Richmond has become the most controversial track on the schedule as both races this year have had fans up in arms after the race. This time it was Austin Dillon slamming his way to a win and a playoff birth, but NASCAR said not so fast as they took away his playoff birth. Now we head to Michigan where hopefully we get to enjoy some good racing and leave the controversy at home. I have picked 5 notable drivers to look at, 1 based on 2024 season stats, 1 based on Big track stats, 1 based on the last Michigan race, 1 based on their Next Gen Michigan stats, and 1 based on the highest in points that wasn’t already picked. Here is a look at those 5 notable drivers 2024 season statistics, along with ranks among drivers in 2024 as well as ranking through 23 races since the Playoffs started in 2004. We will also highlight notable streaks accomplished through the year and at Michigan, 2024 Big track (2+ miles, non-drafting) statistics and Michigan statistics in the Next Gen car.
Note: any driver in 4 straight Cup outlook articles is not in consideration for the next two, or any driver in 4 of 5 Cup outlook articles is not in consideration for the next one. This resets after they are put back into consideration.
This week not in consideration: Denny Hamlin (4 in a row, 2nd week) and Kyle Larson (4 in a row)
This week not in consideration: Denny Hamlin (4 in a row, 2nd week) and Kyle Larson (4 in a row)
2nd in Points – Tyler Reddick
| Category | Statistic | 2024 Rank | ªRank Thru 23 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 10.91 | 2nd of 36 | 41st of 839 |
| Best Fin. | 1st | — | — |
| Worst Fin. | 32nd | — | — |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 99.47% | 3rd of 36 | 44th of 839 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 71.13 | 4th of 36 | 129th of 797‡ |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 94.56 | 3rd of 36 | 115th of 797‡ |
| Wins | 1 | T6th of 59 | T119th of 1373 |
| Poles | 2 | T5th of 59 | T45th of 1373 |
| Top 2’s | 4 | T3rd of 59 | T65th of 1373 |
| Top 3’s | 6 | T2nd of 59 | T51st of 1373 |
| Top 5’s | 10 | 1st of 59 | T28th of 1373 |
| Top 10’s | 16 | 1st of 59 | T13th of 1373 |
| Finish out Top 20¹ | 5 | T2nd of 36 | T105th of 839 |
| DNF’s¹ | 1 | T2nd of 36 | T79th of 839 |
| Stage Wins | 3 | T4th of 59 | T38th of 476* |
| Stage T10s | 29 | 3rd of 59 | T24th of 476* |
| Stage Pts | 160 | 6th of 59 | T45th of 476* |
| Avg. Stage Fin.¹ | 11.4 | 4th of 36 | — |
| Playoff Pts² | 8 | 6th of 59 | T50th of 476* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2004
¹Ranks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 23 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 2 straight Top 3 finishes (active streak, longest active streak in Cup Series)
- 2 straight Top 5 finishes (active streak, tied longest active streak in Cup Series)
- 6 straight Top 10 finishes (active streak, longest active streak in Cup Series and longest streak in Cup Series this year)
- 6 straight Stage T10’s (active streak)
- Notable Michigan Streaks
- none
- 2024 Big track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Big track start, 40 drivers)
- 2 Races, Avg. Finish 4.0(2nd), 81.96% of Laps ran in Top15(6th), Avg. Driver Rating 107.6(3rd), Best 2nd, Worst 6th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 12.23% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 1 Pole, 1 Top 3, 1 Top 5, 2 Top 10’s, 2 Top 15’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 5.0 Stage Pts Per Stage, Avg. Stage Finish 6.0
- Michigan Statistics
- 2023 Michigan Race
- Finished 30th, Started 16th, Led 7 laps(3.5%), got 0 Stage T10’s, ran 125 Laps in Top 15(63.45% of laps ran), had 79.4 Driver Rating (ranked 14th)
- Notable Next Gen Michigan Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Michigan since start of 2022, 37 drivers)
