At Bristol last week we finally had tire wear! However, it was probably a little extreme. Neverthless it made for a great race and an exciting finish as Denny Hamlin maneuvered his way through traffic to hold off Martin Truex Jr. for the win. Next up is the first Road Course of the Cup Series season, COTA, where hopefully everyone has better manners than last year. I have picked 5 notable drivers to look at, 1 based on 2024 season stats, 1 based on Road Course stats, 1 based on the last COTA race, 1 based on their Next Gen COTA stats, and 1 based on the highest in points that wasn’t already picked. Here is a look at those 5 notable drivers 2024 season statistics, along with ranks among drivers in 2024 as well as ranking through 5 races since the Playoffs started in 2004. We will also highlight notable streaks accomplished through the year and at COTA, 2023 Road Course (left and right turns) statistics and COTA statistics in the Next Gen car.
Note: any driver in 4 straight Cup outlook articles is not in consideration for the next two, or any driver in 4 of 5 Cup outlook articles is not in consideration for the next one. This resets after they are put back into consideration.
This week not in consideration: Ryan Blaney (4 of 5), William Byron (4 in a row, 2nd week out)
This week not in consideration: Ryan Blaney (4 of 5), William Byron (4 in a row, 2nd week out)
1st in Points – Kyle Larson
| Category | Statistic | 2024 Rank | ªRank Thru 5 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 12.6 | 6th of 37 | T141st of 896 |
| Best Fin. | 1st | — | — |
| Worst Fin. | 32nd | — | — |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 97.53% | 24th of 37 | 450th of 896 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 75.11 | 4th of 37 | 120th of 848‡ |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 102.18 | 3rd of 37 | 73rd of 848‡ |
| Wins | 1 | T1st of 44 | T16th of 1028 |
| Poles | 0 | T5th of 44 | T83rd of 1028 |
| Top 2’s | 1 | T1st of 44 | T43rd of 1028 |
| Top 3’s | 1 | T3rd of 44 | T69th of 1028 |
| Top 5’s | 2 | T2nd of 44 | T56th of 1028 |
| Top 10’s | 2 | T7th of 44 | T160th of 1028 |
| Finish out Top 20¹ | 1 | T4th of 37 | T90th of 896 |
| DNF’s¹ | 1 | T18th of 37 | T460th of 896 |
| Stage Wins | 2 | T1st of 44 | T9th of 358* |
| Stage T10s | 7 | T2nd of 44 | T24th of 358* |
| Stage Pts | 57 | 1st of 44 | T8th of 358* |
| Avg. Stage Fin.¹ | 6.1 | 1st of 37 | — |
| Playoff Pts² | 7 | 1st of 44 | T6th of 358* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2004
¹Ranks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 5 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 2 straight Stage Wins (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year and tied 14th longest streak in Cup Series all-time)
- 2 straight Stage T10’s (active streak)
- 4 straight Stage T10’s
- Notable COTA Streaks
- 3 straight Stage T10’s (2021.14 s1-2022.06 s1) (tied 2nd longest streak in Cup Series at COTA all-time)
- 1 straight Stage T10 (active “streak”, tied longest active streak in Cup Series at COTA)
- 2023 Road Course Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Road Course start, 49 drivers)
- 6 Races, Avg. Finish 12.17(7th), 72.06% of Laps ran in Top15(9th), Avg. Driver Rating 90.87(12th), Best 4th, Worst 26th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 0.00% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 1 Top 5, 3 Top 10’s, 5 Top 15’s, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 3.5 Stage Pts Per Stage
- COTA Statistics
- 2023 COTA Race
- Finished 14th, Started 13th, Led 0 laps, Finished 7th in Stage 2, ran 26 Laps in Top 15(34.67% of laps ran), had 81.8 Driver Rating (ranked 12th)
