This article is a race finish projection for the Spring Atlanta race. The finishing order below is determined based on Next Gen Atlanta Avg. Finish and Avg. Driver Rating, and 2024/25 Superspeedway (Drafting tracks) Avg. Finish and Avg. Driver Rating. On non-drafting tracks weekend practice speeds (both single lap and multi-lap averages) and qualifying results are also taken into account. There is little opinion on the matter as this is based on mostly statistics, so just because a driver with bad stats is in a good car does not mean he will be bumped up based on the car/team he is with.
Last weeks projected winner: Kyle Busch
Finished: 34th
Last weeks winner: William Byron
Projected Finish: 13th
Additional notes from last race:
-3 drivers finished where they were projected (Alex Bowman 6th, Ryan Blaney 7th & Kyle Larson 20th)
-13 of the 41 drivers finished within 5 spots (better or worse) of where they were projected
-22 of the 41 drivers finished 10+ spots (better or worse) than they were projected to finish
-11 of the 41 drivers finished 20+ spots (better or worse) than they were projected to finish
-3 of the projected Top 10 drivers finished in the Top 10
Notes from all point race projections this year (1 race):
-Drivers to finish where they were projected: 3 of 41, 7.32%
-Drivers to finish within 5 spots (better/worse) than they were projected: 13 of 41, 31.71%
-Drivers to finish 10+ spots (better/worse) than they were projected: 22 of 41, 53.66%
-Correct Winner projections: 0 of 1, 0.00%
-Projected Top 10 finishers to finish Top 10: 3 of 10, 30.00%
Notable results this week
Winner: Austin Cindric
One to Watch: Ross Chastain
Disappointment: Austin Dillon
| Proj. Finish | Number | Driver | Finish/Diff. |
| 1. | 2 | Austin Cindric | 28th -27 |
| 2. | 9 | Chase Elliott | 20th -18 |
| 3. | 24 | William Byron | 27th -24 |
| 4. | 1 | Ross Chastain | 8th -4 |
| 5. | 8 | Kyle Busch | 7th -2 |
| 6. | 12 | Ryan Blaney | 4th +2 |
| 7. | 99 | Daniel Suarez | 33rd -26 |
| 8. | 22 | Joey Logano | 12th -4 |
| 9. | 48 | Alex Bowman | 26th -17 |
| 10. | 7 | Justin Haley | 24th -14 |
| 11. | 20 | Christopher Bell | 1st +10 |
| 12. | 47 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 5th +7 |
| 13. | 23 | Bubba Wallace | 9th +4 |
| 14. | 54 | Ty Gibbs | 32nd -18 |
| 15. | 45 | Tyler Reddick | 19th -4 |
| 16. | 6 | Brad Keselowski | 39th -23 |
| 17. | 01 | Corey LaJoie | 38th -21 |
| 18. | 17 | Chris Buescher | 30th -12 |
| 19. | 43 | Erik Jones | 31st -12 |
| 20. | 16 | A.J. Allmendinger | 14th +6 |
| 21. | 71 | Michael McDowell | 13th +8 |
| 22. | 34 | Todd Gilliland | 15th +7 |
| 23. | 5 | Kyle Larson | 3rd +20 |
| 24. | 11 | Denny Hamlin | 6th +18 |
| 25. | 10 | Ty Dillon | 29th -4 |
| 26. | 19 | Chase Briscoe | 21st +5 |
| 27. | 35 | Riley Herbst | 17th +10 |
| 28. | 41 | Cole Custer | 36th -8 |
| 29. | 77 | Carson Hocevar | 2nd +27 |
| 30. | 42 | John Hunter Nemechek | 10th +20 |
| 31. | 51 | Cody Ware | 35th -4 |
| 32. | 4 | Noah Gragson | 34th -2 |
| 33. | 21 | Josh Berry | 25th +8 |
| 34. | 60 | Ryan Preece | 18th +16 |
| 35. | 38 | Zane Smith | 11th +24 |
| 36. | 44 | J.J. Yeley | 37th -1 |
| 37. | 3 | Austin Dillon | 16th +21 |
| 38. | 88 | Shane Van Gisbergen | 23rd +15 |
| 39. | 78 | B.J. McLeod | 22nd +17 |
*This will be updated after the race is over so you can compare how the projection did with the actual finishing order.
