Saturday, September 28, 2024
HomeCup SeriesCup Series Notable Drivers Statistics & Outlook: Iowa

Cup Series Notable Drivers Statistics & Outlook: Iowa

Last week at Sonoma expectations were low for the racing action, but the new repave did swell as we saw one of the best Road Course races in the Next Gen car. In the end it ended up being the hometown boy Kyle Larson that took home the checkered flag. Now we head back to the Midwest to a new track for the Cup Series and a track with a partial repave, Iowa. I have picked 5 notable drivers to look at, 1 based on 2024 season stats, 1 based on Short track stats, 1 based on the last Short track race, 1 based on the best active streak(s), and 1 based on the highest in points that wasn’t already picked. Here is a look at those 5 notable drivers 2024 season statistics, along with ranks among drivers in 2024 as well as ranking through 16 races since the Playoffs started in 2004. We will also highlight notable streaks accomplished through the year and at Iowa (there are none though), 2024 Short track (under 1 mile) statistics and Iowa nonexistent statistics in the Next Gen car.
Note: any driver in 4 straight Cup outlook articles is not in consideration for the next two, or any driver in 4 of 5 Cup outlook articles is not in consideration for the next one. This resets after they are put back into consideration.
This week not in consideration: Denny Hamlin (4 in a row)

1st in Points – Kyle Larson

Less than a week after picking up his Playoff waiver Kyle Larson picked up his 3rd win of the year. This week he’ll look to get his 4th win of the year in the first ever Cup race at Iowa. Photo by Chris Williams — Icon Sportswire via Getty Images
2024 Stats
Category Statistic 2024 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 16 Races
Avg. Fin.Âą 11.67 2nd of 35 74th of 848
Best Fin. 1st
Worst Fin. 34th
Completed Laps%Âą 98.12% 14th of 35 217th of 848
Laps in Top15%¹ 80.11 2nd of 35 50th of 806‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 104.96 1st of 35 32nd of 806‡
Wins 3 T1st of 55 T15th of 1275
Poles 3 T1st of 55 T8th of 1275
Top 2’s 5 1st of 55 T13th of 1275
Top 3’s 6 T1st of 55 T20th of 1275
Top 5’s 7 T1st of 55 T31st of 1275
Top 10’s 8 T5th of 55 T119th of 1275
Finish out Top 20Âą 4 T6th of 35 T144th of 848
DNF’sÂą 2 T21st of 35 T375th of 848
Stage Wins 7 1st of 55 T4th of 446*
Stage T10s 20 T1st of 55 T29th of 446*
Stage Pts 167 1st of 55 8th of 446*
Avg. Stage Fin.Âą 8.53 1st of 35
Playoff Pts² 22 1st of 55 T6th of 446*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 16 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, Max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 3 straight Poles (longest streak in Cup Series this year and tied 12th longest streak in Cup Series all-time)
  • 2 straight Top 2 finishes (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
  • 2 straight Top 10 finishes (active streak)
  • 2 straight Stage Wins (tied 15th longest streak in Cup Series all-time)
  • 7 straight Stage T10’s
  • Notable Iowa Streaks
  • none
  • 2024 Short track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Short track start, 39 drivers)
  • 3 Races, Avg. Finish 3.33(1st), 94.1% of Laps ran in Top15(2nd), Avg. Driver Rating 118.2(2nd), Best 2nd, Worst 5th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 18.84% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 2 Poles, 2 Top 3’s, 3 Top 5’s, 3 Top 10’s, 3 Top 15’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 2 Stage Wins, 7.83 Stage Pts Per Stage, Avg. Stage Finish 3.17
  • Iowa Statistics
  • Last Iowa Race
  • This is the first ever Cup race at Iowa Speedway
  • Notable Next Gen Iowa Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Iowa since 2022, 0 drivers)
  • 0 Races
Main Points & Outlook
Kyle Larson is notable because of his 2024 stats after Sonoma
At Sonoma Larson was able to get 8 Stage Pts, run 100 laps in the Top 15 (most of anyone), lead 19 laps, and win the race
In 2024 he has the best/most (or tied) Avg. Driver Rating (104.96), Wins (3), Poles (3), Top 2’s (5), Top 3’s (6), Top 5’s (7), Stage Wins (7), Stage T10’s (20), Stage Pts (167), Avg. Stage Finish (8.53), and Playoff Pts (22)
Earlier this year he won 3 straight Poles and had a 7 straight Stage T10 streak, but his longest Top 10 streak is his current 2 race Top 10 streak
There has never been a Cup race at Iowa and thus no one has any streaks here
In the 3 Short track races this year he’s finished every race between 2nd and 5th, has 2 Poles, and has a 3.17 Avg. Stage Finish
Larson has never ran a Cup race at Iowa
No Cup races here means there is no Iowa stats either, shocking
Outlook for this weekend
Despite missing the Coca-Cola 600 Kyle Larson still finds himself in the points lead with the best 2024 stats. If that’s not good enough he also won the most recent race, last week at Sonoma. Even worse the for the competition is that this week is a Short track where he has ran great this year and hasn’t finished out of the Top 5 in 3 races. However, he’s on a 2 race Top 10 streak and hasn’t had a streak longer than that this year. All in all, based on the stats expect a great run from Larson this weekend, and for him to get his first 3 race Top 10 streak of the year.

