Last week we saw another Hendrick/JGR dominated race as parity has gone out the window in the Next Gen. This time JGR came out on top as Denny Hamlin was able to beat Kyle Larson to the finish line. This weekend we head to a track where Hendrick and JGR could dominate again, but we’ll see what 23XI has to say about that. I have picked 5 notable drivers to look at, 1 based on 2024 season stats, 1 based on Intermediate stats, 1 based on the last Kansas race, 1 based on their Next Gen Kansas stats, and 1 based on the highest in points that wasn’t already picked. Here is a look at those 5 notable drivers 2024 season statistics, along with ranks among drivers in 2024 as well as ranking through 11 races since the Playoffs started in 2004. We will also highlight notable streaks accomplished through the year and at Kansas, 2024 Intermediate (1.3-1.5 miles) statistics and Kansas statistics in the Next Gen car.
Note: any driver in 4 straight Cup outlook articles is not in consideration for the next two, or any driver in 4 of 5 Cup outlook articles is not in consideration for the next one. This resets after they are put back into consideration.
This week not in consideration: Denny Hamlin (4 in a row, 2nd week) and Ryan Blaney (4 in a row)
This week not in consideration: Denny Hamlin (4 in a row, 2nd week) and Ryan Blaney (4 in a row)
1st in Points – Kyle Larson
| Category | Statistic | 2024 Rank | ªRank Thru 11 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 11.73 | 4th of 35 | T88th of 861 |
| Best Fin. | 1st | — | — |
| Worst Fin. | 32nd | — | — |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 98.85% | 14th of 35 | 205th of 861 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 78.47 | 3rd of 35 | 69th of 817‡ |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 102.18 | 3rd of 35 | 53rd of 817‡ |
| Wins | 1 | T3rd of 52 | T55th of 1144 |
| Poles | 3 | 1st of 52 | T3rd of 1144 |
| Top 2’s | 3 | T1st of 52 | T21st of 1144 |
| Top 3’s | 4 | T1st of 52 | T23rd of 1144 |
| Top 5’s | 5 | 1st of 52 | T34th of 1144 |
| Top 10’s | 5 | T6th of 52 | T145th of 1144 |
| Finish out Top 20¹ | 3 | T10th of 35 | T167th of 861 |
| DNF’s¹ | 1 | T8th of 35 | T236th of 861 |
| Stage Wins | 6 | 1st of 52 | T1st of 410* |
| Stage T10s | 15 | T1st of 52 | T20th of 410* |
| Stage Pts | 126 | 1st of 52 | T6th of 410* |
| Avg. Stage Fin.¹ | 8.05 | 1st of 35 | — |
| Playoff Pts² | 11 | 3rd of 52 | T14th of 410* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2004
¹Ranks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 11 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 3 straight Poles (longest streak in Cup Series this year and tied 12th longest streak in Cup Series all-time)
- 2 straight Top 3 finishes (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
- 2 straight Stage Wins (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year and tied 14th longest streak in Cup Series all-time)
- 3 straight Stage T10’s (active streak)
- 5 straight Stage T10’s
- Notable Kansas Streaks
- 2 straight Top 2 finishes (2021.34-2022.13) (tied 4th longest streak in Cup Series at Kansas all-time)
- 2 straight Top 3 finishes (2021.34-2022.13) (tied 7th longest streak in Cup Series at Kansas all-time)
- 2 straight Top 5 finishes (active streak)
- 5 straight Top 10 finishes (active streak, tied longest active streak in Cup Series at Kansas and tied 7th longest streak in Cup Series at Kansas all-time)
- 2 straight Stage Wins (2021.11 s2-2021.34 s1) (tied longest streak in Cup Series at Kansas all-time)
- 4 straight Stage T10’s (2021.11 s1-2021.34 s2 & 2022.28 s2-2023.28 s1)
- 2024 Intermediate Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Small track start, 40 drivers)
- 2 Races, Avg. Finish 11.0(9th), 71.64% of Laps ran in Top15(7th), Avg. Driver Rating 128.3(1st), Best 1st, Worst 21st, Laps Completed 100%, Led 47.51% of laps he ran, 1 Win, 1 Pole, 1 Top 3, 1 Top 5, 1 Top 10, 1 Top 15, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 3 Stage Wins, 7.5 Stage Pts Per Stage, Avg. Stage Finish 9.0
- Kansas Statistics
- 2023 Fall Kansas Race
- Finished 4th, Started 2nd, Led 99 laps(36.94%), Finished 1st in Stage 1, ran 228 Laps in Top 15(85.07% of laps ran), had 119.8 Driver Rating (ranked 3rd)
