Saturday, October 5, 2024
HomeStatisticsXfinity Series Notable Drivers Statistics & Outlook: Bristol

Xfinity Series Notable Drivers Statistics & Outlook: Bristol

The Xfinity playoff field is set as Parker Kligerman nabbed the last spot at Kansas last week while Austin Hill picked up the Regular Season Championship, and John Hunter Nemechek picked up the race win. This week we start the playoffs at one of the toughest tracks, Bristol. I have picked 8 notable drivers to look at, 1 based on the 2023 point standings, 2 based on 2023 stats, 2 based on Short track stats, 1 based on the last Bristol race, and 2 based on their overall Bristol stats. Here is a look at those 8 notable drivers 2023 season statistics, along with ranks among drivers in 2023 and ranking through 26 races since the Playoffs started in 2016. We will also highlight notable streaks accomplished through the year, 2023 Short track (under 1 mile) statistics and Bristol statistics.

P = Playoff Driver
OP = Owner Playoff Driver

1st in Points – John Hunter Nemechek (P & OP)

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 26 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 9.65 2nd of 32 28th of 272
 Completed Laps%¹ 98.15% 6th of 32 37th of 272
Laps in Top15%Âą 87.19% 2nd of 32 32nd of 272
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 111.17 1st of 32 10th of 272‡
 Wins 6 1st of 97 T3rd of 813
 Poles 2 T5th of 97 T18th of 813
 Top 2’s 10 1st of 97 T3rd of 813
 Top 3’s 11 1st of 97 T7th of 813
 Top 5’s 13 2nd of 97 T11th of 813
 Top 10’s 19 T1st of 97 T12th of 813
 DNF’sÂą 3 T11th of 32 T73rd of 272
 Stage Wins 9 1st of 97 T5th of 694*
 Stage T10s 38 T2nd of 97 T20th of 694*
 Stage Pts 270 2nd of 97 15th of 694*
 Playoff Pts² 39 1st of 97 4th of 694*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2016
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 45% of races thru 26 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 2 straight Wins (longest streak in Xfinity Series this year and tied 15th longest in Xfinity Series all-time)
  • 3 straight Top 2 finishes (tied longest streak in Xfinity Series this year and tied 26th longest in Xfinity Series all-time)
  • 2 straight Top 3 finishes (active streak, longest active streak in Xfinity Series)
  • 2 straight Top 5 finishes (active streak, tied longest active streak in Xfinity Series)
  • 5 straight Top 10 finishes
  • 2023 Short track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Short track start, 43 drivers)
  • 2 Races, Avg. Finish 1.5(1st), 89.2% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 124.35(1st), Best 1st, Worst 2nd, Laps Completed 100%, Led 41.8% of laps he ran, 1 Win, 0 Poles, 2 Top 3’s, 2 Top 5’s, 2 Top 10’s, 2 Top 15’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 2 Stage Wins, 6.0 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Bristol Statistics
  • 2022 Bristol race
  • did not race last race 2019
  • Notable Bristol Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Bristol, 65 drivers)
  • 3 Races
  • 7.0 Avg. Finish (Ranks 7th)
  • Best Finish: 3rd, Worst: 13th
  • Completed 99.89% of laps (% ranks 8th)
  • 88.1% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 13th)
  • 99.97 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 13th)
  • Led 0.00% of laps he’s run
  • 0 Top 2’s
  • 1 Top 3, 33.33% (% ranks T6th)
  • 2 Top 5’s, 66.67% (% ranks T3rd)
  • 3 Top 15’s, 100% (% ranks T1st)
  • 0 finishes outside Top 20, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
  • 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
  • 0 Stage Wins
  • 5 Stage T10’s, 83.33% (% ranks 8th)
  • 4.0 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks T6th)
Main Points & Outlook
John Hunter Nemechek is notable because of his 2023 regular season stats
At Kansas Nemechek ran all 200 laps in the Top 15 en route to his 3rd perfect Driver Rating (150.0) in a race this year and his 6th race win this year
He is now on a 2 race Top 3 streak
12 of his 15 2023 Ranks above are T2nd or better including his Series leading 111.17 Avg. Driver Rating, 6 Wins, 10 Top 2’s, 19 Top 10’s, and 9 Stage Wins
His 111.17 Avg. Driver Rating, 6 Wins, 10 Top 2’s, 11 Top 3’s, 9 Stage Wins, and 39 Playoff Pts all ranks 10th or better through 26 races since 2016
In the 2 Short track races this year he has the best Avg. Finish (1.5) and best Avg. Driver Rating of any driver (124.35)
In the 2 races he’s ran 89% of his laps in the Top 15, led 42% of his laps, has 2 Stage Wins, and has gotten 6 Stage Pts Per Stage
Nemechek did not race at Bristol last year in the Xfinity Series, last race was 2019
In his 3 career Xfinity starts at Bristol he’s gotten 1 Top 3 and 2 Top 5’s
He’s ran 88% of his career Xfinity laps here in the Top 15 and has a 99.97 Avg. Driver Rating, but has led 0 laps
He has 0 Stage Wins in 6 stages, but has gotten a Stage T10 in 5 of the 6 stages he’s competed in
Outlook for this weekend
Nemechek may not have won the 2023 Xfinity Regular Season Championship, but he had the best regular season as his stats prove. On Short tracks this year he’s been magnificent and at Bristol in his Xfinity career he’s performed well. For these reasons I think it’s easy to see that Nemechek comes out of Bristol at worst with a 5th place finish, and he probably clinches a spot into the Round of 8 as well.

