • Best Finish: 1st, Worst: 39th
  • Completed 95.17% of laps (% ranks 25th)
  • 62.33% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 13th)
  • 87.51 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 13th)
  • Led 7.15% of laps he’s run (% ranks 5th)
  • 3 Wins, 10.71% (% ranks 2nd)
  • 5 Top 3’s, 17.86% (% ranks 9th)
  • 8 Top 5’s, 28.57% (% ranks T8th)
  • 11 Top 10’s, 39.29% (% ranks 13th)
  • 9 finishes outside Top 20, 32.14% (% ranks 11th)
  • 4 DNF’s, 14.29% (% ranks T29th)
  • 3 Stage Wins, 11.54% (% ranks 4th)
  • 2.54 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 9th)
Main Points & Outlook
Joey Logano is notable because he’s only 3 points above the cutline
At Darlington Logano ran only 52% of his laps in the Top 15 and finished 12th with 0 Stage Pts
He’s now finished 6 of the last 7 races out of the Top 10
8 of his 15 2023 Ranks above are better than 10th including his 4 Top 2’s, 8 Top 5’s, 13 Top 10’s, and 3 Stage Wins
4 of his 15 2023 Ranks above are worse than 12th including his 59.41 Laps in Top 15% and 81.39 Avg. Driver Rating
In 6 Intermediate races this year he has more finishes out of the Top 20 (2) than finishes in the Top 10 (1)
In the 6 races he’s ran 61% of his laps in the Top 15, has a subpar 73.95 Avg. Driver Rating, and just 1.31 Stage Pts Per Stage
In the Spring race at Kansas Logano won Stage 2, but only ran 65% of his laps in the Top 15 en route to the 11th best Driver Rating (82.1) and a 6th place finish
This was only his 11th Top 10 at Kansas in his 28 races here
In his 28 races he has 3 Wins, a 16.71 Avg. Finish, and more finishes out of the Top 20 (9) than finishes in the Top 5 (8)
He’s ran 62% of his laps in the Top 15 in the 28 races, has an 87.51 Avg. Driver Rating, and 2.54 Stage Pts Per Stage
Outlook for this weekend
Logano has had a decent season, but it’s far from what’s expected of him and the 22 crew. Last week was about average for him this year and was one of his better Intermediate races of the year as he’s struggled on them this year. Coming to Kansas isn’t much better for him as he’s either done really well or really bad here. All of this said I expect an average race from Logano this weekend finishing 8th-16th.

12th in Points – Christopher Bell (P & OP)