- Notable Next Gen Kansas Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Kansas since 2022, 36 drivers)
- 4 Races
- 4.0 Avg. Finish (Ranks 2nd)
- Best Finish: 2nd, Worst: 8th
- Completed 100% of laps (% ranks T1st)
- 91.39% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 2nd)
- 112.55 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 2nd)
- Led 19.93% of laps he’s run (% ranks 1st)
- 0 Wins
- 2 Top 2’s, 50.0% (% ranks T2nd)
- 3 Top 5’s, 75.0% (% ranks 2nd)
- 4 Top 10’s, 100% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 finishes outside Top 20, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 1 Stage Win, 12.5% (% ranks T2nd)
- 5 Stage T10’s, 62.5% (% ranks T6th)
Main Points & Outlook
– Kyle Larson is notable because of his 2024 stats (mainly how he’s ran) on Intermediate tracks
– At Dover last week Larson Won Stage 2, got 16 total Stage Pts, ran 95% of his laps in the Top 15, and finished 2nd
– He’s been great in stages this year as he is (T)1st in every 2024 stage stat above and is T1st for most Stage Wins thru 11 races in Cup history, but he has just 5 Top 10’s to 3 finishes out of the Top 20
– This year he’s had a 3 straight Pole streak, a 2 straight Top 3 finish streak, and he is currently on a 3 straight Stage T10 streak
– He is on a 2 race Top 5 streak and 5 race Top 10 streak here at Kansas, and in 2021-22 he had a 2 race Top 2 streak
– In the 2 Intermediate races this year he’s ran great as he has the best Avg. Driver Rating and has won 3 of the 4 stages, but he has finishes of 1st and 21st
– At Kansas last Fall Larson ran 85% of his laps in the Top 15, won Stage 1, and led 37% of the race en route to a 4th place finish
– In the 4 Next Gen races at Kansas he has the best Avg. Driver Rating (112.55) and the best Laps Led% (19.93%) with 3 Top 5’s, but also 0 Wins
Outlook for this weekend
Kyle Larson has been great in stages this year picking up his 6th Stage Win last week, and he almost picked up his 2nd race win of the season last week as well. This great success he’s had may continue this weekend as he’s won 75% of the stages on Intermediate tracks this year and he has the best Driver Rating of any driver. Even worse for the competition is this is Kansas where he ranks 1st or 2nd in almost every Next Gen Kansas rank above, but he hasn’t found victory lane. Based on the stats it is obvious Larson will run well this weekend, but a win may not be in the cards.
– Kyle Larson is notable because of his 2024 stats (mainly how he’s ran) on Intermediate tracks
– At Dover last week Larson Won Stage 2, got 16 total Stage Pts, ran 95% of his laps in the Top 15, and finished 2nd
– He’s been great in stages this year as he is (T)1st in every 2024 stage stat above and is T1st for most Stage Wins thru 11 races in Cup history, but he has just 5 Top 10’s to 3 finishes out of the Top 20
– This year he’s had a 3 straight Pole streak, a 2 straight Top 3 finish streak, and he is currently on a 3 straight Stage T10 streak
– He is on a 2 race Top 5 streak and 5 race Top 10 streak here at Kansas, and in 2021-22 he had a 2 race Top 2 streak
– In the 2 Intermediate races this year he’s ran great as he has the best Avg. Driver Rating and has won 3 of the 4 stages, but he has finishes of 1st and 21st
– At Kansas last Fall Larson ran 85% of his laps in the Top 15, won Stage 1, and led 37% of the race en route to a 4th place finish
– In the 4 Next Gen races at Kansas he has the best Avg. Driver Rating (112.55) and the best Laps Led% (19.93%) with 3 Top 5’s, but also 0 Wins
Outlook for this weekend
Kyle Larson has been great in stages this year picking up his 6th Stage Win last week, and he almost picked up his 2nd race win of the season last week as well. This great success he’s had may continue this weekend as he’s won 75% of the stages on Intermediate tracks this year and he has the best Driver Rating of any driver. Even worse for the competition is this is Kansas where he ranks 1st or 2nd in almost every Next Gen Kansas rank above, but he hasn’t found victory lane. Based on the stats it is obvious Larson will run well this weekend, but a win may not be in the cards.