- Notable Next Gen COTA Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at COTA since 2022, 32 drivers)
- 2 Races
- 21.5 Avg. Finish (Ranks T20th)
- Best Finish: 14th, Worst: 29th
- Completed 100% of laps (% ranks T1st)
- 44.44% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 16th)
- 77.0 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 12th)
- Led 0.00% of laps he’s run
- 0 Top 10’s
- 1 Top 15, 50.0% (% ranks T9th)
- 1 finish outside Top 20, 50.0% (% ranks T14th)
- 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 Stage Wins
- 2 Stage T10’s, 50.0% (% ranks T2nd)
- 2.5 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks T8th)
Main Points & Outlook
– Kyle Larson is notable because he’s 1st in points thru 5 races
– Last week Larson was able to run 86% of his laps in the Top 15, however after a mistake in the pits he had to run hard and save tires to end up finishing 5th
– This year he’s been great in stages as he ranks 1st in every 2024 stage stat above except Stage T10’s, however he only has 2 Top 10’s in the first 5 races
– This year he’s had a 2 straight Stage Wins streak and is currently on a 2 straight Stage T10 streak
– The only real streak he’s had at COTA is that he finished the first 3 stages here in the Top 10
– He was decent on Road Courses in 2023 picking up a 12.17 Avg. Finish with 3 Top 10’s in 6 races, but he failed to lead any laps in those 6 races
– At COTA last year Larson ran just 35% of his laps in the Top 15, but was able to find a way to finish there as he ended up 14th
– He’s ran both Next Gen races that have been run at COTA finishing 14th and 29th with only running 44% of his laps being in the Top 15 and he’s led 0 laps
Outlook for this weekend
Kyle Larson may only have 2 Top 10’s in the first 5 races of the season, but he’s been so good in stages that he’s the points leader. Last week was one of those Top 10’s and when looking at his Road Course stats from last year his 3rd may have to wait until after this week as he was mediocre on them last year. What’s worse is that this week is COTA where he hasn’t performed well in the Next Gen car. So, based on the stats don’t count on Kyle Larson being one to contend for the win this weekend.
– Kyle Larson is notable because he’s 1st in points thru 5 races
– Last week Larson was able to run 86% of his laps in the Top 15, however after a mistake in the pits he had to run hard and save tires to end up finishing 5th
– This year he’s been great in stages as he ranks 1st in every 2024 stage stat above except Stage T10’s, however he only has 2 Top 10’s in the first 5 races
– This year he’s had a 2 straight Stage Wins streak and is currently on a 2 straight Stage T10 streak
– The only real streak he’s had at COTA is that he finished the first 3 stages here in the Top 10
– He was decent on Road Courses in 2023 picking up a 12.17 Avg. Finish with 3 Top 10’s in 6 races, but he failed to lead any laps in those 6 races
– At COTA last year Larson ran just 35% of his laps in the Top 15, but was able to find a way to finish there as he ended up 14th
– He’s ran both Next Gen races that have been run at COTA finishing 14th and 29th with only running 44% of his laps being in the Top 15 and he’s led 0 laps
Outlook for this weekend
Kyle Larson may only have 2 Top 10’s in the first 5 races of the season, but he’s been so good in stages that he’s the points leader. Last week was one of those Top 10’s and when looking at his Road Course stats from last year his 3rd may have to wait until after this week as he was mediocre on them last year. What’s worse is that this week is COTA where he hasn’t performed well in the Next Gen car. So, based on the stats don’t count on Kyle Larson being one to contend for the win this weekend.
2nd in Points – Martin Truex Jr.
