Welcome back Xfinity Series! The last time we saw these cars on track we saw an epic three car finish at Indianapolis that ended with Riley Herbst making an incredible save in turn 4 to take home the victory. Now we head to the 3rd and last Big track of the year, and also the 3rd in a row for the Xfinity Series, Michigan. I have picked 5 notable drivers to look at, 1 based on 2024 season stats, 1 based on Big track stats, 1 based on the last Michigan race, 1 based on their Michigan stats over the last 5 Xfinity seasons, and 1 based on the highest in 2024 points that wasn’t already picked. Here is a look at those 5 notable drivers 2024 season statistics, along with ranks among drivers in 2024 as well as ranking through 20 races since the Playoffs started in 2016. We will also highlight notable streaks accomplished through the year and at Michigan, 2024 Big track (2+ miles, non-drafting) statistics and Michigan statistics from the past 5 Xfinity seasons.
Note: any driver in 4 straight Xfinity outlook articles is not in consideration for the next two, or any driver in 4 of 5 Xfinity outlook articles is not in consideration for the next one. This resets after they are put back into consideration.
This week not in consideration: Cole Custer (4 in a row, 2nd week)
This week not in consideration: Cole Custer (4 in a row, 2nd week)
2nd in Points – Justin Allgaier
| Category | Statistic | 2024 Rank | ªRank Thru 20 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 13.3 | 5th of 33 | 73rd of 312 |
| Best Fin. | 1st | — | — |
| Worst Fin. | 38th | — | — |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 93.99% | 18th of 33 | 142nd of 312 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 85.96% | 2nd of 33 | 35th of 312 |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 104.38 | 2nd of 33 | 31st of 312‡ |
| Wins | 1 | T6th of 95 | T41st of 817 |
| Poles | 0 | T11th of 95 | T79th of 817 |
| Top 2’s | 3 | T3rd of 95 | T32nd of 817 |
| Top 3’s | 4 | T4th of 95 | T42nd of 817 |
| Top 5’s | 6 | 6th of 95 | T50th of 817 |
| Top 10’s | 12 | T3rd of 95 | T37th of 817 |
| Finish out Top 20¹ | 5 | T9th of 33 | T92nd of 312 |
| DNF’s¹ | 4 | T24th of 33 | T200th of 312 |
| Stage Wins | 11 | 1st of 95 | 2nd of 720* |
| Stage T10s | 33 | 1st of 95 | 7th of 720* |
| Stage Pts | 225 | 1st of 95 | T7th of 720* |
| Avg. Stage Fin.¹ | 8.4 | 2nd of 33 | — |
| Playoff Pts² | 16 | 2nd of 95 | T18th of 720* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2016
¹Ranks of drivers to start 45% of races thru 20 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 2 straight Top 5 finishes
- 5 straight Top 10 finishes (active streak, longest active streak in Xfinity Series)
- 6 straight Stage Wins (longest streak in Xfinity Series this year and longest streak in Xfinity Series all-time)
- 5 straight Stage T10’s (active streak, longest active streak in Xfinity Series)
- 8 straight Stage T10’s
- Notable Michigan Streaks
- 4 straight Top 10 finishes (2018.13-2022.21) (tied 4th longest streak in Xfinity Series at Michigan all-time)
- 2 straight Stage T10’s (active streak, tied 11th longest streak in Xfinity Series at Michigan all-time)
- 2024 Big track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Big track start, 47 drivers)
- 2 Races, Avg. Finish 5.5(6th), 90.53% of Laps ran in Top15(3rd), Avg. Driver Rating 116.9(2nd), Best 2nd, Worst 9th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 15.79% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 1 Top 3, 1 Top 5, 2 Top 10’s, 2 Top 15’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 1 Stage Win, 5.75 Stage Pts Per Stage, Avg. Stage Finish 5.25
- Michigan Statistics
- 2023 Michigan Race
- Finished 14th, Started 2nd, Led 32 laps(25.6%), Finished 1st in Stage 1 and 2nd in Stage 2, ran 92 Laps in Top 15(73.6% of laps ran), had 106.0 Driver Rating (ranked 6th)
- Notable Michigan Statistics over last 5 years (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Michigan since start of 2019, 50 drivers)
- 4 Races
- 6.75 Avg. Finish (Ranks 6th)
- Best Finish: 2nd, Worst: 14th
- Completed 100% of laps (% ranks T1st)
