In New Hampshire last week we got another surprisingly good race as the last 80+ laps of the race where run in damp racing conditions. However, the winner was not a surprise as the king of New Hampshire, Christopher Bell, took home the victory and swept the weekend. Up next we head to an Intermediate track in Nashville where the likelihood of another good race is high, it’s very high. I have picked 5 notable drivers to look at, 1 based on 2024 season stats, 1 based on Intermediate stats, 1 based on the last Nashville race, 1 based on their Next Gen Nashville stats, and 1 based on the highest in points that wasn’t already picked. Here is a look at those 5 notable drivers 2024 season statistics, along with ranks among drivers in 2024 as well as ranking through 18 races since the Playoffs started in 2004. We will also highlight notable streaks accomplished through the year and at Nashville, 2024 Intermediate (1.3-1.5 miles) statistics and Nashville statistics in the Next Gen car.
Note: any driver in 4 straight Cup outlook articles is not in consideration for the next two, or any driver in 4 of 5 Cup outlook articles is not in consideration for the next one. This resets after they are put back into consideration.
This week not in consideration: Kyle Larson (4 in a row, 2nd week) & William Byron (4 of 5)
This week not in consideration: Kyle Larson (4 in a row, 2nd week) & William Byron (4 of 5)
2nd in Points – Chase Elliott
| Category | Statistic | 2024 Rank | ªRank Thru 18 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 9.61 | 1st of 35 | 23rd of 848 |
| Best Fin. | 1st | — | — |
| Worst Fin. | 19th | — | — |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 99.98% | 1st of 35 | T3rd of 84 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 75.94 | 3rd of 35 | 81st of 806‡ |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 95.23 | 4th of 35 | 105th of 806‡ |
| Wins | 1 | T5th of 55 | T91st of 1291 |
| Poles | 0 | T11th of 55 | T201st of 1291 |
| Top 2’s | 1 | T9th of 55 | T183rd of 1291 |
| Top 3’s | 4 | T5th of 55 | T76th of 1291 |
| Top 5’s | 7 | T2nd of 55 | T50th of 1291 |
| Top 10’s | 9 | T5th of 55 | T117th of 1291 |
| Finish out Top 20¹ | 0 | 1st of 35 | 1st of 857 |
| DNF’s¹ | 0 | T1st of 35 | T1st of 857 |
| Stage Wins | 1 | T10th of 55 | T78th of 452* |
| Stage T10s | 24 | 1st of 55 | T18th of 452* |
| Stage Pts | 114 | 7th of 55 | T58th of 452* |
| Avg. Stage Fin.¹ | 10.65 | 2nd of 35 | — |
| Playoff Pts² | 6 | 8th of 55 | T60th of 452* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2004
¹Ranks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 18 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 2 straight Top 3 finishes
- 3 straight Top 5 finishes
- 4 straight Stage T10’s (active streak, tied longest active streak in Cup Series)
- 9 straight Stage T10’s (longest streak in Cup Series this year)
- Notable Nashville Streaks
- 2 straight Top 5 finishes (active streak, 3rd longest streak in Cup Series at Nashville all-time)
- 4 straight Stage T10’s (active streak, tied 4th longest streak in Cup Series at Nashville all-time)
- 2024 Intermediate Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Intermediate start, 45 drivers)
- 5 Races, Avg. Finish 7.0(2nd), 72.51% of Laps ran in Top15(8th), Avg. Driver Rating 90.54(9th), Best 1st, Worst 12th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 3.03% of laps he ran, 1 Win, 0 Poles, 2 Top 3’s, 2 Top 5’s, 3 Top 10’s, 5 Top 15’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 1.73 Stage Pts Per Stage, Avg. Stage Finish 11.45
- Nashville Statistics
- 2023 Nashville Race
- Finished 4th, Started 14th, Led 1 lap(0.33%), Finished 6th in Stage 1 and 7th in Stage 2, ran 296 Laps in Top 15(98.67% of laps ran), had 105.6 Driver Rating (ranked 5th)
- Notable Next Gen Nashville Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Nashville since 2022, 34 drivers)
- 2 Races
- 2.5 Avg. Finish (Ranks 1st)
- Best Finish: 1st, Worst: 4th
