This week not in consideration: Kyle Larson (4 in a row, 2nd week)
2nd in Points – Martin Truex Jr.
Category | Statistic | 2024 Rank | ÂŞRank Thru 13 Races |
Avg. Fin.Âą | 10.15 | 2nd of 35 | T40th of 851 |
Best Fin. | 2nd | — | — |
Worst Fin. | 25th | — | — |
Completed Laps%Âą | 99.97% | T1st of 35 | T12th of 851 |
Laps in Top15%¹ | 79.5 | 3rd of 35 | 64th of 808‡ |
Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 100.3 | 3rd of 35 | 67th of 808‡ |
Wins | 0 | T9th of 52 | T175th of 1165 |
Poles | 0 | T10th of 52 | T161st of 1165 |
Top 2’s | 1 | T8th of 52 | T137th of 1165 |
Top 3’s | 2 | T8th of 52 | T127th of 1165 |
Top 5’s | 4 | T5th of 52 | T98th of 1165 |
Top 10’s | 7 | T3rd of 52 | T92nd of 1165 |
Finish out Top 20Âą | 1 | 2nd of 35 | T8th of 851 |
DNF’sÂą | 0 | T1st of 35 | T1st of 851 |
Stage Wins | 2 | T3rd of 52 | T28th of 418* |
Stage T10s | 18 | 2nd of 52 | T21st of 418* |
Stage Pts | 107 | 3rd of 52 | 33rd of 418* |
Avg. Stage Fin.Âą | 9.73 | 3rd of 35 | — |
Playoff Pts² | 2 | T9th of 52 | T77th of 418* |
ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 13 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 2 straight Top 5 finishes
- 5 straight Top 10 finishes (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
- 8 straight Stage T10’s
- Notable All-Star Race Streaks
- 2 straight Top 10 finishes (2019-2020)
- 2024 Short track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Intermediate start, 39 drivers)
- 3 Races, Avg. Finish 8.0(4th), 81.6% of Laps ran in Top15(4th), Avg. Driver Rating 111.57(3rd), Best 2nd, Worst 18th, Laps Completed 99.92%, Led 21.35% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 1 Top 3, 2 Top 5’s, 2 Top 10’s, 2 Top 15’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 1 Stage Win, 5.33 Stage Pts Per Stage, Avg. Stage Finish 5.67
- All-Star Race Statistics
- 2023 All-Star Race
- Finished 14th, Started 12th, Led 0 laps, finished 1 lap down
- Notable Next Gen All-Star Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start in All-Star Race since 2022, 29 drivers)
- 2 Races
- 14.0 Avg. Finish (Ranks T17th)
- Best Finish: 14th, Worst: 14th
- Completed 99.71% of laps (% ranks T14th)
- Led 0.00% of laps he’s run
- 0 Top 10’s
- 0 finishes outside Top 15, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
– Martin Truex Jr. is notable because of his 2024 stats thru 13 races
– Truex had a typical Next Gen Darlington day for him as he was in the Top 5 when he was caught up in a wreck causing him to run just 43% of his laps in the Top 15 and finish 25th
– For the year he has a 10.15 Avg. Finish with a 9.73 Avg. Stage Finish, and he has the 3rd best Laps in Top 15% in the 2024 Ranks above with the 3rd best Avg. Driver Rating as well
– This year he’s had a 2 race Top 5 streak, 5 race Top 10 streak, and an 8 straight Stage T10 streak
– The only streak he’s had in the All-Star Race is a 2 race Top 10 streak from 2019 to 2020
– In the 3 Short track races this year he has 2 Top 5’s, the 3rd best Avg. Driver Rating (111.57), a Stage Win, and a 5.67 Avg. Stage Finish
– In the 2023 All-Star Race Truex started 12th, led 0 laps, and finished the race 14th one lap down
– He’s ran in both Next Gen All-Star races and in the races he’s finished 14th both times without leading a single lap
Outlook for this weekend
Martin Truex Jr. had another tough day at Darlington last week, but coming into the All-Star break he is 2nd in points with the 2nd best Avg. Finish and 3rd best Avg. Stage Finish. A good bit of his success this year has come on Short tracks where he’s ran very well and has finished good in 2 of the 3 races. However, this is the All-Star Race where he’s finished 14th in the last 2 races and hasn’t impressed much. Overall, based on the Short track stats from this year if Truex can get a good starting spot he could very much be a contender for the win this weekend.