2nd in Points – Austin Hill (P & OP)

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 26 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 8.0 1st of 32 10th of 272
 Completed Laps%¹ 99.08% 3rd of 32 25th of 272
Laps in Top15%Âą 87.76% 1st of 32 29th of 272
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 105.72 2nd of 32 23rd of 272‡
 Wins 4 2nd of 97 T14th of 813
 Poles 3 T2nd of 97 T9th of 813
 Top 2’s 5 T2nd of 97 T18th of 813
 Top 3’s 7 T3rd of 97 T21st of 813
 Top 5’s 15 1st of 97 T6th of 813
 Top 10’s 19 T1st of 97 T12th of 813
 DNF’sÂą 1 T3rd of 32 T18th of 272
 Stage Wins 4 T5th of 97 T27th of 694*
 Stage T10s 37 4th of 97 T23rd of 694*
 Stage Pts 239 3rd of 97 21st of 694*
 Playoff Pts² 24 2nd of 97 T12th of 694*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2016
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 45% of races thru 26 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 3 straight Top 3 finishes
  • 2 straight Top 5 finishes (active streak, tied longest active streak in Xfinity Series)
  • 4 straight Top 5 finishes
  • 7 straight Top 10 finishes
  • 2023 Short track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Short track start, 43 drivers)
  • 2 Races, Avg. Finish 12.5(T10th), 58.8% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 79.75(16th), Best 9th, Worst 16th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 1.6% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 0 Top 5’s, 1 Top 10, 1 Top 15, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 0 Stage T10’s
  • Bristol Statistics
  • 2022 Bristol race
  • Finished 3rd, Started 15th, Led 0 laps, Finished 6th in Stage 2, ran 300 Laps in Top15 (100% of laps he ran), had 105.4 Driver Rating (ranked 6th)
  • Notable Bristol Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Bristol, 65 drivers)
  • 1 Race
  • 3.0 Avg. Finish (Ranks 1st)
  • Best Finish: 3rd, Worst: 3rd
  • Completed 100% of laps (% ranks T1st)
  • 100% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks T1st)
  • 105.4 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 6th)
  • Led 0.00% of laps he’s run
  • 0 Top 2’s
  • 1 Top 3, 100% (% ranks 1st)
  • 0 finishes outside Top 20, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
  • 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
  • 0 Stage Wins
  • 2.5 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks T11th)
Main Points & Outlook
Austin Hill is notable because of his stats during the regular season this year
Hill was the only driver other than Nemechek to run all 200 laps last week in the Top 15 en route to his Series leading 15th Top 5 finish of the year, finishing 5th
He is now on a 2 race Top 5 streak
9 of his 15 2023 Ranks above are T2nd or better including his Series leading 8.0 Avg. Finish, 87.76 Laps in Top 15%, 15 Top 5’s, and 19 Top 10’s
His worst 2023 Ranks above are his 37 Stage T10’s (4th) and his 4 Stage Wins (5th)
His worst Rank Thru 26 races above is his 87.76 Laps in Top 15% (ranks 29th)
On the 2 Short tracks this year he’s ran just 59% of his laps in the Top 15, has just the 16th best Avg. Driver Rating (79.75), and only 1 Top 10
In the 4 stages on Short tracks this year he’s gotten 0 Stage T10’s
Last year at Bristol Hill ran all 300 laps in the Top 15, got 5 Stage Pts, had the 6th best Driver Rating (105.4), and finished 3rd
This is his only career Xfinity start at Bristol
Outlook for this weekend
Hill closed out the 2023 regular season by winning the 2023 Regular Season Championship. Now with his good regular season behind him he sets out to win the 2023 overall season championship. Unfortunately for him the playoffs start on a Short track, which he has struggled at, but fortunately that track is Bristol where he performed well last year. All this said I see Hill getting a 5th-12th place finish this weekend.