- Completed 100% of laps (% ranks T1st)
- 94.0% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 3rd)
- 113.95 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 4th)
- Led 7.17% of laps he’s run (% ranks 5th)
- 1 Win, 50.0% (% ranks T1st)
- 2 Top 5’s, 100% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 finishes outside Top 20, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 Stage Wins
- 4 Stage T10’s, 100% (% ranks T1st)
- 4.75 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 4th)
Main Points & Outlook
– Chase Elliott is notable because of his 2024 stats thru 18 races
– Elliott got 8 Stage Pts at New Hampshire last week, led 13% of the race, and ran 88% of his laps in the Top 15; but the overtime restart didn’t go his way and he finished 18th
– He is the only driver to not finish out of the Top 20 thru 18 races since 2004, and he has the most Stage T10’s (24) this year with the best Avg. Race Finish (9.61) as well
– He is currently on a 4 straight Stage T10 streak and earlier this year he had a 2024 series high 9 straight Stage T10’s
– At Nashville he is on a 2 race Top 5 finish streak and a 4 straight Stage T10 streak
– In 5 Intermediate races this year he has 1 win and 3 Top 10’s with a worse finish of 12th, but he’s only ran 73% of his laps in the Top 15 and has just 1.73 Stage Pts Per Stage
– In the 2023 Nashville race Elliott led just 1 lap, but he did get 9 Stage Pts and ran all but 4 laps in the Top 15, finishing 4th in the race
– At Nashville he has a Win and a 4th in the 2 Next Gen races while running 94% of his laps in the Top 15 and picking up 4.75 Stage Pts Per Stage
Outlook for this weekend
Chase Elliott nearly lost his historic Top 20 finish streak to start a season as he finished 18th last week, but even with this he still has some of the best stats in the Cup Series this year. Even better is that this week is an Intermediate track where he’s finished well overall, but he hasn’t exactly ran well in the 5 races. However, this is Nashville where Elliott has ran very well in the Next Gen car, and better yet he’s finished great in the 2 Next Gen races here. Overall, watch out for Elliott this weekend to not only run good, but finish good too and keep that Top 20 streak alive.
– Chase Elliott is notable because of his 2024 stats thru 18 races
– Elliott got 8 Stage Pts at New Hampshire last week, led 13% of the race, and ran 88% of his laps in the Top 15; but the overtime restart didn’t go his way and he finished 18th
– He is the only driver to not finish out of the Top 20 thru 18 races since 2004, and he has the most Stage T10’s (24) this year with the best Avg. Race Finish (9.61) as well
– He is currently on a 4 straight Stage T10 streak and earlier this year he had a 2024 series high 9 straight Stage T10’s
– At Nashville he is on a 2 race Top 5 finish streak and a 4 straight Stage T10 streak
– In 5 Intermediate races this year he has 1 win and 3 Top 10’s with a worse finish of 12th, but he’s only ran 73% of his laps in the Top 15 and has just 1.73 Stage Pts Per Stage
– In the 2023 Nashville race Elliott led just 1 lap, but he did get 9 Stage Pts and ran all but 4 laps in the Top 15, finishing 4th in the race
– At Nashville he has a Win and a 4th in the 2 Next Gen races while running 94% of his laps in the Top 15 and picking up 4.75 Stage Pts Per Stage
Outlook for this weekend
Chase Elliott nearly lost his historic Top 20 finish streak to start a season as he finished 18th last week, but even with this he still has some of the best stats in the Cup Series this year. Even better is that this week is an Intermediate track where he’s finished well overall, but he hasn’t exactly ran well in the 5 races. However, this is Nashville where Elliott has ran very well in the Next Gen car, and better yet he’s finished great in the 2 Next Gen races here. Overall, watch out for Elliott this weekend to not only run good, but finish good too and keep that Top 20 streak alive.