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 27 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 13.93 7th of 35 T157th of 819
 Completed Laps%¹ 96.56% 21st of 35 T298th of 819
Laps in Top15%¹ 66.91% 8th of 35 176th of 777‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 89.27 6th of 35 188th of 777‡
 Wins 1 T7th of 62 T129th of 1353
 Poles 3 2nd of 62 T25th of 1353
 Top 2’s 1 T13th of 62 T230th of 1353
 Top 3’s 4 T9th of 62 T142nd of 1353
 Top 5’s 6 T11th of 62 T177th of 1353
 Top 10’s 13 T4th of 62 T144th of 1353
 DNF’sÂą 3 T14th of 35 T342nd of 819
 Stage Wins 2 T10th of 62 T64th of 429*
 Stage T10s 33 T3rd of 62 T28th of 429*
 Stage Pts 163 6th of 62 58th of 429*
 Playoff Pts² 7 T11th of 62 T62nd of 429*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 27 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • 2023 Playoff Statistics (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Playoff start, 36 drivers)
  • 1 Race, Avg. Finish 23.0(23rd), 38.96% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 69.7(17th), Best 4th, Worst 4th, Laps Completed 99.73%, Led 10.93% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 1 Pole, 0 Top 3’s, 0 Top 5’s, 0 Top 10’s, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 1 Stage T10, 1.5 Stage Pts Per Stage, 0 Playoff Pts earned in races
  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 2 straight Top 5 finishes
  • 3 straight Top 10 finishes
  • 2023 Intermediate Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Intermediate start, 43 drivers)
  • 6 Races, Avg. Finish 18.17(20th), 74.57% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 87.88(11th), Best 5th, Worst 36th, Laps Completed 94.16%, Led 5.25% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 1 Pole, 0 Top 3’s, 1 Top 5, 2 Top 10’s, 3 Top 15’s, 3 Finishes out of Top 20, 1 DNF, 0 Stage Wins, 3.77 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Kansas Statistics
  • 2023 Spring Kansas race
  • Finished 36th (crash), Started 12th, Led 3 laps (1.12%), Finished 6th in Stage 1, ran 157 Laps in Top15 (100% of laps he ran), had 77.4 Driver Rating (ranked 14th)
  • Notable Kansas Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Kansas, 45 drivers)
  • 7 Races
  • 16.14 Avg. Finish (Ranks 11th)
  • Best Finish: 3rd, Worst: 36th
  • Completed 93.85% of laps (% ranks 28th)
  • 77.02% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 4th)
  • 90.79 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 9th)
  • Led 2.96% of laps he’s run (% ranks 14th)
  • 1 Pole, 14.29% (% ranks T1st)
  • 0 Top 2’s
  • 1 Top 3, 14.29% (% ranks 10th)
  • 4 Top 10’s, 57.14% (% ranks 4th)
  • 3 finishes outside Top 20, 42.86% (% ranks 18th)
  • 1 DNF, 14.29% (% ranks T29th)
  • 1 Stage Win, 7.14% (% ranks 8th)
  • 1.93 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 14th)
Main Points & Outlook
Christopher Bell is notable because he is the last driver above the cutline
Darlington was rough for Bell as he ran only 39% of his laps in the Top 15 after sitting on the pole and then finished 23rd
He’s now finished 6 of his last 10 races out of the Top 20
10 of his 15 2023 Ranks above are T10th or better including his 13.93 Avg. Finish, 89.27 Avg. Driver Rating, 3 Poles, 2 Stage Wins, and 33 Stage T10’s
His longest Top 10 streak this year is only 3 races
In the 6 Intermediate races this year he has the 11th best Avg. Driver Rating (87.88) but only the 20th best Avg. Finish (18.17)
He has more finishes in the 6 races out of the Top 20 (3) than finishes in the Top 10 (2)
In the 6 races he’s ran 75% of his laps in the Top 15, led 5% of his laps, and has 0 Stage Wins
In the Spring Kansas race Bell ran every one of his laps in the Top 15, but he only ran 157 laps as an incident midway caused him to finish 36th
In 7 career Cup races at Kansas he’s either finished in the Top 10 or out of the Top 20 in every race
He’s ran 77% of his laps here in the Top 15, but has just 1.93 Stage Pts Per Stage in 14 stages
Outlook for this weekend
Bell has struggled of late, but his 2023 numbers above are still decent. However, his Intermediate stats aren’t as decent as he’s ran okay but hasn’t always finished well. That includes here at Kansas where he finished last this Spring and was a part of his hit or miss career stats here at Kansas. I think this weekend is one of those hits as Bell finishes between 6th and 10th.

13th in Points – Bubba Wallace (P)