3rd in Points – Justin Allgaier (P & OP)

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 26 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 10.88 3rd of 32 42nd of 272
 Completed Laps%¹ 96.46% 10th of 32 70th of 272
Laps in Top15%Âą 79.08% 4th of 32 61st of 272
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 102.42 3rd of 32 32nd of 272‡
 Wins 2 T3rd of 97 T28th of 813
 Poles 2 T5th of 97 T18th of 813
 Top 2’s 5 T2nd of 97 T18th of 813
 Top 3’s 9 2nd of 97 T14th of 813
 Top 5’s 11 3rd of 97 T23rd of 813
 Top 10’s 15 T4th of 97 T44th of 813
 DNF’sÂą 3 T11th of 32 T73rd of 272
 Stage Wins 8 2nd of 97 T8th of 694*
 Stage T10s 39 1st of 97 T17th of 694*
 Stage Pts 283 1st of 97 11th of 694*
 Playoff Pts² 18 3rd of 97 T16th of 694*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2016
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 45% of races thru 26 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 3 straight Top 2 finishes (tied longest streak in Xfinity Series this year and tied 26th longest in Xfinity Series all-time)
  • 4 straight Top 3 finishes (longest streak in Xfinity Series this year and tied 29th longest in Xfinity Series all-time)
  • 5 straight Top 10 finishes
  • 2023 Short track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Short track start, 43 drivers)
  • 2 Races, Avg. Finish 9.5(T6th), 81.6% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 96.05(7th), Best 6th, Worst 13th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 1.6% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 0 Top 5’s, 1 Top 10, 2 Top 15’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 3.0 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Bristol Statistics
  • 2022 Bristol race
  • Finished 9th, Started 3rd, Led 148 laps (49.33%), Finished 2nd in Stage 1 and 1st in Stage 2, ran 300 Laps in Top15 (100% of laps he ran), had 128.9 Driver Rating (ranked 1st)
  • Notable Bristol Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Bristol, 65 drivers)
  • 22 Races
  • 11.36 Avg. Finish (Ranks 16th)
  • Best Finish: 1st, Worst: 33rd
  • Completed 97.09% of laps (% ranks T27th)
  • 86.03% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 15th)
  • 106.63 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 5th)
  • Led 16.46% of laps he’s run (% ranks 5th)
  • 1 Win, 4.55% (% ranks 6th)
  • 3 Top 2’s, 13.64% (% ranks 6th)
  • 10 Top 5’s, 45.45% (% ranks 8th)
  • 17 Top 15’s, 77.27% (% ranks 15th)
  • 4 finishes outside Top 20, 18.18% (% ranks 18th)
  • 3 DNF’s, 13.64% (% ranks 33rd)
  • 7 Stage Wins, 35.0% (% ranks 3rd)
  • 19 Stage T10’s, 95.0% (% ranks 6th)
  • 7.8 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 1st)
Main Points & Outlook
Justin Allgaier is notable because of his stats at Bristol in his 22 career Xfinity Series starts
Allgaier ran just 48% of his laps at Kansas in the Top 15 due to a midrace wreck, but he fought back to finish 18th
This was his 5th finish out of the Top 10 in the last 8 races
10 of his 15 2023 Ranks above are T3rd or better including his 10.88 Avg. Finish, 102.42 Avg. Driver Rating, 9 Top 3’s, and 8 Stage Wins
His 2023 stage stats (8 Stage Wins, 39 Stage T10’s, 283 Stage Pts) all rank 1st or 2nd in the 2023 Ranks above
He has a 9.5 Avg. Finish in the 2 Short track races this year with finishes of 6th and 13th
In the 2 races he’s ran 82% of his laps in the Top 15 and the 7th best Avg. Driver Rating (96.05)
At Bristol last year Allgaier led 49% of the race, ran all 300 laps in the Top 15, and had the best Driver Rating (128.9); but finished 9th
In 22 career Xfinity races at Bristol he has the same amount of DNF’s as he does Top 2’s (3)
In 20 career stages at Bristol he has 7 Stage Wins and has gotten 7.8 Stage Pts Per Stage
Overall he has an 11.36 Avg. Finish here with 10 Top 5’s and a 106.63 Avg. Driver Rating, but only 1 Win
Outlook for this weekend
Allgaier has had a rough stretch of races of sorts, but his 2023 Ranks above remain strong, and his stage stats are the best of anyone this year. The Short tracks for him have only been decent however as he’s lacked good stage runs. In terms of Bristol Allgaier has performed admirably and rarely has a bad run. In all this weekend I see Allgaier getting 10+ Stage Pts and finishing in the Top 5.