- 90.47% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 10th)
- 113.98 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 5th)
- Led 11.28% of laps he’s run (% ranks 5th)
- 0 Wins
- 1 Top 2, 25.0% (% ranks T7th)
- 2 Top 5’s, 50.0% (% ranks T5th)
- 3 Top 10’s, 75.0% (% ranks T7th)
- 4 Top 15’s, 100% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 finishes outside Top 20, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 1 Stage Win, 12.5% (% ranks 5th)
- 6 Stage T10’s, 75.0% (% ranks T8th)
- 5.38 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 5th)
Main Points & Outlook
– Justin Allgaier is notable because of his 2024 season stats thru 20 races
– At Indy Allgaier ran 96% of his laps in the Top 15 en route to 12 Stage Pts and a 9th place finish
– He has 11 Stage Wins this year (2nd most thru 20 Xfinity races all-time) and is 1st in Stage T10’s along with Stage Pts, but he has almost as many finishes out of the Top 20 (5) as in the Top 5 (6)
– He is currently on a 5 race Top 10 streak and a 5 straight Stage T10 streak, both are the best active streaks in the Xfinity Series
– His only notable Michigan streaks are his 4 race Top 10 streak from 2018-2022 and a 2 straight Stage T10 streak which he’s had many of, including an active streak
– In the 2 Big track races this year he has finishes of 2nd and 9th while running 91% of his laps in the Top 15 and getting 5.75 Stage Pts Per Stage
– Last year at Michigan Allgaier led 26% of the race and got 19 Stage Pts, but he ended up finishing in 14th place after a final stage full of problems
– In his last 4 Michigan races he has a 6.75 Avg. Finish with a best of 2nd and a 113.98 Avg. Driver Rating, but he only has 6 Stage T10’s in the 8 stages
Outlook for this weekend
Justin Allgaier has now finished 7 of the last 8 races in the Top 10 and overall this year he’s once again been the Stage King as he is 1st or 2nd in every 2024 Stage Rank above. What’s better is that this weekend is another Big track where he’s ran phenomenal and finished well, especially in stages, in the 2 races. More good news is that this weekend is Michigan where he’s ran well and finished well for the most part, but last year was a struggle for him late in the race. In total Allgaier may not be the favorite this weekend, but keep an eye on him to have a solid run and finish well with the potential for a win.
– Justin Allgaier is notable because of his 2024 season stats thru 20 races
– At Indy Allgaier ran 96% of his laps in the Top 15 en route to 12 Stage Pts and a 9th place finish
– He has 11 Stage Wins this year (2nd most thru 20 Xfinity races all-time) and is 1st in Stage T10’s along with Stage Pts, but he has almost as many finishes out of the Top 20 (5) as in the Top 5 (6)
– He is currently on a 5 race Top 10 streak and a 5 straight Stage T10 streak, both are the best active streaks in the Xfinity Series
– His only notable Michigan streaks are his 4 race Top 10 streak from 2018-2022 and a 2 straight Stage T10 streak which he’s had many of, including an active streak
– In the 2 Big track races this year he has finishes of 2nd and 9th while running 91% of his laps in the Top 15 and getting 5.75 Stage Pts Per Stage
– Last year at Michigan Allgaier led 26% of the race and got 19 Stage Pts, but he ended up finishing in 14th place after a final stage full of problems
– In his last 4 Michigan races he has a 6.75 Avg. Finish with a best of 2nd and a 113.98 Avg. Driver Rating, but he only has 6 Stage T10’s in the 8 stages
Outlook for this weekend
Justin Allgaier has now finished 7 of the last 8 races in the Top 10 and overall this year he’s once again been the Stage King as he is 1st or 2nd in every 2024 Stage Rank above. What’s better is that this weekend is another Big track where he’s ran phenomenal and finished well, especially in stages, in the 2 races. More good news is that this weekend is Michigan where he’s ran well and finished well for the most part, but last year was a struggle for him late in the race. In total Allgaier may not be the favorite this weekend, but keep an eye on him to have a solid run and finish well with the potential for a win.