- 2 Races
- 29.5 Avg. Finish (Ranks 33rd)
- Best Finish: 29th, Worst: 30th
- Completed 76.75% of laps (% ranks 28th)
- 71.34% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 11th)
- 80.0 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 14th)
- Led 2.28% of laps he’s run (% ranks 10th)
- 0 Top 15’s
- 2 finishes outside Top 20, 100% (% ranks T25th)
- 1 DNF, 50.0% (% ranks T26th)
- 0 Stage Wins
- 0 Stage T10’s
Main Points & Outlook
– Tyler Reddick is notable because he sits 2nd in points after Richmond
– Last week at Richmond Reddick was able to pick up 6 Stage Pts and run 96% of his laps in the Top 15 before having a front row view for the finish, in which he finished 3rd
– His worst 2024 Rank above is (T)6th (1 Win, 160 Stage Pts, and 8 Playoff Pts), and he leads the series with most Top 5’s (10) and most Top 10’s (16)
– All of his notable streaks this year are active streaks, his 2 race Top 3 finish streak, 6 race Top 10 finish streak, and 6 straight Stage T10 streak
– In terms of Michigan he has no notable streaks
– He has finishes of 2nd and 6th in the 2 Big track races this year with 1 Pole, a 6.0 Avg. Stage Finish, and he’s led 12% of his laps in the 2 races
– At Michigan last year Reddick ran just 63% of his laps in the Top 15 and got 0 Stage T10’s en route to a 30th place finish after issues in the last stage
– In the 2 Michigan Next Gen races he has finished 29th and 30th with 1 DNF and 0 Stage Wins, but he has ran 71% of his laps in the Top 15
Outlook for this weekend
Tyler Reddick was oh so close to another victory last week at Richmond, but he’s now had 9 Top 8 finishes in the last 10 races. This amazing streak has helped him amas some of the most consistent 2024 Ranks above. What’s more is that this weekend is a Big track where he’s ran very well this year and has finished even better. However, this is Michigan where he’s had no luck in the Next Gen car, as even with decent runs he has bad finishes in the 2 races. In total based on his recent success watch out for Reddick to run and finish well this weekend, but this is Michigan so don’t be surprised if he doesn’t finish.
– Tyler Reddick is notable because he sits 2nd in points after Richmond
– Last week at Richmond Reddick was able to pick up 6 Stage Pts and run 96% of his laps in the Top 15 before having a front row view for the finish, in which he finished 3rd
– His worst 2024 Rank above is (T)6th (1 Win, 160 Stage Pts, and 8 Playoff Pts), and he leads the series with most Top 5’s (10) and most Top 10’s (16)
– All of his notable streaks this year are active streaks, his 2 race Top 3 finish streak, 6 race Top 10 finish streak, and 6 straight Stage T10 streak
– In terms of Michigan he has no notable streaks
– He has finishes of 2nd and 6th in the 2 Big track races this year with 1 Pole, a 6.0 Avg. Stage Finish, and he’s led 12% of his laps in the 2 races
– At Michigan last year Reddick ran just 63% of his laps in the Top 15 and got 0 Stage T10’s en route to a 30th place finish after issues in the last stage
– In the 2 Michigan Next Gen races he has finished 29th and 30th with 1 DNF and 0 Stage Wins, but he has ran 71% of his laps in the Top 15
Outlook for this weekend
Tyler Reddick was oh so close to another victory last week at Richmond, but he’s now had 9 Top 8 finishes in the last 10 races. This amazing streak has helped him amas some of the most consistent 2024 Ranks above. What’s more is that this weekend is a Big track where he’s ran very well this year and has finished even better. However, this is Michigan where he’s had no luck in the Next Gen car, as even with decent runs he has bad finishes in the 2 races. In total based on his recent success watch out for Reddick to run and finish well this weekend, but this is Michigan so don’t be surprised if he doesn’t finish.
