At Talladega last week fuel saving was prevalent, Toyota’s wrecked each other, Ford’s blew another shot at a win, and Tyler Reddick ended up in victory lane. This week we head to Dover, where the race will probably not be as chaotic as Talladega but where drivers will race all out, all race. I have picked 5 notable drivers to look at, 1 based on 2024 season stats, 1 based on Small track stats, 1 based on the last Dover race, 1 based on their Next Gen Dover stats, and 1 based on the highest in points that wasn’t already picked. Here is a look at those 5 notable drivers 2024 season statistics, along with ranks among drivers in 2024 as well as ranking through 10 races since the Playoffs started in 2004. We will also highlight notable streaks accomplished through the year and at Dover, 2024 Small track (1.0-1.3 miles) statistics and Dover statistics in the Next Gen car.
Note: any driver in 4 straight Cup outlook articles is not in consideration for the next two, or any driver in 4 of 5 Cup outlook articles is not in consideration for the next one. This resets after they are put back into consideration.
This week not in consideration: Denny Hamlin (4 in a row)
This week not in consideration: Denny Hamlin (4 in a row)
1st in Points – Kyle Larson
| Category | Statistic | 2024 Rank | ªRank Thru 10 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 12.7 | 5th of 35 | T113th of 886 |
| Best Fin. | 1st | — | — |
| Worst Fin. | 32nd | — | — |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 98.69% | 17th of 35 | T242nd of 886 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 76.18 | 3rd of 35 | 87th of 841‡ |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 100.31 | 2nd of 35 | 63rd of 841‡ |
| Wins | 1 | T3rd of 51 | T51st of 1125 |
| Poles | 3 | 1st of 51 | T2nd of 1125 |
| Top 2’s | 2 | T2nd of 51 | T47th of 1125 |
| Top 3’s | 3 | T2nd of 51 | T43rd of 1125 |
| Top 5’s | 4 | T1st of 51 | T47th of 1125 |
| Top 10’s | 4 | T9th of 51 | T191st of 1125 |
| Finish out Top 20¹ | 3 | T10th of 35 | T200th of 886 |
| DNF’s¹ | 1 | T10th of 35 | T263rd of 886 |
| Stage Wins | 5 | 1st of 51 | T1st of 402* |
| Stage T10s | 13 | T1st of 51 | T25th of 402* |
| Stage Pts | 110 | 1st of 51 | T9th of 402* |
| Avg. Stage Fin.¹ | 8.55 | 1st of 35 | — |
| Playoff Pts² | 10 | 3rd of 51 | T18th of 402* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2004
¹Ranks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 10 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 3 straight Poles (longest streak in Cup Series this year and tied 12th longest streak in Cup Series all-time)
- 2 straight Top 3 finishes (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
- 2 straight Stage Wins (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year and tied 14th longest streak in Cup Series all-time)
- 5 straight Stage T10’s
- Notable Dover Streaks
- 2 straight Top 3 finishes (2019.11-2019.30)
- 4 straight Top 10 finishes (2014.29-2016.12)
- 2 straight Stage Wins (2021.13 s1&s2) (tied 2nd longest streak in Cup Series at Dover all-time)
- 4 straight Stage T10’s (2017.13 s1-2017.29 s2 & 2019.11 s1-2019.30 s2) (tied 12th longest streak in Cup Series at Dover all-time)
- 2023/24 Small track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Small track start, 47 drivers)
- 6 Races, Avg. Finish 10.0(7th), 69.14% of Laps ran in Top15(12th), Avg. Driver Rating 93.47(7th), Best 3rd, Worst 32nd, Laps Completed 97.82%, Led 11.5% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 1 Pole, 2 Top 3’s, 4 Top 5’s, 4 Top 10’s, 5 Top 15’s, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 1 Stage Win, 2.42 Stage Pts Per Stage
- Dover Statistics
- 2023 Dover Race
- Finished 32nd, Started 18th, Led 0 laps, got 0 Stage T10’s, ran 67 Laps in Top 15(18.66% of laps ran), had 55.1 Driver Rating (ranked 23rd)
- Notable Next Gen Dover Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Dover since 2022, 35 drivers)
- 2 Races
- 19.0 Avg. Finish (Ranks 20th)