2nd in Points – Chase Elliott

Chase Elliott finds himself 2nd in points thanks to his consistency thru the first 16 races. He’ll look to continue that consistency this weekend at Iowa. Photo by Marc Sanchez — Sonoma Raceway — Icon Sportswire via Getty Images
2024 Stats
Category Statistic 2024 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 16 Races
Avg. Fin.Âą 9.5 1st of 35 T28th of 848
Best Fin. 1st
Worst Fin. 19th
Completed Laps%Âą 99.98% 1st of 35 T3rd of 848
Laps in Top15%¹ 73.34 4th of 35 113th of 806‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 93.26 4th of 35 141st of 806‡
Wins 1 T5th of 55 T81st of 1275
Poles 0 T11th of 55 T183rd of 1275
Top 2’s 1 T8th of 55 T165th of 1275
Top 3’s 3 T6th of 55 T103rd of 1275
Top 5’s 6 T4th of 55 T59th of 1275
Top 10’s 8 T5th of 55 T119th of 1275
Finish out Top 20Âą 0 1st of 35 T1st of 848
DNF’sÂą 0 T1st of 35 T1st of 848
Stage Wins 1 T9th of 55 T69th of 446*
Stage T10s 20 T1st of 55 T29th of 446*
Stage Pts 94 8th of 55 T66th of 446*
Avg. Stage Fin.Âą 11.21 3rd of 35
Playoff Pts² 6 7th of 55 T53rd of 446*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 16 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, Max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 2 straight Top 3 finishes
  • 3 straight Top 5 finishes
  • 9 straight Stage T10’s (longest streak in Cup Series this year)
  • Notable Iowa Streaks
  • none
  • 2024 Short track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Short track start, 39 drivers)
  • 3 Races, Avg. Finish 5.33(3rd), 79.18% of Laps ran in Top15(5th), Avg. Driver Rating 102.5(4th), Best 3rd, Worst 8th, Laps Completed 99.92%, Led 5.6% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 1 Top 3, 2 Top 5’s, 3 Top 10’s, 3 Top 15’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 3.17 Stage Pts Per Stage, Avg. Stage Finish 10.67
  • Iowa Statistics
  • Last Iowa Race
  • This is the first ever Cup race at Iowa Speedway
  • Notable Next Gen Iowa Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Iowa since 2022, 0 drivers)
  • 0 Races
Main Points & Outlook
Chase Elliott is notable because of his last race on a Short track
Last week Elliott got 7 Stage Pts, ran 86% of his laps in the Top 15, led 3 laps, and was able to bump past Ross Chastain in the last corner to finish 4th
This year he has the best Avg. Finish (9.5), best Completed Laps% (99.98%), and he’s one of just 3 drivers since 2004 to finish the first 16 Cup races in the Top 20 without a DNF
In terms of streaks this year he’s had a 3 race Top 5 streak and a series leading 9 straight Stage T10 streak earlier this year
There has never been a Cup race at Iowa and thus no one has any streaks here
In 2024 he’s ran just 79% of his Short track laps in the Top 15 and has gotten just 3.17 Stage Pts Per Stage, but he has a 5.33 Avg. Finish with 2 Top 5’s
Elliott has never ran a Cup race at Iowa
No Cup races here means there is no Iowa stats either, shocking
Outlook for this weekend
Chase Elliott is Mr. Consistent this year as he’s gone through the first 16 races without a DNF or a finish out of the Top 20, just the 3rd driver to do so since 2024. However, his longest Top 5/10 streak is only 3 races long. In good news, this weekend is a Short track where Elliott has finished all 3 races this year in the Top 8, but he hasn’t exactly ran great. With all this said expect a quiet day from Elliott in terms of stages this weekend, but expect him to be near the Top 5 at the end of the day.