4th in Points – Cole Custer (P & OP)

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 26 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 11.85 4th of 32 51st of 272
 Completed Laps%¹ 95.76% 11th of 32 79th of 272
Laps in Top15%Âą 82.64% 3rd of 32 49th of 272
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 99.79 4th of 32 37th of 272‡
 Wins 2 T3rd of 97 T28th of 813
 Poles 4 1st of 97 T6th of 813
 Top 2’s 2 T7th of 97 T55th of 813
 Top 3’s 6 5th of 97 T26th of 813
 Top 5’s 10 4th of 97 T29th of 813
 Top 10’s 16 3rd of 97 T32nd of 813
 DNF’sÂą 2 T7th of 32 T40th of 272
 Stage Wins 5 T3rd of 97 T18th of 694*
 Stage T10s 38 T2nd of 97 T20th of 694*
 Stage Pts 229 4th of 97 23rd of 694*
 Playoff Pts² 15 4th of 97 23rd of 694*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2016
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 45% of races thru 26 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 2 straight Poles (tied longest streak in Xfinity Series this year and tied 10th longest in Xfinity Series all-time)
  • 3 straight Top 3 finishes
  • 11 straight Top 10 finishes (longest streak in Xfinity Series this year and tied 24th longest in Xfinity Series all-time)
  • 2023 Short track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Short track start, 43 drivers)
  • 2 Races, Avg. Finish 4.0(3rd), 97.6% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 112.9(4th), Best 3rd, Worst 5th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 1.0% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 1 Pole, 1 Top 3, 2 Top 5’s, 2 Top 10’s, 2 Top 15’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 7.0 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Bristol Statistics
  • 2022 Bristol race
  • did not races last race 2019
  • Notable Bristol Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Bristol, 65 drivers)
  • 6 Races
  • 13.17 Avg. Finish (Ranks 18th)
  • Best Finish: 3rd, Worst: 32nd
  • Completed 97.4% of laps (% ranks 25th)
  • 84.8% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 18th)
  • 95.67 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 16th)
  • Led 1.76% of laps he’s run (% ranks 15th)
  • 2 Poles, 33.33% (% ranks 2nd)
  • 0 Top 2’s
  • 1 Top 3, 16.67% (% ranks 12th)
  • 4 Top 10’s, 66.67% (% ranks T13th)
  • 2 finishes outside Top 20, 33.33% (% ranks 28th)
  • 1 DNF, 16.67% (% ranks 36th)
  • 0 Stage Wins
  • 3.08 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 9th)
Main Points & Outlook
Cole Custer is notable because he is 4th in points to start the playoffs
Custer was an unfortunate victim of NASCAR spotters being blind at Kansas as he hit a tire carcass causing him to DNF and finish 36th
This broke his 4 race Top 10 streak
Only 3 of his 15 2023 Ranks above are worse than 5th (95.76 Completed Laps%, 2 Top 2’s, 2 DNF’s)
He has the longest Top 10 streak of anyone this year, 11 races
In the 2 Short track races this year he’s finished 3rd and 5th, but has only led 1% of his laps
He has the 4th best Avg. Driver Rating in the 2 races (112.9), the most Stage Pts Per Stage (7), and has the 2nd best Laps in Top 15% (97.6)
Custer did not race in the Bristol Xfinity race last year, his last race was in 2019
He has 6 career Xfinity races under his belt at Bristol with 2 Poles, but only 1 Top 3 finish
In the 6 races he has a 13.17 Avg. Finish, an 85.67 Avg. Driver Rating, and has gotten 3.08 Stage Pts Per Stage
Outlook for this weekend
Custer had himself a disappointing ending to the 2023 regular season and his regular season as a whole was a bit disappointing as well. One big bright spot is his 2 Short track races this year as he’s finished both in the Top 5. However, Bristol has been great in qualifying, but that’s it. Overall this weekend I think Custer runs good and ultimately ends up 5th-15th.

