Last week we saw Corey Heim pick up 7 more Playoff Points and extend his lead there, but there was some movement in the playoff standings below him as Daniel Dye is now on the hot seat. Now we head to IRP where, with 2 races left, there are a few drivers that can clinch their way in on points and some that could better there playoff hopes with good runs. Below are the scenarios in which no matter what happens in the race Friday, if the scenario happens then the ticket is punched to the Playoffs. The only thing that can make a scenario change is if the finishing order changes the tie breaker, but still that only changes some scenarios by 1 point.
P.s. Obviously if a driver wins the race then they are in the next round, but that’s a boring and simple scenario to figure out, so only must win scenarios are mentioned.
*Does not include winning driver/owner scenario
Driver Regular Season Points Championship Clinching Scenarios
Christian Eckes
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- Needs all of the following scenarios:
- 29+ points more than Corey Heim
- 8 total points in the race or be within 52 points of Nick Sanchez
- Needs all of the following scenarios:
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Driver Playoff Spot Clinching Scenarios
5) Ty Majeski
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- No new Playoff eligible driver wins:Â Clinched
- New Playoff eligible driver wins: Needs 4 points (33rd place finish)
- -OR-
- Needs 1 of the following scenarios
- Be within 20 points of Tyler Ankrum
- Be within 23 points of Grant Enfinger
- Be within 30 points of Taylor Gray
- Be within 52 points of Ben Rhodes
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6) Tyler Ankrum
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- No new Playoff eligible driver wins: Needs 5 of the following scenarios
- 53+ points more than Grant Enfinger
- 46+ points more than Taylor Gray
- 25+ points more than Ben Rhodes
- 8+ points more than Daniel Dye
- 7+ points more than Tanner Gray
- 4+ points more than Stewart Friesen
- Be within 39 points of Matt Crafton
- Be within 44 points of Chase Purdy
- New Playoff eligible driver wins: Needs 5* of the scenarios above if driver mentioned above/Majeski wins
- -OR-
- Needs 6 of the scenarios above if winning driver is below Chase Purdy in points
- No new Playoff eligible driver wins: Needs 5 of the following scenarios
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7) Grant Enfinger
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- No new Playoff eligible driver wins: Needs 5 of the following scenarios
- 49+ points more than Taylor Gray
- 28+ points more than Ben Rhodes
- 11+ points more than Daniel Dye
- 9+ points more than Tanner Gray
- 7+ points more than Stewart Friesen
- Be within 37 points of Matt Crafton
- Be within 41 points of Chase Purdy
- New Playoff eligible driver wins: Needs 5* of the scenarios above if driver mentioned above/Majeski/Ankrum wins
- -OR-
- Needs 6 of the scenarios above if winning driver is below Chase Purdy in points
- No new Playoff eligible driver wins: Needs 5 of the following scenarios
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8) Taylor Gray
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- No new Playoff eligible driver wins: Needs 5 of the following scenarios
- 35+ points more than Ben Rhodes
- 18+ points more than Daniel Dye
- 17+ points more than Tanner Gray
- 14+ points more than Stewart Friesen
- Be within 29 points of Matt Crafton
- Be within 34 points of Chase Purdy
- New Playoff eligible driver wins: Needs 5* of the scenarios above if driver mentioned above/Majeski/Ankrum/Enfinger wins
- -OR-
- Needs all 6 of the scenarios above if winning driver is below Chase Purdy in points
- No new Playoff eligible driver wins: Needs 5 of the following scenarios
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9) Ben Rhodes
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- No new Playoff eligible driver wins: Needs all 7 of the following scenarios
- 39+ points more than Daniel Dye
- 38+ points more than Tanner Gray
- 35+ points more than Stewart Friesen
- Be within 8 points of Matt Crafton
- Be within 13 points of Chase Purdy
- Be within 34 points of Jake Garcia
- Be within 50 points of Dean Thompson
- New Playoff eligible driver wins: Needs all 7 of the scenarios above if Majeski/Ankrum/Enfinger/TayGray wins
- -OR-
- Can’t clinch if winner is below him in points
- No new Playoff eligible driver wins: Needs all 7 of the following scenarios
