Clinching Scenarios: Xfinity Series – Martinsville

In the Xfinity Series last week we got to see Austin Hill clinch his first every NASCAR Championship 4 appearance as he won at Homestead. This leaves 2 spots remaining in the Xfinity Championship 4 owner championship and driver championship for the race at Martinsville. Below are the scenarios in which no matter what happens in the race Saturday, if the scenario happens then the ticket is punched to the Championship 4. The only thing that can make a scenario change is if the finishing order changes the tie breaker, but still that only changes some scenarios by 1 point.
P.s. Obviously if a driver wins the race then they are in the next round, but that’s a boring and simple scenario to figure out, so only must win scenarios are mentioned.

*Does not include winning driver/owner scenario

Driver Points Clinching Scenarios

1) A.J. Allmendinger
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 1st, 10th

• • • Clinched based on win at Las Vegas

2) Austin Hill
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 1st, 10th

• • • Clinched based on win at Homestead

3) Justin Allgaier
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 3rd, 8th

• • • Driver below cut does NOT win: Needs 21 points (16th place finish)
    • -OR-
    • Needs 3* of the following scenarios
      • Be within 6 points of Cole Custer
      • Be within 34 points of Chandler Smith
      • Be within 41 points of Jesse Love
      • Be within 53 points of Sam Mayer
    • Driver below cut DOES win: Needs 49 points (2nd place finish + 14 Stage Pts)
    • -OR-
    • Needs 3* of the scenarios above if C.Smith/Love/Mayer wins
    • Needs all 4 of the scenarios above if S.Smith wins

4) Cole Custer
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 2nd, 8th

• • • Driver below cut does NOT win: Needs 28 points (9th place finish)
    • -OR-
    • Needs 3* of the following scenarios
      • 8+ points more than Justin Allgaier
      • Be within 27 points of Chandler Smith
      • Be within 34 points of Jesse Love
      • Be within 47 points of Sam Mayer
    • Driver below cut DOES win: Needs 3* of the scenarios above if C.Smith/Love/Mayer wins
    • -OR-
    • Needs all 4 of the scenarios above if S.Smith wins

5) Chandler Smith
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 4th, 13th

• • • Driver below cut does NOT win: Needs 3* of the following scenarios
      • 36+ points more than Justin Allgaier
      • 29+ points more than Cole Custer
      • Be within 6 points of Jesse Love
      • Be within 18 points of Sam Mayer
    • Driver below cut DOES win: Needs 3* of the scenarios above if Love/Mayer wins
    • -OR-
    • Needs all 4 of the scenarios above if S.Smith wins

6) Jesse Love
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 4th, 6th

• • • Driver below cut does NOT win: Needs 3* of the following scenarios
      • 43+ points more than Justin Allgaier
      • 36+ points more than Cole Custer
      • 8+ points more than Chandler Smith
      • Be within 11 points of Sam Mayer
    • Driver below cut DOES win: Needs 3* of the scenarios above if C.Smith/Mayer wins
    • -OR-
    • Needs all 4 of the scenarios above if S.Smith wins

7) Sam Mayer
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 9th, 14th

• • • Driver below cut does NOT win: Needs 4* of the following scenarios
      • 54+ points more than Justin Allgaier
      • 48+ points more than Cole Custer
      • 20+ points more than Chandler Smith
      • 13+ points more than Jesse Love
      • Be within 47 points of Sammy Smith
    • Driver below cut DOES win: Needs 4* of the scenarios above

8) Sammy Smith
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 22nd, 32nd

• • • Driver below cut does NOT win: Cannot Clinch
    • Driver below cut DOES win: Must Win to Clinch

Owner Points Clinching Scenarios

1) Kaulig Racing No.16
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 1st, 10th

• • • Clinched based on win at Las Vegas

2) Richard Childress Racing No.21
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 1st, 10th

• • • Clinched based on win at Homestead

3) JR Motorsports No.7
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 3rd, 8th

• • • Owner below cut does NOT win: Needs 46 points (2nd place finish + 11 Stage Pts)
    • -OR-
    • Needs 4* of the following scenarios
      • Be within 9 points of the No.00
      • Be within 9 points of the No.20
      • Be within 33 points of the No.81
      • Be within 40 points of the No.2
      • Be within 51 points of the No.1
    • Owner below cut DOES win: Needs 46 points (2nd place finish + 11 Stage Pts)
    • -OR-
    • Needs 4* of the scenarios above

4) Stewart-Haas Racing No.00
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 2nd, 8th

• • • Owner below cut does NOT win: Needs 55 points (2nd place finish + 20 Stage Pts)
    • -OR-
    • Needs 4* of the following scenarios
      • 11+ points more than the No.7
      • 1+ point more than the No.20
      • Be within 23 points of the No.81
      • Be within 30 points of the No.2
      • Be within 42 points of the No.1
    • Owner below cut DOES win: Needs 4* of the scenarios above

5) Joe Gibbs Racing No.20
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 3rd, 13th

• • • Owner below cut does NOT win: Needs 55 points (2nd place finish + 20 Stage Pts)
    • -OR-
    • Needs 4* of the following scenarios
      • 11+ points more than the No.7
      • 1+ point more than the No.00
      • Be within 23 points of the No.81
      • Be within 30 points of the No.2
      • Be within 42 points of the No.1
    • Owner below cut DOES win: Needs 4* of the scenarios above

6) Joe Gibbs Racing No.81
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 4th, 13th

• • • Owner below cut does NOT win: Needs 4* of the following scenarios
      • 35+ points more than the No.7
      • 25+ points more than the No.00
      • 25+ points more than the No.20
      • Be within 6 points of the No.2
      • Be within 17 points of the No.1
    • Owner below cut DOES win: Needs 4* of the scenarios above

7) Richard Childress Racing No.2
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 4th, 6th

• • • Owner below cut does NOT win: Needs 4* of the following scenarios
      • 42+ points more than the No.7
      • 32+ points more than the No.00
      • 32+ points more than the No.20
      • 8+ points more than the No.81
      • Be within 10 points of the No.1
    • Owner below cut DOES win: Needs 4* of the scenarios above

8) JR Motorsports No.1
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 9th, 14th

• • • Owner below cut does NOT win: Needs 4* of the following scenarios
      • 53+ points more than the No.7
      • 43+ points more than the No.00
      • 43+ points more than the No.20
      • 19+ points more than the No.81
      • 12+ points more than the No.2
    • Owner below cut DOES win: Needs 4* of the scenarios above