5th in Points – Sam Mayer (P & OP)

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 26 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 12.58 6th of 32 60th of 272
 Completed Laps%¹ 93.53% 19th of 32 T127th of 272
Laps in Top15%Âą 72.8% 8th of 32 81st of 272
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 91.06 6th of 32 58th of 272‡
 Wins 2 T3rd of 97 T28th of 813
 Poles 0 T11th of 97 T83rd of 813
 Top 2’s 5 T2nd of 97 T18th of 813
 Top 3’s 7 T3rd of 97 T21st of 813
 Top 5’s 9 T5th of 97 T35th of 813
 Top 10’s 15 T4th of 97 T44th of 813
 DNF’sÂą 4 T18th of 32 T128th of 272
 Stage Wins 0 T16th of 97 T120th of 694*
 Stage T10s 30 8th of 97 T46th of 694*
 Stage Pts 138 9th of 97 48th of 694*
 Playoff Pts² 10 5th of 97 T30th of 694*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2016
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 45% of races thru 26 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 2 straight Top 2 finishes
  • 5 straight Top 5 finishes (longest streak in Xfinity Series this year)
  • 2023 Short track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Short track start, 43 drivers)
  • 2 Races, Avg. Finish 24.0(25th), 60.51% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 86.6(11th), Best 17th, Worst 31st, Laps Completed 94.2%, Led 0.00% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 0 Top 5’s, 0 Top 10’s, 0 Top 15’s, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 1 DNF, 0 Stage Wins, 2.0 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Bristol Statistics
  • 2022 Bristol race
  • Finished 4th, Started 5th, Led 0 laps, Finished 4th in Stage 1 and 9th in Stage 2, ran 297 Laps in Top15 (99.0% of laps he ran), had 112.8 Driver Rating (ranked 3rd)
  • Notable Bristol Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Bristol, 65 drivers)
  • 2 Races
  • 6.5 Avg. Finish (Ranks 5th)
  • Best Finish: 4th, Worst: 9th
  • Completed 100% of laps (% ranks T1st)
  • 95.87% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 7th)
  • 112.8 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 3rd)
  • Led 8.09% of laps he’s run (% ranks 7th)
  • 0 Top 3’s
  • 1 Top 5, 50.0% (% ranks T6th)
  • 2 Top 10’s, 100% (% ranks T1st)
  • 0 finishes outside Top 20, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
  • 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
  • 0 Stage Wins
  • 3 Stage T10’s, 75.0% (% ranks T9th)
  • 3.75 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 8th)
Main Points & Outlook
Sam Mayer is notable because of his career Xfinity stats at Bristol
Mayer was caught up in an accident on lap 19 last week at Kansas causing him to DNF and finish 37th
This was his 3rd straight race finish out of the Top 10 and his worst finish of the year
Only 6 of his 15 2023 Ranks above are T5th or better including his 2 Wins, 7 Top 3’s, and 15 Top 10’s
4 of his 15 2023 Ranks above are worse than 10th (93.53 Completed Laps%, 0 Poles, 4 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins)
He has the longest Top 5 streak in the Xfinity Series this year, 5 races
At Short tracks this year he has finishes of 17th and 31st with 1 DNF
In these 2 races he’s ran 60.51% of his laps in the Top 15, has an 86.6 Avg. Driver Rating, and only 2 Stage Pts Per Stage
Last year at Bristol Mayer ran 99% of his laps in the Top 15, had the 3rd best Driver Rating (112.8), and finished 4th
In his 2 races at Bristol in the Xfinity Series he’s finished 4th and 9th while leading 8% of the laps he’s ran
In the 2 races he’s ran 96% of his laps in the Top 15 and has a 112.8 Avg. Driver Rating
Outlook for this weekend
Mayer has struggled after his last win at Watkins Glen and his overall 2023 stats are decent, but he’ll need to do better if he wants a shot at the championship. At Short tracks this year he’s struggled a ton, but thankfully this weekend is Bristol where he’s been pretty good in his Xfinity career. With all the stats in mind I see this weekend being decent for Mayer as he finishes between 6th and 15th.

