Last week at Nashville was something. It was a fairly good race up until the end where drivers either lost fuel pressure or lost their minds as we went 5 overtimes to see Joey Logano save a ridiculous amount of fuel and pick up the win. Now we head to Chicago where we will probably be something again, but will that be good or bad? That remains to be seen. I have picked 5 notable drivers to look at, 1 based on 2024 season stats, 1 based on Road Course stats, 1 based on the last Chicago race, 1 based on their Next Gen Chicago stats, and 1 based on the highest in points that wasn’t already picked. Here is a look at those 5 notable drivers 2024 season statistics, along with ranks among drivers in 2024 as well as ranking through 19 races since the Playoffs started in 2004. We will also highlight notable streaks accomplished through the year and at Chicago, 2024 Road Course (left & right turns) statistics and Chicago statistics in the Next Gen car.
Note: any driver in 4 straight Cup outlook articles is not in consideration for the next two, or any driver in 4 of 5 Cup outlook articles is not in consideration for the next one. This resets after they are put back into consideration.
This week not in consideration: Martin Truex Jr. (4 in a row) & Chase Elliott (4 of 5)
This week not in consideration: Martin Truex Jr. (4 in a row) & Chase Elliott (4 of 5)
1st in Points – Kyle Larson
| Category | Statistic | 2024 Rank | ªRank Thru 19 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 12.28 | 2nd of 35 | 85th of 856 |
| Best Fin. | 1st | — | — |
| Worst Fin. | 34th | — | — |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 97.78% | T16th of 35 | T219th of 856 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 80.29 | 2nd of 35 | 48th of 814‡ |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 103.62 | 1st of 35 | 34th of 814‡ |
| Wins | 3 | T1st of 56 | T23rd of 1307 |
| Poles | 4 | 1st of 56 | T5th of 1307 |
| Top 2’s | 5 | 1st of 56 | T21st of 1307 |
| Top 3’s | 6 | T1st of 56 | T29th of 1307 |
| Top 5’s | 8 | 1st of 56 | T35th of 1307 |
| Top 10’s | 10 | T3rd of 56 | T96th of 1307 |
| Finish out Top 20¹ | 5 | T6th of 35 | T170th of 856 |
| DNF’s¹ | 2 | T15th of 35 | T303rd of 856 |
| Stage Wins | 8 | 2nd of 56 | 5th of 456* |
| Stage T10s | 25 | T1st of 56 | T20th of 456* |
| Stage Pts | 205 | 1st of 56 | 7th of 456* |
| Avg. Stage Fin.¹ | 7.92 | 1st of 35 | — |
| Playoff Pts² | 23 | 2nd of 56 | 10th of 456* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2004
¹Ranks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 19 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 3 straight Poles (longest streak in Cup Series this year and tied 12th longest streak in Cup Series all-time)
- 2 straight Top 2 finishes (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
- 2 straight Top 10 finishes (active streak, tied longest active streak in Cup Series)
- 2 straight Stage Wins (tied 15th longest streak in Cup Series all-time)
- 3 straight Stage T10’s (active streak)
- 7 straight Stage T10’s
- Notable Chicago Streaks
- 1 straight Top 5 finish (active “streak”)
- 2 straight Stage T10’s (active streak)
- 2024 Road Course Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Road Course start, 41 drivers)
- 2 Races, Avg. Finish 9.0(6th), 73.03% of Laps ran in Top15(7th), Avg. Driver Rating 101.35(6th), Best 1st, Worst 17th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 10.67% of laps he ran, 1 Win, 0 Poles, 1 Top 3, 1 Top 5, 1 Top 10, 1 Top 15, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 2.0 Stage Pts Per Stage, Avg. Stage Finish 14.5
- Chicago Statistics
- 2023 Chicago Race
- Finished 4th, Started 7th, Led 0 laps, Finished 7th in Stage 1 and 2nd in Stage 2, ran 76 Laps in Top 15(97.44% of laps ran), had 112.5 Driver Rating (ranked 3rd)
- Notable Next Gen Chicago Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Chicago since 2022, 32 drivers)
- 1 Race