- Best Finish: 6th, Worst: 32nd
- Completed 94.88% of laps (% ranks 28th)
- 49.54% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 17th)
- 77.4 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 15th)
- Led 2.5% of laps he’s run (% ranks 7th)
- 0 Top 5’s
- 1 Top 10, 50.0% (% ranks T6th)
- 1 finish outside Top 20, 50.0% (% ranks T14th)
- 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 Stage Wins
- 1 Stage T10, 25.0% (% ranks T14th)
Main Points & Outlook
– Kyle Larson is notable because he’s 1st in points after Talladega
– Larson had to start out Talladega going down pit road after a pre-qualifying adjustment, but in the race he ran 43% of his laps in the Top 15 and finished 21st
– Thru 10 races he has a 12.7 Avg. Finish and just 4 Top 10’s, but he’s tied for most Top 5’s (4) and Stage T10’s (13) and has the most Stage Wins (5) and best Avg. Stage Finish (8.55)
– In terms of streaks this year he had 3 straight Poles going into Talladega and at one point had 2 straight Top 3 finishes this year
– From 2014-2016 he had a 4 race Top 10 streak at Dover and twice has had a 4 straight Stage T10 streak
– In the last 6 Small track races he has a 10.0 Avg. Finish with 4 Top 5’s, 1 Stage Win, and only 1 finish out of the Top 15
– That one bad finish came at Dover last year where Larson was involved in an early wreck and ended up running just 19% of his laps in the Top 15 en route to a 32nd place finish
– In 2 Next Gen races at Dover he has finishes of 6th and 32nd while running less than half his laps in the Top 15 and getting just 1 Stage T10 in 4 stages
Outlook for this weekend
Kyle Larson had an uphill climb last week after not being able to qualify at Talladega and was only able to climb up to 21st at the finish. Overall he’s had a very good 2024 season, but can’t find a way to put finishes together as he’s finished over half the races out of the Top 10. The good news for him is that this week is a Small track where he’s finished over half of the last 6 races in the Top 5. However, this is Dover where the stats say he hasn’t ran well in the Next Gen car. All in all expect a decent run from Larson this weekend, but a good finish is anything but a guarantee.
– Kyle Larson is notable because he’s 1st in points after Talladega
– Larson had to start out Talladega going down pit road after a pre-qualifying adjustment, but in the race he ran 43% of his laps in the Top 15 and finished 21st
– Thru 10 races he has a 12.7 Avg. Finish and just 4 Top 10’s, but he’s tied for most Top 5’s (4) and Stage T10’s (13) and has the most Stage Wins (5) and best Avg. Stage Finish (8.55)
– In terms of streaks this year he had 3 straight Poles going into Talladega and at one point had 2 straight Top 3 finishes this year
– From 2014-2016 he had a 4 race Top 10 streak at Dover and twice has had a 4 straight Stage T10 streak
– In the last 6 Small track races he has a 10.0 Avg. Finish with 4 Top 5’s, 1 Stage Win, and only 1 finish out of the Top 15
– That one bad finish came at Dover last year where Larson was involved in an early wreck and ended up running just 19% of his laps in the Top 15 en route to a 32nd place finish
– In 2 Next Gen races at Dover he has finishes of 6th and 32nd while running less than half his laps in the Top 15 and getting just 1 Stage T10 in 4 stages
Outlook for this weekend
Kyle Larson had an uphill climb last week after not being able to qualify at Talladega and was only able to climb up to 21st at the finish. Overall he’s had a very good 2024 season, but can’t find a way to put finishes together as he’s finished over half the races out of the Top 10. The good news for him is that this week is a Small track where he’s finished over half of the last 6 races in the Top 5. However, this is Dover where the stats say he hasn’t ran well in the Next Gen car. All in all expect a decent run from Larson this weekend, but a good finish is anything but a guarantee.
2nd in Points – Martin Truex Jr.