3rd in Points – Chase Elliott
| Category | Statistic | 2024 Rank | ªRank Thru 23 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 10.43 | 1st of 36 | 31st of 839 |
| Best Fin. | 1st | — | — |
| Worst Fin. | 21st | — | — |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 99.98% | 1st of 36 | 1st of 839 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 76.48 | 3rd of 36 | 76th of 797‡ |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 94.18 | 4th of 36 | 121st of 797‡ |
| Wins | 1 | T6th of 59 | T119th of 1373 |
| Poles | 0 | T11th of 59 | T237th of 1373 |
| Top 2’s | 1 | T11th of 59 | T207th of 1373 |
| Top 3’s | 4 | T8th of 59 | T118th of 1373 |
| Top 5’s | 7 | T4th of 59 | T100th of 1373 |
| Top 10’s | 12 | T3rd of 59 | T97th of 1373 |
| Finish out Top 20¹ | 1 | 1st of 36 | T1st of 839 |
| DNF’s¹ | 0 | 1st of 36 | T1st of 839 |
| Stage Wins | 1 | T10th of 59 | T84th of 476* |
| Stage T10s | 30 | 2nd of 59 | T20th of 476* |
| Stage Pts | 149 | 7th of 59 | 58th of 476* |
| Avg. Stage Fin.¹ | 10.49 | 3rd of 36 | — |
| Playoff Pts² | 6 | T8th of 59 | T71st of 476* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2004
¹Ranks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 23 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 2 straight Top 3 finishes
- 3 straight Top 5 finishes
- 3 straight Top 10 finishes (active streak)
- 3 straight Stage T10’s (active streak)
- 9 straight Stage T10’s (longest streak in Cup Series this year)
- Notable Michigan Streaks
- 3 straight Top 2 finishes (2016.15-2017.15) (tied 7th longest streak in Cup Series at Michigan all-time)
- 6 straight Top 10 finishes (2016.15-2018.23)
- 3 straight Stage T10’s (2017.15 s1-2017.23 s1 & 2019.23 s1-2020.21 s1)
- 2024 Big track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Big track start, 40 drivers)
- 2 Races, Avg. Finish 9.5(6th), 69.72% of Laps ran in Top15(T7th), Avg. Driver Rating 101.9(4th), Best 9th, Worst 10th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 0.31% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 0 Top 5’s, 2 Top 10’s, 2 Top 15’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 6.0 Stage Pts Per Stage, Avg. Stage Finish 6.5
- Michigan Statistics
- 2023 Michigan Race
- Finished 36th (crash), Started 10th, Led 0 laps, got 0 Stage T10’s, ran 34 Laps in Top 15(100% of laps ran), had 48.2 Driver Rating (ranked 27th)
- Notable Next Gen Michigan Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Michigan since start of 2022, 37 drivers)
- 2 Races
- 23.5 Avg. Finish (Ranks T23rd)
- Best Finish: 11th, Worst: 36th
- Completed 58.5% of laps (% ranks 30th)
- 45.73% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 20th)
- 61.7 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 19th)
- Led 0.00% of laps he’s run
- 0 Top 10’s
- 1 Top 15, 50.0% (% ranks T9th)
- 1 finish outside Top 20, 50.0% (% ranks T14th)
- 1 DNF, 50.0% (% ranks T26th)
- 0 Stage Wins
- 0 Stage T10’s
Main Points & Outlook
– Chase Elliott is notable because of his 2024 season stats thru 23 races
– At Richmond Elliott ran 88% of his laps in the Top 15 en route to 6 Stage Pts and a 9th place finish
– He is the only driver (with 10+ Cup starts) to not get a DNF this year and he has the best Completed Laps% thru 23 races of any driver since 2004, but he has just 1 Top 2 finish and 1 Stage Win
– His longest Top 10 streak is his active 3 race Top 10 streak and earlier this year he had a 9 straight Stage T10 streak
– As far as Michigan streaks go he had a 3 race Top 2 streak here from 2016-2017 and had a 6 race Top 10 streak from 2016-2018
– He’s finished 9th and 10th in the two Big track races this year while getting 6 Stage Pts Per Stage, but he’s only ran 70% of his laps in the Top 15
– Last year Elliott ran every lap of his in the Top 15, but he only ran 34 laps before crashing out of the race to a 36th place DNF
– In the 2 Next Gen races at Michigan he’s finished 11th and 36th with just a 61.7 Avg. Driver Rating, and he’s gotten 0 Stage T10’s in the 4 stages
Outlook for this weekend
Chase Elliott has been Mr. Consistent this year as his worst finish is just 21st and he’s also the only driver with 10+ starts this year to not get a DNF. What’s more is that he’s on a 3 race Top 10 finish streak and in the two Big track races this year he has 2 Top 10’s, but he hasn’t exactly ran great in the races despite doing well in stages. However, there is bad news in the fact this weekend is Michigan where he’s not done well in the two Next Gen races, including a DNF last year. Overall, the stats above say Elliott may not run great this weekend, but he should finish in or around the Top 10.
