At Talladega last week we got to see Jesse Love have a great day and hold off the field to pick up his first Xfinity Series win. This week we head to Dover where we saw a driver pick up their first Xfinity Series win last year, and could possibly see it again this year. I have picked 5 notable drivers to look at, 1 based on 2024 season stats, 1 based on Small stats, 1 based on the last Dover race, 1 based on their Dover stats over the last 5 Xfinity seasons, and 1 based on the highest in 2024 points that wasn’t already picked. Here is a look at those 5 notable drivers 2024 season statistics, along with ranks among drivers in 2024 as well as ranking through 9 races since the Playoffs started in 2016. We will also highlight notable streaks accomplished through the year and at Dover, 2023/24 Small track (1.0-1.3 miles) statistics and Dover statistics from the past 5 Xfinity seasons.
Note: any driver in 4 straight Xfinity outlook articles is not in consideration for the next two, or any driver in 4 of 5 Xfinity outlook articles is not in consideration for the next one. This resets after they are put back into consideration.
This week not in consideration: Justin Allgaier (4 in a row)
This week not in consideration: Justin Allgaier (4 in a row)
1st in Points – Chandler Smith
| Category | Statistic | 2024 Rank | ªRank Thru 9 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 7.0 | 1st of 33 | 12th of 309 |
| Best Fin. | 1st | — | — |
| Worst Fin. | 25th | — | — |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 99.94% | T1st of 33 | T9th of 309 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 85.15% | 5th of 33 | 43rd of 309 |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 105.62 | 1st of 33 | 22nd of 309‡ |
| Wins | 2 | T1st of 70 | T5th of 606 |
| Poles | 0 | T7th of 70 | T40th of 606 |
| Top 2’s | 3 | T1st of 70 | T7th of 606 |
| Top 3’s | 5 | 1st of 70 | T2nd of 606 |
| Top 5’s | 6 | 1st of 70 | T4th of 606 |
| Top 10’s | 7 | T1st of 70 | T9th of 606 |
| Finish out Top 20¹ | 1 | T3rd of 33 | T23rd of 309 |
| DNF’s¹ | 0 | T1st of 33 | T1st of 309 |
| Stage Wins | 3 | T2nd of 70 | T7th of 533* |
| Stage T10s | 12 | 6th of 70 | T35th of 533* |
| Stage Pts | 79 | 4th of 70 | T22nd of 533* |
| Avg. Stage Fin.¹ | 8.67 | T3rd of 33 | — |
| Playoff Pts² | 13 | 1st of 70 | T6th of 533* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2016
¹Ranks of drivers to start 45% of races thru 9 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 3 straight Top 3 finishes (longest streak in Xfinity Series this year)
- 4 straight Top 5 finishes
- 7 straight Top 10 finishes (tied longest streak in Xfinity Series this year)
- 3 straight Stage Wins (tied longest streak in Xfinity Series this year and tied 7th longest streak in Xfinity Series all-time)
- 2 straight Stage T10’s (active streak)
- 5 straight Stage T10’s
- Notable Dover Streaks
- 2 straight Stage T10’s (active streak)
- 2023/24 Small track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Small track start, 63 drivers)
- 5 Races, Avg. Finish 5.8(4th), 95.65% of Laps ran in Top15(6th), Avg. Driver Rating 109.1(4th), Best 1st, Worst 13th, Laps Completed 99.9%, Led 9.88% of laps he ran, 1 Win, 1 Pole, 2 Top 3’s, 3 Top 5’s, 4 Top 10’s, 5 Top 15’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 1 Stage Win, 4.6 Stage Pts Per Stage
- Dover Statistics
- 2023 Dover Race
- Finished 13th, Started 10th, Led 0 laps, Finished 10th in Stage 1 and 6th in Stage 2, ran 192 Laps in Top 15(96.48% of laps ran), had 86.8 Driver Rating (ranked 12th)
- Notable Dover Statistics over last 5 years (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Dover since 2019, 39 drivers)
