This article is a race finish projection for the 2023 NASCAR Cup Playoff race at Kansas Speedway. The finishing order below is determined based on the statistics used in the Kansas Cup Outlook article (mainly track stats and track style stats), weekend practice speeds (both single lap and multi-lap averages), and qualifying results. There is little opinion on the matter as this is based on mostly statistics, so just because a driver with bad stats is in a good car does not mean he will be bumped up based on the car/team he is with.
Last weeks projected winner: Denny Hamlin
Finished: 25th
Last weeks winner: Kyle Larson
Projected Finish: 3rd
Additional notes from last week:
-5 drivers finished where they were projected (Tyler Reddick (2nd), William Byron (4th), Brad Keselowski (6th), Ryan Blaney (9th) & B.J. McLeod (36th))
-16 of the 36 drivers finished within 5 spots (better or worse) of where they were projected to finish
-Only 4 of the 36 drivers finished 15+ spots (better or worse) than they were projected to finish
-8 of the Top 12 drivers were projected to finish in the Top 12
Notable results this week
Winner: Kyle Larson
One to Watch: Chase Elliott
Disappointment: Joey Logano
Highlighted = In Driver/Owner Playoff
| Proj. Finish | Number | Driver | Finish/Diff. |
| 1. | 5 | Kyle Larson | 4th -3 |
| 2. | 19 | Martin Truex Jr. | 36th -34 |
| 3. | 24 | William Byron | 15th -12 |
| 4. | 9 | Chase Elliott | 6th -2 |
| 5. | 45 | Tyler Reddick | 1st +4 |
| 6. | 11 | Denny Hamlin | 2nd +4 |
| 7. | 23 | Bubba Wallace | 32nd -25 |
| 8. | 20 | Christopher Bell | 8th +0 |
| 9. | 8 | Kyle Busch | 7th +2 |
| 10. | 4 | Kevin Harvick | 11th -1 |
| 11. | 6 | Brad Keselowski | 9th +2 |
| 12. | 1 | Ross Chastain | 13th -1 |
| 13. | 47 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 23rd 10 |
| 14. | 12 | Ryan Blaney | 12th +2 |
| 15. | 99 | Daniel Suarez | 16th -1 |
| 16. | 43 | Erik Jones | 3rd +13 |
| 17. | 17 | Chris Buescher | 27th -10 |
| 18. | 54 | Ty Gibbs | 14th +4 |
| 19. | 3 | Austin Dillon | 33rd -14 |
| 20. | 48 | Alex Bowman | 10th +10 |
| 21. | 22 | Joey Logano | 5th +16 |
| 22. | 16 | A.J. Allmendinger | 30th -8 |
| 23. | 2 | Austin Cindric | 31st -8 |
| 24. | 10 | Aric Almirola | 17th +7 |
| 25. | 34 | Michael McDowell | 26th -1 |
| 26. | 14 | Chase Briscoe | 19th +7 |
| 27. | 51 | Cole Custer | 24th +3 |
| 28. | 42 | Carson Hocevar | 20th +8 |
| 29. | 31 | Justin Haley | 21st +8 |
| 30. | 41 | Ryan Preece | 18th +12 |
| 31. | 21 | Harrison Burton | 35th -4 |
| 32. | 7 | Corey LaJoie | 22nd +10 |
| 33. | 38 | Todd Gilliland | 25th +8 |
| 34. | 78 | Sheldon Creed | 29th +5 |
| 35. | 77 | Ty Dillon | 28th +7 |
| 36. | 15 | J.J. Yeley | 34th +2 |
*This will be updated after the race is over so you can compare how the projection did with the actual finishing order.
