Clinching Scenarios: Truck Series – Kansas

So far in the Truck Series playoffs it’s been playoff spoiler Layne Riggs who has won both races, but still 3 drivers have clinched a spot in the next round based on points. Now we head to the Round of 10 finale, Kansas, where at least 4 more drivers will clinch a spot on points. Below are the scenarios in which no matter what happens in the race Friday, if the scenario happens then the ticket is punched to the Round of 8. The only thing that can make a scenario change is if the finishing order changes the tie breaker, but still that only changes some scenarios by 1 point.
P.s. Obviously if a driver wins the race then they are in the next round, but that’s a boring and simple scenario to figure out, so only must win scenarios are mentioned.

*Does not include winning driver/owner scenario

Driver Points Clinching Scenarios

1) Christian Eckes
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 3rd, 4th

• • • Clinched

2) Corey Heim
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 2nd, 7th

• • • Clinched

3) Nick Sanchez
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 4th, 5th

• • • Clinched

4) Ty Majeski
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 2nd, 8th

• • • Driver below cut does NOT win: Clinched
    • Driver below cut DOES win: Needs 4 points (33rd place finish)
    • -OR-
    • Needs 1 of the following scenarios
      • Be within 22 points of Rajah Caruth
      • Be within 32 points of Tyler Ankrum
      • Be within 34 points of Taylor Gray
      • Be within 51 points of Grant Enfinger

5) Rajah Caruth
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 3rd, 18th

• • • Driver below cut does NOT win: Needs 21 points (16th place finish)
    • -OR-
    • Needs 2* of the following scenarios
      • 24+ points more than Ty Majeski
      • Be within 9 points of Tyler Ankrum
      • Be within 11 points of Taylor Gray
      • Be within 27 points of Grant Enfinger
      • Be within 34 points of Daniel Dye
      • Be within 39 points of Ben Rhodes
    • Driver below cut DOES win: Needs 28 points (9th place finish)
    • -OR-
    • Needs 2* of the scenarios above

6) Tyler Ankrum
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 6th, 10th

• • • Driver below cut does NOT win: Needs 31 points (6th place finish)
    • -OR-
    • Needs 2* of the following scenarios
      • 34+ points more than Ty Majeski
      • 11+ points more than Rajah Caruth
      • Be within 1 point of Taylor Gray
      • Be within 17 points of Grant Enfinger
      • Be within 24 points of Daniel Dye
      • Be within 29 points of Ben Rhodes
    • Driver below cut DOES win: Needs 38 points (2nd place finish + 3 Stage Pts)
    • -OR-
    • Needs 2* of the scenarios above

7) Taylor Gray
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 5th, 12th

• • • Driver below cut does NOT win: Needs 33 points (4th place finish)
    • -OR-
    • Needs 2* of the following scenarios
      • 36+ points more than Ty Majeski
      • 13+ points more than Rajah Caruth
      • 3+ points more than Tyler Ankrum
      • Be within 15 points of Grant Enfinger
      • Be within 22 points of Daniel Dye
      • Be within 27 points of Ben Rhodes
    • Driver below cut DOES win: Needs 40 points (2nd place finish + 5 Stage Pts)
    • -OR-
    • Needs 2* of the scenarios above

8) Grant Enfinger
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 13th, 17th

• • • Driver below cut does NOT win: Needs 49 points (2nd place finish + 14 Stage Pts)
    • -OR-
    • Needs 2* of the following scenarios
      • 52+ points more than Ty Majeski
      • 29+ points more than Rajah Caruth
      • 19+ points more than Tyler Ankrum
      • 17+ points more than Taylor Gray
      • Be within 6 points of Daniel Dye
      • Be within 11 points of Ben Rhodes
    • Driver below cut DOES win: Needs 2* of the scenarios above

9) Daniel Dye
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 8th, 32nd

• • • Driver below cut does NOT win: Needs 2* of the following scenarios
      • 36+ points more than Rajah Caruth
      • 26+ points more than Tyler Ankrum
      • 24+ points more than Taylor Gray
      • 8+ points more than Grant Enfinger
      • Be within 4 points of Ben Rhodes
    • Driver below cut DOES win: Needs 2* of the scenarios above