- 2 Races
- 17.0 Avg. Finish (Ranks T14th)
- Best Finish: 13th, Worst: 21st
- Completed 99.5% of laps (% ranks T13th)
- 54.77% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 17th)
- 76.3 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 15th)
- Led 0.00% of laps he’s run
- 0 Top 10’s
- 1 Top 15, 50.0% (% ranks T15th)
- 1 finish outside Top 20, 50.0% (% ranks T20th)
- 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 Stage Wins
- 2 Stage T10’s, 50.0% (% ranks T11th)
Main Points & Outlook
– Chandler Smith is notable because of his 2024 season stats
– Last week Smith was one of the unfortunate victims of running out of fuel, so even though he ran 80% of his laps in the Top 15 he finished 25th
– Despite this bad finish he still has the best Avg. Finish this year (7.0) and the best Avg. Driver Rating (105.62) with a worst 2024 Rank above of just T7th (0 Poles)
– He is currently on a 2 straight Stage T10 streak and has had an impressive 3 straight Stage Win streak this year
– The only Dover streak he has is a 2 straight Stage T10 streak he is currently on
– In the last 5 Small track Xfinity races he has 3 Top 5’s and 4 Top 10’s with 4.6 Stage Pts Per Stage, and he’s ran 96% of his laps in the Top 15
– Smith was able to get 6 Stage Pts in the Dover race last year and he ran 96.48% of his laps in the Top 15, but he ended up finishing just 13th
– He’s ran 2 Xfinity races at Dover and has finishes of 21st and 13th while running just 55% of his laps in the Top 15.
Outlook for this weekend
Last week Chandler Smith had a typical Talladega day as he ran well but didn’t finish well. Still, his season stats this year are among the best there is and what’s more is that he’s been really good at Small tracks over the last season and a half. In the 5 races he’s ran well and hasn’t finished worse than 13th in any of the races. However, that 13th place finish came at Dover last year and in his 2 Xfinity starts here he’s been less than impressive. Then again, he’s with JGR now so I expect him to run well and finish well this weekend.
– Chandler Smith is notable because of his 2024 season stats
– Last week Smith was one of the unfortunate victims of running out of fuel, so even though he ran 80% of his laps in the Top 15 he finished 25th
– Despite this bad finish he still has the best Avg. Finish this year (7.0) and the best Avg. Driver Rating (105.62) with a worst 2024 Rank above of just T7th (0 Poles)
– He is currently on a 2 straight Stage T10 streak and has had an impressive 3 straight Stage Win streak this year
– The only Dover streak he has is a 2 straight Stage T10 streak he is currently on
– In the last 5 Small track Xfinity races he has 3 Top 5’s and 4 Top 10’s with 4.6 Stage Pts Per Stage, and he’s ran 96% of his laps in the Top 15
– Smith was able to get 6 Stage Pts in the Dover race last year and he ran 96.48% of his laps in the Top 15, but he ended up finishing just 13th
– He’s ran 2 Xfinity races at Dover and has finishes of 21st and 13th while running just 55% of his laps in the Top 15.
Outlook for this weekend
Last week Chandler Smith had a typical Talladega day as he ran well but didn’t finish well. Still, his season stats this year are among the best there is and what’s more is that he’s been really good at Small tracks over the last season and a half. In the 5 races he’s ran well and hasn’t finished worse than 13th in any of the races. However, that 13th place finish came at Dover last year and in his 2 Xfinity starts here he’s been less than impressive. Then again, he’s with JGR now so I expect him to run well and finish well this weekend.