- 4.0 Avg. Finish (Ranks 4th)
- Best Finish: 4th, Worst: 4th
- Completed 100% of laps (% ranks T1st)
- 97.44% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 2nd)
- 112.5 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 3rd)
- Led 0.00% of laps he’s run
- 0 Top 3’s
- 1 Top 5, 100% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 finishes outside Top 20, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 Stage Wins
- 2 Stage T10’s, 100% (% ranks T1st)
- 6.5 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 4th)
Main Points & Outlook
– Kyle Larson is notable because of his 2024 stats thru 19 races
– At Nashville Larson got 15 Stage Pts and ran 91% of his laps in the Top 15, but in the overtimes his payback went awry and he ran out of fuel at one point but he still found a way to finish 8th
– He has the 2nd best Avg. Finish this year and has the best/most Avg. Driver Rating, Poles, Top 2’s, Top 5’s, Stage Pts, and Avg. Stage Finish in the 2024 Ranks above
– His longest Pole streak this year (3 races) is longer than his longest Top 10 streak (2 races) which he is currently on
– He is currently on a 1 straight Top 5 finish “streak” and a 2 straight Stage T10 streak here at Chicago
– In the 2 Road Course races this year he’s finished 1st and 17th while running just 73% of his laps in the Top 15 and getting just 2 Stage Pts Per Stage
– At Chicago last year Larson led 0 laps, but he did get 13 Stage Pts, ran 97% of his laps in the Top 15, and finished 4th
– With this being the only Chicago Cup race the only stats to add are that he had the 3rd best Driver Rating at 112.5
Outlook for this weekend
Kyle Larson showed last week why he doesn’t drive for payback, he’s not good at it. However, he still ended up with his 10th Top 10 of the year and still lead most of the 2024 stage categories, although those may take a dip this weekend since he hasn’t been great in stages on Road Courses this year. In fact, even his finishes have been a mixed bag in the Road Course races this year. Then again, this is Chicago where he ran great last year and came home with an impressive Top 5 finish. All in all, don’t expect greatness from Larson this weekend in the race, but don’t be surprised if he’s near the front at the finish.
– Kyle Larson is notable because of his 2024 stats thru 19 races
– At Nashville Larson got 15 Stage Pts and ran 91% of his laps in the Top 15, but in the overtimes his payback went awry and he ran out of fuel at one point but he still found a way to finish 8th
– He has the 2nd best Avg. Finish this year and has the best/most Avg. Driver Rating, Poles, Top 2’s, Top 5’s, Stage Pts, and Avg. Stage Finish in the 2024 Ranks above
– His longest Pole streak this year (3 races) is longer than his longest Top 10 streak (2 races) which he is currently on
– He is currently on a 1 straight Top 5 finish “streak” and a 2 straight Stage T10 streak here at Chicago
– In the 2 Road Course races this year he’s finished 1st and 17th while running just 73% of his laps in the Top 15 and getting just 2 Stage Pts Per Stage
– At Chicago last year Larson led 0 laps, but he did get 13 Stage Pts, ran 97% of his laps in the Top 15, and finished 4th
– With this being the only Chicago Cup race the only stats to add are that he had the 3rd best Driver Rating at 112.5
Outlook for this weekend
Kyle Larson showed last week why he doesn’t drive for payback, he’s not good at it. However, he still ended up with his 10th Top 10 of the year and still lead most of the 2024 stage categories, although those may take a dip this weekend since he hasn’t been great in stages on Road Courses this year. In fact, even his finishes have been a mixed bag in the Road Course races this year. Then again, this is Chicago where he ran great last year and came home with an impressive Top 5 finish. All in all, don’t expect greatness from Larson this weekend in the race, but don’t be surprised if he’s near the front at the finish.