3rd in Points – Denny Hamlin
Category | Statistic | 2024 Rank | ÂŞRank Thru 13 Races |
Avg. Fin.Âą | 12.69 | T6th of 35 | T106th of 851 |
Best Fin. | 1st | — | — |
Worst Fin. | 37th | — | — |
Completed Laps%Âą | 99.09% | T11th of 35 | T143rd of 851 |
Laps in Top15%¹ | 87.18 | 1st of 35 | 17th of 808‡ |
Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 104.07 | 1st of 35 | 39th of 808‡ |
Wins | 3 | T1st of 52 | T7th of 1165 |
Poles | 1 | T4th of 52 | T50th of 1165 |
Top 2’s | 3 | T2nd of 52 | T38th of 1165 |
Top 3’s | 3 | T4th of 52 | T72nd of 1165 |
Top 5’s | 5 | T2nd of 52 | T56th of 1165 |
Top 10’s | 6 | T6th of 52 | T149th of 1165 |
Finish out Top 20Âą | 3 | T6th of 35 | T115th of 851 |
DNF’sÂą | 1 | T8th of 35 | T188th of 851 |
Stage Wins | 3 | 2nd of 52 | T16th of 418* |
Stage T10s | 16 | 3rd of 52 | T38th of 418* |
Stage Pts | 110 | 2nd of 52 | T29th of 418* |
Avg. Stage Fin.Âą | 9.65 | 2nd of 35 | — |
Playoff Pts² | 18 | 1st of 52 | T6th of 418* |
ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 13 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 3 straight Top 5 finishes (active streak, longest active streak in Cup Series and tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
- 4 straight Stage T10’s
- Notable All-Star Race Streaks
- 2 straight Top 5 finishes (2009-2010) (tied 10th longest streak in All-Star Race all-time)
- 6 straight Top 10 finishes (2013-2018) (tied 5th longest streak in All-Star Race all-time)
- 2024 Short track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Intermediate start, 39 drivers)
- 3 Races, Avg. Finish 4.33(2nd), 94.33% of Laps ran in Top15(1st), Avg. Driver Rating 121.37(1st), Best 1st, Worst 11th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 18.61% of laps he ran, 2 Wins, 0 Poles, 2 Top 3’s, 2 Top 5’s, 2 Top 10’s, 3 Top 15’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 1 Stage Win, 4.0 Stage Pts Per Stage, Avg. Stage Finish 7.33
- All-Star Race Statistics
- 2023 All-Star Race
- Finished 13th, Started 9th, Led 0 laps, finished 1 lap down
- Notable Next Gen All-Star Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start in All-Star Race since 2022, 29 drivers)
- 2 Races
- 7.5 Avg. Finish (Ranks 7th)
- Best Finish: 2nd, Worst: 13th
- Completed 99.71% of laps (% ranks T14th)
- Led 0.00% of laps he’s run
- 0 Wins
- 1 Top 3, 50.0% (% ranks T2nd)
- 0 finishes outside Top 15, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
– Denny Hamlin is notable because of his 2024 Short track stats
– At Darlington Hamlin got just 3 Stage Pts and led just 1 lap, but he did run 98% of his laps in the Top 15 en route to a 4th place finish
– In 2024 he has the best Laps in Top 15% of laps run this year despite being T11th in Completed Laps%, and most of his 2024 stats above are 2nd or better
– He is currently on a 3 race Top 5 streak, the longest current streak in the Cup Series
– From 2013 to 2018 he had a stretch of 6 straight Top 10 finishes in the All-Star Race
– At Short tracks this year he has a 4.33 Avg. Finish with 2 Wins, the best Avg. Driver Rating (121.37), and the best Laps in Top 15% (94.33)
– Last year in the All-Star Race Hamlin started 9th and finished 13th one lap down, without leading a lap
– In his 2 Next Gen All-Star races he has a 2nd and 13th place finish, but he is yet to lead a lap
Outlook for this weekend
Denny Hamlin has been on quite the roll of late as Darlington gave him his 3rd straight Top 5 finish and his 5th Top 5 on the year. What’s even better is he’s been really good in stages too, but the best news of all is that this week is a Short track. In these races this year he’s ran amazing and finished with 2 Wins in the 3 races. However, last year he wasn’t great here, but 2 years ago in the All-Star Race he was able to pull out a 2nd place finish. All in all, when you look at the stats above it’s hard to not see Hamlin as one of the few favorites to win this weekend.