| Category | Statistic | 2024 Rank | ªRank Thru 10 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 10.0 | T1st of 35 | T38th of 886 |
| Best Fin. | 2nd | — | — |
| Worst Fin. | 18th | — | — |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 99.97% | T1st of 35 | T16th of 886 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 78.85 | 2nd of 35 | 69th of 841‡ |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 100.8 | 1st of 35 | 57th of 841‡ |
| Wins | 0 | T8th of 51 | T149th of 1125 |
| Poles | 0 | T7th of 51 | T134th of 1125 |
| Top 2’s | 1 | T7th of 51 | T112th of 1125 |
| Top 3’s | 1 | T10th of 51 | T171st of 1125 |
| Top 5’s | 2 | T11th of 51 | T177th of 1125 |
| Top 10’s | 5 | T3rd of 51 | T106th of 1125 |
| Finish out Top 20¹ | 0 | T1st of 35 | T1st of 886 |
| DNF’s¹ | 0 | T1st of 35 | T1st of 886 |
| Stage Wins | 1 | T6th of 51 | T44th of 402* |
| Stage T10s | 13 | T1st of 51 | T25th of 402* |
| Stage Pts | 74 | 4th of 51 | 37th of 402* |
| Avg. Stage Fin.¹ | 10.45 | 2nd of 35 | — |
| Playoff Pts² | 1 | T10th of 51 | T76th of 402* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2004
¹Ranks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 10 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 5 straight Top 10 finishes (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
- 8 straight Stage T10’s (longest streak in Cup Series this year)
- Notable Dover Streaks
- 1 straight Win (active “streak”)
- 4 straight Top 2 finishes (2019.11-2020.25) (tied longest streak in Cup Series at Dover all-time)
- 4 straight Top 3 finishes (2019.11-2020.25) (tied 5th longest streak in Cup Series at Dover all-time)
- 5 straight Top 10 finishes (2016.12-2018.11)
- 2 straight Stage Wins (2017.13 s1&s2) (tied 2nd longest streak in Cup Series at Dover all-time)
- 5 straight Stage T10’s (2019.11 s2-2020.24 s2) (tied 8th longest streak in Cup Series at Dover all-time)
- 4 straight Stage T10’s (active streak, tied longest active streak in Cup Series at Dover and tied 12th longest streak in Cup Series at Dover all-time)
- 2023/24 Small track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Small track start, 47 drivers)
- 6 Races, Avg. Finish 6.17(1st), 78.36% of Laps ran in Top15(7th), Avg. Driver Rating 108.38(3rd), Best 1st, Worst 17th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 20.05% of laps he ran, 2 Wins, 0 Poles, 2 Top 3’s, 3 Top 5’s, 5 Top 10’s, 5 Top 15’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 2 Stage Wins, 4.42 Stage Pts Per Stage
- Dover Statistics
- 2023 Dover Race
- Finished 1st, Started 17th, Led 68 laps(17.0%), Finished 9th in Stage 1 and 4th in Stage 2, ran 359 Laps in Top 15(89.75% of laps ran), had 119.1 Driver Rating (ranked 4th)
- Notable Next Gen Dover Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Dover since 2022, 35 drivers)
- 2 Races
- 6.5 Avg. Finish (Ranks 5th)
- Best Finish: 1st, Worst: 12th
- Completed 100% of laps (% ranks T1st)
- 87.75% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 5th)
- 111.9 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 2nd)
- Led 9.13% of laps he’s run (% ranks 4th)
- 1 Win, 50.0% (% ranks T1st)
- 2 Top 15’s, 100% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 finishes outside Top 20, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 Stage Wins
- 4 Stage T10’s, 100% (% ranks T1st)
- 5.5 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 5th)
Main Points & Outlook
– Martin Truex Jr. is notable because of his 2024 stats thru 10 races
– At Talladega last week Truex led 16 laps, but he ran just 49% of his laps in the Top 15 en route to an 11th place finish
– Thru 10 races he only has 2 Top 5’s, but he has 5 Top 10’s, is tied for the best Avg. Finish, and has the 2nd best Avg. Stage Finish
– The only streaks he has this year is his 5 straight Top 10 finish streak and 8 straight Stage T10 streak earlier this year
– At Dover he once had a 4 race Top 2 finish streak in 2019-2020, and he is currently on a 4 straight Stage T10 streak
– Since the start of 2023 he has 5 Top 10’s in 6 Small track races with 2 Wins, the best Avg. Finish (6.17), and 4.42 Stage Pts Per Stage
– Last year at Dover Truex ran 90% of his laps in the Top 15 and had just the 4th best Driver Rating, but he led 17% of the race and ended up in victory lane
– In the 2 Dover Next Gen races he’s finished 12th and 1st, but he’s ran 88% of his laps in the Top 15 and has gotten a Stage T10 in all 4 stages
Outlook for this weekend
Martin Truex Jr. almost squeaked out his 6th Top 10 of the year at Talladega last week, but he just missed. Overall he’s been very consistent this year and has some of the best in-race stats of any driver. The news only gets better for him as this week we head to a Small track where he’s won 2 of the last 6 races and has the best Avg. Finish in those races. What’s even better you ask, well this is Dover where Truex led 68 of the final 69 laps last year to win. Based on these stats watch out for Truex this weekend to finish well and potentially get his first win of the year.