2nd in Points – Martin Truex Jr.
| Category | Statistic | 2024 Rank | ªRank Thru 11 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 9.36 | 1st of 35 | T32nd of 861 |
| Best Fin. | 2nd | — | — |
| Worst Fin. | 18th | — | — |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 99.97% | T1st of 35 | T13th of 861 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 81.32 | 2nd of 35 | 47th of 817‡ |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 102.7 | 1st of 35 | 49th of 817‡ |
| Wins | 0 | T8th of 52 | T157th of 1144 |
| Poles | 0 | T8th of 52 | T144th of 1144 |
| Top 2’s | 1 | T7th of 52 | T121st of 1144 |
| Top 3’s | 2 | T6th of 52 | T102nd of 1144 |
| Top 5’s | 3 | T8th of 52 | T123rd of 1144 |
| Top 10’s | 6 | T3rd of 52 | T89th of 1144 |
| Finish out Top 20¹ | 0 | T1st of 35 | T1st of 861 |
| DNF’s¹ | 0 | T1st of 35 | T1st of 861 |
| Stage Wins | 2 | T2nd of 52 | T20th of 410* |
| Stage T10s | 15 | T1st of 52 | T20th of 410* |
| Stage Pts | 91 | 2nd of 52 | T27th of 410* |
| Avg. Stage Fin.¹ | 9.73 | 2nd of 35 | — |
| Playoff Pts² | 2 | T8th of 52 | T68th of 410* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2004
¹Ranks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 11 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 5 straight Top 10 finishes (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
- 2 straight Stage T10’s (active streak)
- 8 straight Stage T10’s (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
- Notable Kansas Streaks
- 2 straight Wins (2017.11-2017.32) (tied longest streak in Cup Series at Kansas all-time)
- 3 straight Top 2 finishes (2017.11-2018.12) (tied longest streak in Cup Series at Kansas all-time)
- 3 straight Top 3 finishes (2017.11-2018.12) (tied 2nd longest streak in Cup Series at Kansas all-time)
- 4 straight Top 5 finishes (2017.11-2018.32) (tied 4th longest streak in Cup Series at Kansas all-time)
- 8 straight Top 10 finishes (2019.32-2023.12) (2nd longest streak in Cup Series at Kansas all-time)
- 6 straight Stage T10’s (2019.32 s1-2020.33 s2)
- 2024 Intermediate Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Small track start, 40 drivers)
- 2 Races, Avg. Finish 10.5(8th), 82.69% of Laps ran in Top15(T3rd), Avg. Driver Rating 101.15(T4th), Best 7th, Worst 14th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 0.74% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 0 Top 5’s, 1 Top 10, 2 Top 15’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 3.5 Stage Pts Per Stage, Avg. Stage Finish 10.25
- Kansas Statistics
- 2023 Fall Kansas Race
- Finished 36th (crash), Started 3rd, Led 0 laps, got 0 Stage T10’s, ran 3 Laps in Top 15(100% of laps ran), had 23.2 Driver Rating (ranked 36th)
- Notable Next Gen Kansas Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Kansas since 2022, 36 drivers)
- 4 Races
- 13.75 Avg. Finish (Ranks 11th)
- Best Finish: 5th, Worst: 36th
- Completed 75.21% of laps (% ranks 34th)
- 85.57% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 4th)
- 86.23 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 11th)
- Led 12.81% of laps he’s run (% ranks 3rd)
- 0 Top 3’s
- 1 Top 5, 25.0% (% ranks T6th)
- 3 Top 10’s, 75.0% (% ranks T4th)
- 1 finish outside Top 20, 25.0% (% ranks T9th)
- 1 DNF, 25.0% (% ranks T27th)
- 0 Stage Wins
- 2.75 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks T9th)
Main Points & Outlook
– Martin Truex Jr. is notable because of his 2024 stats thru 11 races
– At Dover Truex got 17 Stage Pts, including a Stage 1 win, ran all but 3 laps in the Top 15, and despite nose damage brought his car home 3rd
– He’s been nothing if not consistent this year as he has a 9.36 Avg. Race Finish and a 9.73 Avg. Stage Finish, and he is one of just 2 drivers to not have a DNF AND not finish out of the Top 20 in any race this year
– In terms of streaks this year he had a 5 race Top 10 streak earlier this year and an 8 straight Stage T10 streak as well
– His Kansas streaks are plentiful, but his main ones are 2 straight Wins in 2017, 8 straight Top 10’s before last Fall’s fiasco, and 6 straight Stage T10’s from 2019-2020
– In 2 Intermediate races this year he has a best finish of just 7th, but he’s ran 83% of his laps in the Top 15 and is tied for the 4th best Avg. Driver Rating
– Last Fall at Kansas Truex had a flat tire to start the race resulting in him crashing on lap 3 to finish last (36th)
– This is his only finish out of the Top 10 in 4 Next Gen races at Kansas, but he also has just 1 Top 5 and only 2.75 Stage Pts Per Stage
Outlook for this weekend
Martin Truex Jr. has been one of the most consistent drivers this year, and his 2024 stats above show just that. In fact, he has the best Worst Finish of any Cup driver this year (18th). However, this weekend is an Intermediate track where he’s ran well, but hasn’t been able to finish the races too well with 0 Top 5’s in 2 races this year. Another meh thing for Truex is that this weekend is Kansas where he wrecked early last year and has been good at finishing Top 10 of late, but that’s it. In all, based on the stats expect a solid day from Truex, ending in a Top 10 finish but probably not a win.