3rd in Points – Austin Hill
| Category | Statistic | 2024 Rank | ªRank Thru 20 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 10.45 | 2nd of 33 | T36th of 312 |
| Best Fin. | 1st | — | — |
| Worst Fin. | 34th | — | — |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 93.11% | 20th of 33 | 163rd of 312 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 84.41% | 3rd of 33 | 47th of 312 |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 100.25 | 3rd of 33 | 41st of 312‡ |
| Wins | 2 | T2nd of 95 | T24th of 817 |
| Poles | 1 | T6th of 95 | T26th of 817 |
| Top 2’s | 4 | T1st of 95 | T18th of 817 |
| Top 3’s | 4 | T4th of 95 | T42nd of 817 |
| Top 5’s | 8 | 3rd of 95 | T28th of 817 |
| Top 10’s | 13 | 2nd of 95 | T27th of 817 |
| Finish out Top 20¹ | 4 | T4th of 33 | T60th of 312 |
| DNF’s¹ | 2 | T9th of 33 | T65th of 312 |
| Stage Wins | 3 | T4th of 95 | T28th of 720* |
| Stage T10s | 28 | T4th of 95 | T24th of 720* |
| Stage Pts | 160 | 5th of 95 | T31st of 720* |
| Avg. Stage Fin.¹ | 8.8 | 3rd of 33 | — |
| Playoff Pts² | 13 | 4th of 95 | T23rd of 720* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2016
¹Ranks of drivers to start 45% of races thru 20 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 2 straight Wins (tied longest streak in Xfinity Series this year and tied 15th longest streak in Xfinity Series all-time)
- 2 straight Top 2 finishes (tied longest streak in Xfinity Series this year)
- 5 straight Top 5 finishes (longest streak in Xfinity Series this year)
- 4 straight Top 10 finishes (active streak)
- 6 straight Top 10 finishes
- 11 straight Stage T10’s (tied longest streak in Xfinity Series this year and tied 24th longest streak in Xfinity Series all-time)
- Notable Michigan Streaks
- 4 straight Stage T10’s (active streak, tied 3rd longest streak in Xfinity Series at Michigan all-time)
- 2024 Big track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Big track start, 47 drivers)
- 2 Races, Avg. Finish 6.5(8th), 86.84% of Laps ran in Top15(6th), Avg. Driver Rating 105.25(6th), Best 6th, Worst 7th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 0.53% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 0 Top 5’s, 2 Top 10’s, 2 Top 15’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 4.0 Stage Pts Per Stage, Avg. Stage Finish 7.0
- Michigan Statistics
- 2023 Michigan Race
- Finished 11th, Started 3rd, Led 0 laps, Finished 7th in Stage 1 and 5th in Stage 2, ran 107 Laps in Top 15(85.6% of laps ran), had 98.8 Driver Rating (ranked 8th)
- Notable Michigan Statistics over last 5 years (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Michigan since start of 2019, 50 drivers)
- 2 Races
- 8.0 Avg. Finish (Ranks T7th)
- Best Finish: 5th, Worst: 11th
- Completed 100% of laps (% ranks T1st)
- 90.8% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 9th)
- 99.8 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 11th)
- Led 0.4% of laps he’s run (% ranks T14th)
- 0 Top 3’s
- 1 Top 5, 50.0% (% ranks T5th)
- 2 Top 15’s, 100% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 finishes outside Top 20, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 Stage Wins
- 4 Stage T10’s, 100% (% ranks T1st)
- 3.5 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks T10th)
Main Points & Outlook
– Austin Hill is notable because he’s 3rd in points heading to Michigan
– In the last Xfinity race, Indy, Hill ran 82% of his laps in the Top 15 and finished 6th, but he only got 3 Stage Pts
– He has the 2nd best Avg. Finish this year (10.45) with the 3rd best Avg. Driver Rating (110.25) and he has just 4 finishes out of the Top 20 to 8 finishes in the Top 5
– This year he’s had a 2 race Win streak, a 5 race Top 5 streak, and an 11 straight Stage T10 streak; but he’s currently only on a 4 race Top 10 streak
– The only streak he’s had over 1 in a row at Michigan is a 4 straight Stage T10 streak that he is currently on
– At Big tracks this year he’s finished 6th and 7th while running 87% of his laps in the Top 15 and having a 7.0 Avg. Stage Finish, but he’s led less than 1% of his laps in the 2 races
– In the 2023 Michigan race Hill ran 86% of his laps in the Top 15 and got 10 Stage Pts, but late transmission issues caused him to finish 11th
– In his 2 Xfinity Michigan races he’s finished 5th and 11th while running 91% of his laps in the Top 15, but despite getting 4 Stage T10’s in 4 stages he only has 3.5 Stage Pts Per Stage
Outlook for this weekend
Austin Hill is on a bit of a hot streak as he’s finished 4 straight races in the Top 10 and overall his 2024 stats say he’s been solid in terms of runs, stages, and finishes. The same can be said about his Big track stats this year as he’s finished Top 10 in both and ran well to boot. Again, the same can be said for Michigan as his stats here are similar to the run well and finish well stats in the other categories. So, overall expect Hill to be solid all race long this weekend, but don’t expect him to challenge for the win.