– Chase Elliott is notable because of his 2024 season stats thru 23 races
– At Richmond Elliott ran 88% of his laps in the Top 15 en route to 6 Stage Pts and a 9th place finish
– He is the only driver (with 10+ Cup starts) to not get a DNF this year and he has the best Completed Laps% thru 23 races of any driver since 2004, but he has just 1 Top 2 finish and 1 Stage Win
– His longest Top 10 streak is his active 3 race Top 10 streak and earlier this year he had a 9 straight Stage T10 streak
– As far as Michigan streaks go he had a 3 race Top 2 streak here from 2016-2017 and had a 6 race Top 10 streak from 2016-2018
– He’s finished 9th and 10th in the two Big track races this year while getting 6 Stage Pts Per Stage, but he’s only ran 70% of his laps in the Top 15
– Last year Elliott ran every lap of his in the Top 15, but he only ran 34 laps before crashing out of the race to a 36th place DNF
– In the 2 Next Gen races at Michigan he’s finished 11th and 36th with just a 61.7 Avg. Driver Rating, and he’s gotten 0 Stage T10’s in the 4 stages
Outlook for this weekend
Chase Elliott has been Mr. Consistent this year as his worst finish is just 21st and he’s also the only driver with 10+ starts this year to not get a DNF. What’s more is that he’s on a 3 race Top 10 finish streak and in the two Big track races this year he has 2 Top 10’s, but he hasn’t exactly ran great in the races despite doing well in stages. However, there is bad news in the fact this weekend is Michigan where he’s not done well in the two Next Gen races, including a DNF last year. Overall, the stats above say Elliott may not run great this weekend, but he should finish in or around the Top 10.
5th in Points – Ryan Blaney
| Category | Statistic | 2024 Rank | ªRank Thru 23 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 14.22 | 5th of 36 | T169th of 839 |
| Best Fin. | 1st | — | — |
| Worst Fin. | 39th | — | — |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 95.38% | 24th of 36 | T411th of 839 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 68.49 | 6th of 36 | 157th of 797‡ |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 91.33 | 7th of 36 | 158th of 797‡ |
| Wins | 2 | 5th of 59 | T63rd of 1373 |
| Poles | 1 | T7th of 59 | T96th of 1373 |
| Top 2’s | 3 | 7th of 59 | T96th of 1373 |
| Top 3’s | 5 | T6th of 59 | T86th of 1373 |
| Top 5’s | 7 | T4th of 59 | T100th of 1373 |
| Top 10’s | 11 | 7th of 59 | T142nd of 1373 |
| Finish out Top 20¹ | 6 | T6th of 36 | T170th of 839 |
| DNF’s¹ | 3 | T18th of 36 | T427th of 839 |
| Stage Wins | 2 | T6th of 59 | T59th of 476* |
| Stage T10s | 25 | 6th of 59 | T53rd of 476* |
| Stage Pts | 167 | 5th of 59 | T37th of 476* |
| Avg. Stage Fin.¹ | 13.96 | 9th of 36 | — |
| Playoff Pts² | 12 | 5th of 59 | T38th of 476* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2004
¹Ranks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 23 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 2 straight Top 3 finishes
- 3 straight Top 5 finishes
- 4 straight Top 10 finishes
- 4 straight Stage T10’s
- 2 straight DNF’s
- Notable Michigan Streaks
- 2 straight Top 5 finishes (2021.25-2022.23)
- 3 straight Top 10 finishes (active streak)
- 6 straight Stage T10’s (2019.23 s1-2020.22 s2) (tied 4th longest streak in the Cup Series at Michigan all-time)
- 2024 Big track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Big track start, 40 drivers)
- 2 Races, Avg. Finish 2.0(1st), 88.07% of Laps ran in Top15(3rd), Avg. Driver Rating 121.65(1st), Best 1st, Worst 3rd, Laps Completed 100%, Led 13.46% of laps he ran, 1 Win, 0 Poles, 2 Top 3’s, 2 Top 5’s, 2 Top 10’s, 2 Top 15’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 3.75 Stage Pts Per Stage, Avg. Stage Finish 15.75
- Michigan Statistics
- 2023 Michigan Race
- Finished 9th, Started 9th, Led 1 lap(0.5%), got 0 Stage T10’s, ran 167 Laps in Top 15(83.5% of laps ran), had 97.5 Driver Rating (ranked 7th)