4th in Points – Tyler Reddick

This lockup after Tyler Reddick’s first pit stop last week hampered his day. However, this weekend may not go any better as we head to a Short track. Photo by Bob Kupbens — Icon Sportswire via Getty Images
2024 Stats
Category Statistic 2024 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 16 Races
Avg. Fin.Âą 12.94 5th of 35 T114th of 848
Best Fin. 1st
Worst Fin. 32nd
Completed Laps%Âą 99.28% 6th of 35 102nd of 848
Laps in Top15%¹ 67.26 5th of 35 173rd of 806‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 92.21 5th of 35 154th of 806‡
Wins 1 T5th of 55 T81st of 1275
Poles 1 T4th of 55 T68th of 1275
Top 2’s 2 T6th of 55 T93rd of 1275
Top 3’s 2 T9th of 55 T162nd of 1275
Top 5’s 6 T4th of 55 T59th of 1275
Top 10’s 10 1st of 55 T44th of 1275
Finish out Top 20Âą 4 T6th of 35 T144th of 848
DNF’sÂą 1 T4th of 35 T137th of 848
Stage Wins 3 T3rd of 55 T20th of 446*
Stage T10s 19 T5th of 55 T43rd of 446*
Stage Pts 113 5th of 55 T46th of 446*
Avg. Stage Fin.Âą 12.18 5th of 35
Playoff Pts² 8 5th of 55 T35th of 446*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 16 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, Max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 2 straight Top 5 finishes
  • 3 straight Top 10 finishes (active streak, tied longest active streak in Cup Series)
  • 5 straight Top 10 finishes (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
  • 4 straight Stage T10’s
  • Notable Iowa Streaks
  • none
  • 2024 Short track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Short track start, 39 drivers)
  • 3 Races, Avg. Finish 15.67(16th), 48.9% of Laps ran in Top15(17th), Avg. Driver Rating 67.63(20th), Best 7th, Worst 30th, Laps Completed 99.62%, Led 0.3% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 0 Top 5’s, 2 Top 10’s, 2 Top 15’s, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 0.17 Stage Pts Per Stage, Avg. Stage Finish 20.17
  • Iowa Statistics
  • Last Iowa Race
  • This is the first ever Cup race at Iowa Speedway
  • Notable Next Gen Iowa Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Iowa since 2022, 0 drivers)
  • 0 Races
Main Points & Outlook
Tyler Reddick is notable because of his 3 race Top 10 streak he is on
In Sonoma Reddick won Stage 1, led the most laps of any driver (35), and ran 84% of his laps in the Top 15; but contact with Kyle Larson at the end of Stage 2 hurt his car as he finished 8th
He has the most Top 10’s of any driver this year (10) but he has just 2 Top 3 finishes, despite this he still has 13 of his 17 2024 Ranks above being 5th or better
He is currently on a 3 race Top 10 streak and at one point this year had a 5 race Top 10 streak
There has never been a Cup race at Iowa and thus no one has any streaks here
He’s struggled on Short tracks this year as he’s ran just 49% of his laps in the Top 15, has a 20.17 Avg. Stage Finish, and has a 15.67 Avg. Finish
Reddick has never ran a Cup race at Iowa
No Cup races here means there is no Iowa stats either, shocking
Outlook for this weekend
Tyler Reddick has been boom or bust through the first 16 races this year as he’s finished in the Top 10 or out of the Top 20 in 14 of the 16 races. However, he’s been one of the best drivers overall this year and is currently on a 3 race Top 10 streak. Now for the bad news, this weekend is a Short track. In these races this year Reddick has done terrible in stages, and overall he hasn’t ran well despite having 2 Top 10 finishes. Based on all this above expect Reddick to run mediocre most of the race this weekend and don’t be surprised if his Top 10 finish streak comes to an end.