– Martin Truex Jr. is notable because of his 2024 stats thru 10 races
– At Talladega last week Truex led 16 laps, but he ran just 49% of his laps in the Top 15 en route to an 11th place finish
– Thru 10 races he only has 2 Top 5’s, but he has 5 Top 10’s, is tied for the best Avg. Finish, and has the 2nd best Avg. Stage Finish
– The only streaks he has this year is his 5 straight Top 10 finish streak and 8 straight Stage T10 streak earlier this year
– At Dover he once had a 4 race Top 2 finish streak in 2019-2020, and he is currently on a 4 straight Stage T10 streak
– Since the start of 2023 he has 5 Top 10’s in 6 Small track races with 2 Wins, the best Avg. Finish (6.17), and 4.42 Stage Pts Per Stage
– Last year at Dover Truex ran 90% of his laps in the Top 15 and had just the 4th best Driver Rating, but he led 17% of the race and ended up in victory lane
– In the 2 Dover Next Gen races he’s finished 12th and 1st, but he’s ran 88% of his laps in the Top 15 and has gotten a Stage T10 in all 4 stages
Outlook for this weekend
Martin Truex Jr. almost squeaked out his 6th Top 10 of the year at Talladega last week, but he just missed. Overall he’s been very consistent this year and has some of the best in-race stats of any driver. The news only gets better for him as this week we head to a Small track where he’s won 2 of the last 6 races and has the best Avg. Finish in those races. What’s even better you ask, well this is Dover where Truex led 68 of the final 69 laps last year to win. Based on these stats watch out for Truex this weekend to finish well and potentially get his first win of the year.
4th in Points – William Byron
| Category | Statistic | 2024 Rank | ªRank Thru 10 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 10.0 | T1st of 35 | T38th of 886 |
| Best Fin. | 1st | — | — |
| Worst Fin. | 35th | — | — |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 99.72% | 7th of 35 | T95th of 886 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 58.97 | 9th of 35 | 232nd of 841‡ |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 93.24 | 5th of 35 | 139th of 841‡ |
| Wins | 3 | 1st of 51 | T2nd of 1125 |
| Poles | 1 | T4th of 51 | T34th of 1125 |
| Top 2’s | 3 | 1st of 51 | T17th of 1125 |
| Top 3’s | 4 | 1st of 51 | T17th of 1125 |
| Top 5’s | 4 | T1st of 51 | T47th of 1125 |
| Top 10’s | 7 | T1st of 51 | T23rd of 1125 |
| Finish out Top 20¹ | 1 | T3rd of 35 | T18th of 886 |
| DNF’s¹ | 0 | T1st of 35 | T1st of 886 |
| Stage Wins | 0 | T13th of 51 | T86th of 402* |
| Stage T10s | 12 | T3rd of 51 | T35th of 402* |
| Stage Pts | 50 | 8th of 51 | 70th of 402* |
| Avg. Stage Fin.¹ | 13.55 | 8th of 35 | — |
| Playoff Pts² | 15 | 1st of 51 | T3rd of 402* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2004
¹Ranks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 10 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 2 straight Top 3 finishes (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
- 5 straight Top 10 finishes (active streak, tied longest active streak in Cup Series and tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
- 4 straight Stage T10’s
- Notable Dover Streaks
- 1 straight Top 5 finish (active “streak”)
- 2 straight Top 5 finishes (2020.25-2021.13)
- 2 straight Stage T10’s (active streak)
- 5 straight Stage T10’s (2020.25 s1-2022.11 s1) (tied 8th longest streak in Cup Series at Dover all-time)
- 2023/24 Small track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Small track start, 47 drivers)
- 6 Races, Avg. Finish 9.83(6th), 88.38% of Laps ran in Top15(4th), Avg. Driver Rating 109.58(2nd), Best 1st, Worst 24th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 20.74% of laps he ran, 1 Win, 1 Pole, 1 Top 3, 3 Top 5’s, 4 Top 10’s, 4 Top 15’s, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 3 Stage Wins, 5.83 Stage Pts Per Stage
- Dover Statistics
- 2023 Dover Race
- Finished 4th, Started 8th, Led 193 laps(48.25%), Finished 1st in Stage 1 and 2nd in Stage 2, ran 399 Laps in Top 15(99.75% of laps ran), had 126.8 Driver Rating (ranked 2nd)