– Austin Hill is notable because he’s 3rd in points heading to Michigan
– In the last Xfinity race, Indy, Hill ran 82% of his laps in the Top 15 and finished 6th, but he only got 3 Stage Pts
– He has the 2nd best Avg. Finish this year (10.45) with the 3rd best Avg. Driver Rating (110.25) and he has just 4 finishes out of the Top 20 to 8 finishes in the Top 5
– This year he’s had a 2 race Win streak, a 5 race Top 5 streak, and an 11 straight Stage T10 streak; but he’s currently only on a 4 race Top 10 streak
– The only streak he’s had over 1 in a row at Michigan is a 4 straight Stage T10 streak that he is currently on
– At Big tracks this year he’s finished 6th and 7th while running 87% of his laps in the Top 15 and having a 7.0 Avg. Stage Finish, but he’s led less than 1% of his laps in the 2 races
– In the 2023 Michigan race Hill ran 86% of his laps in the Top 15 and got 10 Stage Pts, but late transmission issues caused him to finish 11th
– In his 2 Xfinity Michigan races he’s finished 5th and 11th while running 91% of his laps in the Top 15, but despite getting 4 Stage T10’s in 4 stages he only has 3.5 Stage Pts Per Stage
Outlook for this weekend
Austin Hill is on a bit of a hot streak as he’s finished 4 straight races in the Top 10 and overall his 2024 stats say he’s been solid in terms of runs, stages, and finishes. The same can be said about his Big track stats this year as he’s finished Top 10 in both and ran well to boot. Again, the same can be said for Michigan as his stats here are similar to the run well and finish well stats in the other categories. So, overall expect Hill to be solid all race long this weekend, but don’t expect him to challenge for the win.
4th in Owner Points – John Hunter Nemechek
| Category | Statistic | 2024 Rank | ªRank Thru 20 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 15.9 | 12th of 33 | T104th of 312 |
| Best Fin. | 1st | — | — |
| Worst Fin. | 32nd | — | — |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 95.07% | 14th of 33 | 113th of 312 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 70.57% | 10th of 33 | 100th of 312 |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 93.0 | 5th of 33 | 59th of 312‡ |
| Wins | 2 | T2nd of 95 | T24th of 817 |
| Poles | 0 | T11th of 95 | T79th of 817 |
| Top 2’s | 2 | T9th of 95 | T52nd of 817 |
| Top 3’s | 3 | T8th of 95 | T53rd of 817 |
| Top 5’s | 3 | T11th of 95 | T90th of 817 |
| Top 10’s | 5 | T13th of 95 | T124th of 817 |
| Finish out Top 20¹ | 5 | T9th of 33 | T92nd of 312 |
| DNF’s¹ | 2 | T9th of 33 | T65th of 312 |
| Stage Wins | 1 | T10th of 95 | T70th of 720* |
| Stage T10s | 11 | 14th of 95 | T102nd of 720* |
| Stage Pts | 0 | T30th of 95 | T242nd of 720* |
| Avg. Stage Fin.¹ | 14.1 | 11th of 33 | — |
| Playoff Pts² | 0 | T13th of 95 | T91st of 720* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2016
¹Ranks of drivers to start 45% of races thru 20 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 4 straight Stage T10’s
- Notable Michigan Streaks
- 1 straight Win (active “streak”)
- 1 straight Stage Win (active “streak”)
- 2 straight Stage T10’s (2019.13 s1&s2) (tied 11th longest streak in Xfinity Series at Michigan all-time)
- 2024 Big track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Big track start, 47 drivers)
- 0 Races
- Michigan Statistics
- 2023 Michigan Race
- Finished 1st, Started 10th, Led 65 laps(52.0%), Finished 1st in Stage 2, ran 103 Laps in Top 15(82.4% of laps ran), had 146.3 Driver Rating (ranked 1st)
- Notable Michigan Statistics over last 5 years (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Michigan since start of 2019, 50 drivers)
- 3 Races
- 9.33 Avg. Finish (Ranks 11th)
- Best Finish: 1st, Worst: 19th