5th in Points – Martin Truex Jr.

Martin Truex Jr. sputtered his way across the finish line to a 27th place finish last week. If he can avoid trouble this weekend then he probably gets a much needed good finish. Photo by Logan Riely — Getty Images
2024 Stats
Category Statistic 2024 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 16 Races
Avg. Fin.Âą 12.81 4th of 35 T108th of 848
Best Fin. 2nd
Worst Fin. 34th
Completed Laps%Âą 99.91% T2nd of 35 T18th of 848
Laps in Top15%¹ 76.82 3rd of 35 74th of 806‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 97.73 3rd of 35 82nd of 806‡
Wins 0 T10th of 55 T202nd of 1275
Poles 0 T11th of 55 T183rd of 1275
Top 2’s 1 T8th of 55 T165th of 1275
Top 3’s 2 T9th of 55 T162nd of 1275
Top 5’s 4 T7th of 55 T147th of 1275
Top 10’s 7 T10th of 55 T181st of 1275
Finish out Top 20Âą 3 T3rd of 35 T70th of 848
DNF’sÂą 0 T1st of 35 T1st of 848
Stage Wins 2 T5th of 55 T38th of 446*
Stage T10s 20 T1st of 55 T29th of 446*
Stage Pts 121 3rd of 55 T33rd of 446*
Avg. Stage Fin.Âą 10.79 2nd of 35
Playoff Pts² 2 T10th of 55 T82nd of 446*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 16 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, Max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 2 straight Top 5 finishes
  • 5 straight Top 10 finishes (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
  • 8 straight Stage T10’s
  • Notable Iowa Streaks
  • none
  • 2024 Short track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Short track start, 39 drivers)
  • 3 Races, Avg. Finish 8.0(4th), 81.6% of Laps ran in Top15(4th), Avg. Driver Rating 111.57(3rd), Best 2nd, Worst 18th, Laps Completed 99.92%, Led 21.35% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 1 Top 3, 2 Top 5’s, 2 Top 10’s, 2 Top 15’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 1 Stage Win, 5.33 Stage Pts Per Stage, Avg. Stage Finish 5.67
  • Iowa Statistics
  • Last Iowa Race
  • This is the first ever Cup race at Iowa Speedway
  • Notable Next Gen Iowa Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Iowa since 2022, 0 drivers)
  • 0 Races
Main Points & Outlook
Martin Truex Jr. is notable because of his stats in the 3 Short track races this year
Truex had a troublesome day with early problems in the race at Sonoma, but found a way to get 8 Stage Pts and run 68% of his laps in the Top 15 until he ran out of fuel on the last lap causing him to finish 27th
He now has one less finish out of the Top 20 (3) than Top 5 finishes (4) this year, but he has 0 DNF’s and is tied for most Stage T10’s this year at 20
He is tied for the longest Top 10 streak this year at 5 races and he’s also had an 8 straight Stage T10 streak earlier this year
There has never been a Cup race at Iowa and thus no one has any streaks here
At Short tracks this year he has 2 Top 5 finishes and an 18th place finish with a 111.57 Avg. Driver Rating and a 5.67 Avg. Stage Finish
Truex has never ran a Cup race at Iowa
No Cup races here means there is no Iowa stats either, shocking
Outlook for this weekend
Martin Truex Jr. was so close to breaking out of his slump last week at Sonoma, but instead his gas tank had him finish out of the Top 20 for the 3rd time in 4 races. However, this week we head to a Short track where his stats say he could break out of his slump. In the 3 races on this style this year he’s ran pretty well and has finished in the Top 5 in 2 of the 3 races. In all, with the stats above expect Truex to break out of his slump this weekend and get himself back on track for the final half of the year.