2nd in Points – Cole Custer
| Category | Statistic | 2024 Rank | ªRank Thru 9 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 8.11 | 2nd of 33 | 20th of 309 |
| Best Fin. | 2nd | — | — |
| Worst Fin. | 16th | — | — |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 99.87% | 3rd of 33 | T24th of 309 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 93.63% | 1st of 33 | 9th of 309 |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 102.43 | 3rd of 33 | 33rd of 309‡ |
| Wins | 0 | T8th of 70 | T60th of 606 |
| Poles | 2 | 2nd of 70 | T5th of 606 |
| Top 2’s | 1 | T6th of 70 | T37th of 606 |
| Top 3’s | 1 | T8th of 70 | T57th of 606 |
| Top 5’s | 4 | 3rd of 70 | T22nd of 606 |
| Top 10’s | 7 | T1st of 70 | T9th of 606 |
| Finish out Top 20¹ | 0 | T1st of 33 | T1st of 309 |
| DNF’s¹ | 0 | T1st of 33 | T1st of 309 |
| Stage Wins | 1 | T6th of 70 | T41st of 533* |
| Stage T10s | 15 | 1st of 70 | T6th of 533* |
| Stage Pts | 83 | 3rd of 70 | T17th of 533* |
| Avg. Stage Fin.¹ | 6.78 | 2nd of 33 | — |
| Playoff Pts² | 1 | T7th of 70 | T52nd of 533* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2016
¹Ranks of drivers to start 45% of races thru 9 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 2 straight Poles (tied longest streak in Xfinity Series this year and tied 10th longest streak in Xfinity Series all-time)
- 3 straight Top 5 finishes
- 7 straight Top 10 finishes (active streak, longest active streak in Xfinity Series and tied longest streak in Xfinity Series this year)
- 9 straight Stage T10’s (active streak, longest active streak in Xfinity Series)
- Notable Dover Streaks
- 3 straight Top 5 finishes (2018.29-2019.29) (tied 9th longest streak in Xfinity Series at Dover all-time)
- 1 straight Top 10 finish (active “streak”)
- 2 straight Stage Wins (2019.10 s1&s2) (tied longest streak in Xfinity Series at Dover all-time)
- 2 straight Stage T10’s (active streak)
- 6 straight Stage T10’s (2018.29 s1-2019.29 s2) (tied 5th longest streak in Xfinity Series at Dover all-time)
- 2023/24 Small track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Small track start, 63 drivers)
- 5 Races, Avg. Finish 9.4(10th), 96.15% of Laps ran in Top15(4th), Avg. Driver Rating 114.28(3rd), Best 1st, Worst 22nd, Laps Completed 99.9%, Led 20.55% of laps he ran, 1 Win, 2 Poles, 1 Top 3, 2 Top 5’s, 3 Top 10’s, 4 Top 15’s, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 2 Stage Wins, 4.1 Stage Pts Per Stage
- Dover Statistics
- 2023 Dover Race
- Finished 7th, Started 2nd, Led 13 laps(6.5%), Finished 8th in Stage 1 and 5th in Stage 2, ran 199 Laps in Top 15(99.5% of laps ran), had 108.6 Driver Rating (ranked 6th)
- Notable Dover Statistics over last 5 years (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Dover since 2019, 39 drivers)
- 3 Races
- 4.0 Avg. Finish (Ranks T3rd)
- Best Finish: 1st, Worst: 7th
- Completed 100% of laps (% ranks T1st)
- 99.67% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 4th)
- 125.1 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 3rd)
- Led 33.17% of laps he’s run (% ranks 2nd)
- 1 Win, 33.33% (% ranks 2nd)
- 1 Pole, 33.33% (% ranks 1st)
- 2 Top 5’s, 66.67% (% ranks 4th)
- 3 Top 10’s, 100% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 finishes outside Top 20, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 2 Stage Wins, 33.33% (% ranks 3rd)
- 6 Stage T10’s, 100% (% ranks T1st)
- 7.33 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 3rd)
Main Points & Outlook
– Cole Custer is notable because of how well he’s ran on Small tracks since the start of 2023
– At Talladega last week Custer ran 75% of his laps in the Top 15, finishing 10th in Stage 1, Stage 2 and at the finish of the race.