- Notable Next Gen Dover Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Dover since 2022, 35 drivers)
- 2 Races
- 13.0 Avg. Finish (Ranks T9th)
- Best Finish: 4th, Worst: 22nd
- Completed 99.88% of laps (% ranks T8th)
- 75.97% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 8th)
- 97.5 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 7th)
- Led 24.16% of laps he’s run (% ranks 1st)
- 0 Top 3’s
- 1 Top 5, 50.0% (% ranks T3rd)
- 1 finish outside Top 20, 50.0% (% ranks T14th)
- 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 1 Stage Win, 25.0% (% ranks T1st)
- 3 Stage T10’s, 75.0% (% ranks T4th)
- 5.75 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 4th)
Main Points & Outlook
– William Byron is notable because of how he ran last year at Dover
– At Talladega last week Byron ran just 47% of his laps in the Top 15, but he was able to finish 3rd in Stage 1 and 7th in the race
– His 10.0 Avg. Finish, 3 Wins, 3 Top 2’s, 4 Top 3’s, 4 Top 5’s, 7 Top 10’s, and 15 Playoff Pts all either rank 1st or T1st this year, but he has just the 8th most Stage Pts and 8th best Avg. Stage Finish
– He is currently on a 5 race Top 10 finish streak and earlier this year he had a 2 race Top 3 streak
– He is on a 2 straight Stage T10 streak at Dover and in 2020-2021 had a 2 race Top 5 finish streak
– In the 6 Small track races since the start of 2023 he has 4 Top 10’s and 1 Win to just 1 finish out of the Top 20 with 3 Stage Wins and the 2nd best Avg. Driver Rating
– At Dover last year Byron led 48% of the race and got 19 Stage Pts while he ran all but 1 lap in the Top 15, but he struggled late and finished 4th
– He’s finished 22nd and 4th in the 2 Next Gen races at Dover and in the races has ran 76% of his laps in the Top 15 while getting 5.75 Stage Pts Per Stage
Outlook for this weekend
William Byron is tied for longest active Top 10 streak with Tyler Reddick at 5 and on the year he ranks 1st in many of the 2024 stats above. This may get even better this weekend as he’s ran very well on Small tracks since the start of 2023 and he’s been great in stages at them as well. What’s more is that this week is Dover where he was great last year, until he fell off late, and his stats are respectable in the 2 Next Gen races ran here. Overall expect Byron to run great in the first 2 stages this weekend, but he may fall off late. Still, he’ll most likely get a good finish.
– William Byron is notable because of how he ran last year at Dover
– At Talladega last week Byron ran just 47% of his laps in the Top 15, but he was able to finish 3rd in Stage 1 and 7th in the race
– His 10.0 Avg. Finish, 3 Wins, 3 Top 2’s, 4 Top 3’s, 4 Top 5’s, 7 Top 10’s, and 15 Playoff Pts all either rank 1st or T1st this year, but he has just the 8th most Stage Pts and 8th best Avg. Stage Finish
– He is currently on a 5 race Top 10 finish streak and earlier this year he had a 2 race Top 3 streak
– He is on a 2 straight Stage T10 streak at Dover and in 2020-2021 had a 2 race Top 5 finish streak
– In the 6 Small track races since the start of 2023 he has 4 Top 10’s and 1 Win to just 1 finish out of the Top 20 with 3 Stage Wins and the 2nd best Avg. Driver Rating
– At Dover last year Byron led 48% of the race and got 19 Stage Pts while he ran all but 1 lap in the Top 15, but he struggled late and finished 4th
– He’s finished 22nd and 4th in the 2 Next Gen races at Dover and in the races has ran 76% of his laps in the Top 15 while getting 5.75 Stage Pts Per Stage
Outlook for this weekend
William Byron is tied for longest active Top 10 streak with Tyler Reddick at 5 and on the year he ranks 1st in many of the 2024 stats above. This may get even better this weekend as he’s ran very well on Small tracks since the start of 2023 and he’s been great in stages at them as well. What’s more is that this week is Dover where he was great last year, until he fell off late, and his stats are respectable in the 2 Next Gen races ran here. Overall expect Byron to run great in the first 2 stages this weekend, but he may fall off late. Still, he’ll most likely get a good finish.