| Category | Statistic | 2024 Rank | ªRank Thru 5 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 8.6 | 1st of 37 | T51st of 896 |
| Best Fin. | 2nd | — | — |
| Worst Fin. | 15th | — | — |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 100% | T1st of 37 | T1st of 896 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 86.74 | 1st of 37 | 45th of 848‡ |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 105.08 | 2nd of 37 | 53rd of 848‡ |
| Wins | 0 | T6th of 44 | T89th of 1028 |
| Poles | 0 | T5th of 44 | T83rd of 1028 |
| Top 2’s | 1 | T1st of 44 | T43rd of 1028 |
| Top 3’s | 1 | T3rd of 44 | T69th of 1028 |
| Top 5’s | 1 | T8th of 44 | T144th of 1028 |
| Top 10’s | 3 | T2nd of 44 | T60th of 1028 |
| Finish out Top 20¹ | 0 | T1st of 37 | T1st of 896 |
| DNF’s¹ | 0 | T1st of 37 | T1st of 896 |
| Stage Wins | 0 | T9th of 44 | T53rd of 358* |
| Stage T10s | 9 | 1st of 44 | T4th of 358* |
| Stage Pts | 43 | T3rd of 44 | T27th of 358* |
| Avg. Stage Fin.¹ | 7.0 | 2nd of 37 | — |
| Playoff Pts² | 0 | T12th of 44 | T71st of 358* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2004
¹Ranks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 5 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 3 straight Top 10’s (active streak)
- 8 straight Stage T10’s (active streak, longest active streak in Cup Series and longest streak in Cup Series this year)
- Notable COTA Streaks
- none (only one and done with no active streaks)
- 2023 Road Course Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Road Course start, 49 drivers)
- 6 Races, Avg. Finish 13.83(10th), 68.69% of Laps ran in Top15(14th), Avg. Driver Rating 90.93(11th), Best 1st, Worst 32nd, Laps Completed 99.82%, Led 9.39% of laps he ran, 1 Win, 0 Poles, 1 Top 3, 1 Top 5, 3 Top 10’s, 3 Top 15’s, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 2.83 Stage Pts Per Stage
- COTA Statistics
- 2023 COTA Race
- Finished 17th, Started 25th, Led 0 laps, got 0 Stage T10’s, ran 47 Laps in Top 15(62.67% of laps ran), had 77.4 Driver Rating (ranked 14th)
- Notable Next Gen COTA Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at COTA since 2022, 32 drivers)
- 2 Races
- 12.0 Avg. Finish (Ranks 8th)
- Best Finish: 7th, Worst: 17th
- Completed 100% of laps (% ranks T1st)
- 64.58% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 9th)
- 83.2 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 10th)
- Led 0.00% of laps he’s run
- 0 Top 5’s
- 1 Top 10, 50.0% (% ranks T9th)
- 0 finishes outside Top 20, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 Stage Wins
- 0 Stage T10’s
Main Points & Outlook
– Martin Truex Jr. is notable because of his 2024 stats thru 5 races
– Last week Truex was one of the best drivers at making his tires last as he ran 88% of his laps in the Top 15 and got 9 Stage Pts en route to a 2nd place finish
– This year he has the best Avg. Finish (8.6), 2nd best Avg. Stage Finish (7.0), and the most Stage T10’s (9), but last week was his 1st Top 5 of the year
– He is currently on a 3 race Top 10 streak and an impressive 8 straight Stage T10 streak
– He has no streaks at COTA above 1 in a row
– In 6 Road Course races last year he had 1 Win, but only 1 Top 5 with 3 Top 10’s and just a 13.83 Avg. Finish
– In the 2023 COTA race Truex ran 63% of his laps in the Top 15 and ended up with the 14th best Driver Rating, but he finished 17th in the race
– He’s ran both Next Gen races at COTA and in the 2 races he’s ran 65% of his laps in the Top 15 and has the 10th best Avg. Driver Rating among active drivers, but his best finish is only 7th
Outlook for this weekend
Martin Truex Jr. may not have flashy stats this year, but he’s tied for the points lead and has been pretty consistent. Last week he almost picked up his first win and heading to a Road Course this weekend could continue his good start to the year. On these tracks last year he had decent runs and decent finishes, but he’s struggled a bit in the Next Gen car here at COTA. Overall expect Truex to be good this weekend, but based on the stats I’d stop short of saying he’ll be a contender for the win.
– Martin Truex Jr. is notable because of his 2024 stats thru 5 races
– Last week Truex was one of the best drivers at making his tires last as he ran 88% of his laps in the Top 15 and got 9 Stage Pts en route to a 2nd place finish
– This year he has the best Avg. Finish (8.6), 2nd best Avg. Stage Finish (7.0), and the most Stage T10’s (9), but last week was his 1st Top 5 of the year
– He is currently on a 3 race Top 10 streak and an impressive 8 straight Stage T10 streak
– He has no streaks at COTA above 1 in a row
– In 6 Road Course races last year he had 1 Win, but only 1 Top 5 with 3 Top 10’s and just a 13.83 Avg. Finish
– In the 2023 COTA race Truex ran 63% of his laps in the Top 15 and ended up with the 14th best Driver Rating, but he finished 17th in the race
– He’s ran both Next Gen races at COTA and in the 2 races he’s ran 65% of his laps in the Top 15 and has the 10th best Avg. Driver Rating among active drivers, but his best finish is only 7th
Outlook for this weekend
Martin Truex Jr. may not have flashy stats this year, but he’s tied for the points lead and has been pretty consistent. Last week he almost picked up his first win and heading to a Road Course this weekend could continue his good start to the year. On these tracks last year he had decent runs and decent finishes, but he’s struggled a bit in the Next Gen car here at COTA. Overall expect Truex to be good this weekend, but based on the stats I’d stop short of saying he’ll be a contender for the win.