10) Ben Rhodes
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 9th, 27th

• • • Driver below cut does NOT win: Needs 2* of the following scenarios
      • 41+ points more than Rajah Caruth
      • 31+ points more than Tyler Ankrum
      • 29+ points more than Taylor Gray
      • 13+ points more than Grant Enfinger
      • 6+ points more than Daniel Dye
    • Driver below cut DOES win: Needs 2* of the scenarios above

Owner Points Clinching Scenarios

1) McAnally Hilgemann Racing No.19
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 3rd, 4th

• • • Clinched

2) TRICON Garage No.11
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 2nd, 7th

• • • Clinched

3) Rev Racing No.2
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 4th, 5th

• • • Clinched

4) ThorSport Racing No.98
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 2nd, 8th

• • • Owner below cut does NOT win: Clinched
    • Owner below cut DOES win: Needs 4 points (33rd place finish)
    • -OR-
    • Needs 1 of the following scenarios
      • Be within 22 points of the No.71
      • Be within 32 points of the No.18
      • Be within 35 points of the No.17
      • Be within 51 points of the No.9

5) Spire Motorsports No.71
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 3rd, 18th

• • • Owner below cut does NOT win: Needs 24 points (13th place finish)
    • -OR-
    • Needs 2* of the following scenarios
      • 24+ points more than the No.98
      • Be within 9 points of the No.18
      • Be within 12 points of the No.17
      • Be within 27 points of the No.9
      • Be within 31 points of the No.7
      • Be within 47 points of the No.45
    • Owner below cut DOES win: Needs 28 points (9th place finish)
    • -OR-
    • Needs 2* of the scenarios above

6) McAnally Hilgemann Raing No.18
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 6th, 10th

• • • Owner below cut does NOT win: Needs 34 points (3rd place finish)
    • -OR-
    • Needs 2* of the following scenarios
      • 34+ points more than the No.98
      • 11+ points more than the No.71
      • Be within 2 points of the No.17
      • Be within 17 points of the No.9
      • Be within 21 points of the No.7
      • Be within 37 points of the No.45
    • Owner below cut DOES win: Needs 38 points (2nd place finish + 3 Stage Pts)
    • -OR-
    • Needs 2* of the scenarios above

7) TRICON Garage No.17
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 5th, 12th

• • • Owner below cut does NOT win: Needs 37 points (2nd place finish + 2 Stage Pts)
    • -OR-
    • Needs 2* of the following scenarios
      • 37+ points more than the No.98
      • 14+ points more than the No.71
      • 4+ points more than the No.18
      • Be within 14 points of the No.9
      • Be within 18 points of the No.7
      • Be within 34 points of the No.45
    • Owner below cut DOES win: Needs 41 points (2nd place finish + 6 Stage Pts)
    • -OR-
    • Needs 2* of the scenarios above

8) CR7 Motorsports
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 13th, 17th

• • • Owner below cut does NOT win: Needs 52 points (2nd place finish + 17 Stage Pts)
    • -OR-
    • Needs 2* of the following scenarios
      • 52+ points more than the No.98
      • 29+ points more than the No.71
      • 19+ points more than the No.18
      • 16+ points more than the No.17
      • Be within 3 points of the No.7
      • Be within 19 points of the No.45
    • Owner below cut DOES win: Needs 2* of the scenarios above

9) Spire Motorsports No.7
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 17th, 19th

• • • Owner below cut does NOT win: Needs 2* of the following scenarios
      • 33+ points more than the No.71
      • 23+ points more than the No.18
      • 20+ points more than the No.17
      • 5+ points more than the No.9
      • Be within 15 points of the No.45
    • Owner below cut DOES win: Needs 2* of the scenarios above

10) Niece Motorsports No.45
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 12th, 35th

• • • Owner below cut does NOT win: Needs 2* of the following scenarios
      • 49+ points more than the No.71
      • 39+ points more than the No.18
      • 36+ points more than the No.17
      • 21+ points more than the No.9
      • 17+ points more than the No.7
    • Owner below cut DOES win: Needs 2* of the scenarios above