Clinching Scenarios: Craftsman Truck Series – Homestead

As is the usual at Talladega, a non-playoff driver won the Craftsman Truck race leaving 3 spots still to be decided in the Championship 4. Going into Homestead 8 drivers and owners are hopeful of being crowned the 2023 champion, but leaving Homestead on 4 drivers and owners will still be in contention. Below are the scenarios in which no matter what happens in the race Saturday, if the scenario happens then the ticket is punched to the Championship 4. The only thing that can make a scenario change is if the finishing order changes the tie breaker, but still that only changes some scenarios by 1 point.
P.s. Obviously if a driver wins the race then they are in the next round, but that’s a boring and simple scenario to figure out, so only must win scenarios are mentioned.

*Does not include winning driver/owner scenario

Driver Points Clinching Scenarios

1) Corey Heim

• • • Clinched based on win at Bristol

2) Carson Hocevar
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 4th, 11th

• • • Driver below cut doesn’t win: Needs 33 points (4th place finish)
    • -OR-
    • Needs 3* of the following scenarios
      • Be within 13 points of Christian Eckes
      • Be within 19 points of Nick Sanchez
      • Be within 22 points of Grant Enfinger
      • Be within 24 points of Ben Rhodes
      • Be within 38 points of Ty Majeski
    • Driver below cut wins: Needs 36 points (2nd place finish + 1 Stage Pt)
    • -OR-
    • Needs 3* of the scenarios above if Enfinger/Rhodes/Majeski wins
    • Needs 4 of the scenarios above if Zane Smith wins

3) Christian Eckes
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 2nd, 19th

• • • Driver below cut doesn’t win: Needs 47 points (2nd place finish + 12 Stage Pts)
    • -OR-
    • Needs 4* of the following scenarios
      • 15+ points more than Carson Hocevar
      • Be within 5 points of Nick Sanchez
      • Be within 8 points of Grant Enfinger
      • Be within 10 points of Ben Rhodes
      • Be within 24 points of Ty Majeski
      • Be within 42 points of Zane Smith
    • Driver below cut wins: Needs 50 points (2nd place finish + 15 Stage Pts)
    • -OR-
    • Needs 4* of the scenarios above

4) Nick Sanchez
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 7th, 9th

• • • Driver below cut doesn’t win: Needs 53 points (2nd place finish + 18 Stage Pts)
    • -OR-
    • Needs 4* of the following scenarios
      • 21+ points more than Carson Hocevar
      • 7+ points more than Christian Eckes
      • Be within 2 points of Grant Enfinger
      • Be within 4 points of Ben Rhodes
      • Be within 18 points of Ty Majeski
      • Be within 35 points of Zane Smith
    • Driver below cut wins: Needs 4* of the scenarios above

5) Grant Enfinger
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 3rd, 13th

• • • Driver below cut doesn’t win: Needs 4* of the following scenarios
      • 23+ points more than Carson Hocevar
      • 10+ points more than Christian Eckes
      • 4+ points more than Nick Sanchez
      • Be within 1 point of Ben Rhodes
      • Be within 15 points of Ty Majeski
      • Be within 32 points of Zane Smith
    • Driver below cut wins: Needs 4* of the scenarios above

6) Ben Rhodes
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 2nd, 7th

• • • Driver below cut doesn’t win: Needs 4* of the following scenarios
      • 25+ points more than Carson Hocevar
      • 12+ points more than Christian Eckes
      • 6+ points more than Nick Sanchez
      • 3+ points more than Grant Enfinger
      • Be within 14 points of Ty Majeski
      • Be within 31 points of Zane Smith
    • Driver below cut wins: Needs 4* of the scenarios above

7) Ty Majeski
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 19th, 21st

• • • Driver below cut doesn’t win: Needs 4* of the following scenarios
      • 40+ points more than Carson Hocevar
      • 26+ points more than Christian Eckes
      • 20+ points more than Nick Sanchez
      • 17+ points more than Grant Enfinger
      • 15+ points more than Ben Rhodes
      • Be within 16 points of Zane Smith
    • Driver below cut wins: Needs 4* of the scenarios above