7th in Points – Ross Chastain
| Category | Statistic | 2024 Rank | ªRank Thru 5 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 10.6 | 3rd of 37 | T86th of 896 |
| Best Fin. | 4th | — | — |
| Worst Fin. | 21st | — | — |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 99.81% | T6th of 37 | T152nd of 896 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 40.29 | 17th of 37 | 365th of 848‡ |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 78.08 | 11th of 37 | 307th of 848‡ |
| Wins | 0 | T6th of 44 | T89th of 1028 |
| Poles | 0 | T5th of 44 | T83rd of 1028 |
| Top 2’s | 0 | T11th of 44 | T157th of 1028 |
| Top 3’s | 0 | T14th of 44 | T220th of 1028 |
| Top 5’s | 1 | T8th of 44 | T144th of 1028 |
| Top 10’s | 3 | T2nd of 44 | T60th of 1028 |
| Finish out Top 20¹ | 1 | T4th of 37 | T90th of 896 |
| DNF’s¹ | 0 | T1st of 37 | T1st of 896 |
| Stage Wins | 0 | T9th of 44 | T53rd of 358* |
| Stage T10s | 3 | T13th of 44 | T107th of 358* |
| Stage Pts | 19 | 13th of 44 | T88th of 358* |
| Avg. Stage Fin.¹ | 16.4 | 12th of 37 | — |
| Playoff Pts² | 0 | T12th of 44 | T71st of 358* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2004
¹Ranks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 5 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 3 straight Top 10 finishes
- Notable COTA Streaks
- 3 straight Top 5 finishes (active streak, longest active streak in Cup Series at COTA and longest streak in Cup Series at COTA all-time)
- 3 straight Top 10 finishes (active streak, tied longest active streak in Cup Series at COTA and tied longest streak in Cup Series at COTA all-time)
- 2 straight Stage T10’s (2022.06 s2-2023.06 s1) (tied 4th longest streak in Cup Series at COTA all-time)
- 2023 Road Course Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Road Course start, 49 drivers)
- 6 Races, Avg. Finish 13.5(9th), 37.68% of Laps ran in Top15(19th), Avg. Driver Rating 78.1(16th), Best 4th, Worst 22nd, Laps Completed 100%, Led 0.18% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 1 Top 5, 3 Top 10’s, 3 Top 15’s, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 2.25 Stage Pts Per Stage
- COTA Statistics
- 2023 COTA Race
- Finished 4th, Started 12th, Led 0 laps, Finished 5th in Stage 1, ran 64 Laps in Top 15(85.33% of laps ran), had 107.1 Driver Rating (ranked 4th)
- Notable Next Gen COTA Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at COTA since 2022, 32 drivers)
- 2 Races
- 2.5 Avg. Finish (Ranks T1st)
- Best Finish: 1st, Worst: 4th
- Completed 100% of laps (% ranks T1st)
- 92.36% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 2nd)
- 124.4 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 2nd)
- Led 21.53% of laps he’s run (% ranks 2nd)
- 1 Win, 50.0% (% ranks T1st)
- 2 Top 5’s, 100% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 finishes outside Top 20, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 Stage Wins
- 2 Stage T10’s, 50.0% (% ranks T2nd)
Main Points & Outlook
– Ross Chastain is notable because of how well he’s ran at COTA in the 2 Next Gen races here
– Chastain had a terrible qualifying effort last week at Bristol as he started dead last causing him to run just 26% of his laps in the Top 15 en route to a 15th place finish
– He has the 3rd best Avg. Finish this year (10.6), but he has a 16.4 Avg. Stage Finish and has only ran 40% of the laps this year in the Top 15
– In terms of streaks this year he had a 3 race Top 10 streak coming into Bristol
– His streaks at COTA are much better as he is on a 3 straight Top 5 streak in the only 3 races competed here
– Road Courses as a whole weren’t great to him in 2023 as he ran just 38% of his laps in the Top 15 with the 16th best Avg. Driver Rating and only 3 Top 10’s
– Chastain’s best Road Course finish last year came at COTA where he ran 85% of his laps in the Top 15 and finished 4th
– In the 2 Next Gen races at COTA he’s ran 92% of his laps in the Top 15, led 22% of his laps, and has a win with a worst finish of 4th
Outlook for this weekend
Ross Chastain may have 3 Top 10’s this year but sometimes good finishes can be deceiving as he hasn’t ran particularly good this year. This may not get any better when you look at his Road Course stats from last year. In the 6 Road Course races he had some good finishes but overall ran pretty poor. However, this is COTA where Chastain has been amazing in the Next Gen car, both running and finishing great. The stats overall are a little kerfuffled, but with this being COTA it seems a great run and finish are in store for Chastain this weekend.
