So far the Round of 8 has been the Grant Enfinger playground as he’s won Talladega and Homestead this round. This leaves at least 2 Championship 4 spots that will be clinched on points. Below are the scenarios in which no matter what happens in the race Friday, if the scenario happens then the ticket is punched to the Championship 4. The only thing that can make a scenario change is if the finishing order changes the tie breaker, but still that only changes some scenarios by 1 point.
P.s. Obviously if a driver wins the race then they are in the next round, but that’s a boring and simple scenario to figure out, so only must win scenarios are mentioned.
*Does not include winning driver/owner scenario
Driver Points Clinching Scenarios
1) Grant Enfinger
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 1st, 1st
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- Clinched based on wins at Talladega and Homestead
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2) Corey Heim
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 4th, 11th
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- Driver below cut does NOT win:Â Needs 7 points (30th place finish)
- -OR-
- Needs 2* of the following scenarios
- Be within 10 points of Christian Eckes
- Be within 26 points of Ty Majeski
- Be within 48 points of Rajah Caruth
- Be within 50 points of Taylor Gray
- Driver below cut DOES win: Needs 29 points (8th place finish)
- -OR-
- Needs 2* of the scenarios above if Caruth/Gray wins
- Needs 3 of the scenarios above if Ankrum/Sanchez wins
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3) Christian Eckes
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 6th, 9th
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- Driver below cut does NOT win:Â Needs 18 points (19th place finish)
- -OR-
- Needs 2* of the following scenarios
- 12+ points more than Corey Heim
- Be within 15 points of Ty Majeski
- Be within 37 points of Rajah Caruth
- Be within 39 points of Taylor Gray
- Driver below cut DOES win: Needs 40 points (2nd place finish + 5 Stage Pts)
- -OR-
- Needs 2* of the scenarios above if Caruth/Gray wins
- Needs 3 of the scenarios above if Ankrum/Sanchez wins
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4) Ty Majeski
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 2nd, 12th
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- Driver below cut does NOT win:Â Needs 34 points (3rd place finish)
- -OR-
- Needs 4* of the following scenarios
- 27+ points more than Corey Heim
- 17+ points more than Christian Eckes
- Be within 21 points of Rajah Caruth
- Be within 23 points of Taylor Gray
- Be within 40 points of Tyler Ankrum
- Be within 43 points of Nick Sanchez
- Driver below cut DOES win: Needs 4* of the scenarios above
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5) Rajah Caruth
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 4th, 8th
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- Driver below cut does NOT win:Â Needs 4* of the following scenarios
- 49+ points more than Corey Heim
- 38+ points more than Christian Eckes
- 23+ points more than Ty Majeski
- Be within 1 point of Taylor Gray
- Be within 18 points of Tyler Ankrum
- Be within 20 points of Nick Sanchez
- Driver below cut DOES win: Needs 4* of the scenarios above
- Driver below cut does NOT win:Â Needs 4* of the following scenarios
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6) Taylor Gray
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 2nd, 10th
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- Driver below cut does NOT win:Â Needs 4* of the following scenarios
- 51+ points more than Corey Heim
- 40+ points more than Christian Eckes
- 24+ points more than Ty Majeski
- 3+ points more than Rajah Caruth
- Be within 16 points of Tyler Ankrum
- Be within 19 points of Nick Sanchez
- Driver below cut DOES win: Needs 4* of the scenarios above
- Driver below cut does NOT win:Â Needs 4* of the following scenarios
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7) Tyler Ankrum
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 5th, 14th
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- Driver below cut does NOT win:Â Needs all 4* of the following scenarios
- 42+ points more than Ty Majeski
- 20+ points more than Rajah Caruth
- 18+ points more than Taylor Gray
- Be within 1 point of Nick Sanchez
- Driver below cut DOES win: Must Win to Clinch
- Driver below cut does NOT win:Â Needs all 4* of the following scenarios
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8) Nick Sanchez
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 13th, 22nd
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- Driver below cut does NOT win:Â Needs all 4* of the following scenarios