6th in Points – Chandler Smith (P & OP)

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 26 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 15.85 11th of 32 94th of 272
 Completed Laps%¹ 95.1% 15th of 32 96th of 272
Laps in Top15%Âą 78.78% 5th of 32 62nd of 272
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 88.75 8th of 32 65th of 272‡
 Wins 1 T7th of 97 T47th of 813
 Poles 3 T2nd of 97 T9th of 813
 Top 2’s 2 T7th of 97 T55th of 813
 Top 3’s 3 T8th of 97 T64th of 813
 Top 5’s 5 T8th of 97 T65th of 813
 Top 10’s 9 12th of 97 T83rd of 813
 DNF’sÂą 5 T24th of 32 T177th of 272
 Stage Wins 2 T10th of 97 T49th of 694*
 Stage T10s 33 6th of 97 37th of 694*
 Stage Pts 156 T6th of 97 T41st of 694*
 Playoff Pts² 7 T6th of 97 T34th of 694*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2016
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 45% of races thru 26 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 2 straight Poles (tied longest streak in Xfinity Series this year and tied 10th longest in Xfinity Series all-time)
  • 3 straight Top 5 finishes
  • 2023 Short track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Short track start, 43 drivers)
  • 2 Races, Avg. Finish 5.5(4th), 99.4% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 117.6(2nd), Best 1st, Worst 10th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 16.6% of laps he ran, 1 Win, 0 Poles, 1 Top 3, 1 Top 5, 2 Top 10’s, 2 Top 15’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 1 Stage Win, 5.5 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Bristol Statistics
  • 2022 Bristol race
  • did not race
  • Notable Bristol Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Bristol, 65 drivers)
  • 0 Races
Main Points & Outlook
Chandler Smith is notable because of how he’s done in the 2 Short track races this year
An engine issue on lap 15 caused Smith to run just 10 laps in the Top 15 last week at Kansas en route to a 32nd place finish
This was his 6th finish of 20th or worse in the last 8 races
His longest Top 10 streak this year is only 3 races
10 of his 15 2023 Ranks above are T8th or better including his 78.78 Laps in Top 15%, 88.75 Avg. Driver Rating, 5 Top 5’s, and 156 Stage Pts
His best 2023 Ranks above is T2nd (3 Poles)
The 2 Short track races this year have produced a Win and a 10th place finish for him
in the 2 races he has the 2nd best Avg. Driver Rating (117.6), the best Laps in Top 15% (99.4), and the 3rd best Laps Led% (16.6)
This will be Smith’s first Xfinity race at Bristol
Outlook for this weekend
Smith’s rookie season was good for a rookie, but overall okay statistically speaking. Short tracks have been one big bright spot for him as he got his first win and has ran well in both races. However, this will be his first Xfinity start at Bristol leaving this as a bit of an unknown as to how he’ll do. Based on the stats from this year I see Smith doing decent finishing between 6th and 10th.