– Martin Truex Jr. is notable because of his 2024 stats thru 11 races
– At Dover Truex got 17 Stage Pts, including a Stage 1 win, ran all but 3 laps in the Top 15, and despite nose damage brought his car home 3rd
– He’s been nothing if not consistent this year as he has a 9.36 Avg. Race Finish and a 9.73 Avg. Stage Finish, and he is one of just 2 drivers to not have a DNF AND not finish out of the Top 20 in any race this year
– In terms of streaks this year he had a 5 race Top 10 streak earlier this year and an 8 straight Stage T10 streak as well
– His Kansas streaks are plentiful, but his main ones are 2 straight Wins in 2017, 8 straight Top 10’s before last Fall’s fiasco, and 6 straight Stage T10’s from 2019-2020
– In 2 Intermediate races this year he has a best finish of just 7th, but he’s ran 83% of his laps in the Top 15 and is tied for the 4th best Avg. Driver Rating
– Last Fall at Kansas Truex had a flat tire to start the race resulting in him crashing on lap 3 to finish last (36th)
– This is his only finish out of the Top 10 in 4 Next Gen races at Kansas, but he also has just 1 Top 5 and only 2.75 Stage Pts Per Stage
Outlook for this weekend
Martin Truex Jr. has been one of the most consistent drivers this year, and his 2024 stats above show just that. In fact, he has the best Worst Finish of any Cup driver this year (18th). However, this weekend is an Intermediate track where he’s ran well, but hasn’t been able to finish the races too well with 0 Top 5’s in 2 races this year. Another meh thing for Truex is that this weekend is Kansas where he wrecked early last year and has been good at finishing Top 10 of late, but that’s it. In all, based on the stats expect a solid day from Truex, ending in a Top 10 finish but probably not a win.
3rd in Points – Chase Elliott
| Category | Statistic | 2024 Rank | ªRank Thru 11 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 10.27 | 2nd of 35 | T51st of 861 |
| Best Fin. | 1st | — | — |
| Worst Fin. | 19th | — | — |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 99.97% | T1st of 35 | T13th of 861 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 73.94 | 4th of 35 | 118th of 817‡ |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 93.68 | 4th of 35 | 130th of 817‡ |
| Wins | 1 | T3rd of 52 | T55th of 1144 |
| Poles | 0 | T8th of 52 | T144th of 1144 |
| Top 2’s | 1 | T7th of 52 | T121st of 1144 |
| Top 3’s | 2 | T6th of 52 | T102nd of 1144 |
| Top 5’s | 4 | T2nd of 52 | T63rd of 1144 |
| Top 10’s | 5 | T6th of 52 | T145th of 1144 |
| Finish out Top 20¹ | 0 | T1st of 35 | T1st of 861 |
| DNF’s¹ | 0 | T1st of 35 | T1st of 861 |
| Stage Wins | 1 | T7th of 52 | T47th of 410* |
| Stage T10s | 14 | 3rd of 52 | T32nd of 410* |
| Stage Pts | 70 | 6th of 52 | 53rd of 410* |
| Avg. Stage Fin.¹ | 10.59 | 4th of 35 | — |
| Playoff Pts² | 6 | T5th of 52 | T37th of 410* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2004
¹Ranks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 11 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 2 straight Top 3 finishes (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
- 3 straight Top 5 finishes (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
- 8 straight Stage T10’s (active streak, longest active streak in Cup Series and tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
- Notable Kansas Streaks
- 3 straight Top 5 finishes (2018.32-2019.32) (tied 9th longest streak in Cup Series at Kansas all-time)
- 2 straight Stage T10’s (active streak)
- 11 straight Stage T10’s (2020.19 s2-2022.28 s2) (longest streak in Cup Series at Kansas all-time)
- 2024 Intermediate Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Small track start, 40 drivers)
- 2 Races, Avg. Finish 6.5(T2nd), 82.69% of Laps ran in Top15(T3rd), Avg. Driver Rating 100.75(6th), Best 1st, Worst 12th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 7.18% of laps he ran, 1 Win, 0 Poles, 1 Top 3, 1 Top 5, 1 Top 10, 2 Top 15’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 2.5 Stage Pts Per Stage, Avg. Stage Finish 9.5
- Kansas Statistics