3rd in Points – Denny Hamlin
| Category | Statistic | 2024 Rank | ªRank Thru 18 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 14.33 | 11th of 35 | 170th of 848 |
| Best Fin. | 1st | — | — |
| Worst Fin. | 38th | — | — |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 97.16% | 19th of 35 | T278th of 84 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 80.74 | 1st of 35 | 44th of 806‡ |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 96.1 | 3rd of 35 | T97th of 806‡ |
| Wins | 3 | T1st of 55 | T20th of 1291 |
| Poles | 1 | T4th of 55 | T71st of 1291 |
| Top 2’s | 4 | T2nd of 55 | T36th of 1291 |
| Top 3’s | 4 | T5th of 55 | T76th of 1291 |
| Top 5’s | 7 | T2nd of 55 | T50th of 1291 |
| Top 10’s | 8 | T8th of 55 | T164th of 1291 |
| Finish out Top 20¹ | 6 | T11th of 35 | T261st of 857 |
| DNF’s¹ | 2 | T18th of 35 | T319th of 857 |
| Stage Wins | 4 | 3rd of 55 | T15th of 452* |
| Stage T10s | 23 | T2nd of 55 | T26th of 452* |
| Stage Pts | 149 | T2nd of 55 | T21st of 452* |
| Avg. Stage Fin.¹ | 11.46 | 4th of 35 | — |
| Playoff Pts² | 19 | 3rd of 55 | T12th of 452* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2004
¹Ranks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 18 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 5 straight Top 5 finishes (longest streak in Cup Series this year)
- 5 straight Top 10 finishes (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
- 3 straight Stage T10’s (active streak)
- 4 straight Stage T10’s
- Notable Nashville Streaks
- 1 straight Top 3 finish (active “streak”)
- 2 straight Top 10 finishes (active streak, tied 4th longest streak in Cup Series at Nashville all-time)
- 1 straight Stage Win (active “streak”)
- 6 straight Stage T10’s (active streak, longest active streak in Cup Series at Nashville and longest streak in Cup Series at Nashville all-time)
- 2024 Intermediate Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Intermediate start, 45 drivers)
- 5 Races, Avg. Finish 10.4(4th), 92.17% of Laps ran in Top15(1st), Avg. Driver Rating 107.94(2nd), Best 4th, Worst 30th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 9.24% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 3 Top 5’s, 4 Top 10’s, 4 Top 15’s, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 1 Stage Win, 5.09 Stage Pts Per Stage, Avg. Stage Finish 7.36
- Nashville Statistics
- 2023 Nashville Race
- Finished 3rd, Started 8th, Led 81 laps(27.0%), Finished 5th in Stage 1 and 1st in Stage 2, ran 298 Laps in Top 15(99.33% of laps ran), had 117.4 Driver Rating (ranked 3rd)
- Notable Next Gen Nashville Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Nashville since 2022, 34 drivers)
- 2 Races
- 4.5 Avg. Finish (Ranks T3rd)
- Best Finish: 3rd, Worst: 6th
- Completed 100% of laps (% ranks T1st)
- 99.0% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 1st)
- 124.3 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 1st)
- Led 32.5% of laps he’s run (% ranks 1st)
- 1 Pole, 50.0% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 Top 2’s
- 1 Top 3, 50.0% (% ranks T1st)
- 2 Top 10’s, 100% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 finishes outside Top 20, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 1 Stage Win, 25.0% (% ranks T2nd)
- 4 Stage T10’s, 100% (% ranks T1st)
- 8.5 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 2nd)
Main Points & Outlook
– Denny Hamlin is notable because of his stats on Intermediate tracks this year
– Hamlin got 14 Stage Pts at New Hampshire, including a Stage 2 Win, and he ran 88% of his laps in the Top 15, but when the rains came he went back and ended up finishing 24th
– He has just the 11th best Avg. Finish this year with 6 finishes out of the Top 20 to 8 Top 10’s, but he has 3 Wins and the best Laps in Top 15% in the 2024 Ranks above
– He has the longest Top 5 streak this year at 5 straight races, but his longest Stage T10 streak is only 4 straight stages
– At Nashville he is on a 2 race Top 10 streak and a 6 straight Stage T10 streak, the only driver to finish all 6 Cup stages at Nashville in the Top 10
– In the 5 Intermediate races this year he has the best Laps in Top 15%, 2nd best Avg. Driver Rating, 3 Top 5’s, and 5.09 Stage Pts Per Stage
– Last year at Nashville Hamlin ran all but 2 laps in the Top 15 and led 27% of the race, but despite winning Stage 2 he only mustered up a 3rd place finish
– He’s finished 3rd and 6th in the 2 Next Gen races at Nashville while running 99% of his laps in the Top 15 and leading 33% of his laps, not to mention he ranks 1st in most Nashville stats above
Outlook for this weekend
Denny Hamlin had a rough finish to the race at New Hampshire last week leading to another finish out of the Top 20, but despite his bad finishes he’s done really good in stages this year. However, this is different at Intermediates this year as he’s ran great and finished great more often than not, but he’s still looking for a win. What’s more is that he’s been great in the Next Gen car at Nashville, arguably the best driver in terms of running and finishing. All in all, watch out for Hamlin this weekend, it could be the weekend he picks up his 1st Intermediate win of the year.