7th in Points – Josh Berry (P & OP)

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 26 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 12.12 5th of 32 56th of 272
 Completed Laps%¹ 99.27% 2nd of 32 21st of 272
Laps in Top15%Âą 76.9% 6th of 32 66th of 272
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 91.81 5th of 32 56th of 272‡
 Wins 0 T15th of 97 T95th of 813
 Poles 2 T5th of 97 T18th of 813
 Top 2’s 2 T7th of 97 T55th of 813
 Top 3’s 3 T8th of 97 T64th of 813
 Top 5’s 9 T5th of 97 T35th of 813
 Top 10’s 15 T4th of 97 T44th of 813
 DNF’sÂą 1 T3rd of 32 T18th of 272
 Stage Wins 3 T7th of 97 T37th of 694*
 Stage T10s 28 9th of 97 T52nd of 694*
 Stage Pts 156 T6th of 97 T41st of 694*
 Playoff Pts² 3 11th of 97 T59th of 694*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2016
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 45% of races thru 26 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 2 straight Top 5 finishes
  • 2 straight Top 10 finishes (active streak)
  • 7 straight Top 10 finishes
  • 2023 Short track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Short track start, 43 drivers)
  • 2 Races, Avg. Finish 3.5(2nd), 86.8% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 115.75(3rd), Best 3rd, Worst 4th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 18.0% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 1 Top 3′, 2 Top 5’s, 2 Top 10’s, 2 Top 15’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 1 Stage Win, 6.5 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Bristol Statistics
  • 2022 Bristol race
  • Finished 7th, Started 2nd, Led 0 laps, Finished 6th in Stage 1, ran 289 Laps in Top15 (96.33% of laps he ran), had 98.0 Driver Rating (ranked 7th)
  • Notable Bristol Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Bristol, 65 drivers)
  • 2 Races
  • 21.0 Avg. Finish (Ranks T37th)
  • Best Finish: 7th, Worst: 35th
  • Completed 84.98% of laps (% ranks 44th)
  • 61.55% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 30th)
  • 79.2 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 28th)
  • Led 0.00% of laps he’s run
  • 0 Top 5’s
  • 1 Top 10, 50.0% (% ranks T18th)
  • 1 finish outside Top 20, 50.0% (% ranks T31st)
  • 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
  • 0 Stage Wins
  • 1.25 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 16th)
Main Points & Outlook
Josh Berry is notable because of his 2023 Short track stats
At Kansas Berry ran 97% of his laps in the Top 15 en route to his 15th Top 10 of the year, finishing 6th
He is now on a 2 race Top 10 streak heading into Bristol
12 of his 15 2023 Ranks above are T8th or better including his 12.12 Avg. Finish, 91.81 Avg. Driver Rating, 9 Top 5’s, and 156 Stage Pts
Only his 0 Wins and 3 Playoffs are worse than 10th in his 2023 Ranks above
His longest Top 10 streak this year is an impressive 7 races
In the 2 Short track races this year he’s finished 3rd and 4th
In the 2 races he’s led 18% of his laps, ran 87% of his laps in the Top 15, has 1 Stage Win, and the 3rd best Avg. Driver Rating (115.75)
At Bristol last year Berry ran 96% of his laps in the Top 15, had the 7th best Driver Rating (98.0), and finished 7th
In the 2 Xfinity races he’s run at Bristol he has finishes of 7th and 35th
In his 2 races here he has a 79.2 Avg. Driver Rating and only 1.25 Stage Pts Per Stage
Outlook for this weekend
Berry had the best 2023 regular season statistically of any driver that failed to win a race. However, that will need to change to win the championship this year. At Short tracks this year he’s ran and finished well which gives hope to him this weekend, but Bristol has been meh overall in his 2 starts. All this said I see Berry doing decent this weekend and finishing between 5th and 12th.