– His worst 2024 Rank above is just T8th (0 Wins and 1 Top 3), and he’s ran the best percentage of the laps this year in the Top 15 with the 2nd best Avg. Finish and Avg. Stage Finish
– After Talladega he is riding a 7 race Top 10 finish streak and a 9 straight Stage T10 streak
– His best Dover streaks were from 2018-2019 where he finished 3 straight races in the Top 5 and 6 straight stages in the Top 10
– Since the start of 2023 he’s ran in all 5 Small track races accumulating a 9.4 Avg. Finish with an impressive 114.28 Avg. Driver Rating, and he’s led 21% of his laps
– In the Dover race last year Custer ran all but 1 lap in the Top 15, led 6.5% of the race laps, and finished 7th in the race
– He’s ran in 3 Xfinity Dover races over the last 5 years and in those races has a Win, a worst finish of 7th, and he’s led 33% of his laps while getting 7.33 Stage Pts Per Stage
Outlook for this weekend
Cole Custer may not have a win yet this year, but he does have the 2nd best Avg. Finish and Avg. Stage Finish which is helping him be 2nd in points. A lot of his stats may only get better this weekend as he’s ran well in the last 5 Small track races, but he has had 2 finishes out of the Top 10. However, this is Dover where he hasn’t had a bad race in the Xfinity Series in the last 5 years as he’s ran incredible and finished pretty great. All in all watch out for Custer this weekend at Dover as he could be the first Ford to reach victory lane this year.
– Cole Custer is notable because of how well he’s ran on Small tracks since the start of 2023
– At Talladega last week Custer ran 75% of his laps in the Top 15, finishing 10th in Stage 1, Stage 2 and at the finish of the race.
– His worst 2024 Rank above is just T8th (0 Wins and 1 Top 3), and he’s ran the best percentage of the laps this year in the Top 15 with the 2nd best Avg. Finish and Avg. Stage Finish
– After Talladega he is riding a 7 race Top 10 finish streak and a 9 straight Stage T10 streak
– His best Dover streaks were from 2018-2019 where he finished 3 straight races in the Top 5 and 6 straight stages in the Top 10
– Since the start of 2023 he’s ran in all 5 Small track races accumulating a 9.4 Avg. Finish with an impressive 114.28 Avg. Driver Rating, and he’s led 21% of his laps
– In the Dover race last year Custer ran all but 1 lap in the Top 15, led 6.5% of the race laps, and finished 7th in the race
– He’s ran in 3 Xfinity Dover races over the last 5 years and in those races has a Win, a worst finish of 7th, and he’s led 33% of his laps while getting 7.33 Stage Pts Per Stage
Outlook for this weekend
Cole Custer may not have a win yet this year, but he does have the 2nd best Avg. Finish and Avg. Stage Finish which is helping him be 2nd in points. A lot of his stats may only get better this weekend as he’s ran well in the last 5 Small track races, but he has had 2 finishes out of the Top 10. However, this is Dover where he hasn’t had a bad race in the Xfinity Series in the last 5 years as he’s ran incredible and finished pretty great. All in all watch out for Custer this weekend at Dover as he could be the first Ford to reach victory lane this year.
3rd in Points – Austin Hill
| Category | Statistic | 2024 Rank | ªRank Thru 9 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 8.22 | 3rd of 33 | 21st of 309 |
| Best Fin. | 1st | — | — |
| Worst Fin. | 34th | — | — |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 88.53% | 26th of 33 | 224th of 309 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 82.09% | 6th of 33 | 58th of 309 |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 103.03 | 2nd of 33 | 29th of 309‡ |
| Wins | 2 | T1st of 70 | T5th of 606 |
| Poles | 1 | T3rd of 70 | T16th of 606 |
| Top 2’s | 3 | T1st of 70 | T7th of 606 |
| Top 3’s | 3 | 2nd of 70 | T19th of 606 |
| Top 5’s | 5 | 2nd of 70 | T10th of 606 |
| Top 10’s | 7 | T1st of 70 | T9th of 606 |
| Finish out Top 20¹ | 1 | T3rd of 33 | T23rd of 309 |