3rd in Points – Denny Hamlin
| Category | Statistic | 2024 Rank | ªRank Thru 19 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 14.21 | 8th of 35 | T162nd of 856 |
| Best Fin. | 1st | — | — |
| Worst Fin. | 38th | — | — |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 97.33% | 19th of 35 | T260th of 856 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 81.85 | 1st of 35 | 35th of 814‡ |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 97.28 | 2nd of 35 | 86th of 814‡ |
| Wins | 3 | T1st of 56 | T23rd of 1307 |
| Poles | 2 | 4th of 56 | T35th of 1307 |
| Top 2’s | 4 | T2nd of 56 | T41st of 1307 |
| Top 3’s | 4 | T5th of 56 | T78th of 1307 |
| Top 5’s | 7 | T2nd of 56 | T58th of 1307 |
| Top 10’s | 8 | T9th of 56 | T188th of 1307 |
| Finish out Top 20¹ | 6 | T10th of 35 | T245th of 856 |
| DNF’s¹ | 2 | T15th of 35 | T303rd of 856 |
| Stage Wins | 4 | 3rd of 56 | T19th of 456* |
| Stage T10s | 25 | T1st of 56 | T20th of 456* |
| Stage Pts | 165 | 2nd of 56 | T18th of 456* |
| Avg. Stage Fin.¹ | 11.03 | 3rd of 35 | — |
| Playoff Pts² | 19 | 3rd of 56 | T14th of 456* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2004
¹Ranks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 19 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 5 straight Top 5 finishes (longest streak in Cup Series this year)
- 5 straight Top 10 finishes (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
- 5 straight Stage T10’s (active streak, longest active streak in Cup Series)
- Notable Chicago Streaks
- none
- 2024 Road Course Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Road Course start, 41 drivers)
- 2 Races, Avg. Finish 26.0(T30th), 50.0% of Laps ran in Top15(16th), Avg. Driver Rating 53.85(29th), Best 14th, Worst 38th, Laps Completed 39.33%, Led 4.29% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 0 Top 5’s, 0 Top 10’s, 1 Top 15, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 1 DNF, 1 Stage Win, 2.5 Stage Pts Per Stage, Avg. Stage Finish 23.25
- Chicago Statistics
- 2023 Chicago Race
- Finished 11th, Started 1st, Led 0 laps, got 0 Stage T10’s, ran 60 Laps in Top 15(76.92% of laps ran), had 85.3 Driver Rating (ranked 11th)
- Notable Next Gen Chicago Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Chicago since 2022, 32 drivers)
- 1 Race
- 11.0 Avg. Finish (Ranks 11th)
- Best Finish: 11th, Worst: 11th
- Completed 100% of laps (% ranks T1st)
- 76.92% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 7th)
- 85.3 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 11th)
- Led 0.00% of laps he’s run
- 1 Pole, 100% (% ranks 1st)
- 0 Top 10’s
- 1 Top 15, 100% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 finishes outside Top 20, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 Stage Wins
- 0 Stage T10’s
Main Points & Outlook
– Denny Hamlin is notable because he’s 3rd in points heading to Chicago
– Hamlin got 16 Stage Pts at Nashville, ran 99% of his laps in the Top 15, led 21% of his laps, and was in position to win until Austin Cindric spun causing chaos that ended in a 12th place finish for Hamlin
– He has the best Laps in Top 15%, tied most Wins, and tied most Stage T10’s in the 2024 Ranks above, but he also has 8 Top 10’s to 6 finishes out of the Top 20
– He is currently on a personal season long 5 straight Stage T10 streak and at one point this year had a 5 race Top 5 finish streak
– At Chicago he has no streaks
– In the 2 Road Course races this year he’s ran just 50% of his laps in the Top 15 with a 14th place finish and a DNF, but he does have 1 Stage Win
– Hamlin won the Pole for the Chicago race last year, but he failed to lead any laps, ran 77% of his laps in the Top 15, and finished 11th in the race
– With this being the only Chicago Cup race the only stats to add are that he got 0 Stage T10’s last year and had an 85.3 Avg. Driver Rating
Outlook for this weekend
Denny Hamlin nearly got his 4th win of the year last week at Nashville, but Austin Cindric and fuel had other plans as Hamlin has now finished 4 straight races out of the Top 10. However, he’s ran great this year, but this week is a Road Course where he’s not ran too well and has a best finish of just 14th in the 2 races. More so-so news is that this weekend is Chicago where despite winning the Pole last year Hamlin led 0 laps and got 0 Stage T10’s en route to an 11th place finish. Overall, expect a good qualifying day from Hamlin this weekend, but in the race don’t expect too much from him.