- 2023 Fall Kansas Race
- Finished 6th, Started 4th, Led 47 laps(17.54%), Finished 9th in Stage 1 and 3rd in Stage 2, ran 267 Laps in Top 15(99.63% of laps ran), had 113.2 Driver Rating (ranked 4th)
- Notable Next Gen Kansas Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Kansas since 2022, 36 drivers)
- 4 Races
- 13.25 Avg. Finish (Ranks 10th)
- Best Finish: 6th, Worst: 29th
- Completed 99.72% of laps (% ranks T13th)
- 77.58% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 8th)
- 89.0 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 10th)
- Led 5.82% of laps he’s run (% ranks 8th)
- 0 Top 5’s
- 2 Top 10’s, 50.0% (% ranks T8th)
- 3 Top 15’s, 75.0% (% ranks T5th)
- 1 finish outside Top 20, 25.0% (% ranks T9th)
- 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 Stage Wins
- 6 Stage T10’s, 75.0% (% ranks T2nd)
- 4.38 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 1st)
Main Points & Outlook
– Chase Elliott is notable because he sits 3rd in points after Dover
– Elliott was able to acquire 8 Stage Pts last week at Dover and run 88% of his laps in the Top 15 en route to a 5th place finish
– Like Truex above Elliott has been very consistent as he has a 10.27 Avg. Race Finish and a 10.59 Avg. Stage Finish with 14 Stage T10’s and 1 Win
– Earlier this year he had a 3 race Top 5 streak and he is currently on an 8 straight Stage T10 streak
– At Kansas he’s had a 3 straight Top 5 finish streak from 2018-2019 and a track best 11 straight Stage T10 streak from 2020-2022
– At Intermediates this year he has a win and a 12th place finish with a 9.5 Avg. Stage Finish, but just 2.5 Stage Pts Per Stage
– In the Fall Kansas race Elliott ran all but 1 lap in the Top 15 and had the 4th best Driver Rating, but he ended up finishing 6th
– He has yet to pick up a Top 5 in 4 Kansas Next Gen races, but he does have 3 Top 15’s and has been able to get 4.38 Stage Pts Per Stage
Outlook for this weekend
Chase Elliott hasn’t been great but has been consistent this year and that has netted him a respectable 3rd place in points thru 11 races. This weekend being an Intermediate race isn’t terrible for him either as he is tied for the 2nd best Avg. Finish this year on these tracks, but one of his finishes was out of the Top 10. Another not so great omen is that this is Kansas where he’s yet to score a Top 5 in the Next Gen car, but he’s been great in stages here. Overall, this weekend Elliott should run decent at least, but don’t expect anything big in terms of finish.
– Chase Elliott is notable because he sits 3rd in points after Dover
– Elliott was able to acquire 8 Stage Pts last week at Dover and run 88% of his laps in the Top 15 en route to a 5th place finish
– Like Truex above Elliott has been very consistent as he has a 10.27 Avg. Race Finish and a 10.59 Avg. Stage Finish with 14 Stage T10’s and 1 Win
– Earlier this year he had a 3 race Top 5 streak and he is currently on an 8 straight Stage T10 streak
– At Kansas he’s had a 3 straight Top 5 finish streak from 2018-2019 and a track best 11 straight Stage T10 streak from 2020-2022
– At Intermediates this year he has a win and a 12th place finish with a 9.5 Avg. Stage Finish, but just 2.5 Stage Pts Per Stage
– In the Fall Kansas race Elliott ran all but 1 lap in the Top 15 and had the 4th best Driver Rating, but he ended up finishing 6th
– He has yet to pick up a Top 5 in 4 Kansas Next Gen races, but he does have 3 Top 15’s and has been able to get 4.38 Stage Pts Per Stage
Outlook for this weekend
Chase Elliott hasn’t been great but has been consistent this year and that has netted him a respectable 3rd place in points thru 11 races. This weekend being an Intermediate race isn’t terrible for him either as he is tied for the 2nd best Avg. Finish this year on these tracks, but one of his finishes was out of the Top 10. Another not so great omen is that this is Kansas where he’s yet to score a Top 5 in the Next Gen car, but he’s been great in stages here. Overall, this weekend Elliott should run decent at least, but don’t expect anything big in terms of finish.