4th in Points – Chase Elliott
Category | Statistic | 2024 Rank | ÂŞRank Thru 13 Races |
Avg. Fin.Âą | 9.85 | 1st of 35 | 37th of 851 |
Best Fin. | 1st | — | — |
Worst Fin. | 19th | — | — |
Completed Laps%Âą | 99.97% | T1st of 35 | T12th of 851 |
Laps in Top15%¹ | 71.07 | 4th of 35 | 147th of 808‡ |
Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 91.52 | 5th of 35 | 161st of 808‡ |
Wins | 1 | T4th of 52 | T66th of 1165 |
Poles | 0 | T10th of 52 | T161st of 1165 |
Top 2’s | 1 | T8th of 52 | T137th of 1165 |
Top 3’s | 3 | T4th of 52 | T72nd of 1165 |
Top 5’s | 5 | T2nd of 52 | T56th of 1165 |
Top 10’s | 6 | T6th of 52 | T149th of 1165 |
Finish out Top 20Âą | 0 | T1st of 35 | T1st of 851 |
DNF’sÂą | 0 | T1st of 35 | T1st of 851 |
Stage Wins | 1 | T8th of 52 | T56th of 418* |
Stage T10s | 15 | T4th of 52 | T47th of 418* |
Stage Pts | 71 | 6th of 52 | T65th of 418* |
Avg. Stage Fin.Âą | 11.38 | 4th of 35 | — |
Playoff Pts² | 6 | 6th of 52 | T42nd of 418* |
ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 13 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 2 straight Top 3 finishes (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
- 3 straight Top 5 finishes (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
- 9 straight Stage T10’s (longest streak in Cup Series this year)
- Notable All-Star Race Streaks
- 2 straight Top 3 finishes (2020-2021) (tied 3rd longest streak in All-Star Race)
- 1 straight Top 5 finish (active “streak”)
- 3 straight Top 10 finishes (2016-2018)
- 2024 Short track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Intermediate start, 39 drivers)
- 3 Races, Avg. Finish 5.33(3rd), 79.18% of Laps ran in Top15(5th), Avg. Driver Rating 102.5(4th), Best 3rd, Worst 8th, Laps Completed 99.92%, Led 5.6% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 1 Top 3, 2 Top 5’s, 3 Top 10’s, 3 Top 15’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 3.17 Stage Pts Per Stage, Avg. Stage Finish 10.67
- All-Star Race Statistics
- 2023 All-Star Race
- Finished 5th, Started 13th, Led 0 laps, finished on lead lap
- Notable Next Gen All-Star Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start in All-Star Race since 2022, 29 drivers)
- 2 Races
- 14.0 Avg. Finish (Ranks T17th)
- Best Finish: 5th, Worst: 23rd
- Completed 72.65% of laps (% ranks T26th)
- Led 0.00% of laps he’s run
- 0 Top 3’s
- 1 Top 5, 50.0% (% ranks T2nd)
- 1 finish outside Top 15, 50.00% (% ranks T15th)
- 1 DNF, 50.00% (% ranks T25th)
– Chase Elliott is notable because he is 4th in points heading into the All-Star Race
– Elliott had a very subpar day at Darlington as he ran just 17% of his laps in the Top 15 and finished 12th
– He has the best Avg. Finish this year (9.85), and is the only driver with 6+ starts in the Cup Series this year to neither finish out of the Top 20 or have a DNF
– When it comes to streaks this year he is tied for the longest Top 3 and Top 5 streak with the longest Stage T10 streak this year at 9 straight stages
– He is on a 1 race Top 5 “streak” in the All-Star Race, and in the late mid 2010’s he had 3 straight Top 10’s in the All-Star Race
– At Short tracks this year he has the 3rd best Avg. Finish, the 4th best Avg. Driver Rating, and is one of two drivers to finish all 3 races in the Top 10; but he has just a 10.67 Avg. Stage Finish
– In last years All-Star Race Elliott started 13th, but he moved himself up to 5th by the end of the race
– In the 2 Next Gen All-Star races he has a Top 5 finish and a 23rd place DNF
Outlook for this weekend
Chase Elliott had a very rough day at Darlington almost getting lapped in Stage 1, but despite this he has still yet to get a DNF or finish out of the Top 20 this year. Up next is a Short track where he has performed admirably in terms of finishes, but in stages he hasn’t done well. Thankfully for Elliott this is the All-Star Race where he won’t have to worry about stages and where last year he finished 5th. In all, when looking at the stats it wouldn’t be surprising to see Elliott near the front at the finish, but if he’s up front during the race much, that’d be the surprise.