- Completed 99.73% of laps (% ranks 16th)
- 76.47% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 18th)
- 105.8 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 8th)
- Led 17.38% of laps he’s run (% ranks 4th)
- 1 Win, 33.33% (% ranks T3rd)
- 2 Top 10’s, 66.67% (% ranks T9th)
- 0 finishes outside Top 20, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 1 Stage Win, 16.67% (% ranks 4th)
- 3 Stage T10’s, 50.0% (% ranks T10th)
Main Points & Outlook
– John Hunter Nemechek is notable because of how well he did in the 2023 Xfinity Michigan race
– Nemechek’s last Xfinity race was the Chicago Street Course where he ran 74% of his laps in the Top 15 and finished 9th in Stage 2, but he ended up finishing 25th after a last lap mishap
– In his 10 Xfinity races this year he has 2 Wins and 5 Top 5’s, but he also has 5 finishes out of the Top 20 and just a 14.1 Avg. Stage Finish
– The only notable streak he’s had this year is a 4 straight Stage T10 streak
– At Michigan he is on a 1 race Win “streak” and a 1 straight Stage Win “streak”
– He has not competed in either of the two Big track Xfinity races this year
– At Michigan last year Nemechek won Stage 1, led 52% of the race laps, had the best Driver Rating, and won the race; but he only ran 82% of his laps in the Top 15
– In the 3 Michigan Xfinity races he’s ran since the start of 2019 he’s finished between 1st and 19th in all 3, led 17% of his laps, and has an impressive 105.8 Avg. Driver Rating
Outlook for this weekend
John Hunter Nemechek has had a roller coaster 2024 Xfinity season as every other race he’s ran he’s finished Top 10 then out of the Top 20, and in his last race he finished out of the Top 20. This stat has hurt his overall 2024 stats and what doesn’t help him this week is the fact he hasn’t ran a single Big track Xfinity race this year. However, he’s done well at Michigan in his 3 races here since the start of 2019, including a convincing win last year. In all, with the pattern he has of finishes this year expect a Top 10 finish this weekend for Nemechek with a shot at the win as well.
– John Hunter Nemechek is notable because of how well he did in the 2023 Xfinity Michigan race
– Nemechek’s last Xfinity race was the Chicago Street Course where he ran 74% of his laps in the Top 15 and finished 9th in Stage 2, but he ended up finishing 25th after a last lap mishap
– In his 10 Xfinity races this year he has 2 Wins and 5 Top 5’s, but he also has 5 finishes out of the Top 20 and just a 14.1 Avg. Stage Finish
– The only notable streak he’s had this year is a 4 straight Stage T10 streak
– At Michigan he is on a 1 race Win “streak” and a 1 straight Stage Win “streak”
– He has not competed in either of the two Big track Xfinity races this year
– At Michigan last year Nemechek won Stage 1, led 52% of the race laps, had the best Driver Rating, and won the race; but he only ran 82% of his laps in the Top 15
– In the 3 Michigan Xfinity races he’s ran since the start of 2019 he’s finished between 1st and 19th in all 3, led 17% of his laps, and has an impressive 105.8 Avg. Driver Rating
Outlook for this weekend
John Hunter Nemechek has had a roller coaster 2024 Xfinity season as every other race he’s ran he’s finished Top 10 then out of the Top 20, and in his last race he finished out of the Top 20. This stat has hurt his overall 2024 stats and what doesn’t help him this week is the fact he hasn’t ran a single Big track Xfinity race this year. However, he’s done well at Michigan in his 3 races here since the start of 2019, including a convincing win last year. In all, with the pattern he has of finishes this year expect a Top 10 finish this weekend for Nemechek with a shot at the win as well.