– Denny Hamlin is notable because he’s 3rd in points heading to Chicago
– Hamlin got 16 Stage Pts at Nashville, ran 99% of his laps in the Top 15, led 21% of his laps, and was in position to win until Austin Cindric spun causing chaos that ended in a 12th place finish for Hamlin
– He has the best Laps in Top 15%, tied most Wins, and tied most Stage T10’s in the 2024 Ranks above, but he also has 8 Top 10’s to 6 finishes out of the Top 20
– He is currently on a personal season long 5 straight Stage T10 streak and at one point this year had a 5 race Top 5 finish streak
– At Chicago he has no streaks
– In the 2 Road Course races this year he’s ran just 50% of his laps in the Top 15 with a 14th place finish and a DNF, but he does have 1 Stage Win
– Hamlin won the Pole for the Chicago race last year, but he failed to lead any laps, ran 77% of his laps in the Top 15, and finished 11th in the race
– With this being the only Chicago Cup race the only stats to add are that he got 0 Stage T10’s last year and had an 85.3 Avg. Driver Rating
Outlook for this weekend
Denny Hamlin nearly got his 4th win of the year last week at Nashville, but Austin Cindric and fuel had other plans as Hamlin has now finished 4 straight races out of the Top 10. However, he’s ran great this year, but this week is a Road Course where he’s not ran too well and has a best finish of just 14th in the 2 races. More so-so news is that this weekend is Chicago where despite winning the Pole last year Hamlin led 0 laps and got 0 Stage T10’s en route to an 11th place finish. Overall, expect a good qualifying day from Hamlin this weekend, but in the race don’t expect too much from him.
5th in Points – Tyler Reddick
| Category | Statistic | 2024 Rank | ªRank Thru 19 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 12.53 | 3rd of 35 | 90th of 856 |
| Best Fin. | 1st | — | — |
| Worst Fin. | 32nd | — | — |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 99.39% | 6th of 35 | 73rd of 856 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 68.45 | 5th of 35 | 159th of 814‡ |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 92.23 | 6th of 35 | 152nd of 814‡ |
| Wins | 1 | T5th of 56 | T95th of 1307 |
| Poles | 1 | T5th of 56 | T74th of 1307 |
| Top 2’s | 2 | T6th of 56 | T114th of 1307 |
| Top 3’s | 3 | T7th of 56 | T139th of 1307 |
| Top 5’s | 7 | T2nd of 56 | T58th of 1307 |
| Top 10’s | 12 | 1st of 56 | T41st of 1307 |
| Finish out Top 20¹ | 5 | T6th of 35 | T170th of 856 |
| DNF’s¹ | 1 | T4th of 35 | T111th of 856 |
| Stage Wins | 3 | 4th of 56 | T28th of 456* |
| Stage T10s | 22 | 6th of 56 | T45th of 456* |
| Stage Pts | 132 | 6th of 56 | T46th of 456* |
| Avg. Stage Fin.¹ | 12.05 | 5th of 35 | — |
| Playoff Pts² | 8 | 5th of 56 | T40th of 456* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2004
¹Ranks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 19 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 2 straight Top 5 finishes
- 2 straight Top 10 finishes (active streak)
- 5 straight Top 10 finishes (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
- 2 straight Stage T10’s (active streak)
- 4 straight Stage T10’s
- Notable Chicago Streaks
- 2 straight Stage T10’s (active streak)
- 2024 Road Course Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Road Course start, 41 drivers)
- 2 Races, Avg. Finish 6.5(5th), 89.89% of Laps ran in Top15(2nd), Avg. Driver Rating 108.2(1st), Best 5th, Worst 8th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 20.22% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 1 Top 5, 2 Top 10’s, 2 Top 15’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 1 Stage Win, 3.0 Stage Pts Per Stage, Avg. Stage Finish 13.0
- Chicago Statistics
- 2023 Chicago Race
- Finished 28th, Started 2nd, Led 8 laps(10.26%), Finished 2nd in Stage 1 and 3rd in Stage 2, ran 57 Laps in Top 15(73.08% of laps ran), had 101.5 Driver Rating (ranked 5th)