5th in Points – Tyler Reddick
| Category | Statistic | 2024 Rank | ªRank Thru 11 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 12.64 | 6th of 35 | T115th of 861 |
| Best Fin. | 1st | — | — |
| Worst Fin. | 30th | — | — |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 99.09% | 11th of 35 | 184th of 861 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 65.99 | 6th of 35 | 165th of 817‡ |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 90.85 | 6th of 35 | 53rd of 817‡ |
| Wins | 1 | T3rd of 52 | T55th of 1144 |
| Poles | 0 | T8th of 52 | T144th of 1144 |
| Top 2’s | 2 | T4th of 52 | T59th of 1144 |
| Top 3’s | 2 | T6th of 52 | T102nd of 1144 |
| Top 5’s | 4 | T2nd of 52 | T63rd of 1144 |
| Top 10’s | 7 | T1st of 52 | T47th of 1144 |
| Finish out Top 20¹ | 3 | T10th of 35 | T167th of 861 |
| DNF’s¹ | 1 | T8th of 35 | T236th of 861 |
| Stage Wins | 1 | T7th of 52 | T47th of 410* |
| Stage T10s | 12 | 7th of 52 | T51st of 410* |
| Stage Pts | 72 | 5th of 52 | T49th of 410* |
| Avg. Stage Fin.¹ | 12.5 | 6th of 35 | — |
| Playoff Pts² | 6 | T5th of 52 | T37th of 410* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2004
¹Ranks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 11 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 2 straight Top 5 finishes
- 5 straight Top 10 finishes (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
- 4 straight Stage T10’s (active streak)
- Notable Kansas Streaks
- 1 straight Win (active “streak”)
- 2 straight Top 10 finishes (active streak)
- 2 straight Stage T10’s (active streak)
- 5 straight Stage T10’s (2021.11 s1-2022.13 s1) (tied 15th longest streak in Cup Series at Kansas all-time)
- 2024 Intermediate Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Small track start, 40 drivers)
- 2 Races, Avg. Finish 3.0(1st), 96.87% of Laps ran in Top15(1st), Avg. Driver Rating 124.85(2nd), Best 2nd, Worst 4th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 7.0% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 1 Top 3, 2 Top 5’s, 2 Top 10’s, 2 Top 15’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 6.25 Stage Pts Per Stage, Avg. Stage Finish 4.75
- Kansas Statistics
- 2023 Fall Kansas Race
- Finished 1st, Started 5th, Led 2 laps(0.75%), Finished 6th in Stage 1 and 5th in Stage 2, ran 262 Laps in Top 15(97.76% of laps ran), had 126.1 Driver Rating (ranked 2nd)
- Notable Next Gen Kansas Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Kansas since 2022, 36 drivers)
- 4 Races
- 18.75 Avg. Finish (Ranks 17th)
- Best Finish: 1st, Worst: 35th
- Completed 80.92% of laps (% ranks T31st)
- 78.73% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 7th)
- 104.18 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 3rd)
- Led 10.06% of laps he’s run (% ranks 4th)
- 1 Win, 25.0% (% ranks T1st)
- 1 Pole, 25.0% (% ranks T2nd)
- 1 Top 5, 25.0% (% ranks T6th)
- 2 Top 10’s, 50.0% (% ranks T8th)
- 2 finishes outside Top 20, 50.0% (% ranks T17th)
- 1 DNF, 25.0% (% ranks T27th)
- 0 Stage Wins
- 3.13 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 7th)
Main Points & Outlook
– Tyler Reddick is notable because of the performance he put on last Fall at Kansas
– At Dover Reddick ran all but 3 laps in the Top 15 and got 12 Stage Pts, but unfortunately he couldn’t finish the race strong as he ended up 11th
– He is another driver that’s been consistent this year posting a 12.64 Avg. Race Finish and 12.5 Avg. Stage Finish, but he’s been Top 10 or bust having 7 Top 10’s to 3 finishes out of the Top 20 this year
– He is currently on a 4 straight Stage T10 streak and earlier in the year had a 5 straight Stage T10 streak
– At Kansas he currently holds a 2 race Top 10 streak and a 2 straight Stage T10 streak
– He has finishes of 2nd and 4th in the 2 Intermediate races this year and he boasts the best Laps in Top 15% and 2nd best Avg. Driver Rating with an incredible 4.75 Avg. Stage Finish
– Last Fall Reddick led just 2 laps at Kansas despite running 98% of his laps in the Top 15, but he exited with the 2nd best Driver Rating and the trophy
– He’s been boom or bust in the 4 Next Gen Kansas races with 2 Top 10’s and 2 finishes out of the Top 20, but he does have a 104.18 Avg. Driver Rating
Outlook for this weekend
Tyler Reddick has been really good this year, when he’s not finishing bad, but thankfully for him he has way more good finishes than bad. In addition his in-race stats are good too, partially thanks to his Intermediate races. In the 2 races this year on this style he’s been outstanding at running well and finishing well. Even better news is that we are going to Kansas where he won last year, but overall in the Next Gen car finishing well has been a struggle for him. Based on the stats look for a good run from Reddick this weekend, and either a great or terrible finish.