– Denny Hamlin is notable because of his stats on Intermediate tracks this year
– Hamlin got 14 Stage Pts at New Hampshire, including a Stage 2 Win, and he ran 88% of his laps in the Top 15, but when the rains came he went back and ended up finishing 24th
– He has just the 11th best Avg. Finish this year with 6 finishes out of the Top 20 to 8 Top 10’s, but he has 3 Wins and the best Laps in Top 15% in the 2024 Ranks above
– He has the longest Top 5 streak this year at 5 straight races, but his longest Stage T10 streak is only 4 straight stages
– At Nashville he is on a 2 race Top 10 streak and a 6 straight Stage T10 streak, the only driver to finish all 6 Cup stages at Nashville in the Top 10
– In the 5 Intermediate races this year he has the best Laps in Top 15%, 2nd best Avg. Driver Rating, 3 Top 5’s, and 5.09 Stage Pts Per Stage
– Last year at Nashville Hamlin ran all but 2 laps in the Top 15 and led 27% of the race, but despite winning Stage 2 he only mustered up a 3rd place finish
– He’s finished 3rd and 6th in the 2 Next Gen races at Nashville while running 99% of his laps in the Top 15 and leading 33% of his laps, not to mention he ranks 1st in most Nashville stats above
Outlook for this weekend
Denny Hamlin had a rough finish to the race at New Hampshire last week leading to another finish out of the Top 20, but despite his bad finishes he’s done really good in stages this year. However, this is different at Intermediates this year as he’s ran great and finished great more often than not, but he’s still looking for a win. What’s more is that he’s been great in the Next Gen car at Nashville, arguably the best driver in terms of running and finishing. All in all, watch out for Hamlin this weekend, it could be the weekend he picks up his 1st Intermediate win of the year.
4th in Points – Martin Truex Jr.
| Category | Statistic | 2024 Rank | ªRank Thru 18 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 12.72 | 4th of 35 | T97th of 848 |
| Best Fin. | 2nd | — | — |
| Worst Fin. | 34th | — | — |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 99.9% | 3rd of 35 | T13th of 84 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 72.53 | 4th of 35 | 126th of 806‡ |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 96.29 | 2nd of 35 | 92nd of 806‡ |
| Wins | 0 | T11th of 55 | T219th of 1291 |
| Poles | 0 | T11th of 55 | T201st of 1291 |
| Top 2’s | 1 | T9th of 55 | T183rd of 1291 |
| Top 3’s | 2 | T10th of 55 | T179th of 1291 |
| Top 5’s | 4 | T9th of 55 | T169th of 1291 |
| Top 10’s | 8 | T8th of 55 | T164th of 1291 |
| Finish out Top 20¹ | 3 | 3rd of 35 | T39th of 857 |
| DNF’s¹ | 0 | T1st of 35 | T1st of 857 |
| Stage Wins | 2 | T5th of 55 | T43rd of 452* |
| Stage T10s | 22 | T4th of 55 | T36th of 452* |
| Stage Pts | 135 | 4th of 55 | 35th of 452* |
| Avg. Stage Fin.¹ | 11.22 | 3rd of 35 | — |
| Playoff Pts² | 2 | T11th of 55 | T89th of 452* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2004
¹Ranks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 18 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 2 straight Top 5 finishes
- 5 straight Top 10 finishes (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
- 2 straight Stage T10’s (active streak)
- 8 straight Stage T10’s
- Notable Nashville Streaks
- 1 straight Top 2 finish (active “streak”)
- 2 straight Stage Wins (2022.17 s1&s2) (longest streak in Cup Series at Nashville all-time)
- 4 straight Stage T10’s (active streak, tied 4th longest streak in Cup Series at Nashville all-time)
- 2024 Intermediate Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Intermediate start, 45 drivers)
- 5 Races, Avg. Finish 12.4(T6th), 78.79% of Laps ran in Top15(5th), Avg. Driver Rating 94.68(6th), Best 4th, Worst 25th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 0.89% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 1 Top 5, 2 Top 10’s, 4 Top 15’s, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 3.27 Stage Pts Per Stage, Avg. Stage Finish 9.91
- Nashville Statistics
- 2023 Nashville Race
- Finished 2nd, Started 6th, Led 50 laps(16.67%), Finished 4th in Stage 1 and 2nd in Stage 2, ran 297 Laps in Top 15(99% of laps ran), had 124.7 Driver Rating (ranked 2nd)