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 27 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 16.44 16th of 35 T282nd of 819
 Completed Laps%¹ 98.38% 7th of 35 112th of 819
Laps in Top15%¹ 59.62% 13th of 35 229th of 777‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 77.04 17th of 35 323rd of 777‡
 Wins 0 T15th of 62 T260th of 1353
 Poles 0 T15th of 62 T249th of 1353
 Top 2’s 0 T21st of 62 T374th of 1353
 Top 3’s 0 T25th of 62 T443rd of 1353
 Top 5’s 4 T14th of 62 T246th of 1353
 Top 10’s 7 T17th of 62 T331st of 1353
 DNF’sÂą 5 T28th of 35 T616th of 819
 Stage Wins 0 T19th of 62 T110th of 429*
 Stage T10s 18 15th of 62 T103rd of 429*
 Stage Pts 90 15th of 62 99th of 429*
 Playoff Pts² 0 T21st of 62 T130th of 429*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 27 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • 2023 Playoff Statistics (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Playoff start, 36 drivers)
  • 1 Race, Avg. Finish 7.0(7th), 66.49% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 91.9(9th), Best 7th, Worst 7th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 0.00% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 0 Top 5’s, 1 Top 10, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 0 Stage T10’s, 0.00 Stage Pts Per Stage, 0 Playoff Pts earned in races
  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 3 straight Top 5 finishes
  • 2023 Intermediate Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Intermediate start, 43 drivers)
  • 6 Races, Avg. Finish 6.5(2nd), 71.11% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 93.73(7th), Best 4th, Worst 15th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 0.63% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 4 Top 5’s, 5 Top 10’s, 6 Top 15’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 2.0 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Kansas Statistics
  • 2023 Spring Kansas race
  • Finished 4th, Started 17th, Led 9 laps (3.37%), Finished 7th in Stage 1, ran 260 Laps in Top15 (97.38% of laps he ran), had 113.5 Driver Rating (ranked 4th)
  • Notable Kansas Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Kansas, 45 drivers)
  • 11 Races
  • 20.27 Avg. Finish (Ranks 24th)
  • Best Finish: 1st, Worst: 37th
  • Completed 95.83% of laps (% ranks 34th)
  • 36.85% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 22nd)
  • 72.28 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 18th)
  • Led 2.44% of laps he’s run (% ranks 15th)
  • 1 Win, 9.09 (% ranks 4th)
  • 2 Top 5’s, 18.18% (% ranks T13th)
  • 4 Top 10’s, 36.36% (% ranks 24th)
  • 6 finishes outside Top 20, 54.55% (% ranks 27th)
  • 2 DNF’s, 18.18% (% ranks T34th)
  • 0 Stage Wins
  • 6 Stage T10’s, 27.27% (% ranks T16th)
Main Points & Outlook
Bubba Wallace is notable because he’s the first driver below the cutline
Wallace ran only 66.5% of his laps in the Top 15 last week, but in the end finished 7th
This was just his 2nd Top 10 finish in the last 13 races
Only 1 of his 15 2023 Ranks above is better than 13th (98.38 Completed Laps%)
His longest Top 10 streak this year is only 3 races
He has more DNF’s this year (5) than finishes in the Top 5 (4)
In 6 Intermediate races this year he’s ran 71% of his laps in the Top 15, has the 7th best Avg. Driver Rating (93.73), and the 2nd best Avg. Finish (6.5)
In the 6 races he’s led only 0.63% of his laps, but has 4 Top 5’s and a worst finish of only 15th
At Kansas this Spring Wallace ran 97% of his laps in the Top 15, had the 4th best Driver Rating (113.5), and finished 4th
In his 11 career Cup starts at Kansas he’s ran a measly 37% of his laps in the Top 15 and has just 6 Stage T10’s in 22 stages
In the 11 races he’s got a 20.27 Avg. Finish with 1 Win and 6 finishes out of the Top 20
Outlook for this weekend
Wallace’s 2023 stats above are not worthy of being in the Round of 12, but still he sits 1 point out of 12th heading into Kansas. What’s better is that he has performed extremely well on Intermediates this year and one of his two career wins has come at Kansas. He’s struggled at Kansas in his career, but a lot of that is old news. This weekend I expect Wallace to run well and finish 3rd-9th.

14th in Points – Kevin Harvick (P & OP)

