This article is a race finish projection for the 2023 NASCAR Cup Playoff race at the Charlotte Motor Speedway Roval. The finishing order below is determined based on the statistics used in the Roval Cup Outlook article (mainly track stats and track style stats), weekend practice speeds (both single lap and multi-lap averages), and qualifying results. There is little opinion on the matter as this is based on mostly statistics, so just because a driver with bad stats is in a good car does not mean he will be bumped up based on the car/team he is with.
Last weeks projected winner: Brad Keselowski
Finished: 32nd
Last weeks winner: Ryan Blaney
Projected Finish: 2nd
Additional notes from last week:
-1 driver finished where they were projected (A.J. Allmendinger 20th)
-11 of the 38 drivers finished within 5 spots (better or worse) of where they were projected to finish
-7 of the 38 drivers finished 19+ spots (better or worse) than they were projected to finish
-3 of the Top 7 drivers were projected to finish in the Top 7
Notable results this week
Winner: Tyler Reddick
One to Watch: A.J. Allmendinger
Disappointment: Brad Keselowski
Highlighted = In Driver/Owner Playoff
| Proj. Finish | Number | Driver | Finish/Diff. |
| 1. | 45 | Tyler Reddick | 6th -5 |
| 2. | 20 | Christopher Bell | 15th -13 |
| 3. | 19 | Martin Truex Jr. | 20th -17 |
| 4. | 9 | Chase Elliott | 9th -5 |
| 5. | 16 | A.J. Allmendinger | 1st +4 |
| 6. | 22 | Joey Logano | 5th +1 |
| 7. | 24 | William Byron | 2nd +5 |
| 8. | 8 | Kyle Busch | 3rd +5 |
| 9. | 17 | Chris Buescher | 7th +2 |
| 10. | 54 | Ty Gibbs | 4th +6 |
| 11. | 11 | Denny Hamlin | 37th -26 |
| 12. | 23 | Bubba Wallace | 16th -4 |
| 13. | 34 | Michael McDowell | 32nd -19 |
| 14. | 5 | Kyle Larson | 13th +1 |
| 15. | 12 | Ryan Blaney | 12th +3 |
| 16. | 48 | Alex Bowman | 8th +8 |
| 17. | 4 | Kevin Harvick | 19th -2 |
| 18. | 99 | Daniel Suarez | 33rd -15 |
| 19. | 2 | Austin Cindric | 25th -6 |
| 20. | 14 | Chase Briscoe | 28th -8 |
| 21. | 3 | Austin Dillon | 14th +7 |
| 22. | 1 | Ross Chastain | 10th +12 |
| 23. | 41 | Ryan Preece | 11th +12 |
| 24. | 31 | Justin Haley | 22nd +2 |
| 25. | 6 | Brad Keselowski | 18th +7 |
| 26. | 47 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 34th -8 |
| 27. | 7 | Corey LaJoie | 17th +10 |
| 28. | 62 | Austin Hill | 27th +1 |
| 29. | 43 | Erik Jones | 36th -7 |
| 30. | 10 | Aric Almirola | 21st +9 |
| 31. | 42 | Mike Rockenfeller | 29th +2 |
| 32. | 38 | Zane Smith | 30th +2 |
| 33. | 77 | Ty Dillon | 31st +2 |
| 34. | 51 | Todd Gilliland | 23rd +11 |
| 35. | 78 | Josh Bilicki | 26th +9 |
| 36. | 15 | Andy Lally | 35th +1 |
| 37. | 21 | Harrison Burton | 24th +13 |
*This will be updated after the race is over so you can compare how the projection did with the actual finishing order.