- Notable Next Gen Michigan Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Michigan since start of 2022, 37 drivers)
- 2 Races
- 7.0 Avg. Finish (Ranks 4th)
- Best Finish: 5th, Worst: 9th
- Completed 100% of laps (% ranks T1st)
- 69.0% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 13th)
- 91.25 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 8th)
- Led 0.25% of laps he’s run (% ranks T17th)
- 0 Top 3’s
- 1 Top 5, 50.0% (% ranks T2nd)
- 2 Top 10’s, 100% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 finishes outside Top 20, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 Stage Wins
- 0 Stage T10’s
Main Points & Outlook
– Ryan Blaney is notable because of his stats in the 2 Big track races this year
– Last week at Richmond Blaney ran 69% of his laps in the Top 15, but he got 0 Stage Pts and finished the race 11th
– This year he has the 5th best Avg. Finish (14.22) with 2 Wins and 167 Stage Pts, but he has almost as many finishes out of the Top 20 (6) as in the Top 5 (7)
– His longest Top 5 streak this year is 3 races and his longest Top 10 streak and Stage T10 streak is just 4
– At Michigan he is currently on a 3 race Top 10 finish streak and from 2019-2021 he had a 6 straight Stage T10 streak
– In the 2 Big track races this year he’s finished 1st and 3rd with a 121.65 Avg. Driver Rating and he’s ran 88% of his laps in the Top 15, but he has a measly 15.75 Avg. Stage Finish
– At Michigan last year Blaney led 1 lap and got 0 Stage Pts, but he did run 84% of his laps in the Top 15 and ended up finishing 9th
– In the 2 Michigan Next Gen races he’s finished 5th and 9th, but he’s only led 0.25% of his laps, ran just 69% of his laps in the Top 15, and has 0 Stage T10’s
Outlook for this weekend
Ryan Blaney hasn’t been great this year, but he’s been solidly good all year long when you look at his 2024 stats above. What’s better is that he has 7 Top 11’s in the last 8 races and we now head to a Big track. In the two Big track races this year he’s ran great and has finished even greater, but his stages have been a little lackluster. The same can be said for him at Michigan in the Next Gen car as he’s failed to get a Stage T10 here in 4 stages, but he has finished both races in the Top 10. In all, don’t expect great stages from Blaney this weekend, but expect a good finish from him nonetheless.
– Ryan Blaney is notable because of his stats in the 2 Big track races this year
– Last week at Richmond Blaney ran 69% of his laps in the Top 15, but he got 0 Stage Pts and finished the race 11th
– This year he has the 5th best Avg. Finish (14.22) with 2 Wins and 167 Stage Pts, but he has almost as many finishes out of the Top 20 (6) as in the Top 5 (7)
– His longest Top 5 streak this year is 3 races and his longest Top 10 streak and Stage T10 streak is just 4
– At Michigan he is currently on a 3 race Top 10 finish streak and from 2019-2021 he had a 6 straight Stage T10 streak
– In the 2 Big track races this year he’s finished 1st and 3rd with a 121.65 Avg. Driver Rating and he’s ran 88% of his laps in the Top 15, but he has a measly 15.75 Avg. Stage Finish
– At Michigan last year Blaney led 1 lap and got 0 Stage Pts, but he did run 84% of his laps in the Top 15 and ended up finishing 9th
– In the 2 Michigan Next Gen races he’s finished 5th and 9th, but he’s only led 0.25% of his laps, ran just 69% of his laps in the Top 15, and has 0 Stage T10’s
Outlook for this weekend
Ryan Blaney hasn’t been great this year, but he’s been solidly good all year long when you look at his 2024 stats above. What’s better is that he has 7 Top 11’s in the last 8 races and we now head to a Big track. In the two Big track races this year he’s ran great and has finished even greater, but his stages have been a little lackluster. The same can be said for him at Michigan in the Next Gen car as he’s failed to get a Stage T10 here in 4 stages, but he has finished both races in the Top 10. In all, don’t expect great stages from Blaney this weekend, but expect a good finish from him nonetheless.