| DNF’s¹ | 1 | T10th of 33 | T76th of 309 |
| Stage Wins | 2 | 5th of 70 | T17th of 533* |
| Stage T10s | 13 | T3rd of 70 | T21st of 533* |
| Stage Pts | 74 | 5th of 70 | T32nd of 533* |
| Avg. Stage Fin.¹ | 8.67 | T3rd of 33 | — |
| Playoff Pts² | 12 | 2nd of 70 | T9th of 533* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2016
¹Ranks of drivers to start 45% of races thru 9 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 2 straight Wins (longest streak in Xfinity Series this year and tied 15th longest streak in Xfinity Series all-time)
- 2 straight Top 2 finishes (tied longest streak in Xfinity Series this year)
- 5 straight Top 5 finishes (longest streak in Xfinity Series this year)
- 6 straight Top 10 finishes
- 4 straight Stage T10’s (active streak)
- Notable Dover Streaks
- 1 straight Top 5 finish (active “streak”)
- 3 straight Stage T10’s (active streak)
- 2023/24 Small track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Small track start, 63 drivers)
- 5 Races, Avg. Finish 5.0(3rd), 97.14% of Laps ran in Top15(3rd), Avg. Driver Rating 107.08(5th), Best 3rd, Worst 7th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 6.02% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 1 Top 3, 3 Top 5’s, 5 Top 10’s, 5 Top 15’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 4.1 Stage Pts Per Stage
- Dover Statistics
- 2023 Dover Race
- Finished 4th, Started 6th, Led 18 laps(9.0%), Finished 4th in Stage 1 and 2nd in Stage 2, ran 198 Laps in Top 15(99.0% of laps ran), had 118.9 Driver Rating (ranked 2nd)
- Notable Dover Statistics over last 5 years (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Dover since 2019, 39 drivers)
- 2 Races
- 9.0 Avg. Finish (Ranks 8th)
- Best Finish: 4th, Worst: 14th
- Completed 100% of laps (% ranks T1st)
- 99.5% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 5th)
- 101.55 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 6th)
- Led 4.5% of laps he’s run (% ranks T6th)
- 0 Top 3’s
- 1 Top 5, 50.0% (% ranks T5th)
- 2 Top 15’s, 100% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 finishes outside Top 20, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 Stage Wins
- 3 Stage T10’s, 75.0% (% ranks 9th)
- 4.25 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks T5th)
Main Points & Outlook
– Austin Hill is notable because of how he ran at Dover last year
– Hill ran 94% of his laps last weekend at Talladega in the Top 15 and led the most laps of anyone, but a late wreck caused him to finish 14th
– On the year he has an 8.22 Avg. Finish with an 8.67 Avg. Stage Finish, and he has 2 Wins with the 2nd best Avg. Driver Rating (103.03)
– Earlier this year he was on a 5 race Top 5 streak and he is currently on a 4 straight Stage T10 streak
– The only Dover streaks he has are his active 1 race Top 5 “streak” and 3 straight Stage T10 streak
– Since the start of 2023 he’s ran all 5 Xfinity Small track races getting a 5.0 Avg. Finish with a worse finish of just 7th, but he also has a best finish of just 3rd
– At Dover last year Hill ran all but 2 laps in the Top 15, finished 2nd in Stage 2, and had the 2nd best Driver Rating; but he ended up 4th at the finish
– In his 2 Xfinity races at Dover he’s ran an impressive 99.5% of his laps in the Top 15 getting finishes of 14th and 4th while accumulating 4.25 Stage Pts Per Stage
Outlook for this weekend
Austin Hill started off the year with 6 straight Top 10 finishes, but 2 of his last 3 finishes have been out of the Top 10. However, even with this his overall stats this year are very good, and what’s better is that this weekend is a Small track. In the last 5 Small track races he has a worst finish of just 7th and he’s ran well in the races as well. Some more good news is that this weekend is Dover where he’s ran very well and has been good at getting Stage Pts, but he has just a best finish of 4th. Overall expect a good run from Hill this weekend with a good finish, but not a win.