- Notable Next Gen Chicago Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Chicago since 2022, 32 drivers)
- 1 Race
- 28.0 Avg. Finish (Ranks 24th)
- Best Finish: 28th, Worst: 28th
- Completed 100% of laps (% ranks T1st)
- 73.08% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 8th)
- 101.5 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 5th)
- Led 10.26% of laps he’s run (% ranks 4th)
- 0 Top 15’s
- 1 finish outside Top 20, 100% (% ranks T20th)
- 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 Stage Wins
- 2 Stage T10’s, 100% (% ranks T1st)
- 8.5 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 2nd)
Main Points & Outlook
– Tyler Reddick is notable because of his stats in the 2 Road Course races this year
– Reddick finished 3rd and 2nd in the first 2 stages last week at Nashville and ran 97% of his laps in the Top 15, but last lap blocks from Joey Logano kept Reddick from winning as he ended up 3rd
– His worse 2024 Rank above is only T7th (3 Top 3’s) and he has the 3rd best Avg. Finish this year (12.53) with the most Top 10’s in Cup this year (12)
– He is currently on a 2 race Top 10 finish streak and a 2 straight Stage T10 streak
– The only streak he has at Chicago is a 2 straight Stage T10 streak
– He’s finished 5th and 8th in the 2 Road Course races this year while running 90% of his laps in the Top 15 and having the best Avg. Driver Rating (108.2)
– Last year at Chicago Reddick got 17 Stage Pts and ran 73% of his laps in the Top 15, but he got stuck in the tire barrier late in the race to drop him to 28th at the finish
– With this being the only Chicago Cup race the only stats to add are that he led 8 laps and had the 5th best Driver Rating (101.5)
Outlook for this weekend
Tyler Reddick was so close to getting his 2nd win of the year last week at Nashville, but he fell just short. However, his stats this year are still among the best overall and he’s even got the most Top 10 finishes this year. Even better is that we head to a Road Course this weekend where he’s ran great this year and has finished no worse than 8th in the 2 races. What’s more is that this is Chicago where Reddick ran well last year, but didn’t get the finish to show for it. In all, keep an eye on Reddick this weekend as he’ll most likely be one to reckon with for the win.
– Tyler Reddick is notable because of his stats in the 2 Road Course races this year
– Reddick finished 3rd and 2nd in the first 2 stages last week at Nashville and ran 97% of his laps in the Top 15, but last lap blocks from Joey Logano kept Reddick from winning as he ended up 3rd
– His worse 2024 Rank above is only T7th (3 Top 3’s) and he has the 3rd best Avg. Finish this year (12.53) with the most Top 10’s in Cup this year (12)
– He is currently on a 2 race Top 10 finish streak and a 2 straight Stage T10 streak
– The only streak he has at Chicago is a 2 straight Stage T10 streak
– He’s finished 5th and 8th in the 2 Road Course races this year while running 90% of his laps in the Top 15 and having the best Avg. Driver Rating (108.2)
– Last year at Chicago Reddick got 17 Stage Pts and ran 73% of his laps in the Top 15, but he got stuck in the tire barrier late in the race to drop him to 28th at the finish
– With this being the only Chicago Cup race the only stats to add are that he led 8 laps and had the 5th best Driver Rating (101.5)
Outlook for this weekend
Tyler Reddick was so close to getting his 2nd win of the year last week at Nashville, but he fell just short. However, his stats this year are still among the best overall and he’s even got the most Top 10 finishes this year. Even better is that we head to a Road Course this weekend where he’s ran great this year and has finished no worse than 8th in the 2 races. What’s more is that this is Chicago where Reddick ran well last year, but didn’t get the finish to show for it. In all, keep an eye on Reddick this weekend as he’ll most likely be one to reckon with for the win.