– Ross Chastain is notable because of how well he’s ran at COTA in the 2 Next Gen races here
– Chastain had a terrible qualifying effort last week at Bristol as he started dead last causing him to run just 26% of his laps in the Top 15 en route to a 15th place finish
– He has the 3rd best Avg. Finish this year (10.6), but he has a 16.4 Avg. Stage Finish and has only ran 40% of the laps this year in the Top 15
– In terms of streaks this year he had a 3 race Top 10 streak coming into Bristol
– His streaks at COTA are much better as he is on a 3 straight Top 5 streak in the only 3 races competed here
– Road Courses as a whole weren’t great to him in 2023 as he ran just 38% of his laps in the Top 15 with the 16th best Avg. Driver Rating and only 3 Top 10’s
– Chastain’s best Road Course finish last year came at COTA where he ran 85% of his laps in the Top 15 and finished 4th
– In the 2 Next Gen races at COTA he’s ran 92% of his laps in the Top 15, led 22% of his laps, and has a win with a worst finish of 4th
Outlook for this weekend
Ross Chastain may have 3 Top 10’s this year but sometimes good finishes can be deceiving as he hasn’t ran particularly good this year. This may not get any better when you look at his Road Course stats from last year. In the 6 Road Course races he had some good finishes but overall ran pretty poor. However, this is COTA where Chastain has been amazing in the Next Gen car, both running and finishing great. The stats overall are a little kerfuffled, but with this being COTA it seems a great run and finish are in store for Chastain this weekend.
9th in Points – Tyler Reddick
| Category | Statistic | 2024 Rank | ªRank Thru 5 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 20.2 | 23rd of 37 | T414th of 896 |
| Best Fin. | 2nd | — | — |
| Worst Fin. | 30th | — | — |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 98.05% | 23rd of 37 | 418th of 896 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 46.98 | 12th of 37 | 326th of 848‡ |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 80.76 | 9th of 37 | 281st of 848‡ |
| Wins | 0 | T6th of 44 | T89th of 1028 |
| Poles | 0 | T5th of 44 | T83rd of 1028 |
| Top 2’s | 1 | T1st of 44 | T43rd of 1028 |
| Top 3’s | 1 | T3rd of 44 | T69th of 1028 |
| Top 5’s | 1 | T8th of 44 | T144th of 1028 |
| Top 10’s | 2 | T7th of 44 | T160th of 1028 |
| Finish out Top 20¹ | 3 | T23rd of 37 | T515th of 896 |
| DNF’s¹ | 1 | T18th of 37 | T460th of 896 |
| Stage Wins | 1 | T3rd of 44 | T20th of 358* |
| Stage T10s | 5 | T5th of 44 | T56th of 358* |
| Stage Pts | 43 | T3rd of 44 | T27th of 358* |
| Avg. Stage Fin.¹ | 15.9 | 10th of 37 | — |
| Playoff Pts² | 1 | T7th of 44 | T48th of 358* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2004
¹Ranks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 5 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 2 straight Top 10 finishes
- 4 straight Stage T10’s
- Notable COTA Streaks
- 1 straight Win (active “streak”)
- 2 straight Top 5 finishes (active streak, tied 2nd longest streak in Cup Series at COTA all-time)
- 3 straight Top 10 finishes (active streak, tied longest active streak in Cup Series at COTA and tied longest streak in Cup Series at COTA all-time)
- 1 straight Stage Win (active “streak”)
- 2023 Road Course Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Road Course start, 49 drivers)
- 6 Races, Avg. Finish 13.33(8th), 81.03% of Laps ran in Top15(3rd), Avg. Driver Rating 105.57(2nd), Best 1st, Worst 33rd, Laps Completed 99.82%, Led 14.0% of laps he ran, 1 Win, 1 Pole, 1 Top 3, 2 Top 5’s, 4 Top 10’s, 4 Top 15’s, 2 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 2 Stage Wins, 5.08 Stage Pts Per Stage
- COTA Statistics
- 2023 COTA Race
- Finished 1st, Started 2nd, Led 41 laps(54.67%), Finished 1st in Stage 2, ran 70 Laps in Top 15(93.33% of laps ran), had 141.8 Driver Rating (ranked 1st)