14th in Points – Brandon Jones

2023 Stats
Category Statistic 2023 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 26 Races
 Avg. Fin.¹ 17.23 15th of 32 110th of 272
 Completed Laps%¹ 93.72% 17th of 32 123rd of 272
Laps in Top15%Âą 67.06% 11th of 32 92nd of 272
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 79.67 13th of 32 103rd of 272‡
 Wins 0 T15th of 97 T95th of 813
 Poles 0 T11th of 97 T83rd of 813
 Top 2’s 1 T13th of 97 T83rd of 813
 Top 3’s 2 T13th of 97 T84th of 813
 Top 5’s 3 T15th of 97 T101st of 813
 Top 10’s 7 14th of 97 T106th of 813
 DNF’sÂą 3 T11th of 32 T73rd of 272
 Stage Wins 0 T16th of 97 T120th of 694*
 Stage T10s 20 13th of 97 T73rd of 694*
 Stage Pts 106 12th of 97 65th of 694*
 Playoff Pts² 0 T14th of 97 T90th of 694*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2016
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 45% of races thru 26 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 3 straight Top 10 finishes
  • 2023 Short track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Short track start, 43 drivers)
  • 2 Races, Avg. Finish 13.0(T13th), 96.0% of Laps ran in Top15, Avg. Driver Rating 104.2(5th), Best 5th, Worst 21st, Laps Completed 100%, Led 4.8% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 1 Top 5, 1 Top 10, 1 Top 15, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 5.75 Stage Pts Per Stage
  • Bristol Statistics
  • 2022 Bristol race
  • Finished 2nd, Started 11th, Led 0 laps, Finished 4th in Stage 2, ran 250 Laps in Top15 (83.33% of laps he ran), had 109.7 Driver Rating (ranked 4th)
  • Notable Bristol Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Bristol, 65 drivers)
  • 13 Races
  • 11.62 Avg. Finish (Ranks 17th)
  • Best Finish: 2nd, Worst: 29th
  • Completed 98.38% of laps (% ranks 23rd)
  • 85.27% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 17th)
  • 93.77 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 17th)
  • Led 3.61% of laps he’s run (% ranks 12th)
  • 0 Wins
  • 1 Top 2, 7.69% (% ranks 9th)
  • 3 Top 5’s, 23.08% (% ranks 17th)
  • 6 Top 10’s, 46.15% (% ranks 22nd)
  • 10 Top 15’s, 76.92% (% ranks 16th)
  • 1 finish outside Top 20, 7.69% (% ranks 13th)
  • 1 DNF, 7.69% (% ranks 26th)
  • 1 Stage Wins, 5.0% (% ranks 6th)
  • 2.5 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks T11th)
Main Points & Outlook
Brandon Jones is notable because of his race at Bristol last year
Jones ran just 85% of his laps in the Top 15 last week but found a way to get his 3rd Top 5 of the year, coming home 2nd
This was his best finish of the year so far
0 of his 15 2023 Ranks above are 10th or better
All 15 of his 2023 Ranks above are between 11th and 17th
He has as many DNF’s this year as he does Top 5 finishes (3)
At Short tracks this year he’s ran 96% of his laps in the Top 15, led 5% of his laps, and has gotten 5.75 Stage Pts Per Stage
In the 2 races he has a 13.0 Avg. Finish and a 104.2 Avg. Driver Rating with 1 Top 5
Last year at Bristol Jones ran 83% of his laps in the Top 15, had the 4th best Driver Rating (109.7), and finished 2nd
This is his only Top 2 finish here in 13 career Xfinity starts
In his 13 races here he has an 11.62 Avg. Finish, a 93.77 Avg. Driver Rating, and more finishes in the Top 5 (3) than finishes out of the Top 20 (1)
Outlook for this weekend
Jones was close to winning a spot into the 2023 playoffs last week, but alas he did not and based on his 2023 stats above he didn’t deserve the spot anyway. While this is a major disappointment, going to a Short track is good to him as he’s done decent on them this year. Even better is he’s been pretty good at Bristol in his career. In all this weekend I see him finishing somewhere in the Top 10.
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Daniel Smith
Daniel Smithhttps://pitpassnetwork.com
Cup drivers: Kyle Larson & Ross Chastain, Xfinity drivers: SVG & Ryan Sieg, Truck drivers: Grant Enfinger & Jake Garcia

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