8) Zane Smith
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 24th, 32nd

• • • Driver below cut doesn’t win: Needs 4* of the following scenarios
      • 43+ points more than Christian Eckes
      • 37+ points more than Nick Sanchez
      • 34+ points more than Grant Enfinger
      • 32+ points more than Ben Rhodes
      • 18+ points more than Ty Majeski
    • Driver below cut wins: Needs 4* of the scenarios above

Owner Points Clinching Scenarios

1) TRICON Garage No.11

• • • Clinched based on win at Bristol

2) Niece Motorsports No.42
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 4th, 11th

• • • Owner below cut doesn’t win: Needs 34 points (3rd place finish)
    • -OR-
    • Needs 3* of the following scenarios
      • Be within 12 points of the No.19
      • Be within 19 points of the No.2
      • Be within 21 points of the No.23
      • Be within 23 points of the No.99
      • Be within 37 points of the No.98
    • Owner below cut wins: Needs 36 points (2nd place finish + 1 Stage Pt)
    • -OR-
    • Needs 3* of the scenarios above if the No.23/99/98 wins
    • Needs 4 of the scenarios above if the No.38 wins

3) McAnally Hilgermann Racing No.19
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 2nd, 19th

• • • Owner below cut doesn’t win: Needs 47 points (2nd place finish + 12 Stage Pts)
    • -OR-
    • Needs 4* of the following scenarios
      • 14+ points more than the No.42
      • Be within 6 points of the No.2
      • Be within 8 points of the No.23
      • Be within 10 points of the No.99
      • Be within 24 points of the No.98
      • Be within 42 points of the No.38
    • Owner below cut wins: Needs 49 points (2nd place finish + 14 Stage Pts)
    • -OR-
    • Needs 4* of the scenarios above

4) Rev Racing No.2
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 7th, 9th

• • • Owner below cut doesn’t win: Needs 54 points (2nd place finish + 19 Stage Pts)
    • -OR-
    • Needs 4* of the following scenarios
      • 21+ points more than the No.42
      • 8+ points more than the No.19
      • Be within 1 points of the No.23
      • Be within 3 points of the No.99
      • Be within 17 points of the No.98
      • Be within 34 points of the No.38
    • Owner below cut wins: Needs 4* of the scenarios above

5) GMS Racing No.23
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 3rd, 13th

• • • Owner below cut doesn’t win: Needs 4* of the following scenarios
      • 22+ points more than the No.42
      • 10+ points more than the No.19
      • 3+ points more than the No.2
      • Be within 1 point of the No.99
      • Be within 15 points of the No.98
      • Be within 32 points of the No.38
    • Owner below cut wins: Needs 4* of the scenarios above

6) ThorSport Racing No.99
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 2nd, 7th

• • • Owner below cut doesn’t win: Needs 4* of the following scenarios
      • 24+ points more than the No.42
      • 12+ points more than the No.19
      • 5+ points more than the No.2
      • 3+ points more than the No.23
      • Be within 14 points of the No.98
      • Be within 31 points of the No.38
    • Owner below cut wins: Needs 4* of the scenarios above

7) ThorSport Racing No.98
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 19th, 21st

• • • Owner below cut doesn’t win: Needs 4* of the following scenarios
      • 39+ points more than the No.42
      • 26+ points more than the No.19
      • 19+ points more than the No.2
      • 17+ points more than the No.23
      • 15+ points more than the No.99
      • Be within 16 points of the No.38
    • Owner below cut wins: Needs 4* of the scenarios above

8) Front Row Motorsports No.38
Tiebreaker/Finishes in Round of 8: 24th, 32nd

• • • Owner below cut doesn’t win: Needs 4* of the following scenarios
      • 42+ points more than the No.19
      • 36+ points more than the No.2
      • 33+ points more than the No.23
      • 32+ points more than the No.99
      • 18+ points more than the No.98
    • Owner below cut wins: Needs 4* of the scenarios above