This article is a race finish projection for the 2024 Charlotte Roval Playoff race. The finishing order below is determined based on the statistics that would be used in the Cup Series Notable Drivers Statistics & Outlook: Charlotte Roval (mainly track stats and track style stats), weekend practice speeds (both single lap and multi-lap averages), and qualifying results. There is little opinion on the matter as this is based on mostly statistics, so just because a driver with bad stats is in a good car does not mean he will be bumped up based on the car/team he is with.
Last weeks projected winner: Kyle Busch
Finished: 19th
Last weeks winner: Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
Projected Finish: 14th
Additional notes from last race:
-2 drivers finished where they were projected (William Byron 3rd, Noah Gragson 25th)
-6 of the 40 drivers finished within 2 spots (better or worse) of where they were projected
-8 of the 40 drivers finished within 5 spots (better or worse) of where they were projected
-22 of the 40 drivers finished 10+ spots (better or worse) than they were projected to finish
-6 of the projected Top 14 drivers finished in the Top 14
Notes from all point race projections this year (31 races):
-Drivers to finish where they were projected: 51 of 1,166, 4.37%
-Drivers to finish within 5 spots (better/worse) than they were projected: 475 of 1,166, 40.74%
-Drivers to finish 10+ spots (better/worse) than they were projected: 473 of 1,166, 40.57%
-Correct Winner projections: 4 of 31, 12.90%
-Projected Top 10 finishers to finish Top 10: 149 of 310, 48.06%
Notable results this week
Winner: Tyler Reddick
One to Watch: Shane Van Gisbergen
Disappointment: Denny Hamlin
Highlighted = In Driver/Owner Playoff
| Proj. Finish | Number | Driver | Finish/Diff. |
| 1. | 45 | Tyler Reddick | 11th -10 |
| 2. | 20 | Christopher Bell | 2nd +0 |
| 3. | 16 | A.J. Allmendinger | 6th -3 |
| 4. | 13 | Shane Van Gisbergen | 7th -3 |
| 5. | 48 | Alex Bowman | 38th -33 |
| 6. | 24 | William Byron | 3rd +3 |
| 7. | 22 | Joey Logano | 8th -1 |
| 8. | 9 | Chase Elliott | 5th +3 |
| 9. | 8 | Kyle Busch | 13th -4 |
| 10. | 23 | Bubba Wallace | 9th +1 |
| 11. | 5 | Kyle Larson | 1st +10 |
| 12. | 54 | Ty Gibbs | 35th -23 |
| 13. | 77 | Carson Hocevar | 12th +1 |
| 14. | 2 | Austin Cindric | 4th +10 |
| 15. | 6 | Brad Keselowski | 23rd -8 |
| 16. | 17 | Chris Buescher | 17th -1 |
| 17. | 12 | Ryan Blaney | 10th +7 |
| 18. | 1 | Ross Chastain | 28th -10 |
| 19. | 99 | Daniel Suarez | 30th -11 |
| 20. | 34 | Michael McDowell | 15th +5 |
| 21. | 38 | Todd Gilliland | 18th +3 |
| 22. | 19 | Martin Truex Jr. | 21st +1 |
| 23. | 14 | Chase Briscoe | 36th -13 |
| 24. | 51 | Corey LaJoie | 37th -13 |
| 25. | 71 | Zane Smith | 19th +6 |
| 26. | 10 | Noah Gragson | 31st -5 |
| 27. | 41 | Ryan Preece | 25th +2 |
| 28. | 3 | Austin Dillon | 32nd -4 |
| 29. | 31 | Daniel Hemric | 24th +5 |
| 30. | 11 | Denny Hamlin | 14th +16 |
| 31. | 47 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 16th +15 |
| 32. | 42 | John Hunter Nemechek | 34th -2 |
| 33. | 7 | Justin Haley | 26th +7 |
| 34. | 15 | Kaz Grala | 27th +7 |
| 35. | 21 | Harrison Burton | 20th +15 |
| 36. | 4 | Josh Berry | 22nd +14 |
| 37. | 43 | Erik Jones | 33rd +4 |
| 38. | 66 | Josh Bilicki | 29th +9 |
*This will be updated after the race is over so you can compare how the projection did with the actual finishing order.
