And just like that we are at the Regular Season finale for the Truck Series, Richmond. With the news of Stewart Friesen officially being out of the Playoffs there are 2 spots left to fill in the Drivers Playoffs and 3 in the Owners Playoff. Below are the scenarios in which no matter what happens in the race Friday, if the scenario happens then the ticket is punched to the Playoffs. The only thing that can make a scenario change is if the finishing order changes the tie breaker, but still that only changes some scenarios by 1 point.
P.s. Obviously if a driver wins the race then they are in the next round, but that’s a boring and simple scenario to figure out, so only must win scenarios are mentioned.

*Does not include winning driver/owner scenario

Jake Garcia comes into Richmond 11 points above the Playoff cutline, but a new winner makes it hard for him to be above the cutline after the race. Photo by Justin Casterline — Getty Images

Driver Points Clinching Scenarios

9) Kaden Honeycutt
Tiebreaker/5 best finishes this year: 3rd (2), 6th (3)
      • Driver below cut does NOT win: Clinched
      • Driver below cut DOES win: Needs 3 points (34th place finish)
      • -OR-
      • Needs the following scenario
        • Be within 53 points of Jake Garcia
10) Jake Garcia
Tiebreaker/5 best finishes this year: 2nd, 3rd, 7th (3)
      • Driver below cut does NOT win: Needs 45 points (2nd place finish + 10 Stage Pts)
      • -OR-
      • Needs 2* of the following scenarios
        • 54+ points more than Kaden Honeycutt
        • Be within 11 points of Ben Rhodes
        • Be within 20 points of Gio Ruggiero
      • Driver below cut DOES win: Needs 2* of the scenarios above if Rhodes/Ruggiero wins
      • Needs 3 of the scenarios above if anyone below Ruggiero in points wins
Cutline
11) Ben Rhodes
Tiebreaker/5 best finishes this year: 4th (2), 5th (2), 6th
      • Driver below cut does NOT win: Needs 2* of the following scenarios
        • 12+ points more than Jake Garcia
        • Be within 9 points of Gio Ruggiero
      • Driver below cut DOES win: Must Win
12) Gio Ruggiero
Tiebreaker/5 best finishes this year: 2nd, 3rd (2), 4th, 7th
      • Driver below cut does NOT win: Needs 2* of the following scenarios
        • 21+ points more than Jake Garcia
        • 10+ points more than Ben Rhodes
      • Driver below cut DOES win: Must Win

The No.98 truck comes into Richmond below the Playoff cutline, but the scenarios below show that it could easily be above the cutline at the end of the night. Photo by David Hahn — Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Owner Points Clinching Scenarios

8) Spire Motorsports No.7
Tiebreaker/5 best finishes this year: 1st (2, by Cup drivers), 2nd, 5th (2)
      • Owner below cut does NOT win: Needs 35 points (2nd place finish)
      • -OR-
      • Needs 1* of the following scenarios
        • Be within 8 points of the No.45
        • Be within 15 points of the No.9
        • Be within 22 points of the No.98
      • Owner below cut DOES win: Needs 42 points (2nd place finish + 7 Stage Pts)
      • -OR-
      • Needs 1* of the scenarios above if the No.98 wins
      • Needs 2 of the scenarios above if anyone below the No.98 in points wins
9) Niece Motorsports No.45
Tiebreaker/5 best finishes this year: 3rd (2), 6th (3)
      • Owner below cut does NOT win: Needs 43 points (2nd place finish + 8 Stage Pts)
      • -OR-
      • Needs 1* of the following scenarios
        • 9+ points more than the No.7
        • Be within 6 points of the No.9
        • Be within 13 points of the No.98
      • Owner below cut DOES win: Needs 50 points (2nd place finish + 15 Stage Pts)
      • -OR-
      • Needs 1* of the scenarios above if the No.98 wins
      • Needs 2 of the scenarios above if anyone below the No.98 in points wins
10) CR7 Motorsports No.9
Tiebreaker/5 best finishes this year: 2nd (2), 4th (2), 5th
      • Owner below cut does NOT win: Needs 50 points (2nd place finish + 15 Stage Pts)
      • -OR-
      • Needs 1* of the following scenarios
        • 16+ points more than the No.7
        • 7+ points more than the No.45
        • Be within 6 points of the No.98
      • Owner below cut DOES win: Needs 1* of the scenarios above if the No.98 wins
      • Needs 2 of the scenarios above if anyone below the No.98 in points wins
Cutline
11) ThorSport Racing No.98
Tiebreaker/5 best finishes this year: 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 5th, 6th
      • Owner below cut does NOT win: Needs 1* of the following scenarios
        • 23+ points more than the No.7
        • 15+ points more than the No.45
        • 8+ points more than the No.9
      • Owner below cut DOES win: Needs 2 of the scenarios above