- 44+ points more than Ty Majeski
- 22+ points more than Rajah Caruth
- 20+ points more than Taylor Gray
- 3+ points more than Tyler Ankrum
- Driver below cut DOES win: Must Win to Clinch
- Driver below cut does NOT win:Â Needs all 4* of the following scenarios
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Owner Points Clinching Scenarios
1) CR7 Motorsports No.9
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 1st, 1st
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- Clinched based on wins at Talladega and Homestead
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2) TRICON Garage No.11
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 4th, 11th
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- Owner below cut does NOT win:Â Needs 7 points (30th place finish)
- -OR-
- Needs 2* of the following scenarios
- Be within 10 points of the No.19
- Be within 26 points of the No.98
- Be within 48 points of the No.71
- Be within 51 points of the No.17
- Owner below cut DOES win: Needs 29 points (8th place finish)
- -OR-
- Needs 2* of the scenarios above if the No.71/No.17 wins
- Needs 3 of the scenarios above if the No.18/No.2 wins
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3) McAnally-Hilgemann Racing No.19
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 6th, 9th
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- Owner below cut does NOT win:Â Needs 18 points (19th place finish)
- -OR-
- Needs 2* of the following scenarios
- 12+ points more than the No.11
- Be within 15 points of the No.98
- Be within 37 points of the No.71
- Be within 40 points of the No.17
- Owner below cut DOES win: Needs 40 points (2nd place finish + 5 Stage Pts)
- -OR-
- Needs 2* of the scenarios above if the No.71/No.17 wins
- Needs 3 of the scenarios above if the No.18/No.2 wins
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4) ThorSport Racing No.98
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 2nd, 12th
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- Owner below cut does NOT win:Â Needs 34 points (3rd place finish)
- -OR-
- Needs 4* of the following scenarios
- 27+ points more than the No.11
- 17+ points more than the No.19
- Be within 21 points of the No.71
- Be within 24 points of the No.17
- Be within 40 points of the No.18
- Be within 43 points of the No.2
- Owner below cut DOES win: Needs 4* of the scenarios above
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5) Spire Motorsports No.71
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 4th, 8th
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- Owner below cut does NOT win:Â Needs 4* of the following scenarios
- 49+ points more than the No.11
- 38+ points more than the No.19
- 23+ points more than the No.98
- Be within 2 points of the No.17
- Be within 18 points of the No.18
- Be within 20 points of the No.2
- Owner below cut DOES win: Needs 4* of the scenarios above
- Owner below cut does NOT win:Â Needs 4* of the following scenarios
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6) TRICON Garage No.17
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 2nd, 10th
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- Owner below cut does NOT win:Â Needs 4* of the following scenarios
- 52+ points more than the No.11
- 41+ points more than the No.19
- 25+ points more than the No.98
- 4+ points more than the No.71
- Be within 15 points of the No.18
- Be within 18 points of the No.2
- Owner below cut DOES win: Needs 4* of the scenarios above
- Owner below cut does NOT win:Â Needs 4* of the following scenarios
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7) McAnally-Hilgemann Racing No.18
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 5th, 14th
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- Owner below cut does NOT win:Â Needs all 4* of the following scenarios
- 42+ points more than the No.98
- 20+ points more than the No.71
- 17+ points more than the No.17
- Be within 1 point of the No.2
- Owner below cut DOES win: Must Win to Clinch
- Owner below cut does NOT win:Â Needs all 4* of the following scenarios
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8) Rev Racing No.2
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 13th, 22nd
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- Owner below cut does NOT win:Â Needs all 4* of the following scenarios
- 44+ points more than the No.98
- 22+ points more than the No.71
- 19+ points more than the No.17
- 3+ points more than the No.18
- Owner below cut DOES win: Must Win to Clinch
- Owner below cut does NOT win:Â Needs all 4* of the following scenarios
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