This article is a race finish projection for the 2024 Spring Atlanta Cup race. The finishing order below is determined based on the statistics used in the Cup Series Notable Drivers Statistics & Outlook: Atlanta (mainly track stats and track style stats), weekend practice speeds (both single lap and multi-lap averages), and qualifying results. There is little opinion on the matter as this is based on mostly statistics, so just because a driver with bad stats is in a good car does not mean he will be bumped up based on the car/team he is with.
Last weeks projected winner: Ryan Blaney
Finished: 30th
Last weeks winner: William Byron
Projected Finish: 9th
Additional notes from last race:
-1 driver finished where they were projected (Josh Berry 25th)
-10 of the 40 drivers finished within 5 spots (better or worse) of where they were projected
-6 of the 40 drivers finished 20+ spots (better or worse) than they were projected to finish
-13 of the 40 drivers finished 15+ spots (better or worse) than they were projected to finish
-Only 1 of the projected Top 10 drivers finished in the Top 10 (William Byron 1st)
Notable results this week
Winner: Ryan Blaney
One to Watch: Corey LaJoie
Disappointment: Tyler Reddick
Proj. Finish | Number | Driver | Finish/Diff. |
1. | 12 | Ryan Blaney | 2nd -1 |
2. | 6 | Brad Keselowski | 33rd -31 |
3. | 9 | Chase Elliott | 15th -12 |
4. | 22 | Joey Logano | 28th -24 |
5. | 24 | William Byron | 17th -12 |
6. | 20 | Christopher Bell | 34th -28 |
7. | 48 | Alex Bowman | 27th -20 |
8. | 7 | Corey Lajoie | 13th -5 |
9. | 8 | Kyle Busch | 3rd +6 |
10. | 2 | Austin Cindric | 4th +6 |
11. | 11 | Denny Hamlin | 23rd -12 |
12. | 19 | Martin Truex Jr. | 12th +0 |
13. | 43 | Erik Jones | 25th -12 |
14. | 99 | Daniel Suarez | 1st +13 |
15. | 1 | Ross Chastain | 7th +8 |
16. | 17 | Chris Buescher | 9th +7 |
17. | 51 | Justin Haley | 20th -3 |
18. | 42 | John H. Nemechek | 21st -3 |
19. | 14 | Chase Briscoe | 31st -12 |
20. | 38 | Todd Gilliland | 26th -6 |
21. | 31 | Daniel Hemric | 18th +3 |
22. | 34 | Michael McDowell | 8th +14 |
23. | 71 | Zane Smith | 35th -12 |
24. | 23 | Bubba Wallace | 5th +19 |
25. | 47 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 6th +19 |
26. | 4 | Josh Berry | 29th -3 |
27. | 54 | Ty Gibbs | 10th +17 |
28. | 16 | Josh Williams | 37th -9 |
29. | 5 | Kyle Larson | 32nd -3 |
30. | 45 | Tyler Reddick | 30th +0 |
31. | 77 | Carson Hocevar | 19th +12 |
32. | 15 | Kaz Grala | 14th +18 |
33. | 10 | Noah Gragson | 36th -3 |
34. | 41 | Ryan Preece | 16th +18 |
35. | 78 | B.J. McLeod | 24th +11 |
36. | 21 | Harrison Burton | 11th +25 |
37. | 3 | Austin Dillon | 22nd +15 |
*This will be updated after the race is over so you can compare how the projection did with the actual finishing order.