- Notable Next Gen Nashville Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Nashville since 2022, 34 drivers)
- 2 Races
- 12.0 Avg. Finish (Ranks 7th)
- Best Finish: 2nd, Worst: 22nd
- Completed 100% of laps (% ranks T1st)
- 97.17% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 2nd)
- 117.85 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 3rd)
- Led 22.0% of laps he’s run (% ranks 2nd)
- 0 Wins
- 1 Top 2, 50.0% (% ranks T1st)
- 1 Top 15, 50.0% (% ranks T11th)
- 1 finish outside Top 20, 50.0% (% ranks T15th)
- 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 2 Stage Wins, 50.0% (% ranks 1st)
- 4 Stage T10’s, 100% (% ranks T1st)
- 9.0 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 1st)
Main Points & Outlook
– Martin Truex Jr. is notable because of his race last year at Nashville
– Truex had an up and down day at New Hampshire last week as he got 14 Stage Pts, but he ran just 78% of his laps in the Top 15 and finished 9th
– Outside of his Wins thru Top 10’s and Playoff Pts categories his worst 2024 Rank above is only T5th, including him having the 2nd best Avg. Driver Rating (96.29)
– He is on an active 2 straight Stage T10 streak, and earlier this year had a 5 race Top 10 streak and an 8 straight Stage T10 streak
– At Nashville he is on a 1 race Top 2 “streak” and a 4 straight Stage T10 streak, and he is the only driver to win back-to-back stages here as well
– He only has 2 Top 10’s in the 5 Intermediate races this year while running just 79% of his laps in the Top 15, but he does have a decent 9.91 Avg. Stage Finish
– Last year at Nashville Truex ran just 3 laps out of the Top 15 and led 17% of the race before finishing the race in 2nd place with the 2nd best Driver Rating
– He’s ran 97% of his laps in the Top 15 at Nashville in the Next Gen car while leading 22% of his laps and getting 2 Stage Wins, but he has a 12.0 Avg. Finish
Outlook for this weekend
Martin Truex Jr. couldn’t find the magic at the Magic Mile last week, but he was still able to break out of the slump he was in to finally get another Top 10. Despite his slump he’s still got some good 2024 stats, but heading to an Intermediate track may not be the best news as he’s ran decent but hasn’t finished well this year. The same can sort of be said with this being Nashville as Truex has ran great in the Next Gen car here, but he has one good and one bad finish. Looking at the stats it’s almost clear Truex will run well this weekend, but a good finish is about as clear as mud.
– Martin Truex Jr. is notable because of his race last year at Nashville
– Truex had an up and down day at New Hampshire last week as he got 14 Stage Pts, but he ran just 78% of his laps in the Top 15 and finished 9th
– Outside of his Wins thru Top 10’s and Playoff Pts categories his worst 2024 Rank above is only T5th, including him having the 2nd best Avg. Driver Rating (96.29)
– He is on an active 2 straight Stage T10 streak, and earlier this year had a 5 race Top 10 streak and an 8 straight Stage T10 streak
– At Nashville he is on a 1 race Top 2 “streak” and a 4 straight Stage T10 streak, and he is the only driver to win back-to-back stages here as well
– He only has 2 Top 10’s in the 5 Intermediate races this year while running just 79% of his laps in the Top 15, but he does have a decent 9.91 Avg. Stage Finish
– Last year at Nashville Truex ran just 3 laps out of the Top 15 and led 17% of the race before finishing the race in 2nd place with the 2nd best Driver Rating
– He’s ran 97% of his laps in the Top 15 at Nashville in the Next Gen car while leading 22% of his laps and getting 2 Stage Wins, but he has a 12.0 Avg. Finish
Outlook for this weekend
Martin Truex Jr. couldn’t find the magic at the Magic Mile last week, but he was still able to break out of the slump he was in to finally get another Top 10. Despite his slump he’s still got some good 2024 stats, but heading to an Intermediate track may not be the best news as he’s ran decent but hasn’t finished well this year. The same can sort of be said with this being Nashville as Truex has ran great in the Next Gen car here, but he has one good and one bad finish. Looking at the stats it’s almost clear Truex will run well this weekend, but a good finish is about as clear as mud.