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10+) All other Playoff eligible drivers without a win
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- Must win to clinch a Playoff spot
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Owner Regular Season Points Championship Clinching Scenarios
McAnally Hilgemann Racing No.19
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- Needs all of the following scenarios:
- 29+ points more than the No.11
- 8 total points in the race or be within 52 points of the No.2
- Needs all of the following scenarios:
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Owner Playoff Spot Clinching Scenarios
5) ThorSport Racing No.98
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- No new Playoff eligible owner wins: Needs 23 points (14th place finish)
- -OR-
- Needs 2 of the following scenarios
- 11+ points more than the No.7
- Be within 20 points of the No.18
- Be within 23 points of the No.9
- Be within 30 points of the No.17
- Be within 32 points of the No.45
- Be within 52 points of the No.99
- New Playoff eligible owner wins: Needs 25 points (12th place finish)
- -OR-
- Needs 2* of the scenarios above if owner mentioned above win
- Needs 3 of the scenarios above if winning owner is below the No.99 in points
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6) Spire Motorsports No.7
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- No new Playoff eligible owner wins: Needs 6 of the following scenarios
- 24+ points more than the No.18
- 21+ points more than the No.9
- 14+ points more than the No.17
- 12+ points more than the No.45
- Be within 7 points of the No.99
- Be within 24 points of the No.43
- Be within 25 points of the No.15
- Be within 26 points of the No.91
- Be within 28 points of the No.52
- New Playoff eligible owner wins: Needs 6* of the scenarios above if owner mentioned above/No.98 wins
- -OR-
- Needs 7 of the scenarios above if winning owner is below the No.52 in points
- No new Playoff eligible owner wins: Needs 6 of the following scenarios
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7) McAnally Hilgemann Racing No.18
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- No new Playoff eligible owner wins: Needs 8 of the following scenarios
- 53+ points more than the No.9
- 46+ points more than the No.17
- 44+ points more than the No.45
- 25+ points more than the No.99
- 8+ points more than the No.43
- 7+ points more than the No.15
- 6+ points more than the No.91
- 4+ points more than the No.52
- Be within 39 points of the No.88
- Be within 44 points of the No.77
- New Playoff eligible owner wins: Needs 8* of the scenarios above if owner mentioned above/No.98/No.7 wins
- -OR-
- Needs 9 of the scenarios above if winning owner is below the No.77 in points
- No new Playoff eligible owner wins: Needs 8 of the following scenarios
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8) CR7 Motorsports No.9
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- No new Playoff eligible owner wins: Needs 8 of the following scenarios
- 49+ points more than the No.17
- 47+ points more than the No.45
- 28+ points more than the No.99
- 11+ points more than the No.43
- 9+ points more than the No.15
- 9+ points more than the No.91
- 7+ points more than the No.52
- Be within 37 points of the No.88
- Be within 41 points of the No.77
- New Playoff eligible owner wins: Needs 8* of the scenarios above if owner mentioned above/No.98/No.7/No.18 wins
- -OR-
- Needs 9 of the scenarios above if winning owner is below the No.77 in points
- No new Playoff eligible owner wins: Needs 8 of the following scenarios
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9) TRICON Garage No.17
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- No new Playoff eligible owner wins: Needs all 9 of the following scenarios
- 54+ points more than the No.45
- 35+ points more than the No.99
- 18+ points more than the No.43
- 17+ points more than the No.15
- 16+ points more than the No.91
- 14+ points more than the No.52
- Be within 29 points of the No.88
- Be within 34 points of the No.77
- Be within 51 points of the No.1
- New Playoff eligible owner wins: Needs all 9 of the scenarios above if the No.98/No.7/No.18/No.9 wins
- -OR-
- Can’t clinch if winner is below No.17 in points
- No new Playoff eligible owner wins: Needs all 9 of the following scenarios
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10+) All other Playoff eligible owners without a win
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- Must win to clinch a Playoff spot
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