6th in Points – Tyler Reddick
Category | Statistic | 2024 Rank | ÂŞRank Thru 13 Races |
Avg. Fin.Âą | 14.69 | 10th of 35 | T191st of 851 |
Best Fin. | 1st | — | — |
Worst Fin. | 32nd | — | — |
Completed Laps%Âą | 99.17% | 10th of 35 | T136th of 851 |
Laps in Top15%¹ | 69.46 | 5th of 35 | 157th of 808‡ |
Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 91.84 | 4th of 35 | 157th of 808‡ |
Wins | 1 | T4th of 52 | T66th of 1165 |
Poles | 1 | T4th of 52 | T50th of 1165 |
Top 2’s | 2 | T5th of 52 | T73rd of 1165 |
Top 3’s | 2 | T8th of 52 | T127th of 1165 |
Top 5’s | 4 | T5th of 52 | T98th of 1165 |
Top 10’s | 7 | T3rd of 52 | T92nd of 1165 |
Finish out Top 20Âą | 4 | T12th of 35 | T211th of 851 |
DNF’sÂą | 1 | T8th of 35 | T188th of 851 |
Stage Wins | 2 | T3rd of 52 | T28th of 418* |
Stage T10s | 15 | T4th of 52 | T47th of 418* |
Stage Pts | 92 | 4th of 52 | T44th of 418* |
Avg. Stage Fin.Âą | 11.65 | 5th of 35 | — |
Playoff Pts² | 7 | T4th of 52 | T29th of 418* |
ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 13 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 2 straight Top 5 finishes
- 5 straight Top 10 finishes (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
- 3 straight Stage T10’s (active streak)
- 4 straight Stage T10’s
- Notable All-Star Race Streaks
- 1 straight Top 3 finish (active “streak”)
- 2024 Short track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Intermediate start, 39 drivers)
- 3 Races, Avg. Finish 15.67(16th), 48.9% of Laps ran in Top15(17th), Avg. Driver Rating 67.63(20th), Best 7th, Worst 30th, Laps Completed 99.62%, Led 0.3% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 0 Top 5’s, 2 Top 10’s, 2 Top 15’s, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 0.17 Stage Pts Per Stage, Avg. Stage Finish 20.17
- All-Star Race Statistics
- 2023 All-Star Race
- Finished 3rd, Started 20th, Led 0 laps, finished on lead lap
- Notable Next Gen All-Star Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start in All-Star Race since 2022, 29 drivers)
- 1 Race
- 3.0 Avg. Finish (Ranks 1st)
- Best Finish: 3rd, Worst: 3rd
- Completed 100% of laps (% ranks T1st)
- Led 0.00% of laps he’s run
- 0 Wins
- 1 Top 3, 100% (% ranks 1st)
- 0 finishes outside Top 15, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
– Tyler Reddick is notable because he has the best Next Gen All-Star Race Avg. Finish
– Reddick had the car to beat at Darlington as he got 17 Stage Pts, including a Stage 2 win, and led 60% of the race; but another questionable Darlington move caused him to crash and finish 32nd
– He’s been good in stages this year as he has the 5th best Avg. Stage Finish (11.65), but his 4 finishes out of the Top 20 have his Avg. Finish at 10th best (14.69)
– He is currently on a 3 straight Stage T10 streak and at one point this year had a 5 race Top 10 finish streak
– The only streak he has had in the All-Star Race is a 1 straight Top 3 finish “streak” that he is currently on
– Short tracks have been a struggle for him this year as he’s ran just 49% of his laps in the Top 15 and has the 20th best Avg. Driver Rating, but he does have 2 Top 10 finishes
– Reddick was good in the 2023 All-Star Race as he was able to finish 3rd after starting in 20th place
– This was his only Next Gen All-Star Race and thus he has very good stats in the All-Star Race with this car
Outlook for this weekend
If Tyler Reddick had been more patient last week he might be a two-time winner this year, but instead he wrecked himself and Chris Buescher out of a Darlington win. This was his 4th finish out of the Top 20 this year and what’s worse is that this weekend is a Short track. He’s struggled to run well in the 3 Short track races this year, but he does have 2 Top 10’s. In more positive news this week is the All-Star Race where in his only Next Gen start he was able to drive through the field and finish 3rd. Overall, it’s hard to tell what to expect from Reddick this weekend, but it seems either expect a bad run with a good finish or good run with a bad finish.