5th in Points – Tyler Reddick
| Category | Statistic | 2024 Rank | ªRank Thru 18 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 13.06 | 5th of 35 | T111th of 848 |
| Best Fin. | 1st | — | — |
| Worst Fin. | 32nd | — | — |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 99.35% | 6th of 35 | T78th of 84 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 66.6 | 6th of 35 | 172nd of 806‡ |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 90.96 | 6th of 35 | 162nd of 806‡ |
| Wins | 1 | T5th of 55 | T91st of 1291 |
| Poles | 1 | T4th of 55 | T71st of 1291 |
| Top 2’s | 2 | T6th of 55 | T104th of 1291 |
| Top 3’s | 2 | T10th of 55 | T179th of 1291 |
| Top 5’s | 6 | T5th of 55 | T78th of 1291 |
| Top 10’s | 11 | T1st of 55 | T46th of 1291 |
| Finish out Top 20¹ | 5 | T7th of 35 | T183rd of 857 |
| DNF’s¹ | 1 | T4th of 35 | T115th of 857 |
| Stage Wins | 3 | 4th of 55 | T25th of 452* |
| Stage T10s | 20 | T6th of 55 | T54th of 452* |
| Stage Pts | 115 | 6th of 55 | T55th of 452* |
| Avg. Stage Fin.¹ | 12.57 | 6th of 35 | — |
| Playoff Pts² | 8 | 5th of 55 | T39th of 452* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2004
¹Ranks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 18 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 2 straight Top 5 finishes
- 5 straight Top 10 finishes (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
- 4 straight Stage T10’s
- Notable Nashville Streaks
- none
- 2024 Intermediate Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Intermediate start, 45 drivers)
- 5 Races, Avg. Finish 12.4(T6th), 83.72% of Laps ran in Top15(4th), Avg. Driver Rating 105.62(3rd), Best 2nd, Worst 32nd, Laps Completed 99.85%, Led 16.21% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 1 Pole, 1 Top 3, 3 Top 5’s, 3 Top 10’s, 3 Top 15’s, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 1 Stage Win, 4.82 Stage Pts Per Stage, Avg. Stage Finish 8.18
- Nashville Statistics
- 2023 Nashville Race
- Finished 30th, Started 2nd, Led 33 laps(11.0%), Finished 1st in Stage 1, ran 137 Laps in Top 15(45.97% of laps ran), had 92.3 Driver Rating (ranked 8th)
- Notable Next Gen Nashville Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Nashville since 2022, 34 drivers)
- 2 Races
- 24.0 Avg. Finish (Ranks T25th)
- Best Finish: 18th, Worst: 30th
- Completed 99.67% of laps (% ranks T22nd)
- 44.82% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 17th)
- 79.25 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 11th)
- Led 5.52% of laps he’s run (% ranks 6th)
- 0 Top 15’s
- 1 finish outside Top 20, 50.0% (% ranks T15th)
- 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 1 Stage Win, 25.0% (% ranks T2nd)
- 2.5 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks T9th)
Main Points & Outlook
– Tyler Reddick is notable because he’s 5th in points heading to Nashville
– At New Hampshire Reddick got just 2 Stage Pts but he ran 89% of his laps and would have won the race if it weren’t for rain tires, but alas he finished 6th
– He is tied for the most Top 10 finishes this year (11) and his worst 2024 Rank above is only T10th (2 Top 3’s)
– His streaks this year aren’t too impressive as he has just a best Stage T10 streak of 4 stages, but he did have a 5 race Top 10 finish streak earlier this year
– He has no notable streaks here at Nashville
– In the 5 Intermediate races this year he has 3 Top 5 finishes, but he also has 3 Top 15’s. However, he’s led 16% of his laps and has the 3rd best Avg. Driver Rating (105.62)
– Last year at Nashville Reddick led 33 laps and won Stage 1, but a tire issue in Stage 2 derailed his race as he ran just 46% of his laps in the Top 15 and finished 30th in the race
– In the 2 Next Gen races at Nashville he’s led 5.52% of his laps and has 1 Stage Win, unfortunately that is his only Stage T10 and his best race finish is only 18th
Outlook for this weekend
If not for rain tires we are talking about Tyler Reddick getting his 2nd win of 2024 last week, but even without this his stats this year are pretty solid. This continues when you look at his Intermediate stats this year as he’s ran very well and finished good in most races. However, this is Nashville and he’s ran poor and finished even worse in the Next Gen races here. In all, expect Reddick to be fast this weekend, but it’d be foolish to put money on him for a good finish at Nashville.