– Austin Hill is notable because of how he ran at Dover last year
– Hill ran 94% of his laps last weekend at Talladega in the Top 15 and led the most laps of anyone, but a late wreck caused him to finish 14th
– On the year he has an 8.22 Avg. Finish with an 8.67 Avg. Stage Finish, and he has 2 Wins with the 2nd best Avg. Driver Rating (103.03)
– Earlier this year he was on a 5 race Top 5 streak and he is currently on a 4 straight Stage T10 streak
– The only Dover streaks he has are his active 1 race Top 5 “streak” and 3 straight Stage T10 streak
– Since the start of 2023 he’s ran all 5 Xfinity Small track races getting a 5.0 Avg. Finish with a worse finish of just 7th, but he also has a best finish of just 3rd
– At Dover last year Hill ran all but 2 laps in the Top 15, finished 2nd in Stage 2, and had the 2nd best Driver Rating; but he ended up 4th at the finish
– In his 2 Xfinity races at Dover he’s ran an impressive 99.5% of his laps in the Top 15 getting finishes of 14th and 4th while accumulating 4.25 Stage Pts Per Stage
Outlook for this weekend
Austin Hill started off the year with 6 straight Top 10 finishes, but 2 of his last 3 finishes have been out of the Top 10. However, even with this his overall stats this year are very good, and what’s better is that this weekend is a Small track. In the last 5 Small track races he has a worst finish of just 7th and he’s ran well in the races as well. Some more good news is that this weekend is Dover where he’s ran very well and has been good at getting Stage Pts, but he has just a best finish of 4th. Overall expect a good run from Hill this weekend with a good finish, but not a win.
4th in Points – Jesse Love
| Category | Statistic | 2024 Rank | ªRank Thru 9 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 9.0 | 4th of 33 | 25th of 309 |
| Best Fin. | 1st | — | — |
| Worst Fin. | 20th | — | — |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 99.94% | T1st of 33 | T9th of 309 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 88.53% | 2nd of 33 | 28th of 309 |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 97.34 | 5th of 33 | 48th of 309‡ |
| Wins | 1 | T3rd of 70 | T18th of 606 |
| Poles | 3 | 1st of 70 | T1st of 606 |
| Top 2’s | 2 | T3rd of 70 | T21st of 606 |
| Top 3’s | 2 | T3rd of 70 | T32nd of 606 |
| Top 5’s | 3 | T4th of 70 | T41st of 606 |
| Top 10’s | 6 | T4th of 70 | T25th of 606 |
| Finish out Top 20¹ | 0 | T1st of 33 | T1st of 309 |
| DNF’s¹ | 0 | T1st of 33 | T1st of 309 |
| Stage Wins | 4 | 1st of 70 | T2nd of 533* |
| Stage T10s | 9 | T8th of 70 | T63rd of 533* |
| Stage Pts | 60 | 6th of 70 | 48th of 533* |
| Avg. Stage Fin.¹ | 10.17 | 5th of 33 | — |
| Playoff Pts² | 9 | 3rd of 70 | 14th of 533* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2016
¹Ranks of drivers to start 45% of races thru 9 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 2 straight Poles (tied longest streak in Xfinity Series this year and tied 10th longest streak in Xfinity Series all-time)
- 6 straight Top 10 finishes (active streak)
- 2 straight Stage Wins
- 3 straight Stage T10’s (active streak)
- Notable Dover Streaks
- none (he’s ran 0 races here in Xfinity Series)
- 2023/24 Small track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Small track start, 63 drivers)
- 1 Races, Avg. Finish 2.0(2nd), 100% of Laps ran in Top15(1st), Avg. Driver Rating 103.5(T7th), Best 2nd, Worst 2nd, Laps Completed 100%, Led 0.00% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 1 Top 3, 1 Top 5, 1 Top 10, 1 Top 15, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 2.0 Stage Pts Per Stage
- Dover Statistics
- 2023 Dover Race
- did not race
- Notable Dover Statistics over last 5 years (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Dover since 2019, 39 drivers)
- 0 Races
Main Points & Outlook
– Jesse Love is notable because he left Talladega 4th in points
– Last week Love incredibly ran all but 1 lap in the Top 15 with finishes of 1st and 2nd in Stage 1 and 2, and then went on to win his 1st career Xfinity race
– On the year he has the 4th best Avg. Finish (9.0), the most Stage Wins (4), the most Poles (3), and his worst 2024 Rank above is only T8th (9 Stage T10’s)
– He is currently riding an impressive 6 race Top 10 finish streak and is also on a 3 straight Stage T10 streak
– He’s never ran a race at Dover and thus has no streaks here
– In his only Small track race since the start of 2023 he ran every lap in the Top 15, had a 103.5 Avg. Driver Rating, and finished 2nd in the race
– Love did not race at Dover last year in the Xfinity Series
– As stated earlier he’s never ran an Xfinity race at Dover
Outlook for this weekend
Jesse Love is off to a hot start in his rookie Xfinity Series campaign only really struggling to get Stage Pts. In fact, he’s on a 6 race Top 10 streak and now we are headed to a Small track where he finished 2nd in his only race at this style. However, this is the Monster Mile this weekend and he has yet to run an Xfinity car around here. All this said expect Love to do well this weekend based on what stats he has, however he hasn’t had back-to-back Top 5’s this year so expect a backend Top 10 finish at best.