6th in Points – William Byron

This photo sums up William Byron for the majority of the last 7 races (including the All-Star Race). He’ll look to break out of that slump this weekend at Iowa. Photo by Larry Placido — Icon Sportswire via Getty Images
2024 Stats
Category Statistic 2024 Rank ÂŞRank Thru 16 Races
Avg. Fin.Âą 13.13 T6th of 35 T120th of 848
Best Fin. 1st
Worst Fin. 34th
Completed Laps%Âą 98.18% 12th of 35 T209th of 848
Laps in Top15%¹ 59.53 10th of 35 232nd of 806‡
Avg. Driver Rating¹ 88.74 6th of 35 190th of 806‡
Wins 3 T1st of 55 T15th of 1275
Poles 1 T4th of 55 T68th of 1275
Top 2’s 3 T4th of 55 T56th of 1275
Top 3’s 5 3rd of 55 T35th of 1275
Top 5’s 5 6th of 55 T95th of 1275
Top 10’s 9 T2nd of 55 T77th of 1275
Finish out Top 20Âą 4 T6th of 35 T144th of 848
DNF’sÂą 1 T4th of 35 T137th of 848
Stage Wins 1 T9th of 55 T69th of 446*
Stage T10s 19 T5th of 55 T43rd of 446*
Stage Pts 98 7th of 55 T60th of 446*
Avg. Stage Fin.Âą 12.39 6th of 35
Playoff Pts² 16 T3rd of 55 T16th of 446*

ÂŞSince Playoffs started in 2004
ÂąRanks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 16 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, Max Driver Rating is 150.0

  • Notable Streaks this year
  • 2 straight Top 3 finishes
  • 5 straight Top 10 finishes (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
  • 6 straight Stage T10’s
  • Notable Iowa Streaks
  • none
  • 2024 Short track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Short track start, 39 drivers)
  • 3 Races, Avg. Finish 14.33(11th), 56.7% of Laps ran in Top15(13th), Avg. Driver Rating 83.37(10th), Best 1st, Worst 35th, Laps Completed 99.39%, Led 6.7% of laps he ran, 1 Win, 0 Poles, 1 Top 3, 1 Top 5, 2 Top 10’s, 2 Top 15’s, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 1.33 Stage Pts Per Stage, Avg. Stage Finish 18.0
  • Iowa Statistics
  • Last Iowa Race
  • This is the first ever Cup race at Iowa Speedway
  • Notable Next Gen Iowa Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Iowa since 2022, 0 drivers)
  • 0 Races
Main Points & Outlook
William Byron is notable because he sits 6th in points after 16 races
At Sonoma Byron was up front at the start of the race, but he ended up with 0 Stage Pts and a damaged car after a couple of different wrecks causing him to run just 15% of his laps in the Top 15 and finish 30th
Only 8 of his 17 2024 Ranks above are 5th or better, and he’s only ran 60% of the laps this year in the Top 15
Earlier in the year he had a 5 race Top 10 streak and a 6 straight Stage T10 streak
There has never been a Cup race at Iowa and thus no one has any streaks here
He has 2 Top 10’s in the 3 Short track races this year, but he has just a 14.33 Avg. Finish and he’s only gotten 1.33 Stage Pts Per Stage
Byron has never ran a Cup race at Iowa
No Cup races here means there is no Iowa stats either, shocking
Outlook for this weekend
William Byron has finished 15th or worse in 4 of the last 6 race after Sonoma, and what’s worse is that his 2024 overall stats aren’t too great outside of his 3 Wins. The news doesn’t get too much better when looking at his 2024 Short track stats as he does have a win but overall he hasn’t ran that well in the 3 races. Based on the stats above, don’t expect this weekend to be the race where Byron breaks out of his slump as he’ll most likely struggle at Iowa.
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Daniel Smith
Daniel Smithhttps://pitpassnetwork.com
Cup drivers: Kyle Larson & Ross Chastain, Xfinity drivers: SVG & Ryan Sieg, Truck drivers: Grant Enfinger & Jake Garcia

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