8th in Points – Martin Truex Jr.
| Category | Statistic | 2024 Rank | ªRank Thru 23 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 15.57 | 13th of 36 | T237th of 839 |
| Best Fin. | 2nd | — | — |
| Worst Fin. | 37th | — | — |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 97.35% | 17th of 36 | 240th of 839 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 70.2 | 5th of 36 | 138th of 797‡ |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 91.92 | 6th of 36 | 150th of 797‡ |
| Wins | 0 | T14th of 59 | T253rd of 1373 |
| Poles | 0 | T11th of 59 | T237th of 1373 |
| Top 2’s | 1 | T11th of 59 | T207th of 1373 |
| Top 3’s | 2 | T12th of 59 | T214th of 1373 |
| Top 5’s | 4 | T13th of 59 | T237th of 1373 |
| Top 10’s | 9 | T10th of 59 | T226th of 1373 |
| Finish out Top 20¹ | 7 | T11th of 36 | T243rd of 839 |
| DNF’s¹ | 1 | T2nd of 36 | T79th of 839 |
| Stage Wins | 3 | T4th of 59 | T38th of 476* |
| Stage T10s | 28 | T4th of 59 | T33rd of 476* |
| Stage Pts | 168 | 4th of 59 | T34th of 476* |
| Avg. Stage Fin.¹ | 11.64 | 5th of 36 | — |
| Playoff Pts² | 3 | 13th of 59 | T99th of 476* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2004
¹Ranks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 23 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 2 straight Top 5 finishes
- 5 straight Top 10 finishes
- 8 straight Stage T10’s
- Notable Michigan Streaks
- 1 straight Top 2 finish (active “streak”)
- 2 straight Top 2 finishes (2007.15-2007.23)
- 4 straight Top 5 finishes (2019.15-2020.22) (tied 13th longest streak in Cup Series at Michigan all-time)
- 7 straight Top 10 finishes (active streak, longest active streak in Cup Series at Michigan and tied 13th longest streak in Cup Series at Michigan all-time)
- 2 straight Stage Wins (active streak, tied 2nd longest streak in Cup Series at Michigan all-time)
- 4 straight Stage T10’s (2017.15 s1-2017.23 s2 & 2019.15 s1-2019.23 s2)
- 2024 Big track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Big track start, 40 drivers)
- 2 Races, Avg. Finish 17.5(15th), 50.15% of Laps ran in Top15(14th), Avg. Driver Rating 80.15(12th), Best 8th, Worst 27th, Laps Completed 99.39%, Led 4.31% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 0 Top 5’s, 1 Top 10, 1 Top 15, 1 Finish out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 1 Stage Win, 3.25 Stage Pts Per Stage, Avg. Stage Finish 17.25
- Michigan Statistics
- 2023 Michigan Race
- Finished 2nd, Started 5th, Led 47 laps(23.5%), Finished 1st in Stage 1 and 1st in Stage 2, ran 173 Laps in Top 15(86.5% of laps ran), had 131.7 Driver Rating (ranked 1st)
- Notable Next Gen Michigan Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Michigan since start of 2022, 37 drivers)
- 2 Races
- 4.0 Avg. Finish (Ranks 2nd)
- Best Finish: 2nd, Worst: 6th
- Completed 100% of laps (% ranks T1st)
- 89.75% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 3rd)
- 115.75 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 1st)
- Led 11.75% of laps he’s run (% ranks 2nd)
- 0 Wins
- 1 Top 2, 50.0% (% ranks T1st)
- 2 Top 10’s, 100% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 finishes outside Top 20, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 2 Stage Wins, 50.0% (% ranks 1st)
- 3 Stage T10’s, 75.0% (% ranks T1st)
- 6.75 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 1st)
Main Points & Outlook
– Martin Truex Jr. is notable because of his 2023 Michigan Cup race
– Last week at Richmond Truex got 8 Stage Pts and ran 98% of his laps in the Top 15, but due to a motor issue he only ran 250 of 408 laps en route to a 37th place DNF
– This was his 1st DNF of the year, but he has 7 finishes out of the Top 20 to just 9 Top 10 finishes and only 7 of his 17 2024 Ranks above are better than 10th
– In terms of streaks this year he had a 5 race Top 10 streak earlier and an 8 straight Stage T10 streak as well
– He is on a 1 race Top 2 finish “streak” at Michigan and an impressive 7 race Top 10 streak while also holding an active 2 straight Stage Win streak here
– At Big tracks this year he’s ran only 50% of his laps in the Top 15 with finishes of 8th and 27th, but he has 1 Stage Win and he’s led 4% of his laps
– In the 2023 Michigan race Truex led 24% of his laps, won both stages, and had the best Driver Rating (131.7); but he ended up 2nd at the finish
– He’s finished 2nd and 6th in the 2 Michigan Next Gen races while also picking up 2 Stage Wins and having the best Avg. Driver Rating (115.75)
Outlook for this weekend
Martin Truex Jr’s 2024 stats have been going the wrong way over the last bit of races as he’s finished 4 of the last 5 races out of the Top 20. However, his stage stats are still some of the best in the Cup Series this year. This cannot be said about his stage stats at Big tracks, and in fact he hasn’t ran or finished well on these track this year. Then again, this is Michigan where Truex came so close to winning last year, and he has some of the best Michigan Next Gen stats of any driver. So, while Truex hasn’t been good of late the stats say to watch for him to be good this weekend with the potential for a much needed great finish.