7th in Points – Ryan Blaney
| Category | Statistic | 2024 Rank | ªRank Thru 10 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 14.5 | T10th of 35 | T175th of 886 |
| Best Fin. | 2nd | — | — |
| Worst Fin. | 33rd | — | — |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 99.38% | 13th of 35 | T166th of 886 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 63.26 | 5th of 35 | 205th of 841‡ |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 86.07 | 8th of 35 | 218th of 841‡ |
| Wins | 0 | T8th of 51 | T149th of 1125 |
| Poles | 1 | T4th of 51 | T34th of 1125 |
| Top 2’s | 1 | T7th of 51 | T112th of 1125 |
| Top 3’s | 2 | T5th of 51 | T83rd of 1125 |
| Top 5’s | 4 | T1st of 51 | T47th of 1125 |
| Top 10’s | 4 | T9th of 51 | T191st of 1125 |
| Finish out Top 20¹ | 2 | T5th of 35 | T89thof 886 |
| DNF’s¹ | 1 | T10th of 35 | T263rd of 886 |
| Stage Wins | 1 | T6th of 51 | T44th of 402* |
| Stage T10s | 11 | T5th of 51 | T49th of 402* |
| Stage Pts | 77 | 2nd of 51 | 35th of 402* |
| Avg. Stage Fin.¹ | 12.55 | 5th of 35 | — |
| Playoff Pts² | 1 | T10th of 51 | T76th of 402* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2004
¹Ranks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 10 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 2 straight Top 3 finishes (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
- 3 straight Top 5 finishes (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
- 4 straight Stage T10’s
- Notable Dover Streaks
- 1 straight Top 3 finish (active “streak”)
- 3 straight Stage T10’s (active streak)
- 4 straight Stage T10’s (2019.11 s1-2019.30 s2) (tied 12th longest streak in Cup Series at Dover all-time)
- 2023/24 Small track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Small track start, 47 drivers)
- 6 Races, Avg. Finish 6.67(2nd), 97.08% of Laps ran in Top15(1st), Avg. Driver Rating 109.83(1st), Best 2nd, Worst 22nd, Laps Completed 100%, Led 4.51% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 3 Top 3’s, 4 Top 5’s, 5 Top 10’s, 5 Top 15’s, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 1 Stage Win, 5.42 Stage Pts Per Stage
- Dover Statistics
- 2023 Dover Race
- Finished 3rd, Started 3rd, Led 0 laps, Finished 3rd in Stage 1 and 3rd in Stage 2, ran 399 Laps in Top 15(99.75% of laps ran), had 121.6 Driver Rating (ranked 3rd)
- Notable Next Gen Dover Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Dover since 2022, 35 drivers)
- 2 Races
- 14.5 Avg. Finish (Ranks 16th)
- Best Finish: 3rd, Worst: 26th
- Completed 99.63% of laps (% ranks T16th)
- 66.5% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 12th)
- 94.6 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 10th)
- Led 1.0% of laps he’s run (% ranks T10th)
- 0 Top 2’s
- 1 Top 3, 50.0% (% ranks T2nd)
- 1 finish outside Top 20, 50.0% (% ranks T14th)
- 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 1 Stage Win, 25.0% (% ranks T1st)
- 3 Stage T10’s, 75.0% (% ranks T4th)
- 6.5 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 2nd)
Main Points & Outlook
– Ryan Blaney is notable because of how well he’s done on Small tracks since the start of 2023
– Last week Blaney ran just 29% of his laps in the Top 15 at Talladega and only got 7 Stage Pts en route to a disappointing 20th place finish
– In 10 races this year he has just a 14.5 Avg. Finish with 4 Top 5’s and 4 Top 10’s, but he does have the 2nd most Stage Pts and the 5th best Avg. Stage Finish (12.55)
– In the early part of the season he had a 2 race Top 3 streak and a 3 race Top 5 streak
– He is currently on a 3 straight Stage T10 streak here at Dover and in 2019 finished all 4 stages in the Top 10
– Since 2023 he’s ran in all 6 Small track races accumulating the 2nd best Avg. Finish, best Laps in Top 15%, and best Avg. Driver Rating; but he has 0 Wins
– 3’s were wild for Blaney last year at Dover as he started 3rd, finished 3rd in Stage 1 and 2, had the 3rd best Driver Rating, and finished 3rd in the race
– He’s ran both races in the Next Gen car at Dover with finishes of 26th and 3rd, a 94.6 Avg. Driver Rating, and 6.5 Stage Pts Per Stage
Outlook for this weekend
Ryan Blaney started the season off really good, but he’s cooled off since and not even Talladega could help get his season back on track. The one thing he has going for him right now is he’s been pretty good in stages. However, there is better news on the horizon as this weekend is a Small track where he’s been great over the last year+, but he hasn’t been able to win. Moreover he was able to be the 3rd best driver at Dover last year and overall in the Next Gen at Dover he’s ran decent. Overall, based on the stats look for Blaney to do well, but a win probably isn’t in the cards this weekend.