23rd in Points – Michael McDowell
| Category | Statistic | 2024 Rank | ªRank Thru 19 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 21.63 | 24th of 35 | T500th of 856 |
| Best Fin. | 2nd | — | — |
| Worst Fin. | 38th | — | — |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 92.88% | 33rd of 35 | 579th of 856 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 39.62 | 20th of 35 | 390th of 814‡ |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 69.94 | 18th of 35 | T418th of 814‡ |
| Wins | 0 | T12th of 56 | T227th of 1307 |
| Poles | 3 | T2nd of 56 | T12th of 1307 |
| Top 2’s | 1 | T10th of 56 | T190th of 1307 |
| Top 3’s | 1 | T14th of 56 | T270th of 1307 |
| Top 5’s | 1 | T22nd of 56 | T390th of 1307 |
| Top 10’s | 5 | T18th of 56 | T341st of 1307 |
| Finish out Top 20¹ | 11 | T25th of 35 | T576th of 856 |
| DNF’s¹ | 5 | T34th of 35 | T760th of 856 |
| Stage Wins | 1 | T10th of 56 | T80th of 456* |
| Stage T10s | 7 | T20th of 56 | T156th of 456* |
| Stage Pts | 39 | 19th of 56 | T142nd of 456* |
| Avg. Stage Fin.¹ | 20.72 | 22nd of 35 | — |
| Playoff Pts² | 1 | T15th of 56 | T108th of 456* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2004
¹Ranks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 19 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 2 straight Top 10 finishes
- 3 straight DNF’s (tied longest streak in Cup Series this year)
- Notable Chicago Streaks
- 1 straight Top 10 finish (active “streak”)
- 2 straight Stage T10’s (active streak)
- 2024 Road Course Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Road Course start, 41 drivers)
- 2 Races, Avg. Finish 20.0(T19th), 57.76% of Laps ran in Top15(14th), Avg. Driver Rating 72.65(16th), Best 2nd, Worst 38th, Laps Completed 90.45%, Led 0.00% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 1 Top 3, 1 Top 5, 1 Top 10, 1 Top 15, 1 Finishes out of Top 20, 1 DNF, 0 Stage Wins, 3.25 Stage Pts Per Stage, Avg. Stage Finish 15.75
- Chicago Statistics
- 2023 Chicago Race
- Finished 7th, Started 6th, Led 0 laps, Finished 5th in Stage 1 and 5th in Stage 2, ran 70 Laps in Top 15(89.74% of laps ran), had 105.3 Driver Rating (ranked 4th)
- Notable Next Gen Chicago Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Chicago since 2022, 32 drivers)
- 1 Race
- 7.0 Avg. Finish (Ranks 7th)
- Best Finish: 7th, Worst: 7th
- Completed 100% of laps (% ranks T1st)
- 89.74% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 4th)
- 105.3 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 4th)
- Led 0.00% of laps he’s run
- 0 Top 5’s
- 1 Top 10, 100% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 finishes outside Top 20, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 Stage Wins
- 2 Stage T10’s, 100% (% ranks T1st)
- 6.0 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 5th)
Main Points & Outlook
– Michael McDowell is notable because of his career stats at Chicago (1 race)
– Last week at Nashville McDowell led 13% of his laps and ran 40% of his laps in the Top 15, but a transmission issue caused him to DNF in 35th place
– He has 3 times as many Poles (3) as Top 5 finishes (1) this year and he has as many DNF’s as Top 10 finishes (5). In fact, his 5 DNF’s are tied most this year
– The only notable streaks he has this year aren’t that good as he’s had a 2 race Top 10 streak this year, but he’s also had a 3 race DNF streak as well
– At Chicago he currently rides a 1 race Top 10 “streak” and a 2 straight Stage T10 streak
– In the 2 Road Course races this year he’s finished 2nd and 38th while running 58% of his laps in the Top 15 and leading 0 laps
– At Chicago last year McDowell finished 5th in Stage 1 and 2, ran 90% of his laps in the Top 15 and finished 7th in the race
– With this being the only Chicago Cup race the only stats to add are that he led 0 laps and had the 4th best Driver Rating (105.3)
Outlook for this weekend
Michael McDowell has had minimal success this year as he got his 5th DNF and 11th finish out of the Top 20 in the first 19 races last weekend at Nashville. The good news is that this week is a Road Course where he hasn’t ran terrible this year and has a 2nd place finish, but unfortunately his other finish was a 38th place DNF. However, this is Chicago where McDowell ran well last year and finished in the Top 10. Looking at these stats it’s simple, if McDowell can finish he’ll probably finish Top 10 this weekend, but don’t count on him finishing.