– Jesse Love is notable because he left Talladega 4th in points
– Last week Love incredibly ran all but 1 lap in the Top 15 with finishes of 1st and 2nd in Stage 1 and 2, and then went on to win his 1st career Xfinity race
– On the year he has the 4th best Avg. Finish (9.0), the most Stage Wins (4), the most Poles (3), and his worst 2024 Rank above is only T8th (9 Stage T10’s)
– He is currently riding an impressive 6 race Top 10 finish streak and is also on a 3 straight Stage T10 streak
– He’s never ran a race at Dover and thus has no streaks here
– In his only Small track race since the start of 2023 he ran every lap in the Top 15, had a 103.5 Avg. Driver Rating, and finished 2nd in the race
– Love did not race at Dover last year in the Xfinity Series
– As stated earlier he’s never ran an Xfinity race at Dover
Outlook for this weekend
Jesse Love is off to a hot start in his rookie Xfinity Series campaign only really struggling to get Stage Pts. In fact, he’s on a 6 race Top 10 streak and now we are headed to a Small track where he finished 2nd in his only race at this style. However, this is the Monster Mile this weekend and he has yet to run an Xfinity car around here. All this said expect Love to do well this weekend based on what stats he has, however he hasn’t had back-to-back Top 5’s this year so expect a backend Top 10 finish at best.
26th in Points/5th in Owner Points (20 car) – Ryan Truex
| Category | Statistic | 2024 Rank | ªRank Thru 9 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 17.75 | — | — |
| Best Fin. | 1st | — | — |
| Worst Fin. | 25th | — | — |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 90.38% | — | — |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 76.35% | — | — |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 90.0 | — | –‡ |
| Wins | 0 | T8th of 70 | T60th of 606 |
| Poles | 0 | T7th of 70 | T40th of 606 |
| Top 2’s | 0 | T12th of 70 | T99th of 606 |
| Top 3’s | 0 | T17th of 70 | T131st of 606 |
| Top 5’s | 0 | T24th of 70 | T175th of 606 |
| Top 10’s | 2 | T15th of 70 | T132nd of 606 |
| Finish out Top 20¹ | 2 | — | — |
| DNF’s¹ | 1 | — | — |
| Stage Wins | 0 | T9th of 70 | T82nd of 533* |
| Stage T10s | 6 | T13th of 70 | T93rd of 533* |
| Stage Pts | 30 | 15th of 70 | T86th of 533* |
| Avg. Stage Fin.¹ | 9.0 | — | — |
| Playoff Pts² | 0 | T10th of 70 | T74th of 533* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2016
¹Ranks of drivers to start 45% of races thru 9 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 2 straight Top 10 finishes (in races he’s ran)
- 4 straight Stage T10’s
- 5 straight Stage T10’s (in races he’s ran)
- Notable Dover Streaks
- 1 straight Win (active “streak”)
- 2 straight Top 10 finishes (2011.29-2012.12)
- 2 straight Stage Wins (active streak, tied longest streak in Xfinity Series at Dover all-time)
- 2023/24 Small track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Small track start, 63 drivers)
- 2 Races, Avg. Finish 1.5(1st), 97.25% of Laps ran in Top15(2nd), Avg. Driver Rating 125.8(1st), Best 1st, Worst 2nd, Laps Completed 100%, Led 31.0% of laps he ran, 1 Win, 0 Poles, 2 Top 3’s, 2 Top 5’s, 2 Top 10’s, 2 Top 15’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 2 Stage Wins, 5.0 Stage Pts Per Stage
- Dover Statistics
- 2023 Dover Race
- Finished 1st, Started 12th, Led 124 laps(62.0%), Finished 1st in Stage 1 and 1st in Stage 2, ran 200 Laps in Top 15(100% of laps ran), had 150.0 Driver Rating (ranked 1st)
- Notable Dover Statistics over last 5 years (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Dover since 2019, 39 drivers)
- 1 Race
- 1.0 Avg. Finish (Ranks 1st)
- Best Finish: 1st, Worst: 1st