– Ryan Blaney is notable because of how well he’s done on Small tracks since the start of 2023
– Last week Blaney ran just 29% of his laps in the Top 15 at Talladega and only got 7 Stage Pts en route to a disappointing 20th place finish
– In 10 races this year he has just a 14.5 Avg. Finish with 4 Top 5’s and 4 Top 10’s, but he does have the 2nd most Stage Pts and the 5th best Avg. Stage Finish (12.55)
– In the early part of the season he had a 2 race Top 3 streak and a 3 race Top 5 streak
– He is currently on a 3 straight Stage T10 streak here at Dover and in 2019 finished all 4 stages in the Top 10
– Since 2023 he’s ran in all 6 Small track races accumulating the 2nd best Avg. Finish, best Laps in Top 15%, and best Avg. Driver Rating; but he has 0 Wins
– 3’s were wild for Blaney last year at Dover as he started 3rd, finished 3rd in Stage 1 and 2, had the 3rd best Driver Rating, and finished 3rd in the race
– He’s ran both races in the Next Gen car at Dover with finishes of 26th and 3rd, a 94.6 Avg. Driver Rating, and 6.5 Stage Pts Per Stage
Outlook for this weekend
Ryan Blaney started the season off really good, but he’s cooled off since and not even Talladega could help get his season back on track. The one thing he has going for him right now is he’s been pretty good in stages. However, there is better news on the horizon as this weekend is a Small track where he’s been great over the last year+, but he hasn’t been able to win. Moreover he was able to be the 3rd best driver at Dover last year and overall in the Next Gen at Dover he’s ran decent. Overall, based on the stats look for Blaney to do well, but a win probably isn’t in the cards this weekend.
9th in Points – Ross Chastain
| Category | Statistic | 2024 Rank | ªRank Thru 10 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 13.4 | 7th of 35 | T134th of 886 |
| Best Fin. | 4th | — | — |
| Worst Fin. | 32nd | — | — |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 99.86% | T4th of 35 | T59th of 886 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 56.41 | 12th of 35 | 250th of 841‡ |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 84.21 | 10th of 35 | 235th of 841‡ |
| Wins | 0 | T8th of 51 | T149th of 1125 |
| Poles | 0 | T7th of 51 | T134th of 1125 |
| Top 2’s | 0 | T14th of 51 | T240th of 1125 |
| Top 3’s | 0 | T17th of 51 | T313th of 1125 |
| Top 5’s | 1 | T14th of 51 | T267th of 1125 |
| Top 10’s | 4 | T9th of 51 | T191st of 1125 |
| Finish out Top 20¹ | 2 | T5th of 35 | T89th of 886 |
| DNF’s¹ | 1 | T10th of 35 | T263rd of 886 |
| Stage Wins | 1 | T6th of 51 | T44th of 402* |
| Stage T10s | 8 | T9th of 51 | T77th of 402* |
| Stage Pts | 41 | 12th of 51 | 86th of 402* |
| Avg. Stage Fin.¹ | 13.3 | 7th of 35 | — |
| Playoff Pts² | 1 | T10th of 51 | T76th of 402* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2004
¹Ranks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 10 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 3 straight Top 10 finishes
- Notable Dover Streaks
- 1 straight Top 2 finish (active “streak”)
- 2 straight Top 3 finishes (active streak, longest active streak in Cup Series at Dover)
- 2 straight Top 5 finishes (active streak, longest active streak in Cup Series at Dover)
- 2 straight Top 10 finishes (active streak, tied longest active streak in Cup Series at Dover)
- 1 straight Stage Win (active “streak”)
- 4 straight Stage T10’s (active streak, tied longest active streak in Cup Series at Dover and tied 12th longest streak in Cup Series at Dover all-time)
- 2023/24 Small track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Small track start, 47 drivers)
- 6 Races, Avg. Finish 13.0(T9th), 69.5% of Laps ran in Top15(11th), Avg. Driver Rating 95.53(6th), Best 1st, Worst 24th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 13.58% of laps he ran, 1 Win, 0 Poles, 2 Top 3’s, 2 Top 5’s, 3 Top 10’s, 3 Top 15’s, 3 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 1 Stage Win, 3.67 Stage Pts Per Stage
- Dover Statistics
- 2023 Dover Race