– Michael McDowell is notable because of his career stats at Chicago (1 race)
– Last week at Nashville McDowell led 13% of his laps and ran 40% of his laps in the Top 15, but a transmission issue caused him to DNF in 35th place
– He has 3 times as many Poles (3) as Top 5 finishes (1) this year and he has as many DNF’s as Top 10 finishes (5). In fact, his 5 DNF’s are tied most this year
– The only notable streaks he has this year aren’t that good as he’s had a 2 race Top 10 streak this year, but he’s also had a 3 race DNF streak as well
– At Chicago he currently rides a 1 race Top 10 “streak” and a 2 straight Stage T10 streak
– In the 2 Road Course races this year he’s finished 2nd and 38th while running 58% of his laps in the Top 15 and leading 0 laps
– At Chicago last year McDowell finished 5th in Stage 1 and 2, ran 90% of his laps in the Top 15 and finished 7th in the race
– With this being the only Chicago Cup race the only stats to add are that he led 0 laps and had the 4th best Driver Rating (105.3)
Outlook for this weekend
Michael McDowell has had minimal success this year as he got his 5th DNF and 11th finish out of the Top 20 in the first 19 races last weekend at Nashville. The good news is that this week is a Road Course where he hasn’t ran terrible this year and has a 2nd place finish, but unfortunately his other finish was a 38th place DNF. However, this is Chicago where McDowell ran well last year and finished in the Top 10. Looking at these stats it’s simple, if McDowell can finish he’ll probably finish Top 10 this weekend, but don’t count on him finishing.
32nd in Owner Points – Shane Van Gisbergen
| Category | Statistic | 2024 Rank | ªRank Thru 19 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 26.43 | — | — |
| Best Fin. | 20th | — | — |
| Worst Fin. | 28th | — | — |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 100% | — | — |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 20.59 | — | –‡ |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 58.9 | — | –‡ |
| Wins | 0 | T12th of 56 | T227th of 1307 |
| Poles | 0 | T11th of 56 | T211th of 1307 |
| Top 2’s | 0 | T19th of 56 | T341st of 1307 |
| Top 3’s | 0 | T22nd of 56 | T419th of 1307 |
| Top 5’s | 0 | T27th of 56 | T521st of 1307 |
| Top 10’s | 0 | T37th of 56 | T687th of 1307 |
| Finish out Top 20¹ | 2 | — | — |
| DNF’s¹ | 0 | — | — |
| Stage Wins | 0 | T15th of 56 | T114th of 456* |
| Stage T10s | 0 | T35th of 56 | T254th of 456* |
| Stage Pts | 0 | T34th of 56 | T247th of 456* |
| Avg. Stage Fin.¹ | 26.17 | — | — |
| Playoff Pts² | 0 | T17th of 56 | T130th of 456* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2004
¹Ranks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 19 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- none
- Notable Chicago Streaks
- 1 straight Win (active “streak”)
- 2 straight Stage T10’s (active streak)
- 2024 Road Course Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Road Course start, 41 drivers)
- 1 Race, Avg. Finish 20.0(T19th), 48.53% of Laps ran in Top15(17th), Avg. Driver Rating 75.2(14th), Best 20th, Worst 20th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 0.00% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 0 Top 5’s, 0 Top 10’s, 0 Top 15’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 0 Stage T10’s, Avg. Stage Finish 25.0
- Chicago Statistics
- 2023 Chicago Race
- Finished 1st, Started 3rd, Led 9 laps(11.54%), Finished 3rd in Stage 1 and 4th in Stage 2, ran 73 Laps in Top 15(93.59% of laps ran), had 138.1 Driver Rating (ranked 1st)