– Martin Truex Jr. is notable because of his 2023 Michigan Cup race
– Last week at Richmond Truex got 8 Stage Pts and ran 98% of his laps in the Top 15, but due to a motor issue he only ran 250 of 408 laps en route to a 37th place DNF
– This was his 1st DNF of the year, but he has 7 finishes out of the Top 20 to just 9 Top 10 finishes and only 7 of his 17 2024 Ranks above are better than 10th
– In terms of streaks this year he had a 5 race Top 10 streak earlier and an 8 straight Stage T10 streak as well
– He is on a 1 race Top 2 finish “streak” at Michigan and an impressive 7 race Top 10 streak while also holding an active 2 straight Stage Win streak here
– At Big tracks this year he’s ran only 50% of his laps in the Top 15 with finishes of 8th and 27th, but he has 1 Stage Win and he’s led 4% of his laps
– In the 2023 Michigan race Truex led 24% of his laps, won both stages, and had the best Driver Rating (131.7); but he ended up 2nd at the finish
– He’s finished 2nd and 6th in the 2 Michigan Next Gen races while also picking up 2 Stage Wins and having the best Avg. Driver Rating (115.75)
Outlook for this weekend
Martin Truex Jr’s 2024 stats have been going the wrong way over the last bit of races as he’s finished 4 of the last 5 races out of the Top 20. However, his stage stats are still some of the best in the Cup Series this year. This cannot be said about his stage stats at Big tracks, and in fact he hasn’t ran or finished well on these track this year. Then again, this is Michigan where Truex came so close to winning last year, and he has some of the best Michigan Next Gen stats of any driver. So, while Truex hasn’t been good of late the stats say to watch for him to be good this weekend with the potential for a much needed great finish.
12th in Points – Bubba Wallace
| Category | Statistic | 2024 Rank | ªRank Thru 23 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 15.78 | 14th of 36 | T251st of 839 |
| Best Fin. | 4th | — | — |
| Worst Fin. | 36th | — | — |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 97.38% | 16th of 36 | T235th of 839 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 61.95 | 10th of 36 | 218th of 797‡ |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 79.13 | 14th of 36 | 315th of 797‡ |
| Wins | 0 | T14th of 59 | T253rd of 1373 |
| Poles | 0 | T11th of 59 | T237th of 1373 |
| Top 2’s | 0 | T20th of 59 | T376th of 1373 |
| Top 3’s | 0 | T23rd of 59 | T450th of 1373 |
| Top 5’s | 5 | T10th of 59 | T173rd of 1373 |
| Top 10’s | 9 | T10th of 59 | T226th of 1373 |
| Finish out Top 20¹ | 6 | T6th of 36 | T170th of 839 |
| DNF’s¹ | 3 | T18th of 36 | T427th of 839 |
| Stage Wins | 1 | T10th of 59 | T84th of 476* |
| Stage T10s | 21 | T9th of 59 | T78th of 476* |
| Stage Pts | 99 | 12th of 59 | 93rd of 476* |
| Avg. Stage Fin.¹ | 13.89 | 8th of 36 | — |
| Playoff Pts² | 1 | T16th of 59 | T115th of 476* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2004
¹Ranks of drivers to start 40% of races thru 23 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Loop Data started in 2005, Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 2 straight Top 5 finishes (active streak, tied longest active streak in Cup Series)
- 3 straight Top 10 finishes (active streak)
- 3 straight Stage T10’s (active streak)
- 6 straight Stage T10’s
- 2 straight DNF’s
- Notable Michigan Streaks
- 2 straight Stage T10’s (active streak)
- 2024 Big track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Big track start, 40 drivers)
- 2 Races, Avg. Finish 7.5(4th), 58.72% of Laps ran in Top15(12th), Avg. Driver Rating 86.35(9th), Best 5th, Worst 10th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 7.95% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 1 Top 5, 2 Top 10’s, 2 Top 15’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 1 Stage Win, 2.5 Stage Pts Per Stage, Avg. Stage Finish 16.5
- Michigan Statistics
- 2023 Michigan Race
- Finished 18th, Started 11th, Led 21 laps(10.5%), Finished 2nd in Stage 1 and 4th in Stage 2, ran 145 Laps in Top 15(72.5% of laps ran), had 94.8 Driver Rating (ranked 8th)