5th in Points – Riley Herbst
| Category | Statistic | 2024 Rank | ªRank Thru 20 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 14.55 | 9th of 33 | 87th of 312 |
| Best Fin. | 1st | — | — |
| Worst Fin. | 38th | — | — |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 94.12% | 17th of 33 | 137th of 312 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 81.63% | 5th of 33 | 55th of 312 |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 92.54 | 6th of 33 | 61st of 312‡ |
| Wins | 1 | T6th of 95 | T41st of 817 |
| Poles | 0 | T11th of 95 | T79th of 817 |
| Top 2’s | 3 | T3rd of 95 | T32nd of 817 |
| Top 3’s | 3 | T8th of 95 | T53rd of 817 |
| Top 5’s | 4 | T9th of 95 | T75th of 817 |
| Top 10’s | 9 | T9th of 95 | T71st of 817 |
| Finish out Top 20¹ | 6 | T12th of 33 | T115th of 312 |
| DNF’s¹ | 4 | T24th of 33 | T200th of 312 |
| Stage Wins | 2 | T7th of 95 | T47th of 720* |
| Stage T10s | 29 | 3rd of 95 | T19th of 720* |
| Stage Pts | 163 | 4th of 95 | 30th of 720* |
| Avg. Stage Fin.¹ | 9.45 | 4th of 33 | — |
| Playoff Pts² | 7 | 9th of 95 | T36th of 720* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2016
¹Ranks of drivers to start 45% of races thru 20 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 3 straight Top 10 finishes
- 4 straight Stage T10’s (active streak)
- 10 straight Stage T10’s (tied 29th longest streak in Xfinity Series all-time)
- Notable Michigan Streaks
- 3 straight Top 10 finishes (active streak, tied 10th longest streak in Xfinity Series at Michigan all-time)
- 2 straight Stage T10’s (active streak, tied 11th longest streak in Xfinity Series at Michigan all-time)
- 2024 Big track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Big track start, 47 drivers)
- 2 Races, Avg. Finish 6.0(7th), 87.37% of Laps ran in Top15(5th), Avg. Driver Rating 114.75(4th), Best 1st, Worst 11th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 15.79% of laps he ran, 1 Win, 0 Poles, 1 Top 3, 1 Top 5, 1 Top 10, 2 Top 15’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 1 Stage Win, 7.25 Stage Pts Per Stage, Avg. Stage Finish 3.75
- Michigan Statistics
- 2023 Michigan Race
- Finished 6th, Started 5th, Led 1 lap(0.8%), Finished 5th in Stage 1 and 4th in Stage 2, ran 121 Laps in Top 15(96.8% of laps ran), had 109.0 Driver Rating (ranked 5th)
- Notable Michigan Statistics over last 5 years (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Michigan since start of 2019, 50 drivers)
- 4 Races
- 14.75 Avg. Finish (Ranks 18th)
- Best Finish: 6th, Worst: 37th
- Completed 78.02% of laps (% ranks 42nd)
- 85.54% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 13th)
- 81.95 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 16th)
- Led 0.25% of laps he’s run (% ranks 17th)
- 0 Top 5’s
- 3 Top 10’s, 75.0% (% ranks T7th)
- 3 Top 15’s, 75.0% (% ranks T14th)
- 1 finish outside Top 20, 25.0% (% ranks 23rd)
- 1 DNF, 25.0% (% ranks T39th)
- 0 Stage Wins
- 1.75 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 15th)
Main Points & Outlook
– Riley Herbst is notable because of his stats in the 2 Big track races this year
– At Indy Herbst ran all 100 laps in the Top 15, won Stage 1, got 18 Stage Pts in total, led 30 laps, and finished first after an incredible last lap battle
– On the year he has 1 Win, 9 Top 10’s, and the 4th most Stage Pts (163); but he also has more finishes out of the Top 20 (6) than in the Top 5 (4)
– His longest Top 10 streak this year is just 3 races, but he is currently on a 4 straight Stage T10 streak and had a 10 straight Stage T10 streak earlier this year
– At Michigan he is on a 3 race Top 10 streak and a 2 straight Stage T10 streak
– He’s finished 1st and 11th in the 2 Big track races this year while also having a 3.75 Avg. Stage Finish and the 4th best Avg. Driver Rating (114.75)
– Last year at Michigan Herbst led just 1 lap, but he ran 97% of his laps in the Top 15, got 13 Stage Pts, and finished 6th
– In the last 4 Michigan races he has a 14.75 Avg. Finish with 3 Top 10’s, but he also has 1 DNF and 0 Top 5’s with only 1.75 Stage Pts Per Stage
Outlook for this weekend
In the last Xfinity race Riley Herbst was able to pick up his 1st Win of the year and he has now finished 4 of the last 6 races in the Top 10. However, overall this year his stage stats are what’s best, and heading to a Big track this weekend could definitely help them even more. In the 2 Big track races this year he’s been great in stages and not bad in finishes. The same cannot be said about his last 4 races at Michigan as he’s been terrible in stages, but he has finished Top 10 in most of the races. In all, don’t expect a great day, like Herbst had at Indy this weekend, but expect a solid Top 10 run most the day.
