Clinching Scenarios: Xfinity Series – Homestead

Riley Herbst stunk up the show for playoff drivers at Las Vegas, dominating and denying a driver a chance to clinch a Championship 4 spot. This weekend the playoff drivers hope they are the one to dominate and win, but if not there are still ways they can clinch a spot. Below are the scenarios in which no matter what happens in the race Saturday, if the scenario happens then the ticket is punched to the Championship 4. The only thing that can make a scenario change is if the finishing order changes the tie breaker, but still that only changes some scenarios by 1 point.
P.s. Obviously if a driver wins the race then they are in the next round, but that’s a boring and simple scenario to figure out, so only must win scenarios are mentioned.

*Does not include winning driver/owner scenario

Driver Points Clinching Scenarios

1) John Hunter Nemechek

• • • Driver not mentioned below wins: Needs 5 of the following scenarios
      • 30+ points more than Justin Allgaier
      • 28+ points more than Austin Hill
      • 24+ points more than Cole Custer
      • 9+ points more than Chandler Smith
      • 8+ points more than Sam Mayer
      • Be within 11 points of Sammy Smith
      • Be within 17 points of Sheldon Creed
    • Driver mentioned above wins: Needs 5* of the scenarios above

2) Justin Allgaier

• • • Driver not mentioned below wins: Needs 5 of the following scenarios
      • 54+ points more than Austin Hill
      • 50+ points more than Cole Custer
      • 35+ points more than Chandler Smith
      • 34+ points more than Sam Mayer
      • 15+ points more than Sammy Smith
      • 9+ points more than Sheldon Creed
    • Driver mentioned above wins: Needs 5* of the scenarios above

3) Austin Hill

• • • Driver not mentioned below wins: Needs all 5 of the following scenarios
      • 52+ points more than Cole Custer
      • 37+ points more than Chandler Smith
      • 36+ points more than Sam Mayer
      • 17+ points more than Sammy Smith
      • 11+ points more than Sheldon Creed
    • Driver mentioned above wins: Can’t clinch

4) Cole Custer

• • • Only way to clinch is to win

5) Chandler Smith

• • • Only way to clinch is to win

6) Sam Mayer

• • • Only way to clinch is to win

7) Sammy Smith

• • • Only way to clinch is to win

8) Sheldon Creed

• • • Only way to clinch is to win

Owner Points Clinching Scenarios

1) Joe Gibbs Racing No.20

• • • Owner not mentioned below wins: Needs 5 of the following scenarios
      • 30+ points more than the No.7
      • 28+ points more than the No.21
      • 24+ points more than the No.00
      • 7+ points more than the No.16
      • 7+ points more than the No.1
      • 1+ points more than the No.10
      • Be within 11 points of the No.18
    • Owner mentioned above wins: Needs 5* of the scenarios above

2) JR Motorsports No.7

• • • Owner not mentioned below wins: Needs 5 of the following scenarios
      • 54+ points more than the No.21
      • 50+ points more than the No.00
      • 33+ points more than the No.16
      • 33+ points more than the No.1
      • 26+ points more than the No.10
      • 15+ points more than the No.18
    • Owner mentioned above wins: Needs 5* of the scenarios above

3) Richard Childress Racing No.21

• • • Owner not mentioned below wins: Needs all 5 of the following scenarios
      • 52+ points more than the No.00
      • 35+ points more than the No.16
      • 35+ points more than the No.1
      • 28+ points more than the No.10
      • 17+ points more than the No.18
    • Owner mentioned above wins: Can’t clinch

4) Stewart-Haas Racing No.00

• • • Only way to clinch is to win

5) Kaulig Racing No.16

• • • Only way to clinch is to win

6) JR Motorsports No.1

• • • Only way to clinch is to win

7) Kaulig Racing No.10

• • • Only way to clinch is to win

8) Joe Gibbs Racing No.18

• • • Only way to clinch is to win