16th in Points – Bubba Wallace
Category | Statistic | 2024 Rank | ÂŞRank Thru 13 Races |
Avg. Fin.Âą | 17.00 | 16th of 35 | T297th of 851 |
Best Fin. | 4th | — | — |
Worst Fin. | 36th | — | — |
Completed Laps%Âą | 96.83% | 21st of 35 | 331st of 851 |
Laps in Top15%¹ | 60.17 | 8th of 35 | 228th of 808‡ |
Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 78.83 | 16th of 35 | 305th of 808‡ |
Wins | 0 | T9th of 52 | T175th of 1165 |
Poles | 0 | T10th of 52 | T161st of 1165 |
Top 2’s | 0 | T15th of 52 | T279th of 1165 |
Top 3’s | 0 | T18th of 52 | T354th of 1165 |
Top 5’s | 3 | T11th of 52 | T161st of 1165 |
Top 10’s | 5 | T12th of 52 | T212th of 1165 |
Finish out Top 20Âą | 4 | T12th of 35 | T211th of 851 |
DNF’sÂą | 2 | T24th of 35 | T441st of 851 |
Stage Wins | 0 | T14th of 52 | T97th of 418* |
Stage T10s | 13 | 8th of 52 | T64th of 418* |
Stage Pts | 56 | 9th of 52 | T83rd of 418* |
Avg. Stage Fin.Âą | 13.77 | 10th of 35 | — |
Playoff Pts² | 0 | T17th of 52 | T113th of 418* |
ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 13 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 2 straight Top 5 finishes
- 2 straight Stage T10’s (active streak)
- 6 straight Stage T10’s
- 2 straight DNF’s
- Notable All-Star Race Streaks
- 1 straight Top 2 finish (active “streak”)
- 2024 Short track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Intermediate start, 39 drivers)
- 3 Races, Avg. Finish 15.33(T14th), 83.69% of Laps ran in Top15(3rd), Avg. Driver Rating 93.27(6th), Best 4th, Worst 29th, Laps Completed 99.7%, Led 1.29% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 1 Top 5, 1 Top 10, 2 Top 15’s, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 5.33 Stage Pts Per Stage, Avg. Stage Finish 8.5
- All-Star Race Statistics
- 2023 All-Star Race
- Finished 2nd, Started 10th, Led 0 laps, finished on lead lap
- Notable Next Gen All-Star Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start in All-Star Race since 2022, 29 drivers)
- 2 Races
- 9.0 Avg. Finish (Ranks T8th)
- Best Finish: 2nd, Worst: 16th
- Completed 100% of laps (% ranks T1st)
- Led 0.00% of laps he’s run
- 0 Wins
- 1 Top 3, 50.0% (% ranks T2nd)
- 1 finish outside Top 15, 50.0% (% ranks T15th)
- 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
– Bubba Wallace is notable because of the fact he finished 2nd in last years All-Star Race
– At Darlington Wallace got 3 Stage Pts, ran 93% of his laps in the Top 15, and finished 7th
– He has just a best finish of 4th this year and only has 5 Top 10’s with a 17.00 Avg. Finish, but he does have the 8th most Stage T10’s this year (13)
– On the year his longest Top 5/10 streak is the same as his longest DNF streak (2 races), but he is currently on a 2 straight Stage T10 streak
– The only All-Star Race streak he has is a 1 race Top 2 “streak” that he is currently on
– He has just 1 Top 5 (a 4th) in the 3 Short track races this year, but he has the 3rd best Laps in Top 15% and 5.33 Stage Pts Per Stage
– Last year Wallace ran well in the All-Star Race as he came from 10th place at the start to finish 2nd
– This was his 2nd Next Gen All-Star Race and in the two races he has a 9.0 Avg. Finish with 0 laps led
Outlook for this weekend
Bubba Wallace now has more Top 10’s than finishes out of the Top 20 after Darlington, but overall he’s not been able to finish well in races. What’s worse is that he is in the Open race this weekend and isn’t even guaranteed to be in the All-Star Race. However, there is good news in the fact that he’s ran well on Short tracks this year, but unfortunately for him he hasn’t been able to finish them well. More good news is that in last years All-Star Race Wallace was able to finish 2nd. Based on the stats if Wallace can make it into the All-Star Race he could be a good sleeper pick for a Top 5 finish.