- Notable Next Gen COTA Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at COTA since 2022, 32 drivers)
- 2 Races
- 3.0 Avg. Finish (Ranks 3rd)
- Best Finish: 1st, Worst: 5th
- Completed 100% of laps (% ranks T1st)
- 95.14% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 1st)
- 128.65 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 1st)
- Led 29.86% of laps he’s run (% ranks 1st)
- 1 Win, 50.0% (% ranks T1st)
- 2 Top 5’s, 100% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 finishes outside Top 20, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 1 Stage Win, 25.0% (% ranks T1st)
- 1 Stage T10’s, 25.0% (% ranks T15th)
Main Points & Outlook
– Tyler Reddick is notable because he dominated the 2023 COTA race
– An early wreck at Bristol hampered Reddick as he ran just 6 laps in the Top 15 last week en route to a terrible 35.0 Driver Rating and a 30th place finish
– He’s done well in stage this year being tied for the 3rd most Stage Pts, but he has the 10th best Avg. Stage Finish (15.9) and has finished over half of the 5 races this year out of the Top 20
– In terms of streaks this year he’s had a 2 race Top 10 streak and a 4 straight Stage T10 streak
– He is on a 1 race Win “streak and 1 straight Stage Win “streak” at COTA in addition to being on an impressive 3 race Top 10 streak here
– In the 6 Road Course races last year he had 1 Win, 4 Top 10’s, the 2nd best Avg. Driver Rating, and ran 81% of his laps in the Top 15
– Reddick dominated at COTA last year leading 55% of the race, winning Stage 2, and running 93% of the race in the Top 15 en route to winning the race
– In the 2 Next Gen races at COTA he’s finished 5th and 1st with his 95.14 Laps in Top 15%, 128.65 Avg. Driver Rating, and 29.86 Laps Led% all ranking 1st among active drivers
Outlook for this weekend
Tyler Reddick was just awful last week at Bristol and on the year he’s struggled to find good finishes. That, however, may change this weekend as we head to a Road Course where he was pretty good last year. What’s even better news for Reddick is that this weekend is COTA where he dominated last year and has done great in the 2 Next Gen races here. Overall based on the stats look out for Reddick to not only be a contender in the race this weekend, but perhaps be the guy to beat as he could dominate the race.
– Tyler Reddick is notable because he dominated the 2023 COTA race
– An early wreck at Bristol hampered Reddick as he ran just 6 laps in the Top 15 last week en route to a terrible 35.0 Driver Rating and a 30th place finish
– He’s done well in stage this year being tied for the 3rd most Stage Pts, but he has the 10th best Avg. Stage Finish (15.9) and has finished over half of the 5 races this year out of the Top 20
– In terms of streaks this year he’s had a 2 race Top 10 streak and a 4 straight Stage T10 streak
– He is on a 1 race Win “streak and 1 straight Stage Win “streak” at COTA in addition to being on an impressive 3 race Top 10 streak here
– In the 6 Road Course races last year he had 1 Win, 4 Top 10’s, the 2nd best Avg. Driver Rating, and ran 81% of his laps in the Top 15
– Reddick dominated at COTA last year leading 55% of the race, winning Stage 2, and running 93% of the race in the Top 15 en route to winning the race
– In the 2 Next Gen races at COTA he’s finished 5th and 1st with his 95.14 Laps in Top 15%, 128.65 Avg. Driver Rating, and 29.86 Laps Led% all ranking 1st among active drivers
Outlook for this weekend
Tyler Reddick was just awful last week at Bristol and on the year he’s struggled to find good finishes. That, however, may change this weekend as we head to a Road Course where he was pretty good last year. What’s even better news for Reddick is that this weekend is COTA where he dominated last year and has done great in the 2 Next Gen races here. Overall based on the stats look out for Reddick to not only be a contender in the race this weekend, but perhaps be the guy to beat as he could dominate the race.