- Notable Next Gen Michigan Statistics (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Michigan since start of 2022, 37 drivers)
- 2 Races
- 10.0 Avg. Finish (Ranks 9th)
- Best Finish: 2nd, Worst: 18th
- Completed 100% of laps (% ranks T1st)
- 81.75% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 6th)
- 106.6 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 3rd)
- Led 10.75% of laps he’s run (% ranks 5th)
- 0 Wins
- 1 Pole, 50.0% (% ranks T1st)
- 1 Top 2, 50.0% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 finishes outside Top 20, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 Stage Wins
- 2 Stage T10’s, 50.0% (% ranks T9th)
- 4.0 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 7th)
Main Points & Outlook
– Bubba Wallace is notable because of his stats in the 2 Next Gen races at Michigan
– Wallace was able to get 9 Stage Pts at Richmond last week and he ran 98% of his laps in the Top 15 en route to a nice 4th place finish
– His best 2024 Rank above is T6th (6 finishes out of the Top 20), but he also has just 5 Top 5’s, 99 Stage Pts, and 0 Top 3 finishes
– He is currently on a 2 race Top 5 streak, a 3 race Top 10 streak, and a 3 straight Stage T10 streak
– His only notable streak at Michigan is his active 2 straight Stage T10 streak
– He’s finished 5th and 10th in the 2 Big track races this year, but he has just 2.5 Stage Pts Per Stage and has ran only 59% of his laps in the Top 15
– Last year at Michigan Wallace got 16 Stage Pts, but he ran just 73% of his laps in the Top 15 and finished a disappointing 18th
– In the 2 Next Gen races at Michigan he has 1 Pole and 1 Top 2 finish while running 82% of his laps in the Top 15 and having a great 106.6 Avg. Driver Rating
Outlook for this weekend
Bubba Wallace is getting hot at the right time as he’s now gotten 4 Top 10’s in the last 5 races, but he’s still very close to the cutline thanks to the fact he didn’t do great the rest of the year. However, this weekend could be his time to shine as this is a Big track where, despite not running great, he’s been able to finish both races this year in the Top 10. What’s more is that Wallace’s Next Gen stats here aren’t too shabby, but last year he did struggle a bit after the first 2 stages. Based on the stats, expect a decent race from Wallace this weekend, but don’t be surprised if he’s near the front at the end of the race.
– Bubba Wallace is notable because of his stats in the 2 Next Gen races at Michigan
– Wallace was able to get 9 Stage Pts at Richmond last week and he ran 98% of his laps in the Top 15 en route to a nice 4th place finish
– His best 2024 Rank above is T6th (6 finishes out of the Top 20), but he also has just 5 Top 5’s, 99 Stage Pts, and 0 Top 3 finishes
– He is currently on a 2 race Top 5 streak, a 3 race Top 10 streak, and a 3 straight Stage T10 streak
– His only notable streak at Michigan is his active 2 straight Stage T10 streak
– He’s finished 5th and 10th in the 2 Big track races this year, but he has just 2.5 Stage Pts Per Stage and has ran only 59% of his laps in the Top 15
– Last year at Michigan Wallace got 16 Stage Pts, but he ran just 73% of his laps in the Top 15 and finished a disappointing 18th
– In the 2 Next Gen races at Michigan he has 1 Pole and 1 Top 2 finish while running 82% of his laps in the Top 15 and having a great 106.6 Avg. Driver Rating
Outlook for this weekend
Bubba Wallace is getting hot at the right time as he’s now gotten 4 Top 10’s in the last 5 races, but he’s still very close to the cutline thanks to the fact he didn’t do great the rest of the year. However, this weekend could be his time to shine as this is a Big track where, despite not running great, he’s been able to finish both races this year in the Top 10. What’s more is that Wallace’s Next Gen stats here aren’t too shabby, but last year he did struggle a bit after the first 2 stages. Based on the stats, expect a decent race from Wallace this weekend, but don’t be surprised if he’s near the front at the end of the race.