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 27 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 13.96 8th of 35 160th of 819
 Completed Laps%¹ 98.84% 6th of 35 T82nd of 819
Laps in Top15%¹ 70.81% 4th of 35 135th of 777‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 82.27 11th of 35 266th of 777‡
 Wins 0 T15th of 62 T260th of 1353
 Poles 0 T15th of 62 T249th of 1353
 Top 2’s 1 T13th of 62 T230th of 1353
 Top 3’s 1 T16th of 62 T305th of 1353
 Top 5’s 6 T11th of 62 T177th of 1353
 Top 10’s 12 T9th of 62 T185th of 1353
 DNF’sÂą 1 T2nd of 35 T62nd of 819
 Stage Wins 1 T13th of 62 T81st of 429*
 Stage T10s 25 8th of 62 T69th of 429*
 Stage Pts 127 10th of 62 74th of 429*
 Playoff Pts² 1 T16th of 62 T106th of 429*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 27 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • 2023 Playoff Statistics (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Playoff start, 36 drivers)
  • 1 Race, Avg. Finish 19.0(19th), 85.01% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 99.1(7th), Best 19th, Worst 19th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 0.27% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 0 Top 5’s, 0 Top 10’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 1 Stage T10, 3.5 Stage Pts Per Stage, 0 Playoff Pts earned in races
  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 2 straight Top 5 finishes
  • 4 straight Top 10 finishes
  • 2023 Intermediate Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Intermediate start, 43 drivers)
  • 6 Races, Avg. Finish 12.67(T8th), 75.41% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 88.42(9th), Best 2nd, Worst 24th, Laps Completed 99.95%, Led 1.32% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 1 Top 3, 1 Top 5, 2 Top 10’s, 4 Top 15’s, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 2.23 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Kansas Statistics
  • 2023 Spring Kansas race
  • Finished 11th, Started 13th, Led 0 laps, got 0 Stage T10’s, ran 250 Laps in Top15 (93.63% of laps he ran), had 85.8 Driver Rating (ranked 10th)
  • Notable Kansas Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Kansas, 45 drivers)
  • 35 Races
  • 9.91 Avg. Finish (Ranks 1st)
  • Best Finish: 1st, Worst: 36th
  • Completed 96.29% of laps (% ranks 18th)
  • 81.12% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 3rd)
  • 105.43 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 1st)
  • Led 10.59% of laps he’s run (% ranks 3rd)
  • 3 Wins, 8.57% (% ranks 5th)
  • 5 Poles, 14.29% (% ranks T1st)
  • 8 Top 2’s, 22.86% (% ranks 2nd)
  • 11 Top 5’s, 31.43% (% ranks 1st)
  • 29 Top 15’s, 82.86% (% ranks 1st)
  • 4 finishes outside Top 20, 11.43% (% ranks 1st)
  • 2 DNF’s, 5.71% (% ranks 15th)
  • 2 Stage Wins, 7.69% (% ranks T5th)
  • 18 Stage T10’s, 69.23% (% ranks 5th)
  • 4.65 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 3rd)
Main Points & Outlook
Kevin Harvick is notable because he’s 2 points on the wrong side of the cutline
Harvick ran 85% of his laps in the Top 15 at Darlington but a bad decision by Tyler Reddick and Rodney Childers caused him to finish 19th
Only 7 of his 15 2023 Ranks above are 10th or better including his 13.96 Avg. Finish, 70.81 Laps in Top 15%, and 127 Stage Pts
His worst 2023 Ranks above are T16th (1 Top 3 and 1 Playoff Pt)
In 6 races on Intermediate tracks this year he has 1 Top 5 and just 2 Top 10’s with a 12.67 Avg. Finish
He’s ran 75% of his laps in the Top 15 in the 6 races and has an 88.42 Avg. Driver Rating
At Kansas this Spring Harvick ran 94% of his laps in the Top 15, had the 10th best Driver Rating (85.8), got 0 Stage Pts, and finished 11th
In 35 races at Kansas he has 5 Poles, 8 Top 2’s, and 29 Top 15’s
He has more Poles in his career at Kansas (5) than finishes out of the Top 20 (2)
His 9.91 Avg. Finish, 105.43 Avg. Driver Rating, 14.29 Pole%, 31.43 Top 5%, 82.86 Top 15%, and 11.43 finishes out of Top 20% are all best among active drivers at Kansas
Outlook for this weekend
Harvick’s 2023 stats above show that he’s ran better than his finishes show and last week was testament to that. Thankfully for him his Intermediate finishes overall this year have been about what he’s deserved, just like his 11th place finish at Kansas this Spring. What’s more is that in his career at Kansas Harvick has been nothing less than amazing, and that is what leads me to believe he will have a good race this weekend and finish between 6th and 12th.

