This article is a race finish projection for the 2024 Spring Las Vegas Cup race. The finishing order below is determined based on the statistics used in the Cup Series Notable Drivers Statistics & Outlook: Las Vegas (mainly track stats and track style stats), weekend practice speeds (both single lap and multi-lap averages), and qualifying results. There is little opinion on the matter as this is based on mostly statistics, so just because a driver with bad stats is in a good car does not mean he will be bumped up based on the car/team he is with.
Last weeks projected winner: Ryan Blaney
Finished: 2nd
Last weeks winner: Daniel Suarez
Projected Finish: 14th
Additional notes from last race:
-2 drivers finished where they were projected (Martin Truex Jr. 12th, Tyler Reddick 30th)
-10 of the 37 drivers finished within 5 spots (better or worse) of where they were projected
-5 of the 37 drivers finished 20+ spots (better or worse) than they were projected to finish
-11 of the 37 drivers finished 15+ spots (better or worse) than they were projected to finish
-9 of the projected Top 16 drivers finished in the Top 16
Notes from all projections this year (2 races):
-Drivers to finish where they were projected: 3 of 77, 3.90%
-Drivers to finish within 5 spots (better/worse) than they were projected: 20 of 77, 25.97%
-Drivers to finish 15+ spots (better/worse) than they were projected: 24 of 77, 31.17%
-Projected Top 10 finishers to finish Top 10: 4 of 20, 20%
Notable results this week
Winner: William Byron
One to Watch: Tyler Reddick
Disappointment: Josh Berry
| Proj. Finish | Number | Driver | Finish/Diff. |
| 1. | 24 | William Byron | 10th -9 |
| 2. | 5 | Kyle Larson | 1st +1 |
| 3. | 23 | Bubba Wallace | 35th -32 |
| 4. | 45 | Tyler Reddick | 2nd +2 |
| 5. | 20 | Christopher Bell | 33rd -28 |
| 6. | 1 | Ross Chastain | 4th +2 |
| 7. | 12 | Ryan Blaney | 3rd +4 |
| 8. | 19 | Martin Truex Jr. | 7th +1 |
| 9. | 22 | Joey Logano | 9th +0 |
| 10. | 8 | Kyle Busch | 26th -16 |
| 11. | 9 | Chase Elliott | 12th -1 |
| 12. | 11 | Denny Hamlin | 8th +4 |
| 13. | 48 | Alex Bowman | 18th -5 |
| 14. | 17 | Chris Buescher | 37th -23 |
| 15. | 71 | Zane Smith | 36th -21 |
| 16. | 99 | Daniel Suarez | 11th +5 |
| 17. | 3 | Austin Dillon | 16th +1 |
| 18. | 6 | Brad Keselowski | 13th +5 |
| 19. | 47 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 17th +2 |
| 20. | 2 | Austin Cindric | 29th -9 |
| 21. | 34 | Michael McDowell | 25th -4 |
| 22. | 14 | Chase Briscoe | 21st +1 |
| 23. | 10 | Noah Gragson | 6th +17 |
| 24. | 7 | Corey LaJoie | 32nd -8 |
| 25. | 51 | Justin Haley | 27th -2 |
| 26. | 54 | Ty Gibbs | 5th +21 |
| 27. | 43 | Erik Jones | 14th +13 |
| 28. | 77 | Carson Hocevar | 15th +13 |
| 29. | 42 | John H. Nemechek | 22nd +7 |
| 30. | 15 | Kaz Grala | 31st -1 |
| 31. | 16 | Derek Kraus | 28th +3 |
| 32. | 4 | Josh Berry | 20th +12 |
| 33. | 31 | Daniel Hemric | 19th +14 |
| 34. | 41 | Ryan Preece | 23rd +11 |
| 35. | 21 | Harrison Burton | 30th +5 |
| 36. | 38 | Todd Gilliland | 24th +12 |
| 37. | 44 | J.J. Yeley | 34th +3 |
*This will be updated after the race is over so you can compare how the projection did with the actual finishing order.