– Riley Herbst is notable because of his stats in the 2 Big track races this year
– At Indy Herbst ran all 100 laps in the Top 15, won Stage 1, got 18 Stage Pts in total, led 30 laps, and finished first after an incredible last lap battle
– On the year he has 1 Win, 9 Top 10’s, and the 4th most Stage Pts (163); but he also has more finishes out of the Top 20 (6) than in the Top 5 (4)
– His longest Top 10 streak this year is just 3 races, but he is currently on a 4 straight Stage T10 streak and had a 10 straight Stage T10 streak earlier this year
– At Michigan he is on a 3 race Top 10 streak and a 2 straight Stage T10 streak
– He’s finished 1st and 11th in the 2 Big track races this year while also having a 3.75 Avg. Stage Finish and the 4th best Avg. Driver Rating (114.75)
– Last year at Michigan Herbst led just 1 lap, but he ran 97% of his laps in the Top 15, got 13 Stage Pts, and finished 6th
– In the last 4 Michigan races he has a 14.75 Avg. Finish with 3 Top 10’s, but he also has 1 DNF and 0 Top 5’s with only 1.75 Stage Pts Per Stage
Outlook for this weekend
In the last Xfinity race Riley Herbst was able to pick up his 1st Win of the year and he has now finished 4 of the last 6 races in the Top 10. However, overall this year his stage stats are what’s best, and heading to a Big track this weekend could definitely help them even more. In the 2 Big track races this year he’s been great in stages and not bad in finishes. The same cannot be said about his last 4 races at Michigan as he’s been terrible in stages, but he has finished Top 10 in most of the races. In all, don’t expect a great day, like Herbst had at Indy this weekend, but expect a solid Top 10 run most the day.
6th in Points – A.J. Allmendinger
| Category | Statistic | 2024 Rank | ªRank Thru 20 Races |
| Avg. Fin.¹ | 13.85 | 8th of 33 | 81st of 312 |
| Best Fin. | 4th | — | — |
| Worst Fin. | 37th | — | — |
| Completed Laps%¹ | 86.56% | 26th of 33 | T250th of 312 |
| Laps in Top15%¹ | 68.6% | 11th of 33 | 105th of 312 |
| Avg. Driver Rating¹ | 89.07 | 9th of 33 | 75th of 312‡ |
| Wins | 0 | T15th of 95 | T98th of 817 |
| Poles | 0 | T11th of 95 | T79th of 817 |
| Top 2’s | 0 | T20th of 95 | T151st of 817 |
| Top 3’s | 0 | T26th of 95 | T186th of 817 |
| Top 5’s | 3 | T11th of 95 | T90th of 817 |
| Top 10’s | 10 | T6th of 95 | T65th of 817 |
| Finish out Top 20¹ | 3 | T2nd of 33 | T40th of 312 |
| DNF’s¹ | 2 | T9th of 33 | T65th of 312 |
| Stage Wins | 0 | T15th of 95 | T121st of 720* |
| Stage T10s | 26 | 6th of 95 | T37th of 720* |
| Stage Pts | 145 | 6th of 95 | 39th of 720* |
| Avg. Stage Fin.¹ | 11.5 | 6th of 33 | — |
| Playoff Pts² | 0 | T13th of 95 | T91st of 720* |
ªSince Playoffs started in 2016
¹Ranks of drivers to start 45% of races thru 20 races
²Earned from races only, does not reflect penalties
*Stage racing started in 2017
‡Max Driver Rating is 150.0
- Notable Streaks this year
- 2 straight Top 5 finishes
- 2 straight Top 10 finishes (active streak)
- 4 straight Stage T10’s (active streak)
- 6 straight Stage T10’s
- Notable Michigan Streaks
- 2 straight Top 10 finishes (2021.22-2022.21)
- 4 straight Stage T10’s (2021.22 s1-2022.21 s2) (tied 3rd longest streak in Xfinity Series at Michigan all-time)
- 2024 Big track Stats (Avg. Fin. and Driver Rating rank among drivers with 1+ Big track start, 47 drivers)
- 2 Races, Avg. Finish 7.0(9th), 88.95% of Laps ran in Top15(4th), Avg. Driver Rating 105.15(7th), Best 6th, Worst 8th, Laps Completed 100%, Led 2.11% of laps he ran, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top 3’s, 0 Top 5’s, 2 Top 10’s, 2 Top 15’s, 0 Finishes out of Top 20, 0 DNF’s, 0 Stage Wins, 6.75 Stage Pts Per Stage, Avg. Stage Finish 4.25
- Michigan Statistics
- 2023 Michigan Race
- did not race