– Tyler Reddick is notable because he’s 5th in points heading to Nashville
– At New Hampshire Reddick got just 2 Stage Pts but he ran 89% of his laps and would have won the race if it weren’t for rain tires, but alas he finished 6th
– He is tied for the most Top 10 finishes this year (11) and his worst 2024 Rank above is only T10th (2 Top 3’s)
– His streaks this year aren’t too impressive as he has just a best Stage T10 streak of 4 stages, but he did have a 5 race Top 10 finish streak earlier this year
– He has no notable streaks here at Nashville
– In the 5 Intermediate races this year he has 3 Top 5 finishes, but he also has 3 Top 15’s. However, he’s led 16% of his laps and has the 3rd best Avg. Driver Rating (105.62)
– Last year at Nashville Reddick led 33 laps and won Stage 1, but a tire issue in Stage 2 derailed his race as he ran just 46% of his laps in the Top 15 and finished 30th in the race
– In the 2 Next Gen races at Nashville he’s led 5.52% of his laps and has 1 Stage Win, unfortunately that is his only Stage T10 and his best race finish is only 18th
Outlook for this weekend
If not for rain tires we are talking about Tyler Reddick getting his 2nd win of 2024 last week, but even without this his stats this year are pretty solid. This continues when you look at his Intermediate stats this year as he’s ran very well and finished good in most races. However, this is Nashville and he’s ran poor and finished even worse in the Next Gen races here. In all, expect Reddick to be fast this weekend, but it’d be foolish to put money on him for a good finish at Nashville.
9th in Points – Ross Chastain
| Category | Statistic | 2024 Rank | ªRank Thru 18 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 12.33 | 2nd of 35 | T84th of 848 |
| Best Fin. | 4th | — | — |
| Worst Fin. | 32nd | — | — |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 99.92% | 2nd of 35 | T9th of 84 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 61.88 | 8th of 35 | 210th of 806‡ |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 86.11 | 10th of 35 | 223rd of 806‡ |
| Wins | 0 | T11th of 55 | T219th of 1291 |
| Poles | 0 | T11th of 55 | T201st of 1291 |
| Top 2’s | 0 | T18th of 55 | T333rd of 1291 |
| Top 3’s | 0 | T21st of 55 | T411th of 1291 |
| Top 5’s | 2 | T14th of 55 | T291st of 1291 |
| Top 10’s | 7 | T12th of 55 | T216th of 1291 |
| Finish out Top 20¹ | 2 | 2nd of 35 | T15th of 857 |
| DNF’s¹ | 1 | T4th of 35 | T115th of 857 |
| Stage Wins | 1 | T10th of 55 | T78th of 452* |
| Stage T10s | 16 | T8th of 55 | T80th of 452* |
| Stage Pts | 66 | 13th of 55 | T101st of 452* |
| Avg. Stage Fin.¹ | 12.95 | 8th of 35 | — |
| Playoff Pts² | 1 | T14th of 55 | T105th of 452* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2004
¹Ranks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 18 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 3 straight Top 10 finishes
- 2 straight Stage T10’s (active streak)
- Notable Nashville Streaks
- 1 straight Win (active “streak”)
- 1 straight Pole (active “streak”)
- 3 straight Top 5 finishes (active streak, tied longest active streak in Cup Series at Nashville and tied longest streak in Cup Series at Nashville all-time)
- 3 straight Top 10 finishes (active streak, tied longest active streak in Cup Series at Nashville and tied longest streak in Cup Series at Nashville all-time)
- 3 straight Stage T10’s (active streak)
- 2024 Intermediate Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Intermediate start, 45 drivers)
- 5 Races, Avg. Finish 14.8(11th), 75.37% of Laps ran in Top15(7th), Avg. Driver Rating 90.46(10th), Best 4th, Worst 32nd, Laps Completed 99.93%, Led 6.51% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 1 Top 5, 2 Top 10’s, 3 Top 15’s, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 1 DNF, 1 Stage Win, 2.73 Stage Pts Per Stage, Avg. Stage Finish 10.27
- Nashville Statistics
- 2023 Nashville Race
- Finished 1st, Started 1st, Led 99 laps(33%), Finished 2nd in Stage 1 and 3rd in Stage 2, ran 300 Laps in Top 15(100% of laps ran), had 138.3 Driver Rating (ranked 1st)