– Tyler Reddick is notable because of the performance he put on last Fall at Kansas
– At Dover Reddick ran all but 3 laps in the Top 15 and got 12 Stage Pts, but unfortunately he couldn’t finish the race strong as he ended up 11th
– He is another driver that’s been consistent this year posting a 12.64 Avg. Race Finish and 12.5 Avg. Stage Finish, but he’s been Top 10 or bust having 7 Top 10’s to 3 finishes out of the Top 20 this year
– He is currently on a 4 straight Stage T10 streak and earlier in the year had a 5 straight Stage T10 streak
– At Kansas he currently holds a 2 race Top 10 streak and a 2 straight Stage T10 streak
– He has finishes of 2nd and 4th in the 2 Intermediate races this year and he boasts the best Laps in Top 15% and 2nd best Avg. Driver Rating with an incredible 4.75 Avg. Stage Finish
– Last Fall Reddick led just 2 laps at Kansas despite running 98% of his laps in the Top 15, but he exited with the 2nd best Driver Rating and the trophy
– He’s been boom or bust in the 4 Next Gen Kansas races with 2 Top 10’s and 2 finishes out of the Top 20, but he does have a 104.18 Avg. Driver Rating
Outlook for this weekend
Tyler Reddick has been really good this year, when he’s not finishing bad, but thankfully for him he has way more good finishes than bad. In addition his in-race stats are good too, partially thanks to his Intermediate races. In the 2 races this year on this style he’s been outstanding at running well and finishing well. Even better news is that we are going to Kansas where he won last year, but overall in the Next Gen car finishing well has been a struggle for him. Based on the stats look for a good run from Reddick this weekend, and either a great or terrible finish.
15th in Points – Bubba Wallace
| Category | Statistic | 2024 Rank | ªRank Thru 11 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 17.91 | 17th of 35 | T337th of 861 |
| Best Fin. | 4th | — | — |
| Worst Fin. | 36th | — | — |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 96.3% | 22nd of 35 | T404th of 861 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 60.16 | 8th of 35 | 227th of 817‡ |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 78.31 | 14th of 35 | 305th of 817‡ |
| Wins | 0 | T8th of 52 | T157th of 1144 |
| Poles | 0 | T8th of 52 | T144th of 1144 |
| Top 2’s | 0 | T14th of 52 | T251st of 1144 |
| Top 3’s | 0 | T17th of 52 | T323rd of 1144 |
| Top 5’s | 3 | T8th of 52 | T123rd of 1144 |
| Top 10’s | 4 | T12th of 52 | T224th of 1144 |
| Finish out Top 20¹ | 4 | T14th of 35 | T285th of 861 |
| DNF’s¹ | 2 | T27th of 35 | T519th of 861 |
| Stage Wins | 0 | T13th of 52 | T89th of 410* |
| Stage T10s | 11 | 8th of 52 | T61st of 410* |
| Stage Pts | 53 | 8th of 52 | T77th of 410* |
| Avg. Stage Fin.¹ | 13.82 | 9th of 35 | — |
| Playoff Pts² | 0 | T15th of 52 | T106th of 410* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2004
¹Ranks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 11 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 2 straight Top 5 finishes
- 6 straight Stage T10’s
- 2 straight DNF’s (active streak)
- Notable Kansas Streaks
- 2 straight Top 5 finishes (2022.28-2023.12)
- 3 straight Top 10 finishes (2022.13-2023.12)
- 6 straight Stage T10’s (2021.34 s2-2023.12 s1) (tied 9th longest streak in Cup Series at Kansas all-time)
- 2024 Intermediate Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Small track start, 40 drivers)
- 2 Races, Avg. Finish 21.0(23rd), 40.75% of Laps ran in Top15(19th), Avg. Driver Rating 70.3(17th), Best 7th, Worst 35th, Laps Completed 97.61%, Led 0.94% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 0 Top 5’s, 1 Top 10, 1 Top 15, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 2.5 Stage Pts Per Stage, Avg. Stage Finish 16.0
- Kansas Statistics
- 2023 Fall Kansas Race
- Finished 32nd, Started 10th, Led 3 laps(1.12%), Finished 2nd in Stage 1, ran 108 Laps in Top 15(40.91% of laps ran), had 95.1 Driver Rating (ranked 8th)
- Notable Next Gen Kansas Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Kansas since 2022, 36 drivers)
- 4 Races
- 11.75 Avg. Finish (Ranks 7th)