31st in Points – Shane Van Gisbergen
| Category | Statistic | 2024 Rank | ªRank Thru 5 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | — | — | — |
| Best Fin. | — | — | — |
| Worst Fin. | — | — | — |
| Completed Laps%¹ | — | — | — |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | — | — | –‡ |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | — | — | –‡ |
| Wins | 0 | — | — |
| Poles | 0 | — | — |
| Top 2’s | 0 | — | — |
| Top 3’s | 0 | — | — |
| Top 5’s | 0 | — | — |
| Top 10’s | 0 | — | — |
| Finish out Top 20¹ | 0 | — | — |
| DNF’s¹ | 0 | — | — |
| Stage Wins | 0 | — | –* |
| Stage T10s | 0 | — | –* |
| Stage Pts | 0 | — | –* |
| Avg. Stage Fin.¹ | — | — | — |
| Playoff Pts² | 0 | — | –* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2004
¹Ranks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 5 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- none
- Notable COTA Streaks
- none
- 2023 Road Course Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Road Course start, 49 drivers)
- 2 Races, Avg. Finish 5.5(1st), 93.13% of Laps ran in Top15(1st), Avg. Driver Rating 115.7(1st), Best 1st, Worst 10th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 6.25% of laps he ran, 1 Win, 0 Poles, 1 Top 3, 1 Top 5, 2 Top 10’s, 2 Top 15’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 3.75 Stage Pts Per Stage
- COTA Statistics
- 2023 COTA Race
- did not race
- Notable Next Gen COTA Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at COTA since 2022, 32 drivers)
- 0 Races
Main Points & Outlook
– Shane Van Gisbergen (SVG) is notable because of how good he was in his Cup Road Course races last year
– The last Cup race SVG ran was at the Indy Road Course last year where he ran 93% of his laps in the Top 15 and finished 10th
– He has not ran in any Cup races this year
–Since he’s run 0 Cup races this year he has 0 streaks this year
– He’s never ran a Cup race at COTA and thus has no streaks here
– He ran in 2 Cup Road Courses last year getting a win and 10th place finish while also getting the best Avg. Driver Rating and running 93% of his laps in the Top 15
– SVG did not race in the COTA Cup race last year
– He has not ran a Cup race at COTA
Outlook for this weekend
Shane Van Gisbergen has barely any stats to speak of above as he has only ran in 2 Cup races in his entire life. However, the 2 races he ran were at Road Courses last year and he was very impressive in them, even winning one of them. So, even though he has limited stats don’t count SVG out this weekend as he could be a contender for the win if the stats hold true.
– Shane Van Gisbergen (SVG) is notable because of how good he was in his Cup Road Course races last year
– The last Cup race SVG ran was at the Indy Road Course last year where he ran 93% of his laps in the Top 15 and finished 10th
– He has not ran in any Cup races this year
–Since he’s run 0 Cup races this year he has 0 streaks this year
– He’s never ran a Cup race at COTA and thus has no streaks here
– He ran in 2 Cup Road Courses last year getting a win and 10th place finish while also getting the best Avg. Driver Rating and running 93% of his laps in the Top 15
– SVG did not race in the COTA Cup race last year
– He has not ran a Cup race at COTA
Outlook for this weekend
Shane Van Gisbergen has barely any stats to speak of above as he has only ran in 2 Cup races in his entire life. However, the 2 races he ran were at Road Courses last year and he was very impressive in them, even winning one of them. So, even though he has limited stats don’t count SVG out this weekend as he could be a contender for the win if the stats hold true.