- Notable Next Gen Chicago Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Chicago since 2022, 32 drivers)
- 1 Race
- 1.0 Avg. Finish (Ranks 1st)
- Best Finish: 1st, Worst: 1st
- Completed 100% of laps (% ranks T1st)
- 93.59% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 3rd)
- 138.1 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 1st)
- Led 11.54% of laps he’s run (% ranks 3rd)
- 1 Win, 100% (% ranks 1st)
- 0 finishes outside Top 20, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 Stage Wins
- 2 Stage T10’s, 100% (% ranks T1st)
- 7.5 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 3rd)
Main Points & Outlook
– Shane Van Gisbergen is notable because of how he did in the Chicago race last year
– Van Gisbergen’s last race was at Charlotte where he ran just 3% of his laps in the Top 15 and finished 28th
– He’s only ran in 3 races this year, but he’s been unimpressive as he’s ran just 21% of his laps in the Top 15, has a 26.17 Avg. Stage Finish, and a 26.43 Avg. Race Finish
– He has no streaks this year
– At Chicago he is on a 1 race Win “streak” and a 2 straight Stage T10 streak
– He’s ran just 1 of the 2 Road Course races this year and in it he ran just 49% of his laps in the Top 15 and finished 20th
– At Chicago last year Van Gisbergen lit the NASCAR world on fire as he led 9 laps, ran 94% of his laps in the Top 15, had the best Driver Rating (138.1), and won in his first ever NASCAR start
– With this being the only Chicago Cup race the only stats to add are that he had 2 Stage T10’s and he got 7.5 Stage Pts Per Stage
Outlook for this weekend
Shane Van Gisbergen (SVG) has had a decently good Xfinity season this year, but his Cup stats are pretty awful in terms of running and finishing position in the races. What’s worse is that in his only Road Course race this year he didn’t run that well and finished 20th. The only good news is that this week is Chicago where he put his name on the NASCAR map last year by winning here in his first career NASCAR start! However, the stats this year say this week will not go as well for SVG as he probably runs and finishes mediocre in his Kaulig car.
– Shane Van Gisbergen is notable because of how he did in the Chicago race last year
– Van Gisbergen’s last race was at Charlotte where he ran just 3% of his laps in the Top 15 and finished 28th
– He’s only ran in 3 races this year, but he’s been unimpressive as he’s ran just 21% of his laps in the Top 15, has a 26.17 Avg. Stage Finish, and a 26.43 Avg. Race Finish
– He has no streaks this year
– At Chicago he is on a 1 race Win “streak” and a 2 straight Stage T10 streak
– He’s ran just 1 of the 2 Road Course races this year and in it he ran just 49% of his laps in the Top 15 and finished 20th
– At Chicago last year Van Gisbergen lit the NASCAR world on fire as he led 9 laps, ran 94% of his laps in the Top 15, had the best Driver Rating (138.1), and won in his first ever NASCAR start
– With this being the only Chicago Cup race the only stats to add are that he had 2 Stage T10’s and he got 7.5 Stage Pts Per Stage
Outlook for this weekend
Shane Van Gisbergen (SVG) has had a decently good Xfinity season this year, but his Cup stats are pretty awful in terms of running and finishing position in the races. What’s worse is that in his only Road Course race this year he didn’t run that well and finished 20th. The only good news is that this week is Chicago where he put his name on the NASCAR map last year by winning here in his first career NASCAR start! However, the stats this year say this week will not go as well for SVG as he probably runs and finishes mediocre in his Kaulig car.
