This article is a race finish projection for the 2024 Chicago Street Race. The finishing order below is determined based on the statistics used in the Cup Series Notable Drivers Statistics & Outlook: Chicago (mainly track stats and track style stats), weekend practice speeds (both single lap and multi-lap averages), and qualifying results. There is little opinion on the matter as this is based on mostly statistics, so just because a driver with bad stats is in a good car does not mean he will be bumped up based on the car/team he is with.
Last weeks projected winner: Denny Hamlin
Finished: 12th
Last weeks winner: Joey Logano
Projected Finish: 15th
Additional notes from last race:
-3 drivers finished where they were projected (Carson Hocevar 16th, Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 30th & Chad Finchum 38th)
-8 of the 38 drivers finished within 5 spots (better or worse) of where they were projected
-12 of the 38 drivers finished 15+ spots (better or worse) than they were projected to finish
-8 of the 38 drivers finished 20+ spots (better or worse) than they were projected to finish, including Zane Smith who was projected to finish 2nd to last but finished 2nd
-5 of the projected Top 13 drivers finished in the Top 13
Notes from all point race projections this year (19 races):
-Drivers to finish where they were projected: 31 of 709, 4.37%
-Drivers to finish within 5 spots (better/worse) than they were projected: 301 of 709, 42.45%
-Drivers to finish 10+ spots (better/worse) than they were projected: 270 of 709, 38.08%
-Correct Winner projections: 3 of 19, 15.79%
-Projected Top 10 finishers to finish Top 10: 94 of 190, 49.47%
Notable results this week
Winner: Kyle Larson
One to Watch: Michael McDowell
Disappointment: Josh Berry
| Proj. Finish | Number | Driver | Finish/Diff. |
| 1. | 5 | Kyle Larson | 39th -38 |
| 2. | 34 | Michael McDowell | 5th -3 |
| 3. | 54 | Ty Gibbs | 3rd +0 |
| 4. | 20 | Christopher Bell | 37th -33 |
| 5. | 45 | Tyler Reddick | 2nd +3 |
| 6. | 48 | Alex Bowman | 1st +5 |
| 7. | 16 | Shane Van Gisbergen | 40th -33 |
| 8. | 9 | Chase Elliott | 21st -13 |
| 9. | 17 | Chris Buescher | 20th -11 |
| 10. | 23 | Bubba Wallace | 13th -3 |
| 11. | 99 | Daniel Suarez | 11th +0 |
| 12. | 11 | Denny Hamlin | 30th -18 |
| 13. | 8 | Kyle Busch | 9th +4 |
| 14. | 1 | Ross Chastain | 22nd -8 |
| 15. | 51 | Justin Haley | 16th -1 |
| 16. | 42 | John Hunter Nemechek | 35th -19 |
| 17. | 19 | Martin Truex Jr. | 33rd -16 |
| 18. | 77 | Carson Hocevar | 24th -6 |
| 19. | 13 | A.J. Allmendinger | 38th -19 |
| 20. | 22 | Joey Logano | 23rd -3 |
| 21. | 24 | William Byron | 8th +13 |
| 22. | 2 | Austin Cindric | 15th +7 |
| 23. | 14 | Chase Briscoe | 32nd -9 |
| 24. | 12 | Ryan Blaney | 10th +14 |
| 25. | 7 | Corey LaJoie | 27th -2 |
| 26. | 6 | Brad Keselowski | 18th +8 |
| 27. | 33 | Austin Hill | 31st -4 |
| 28. | 71 | Zane Smith | 17th +11 |
| 29. | 41 | Ryan Preece | 34th -5 |
| 30. | 38 | Todd Gilliland | 7th +23 |
| 31. | 43 | Erik Jones | 29th +2 |
| 32. | 3 | Austin Dillon | 19th +13 |
| 33. | 60 | Joey Hand | 4th +29 |
| 34. | 4 | Josh Berry | 36th -2 |
| 35. | 66 | Josh Bilicki | 28th +7 |
| 36. | 31 | Daniel Hemric | 12th +24 |
| 37. | 21 | Harrison Burton | 25th +12 |
| 38. | 15 | Kaz Grala | 26th +12 |
| 39. | 10 | Noah Gragson | 14th +25 |
| 40. | 47 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 6th +34 |
*This will be updated after the race is over so you can compare how the projection did with the actual finishing order.