- Completed 100% of laps (% ranks T1st)
- 100% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks T1st)
- 150.0 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 1st)
- Led 62.0% of laps he’s run (% ranks 1st)
- 1 Win, 100% (% ranks 1st)
- 0 finishes outside Top 20, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 2 Stage Wins, 100% (% ranks 1st)
- 2 Stage T10’s, 100% (% ranks T1st)
- 10.0 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 1st)
Main Points & Outlook
– Ryan Truex is notable because of his Dover Xfinity stats over the last 5 years
– At Talladega last week Truex ran 97% of his laps in the Top 15, but was involved in a mid-race wreck which caused him to DNF in 34th place
– He’s ran in 4 races this year and has a 17.75 Avg. Finish in the races with as many Top 10’s as finishes out of the Top 20 (2), but he does have a 9.0 Avg. Stage Finish
– The only streaks he’s had this year were a 4 straight Stage T10 streak to start this year and in races he ran he had a 2 race Top 10 streak
– In 2011/12 he had a 2 race Top 10 finish streak here at Dover and is currently on a 2 straight Stage Win streak here
– He’s ran 2 Small track races since the start of 2023 and in those he’s ran 97% of his laps in the Top 15 with a worst finish of 2nd
– Truex spanked the field last year at Dover as after starting 12th he went on to lead 62% of the race, sweep the stages, and win the race with a perfect Driver Rating
– This is his only race at Dover in the Xfinity Series in the last 5 years, so his stats here are the best among any driver
Outlook for this weekend
Ryan Truex has only ran in 4 races this year, and 3 of those were Superspeedway races so his finishes don’t reflect how well he’s ran. However, this week is a Small track where he’s finished 2nd and 1st in his last 2 races on this style. What’s more is we are headed back to Dover where Truex picked up his first Xfinity Series win and absolutely annihilated the field last year. Overall, watch out for Truex this weekend as he could easily win again based on these incredible numbers.
– Ryan Truex is notable because of his Dover Xfinity stats over the last 5 years
– At Talladega last week Truex ran 97% of his laps in the Top 15, but was involved in a mid-race wreck which caused him to DNF in 34th place
– He’s ran in 4 races this year and has a 17.75 Avg. Finish in the races with as many Top 10’s as finishes out of the Top 20 (2), but he does have a 9.0 Avg. Stage Finish
– The only streaks he’s had this year were a 4 straight Stage T10 streak to start this year and in races he ran he had a 2 race Top 10 streak
– In 2011/12 he had a 2 race Top 10 finish streak here at Dover and is currently on a 2 straight Stage Win streak here
– He’s ran 2 Small track races since the start of 2023 and in those he’s ran 97% of his laps in the Top 15 with a worst finish of 2nd
– Truex spanked the field last year at Dover as after starting 12th he went on to lead 62% of the race, sweep the stages, and win the race with a perfect Driver Rating
– This is his only race at Dover in the Xfinity Series in the last 5 years, so his stats here are the best among any driver
Outlook for this weekend
Ryan Truex has only ran in 4 races this year, and 3 of those were Superspeedway races so his finishes don’t reflect how well he’s ran. However, this week is a Small track where he’s finished 2nd and 1st in his last 2 races on this style. What’s more is we are headed back to Dover where Truex picked up his first Xfinity Series win and absolutely annihilated the field last year. Overall, watch out for Truex this weekend as he could easily win again based on these incredible numbers.