- Finished 2nd, Started 14th, Led 98 laps(24.5%), Finished 5th in Stage 1 and 1st in Stage 2, ran 394 Laps in Top 15(98.5% of laps ran), had 129.5 Driver Rating (ranked 1st)
- Notable Next Gen Dover Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Dover since 2022, 35 drivers)
- 2 Races
- 2.5 Avg. Finish (Ranks 1st)
- Best Finish: 2nd, Worst: 3rd
- Completed 100% of laps (% ranks T1st)
- 98.88% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 1st)
- 127.35 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 1st)
- Led 23.0% of laps he’s run (% ranks 2nd)
- 0 Wins
- 1 Top 2, 50.0% (% ranks T1st)
- 2 Top 3’s, 100% (% ranks 1st)
- 0 finishes outside Top 20, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 1 Stage Win, 25.0% (% ranks T1st)
- 4 Stage T10’s, 100% (% ranks T1st)
- 7.0 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 1st)
Main Points & Outlook
– Ross Chastain is notable because of his stats in the 2 Next Gen races at Dover
– At Talladega Chastain was able to get 6 Stage Pts and he ran 63% of his race in the Top 15, but he ended up finishing 13th
– On the year he has just 1 Top 5 and 4 Top 10’s with only 41 Stage Pts, but he has the 7th best Avg. Finish (13.4) and 7th best Avg. Stage Finish (13.3)
– He hasn’t finished back-to-back stages in the Top 10 this year and the only streak he has is a 3 race Top 10 streak earlier this year
– His streaks are better at Dover as he’s currently on a 2 race Top 3 streak and a 4 straight Stage T10 streak
– Since the start of 2023 he has a 13.0 Avg. Finish with 1 Win, but only 3 Top 15’s and 3 Finishes out of the Top 20 in 6 races
– Chastain won Stage 2 at Dover last year and ran all but 6 laps in the Top 15 en route to the best Driver Rating in the race and a 2nd place finish
– In the 2 Next Gen races at Dover he has finishes of 3rd and 2nd with an impressive 98.88 Laps in Top 15% and 7.0 Stage Pts Per Stage
Outlook for this weekend
Ross Chastain has gotten off to a bit of slow start this year in terms of great finishes, but his consistency has him 9th in points and with decent Avg. Finishes. This weekend may help his stats out as he’s been great in half of the Small track races since the start of 2023, but he’s also been pretty bad in the other half of those races. However, this is Dover where he’s ran amazing and had great finishes in the Next Gen, but no wins and also controversy in both races. Overall, expect a great day for Chastain this weekend with hopefully no controversy.
– Ross Chastain is notable because of his stats in the 2 Next Gen races at Dover
– At Talladega Chastain was able to get 6 Stage Pts and he ran 63% of his race in the Top 15, but he ended up finishing 13th
– On the year he has just 1 Top 5 and 4 Top 10’s with only 41 Stage Pts, but he has the 7th best Avg. Finish (13.4) and 7th best Avg. Stage Finish (13.3)
– He hasn’t finished back-to-back stages in the Top 10 this year and the only streak he has is a 3 race Top 10 streak earlier this year
– His streaks are better at Dover as he’s currently on a 2 race Top 3 streak and a 4 straight Stage T10 streak
– Since the start of 2023 he has a 13.0 Avg. Finish with 1 Win, but only 3 Top 15’s and 3 Finishes out of the Top 20 in 6 races
– Chastain won Stage 2 at Dover last year and ran all but 6 laps in the Top 15 en route to the best Driver Rating in the race and a 2nd place finish
– In the 2 Next Gen races at Dover he has finishes of 3rd and 2nd with an impressive 98.88 Laps in Top 15% and 7.0 Stage Pts Per Stage
Outlook for this weekend
Ross Chastain has gotten off to a bit of slow start this year in terms of great finishes, but his consistency has him 9th in points and with decent Avg. Finishes. This weekend may help his stats out as he’s been great in half of the Small track races since the start of 2023, but he’s also been pretty bad in the other half of those races. However, this is Dover where he’s ran amazing and had great finishes in the Next Gen, but no wins and also controversy in both races. Overall, expect a great day for Chastain this weekend with hopefully no controversy.
