This article is a race finish projection for the 2024 Spring Talladega Cup race. The finishing order below is determined based on the statistics used in the Cup Series Notable Drivers Statistics & Outlook: Talladega (mainly track stats and track style stats), weekend practice speeds (both single lap and multi-lap averages), and qualifying results. There is little opinion on the matter as this is based on mostly statistics, so just because a driver with bad stats is in a good car does not mean he will be bumped up based on the car/team he is with.
Last weeks projected winner: Tyler Reddick
Finished: 4th
Last weeks winner: Chase Elliott
Projected Finish: 14th
Additional notes from last race:
-1 driver finished where they were projected (William Byron 3rd)
-10 of the 38 drivers finished within 3 spots (better or worse) of where they were projected
-18 of the 38 drivers finished within 5 spots (better or worse) of where they were projected
-14 of the 38 drivers finished 10+ spots (better or worse) than they were projected to finish
-6 of the 38 drivers finished 20+ spots (better or worse) than they were projected to finish
-7 of the projected Top 13 drivers finished in the Top 13
Notes from all projections this year (9 races):
-Drivers to finish where they were projected: 15 of 336, 4.46%
-Drivers to finish within 5 spots (better/worse) than they were projected: 149 of 336, 44.35%
-Drivers to finish 10+ spots (better/worse) than they were projected: 115 of 336, 34.23%
-Correct Winner projections: 1 of 9, 11.11%
-Projected Top 10 finishers to finish Top 10: 45 of 90, 50.00%
Notable results this week
Winner: Kyle Busch
One to Watch: Erik Jones
Disappointment: Tyler Reddick
| Proj. Finish | Number | Driver | Finish/Diff. |
| 1. | 8 | Kyle Busch | 27th -26 |
| 2. | 9 | Chase Elliott | 15th -13 |
| 3. | 23 | Bubba Wallace | 36th -33 |
| 4. | 24 | William Byron | 7th -3 |
| 5. | 2 | Austin Cindric | 23rd -18 |
| 6. | 12 | Ryan Blaney | 20th -14 |
| 7. | 19 | Martin Truex Jr. | 11th -4 |
| 8. | 11 | Denny Hamlin | 37th -29 |
| 9. | 1 | Ross Chastain | 13th -4 |
| 10. | 43 | Erik Jones | 35th -25 |
| 11. | 99 | Daniel Suarez | 26th -15 |
| 12. | 20 | Christopher Bell | 38th -16 |
| 13. | 7 | Corey LaJoie | 18th -5 |
| 14. | 5 | Kyle Larson | 21st -7 |
| 15. | 38 | Todd Gilliland | 8th +7 |
| 16. | 34 | Michael McDowell | 31st -15 |
| 17. | 17 | Chris Buescher | 25th -8 |
| 18. | 47 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 4th +14 |
| 19. | 51 | Justin Haley | 34th -15 |
| 20. | 14 | Chase Briscoe | 12th +8 |
| 21. | 48 | Alex Bowman | 5th +16 |
| 22. | 41 | Ryan Preece | 14th +8 |
| 23. | 6 | Brad Keselowski | 2nd +21 |
| 24. | 42 | John Hunter Nemechek | 33rd -9 |
| 25. | 54 | Ty Gibbs | 22nd +3 |
| 26. | 31 | Daniel Hemric | 9th +17 |
| 27. | 4 | Josh Berry | 16th +11 |
| 28. | 22 | Joey Logano | 19th +9 |
| 29. | 3 | Austin Dillon | 30th -1 |
| 30. | 10 | Noah Gragson | 3rd +27 |
| 31. | 16 | Shane van Gisbergen | 28th +3 |
| 32. | 62 | Anthony Alfredo | 6th +26 |
| 33. | 15 | Cody Ware | 24th -9 |
| 34. | 45 | Tyler Reddick | 1st +33 |
| 35. | 71 | Zane Smith | 29th +6 |
| 36. | 21 | Harrison Burton | 10th +26 |
| 37. | 77 | Carson Hocevar | 17th +20 |
| 38. | 78 | B.J. McLeod | 32nd +6 |
*This will be updated after the race is over so you can compare how the projection did with the actual finishing order.