- Best Finish: 1st, Worst: 32nd
- Completed 99.63% of laps (% ranks T15th)
- 73.9% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 10th)
- 104.08 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 4th)
- Led 6.57% of laps he’s run (% ranks 7th)
- 1 Win, 25.0% (% ranks T1st)
- 2 Top 5’s, 50.0% (% ranks T3rd)
- 3 Top 10’s, 75.0% (% ranks T4th)
- 1 finish outside Top 20, 25.0% (% ranks T9th)
- 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 Stage Wins
- 6 Stage T10’s, 75.0% (% ranks T2nd)
- 3.88 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 5th)
Main Points & Outlook
– Bubba Wallace is notable because of his Next Gen stats here at Kansas
– Last week at Dover Wallace got just 1 Stage Pt, but he did run 93% of his laps in the Top 15 before being in a crash on the 2nd to last restart causing him to finish 32nd
– His best 2024 Rank above is only 8th (6 different stats) and on the year he has just a 17.91 Avg. Finish with as many finishes out of the Top 20 as in the Top 10 (4)
– This year he had a 2 straight Top 5 streak and a 6 straight Stage T10 streak, but the only streak he is currently on is a 2 race DNF streak
– He’s been successful as Kansas of late as from 2022-2023 he’s had a 2 race Top 5 streak and a 3 race Top 10 streak
– His Intermediate stats are pretty bad this year as he has a 21.0 Avg. Finish while running just 41% of his laps in the Top 15, but he does have 1 Top 10 finish
– Last year at Kansas Wallace was involved in an accident in the middle of Stage 2 that caused him to run just 41% of his laps in the Top 15 and finish 32nd, but he did have the 8th best Driver Rating still
– In 4 Next Gen races at Kansas he has 1 Win, 3 Top 10’s, 3.88 Stage Pts Per Stage, and the 4th best Avg. Driver Rating (104.08)
Outlook for this weekend
Bubba Wallace hasn’t had the best start to 2024 as he’s ran a decent amount of the laps this year in the Top 15, but his finishes have been in the Top 10 or out of the Top 20 mostly. The same can be said about his Intermediate tracks this year except he hasn’t run all that well, but he does have 1 Top 10 and a finish out of the Top 30. The good news is this weekend is Kansas where Wallace has ran well in the Next Gen car and has finished well too overall. In total, based on his stats expect Wallace to be a contender all day this weekend, if he can keep out of trouble that is.
– Bubba Wallace is notable because of his Next Gen stats here at Kansas
– Last week at Dover Wallace got just 1 Stage Pt, but he did run 93% of his laps in the Top 15 before being in a crash on the 2nd to last restart causing him to finish 32nd
– His best 2024 Rank above is only 8th (6 different stats) and on the year he has just a 17.91 Avg. Finish with as many finishes out of the Top 20 as in the Top 10 (4)
– This year he had a 2 straight Top 5 streak and a 6 straight Stage T10 streak, but the only streak he is currently on is a 2 race DNF streak
– He’s been successful as Kansas of late as from 2022-2023 he’s had a 2 race Top 5 streak and a 3 race Top 10 streak
– His Intermediate stats are pretty bad this year as he has a 21.0 Avg. Finish while running just 41% of his laps in the Top 15, but he does have 1 Top 10 finish
– Last year at Kansas Wallace was involved in an accident in the middle of Stage 2 that caused him to run just 41% of his laps in the Top 15 and finish 32nd, but he did have the 8th best Driver Rating still
– In 4 Next Gen races at Kansas he has 1 Win, 3 Top 10’s, 3.88 Stage Pts Per Stage, and the 4th best Avg. Driver Rating (104.08)
Outlook for this weekend
Bubba Wallace hasn’t had the best start to 2024 as he’s ran a decent amount of the laps this year in the Top 15, but his finishes have been in the Top 10 or out of the Top 20 mostly. The same can be said about his Intermediate tracks this year except he hasn’t run all that well, but he does have 1 Top 10 and a finish out of the Top 30. The good news is this weekend is Kansas where Wallace has ran well in the Next Gen car and has finished well too overall. In total, based on his stats expect Wallace to be a contender all day this weekend, if he can keep out of trouble that is.