- Notable Michigan Statistics over last 5 years (Ranks are of drivers with 1+ start this year and 1+ start at Michigan since start of 2019, 50 drivers)
- 2 Races
- 4.0 Avg. Finish (Ranks T3rd)
- Best Finish: 1st, Worst: 7th
- Completed 100% of laps (% ranks T1st)
- 98.11% of Laps ran in Top15 (% ranks 1st)
- 126.2 Average Driver Rating (Ranks 1st)
- Led 29.17% of laps he’s run (% ranks 1st)
- 1 Win, 50.0% (% ranks T1st)
- 2 Top 10’s, 100% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 finishes outside Top 20, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 0 DNF’s, 0.00% (% ranks T1st)
- 1 Stage Win, 25.0% (% ranks 3rd)
- 4 Stage T10’s, 100% (% ranks T1st)
- 8.5 Stage Pts Per Stage (Ranks 2nd)
Main Points & Outlook
– A.J. Allmendnger is notable because of his Michigan Xfinity stats since start of 2019
– At Indy Allmendinger got 16 Stage Pts and ran every lap in the Top 15 en route to an 8th place finish
– This year he has as many Stage Wins as he does Top 3’s, 0, but he does have 10 Top 10’s, only 3 finishes out of the Top 20, and the 6th most Stage Pts (145)
– He is currently on a 2 race Top 10 finish streak (tying his longest this year) and a 4 straight Stage T10 streak
– In terms of streaks at Michigan he had a 2 race Top 10 streak and a 4 straight Stage T10 streak from 2021-2022
– At Big tracks this year he’s ran 89% of his laps in the Top 15 with finishes of 6th and 8th while getting 6.75 Stage Pts Per Stage
– Allmendinger did not race in the 2023 Xfinity race at Michigan
– He’s raced in 2 of the last 4 Michigan Xfinity races finishing 1st and 7th while running 98% of his laps in the Top 15, leading 29% of his laps, and getting 1 Stage Win
Outlook for this weekend
A.J. Allmendinger is now on a 5 race Top 11 streak after Indy, but he still does not have a Top 3 finish this year and his Avg. Driver Rating is only decent. However, the good new for Allmendinger is that we head to a another Big track this weekend where he’s both ran and finished well this year. In fact, this weekend is Michigan where, in his last 2 starts, Allmendinger has ran great and even has a win while picking up 4 Stage T10’s in the 4 stages. Based on the numbers above watch out for Allmendinger to be great this weekend at Michigan and finish near the front.
– A.J. Allmendnger is notable because of his Michigan Xfinity stats since start of 2019
– At Indy Allmendinger got 16 Stage Pts and ran every lap in the Top 15 en route to an 8th place finish
– This year he has as many Stage Wins as he does Top 3’s, 0, but he does have 10 Top 10’s, only 3 finishes out of the Top 20, and the 6th most Stage Pts (145)
– He is currently on a 2 race Top 10 finish streak (tying his longest this year) and a 4 straight Stage T10 streak
– In terms of streaks at Michigan he had a 2 race Top 10 streak and a 4 straight Stage T10 streak from 2021-2022
– At Big tracks this year he’s ran 89% of his laps in the Top 15 with finishes of 6th and 8th while getting 6.75 Stage Pts Per Stage
– Allmendinger did not race in the 2023 Xfinity race at Michigan
– He’s raced in 2 of the last 4 Michigan Xfinity races finishing 1st and 7th while running 98% of his laps in the Top 15, leading 29% of his laps, and getting 1 Stage Win
Outlook for this weekend
A.J. Allmendinger is now on a 5 race Top 11 streak after Indy, but he still does not have a Top 3 finish this year and his Avg. Driver Rating is only decent. However, the good new for Allmendinger is that we head to a another Big track this weekend where he’s both ran and finished well this year. In fact, this weekend is Michigan where, in his last 2 starts, Allmendinger has ran great and even has a win while picking up 4 Stage T10’s in the 4 stages. Based on the numbers above watch out for Allmendinger to be great this weekend at Michigan and finish near the front.