15th in Points – Ricky Stenhouse Jr. (P & OP)

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 27 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 16.67 17th of 35 T291st of 819
 Completed Laps%¹ 98.31% 8th of 35 120th of 819
Laps in Top15%¹ 36.38% 20th of 35 389th of 777‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 68.21 20th of 35 429th of 777‡
 Wins 1 T7th of 62 T129th of 1353
 Poles 0 T15th of 62 T249th of 1353
 Top 2’s 1 T13th of 62 T230th of 1353
 Top 3’s 1 T16th of 62 T305th of 1353
 Top 5’s 2 T19th of 62 T345th of 1353
 Top 10’s 7 T17th of 62 T331st of 1353
 DNF’sÂą 2 T6th of 35 T181st of 819
 Stage Wins 0 T19th of 62 T110th of 429*
 Stage T10s 12 21st of 62 T123rd of 429*
 Stage Pts 38 24th of 62 T143rd of 429*
 Playoff Pts² 5 T13th of 62 T74th of 429*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 27 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • 2023 Playoff Statistics (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Playoff start, 36 drivers)
  • 1 Race, Avg. Finish 16.0(16th), 3.54% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 52.3(25th), Best 16th, Worst 16th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 0.00% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 0 Top 5’s, 0 Top 10’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 1 Stage T10, 0.5 Stage Pts Per Stage, 0 Playoff Pts earned in races
  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 2 straight Top 10 finishes
  • 2023 Intermediate Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Intermediate start, 43 drivers)
  • 6 Races, Avg. Finish 15.67(16th), 37.25% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 68.83(19th), Best 7th, Worst 24th, Laps Completed 99.89%, Led 0.21% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 0 Top 5’s, 1 Top 10, 3 Top 15’s, 2 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 0.77 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Kansas Statistics
  • 2023 Spring Kansas race
  • Finished 12th, Started 33rd, Led 0 laps, got 0 Stage T10’s, ran 96 Laps in Top15 (35.96% of laps he ran), had 64.5 Driver Rating (ranked 20th)
  • Notable Kansas Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Kansas, 45 drivers)
  • 21 Races
  • 19.67 Avg. Finish (Ranks 21st)
  • Best Finish: 8th, Worst: 40th
  • Completed 95.7% of laps (% ranks 22nd)
  • 30.74% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 24th)
  • 70.37 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 19th)
  • Led 1.39% of laps he’s run (% ranks 17th)
  • 0 Top 5’s
  • 1 Top 10, 4.76% (% ranks 25th)
  • 8 Top 15’s, 38.1% (% ranks 22nd)
  • 8 finishes outside Top 20, 38.1% (% ranks 14th)
  • 3 DNF’s, 14.29% (% ranks T29th)
  • 0 Stage Wins
  • 0.85 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 22nd)
Main Points & Outlook
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. is notable because he’s within 10 points of the cutline
Darlington was rough for Stenhouse as he ran just 3.5% of his laps in the Top 15 and finished 16th
He’s now finished outside the Top 10 in 6 straight races
Only 3 of his 15 2023 Ranks above are 12th or better (98.31 Completed Laps%, 1 Win, 2 DNF’s)
6 of his 2023 Ranks above are T19th or worse including his 38 Stage Pts, 2 Top 5’s, and 36.38 Laps in Top 15%
He’s only finished with back-to-back Top 10’s once this year
In 6 Intermediate races this year he’s ran just 37% of his laps in the Top 15, has only the 19th best Avg. Driver Rating, and has gotten only 0.77 Stage Pts Per Stage
The 6 races have produced a 15.67 Avg. Finish for him with 1 Top 10 and 2 finishes out of the Top 20
At Kansas this Spring Stenhouse got 0 Stage Pts, ran only 36% of his laps in the Top 15, had the 20th best Driver Rating (64.5), and finished 12th
In 21 career Cup starts at Kansas he has just 1 Top 10 and has the same amount of finishes out of the Top 20 as in the Top 15 (8)
in the 21 races he’s ran just 31% of his laps in the Top 15 and has a measly 70.37 Avg. Driver Rating
Outlook for this weekend
Stenhouse won the Daytona 500 to open the year, but since then he’s been quiet as his 2023 stats above aren’t all that playoff worthy. Intermediates have been alright for him, but if he wants to make the Round of 12 they’d have to be better. This also applies to his Kansas stats as he’s been just bad here and has barely sniffed a Top 10. All of these stats put together tell me that Stenhouse will finish between 10th and 21st this weekend.
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Daniel Smith
Daniel Smithhttps://pitpassnetwork.com
Cup drivers: Kyle Larson & Ross Chastain, Xfinity drivers: SVG & Ryan Sieg, Truck drivers: Grant Enfinger & Jake Garcia

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