- Notable Next Gen Nashville Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Nashville since 2022, 34 drivers)
- 2 Races
- 3.0 Avg. Finish (Ranks 2nd)
- Best Finish: 1st, Worst: 5th
- Completed 100% of laps (% ranks T1st)
- 92.67% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 4th)
- 123.85 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 2nd)
- Led 16.5% of laps he’s run (% ranks 3rd)
- 1 Win, 50.0% (% ranks T1st)
- 1 Pole, 50.0% (% rank T1st)
- 2 Top 5’s, 100% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 finishes outside Top 20, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 Stage Wins
- 3 Stage T10’s, 75.0% (% ranks T4th)
- 5.25 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 3rd)
Main Points & Outlook
– Ross Chastain is notable because of his Next Gen Nashville stats
– At New Hampshire Chastain ran 75% of his laps in the Top 15 and got 4 Stage Pts en route to a 10th place finish
– In 2024 he has just 2 Top 5’s and 7 Top 10’s, but he also has just 2 finishes out of the Top 20 which leads to him having the 2nd best Avg. Finish (12.33)
– He is on a 2 straight Stage T10 streak, which is his longest this year, and his longest Top 10 finish streak this year is just 3 races
– At Nashville he is on a 3 race Top 5 finish streak and a 3 straight Stage T10 streak
– In the 5 Intermediate races this year he’s ran only 75% of his laps in the Top 15 with just 2 Top 10 finishes, but he does have 1 Stage Win and 2.73 Stage Pts Per Stage
– Last year Chastain was incredible at Nashville as he won the Pole, led 33% of the laps, ran every lap in the Top 15, had the best Driver Rating, and won the race
– He’s finished 1st and 5th in the 2 Next Gen Nashville races while running 93% of his laps in the Top 15, and having a 123.85 Avg. Driver Rating
Outlook for this weekend
Ross Chastain has not been flashy by any means this year, but what he’s lacked in flash he’s made up for in solid runs. However, he’s struggled to get Stage Pts but he’s done alright in Intermediate race stages, but he hasn’t be too good in the races and finishing the races. Then again, this week is Nashville where Chastain has been tremendous in the Next Gen car, even getting 5.25 Stage Pts Per Stage. In total, Chastain may not have the best run this weekend, but with it being Nashville I’d say he’s a shoe-in for a Top 10 and could finish near the front.
– Ross Chastain is notable because of his Next Gen Nashville stats
– At New Hampshire Chastain ran 75% of his laps in the Top 15 and got 4 Stage Pts en route to a 10th place finish
– In 2024 he has just 2 Top 5’s and 7 Top 10’s, but he also has just 2 finishes out of the Top 20 which leads to him having the 2nd best Avg. Finish (12.33)
– He is on a 2 straight Stage T10 streak, which is his longest this year, and his longest Top 10 finish streak this year is just 3 races
– At Nashville he is on a 3 race Top 5 finish streak and a 3 straight Stage T10 streak
– In the 5 Intermediate races this year he’s ran only 75% of his laps in the Top 15 with just 2 Top 10 finishes, but he does have 1 Stage Win and 2.73 Stage Pts Per Stage
– Last year Chastain was incredible at Nashville as he won the Pole, led 33% of the laps, ran every lap in the Top 15, had the best Driver Rating, and won the race
– He’s finished 1st and 5th in the 2 Next Gen Nashville races while running 93% of his laps in the Top 15, and having a 123.85 Avg. Driver Rating
Outlook for this weekend
Ross Chastain has not been flashy by any means this year, but what he’s lacked in flash he’s made up for in solid runs. However, he’s struggled to get Stage Pts but he’s done alright in Intermediate race stages, but he hasn’t be too good in the races and finishing the races. Then again, this week is Nashville where Chastain has been tremendous in the Next Gen car, even getting 5.25 Stage Pts Per Stage. In total, Chastain may not have the best run this weekend, but with it being Nashville I’d say he’s a shoe-in for a Top 10 and could finish near the front.
