This article is a race finish projection for the 2024 Spring Atlanta Cup race. The finishing order below is determined based on the statistics used in the Cup Series Notable Drivers Statistics & Outlook: Atlanta (mainly track stats and track style stats), weekend practice speeds (both single lap and multi-lap averages), and qualifying results. There is little opinion on the matter as this is based on mostly statistics, so just because a driver with bad stats is in a good car does not mean he will be bumped up based on the car/team he is with.

Last weeks projected winner: Ryan Blaney
Finished: 30th
Last weeks winner: William Byron
Projected Finish: 9th

Additional notes from last race:
-1 driver finished where they were projected (Josh Berry 25th)
-10 of the 40 drivers finished within 5 spots (better or worse) of where they were projected
-6 of the 40 drivers finished 20+ spots (better or worse) than they were projected to finish
-13 of the 40 drivers finished 15+ spots (better or worse) than they were projected to finish
-Only 1 of the projected Top 10 drivers finished in the Top 10 (William Byron 1st)

Notable results this week

Winner: Ryan Blaney
One to Watch: Corey LaJoie
Disappointment: Tyler Reddick

Ryan Blaney’s best finish at Atlanta in the Next Gen is 5th. The numbers say that he will best that this weekend and finish with this smile on his face. Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)

Proj. Finish Number Driver Finish/Diff.
1. 12 Ryan Blaney 2nd -1
2. 6 Brad Keselowski 33rd -31
3. 9 Chase Elliott 15th -12
4. 22 Joey Logano 28th -24
5. 24 William Byron 17th -12
6. 20 Christopher Bell 34th -28
7. 48 Alex Bowman 27th -20
8. 7 Corey Lajoie 13th -5
9. 8 Kyle Busch 3rd +6
10. 2 Austin Cindric 4th +6
11. 11 Denny Hamlin 23rd -12
12. 19 Martin Truex Jr. 12th +0
13. 43 Erik Jones 25th -12
14. 99 Daniel Suarez 1st +13
15. 1 Ross Chastain 7th +8
16. 17 Chris Buescher 9th +7
17. 51 Justin Haley 20th -3
18. 42 John H. Nemechek 21st -3
19. 14 Chase Briscoe 31st -12
20. 38 Todd Gilliland 26th -6
21. 31 Daniel Hemric 18th +3
22. 34 Michael McDowell 8th +14
23. 71 Zane Smith 35th -12
24. 23 Bubba Wallace 5th +19
25. 47 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 6th +19
26. 4 Josh Berry 29th -3
27. 54 Ty Gibbs 10th +17
28. 16 Josh Williams 37th -9
29. 5 Kyle Larson 32nd -3
30. 45 Tyler Reddick 30th +0
31. 77 Carson Hocevar 19th +12
32. 15 Kaz Grala 14th +18
33. 10 Noah Gragson 36th -3
34. 41 Ryan Preece 16th +18
35. 78 B.J. McLeod 24th +11
36. 21 Harrison Burton 11th +25
37. 3 Austin Dillon 22nd +15

*This will be updated after the race is over so you can compare how the projection did with the actual finishing order.